Bitter cold records broken in Alaska – all time coldest record nearly broken, but Murphy's Law intervenes

Jim River, AK closed in on the all time record coldest temperature of -80°F set in 1971, which is not only the Alaska all-time record, but the record for the entire United States. Unfortunately, it seems the battery died in the weather station just at the critical moment.

Image from hamweather.com

While the continental USA has a mild winter and has set a number of high temperature records in the last week and pundits ponder whether they will be blaming the dreaded “global warming” for those temperatures, Alaska and Canada have been suffering through some of the coldest temperatures on record during the last week.

For example in  Circle Hot Springs, AK on Sunday, 29 Jan 2012 the HIGH temperature was a blistering -49°F, breaking the  -44°F record which has stood since 1917. It gets better.

That same day in Circle Hot Springs the low temperature was  -58°F   breaking the old record of  -52°F set  in 1941 by six degrees.

Here’s a list of temperature records in Alaska from the past week:

Brrr!

While all that was happening, the weather station in Jim River, AK closed in on the all time record coldest temperature of -80°F set in 1971. That’s not only the Alaska all-time record, but the record for the entire United States. Unfortunately, the weather station stopped reporting at -79°F.

Here’s the data feed at that moment:

2012-01-28 14:20:00,1028.30,-75.0,-87.6,39,,,1021.19,-55.3,-57.7,85,1.5,155

2012-01-28 14:35:00,1028.00,-77.0,-89.5,39,,,1021.19,-54.2,-65.3,48,1.5,155

2012-01-28 14:50:00,1027.90,-75.0,-87.6,39,,,1021.84,-54.2,-67.8,40,1.5,155

2012-01-28 16:05:00,1027.40,-77.0,-89.5,39,,,1022.74,-57.0,-68.2,47,1.7,160

2012-01-28 16:35:00,1027.10,-77.0,-89.5,39,,,1022.74,-54.6,-59.0,75,1.7,160

2012-01-28 16:51:00,1027.10,-77.0,-89.8,38,,,1022.74,-54.6,-59.0,75,1.7,160

2012-01-28 17:05:00,1027.20,-77.0,-89.5,39,,,1022.10,-56.0,-67.2,47,1.4,163

2012-01-28 17:20:00,1027.20,-77.0,-89.8,38,,,1022.10,-56.0,-67.2,47,1.4,163

2012-01-28 17:49:00,1027.20,-77.0,-89.8,38,,,1022.30,-54.7,-66.0,47,1.4,163

2012-01-28 18:04:00,1027.20,-77.0,-89.8,38,,,1019.33,-55.8,-67.2,47,1.7,174

2012-01-28 18:19:00,1027.10,-79.0,-91.6,38,,,1019.30,-55.8,-71.0,36,1.7,174

2012-01-28 18:34:00,1026.90,-79.0,-91.6,38,,,1019.28,-54.6,-67.9,41,1.7,174

2012-01-28 18:49:00,1026.90,,,,,,1019.30,,,,,

2012-01-28 19:04:00,1026.80,,,,,,1019.39,,,,,

2012-01-28 19:19:00,1026.80,,,,,,1019.39,,,,,

2012-01-28 19:34:00,1026.60,,,,,,1018.84,,,,,

2012-01-28 19:49:00,1026.30,,,,,,1018.84,,,,,

2012-01-28 20:04:00,1026.20,,,,,,1018.45,,,,,

2012-01-28 20:19:00,1026.20,,,,,,1018.46,,,,,

2012-01-28 20:34:00,1025.70,,,,,,1018.46,,,,,

2012-01-28 20:50:00,1025.70,,,,,,1018.46,,,,,

Note at 18:49 on 1/28/12 it stopped reporting all data except barometric pressure.

Some background on the equipment tells us the likely cause.

The station is the venerable Vantage Pro2 by Davis Instruments, arguably one of the best weather stations available to consumers. I have deployed several myself and put them online, for example here and here. They are hardy, accurate, and well constructed, being manufactured in the USA in Hayward, CA instead of some Chinese gadget mill. They also have NIST traceability on sensors.

The Integrated Sensor Suite (ISS) communicates wirelessly with the console below, and the console has an optional PC and/or standalone Internet interface (for DSL/Cable modems) attached.

