Bitter cold records broken in Alaska – all time coldest record nearly broken, but Murphy's Law intervenes

Jim River, AK closed in on the all time record coldest temperature of -80°F set in 1971, which is not only the Alaska all-time record, but the record for the entire United States. Unfortunately, it seems the battery died in the weather station just at the critical moment.

Image from hamweather.com

While the continental USA has a mild winter and has set a number of high temperature records in the last week and pundits ponder whether they will be blaming the dreaded “global warming” for those temperatures, Alaska and Canada have been suffering through some of the coldest temperatures on record during the last week.

For example in  Circle Hot Springs, AK on Sunday, 29 Jan 2012 the HIGH temperature was a blistering -49°F, breaking the  -44°F record which has stood since 1917. It gets better.

That same day in Circle Hot Springs the low temperature was  -58°F   breaking the old record of  -52°F set  in 1941 by six degrees.

Here’s a list of temperature records in Alaska from the past week:

Brrr!

While all that was happening, the weather station in Jim River, AK closed in on the all time record coldest temperature of -80°F set in 1971. That’s not only the Alaska all-time record, but the record for the entire United States. Unfortunately, the weather station stopped reporting at -79°F.

Here’s the data feed at that moment:

2012-01-28 14:20:00,1028.30,-75.0,-87.6,39,,,1021.19,-55.3,-57.7,85,1.5,155

2012-01-28 14:35:00,1028.00,-77.0,-89.5,39,,,1021.19,-54.2,-65.3,48,1.5,155

2012-01-28 14:50:00,1027.90,-75.0,-87.6,39,,,1021.84,-54.2,-67.8,40,1.5,155

2012-01-28 16:05:00,1027.40,-77.0,-89.5,39,,,1022.74,-57.0,-68.2,47,1.7,160

2012-01-28 16:35:00,1027.10,-77.0,-89.5,39,,,1022.74,-54.6,-59.0,75,1.7,160

2012-01-28 16:51:00,1027.10,-77.0,-89.8,38,,,1022.74,-54.6,-59.0,75,1.7,160

2012-01-28 17:05:00,1027.20,-77.0,-89.5,39,,,1022.10,-56.0,-67.2,47,1.4,163

2012-01-28 17:20:00,1027.20,-77.0,-89.8,38,,,1022.10,-56.0,-67.2,47,1.4,163

2012-01-28 17:49:00,1027.20,-77.0,-89.8,38,,,1022.30,-54.7,-66.0,47,1.4,163

2012-01-28 18:04:00,1027.20,-77.0,-89.8,38,,,1019.33,-55.8,-67.2,47,1.7,174

2012-01-28 18:19:00,1027.10,-79.0,-91.6,38,,,1019.30,-55.8,-71.0,36,1.7,174

2012-01-28 18:34:00,1026.90,-79.0,-91.6,38,,,1019.28,-54.6,-67.9,41,1.7,174

2012-01-28 18:49:00,1026.90,,,,,,1019.30,,,,,

2012-01-28 19:04:00,1026.80,,,,,,1019.39,,,,,

2012-01-28 19:19:00,1026.80,,,,,,1019.39,,,,,

2012-01-28 19:34:00,1026.60,,,,,,1018.84,,,,,

2012-01-28 19:49:00,1026.30,,,,,,1018.84,,,,,

2012-01-28 20:04:00,1026.20,,,,,,1018.45,,,,,

2012-01-28 20:19:00,1026.20,,,,,,1018.46,,,,,

2012-01-28 20:34:00,1025.70,,,,,,1018.46,,,,,

2012-01-28 20:50:00,1025.70,,,,,,1018.46,,,,,

Note at 18:49 on 1/28/12 it stopped reporting all data except barometric pressure.

Some background on the equipment tells us the likely cause.

The station is the venerable Vantage Pro2 by Davis Instruments, arguably one of the best weather stations available to consumers. I have deployed several myself and put them online, for example here and here. They are hardy, accurate, and well constructed, being manufactured in the USA in Hayward, CA instead of some Chinese gadget mill. They also have NIST traceability on sensors.

The Integrated Sensor Suite (ISS) communicates wirelessly with the console below, and the console has an optional PC and/or standalone Internet interface (for DSL/Cable modems) attached.

This station at weather station in Jim River, AK was recording temperatures in conditions way out of its design spec, it only goes to –40 F

From:  http://davisnet.com/product_documents/weather/manuals/07395-249_IM_06152.pdf

Appendix B: Specifications

Complete specifications for the ISS and other products are available in the Weather

Support section of our website at www.davisnet.com.

Cabled ISS

Temperature range: . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . -40 to 150°

Fahrenheit (-40 to 65° Celsius)

Power input: . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

Console Cable from Vantage Pro2 console Optional

Vantage Pro2 AC power adapter

Wireless ISS

Temperature range: . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . -40 to 150°

Fahrenheit (-40 to 65° Celsius)

While they operate on solar power during the day, these units have an internal lithium battery for operation at night and through extended cloudy periods.

I suspect the internal CR123A Lithium 3 volt battery in the outside ISS died.  Note that on 2012-01-28 18:49:00 the data for barometric pressure is still reporting after temperature and other values die. At that temperature, the battery likely could not sustain enough voltage to keep the transmitter running.

The barometric pressure sensor is in the internal LCD console, inside the house/office where the unit is connected to the Internet. All other sensors are outside in the ISS.

The CR123A Lithium 3 volt battery specifications are:

3V 1400mAh Lithium BatteryWide operating temperature range: -40°C to 85°C

So it was operating way out of spec as well.

Some people have emailed me wondering about why the readings at  Jim River, AK stopped just shy of a new all time record. I don’t see any nefarious motive here, just simple equipment failure under extraordinary extreme conditions combined with Murphy’s Law.

Let’s hope the observer there has a backup thermometer, but who’d want to go outside in cold like that to read it?

h/t to Dr. Ryan Maue and Joe D’Aleo

BTW, if you want one of these splendid weather stations, you can get them here. Details here.

UPDATE: The NWS in Fairbanks moves quickly to disavow the temperature report. I suppose the Drudge link has the phones ringing off the hook. But here’s the interesting thing, the nearest other “official” station, PAPR at Prospect Creek Airport, AK only 0.9 miles away, is also offline.

Data Status

Over the last 28 days, no data was seen on the following dates: 2012-01-04 to 2012-01-16, 2012-01-18 to 2012-01-20, 2012-01-22 to 2012-01-29.

It would be interesting to see how they defend an official airport station failure.

NOAK49 PAFG 302352 PNSAFG AKZ219-222-311200-

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK

252 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2012

...CLARIFICATION OF TEMPERATURES FROM JIM RIVER DOT CAMP...

TEMPERATURES THIS PAST WEEKEND AT THE ALASKA DEPARTMENT OF

TRANSPORTATION JIM RIVER MAINTENANCE CAMP AT MILE 138 DALTON

HIGHWAY...STATION JMTA2...HAVE BEEN REPORTED AS LOW AS 79 BELOW.

THE TEMPERATURES ARE NOT CORRECT. THE WEATHER STATION IN USE AT

THE JIM RIVER DOT CAMP IS A PERSONAL WEATHER STATION THAT IS NOT

RATED FOR TEMPERATURE COLDER THAN 40 BELOW. THE UNREALISTICALLY

LOW TEMPERATURES ARE BELIEVED TO BE A FUNCTION OF THE BATTERY

FAILING AT VERY LOW TEMPERATURES.

THERE ARE NO OFFICIAL...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STANDARD...

TEMPERATURE MEASUREMENTS AT JIM RIVER DOT CAMP.$$

RT/JL JAN 12

UPDATE2 1/31/2012 9:30AM PST

According to Gladstone and NCDC MMS, PAPR (Prospect Creek, just 0.9 mile from Jim River DOT station, and holder of the low temperature record from 1971) is an AWOS station, part of the “B” COOP network.

https://mi3.ncdc.noaa.gov/mi3qry/identityGrid.cfm?setCookie=1&fid=22862

Details on AWOS:

http://www.allweatherinc.com/aviation/awos_dom.html

and as I understand it, it is not rated to –80F, the specs for the thermistor say:

Ambient Temperature Sensor.

The sensor shall be thermally isolated in a

motor aspirated radiation shield to accurately measure air temperature.

A. Range. From –40C to +60C (-40 oF t o +140 oF)

B. Accuracy. ±0.3C.

C. Resolution. 1 oF.

Source: http://www.allweatherinc.com/pdf/awos_level_iii.pdf

So, given the official equipment there at Prospect Creek, it seems NOAA has either purposely or unintentionally created an impossibility of the Prospect Creek record of ever having been broken there again.

