Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach
… plus ça same old stuff. Thank goodness somethings never change. For example, the “Gore Effect”, which says that wherever His Nobelity Albert Gore III might hold a Climastravaganza to remind the world of the critical and imminent climate overheating that we can only avert by sending him some more money, it will be way below the average temperature for that location and time.
Heck, even Antarctica can’t resist the Gore effect. Case in point? Big Al, along with the failed serial doomcaster James Hansen and billionaire Richard Branson, are currently in the Weddell Sea, off the Antarctic Peninsula, just chillin’ with the penguins.
Figure 1. Global temperature anomalies, February 2, 2012. Scale is degrees C above or below historical averages for the day.
And when I say chillin’ … I do mean chillin’ …
Both Dick and Al are blah-gging about their trip. Al sez:
As the world warms, its waters are warming, too. Increased temperatures have already led to changes in ocean life. For example, on the other side of the Peninsula, king crabs have invaded an area previously considered far too cold for their survival. The impact of the arrival of these predators, for the first time in millions of years, could be catastrophic for the surrounding ecosystem, which has evolved exotic and unique life forms that have no defenses against crabs.
I know how Al feels, I had the crabs once myself and felt defenceless. Meanwhile, Dick sez:
The planet is changing before our eyes. We are heating it up.
From the sound of it you’d think that they were baking down there in Antarctica, like they’d seen all kinds of warmer than normal temperatures, penguins wearing sunhats, leopard seals changing their spots, or something warm and not all that fuzzy.
But if you look at Figure 1, you’ll see that the area right where they are is running about 15°C (27°F) colder than normal … and normal even in the summer is kinda cold to start with.
Thank goodness for the Gore effect. Just think of what rubbish those jokers would have written if it had been 27°F warmer than normal down there, or 54°F warmer than what they are actually experiencing … we’d never have heard the end of it. They would have blogged every drop of sweat running down the side of their iced drinks on the cruise ship. Glad to see that justice still can prevail.
Regards to everyone,
w.
Oh yes, our friend Doctor Hansen, I presume. The one who, back in 1981 thought the earth’s surface acted like a blackbody. It must be looking a bit whiter down there now, is it Jimmy?
Anyway, the story goes that he calculated that the surface temperature would have been -18 degrees C because, just simplifying it all to a flat disk shaped Earth to keep the arithmetic easy, and just bunging in all the radiation from the Sun that gets through the atmosphere (which is thus cooling the planet) then, well then that good old reliable Stefan-Boltzmann stuff he once copied down from the blackboard (without really understanding) proved that -18 degree figure must be the case. And we have another 33 degrees to blame on mankind.
The only trouble is that a bit down the track it was decided to add on some evaporation and conduction and chemical processes and whatever other ways all that “heat” could get out of the surface. So all that just kinda went into the atmosphere, got double counted and then got radiated away to space by those helpful carbon dioxide molecules and their cronies, and, well … we still didn’t have enough of that lovely radiation.
So let’s invent a bit of (what’s a good name?) “backradiation” – no “Downwelling Long Wave Radiation” sounds more impressive than low frequency or low energy IR radiation. Yes DLW will be a good name for those proclaiming the science of doom.
But seriously, though, now that we have these things called IR cameras, some with that enchanting name of “microbolometers” we find that their sensors don’t actually get warmed by clouds that are at around -30 degree C or colder. What is the backradiation doing? If it can’t warmer a tiny sensor, how is it going to warm the oceans, or even melt a bit of frost all day long?
Seems like it’s not getting converted to thermal energy when it comes from a much colder source than the warm surface. And I guess if it’s not thermal energy, then it’s not going to affect the temperature of the surface, whether it’s warming or cooling.
And of course we can guess that the IPCC tried the obvious experiment to try to show backradiation warming the surface, but it failed so miserably it wasn’t even worth writing a confidential email about … hush, hush!
Prof Claes Johnson will help explain all this pretty basic physics known by many for a long time. You’ll find a summary here: http://climate-change-theory.com/RadiationAbsorption.html
Cool off and relax all!
They are surely experiencing a heck of a Summer:
http://www.forseti.is/Media/w650/ca6b8e1d6e92b4.jpg
Ecotretas
Will the Gore effect be enough to stop the glaciers calving? That would really put a spanner in their photo opportunities.
Luther;
Will orcas do? Go watch a few naturalist films showing them ripping into the penguins and seals down there.
Doug;
My lifespan encompasses both Joe and Pigpen. I wondered what would happen if they met — vertical mudslides?
Lew Skannen says:
February 3, 2012 at 12:45 am
“For example, on the other side of the Peninsula, king crabs have invaded an area previously considered far too cold for their survival.”
Funny to hear that coming from a bunch of puny hairless African savanna monkeys…
Maybe the crabs have invented clothes?
Keep an eye out for the Southern Ocean version of ‘Deadliest Catch’.
Al’s “millions of years” statement regarding king crabs’ first-ever migration of its kind is, per usual, absurd. Again: We’ve been warmer than now, many times, in the not so distant past (Holocene Optimum and Eemian interglacial — at a minimum). Why anyone would think that the current warmth, which isn’t all that warm, would cause animals to behave in ways they never have before is one mystery. Why anyone would state categorically that crabs have never been in one particular place before, when they have absolutely no way of knowing this, is another. If Al Gore hated science more than he patently does then I would be amazed.