This station at weather station in Jim River, AK was recording temperatures in conditions way out of its design spec, it only goes to –40 F

From:  http://davisnet.com/product_documents/weather/manuals/07395-249_IM_06152.pdf

Appendix B: Specifications

Complete specifications for the ISS and other products are available in the Weather

Support section of our website at www.davisnet.com.

Cabled ISS

Temperature range: . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . -40 to 150°

Fahrenheit (-40 to 65° Celsius)

Power input: . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

Console Cable from Vantage Pro2 console Optional

Vantage Pro2 AC power adapter

Wireless ISS

Temperature range: . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . -40 to 150°

Fahrenheit (-40 to 65° Celsius)

While they operate on solar power during the day, these units have an internal lithium battery for operation at night and through extended cloudy periods.

I suspect the internal CR123A Lithium 3 volt battery in the outside ISS died.  Note that on 2012-01-28 18:49:00 the data for barometric pressure is still reporting after temperature and other values die. At that temperature, the battery likely could not sustain enough voltage to keep the transmitter running.

The barometric pressure sensor is in the internal LCD console, inside the house/office where the unit is connected to the Internet. All other sensors are outside in the ISS.

The CR123A Lithium 3 volt battery specifications are:

3V 1400mAh Lithium BatteryWide operating temperature range: -40°C to 85°C

So it was operating way out of spec as well.

Some people have emailed me wondering about why the readings at  Jim River, AK stopped just shy of a new all time record. I don’t see any nefarious motive here, just simple equipment failure under extraordinary extreme conditions combined with Murphy’s Law.

Let’s hope the observer there has a backup thermometer, but who’d want to go outside in cold like that to read it?

h/t to Dr. Ryan Maue and Joe D’Aleo

BTW, if you want one of these splendid weather stations, you can get them here. Details here.

UPDATE: The NWS in Fairbanks moves quickly to disavow the temperature report. I suppose the Drudge link has the phones ringing off the hook. But here’s the interesting thing, the nearest other “official” station, PAPR at Prospect Creek Airport, AK only 0.9 miles away, is also offline.

Data Status

Over the last 28 days, no data was seen on the following dates: 2012-01-04 to 2012-01-16, 2012-01-18 to 2012-01-20, 2012-01-22 to 2012-01-29.

It would be interesting to see how they defend an official airport station failure.

NOAK49 PAFG 302352 PNSAFG AKZ219-222-311200-

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK

252 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2012

...CLARIFICATION OF TEMPERATURES FROM JIM RIVER DOT CAMP...

TEMPERATURES THIS PAST WEEKEND AT THE ALASKA DEPARTMENT OF

TRANSPORTATION JIM RIVER MAINTENANCE CAMP AT MILE 138 DALTON

HIGHWAY...STATION JMTA2...HAVE BEEN REPORTED AS LOW AS 79 BELOW.

THE TEMPERATURES ARE NOT CORRECT. THE WEATHER STATION IN USE AT

THE JIM RIVER DOT CAMP IS A PERSONAL WEATHER STATION THAT IS NOT

RATED FOR TEMPERATURE COLDER THAN 40 BELOW. THE UNREALISTICALLY

LOW TEMPERATURES ARE BELIEVED TO BE A FUNCTION OF THE BATTERY

FAILING AT VERY LOW TEMPERATURES.

THERE ARE NO OFFICIAL...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STANDARD...

TEMPERATURE MEASUREMENTS AT JIM RIVER DOT CAMP.$$

RT/JL JAN 12

UPDATE2 1/31/2012 9:30AM PST

According to Gladstone and NCDC MMS, PAPR (Prospect Creek, just 0.9 mile from Jim River DOT station, and holder of the low temperature record from 1971) is an AWOS station, part of the “B” COOP network.

https://mi3.ncdc.noaa.gov/mi3qry/identityGrid.cfm?setCookie=1&fid=22862

Details on AWOS:

http://www.allweatherinc.com/aviation/awos_dom.html

and as I understand it, it is not rated to –80F, the specs for the thermistor say:

Ambient Temperature Sensor.

The sensor shall be thermally isolated in a

motor aspirated radiation shield to accurately measure air temperature.