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Camburn
January 30, 2012 3:10 pm

Not me. -79F is good enough for me.

richard verney
January 30, 2012 3:15 pm

Record highs do not confirm global warming but are, of course, consistent with the theory.
On the other hand, record lows run prima facie against the theory; if all the manmade CO2 emitted this past century causes back radiation which in turn warms the atmosphere alternatively slows down the cooling, one would not expect to see any record lows. Of course, the odd one or two could be outliers but to still be setting record lows some 100 years after manmade emissions raises questions marks as to whether the AGW theory is correct, alternatively whether CO2 is as effective a temperature driver as AGW warmists would have one believe.

Brent Hargreaves
January 30, 2012 3:17 pm

Do we have a correspondant at Jim River who can take the temperature by some other means, or maintain the power supply to this faltering station? There’s history to be made here…

Nathan
January 30, 2012 3:19 pm

I am about to purchase and set up one of these for my parents. They have a new place on exposed countryside near the coast in south west England. Interesting and timely to see an article about one here.

Steven Rosenberg
January 30, 2012 3:21 pm

Assuming the wind pattern causing the far north cold breaks, is there any way if that bodes a serious winter arriving in the continental US, or is it too late (February), or is there no way to predict?

David L
January 30, 2012 3:26 pm

Lucky for the warming crowd that both the record lows AND the near record highs are consistent with AGW theory.

Babsy
January 30, 2012 3:28 pm

What they need to add to the ISS is a user adjustable CO2 release. That way when it gets REALLY cold, they can blow off some CO2 and warm things up a bit!

Robert M
January 30, 2012 3:31 pm

The cold here has been unbelievable!!! I took the family skiing at Alyeska this weekend. And on the way there my truck was reporting temps as low as -27f. Fortunately when we got there it had warmed up to a balmy -6f.
Now a warmer system is moving in. Temps are above zero at my house for the first time this year! On the down side. It is snowing AGAIN… sigh

Green Sand
January 30, 2012 3:32 pm

Dennis Ray Wingo says:
January 30, 2012 at 3:24 pm
Barrow is headed down as well.

Not only are the temps headed down but sea ice thickness at 1.15m is at least a month ahead of the last 2 years. Will be interesting to watch through to break-up.
http://seaice.alaska.edu/gi/observatories/barrow_sealevel

SteveSadlov
January 30, 2012 3:39 pm

Lots of inside slider systems in CA this year (which has meant, a cold drought).
If / when that pool of cold air floods out of AK and hitches a ride on one of the sliders, CA could be in a world of hurt. Could be on par with early ’91, early ’07 or even early ’76.

Tom in Florida
January 30, 2012 3:46 pm

Have no fear, R Gates will appear
We await his call, to explain it all

Alan Statham
January 30, 2012 3:53 pm

It’s cold in Alaska in the winter, and therefore global warming isn’t happening. A most elegant proof. Well done.
REPLY: Only in your mind Alan (RW), and I don’t appreciate you putting words in my mouth not said. Take some time off in the troll bin. 48 hours should do it. – Anthony

dscott
January 30, 2012 3:54 pm

Since AGW is supposed to show up as higher temps in the upper latitudes, numerous record lows below that of industrial time period are proof of the theory’s failure. AGW is supposed to affect the upper latitudes most of all.

PaulH
January 30, 2012 3:55 pm

It looks like the data feed recovered at around 03:44:00 when it warmed up to -52.0F before dropping again to -66.0F at 15:44:00. The latest reading at the time of this post, 23:29:00, shows -46.0F so that -80F record seems to be slipping away.

Keith
January 30, 2012 3:55 pm

Think I’d be staying indoors if I were in Barrow right now:
http://www.gi.alaska.edu/~mahoney/ABCam.jpg

Andrew30
January 30, 2012 3:58 pm

So what would a block of dry ice do at that temperature (-80 C)?
Would it get bigger, smaller or just stay the same?
Are they eligible for carbon capture credits?

The opposite process is called deposition, where CO2 changes from the gas to solid phase (dry ice). At atmospheric pressure, sublimation/deposition occurs at −78.5 °C (−109.3 °F).
— From Wikipedia

Andrew30
January 30, 2012 4:01 pm

Ooops,
On my last post I have misread the scale on the data (C for F).
Maybe I have a future in climate science after all 🙂

TimF
January 30, 2012 4:05 pm

dscott (or anyone),
I was thinking that global warming theory called for greater effects at higher latitudes. Does anyone have a link to a good reference for this?
Thanks

Green Sand
January 30, 2012 4:06 pm

Alan Statham says:
January 30, 2012 at 3:53 pm
It’s cold in Alaska in the winter, and therefore global warming isn’t happening. A most elegant proof. Well done.

Well thank you sir! Personally I would have thought it one hell of a stretch, but having seen some of the projections you align with I can fully understand your acceptance of this one.

January 30, 2012 4:07 pm

US, in the GREAT WHITE NORTH, would appreciate it ,IF some of you DOUBTERS, would at least be quiet, if you can’t support the Warmistas!
I,for one, pray they are right! Science may not be on their side right now,but I am PRAYING it will be, and soon. ANY of YOU, have any bloody idea how COLD we are,and it seems to be getting colder every winter! -40,50,60 is only a NUMBER, until you have to live in it!
Bless the Warmistas’,and whatever they can do to actually make it warmer!

L.
January 30, 2012 4:08 pm

“It’s cold in Alaska in the winter, and therefore global warming isn’t happening. A most elegant proof. Well done.”
But when it’s hot in Australia in summer, AGW people say it is proof… Talk about wanting your cake and eating it as well…

Rex
January 30, 2012 4:15 pm

Why is it claimed that high temepratures are CAUSED by global (sic)
warming (sic), when in fact they CONTRIBUTE TO global warming ?

Ray
January 30, 2012 4:15 pm

I bet that area will still be RED in the next Global Warming fabrication of Hansen.

January 30, 2012 4:18 pm

RobertM > “The cold here has been unbelievable!!! I took the family skiing at Alyeska this weekend. And on the way there my truck was reporting temps as low as -27f. Fortunately when we got there it had warmed up to a balmy -6f.”
Rang the memory bell here! Spent a couple of Winters in Fairbanks area and appreciate the sentiment in that “a balmy -6f.” After a week or more of -45F to -50F anything warmer than -20F felt like a heat wave, almost balmy enough to take a walk in shirt sleeves!

MaxL
January 30, 2012 4:20 pm

A point of clarification. The article states “Alaska and Canada have been suffering through some of the coldest temperatures on record during the last week” . Well, Canada is a huge country with vastly varying weather regimes. I see this generalization far too often from folks who must be unfamiliar with the vastness of the country. It is true that last week western Canada had some pretty cold temperatures, but few if any records were broken. Now the west (south of 60N) is very mild again, as it has been most of the winter. In fact, for most of Alberta, this is one of the mildest and driest winters I can remember. Broad brushing over all of a huge country is something best left to the AGW crowd.

cotwome
January 30, 2012 4:23 pm

How well does barometric pressure correlate with temperature? In the data feed shown above the pressure seems to be falling with the temperature. Just curious.

AlaskaHound
January 30, 2012 4:23 pm

The Copper River School District cancels school at -50F, as the busses are prone to problems at those temperatures. My son was quite happy to have school cancelled last week, but still asks what’s the difference between -49 and -50?
The permafrost studies done here in the Copper River Basin bagan in the early 70’s, continuing through present and what we’ve seen as a peak in temperatures, ocurred in 2004/2005.
Since then, the temperatures at depth continue the decline. We’ll be back to the 70’s (climate wise) in no time at all.
Cheers!

Andrew30
January 30, 2012 4:29 pm

MaxL says: January 30, 2012 at 4:20 pm
Your from Canada? You must know Bob Franklin, he lives there too, near the beer store 🙂
All the time, many people just do not grasp the size of this country.

Keith
January 30, 2012 4:33 pm

Regardless of “weather is not climate” and all that jazz, one thing that can be said with near-certainty is that the UAH January average will be below the climatological norm. Last year’s was -0.01C, and it doesn’t take much eyeballing of this:
http://discover.itsc.uah.edu/amsutemps/execute.csh?amsutemps
to see that January 2012 is not warmer than 2011.

MaxL
January 30, 2012 4:33 pm

Andrew30 says:
January 30, 2012 at 4:29 pm
MaxL says: January 30, 2012 at 4:20 pm
Your from Canada? You must know Bob Franklin, he lives there too, near the beer store 🙂
All the time, many people just do not grasp the size of this country.

