Pushing back on Recent ‘Sea Level is Worse Now’ Claims: The Coordinate System That Ate the Coastline

Charles Rotter In the annals of modern scientific discovery, a few moments stand out as turning points for human understanding. Galileo pointing a telescope at Jupiter. Newton contemplating a falling apple. The invention of the spreadsheet’s “auto-sum” function. And now we must add another milestone: the discovery that sea level rises dramatically whenever someone chooses a different vertical reference datum. A recent paper in Nature, Sea level much higher than assumed in most coastal hazard ass...

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Scissor
March 5, 2026 3:13 pm

I’m drowning and boiling at the same time. So said my lobster.

Reply to  Scissor
March 5, 2026 7:59 pm

I love to eat lobster, but if I had a talking lobster I would have spared him and started a Utoob channel!

Reply to  pillageidiot
March 6, 2026 4:49 am

Great idea for anyone who knows how to make videos with AI! There is one YouTube channel with a talking fish. But I’ve always wonder what lobsters think about politics and philosophy. 🙂

Reply to  Joseph Zorzin
March 6, 2026 7:41 am

Someone already did a short film about a singing frog. (And without AI!)

Sparta Nova 4
Reply to  Scissor
March 6, 2026 11:32 am

An engineering nerd was walking along the road and a fog hopped in front of him and said, “Kiss me and I will transform back into a beautiful princess.” The engineer picked up the frog and put it in his coat pocket.
From his pocket he heard the frog repeat her plea, “Kiss me!”
The nerd pulled the frog out his pocket. “Look,” he said, “I have no time for princesses or girlfriends, but hey, a talking frog is way cool.”

Med Bennett
March 5, 2026 9:08 pm

After 12 years as a loyal WUWT reader and staunch climate skeptic, I really hate the paywall development. I guess I should subscribe, but there’s only so many subscriptions that I can realistically support.

Reply to  Med Bennett
March 5, 2026 9:38 pm

Fair. There are other ways of helping, the easiest being allowing ads.

Reply to  Redge
March 6, 2026 7:43 am

Yep. If you use an adblocker just allow ads on WUWT.

max
March 6, 2026 3:37 am

The Statue of Liberty photo from the 1920’s has entered the chat…

March 6, 2026 12:48 pm

We are told we know how much 70% of the planet’s surface is going to rise in mm/yr …relative to the other 30%, while having no accurate way to knowing the bottom of the ocean’s distance from the surface within inches, and assuming constant volume (?) except of water that is expanding as it warms, not allowing for magma cooling….but everyone has their preconceptions which can be used by magicians to perform magic tricks….how easily deluded we are….

March 7, 2026 5:23 pm

Nice post Charles. It sent me tracking down references [thanks! 😉 ].
Speaking of sea level:
1) Satellites claim to measure sea level to the tenth of a mm yet the error in the measurement is in cm. How does that work? [the Abstract quoted below says “0.5m” accuracy!]
2) Since Earth’s gravity varies based on location then the resulting satellite orbits must vary as well.
How is this handled? [See #1 above]
3) All flooding is local. How does a global (mean) SLR measurement help assign risk?

And from a reference within the rabbit hole(s) you sent me down:
Remote Sensing [2020] https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/12/17/2827
From the Abstract: “The global LiDAR lowland DTM [digital terrain model] (GLL_DTM_v1) at 0.05-degree resolution (~5 × 5 km) is created from ICESat-2 data collected between 14 October 2018 and 13 May 2020. It is accurate within 0.5 m for 83.4% of land area below 10 m above mean sea level (+MSL), with a root-mean-square error (RMSE) value of 0.54 m, compared to three local area DTMs for three major lowland areas: the Everglades, the Netherlands, and the Mekong Delta. This accuracy is far higher than that of four existing global digital elevation models (GDEMs), which are derived from satellite radar data, namely, SRTM90, MERIT, CoastalDEM, and TanDEM-X, that we find to be accurate within 0.5 m for 21.1%, 12.9%, 18.3%, and 37.9% of land below 10 m +MSL, respectively, with corresponding RMSE values of 2.49 m, 1.88 m, 1.54 m, and 1.59 m. “