A. Range. From –40C to +60C (-40 oF t o +140 oF)

B. Accuracy. ±0.3C.

C. Resolution. 1 oF.

Source: http://www.allweatherinc.com/pdf/awos_level_iii.pdf

So, given the official equipment there at Prospect Creek, it seems NOAA has either purposely or unintentionally created an impossibility of the Prospect Creek record of ever having been broken there again.

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MikeH
January 31, 2012 1:13 am

Addendum to my previous post..
Now it would be nice if we could get the “climate change” and “global warming” ranked the same as AGW on Google…

January 31, 2012 1:14 am

John F. Hultquist says: January 30, 2012 at 8:09 pm
Makes me wonder, though, about the difficulty of marketing electric and hybrid-electric autos in certain areas. Do places that have generally low temperatures with occasional -40 days get exemptions for the CAFE standards?
——-
A quarter of the energy to run Fairbanks cars is already electrical.
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2011/10/02/electric-cars-in-alaska/

January 31, 2012 1:23 am

Why is there a snowfall record set 400 miles off the coast where there is no island?

January 31, 2012 1:26 am

> Alaska and Canada have been suffering through some of the coldest temperatures on record during the last week…
True, yet crap. Anthony, if you check a map you’ll notice that Canada is a pretty large country.
Here in Southern Ontario we have had the mildest winter in memory. We got 3 cm of snow today, more than we’ve had — in total — all winter. On the second-last day of January!
But wait! Weather isn’t climate!
Unless…it’s really cold. Then it’s climate! If it’s really mild then it’s just weather, which isn’t climate.
“Reality is that which, once you stop believing in it, doesn’t go away.” — P. Dick

Eric
January 31, 2012 1:29 am

So what you’re saying is that it was chilly.

Richard Keen
January 31, 2012 1:35 am

Old Nanook says:
Unless temperatures in places like Fairbanks, Fort Yukon or Tok are reaching the minus 60 category I would be suspicious of claims of temperatures of minus 70 or lower in the region. I would fully expect the Jim River report to NOT be accurate.
… well, the Fort Yukon co-op station checked in with a -66 yesterday, Jan. 30. So we may have some other coop station sending in a -70 at the end of the month (not all coop stations report daily). There’s still the outside chance of some lucky station getting to -80. But probably not Jim River, which was also “only” -66 yesterday (did someone go out there and change the battery?).

January 31, 2012 1:39 am

George E. Smith; says: January 30, 2012 at 8:07 pm
… You can only buy rechargeable Lithium BATTERIES of multiple cells, that are required to contain a fail safe current limiting fuse (definitely NOT a fuze) .

That may have been the problem with the Chevy Volt battery, George. The bureaucrats at Govt Motors just might have installed fuzes.

Steve Richards
January 31, 2012 1:48 am

Is it still possible to buy accurate equipment capable of streaming temperature measurements in Fahrenheit?
For calculation purposes you would have to convert these reading into Celsius prior to further use.

January 31, 2012 2:25 am

Jerker Andersson says:
January 30, 2012 at 10:21 pm
One thing strikes me, why install a thermometer that can not measure temperatures even close to what have been measured there?
—————
Perhaps because their motivation for monitoring conditions isn’t to accurately record the weather, but to determine if the conditions are appropriate to operate. The weather station only then has to be reliable over a range of conditions slightly wider than the operational limits of physical equipment/people.
So if it gets too cold/hot to measure, it’s outside of the range of temperatures that one would operate – for any number of reasons; but usually safety.