Yes, I know him well. We go hunting polar bears and moose together regularly. 🙂

Retired Engineer
January 30, 2012 4:34 pm

Friends near Fairbanks tell me they’ve hit -60 or below several times in the past few weeks.
In southern CO, we may hit +60. I don’t tell them that, don’t need ex-friends.

Keith
January 30, 2012 4:35 pm

Oops, sorry, that link in my last post should be http://discover.itsc.uah.edu/amsutemps/execute.csh?amsutemps+002

January 30, 2012 4:37 pm

Hey Max. I too, am from Alberta. You have any comments about LAST winter? The bloody coldest, with the greatest amount of snow,in MY memory. By the way, I was born in Alberta in 1945,and have lived 98% of my life here, Hows’ about you?
Coupla weeks back was SWEET[ -32] ,compared to last year. Guess THAT must mean the Warmistas are now correct?

Marc Web
January 30, 2012 4:39 pm

We should have kept the canal and given them Alaska!

polistra
January 30, 2012 4:45 pm

Seems like an instrument that stops at -40f/c shouldn’t have been installed in a more or less professional weather station in Alaska. After all, -30f is not uncommon in the lower 48; even Oklahoma reaches -25f at times.

commieBob
January 30, 2012 4:46 pm

Our local weather guy says we are basking in balmy Southern Ontario because the jet stream is at its northern limit and is keeping the arctic air from coming south. Is that why it is so cold up north?

January 30, 2012 4:46 pm

WOW! Drudge link! You have made it Anthony!!!
[Reply: Site traffic just jumped 40%. ~dbs, mod.]

cotwome
January 30, 2012 4:48 pm

your about to get Drudged!

January 30, 2012 4:52 pm

Area of Canada – 9,984,670 km^2
Area of US – 9,826,675 km^2

TomRude
January 30, 2012 4:52 pm

CommieBob, check this for the jet stream position…
http://squall.sfsu.edu/gif/jetstream_norhem_00.gif

gator69
January 30, 2012 4:54 pm

Why are we now making part of the station out of black plastic? Whitewash was the standard, then white latex, and now black plastic in the sunlight is an improvement? Why not white? This makes no sense.
REPLY: Note the white louvers below, where the temperature/humidity sensor is. The black part is the rain gauge, which has no color issues. That particular plastic is UV resistant. – Anthony

Don Schreiber
January 30, 2012 4:54 pm

I think they should send Al Gore there dressed in a T shirt and shorts, along with the rest of the global warming nuts.

Ray B
January 30, 2012 4:55 pm

. Either the Arctic is a symbol of CAGW or it isn’t. When it was melting in late summer for the foolish expeditions like Caitlin it was. Now that we have record cold and rapidly expanding sea ice and it isn’t? It (the moving goal post of CAGW symbolism) is definitely worse than we thought..
It must be that all of those poley bears that Coke put on their cans for the WWF saved the day.

Dusty
January 30, 2012 4:57 pm

-62 At Eielson January 1982 48 hours after pulling through the front gate. Had to wait three weeks for it to warm UP to -40 before they would deliver my furniture. Then another 19 years at the end of Plack road outside North Pole. Charter member of Alaskans for Global Warming.

January 30, 2012 4:58 pm

So there appears to be a market opening for weather stations capable of recording and reporting down to -80°C — all winter long when the sun doesn’t shine at all for several months.
Which won’t be easy at all because one must heat most electronics to a higher temperature to keep them working; which can compromise the sensor readings and significantly so at the very low temperatures unless extensive measures are taken to prevent the necessary heat island from influencing the sensors. Doing it well requires clever design, careful implementation and rigorous testing to determine the magnitude of actual effect on the sensors.
Observing a system changes the system. It’s crucial to understand that and to have some idea about the magnitude of the perturbation that measurement introduces.

aeroguy48
January 30, 2012 4:58 pm

WWUT again linked by Drudge:)

TimO
January 30, 2012 5:06 pm

-80??? Been through -60 during the Blizzard of ’78 in Ohio and that was bloody cold.
When you get down to -80, you’re not that far (about 20-30 degrees) from the carbon dioxide dropping out of the air as dry ice and wouldn’t THAT be fun…. (hey NASA, lets send some guys up to Alaska to train for Mars…)

LEL
January 30, 2012 5:06 pm

I don’t like cold weather, that’s why I live in Minnesota.

Patrick Dermody
January 30, 2012 5:07 pm

Here in McMurdo station Antarctica it is summer (-2f), however our stations (Campbell and Costal) over the winter often withstand temps and windchill colder that -80f. During the winter the system switches to transmitting only twice a day vice every 15 min. The battery is probably the problem.

Frank K.
January 30, 2012 5:07 pm

Alan Statham says:
January 30, 2012 at 3:53 pm
“It’s cold in Alaska in the winter, and therefore global warming isn’t happening. A most elegant proof. Well done.”
Anthony – when you get inane comments like this, it’s a sign you are being effective. And the CAGW cabal doesn’t like that. Well done and bravo!
By the way, Alan, if the warming is truly “global” and the earth has been “warming” for over a century, how can there possibly be any more cold temperature records??? (heh)

Sal Minella
January 30, 2012 5:07 pm

I’ve experienced -50F in Saranac Lake, NY as a child in the 50s and nearly -70F on the flight line loading nukes on B-52s in the Michigan UP. Luckily I was wearing full arctic gear and had a heater hose stuffed under the back of my snorkel parka in the second case. Very traumatic to exposed flesh in both cases – you literally flash-freeze. I have also experienced 130+F on many occasions in Thailand.
Little chance of dying from the weather in Thailand and guaranteed death in both Saranac Lake and the UP without protective clothing. Give me warming any day – please!

LEL
January 30, 2012 5:09 pm

Fortunately for them, the caribou have the oil pipeline for a little extra warmth.

Ela
January 30, 2012 5:09 pm

I live in a small cabin outside North Pole, Alaska and the coldest it got there over this weekend was a nice, balmy -52. Of course, Alaska is huge and I’m not in those other places, but it was apparently a heat wave, by comparison.
But regardless, this is life in Alaska…and it’s weather like this that really tends to separate the true Alaskans (those who actually love and appreciate Alaska — for being Alaska) and those who are merely Lower-48’ers (a description which is often an insult, up here), who are here by circumstance in what they consider just another American place (even though it’s really not), and who complain and shiver as soon as it hits 20 above. Here’s some advice, from us Alaskans: GO…BACK…HOME — and take your Lower 48 ways, customs, culture, music and box stores back with you.
That’s one thing I love about weather like this…it helps such a process, and thins the herd!

January 30, 2012 5:09 pm

My heart and old Bunny Boots go to those of you in The Great Country of Canada and Alaska.
I remember once when I flew from Prudhoe where it was a warm -25 back home to Fairbanks where the temp was -60,no wind. One of the few times that I wished that I had stayed in Deadhorse.
Another cold experience was in Fort McMurray, it was a balmy -55.
brrrr

BrianP
January 30, 2012 5:10 pm

Those things dont work too well when you mount them in a Radar beam. I know we tried it at work

Ela
January 30, 2012 5:12 pm

I live in a small cabin outside North Pole, Alaska and the coldest it got there over this weekend was a nice, balmy -52. Of course, Alaska is huge and I’m not in those other places, but it was apparently a heat wave, by comparison.

John Sheridan
January 30, 2012 5:16 pm

Even the scoundrels at East Anglia in UK NOW admit that temperatures have been dropping for the last 15 years and fear a mini ice age. Time to eliminate this ‘carbon’ crap destroying industry, economies and generating fraudulent taxes.

January 30, 2012 5:16 pm

Hey MaxL. One word: CHINOOKS. Honesty is the BEST policy!

January 30, 2012 5:16 pm

BTW: Looking at the data history, temperature drops as pressure falls. Which is not surprising. So keep your fingers crossed and hope that the pressure sensor is still producing real results and; on a hunch; you can tell when to run out and measure the minimum temperature just as pressure begins to rise.
During the cold war, the USSR and the USA seemed to have a race for the coldest temperature ever measure on Earth. ISTR lots of reports of around -70°C from the USSR; perhaps because the meteorologists didn’t actually go out into the cold and lose a finger trying to read the thermometers.

January 30, 2012 5:18 pm

[Reply: Site traffic just jumped 40%. ~dbs, mod.]

Wait till the West coast gets home. 😉
[Now it’s up over 100%. ~dbs]

January 30, 2012 5:18 pm

Alan Statham says:
January 30, 2012 at 3:53 pm
‘…It’s cold in Alaska in the winter, and therefore global warming isn’t happening. A most elegant proof. Well done…’
And, in the same vein, if Al Gore finds melting ice in Antarctica in the summer, it’s proof CAGW is worse than we thought. Where’s the well done for that “proof”?