I always suspected Dick was a bit on the dense side, im just glad he proved it for me.
As for heated hansen and manbearpig, well lets just hope the warming down there gets too much for them and they freeze solid unable to escape the clutches of -30c heat….
Al Dick and Jim dont add up to much more than a big bag of dumb.
In my upcoming movie: ‘FOIA-the dump that gagged the world’ i’ve got a name for Al Gore’s evil base in Nashville: Gorebunkport and i’m waiting for his Kennedy-esque ‘Grabaquickbuck’ moment to spice up the plot line !!!!!
…and wouldn’t it be nice if the Senate took Branson/Gore’s protestations to heart and grounded Virgin Airways!!
semi-related: About that team of missing Russian Scientists. They were drilling for an ancient lake. One wonders if they encountered a Shoggoth…
Wait. Were there any star-headed creatures hding among the penguins Branson got pics of?
Polistra says
[youtube http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D4qDaBe0tHA&w=420&h=315
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Are they on board?
Jon at WA says:
February 2, 2012 at 11:23 pm
“…….so to illustrate the warming they dropped a thermometer in the spot where Mawson had previously taken a reading.
Unfortunately the reading was colder and will therefore need to be corrected by trusted experts.”
I think you will find that once the reading from the thermometer has been properly modelled that ABC will be vindicated!
“The planet is changing before our eyes. We are heating it up.” says Al
Why do he keep destroying our climate?
Does Hansen do ANYTHING remotely relevant to his NASA job?
DirkH says:
February 3, 2012 at 12:37 am
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If they get asked that question what is the betting that they will reply along the lines ‘seeing temperatures far below average is from time to time to be expected and is proof of global warming’ or ‘seeing temperatures far below average is from time to time to be expected and is consistent with global warming’
They would not wish to say proof of (or consistent with) climate change since this may lead to a misunderstanding and be inerpreted as a change towards a cooler climate.
What is up with the warm air in the Arctic, 20F or higher by the chart? The warmest air show for the global measurement? Does seem rather odd considering radar shows it below zero for most of that area.
Is Dr. Hansen on leave? Or am I the poor taxpayer paying for this trip also?
Breaking news; Gore clones will end global warming..
Notice in all of Al’s bloggage, he never mentions what the current temperature is. He probably stopped bringing a thermometer with him on his travels.
RockyRoad says:
February 2, 2012 at 8:53 pm
The Russians won’t be happy Al Gore happened along and caused their scientists to have problems:
http://www.foxnews.com/scitech/2012/02/02/russian-scientists-lost-in-frozen-land-lost/?intcmp=features
I propose we ban Gore from traveling, seat him in some cryogenic facility, and pull the plug. With Gore stationed there, the facility won’t need electricity–ever
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RockyRoad:
We live in times where the outer rings of Orwell’s police state are blurring with our current situation. We live in a post-Christian, Post-Constitution period. Your inference of injury to Gore is enough to invite trouble. We know you’re only joking. Just a word to the wise– Humour is very important and we must make time to laugh at this AGW Scheme, but not in away that doesn’t give ‘Them’ any reason to arrive at your front door.
MODS
Note to Mod: Zap any personal inference to personal injury–my .02c IMHO is get rid of it.
Also Mods: I recommend each poster have the date he first started blogging here put next to his name. That way, some Johnny-Come-Lately shows up and starts ripping everything and everyone we’ll see them clearly. Just an idea. RockyRoad is a good boy and has been here for sometime…even if he does get blasted by Lief !
Ecotretas – thanks for your links. They sure ain’t in Kansas any more, let alone Cancun!
I notice that there are rarely more than 8-10 of them visible outside. Presumably the rest are huddling in their warm cabins.
Does anyone know what sort of temps they would be experiencing?
spangled drongo says:
February 2, 2012 at 10:03 pm
Luther Wu says: Al, how about a Scandinavian- style skinny dip while you’re down there (just to demonstrate how warm it is?) No Polar Bears to pose a threat, so what could possibly take a big bite?
Lots of splashing about for the cameras, please.
I hope those Japanese whalers don’t mistake him for Moby Dick.
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aw and I was hoping they DO!!!!
why take the fun outta life?
theres enough blubber to fuel a small lamp at least, and think of the benefit to cetacean researchers in Japan 🙂
hey!!!! they reckon the arctic thermometers cant measure the cold correctly as its too low?
well from the vostock gone missing item posted above is this snip..
When the winter arrives in the next few weeks, the temperature can get twice as freezing. Vostok Station boasts the lowest recorded temperature on Earth: -89.4 degrees Celsius (-129 degrees Fahrenheit).
and they have TONS of Kerosine down the hole???
wtf? way to go to contaminate it, they say…they will remove some so pressure pushes it up.
kero is OILY and it will be coating the ineide of that drill hole and anywhere it can seep into.
Stupid awards all round!
Read more: http://www.foxnews.com/scitech/2012/02/02/russian-scientists-lost-in-frozen-land-lost/?intcmp=features#ixzz1lKt4otvp
I think this explains why there has been no global warming for the past ten years – because of the Gore effect. As soon as he stops holding these events the temperature will start climbing again. I’ll bet some creative person could model this and prove it. I propose two terms: the frequency of holding these events and the bogusness factor. I suspect there is also a power (trip) relation in the equation.