January 31, 2012 2:39 am

Extreme temperatures in any one location in any one year really do prove nothing either for or against the AGW hypothesis. I have posted elsewhere about the need to analyse at least 100 years of data before you start to be able to take out the effect of shorter ENSO and 60 year cycles and get down to the underlying ~1000 year cyclic trend.
I’m no warmist, but I am the first to confirm that the underlying long-term trend is still increasing due entirely to natural causes at a rate of about 0.05 degree C per decade, but such rate is decreasing and should be down to zero (ie a maximum temperature) within the next 150 to 250 years, after which about 500 years of cooling is expected. The trend is indeed expected to keep rising even beyond the year 2100 when it could well be 0.4 degrees above the current level. (See my other posts about the above 0.05C/decade calculation.)
Folks, the world is still warming. It only defeats our cause to try to prove it isn’t, because the 60 year cycle will turn back upwards after about 2028, so it’s best to be honest and tell them that’s what we expect. Let’s archive that prediction, as indeed I have a few months ago on my initial site http://earth-climate.com .
If you want to rubbish AGW you can do so using physics, on the basis that …
(1) Their assumptions relating to that -18C figure are not based on established physics, so all their sensitivity calculations are totally wrong, even if backradiation did warm anything. (See my posts on other threads for more detail, or my site http://climate-change-theory.com .)
(2) Backradiation actually does not exist to anywhere near the extent they suggest and they are not measuring it. (Their instruments measure frequency and convert it to temperature. Any further conversation to radiative flux is invalid.) They can show no warming from it (for example, show it warming a metal plate or melting frost) and that would be the only way to prove it had any effect such as what they say it has on the Earth’s surface. After all, they claim its intensity is about a quarter as much as the Sun at noon. It ought to melt frost in the course of 8 hours or so, but it doesn’t. The reason is, as Prof Claes Johnson proves, its frequency is below the cut-off frequency for which any warming could occur. And anything that does come down as LW radiation is probably just coming from a few “hot spots” in the atmosphere that were not necessarily warmed by carbon dioxide and its colleagues.
In summary, I would rather see this WUWT site place less emphasis on articles and news like this, and more emphasis on the physics of the situation. The warmists can’t argue that their physics is right about that -18C figure because they would just expose their ignorance if they still tried to support it. The Earth’s surface is far from insulated and so it is far from being a blackbody and really only radiates less than about 25 W/m^2. You cannot convert whatever it radiates to a “temperature” using the Stefan-Boltzmann Law, because so much other energy escapes by diffusion, conduction, convection, evaporation and chemical processes, leaving a lot less to radiate. What does still radiate carries no indication of ambient temperature and would in fact gives very cold values if stuck into that equation.

Bud
January 31, 2012 2:50 am

O/T, I know – sorry! Trying to subscribe to posts via RSS but Thunderbird informs me that this is not a valid feed: http://wattsupwiththat.com/feed/
Any hints or suggestions would be appreciated.
Regards,
Bud

cedarhill
January 31, 2012 3:01 am

Time to kickback and listen to what springtime will be like: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fVK-PlfvGR0
Fairbanks is chilly. Even the first of March you can wake up and find it’s -30F for you ride to the airport.

LazyTeenager
January 31, 2012 3:46 am

Richard Verney says
down the cooling, one would not expect to see any record lows.
———
No. The frequency of record highs will go up and the frequency of record lows will go down. It is still possible to have record lows.

EternalOptimist
January 31, 2012 3:49 am

If the battery failed, why did the unit continue to report pressure ?

BravoZulu
January 31, 2012 3:50 am

Jim River is very close where I was training in the army 32 years ago in February. It was about a hundred miles north of Fairbanks. We were there for a month in the 101st division. I wouldn’t want to be there today. We were lucky and had a record heat wave of up to 50 F above zero on several days. It hardly ever got below zero except for a few days. We were practicing protecting the pipeline from the Soviet Union. Our tent had a stove and ours looked like a jet engine with after burners with flames coming out the top. We weren’t cold.

John
January 31, 2012 3:51 am

Climate change means ‘extremes’ at both ends of the spectrum (extreme cold, extreme heat), because the hydrological cycle is disrupted (globally). Record lows then become expected, and the same for record highs. These readings are actually proof that climate change is in fact occurring, quite rapidly now. Those that doubt this are basically idiots, ill-informed and opinionated without evidence or proof to back up their claims. In addition to Alaska, extremes are occurring in many other places of the world, including torrential rains (India, Pakistan, Australia, Vietnam) all part of the hydrological cycle. Other extremes are also occurring too, killer tornadoes in Indonesia, and Mozambique with killer storms. Bulgaria just experienced deadly blizzards, China massive snowfalls. There are climate extremes now occurring non-stop around the world.