January 30, 2012 5:19 pm

Silly Humansl Little do they know the tempature in Alaska(Shuliunka) was -80 in 1732, -90 in 1422,-85 in 1201 and -102 in the year 1504 bc.

Mac the Knife
January 30, 2012 5:21 pm
George
January 30, 2012 5:24 pm

I am sure they turned it off. Can’t tax people for an ice age not caused by humans.
Wouldn’t want an all time record low to get out in the media….

Keith
January 30, 2012 5:27 pm

More on the UAH data: Based on the 600hPa level, and running the uptick in recent data on for another three days, we’re looking at a Jan 2012 anomaly of -0.095C or thereabouts.
Looks like a certain Mr Bastardi will be getting closer to winning his bet with any who chose to challenge his prediction of -0.15C anomaly by March

Jerry
January 30, 2012 5:28 pm

I thought Alaskans were going to be growing citrus trees by now. We need more warming in northern climes so we can grow FOOD to eat. History has shown that humanity thrives when the climate is warmer, but the “powers that be” do not want humanity to thrive too much. After all, wasn’t it just a few years back they were harping on over population. Now, many scientists (actual scientists and not UN sycophants) are predicting global cooling. Somehow that will be blamed on some greenhouse gas “keeping” the suns rays from penetrating for which we must all be taxed and forced back to the stone age. Either way, we lose and the Al Gore’s of the world will hit the jackpott.

Reply to  Jerry
January 30, 2012 5:45 pm

Sometimes, I ponder the question, as to why GREEN-land was named such, centuries ago

Hercules
January 30, 2012 5:29 pm

Doesn’t anyone up there have a rectal themomoter? They don’t need batteries.

Albert Gore, Junior
January 30, 2012 5:30 pm

I feel another Nobel award coming on.
I declare Global Cooling to be a fact.

January 30, 2012 5:31 pm

Hercules,
Q: What’s the difference between an oral & a rectal thermometer?
A: The taste…

Joe
January 30, 2012 5:32 pm

Whats the current coldest temp recoded there ?

Mark Albright
January 30, 2012 5:34 pm

This just came into my inbox from Rick Thoman with NOAA:
THERE IS NO RECORD LOW AT JIM RIVER
These temperatures are from a Davis Weather Station and the voltage from the lithium battery drops dramatically with temps below -50 and the result is bogus low temperatures. Davis makes no claims on temperatures below -40 and recent firmware changes keep the units from reporting colder than about -40F. The unit at Jim River has not had that firmware change installed.
This is exactly the same problem as in Tok in January 2009.
To repeat, the reported temperatures from Jim River are WRONG.
Rick
REPLY: I made no record low claim, only that it was close. As I point out in the article, the Lithium battery is the weak link, and likely died at -79F, but I’ve also been in touch with Davis Instruments management today, and they made no mention of accuracy issues below -40F, but did agree with my assessment about the battery failure. I’ll look into this more tomorrow. – Anthony

John A. Fleming
January 30, 2012 5:37 pm

If you go look at the sea-ice page on the side-bar, you will see a plausible explanation for both the recent dip in the sea-ice extent, and the very cold Alaskan temperatures.
The sea ice is being rapidly drifted from Novaya Zemlya straight across the Pole to Alaska and Western Canada. Strong polar winds are blowing from Russia across the pole straight into Alaska. Brrr.

steve
January 30, 2012 5:38 pm

But what about the Polar Bears, could they freeze to death, and the other critters that find a way to live in this enviorment.

DD
January 30, 2012 5:38 pm

The Ice caps are going to melt and the it means flooding on our coasts.

January 30, 2012 5:42 pm

Fake global warming, yet another violation of our rights. The gov’t constantly violates our rights.
They violate the 1st Amendment by caging protesters and banning books like “America Deceived II”.
They violate the 4th and 5th Amendment by allowing TSA to grope you.
They violate the entire Constitution by starting undeclared wars.
Impeach Obama, support Ron Paul.
Last link of “America Deceived II” before it is completely banned:
http://www.amazon.com/America-Deceived-II-Possession-interrogation/dp/1450257437

January 30, 2012 5:42 pm

LEL says:
“Fortunately for them, the caribou have the oil pipeline for a little extra warmth.”
Remember all the hue and cry over how the proposed ANWR pipeline was going to impact all the caribou? It turns out that the proposed ANWR oil field is only 3.13 square miles. And the caribou are doing just fine.

R. de Haan
January 30, 2012 5:43 pm

I love this blog.

JRG
January 30, 2012 5:45 pm

Bernd Felsche: That was a fascinating engineering solution you proposed. Might I suggest an alternative? Select a different battery chemistry, one that continues to function at adequate voltages to -80F or -100F. If that requires a larger battery because the power density is lower than lithium-ion, so be it. The mounting posts for weather stations are usually steel. They can handle the additional load. I suggest lithium/sulfur-dioxide.

Keith
January 30, 2012 5:46 pm

Jerry says:
January 30, 2012 at 5:28 pm
Now, many scientists (actual scientists and not UN sycophants) are predicting global cooling. Somehow that will be blamed on some greenhouse gas “keeping” the suns rays from penetrating for which we must all be taxed and forced back to the stone age. Either way, we lose and the Al Gore’s of the world will hit the jackpott.

That’s already sown up. By minimising or ignoring all other possible factors and tuning their models to only respond in any significant way to CO2/CH4 for warming and aerosols for cooling (cf today’s claim (or “conclusion” if you’re Richard Black) that volcanoes caused the ‘Little Ice Age’), any temperature change at all can be blamed either on China’s dirty coal or the West’s scrubbed coal. Get those death trains off the tracks and we can live in Hansen’s blissful world of unchanging perfect climate forever.

January 30, 2012 5:49 pm

Low solar activity lately. Few sunspots. Cold Arctic air. Correlation?

Latitude
January 30, 2012 5:50 pm

rwct says:
January 30, 2012 at 5:45 pm
Sometimes, I ponder the question, as to why GREEN-land was named such, centuries ago
==================================
The Tyndall Effect

Robert
January 30, 2012 5:52 pm

That cold air will have to break free at some point, and move south. Depending on the upper air, that’s where it goes, and usually the US east coast. It’s a hard guess on the extent or probability, given the station surface baros in the 1020’s mb range. The real bad ones have much higher surface baro readings. Sometimes well over 1040 mb. When these break free, it’s a major CONUS cold event.
The last several years, Florida winters have had more instances where temperatures have reached the 20’s, overnight. We’ve already had two reaching 28*F, though it’s been fast to clear the area. (One day we had 28*F pre-dawn to 74*F by afternoon!)
I’ve got a Davis Vantage Pro 2 weather station with ISS. This is a good one, and repairable vs. having to replace the whole thing. Mine’s been in service since 2005, and I’ve only had to replace a couple parts on it: the thermometer chip and the UV sensor. They give you a discount if you call the service desk and ship back the non-working component. It’s not cheap, but worth the investment and maintainable.
It’s survived some pretty heavy Florida storms here. We are on the line where they hit their peak and the lightning makes you doubt if you are safe inside your house. Fortunately the weather station is wireless and on a different band than 2.4GHz WiFi. One less way for lightning to get in your house, and no interference or missed readings.
I also have the PC software to archive the data from the Davis, along with WSR-88D radar software from Gibson Ridge. The latter is awesome for radar, hands down.
Take care…
–Robert

Keith
January 30, 2012 5:53 pm

Mark Albright says:
January 30, 2012 at 5:34 pm
This just came into my inbox from Rick Thoman with NOAA:
THERE IS NO RECORD LOW AT JIM RIVER
These temperatures are from a Davis Weather Station and the voltage from the lithium battery drops dramatically with temps below -50 and the result is bogus low temperatures. Davis makes no claims on temperatures below -40 and recent firmware changes keep the units from reporting colder than about -40F. The unit at Jim River has not had that firmware change installed.
This is exactly the same problem as in Tok in January 2009.
To repeat, the reported temperatures from Jim River are WRONG.
Rick

So, once this becomes standard equipment, there will never again be an official temperature recording lower than -40? Well, I suppose nobody at NOAA thought they’d be any likelihood of such temperatures happening again, what with runaway warming and polar amplification. How convenient…

37647347
January 30, 2012 5:55 pm

I was just a kid when we lived in central Alaska in the early 1960’s, but I think it reached minus 40 degrees and we still walked to school. At least that is the way I remember it. I also seem to remember something about it being a dry cold instead of a humid cold, so it was more bearable. And we wore lots of layers of clothing beneath our parka’s. Alaska was great, the most beautiful state I have ever lived in…

January 30, 2012 5:59 pm

Bernd Felsche says on January 30, 2012 at 4:58 pm
So there appears to be a market opening for weather stations capable of recording and reporting down to -80°C — all winter long when the sun doesn’t shine at all for several months.
Which won’t be easy at all because one must heat most electronics to a higher temperature to keep them working; which can compromise the sensor readings and significantly so at the very low temperatures unless extensive measures are taken to prevent

No brainer; the solution is a small burial vault (assuming ground temperatures do not drop below -40 C, but, this raises the costs considerably, both of the equipment and the installation, provisions for water-proofing, drainage, etc)
.

observa
January 30, 2012 6:00 pm

Some of us can still recall the seventies it seems-
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-2093264/Forget-global-warming–Cycle-25-need-worry-NASA-scientists-right-Thames-freezing-again.html
And while Big Oil fight a noble rearguard action it seems there is no stopping Colossal Climate with their windmills and solar panels from killing us all with good intentions. Up to 36 now and counting-
http://www.news.com.au/breaking-news/winter-cold-snap-kills-36-in-europe/story-e6frfku0-1226257859597

January 30, 2012 6:01 pm

Looks like technology development re LOW TEMP LCD displays,and Lithium batteries,has not progressed that much,since I retired. LCD,LOW TEMP displays,at -40 has an update rate measured in- Decades, and Lithium battery “HOLD” charge,is, what can one say,VERY temporary,at these temps. I KNOW! I had to try to keep instruments operating at these temps. Accuracy,if operating at all,maybe +/- 10% So DUMB. LCD – LIQUID Crystal Display. DUUHHH!
P/S Peddlars/Mfgs came out with the NEW[as compared to -20F] Low temp LCD good to -40. WHAT a crock! Marketing can ALWAYS trump PHSYICS- FOR A TIME!

REPLY:
Your post is irrelevant because it misses the fact that the LCD display is indoors, and the ISS with all the sensors is outside – Anthony

The Other Pamela Gray
January 30, 2012 6:06 pm

Ela : I live in a small cabin outside North Pole, Alaska
There is NO WAY I could do that. Thank you for giving me permission to stay home. I’m not the least bit insulted. I know my limits even if I envy you yours.
(but it would be really cool if you could post some pics!)

January 30, 2012 6:08 pm

nother likely candidate is the brief solar day, not enough sun for the built in solar cells to keep the Li batt charged.
Henry.

Werner Brozek
January 30, 2012 6:08 pm

This brings two questions to my mind:
1. Is carbon dioxide less effective as a greenhouse gas at -79 F than at more normal temperatures due to its main absorption bands?
2. Does the ground emit less of the appropriate radiation at -79 F, thus reducing the effectiveness of carbon dioxide this way?
(The amount of water vapor would be virtually non-existent at this temperature.)

January 30, 2012 6:08 pm

Mark Albright says on January 30, 2012 at 5:34 pm:
This just came into my inbox from Rick Thoman with NOAA:
THERE IS NO RECORD LOW AT JIM RIVER
These temperatures are from a Davis Weather Station and the voltage from the lithium battery drops dramatically with temps below -50 and the result is bogus low temperatures. Davis makes no claims on temperatures below -40 and recent firmware changes keep the units from reporting colder than about -40F. The unit at Jim River has not had that firmware change installed.
This is exactly the same problem as in Tok in January 2009.
To repeat, the reported temperatures from Jim River are WRONG.
Rick
REPLY: I made no record low claim, only that it was close. As I point out in the article, the Lithium battery is the weak link, and likely died at -79F, but I’ve also been in touch with Davis Instruments management today, and they made no mention of accuracy issues below -40F, but did agree with my assessment about the battery failure. I’ll look into this more tomorrow. – Anthony

Anybody with access to a small Tenny temp chamber and a Davis Wx station that could run a short test at cold temperature for us?
I would if I was still at C*sc*/WNBU and had access to the enviro-testing gear …
.

SarahSilverman
January 30, 2012 6:08 pm

I’m with Sarah Silverman. Global warming will benefit humanity like hiking Mt. Everest in casual clothes and shorts would be great.

Ric
January 30, 2012 6:11 pm

Once upon a time at the the T.A.P.S. Prospect Creek Camp in 1971 near the Jim River there was a weather station with a coupla mercury thermometers in a standard weather box that were read at least twice a day. This was a time before Lithium batteries. So the camp manager would suit up in parka, overalls, and bunny boots a tromp out with a flashlight to have a look. Then back into the camp office to record the temp and time and report via single side band to Radio Fairbanks at the scheduled time. In December 1972 I was at Prospect Creek Camp and saw and read the same MERCURY thermometers. For the life of me, I could not find a place for batteries. BTW, in a five hour period we watched the temperature plummet from +34°F to -64°F. This noted both with calibrated thermisters and mercury thermometers. For what it’s worth.

January 30, 2012 6:16 pm

BrianP says on January 30, 2012 at 5:10 pm:
Those things dont work too well when you mount them in a Radar beam. I know we tried it at work

Was this in the lunchroom – in the microwave oven?
Or out on the roof, in front of the RADAR penthouse ‘bays’ (bay windows bulging out from the wall of the building; TI had those installed in the penthouse on the “North Building” for Equipment Group/DSEG operations)?
.

R. de Haan
January 30, 2012 6:16 pm

“JRG says:
January 30, 2012 at 5:45 pm
Bernd Felsche: That was a fascinating engineering solution you proposed. Might I suggest an alternative? Select a different battery chemistry, one that continues to function at adequate voltages to -80F or -100F. If that requires a larger battery because the power density is lower than lithium-ion, so be it. The mounting posts for weather stations are usually steel. They can handle the additional load. I suggest lithium/sulfur-dioxide.”
I just read NOAA is no longer interested measuring temperatures lower than minus 40 degrees F
See
“Mark Albright says:
January 30, 2012 at 5:34 pm
This just came into my inbox from Rick Thoman with NOAA:
THERE IS NO RECORD LOW AT JIM RIVER
These temperatures are from a Davis Weather Station and the voltage from the lithium battery drops dramatically with temps below -50 and the result is bogus low temperatures. Davis makes no claims on temperatures below -40 and recent firmware changes keep the units from reporting colder than about -40F. The unit at Jim River has not had that firmware change installed.
This is exactly the same problem as in Tok in January 2009.
To repeat, the reported temperatures from Jim River are WRONG.
Rick”
It looks like Alaska is going to remain it’s red color at NOAA’s temperature maps.

January 30, 2012 6:17 pm

Don’t forget the other day that solar storm and ejecta may have contributed to a reaction by out mother earth. She still has tremendous power and will live with or without us. Notice that barometer still dropping? WOW.

R. Shearer
January 30, 2012 6:18 pm

The coldest I’ve ever experienced was in Ft McMurray. It was -40, C or F I don’t recall. I rememeber that Hertz couldn’t start the 4WD I had reserved.
REPLY: At -40 the C and F scale meet numerically, there’s no difference. So, you are right either way – Anthony

January 30, 2012 6:23 pm

SarahSilverman [<–??] says:
"I’m with Sarah Silverman. [<–??] Global warming will benefit humanity like hiking Mt. Everest in casual clothes and shorts would be great."
Global warming is on balance a good thing. The planet has been much warmer in the past, with no problems. The biosphere thrived during those warmer periods.
If the planet warmed two or three degrees, millions of acres of new farmland would be opened up in places like Siberia, Mongolia, Canada and Alaska. Warmer weather would increase evaporation, thus increasing rainfall. And with more [harmless, beneficial] CO2, plants would have more airborne fertilizer.
The eco-zealot crowd has dishonestly demonized “carbon”. But the truth is that CO2 is a completely harmless trace gas, and it increases agricultural productivity.

January 30, 2012 6:39 pm

Smokey says on January 30, 2012 at 6:23 pm
SarahSilverman [<–??] says:
"I’m with Sarah Silverman. [<–??] …

Noticed that too … Identity crises (dissociative identity disorder?) no doubt; an anomaly of the conflicted, an exhibition as a result of cognitive dissonance re: CAGW and demonstrated warming, the Met predicting a Dalton Minimum etc …
“Phone call(s) for Sybil; you have Sybil(s) on lines 1 thru 8 …”
.

Bill Illis
January 30, 2012 6:40 pm

Look at the last 30 days global temperature anomaly map and it pretty clear how cold it has been in Alaska.
http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/map/images/rnl/sfctmpmer_30a.rnl.html
It appears to be related to the break down of the north polar vortex and the sudden stratospheric warming event. A mini-polar vortex settled in over Alaska instead (and this is drawing the warm Pacific air straight across North America resulting in the southern two-thirds of the continent being above normal over most of the winter while normally, cold Arctic air periodically dips down to freeze our … off, not this winter so far). Alaska has taken the brunt of the winter. Asia has been very cold as well.