Mary Turner
January 31, 2012 4:07 am

Alan Statham says:
January 30, 2012 at 3:53 pm
It’s cold in Alaska in the winter, and therefore global warming isn’t happening. A most elegant proof. Well done.
REPLY: Only in your mind Alan (RW), and I don’t appreciate you putting words in my mouth not said. Take some time off in the troll bin. 48 hours should do it. – Anthony

They weren’t the only one to draw the inference, but they were the only one sent to the troll bin:
richard verney says:
January 30, 2012 at 3:15 pm
Record highs do not confirm global warming but are, of course, consistent with the theory.
On the other hand, record lows run prima facie against the theory; if all the manmade CO2 emitted this past century causes back radiation which in turn warms the atmosphere alternatively slows down the cooling, one would not expect to see any record lows. Of course, the odd one or two could be outliers but to still be setting record lows some 100 years after manmade emissions raises questions marks as to whether the AGW theory is correct, alternatively whether CO2 is as effective a temperature driver as AGW warmists would have one believe.
dscott says:
January 30, 2012 at 3:54 pm
Since AGW is supposed to show up as higher temps in the upper latitudes, numerous record lows below that of industrial time period are proof of the theory’s failure. AGW is supposed to affect the upper latitudes most of all.

A warming world does not preclude record low temperatures, it simply means that record lows will represent a smaller percentage of all temperature records. If you were true skeptics, rather than dogmatists and ideologues, you would know this and if Anthony was less of a hypocrite he would’ve offered you the same short shrift he offered Alan.

Brian M. Babey
January 31, 2012 4:15 am

This is why they should be using the wired version! Interesting that they don’t have a old style backup.

gene
January 31, 2012 4:43 am

Is Al going to give back the Oscar, the Nobel prize, and the Billions he has made?

FLOYD IN FLORIDA
January 31, 2012 4:58 am

So much for man made global warming? Even if there were global warming would you tree huggers explain to me how raising my power bill, raising my taxes and electing left wing Loon Democrats is going to lower the earth’s temperature? So Minus -80 degrees in Alaska is still
to Warm for ya?
Perhaps if Congress & Obama were not burning through $3 Trillion bucks in 3 years it might lower the Earths temperature, it would at least lower the tax payers & voters temperature!
VOTE THE BUM’S OUT NOV 2012!

SirGareth
January 31, 2012 5:00 am

Wow, the polar bears must be breeding like flies. Get set for the big reversal. No warming over the past 15 years…..ready for it….ready for it……Man Made Global Cooling!
We were all wrong before…we finally have it right…….global cooling taxes will fix the problem….the results of our taxes will warm the planet 100 years from now….you’ll see.

Tim Clark
January 31, 2012 5:04 am

[ John says:
January 31, 2012 at 3:51 am
Climate change means ‘extremes’ at both ends of the spectrum (extreme cold, extreme heat), because the hydrological cycle is disrupted (globally). Record lows then become expected, and the same for record highs. These readings are actually proof that climate change is in fact occurring, quite rapidly now. ]
Why don’t you help us all out here and put a date on an earthly period when “climate change” didn’t occur. Then suggest a period in the past when record lows or record highs didn’t occur. Then determine a period on earth since life began when those record lows or highs caused mass extinction. Then determine if the highs ever did, or if the ice ages were the only time.

Jon
January 31, 2012 5:06 am

John says:
January 31, 2012 at 3:51 am
Climate change means ‘extremes’ at both ends of the spectrum (extreme cold, extreme heat).
That does not support the idea of a “greenhouse effect” …. my greenhouse doesn’t get colder if I add another layer of plastic … even in winter!

ozspeaksup
January 31, 2012 5:07 am

L. says:
January 30, 2012 at 4:08 pm
“It’s cold in Alaska in the winter, and therefore global warming isn’t happening. A most elegant proof. Well done.”
But when it’s hot in Australia in summer, AGW people say it is proof… Talk about wanting your cake and eating it as well…
==================
cake in 42c?
its too hot to eat on days like that
it melted
and the bread went mouldy in 2 days:-(
left the butter out and it slid off the table…
but its cooler now:-)
actually its gone from damn hot to nippy again.

FedUp in Washington
January 31, 2012 5:14 am

Well, here in Washington D.C. it’s supposed to be in the balmy mid-sixties today. I’m waiting to see the Washington Post tell us that’s more proof of global warming! But then you have the extreme cold weather in Alaska (in the winter, go figure) and I’m supposed to believe it’s global cooling!? I’m so confused!! Oh! I forgot…”Climate Change” is the new mantra. I understand now. Then I guess it’s ok to raise my taxes and the govenment will somehow moderate the earths temperature. This is what Obama’s selling…any takers?

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