JustFollowing
January 30, 2012 6:40 pm

Bettes Field, AK registered -60 on the 1/28/2011. How is it you are getting almost 20 degrees cooler in a similar spot? Are you taking the reading right? I’m skeptical of your equipment.

Eric Barnes
January 30, 2012 6:41 pm

Spent time in the army in AK and 40 below is *dangerous*. Try it without a bacalava or gloves and you will get frostbite in under an hour.
http://www.nws.noaa.gov/om/windchill/
“37647347 says:
January 30, 2012 at 5:55 pm
I was just a kid when we lived in central Alaska in the early 1960′s, but I think it reached minus 40 degrees and we still walked to school. At least that is the way I remember it. I also seem to remember something about it being a dry cold instead of a humid cold, so it was more bearable. And we wore lots of layers of clothing beneath our parka’s. Alaska was great, the most beautiful state I have ever lived in…”

Janice
January 30, 2012 6:42 pm

There really is only one type of battery that can easily operate at extremely low temperatures. They have the added benefit of lasting for a good 80 years with no maintenance or loss of energy. What’s the catch? They are made from Pu-238.

Ed H
January 30, 2012 6:46 pm

Brimfrost 1989, 6th Light Infantry Division from Fort Freeze-at-Night (Wainwright) we had readings on ATC and other aviation gear of -83, -85 in the field where we camped outside… The dark red hoodies we had made up for participants had -83 lettered on the front. Good times. Its always cold up there, and who knows when it’ll be frosty or balmy from year to year. Better hope Global Warming doesn’t happen though, or all the 38 million in California will be moving up North! It sounds great to have Canada and Siberia warm up, but when Mexico looks like the Sahara where do you think all those people will go? China, Pakistan and India are already arguing over shrinking water sheds in Tibet. Russians in 50-100 years might have some problems. Meanwhile, Lake Erie and the other Great Lakes have something like 5% of all non-frozen fresh water so I’m not worried. Just wish the Canadians would quit peeing up-stream 🙂 Just kidding.

Joe Bastardi
January 30, 2012 6:52 pm

The NWS disavowed 2 nights in a row of Illinois state record ( -38) a few years ago. They couldnt seem to get it through their heads that temps bounce up and down several degrees around sunrise and are more likely to bounce more when cold than when its warm since the amount of energy it takes to move the temp a couple of degrees is much less when its intensely cold. It actually was a study in ignorance as they said the mid afternoon readings were fine, unwittingly admitting that the air was well mixed. It busted it the second night again, after they went out and checked it the previous afternoon and supposedly fixed it. My meteo 461 course at PSU ( instrumentation… I still have nightmares about it) and what it takes to build and maintain instruments, and especially thermometers which are much more prone to err on the warm, than cold side would immediately turn anyone into a skeptic. Unless on site, with several thermometers, they have no business making a judgement either way as to how accurate it was.

Timothy Sorenson
January 30, 2012 6:53 pm

I’ve got a simple question: If the thermal equilibrium of the earth without an atmosphere is -18C (or there abouts) Then what mechanism brings about -80C/F in alaska? Seems there is a major interaction between the atmosphere and cold space that allows part of the atmosphere to be chilled to -80C and then ‘settle’ to the surface. So a large portion of the atmosphere is involved in cooling the atmosphere and hence earth?

StuartMcL
January 30, 2012 6:54 pm

These temperatures are from a Davis Weather Station and the voltage from the lithium battery drops dramatically with temps below -50 and the result is bogus low temperatures. Davis makes no claims on temperatures below -40 and recent firmware changes keep the units from reporting colder than about -40F. The unit at Jim River has not had that firmware change installed.
This is exactly the same problem as in Tok in January 2009.
———————————————————————————-
So that means that they ignore all readings below -40. What effect would that have on the “average” temperature?

Eric Swanson
January 30, 2012 6:54 pm

The Vantage Pro2 device was operating outside it’s stated operating range of -40 to 150F, so any reading below that would be suspect without a warming device for the battery and electronics.
http://www.weathershop.com/Specs/6152-62-53-63_VP2Spec_C.pdf
The usual temperature measuring device on these devices is a thermistor. Here’s the data for a typical thermistor, which has a resistance of 10,000 ohms at 25C (77F) and a resistance of 1,640,357.00 at -80F.
http://www.ussensor.com/rt%20charts/KW103J2.htm
Given the weak battery power available at such low temperatures, it’s highly likely that the recorded temperature is an instrument error. I thought you folks around here worry about bad temperature readings, after all the complaints posted on this web site.
REPLY: Apparently you missed the part in the article where I noted and explained the low battery issue. I was also in contact with Davis Instruments management about this issue and while they agreed the battery failure likely caused the end of transmission. I’ll follow up again tomorrow. Not also the closest airport “official” station just 0.9 miles away also has failed. – Anthony

January 30, 2012 6:55 pm

JRG says:
January 30, 2012 at 5:45 pm
Bernd Felsche: That was a fascinating engineering solution you proposed. Might I suggest an alternative? Select a different battery chemistry, one that continues to function at adequate voltages to -80F or -100F
————————–
That doesn’t solve the problem of the electronics and sensors continuing to operate within their specified temperature range. If the instrument is not certified at the temperatures being “measured”, then one cannot trust the results without additional, external validation.
From MIL-STD-810F
“Temperatures colder than -51°C (-60°F) occur no more than 20 percent of the hours in the coldest month of the coldest part of the area (northern Siberia) where temperatures as low as -68°C (-90°F) have been recorded. Because extremely low temperatures are not controlled by a daily solar cycle, they persist for a long enough period of time to cause materiel to reach equilibrium at extremely low temperatures.”
Nor does a Li-SO2 battery cover an adequate range of temperatures which for the Arctic can be as low as -70°C (not uncommon). I’ve found only batteries of that type rated down to -60°C which falls somewhat short of being able to record “normal” arctic temperature extremes.

January 30, 2012 6:56 pm

Janice says on January 30, 2012 at 6:42 pm
There really is only one type of battery that can easily operate at extremely low temperatures. They have the added benefit of lasting for a good 80 years with no maintenance or loss of energy. What’s the catch? They are made from Pu-238.

One might be astonished to find out many ways there are to achieve a voltaic output from an ‘Atomic battery’; these ppl can do a better job on enumerating ‘the ways’ than I can:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Atomic_battery
.

January 30, 2012 6:57 pm

Alaska and Canada have been suffering through some of the coldest temperatures on record during the last week.
As noted, quite a major generalization. Southern Alberta has been well above average all week. The official high in Lethbridge today was 10°C (50°F). All sorts of warm records set in the past week or so across Alberta.
Fun topic though. ☺

JD
January 30, 2012 6:58 pm

Hmm that’s in the general area where the official low was recorded. Always nasty along the haul road during winter.

Alan Watt
January 30, 2012 7:07 pm

So if the ground station stops reporting due to battery failure, are there satellite readings to determine if Jim River, AK broke the -80F record?

crosspatch
January 30, 2012 7:09 pm

On the other hand, record lows run prima facie against the theory; if all the manmade CO2 emitted this past century causes back radiation which in turn warms the atmosphere alternatively slows down the cooling, one would not expect to see any record lows.

I tried to make that point on another blog a couple of years ago and had my comment deleted. If the projections for warming were to be believed going back to when they first started making such projections, it should be impossible to see a record low temperature today as the “global” atmosphere would now be radiating enough heat back to the surface to make it impossible. We should only see record high low temperatures.
But didn’t someone recently publish something along the lines of colder temperature being consistent with warming temperatures, or some such poppycock?

K.M. Southwood
January 30, 2012 7:17 pm

I was born, raised and have always lived in Interior Alaska, between Fairbanks and Anderson to be precise. I am 47 years old. I have not seen a long cold spell like this since the 70’s. Except one the early 90’s which doesn’t hold a candle to the one we are in now. We had -60 on all our thermometers yesterday morning (digital and traditional), it hasn’t been above 20 below for weeks, usually 30 to 40 below for HIGH temps, overnights of 45 to 50 below…
I just paid $1526 for 344 gallons of heating fuel. We have burned 4 cords of wood this winter, which for us starts in October. Our electric last month was $410, serious lack of daylight this time of year…
This is our second bad cold spell, also having one in November.
I like my digital thermometer (Oregon Scientific), it keeps pace with 4 other traditional thermometers until about 50 below.
Why do I stay? It’s home and I have a really good job, I can retire at 52 then be a snowbird and head south when it gets like this!
As I post it has warmed up to -26 and it’s snowing. It feels so nice after 40, 50 and 60 below. Just thought I would give you a view from the north.

JBC
January 30, 2012 7:18 pm

It’s all Bush’s fault.

37647347
January 30, 2012 7:18 pm

Eric Barnes says:
January 30, 2012 at 6:41 pm
“Spent time in the army in AK and 40 below is *dangerous*. Try it without a bacalava or gloves and you will get frostbite in under an hour.”
Reply: I am sure you are right. I was just a kid in the early 1960’s at Ft. Wainwright, but I thought it got as cold as minus 40 while we were there. I seem to remember people saying it was more bearable because it was a dry cold.

Captain Obvious
January 30, 2012 7:19 pm

The whole man-made global warming theory is a scam. Little global temperature fluctuations over decades are like the little temperature flutuations on any given day. Remember, even the pro-global warming scientists are touting a mere 0.8 K increase over 100 years, which is remarkable stable! It would be newsworthy if it DIDN’T change in 100 years.

SerfCityHereWeCome
January 30, 2012 7:21 pm

This has probably been happening a lot over the past few years– historic record cold destroying the measuring equipment before it causes the warming cultists any further embarrassment.

Editor
January 30, 2012 7:29 pm

THE TEMPERATURES ARE NOT CORRECT. THE WEATHER STATION IN USE AT THE JIM RIVER DOT CAMP IS A PERSONAL WEATHER STATION THAT IS NOT RATED FOR TEMPERATURE COLDER THAN 40 BELOW. THE UNREALISTICALLY LOW TEMPERATURES ARE BELIEVED TO BE A FUNCTION OF THE BATTERY FAILING AT VERY LOW TEMPERATURES.

I do not share this belief. I have two of the original Davis models and have seen my share of batteries fail. The temperatures are quite believable during the low voltage conditions, the radio section is the first to go, and data simply stops arriving.
When the sun comes up and the PV cell gets enough light to operate things, it resumes sending believable data.
However, I have no experience with the temperature sensors at temperatures below -10°F or so. I would not be surprised if there are calibration issues below -40°
If the NWS cared, they could test the Jim River unit. Anemometers that recorded the famous Mount Washington wind gust (and the lesser known Australian gust that is now #1) were examined, as were thermometers that recorded some of the state records.
Henry Ruh says:
January 30, 2012 at 6:08 pm

Another likely candidate is the brief solar day, not enough sun for the built in solar cells to keep the Li batt charged.

The Davis units have “supercaps” (capacitors that are rated in farads instead of microfarads) and those are charged by the PV cell. The 123 Lithium battery used during cloudy stretches and after the supercaps fail is nonrechargable.

Gneiss
January 30, 2012 7:32 pm

Warm and cold records are getting set all the time. We’ve had some warm ones lately too.
What anthropogenic climate change predicts is that warm records will increasingly outnumber the cold records, instead of being about 50-50. And increasingly outnumber they do (e.g. Meehle 2009).

John C.
January 30, 2012 7:34 pm

Also, we had an X class Solar flair at about that time! …Check http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/alerts/alerts_timeline.html
for all the details!

AlaskaHound
January 30, 2012 7:36 pm

The Davis station temperature probe is most likely a platinum RTD which is quite stable and accurate in providing a temperature/resistance curve. The station itself which provides the operating voltage would not be housed outside. It is possible that the battery/voltage divider providing power dropped below the RTD voltage specification or the RTD experienced a mechanical failure…

Mark Albright
January 30, 2012 7:39 pm

The last observation from Jim River AK was about 18:30 UTC, which is about 1 hour prior to sunrise. Given that the temperature was on a downward trend it seems quite plausible we would have seen a -80 F reading near or just after sunrise at 19:30 UTC on 28 Jan 2012.
I have also heard there is a chance data is being recorded at Prospect Creek Airfield (PAPR) even though the data is not being transmitted in real-time.

David Ippolito
January 30, 2012 7:45 pm

the global warming droids will tell you the record cold is because of global warming… with a straight face….
Remember everyone.. the “science is settled” and anyone who says anything to the contrary is some kind of evil denier
so don’t forget….. Pluto is a planet in our solar system….errrr..ummmm , well it was for over 100 yrs of “settled” science.

Me
January 30, 2012 7:46 pm

I lived in the area of North Pole for 17 years. Being tough enough to make it during the winter is a big deal….when you’re young. Thankfully I got over it and now live in Arizona. LOL

Ben S
January 30, 2012 8:04 pm

Sounds like “globrrrrwarming” to me!

George E. Smith;
January 30, 2012 8:07 pm

Who designs this stuff ? Semiconductor diodes can track Temperature down to very low Temperatures, and quite linear with absolute Temperature, compared to a lot of other methods. Band-gap Voltage references, also can be made stable down to such Temperatures. At least 40 years ago,semiconductor circuits were being built that had data sheet specs from -55 deg C to +125 deg C for military or space applications. That’s -67 F, and far from the limit. Semi devices often fail Temperature wise simply from catastrophic mechanical failure, such as plastic encapsulated devices pulling wire bonds off ith Temperature cycling. Well you wouldn’t use that sort of packaging for mil spec stuff anyway, it would be hermetic.
I know that in 1966/7 we were dunking plastic encapsulated (epoxy) GaAsP red LEDs into liquid nitrogen to show people how bright they got at those Temperatures, and we did it live at trade shows, and I don’tever recall one of them failing, although for the life of me, I don’t know why, because they were pretty simple gold ball bonded devices; not at all high tech.
All the analog circuit stuff, I ever did, was designed to be accurate over the entire possible range of supply Voltage, and on battery stuff, it would read correctly down to battery Voltages, that were so low, you had just enough juice to put your head down between your knees and kiss your A*** goodbye.
Ell cheapo carbon zinc batteries that used to be used for flashlights; and torches too, could still put out power down to half of the new cell Voltage, from 1.50 Volts, down to 0.75 Volts. Modern LED flashlights have switching regulator circuits, that keep the light fully bright, way past the knee visibility point, so you think they never are going to die.
Don’t know much about Lithium rechargeables; there seems to be so many chemistries. I know you generally can’t buy, or air ship rechargeable Lithium CELLS, such as AAs. You can only buy rechargeable Lithium BATTERIES of multiple cells, that are required to contain a fail safe current limiting fuse (definitely NOT a fuze) .
I have a hard time believing that some thermometric gizmo, could be off by a factor of two and be left still functioning; it should have a low Voltage cutout that shuts the thing down before it reads rong.

John F. Hultquist
January 30, 2012 8:09 pm

Makes me wonder, though, about the difficulty of marketing electric and hybrid-electric autos in certain areas. Do places that have generally low temperatures with occasional -40 days get exemptions for the CAFE standards? Tough environment for equipment of any sort at such low temps.
Thanks for the post and the comments though – being warm and inside as I am.

Don Harvey
January 30, 2012 8:12 pm

Here in New Hampshire, which over the years have had lower lows than Anchorage AK, I back up my weather station (which uses lithium AA batteries) with a Type “T” digital thermocouple thermometer which I calibrate using liquid nitrogen, the ice point for water, and boiling water. It is linear. I have a difficult time thinking a weather station doesn’t have very sound and scientific back-up.

January 30, 2012 8:26 pm

IN the 1920’s, scientists were touting warming of the globe. In the 70’s, we had the coming of the next ice age. In 90’s and present we get global climate change. If it rains, snows, sleet, hails….. Global climate change due to man. If it doesn’t rain, snow, sleet, hail… Global climate change….. All of life on our planet works in cycles. The planets orbit as a cycle… The eats crust is in constant movement, changing the landscape forever and we get ‘manmade global climate change’. We learned from the first landing on the moon that the distance between the earth and moon has been in a constant movement away from each other. The poles have been known to change polarity and move….. YET, we are to believe that man is causing greater strength and frequent Hurricanes, cyclones, tornados, droughts, floods, plagues, famines, etc.,….. We have recorded hi-tech readings for less than 150yrs of a billion yr old planet and a constantly changing and evolving planet, YET, man in less than 200 hundred years has plagued the planet? Never mind the hundreds of billions of dollars in grants and funds. Never mind the trillions of dollars in confiscated dollars to be given to friends and family of the officials who get to allocate. Never mind all of the power the officials gain from the suitors and rent-seekers who seek the money. It’s a sham… A scheme… A ploy…..

Jukeman
January 30, 2012 8:29 pm

TimO; I to survived the Blizzard of 78, -60F. was wind chill guesswork, it was cold; but, not that cold. Personally couldn’t go outside to check temp as the snow was deeper then my doors, didn’t want to either.

PETE PHILLIPS
January 30, 2012 8:38 pm

I wish I was on vacation in Alaska right now experiencing it all.

Brendan
January 30, 2012 8:42 pm

If its a thermistor, Davis may be able to give you an estimated error range at that temperature. Given the effort to keep it cheap, I would bet its not an RTD.
However, NOAA should not be using such devices for cold weather conditions. Private stations – sure, that’s OK. But an official US station should be properly spanned. If it costs more, pay for it. By using stations that “bottom out” they are artificially raising the lower bound of temperatures (vs the old intrepid volunteer who used to use a mercury thermometer.
This is just like the NOAA. Half assed. Of course, NASA and DOD do it right…
http://extenv.jpl.nasa.gov/presentations/Low_Temperature_Lithium_Batteries.pdf
Anthony, you might suggest that they contact SAFT Batteries for special low temp operations. And span the damn thermistors correctly, or have a dual span if necessary.

James Sexton
January 30, 2012 8:43 pm

Ed H says:
January 30, 2012 at 6:46 pm
Brimfrost 1989, 6th Light Infantry Division from Fort Freeze-at-Night (Wainwright) we had readings on ATC and other aviation gear of -83, -85 in the field where we camped outside… The dark red hoodies we had made up for participants had -83 lettered on the front. Good times.
==========================================================
Ed, perhaps you missed it, though I can’t imagine anyone could. But, those “good times”, were marred by a tragic accident. Though, I can attest the temps were well below what “official” temp records stated. The deaths and the surreal effect the temps caused are just a few of the things that endures in the fields of my memory.

Ian L. McQueen
January 30, 2012 8:47 pm

says:
January 30, 2012 at 4:46 pm
Our local weather guy says we are basking in balmy Southern Ontario because the jet stream is at its northern limit and is keeping the arctic air from coming south. Is that why it is so cold up north?
As good a hypothesis as any. My wife tells me that it is unusually cold in Japan this year. It seems like tongues of cold break out of the arctic rather than a broad band of the jet stream, hence the “localized” cold in Alaska. It’s been unusual here in eastern Canada (southern NB), with temperatures down to -18°C at night and a couple of days later up to +6°C and better in the daytime. Up and down like a toilet seat, as my cousin said recently. (I usually refer to a whoxx’s drawers for the same comparison.)
IanM

January 30, 2012 8:48 pm

Is it possible that this digital thermometer encountered the equivalent of #DIV/0! at -80 deg F?
If it is only rated to -40 deg F, anything outside the range is suspect. But it is interesting that the NWS takes time to say -79 deg, “is not correct”, but doesn’t bother to stick its neck out and say what it probably is. Hey, we are scientists here… we can accept error bars.
By their logic, 111 deg F in Las Vegas, NV is not correct, because it really was 111.5 deg F.

Dan
January 30, 2012 8:57 pm

That dang Al Gore was right again. How the heck…………..??????????

Jenn Oates
January 30, 2012 9:03 pm

I’ve been to Alaska once, in August, when the weather was as beautiful as this Californian could wish. I cannot imagine what it is like now, as even in my grad school days in Ohio it never got in the negative numbers. My blood is very thin and my hat’s off to you Alaskans who thrive there.
Brrrr!

January 30, 2012 9:08 pm

@ Ian L. McQueen,
I grew up in Fredericton and remember school being cancelled one day at lunch time as the temperatures were just too cold. It was either ’69 or ’71. As I was just a little girl, I don’t recall the exact temperature that led to this decision, but I do recall the tears freezing to my face as I trudged a mile (uphill, of course) to my home – tears from the pain of the cold and not being adequately bundled. Any idea what the policy is on freezing temperatures and school cancellations?
Of course, in those days the temperatures were in Fahrenheit, which adds to my inability to remember the precise circumstances. I’m glad some Alaskans apparently like this weather, but anything below -15 C is not really my cup of tea.

Nurse Tim of the Yukon
January 30, 2012 9:09 pm

In the for-what-it’s-worth category, I’ve been up in that area trapping and seen mercury thermometer temps in the -60’s F back in the mid-1980’s. That God-forsaken place Jim River is way down in a hole and the cold just runs like a river down into it. Last week I was on the Yukon River and it was only in the -40’s, but the wind was howling something fierce; doesn’t count for low recordable temp records, I know, but just as brutal on the body. Hawaii anyone?

phlogiston
January 30, 2012 9:10 pm

phlogiston says:
January 29, 2012 at 12:12 pm
Snowy owls are making a rare mass migration south from the Arctic and showing up all across the USA:
http://news.yahoo.com/snowy-owls-soar-south-arctic-rare-mass-migration-175336821.html
Global warming must be making the heat intolerable up there (NOT)

Leslie
January 30, 2012 9:17 pm

Need surfacestations type survey of the arctic.

Steven Thunder
January 30, 2012 9:18 pm

I was stationed at Ft. Wainwright in Fairbanks in 1974 until 1976…
I was fighting the cold war way back then…
I apologize to everyone…
I lost, it is still cold up there…

North of 60
January 30, 2012 9:18 pm

North American coldest temperature record at Snag airport in Yukon, Canada, on February 3, 1947. On that day, the temperature dropped to 81 degrees below zero Fahrenheit.
http://www2.gi.alaska.edu/ScienceForum/ASF16/1630.html

January 30, 2012 9:33 pm

A great discussion, for the most part. I’d like to hear from “Ed” at Jim River.

Editor
January 30, 2012 9:34 pm

Brendan says:
January 30, 2012 at 8:42 pm

However, NOAA should not be using such devices for cold weather conditions. Private stations – sure, that’s OK. But an official US station should be properly spanned.

It’s not a NOAA station. It’s a DOT (Dept. of Transportation) station.

Mackenzie
January 30, 2012 9:35 pm

There’s a reason it’s referred to as climate change instead of global warming these days. As some areas heat up, climate patterns change and other areas cool. For example, the lower the salinity in the Atlantic (as the ice caps melt), the more slower the movement of warm water from the Gulf of Mexico to the UK gets, and eventually it could stop, plunging the UK into an ice age.

January 30, 2012 9:39 pm

Great blog. People here in Fairbanks tell it was -74* a few times in the early 70’s; some of them have never lived anywhere else. This is over 120 miles south of Jim River.In 2004 my thermometer near Gold Stream read -61*. Is -79* implausiblle?

MichaelJ
January 30, 2012 9:42 pm

Are there a lot of sites in Alaska using the Vantage Pro2?
You would think that lots of places in Alaska get colder temps than -40 F.

Jeff Alberts
January 30, 2012 9:43 pm

Rex says:
January 30, 2012 at 4:15 pm
Why is it claimed that high temepratures are CAUSED by global (sic)
warming (sic), when in fact they CONTRIBUTE TO global warming ?

Well that’s just sic.

Andrew
January 30, 2012 9:52 pm

…CLARIFICATION OF TEMPERATURES FROM JIM RIVER DOT CAMP…
NWS HAS DETERMINED THAT THE THERMOMETER IN QUESTION WAS INCORRECTLY SITED TOO FAR FROM THE REQUIRED LOCAL AIR CONDITIONING UNIT … THIS RESULTED IN UNACCEPTABLY LOW TEMPERATURE READINGS AND FAILURE OF THE UNIT … HENCE IT HAS BEEN STRUCK FROM THE RECORD…
/sarc off

KapoleiDave
January 30, 2012 9:54 pm

Yeah, I did a 3 year stint at Ft. Wainwright (Near Fairbanks, not Wainwright Alaska on the north coast). I experienced first hand more than a few -40F events,(they are important, because all sorts of interesting things start happening when that temperature threshold is reached/crossed) and I can’t help but observe that the last couple seem to be more protracted and occur with more frequency this year.
I live in Hawaii, now. BTW, I am a weather forecaster, and I supervise the “Alaska Desk” here.
The collected datasets for several of the locations in Alaska have shown a warming trend in the last 30 years when you take into account the extreme minimums for temperatures. (No -50F events for fairbanks since the 70s, then one occurred during my third year on station) It appears that this trend is abruptly reversing. Where am I going with all this? Maybe these events and trends are cyclical in nature. Until we have a (much) better understanding of the processes that determine our weather- and by extension, our climate- it is folly to speculate and scapegoat a cause, especially when actions taken upon those hastily drawn conclusions degrade the living conditions of those who live there by dramatically increasing the cost of heating their homes.

Lew
January 30, 2012 10:06 pm

Fact no doubt will encourage the global warming faithful to redouble their efforts, but for people who have questioned the gorite philosophy from the beginning and endured their insults, take a look at :
“Based on readings from more than 30,000 measuring stations, the data was issued last week without fanfare by the Met Office and the University of East Anglia Climatic Research Unit. It confirms that the rising trend in world temperatures ended in 1997.”

Lew
January 30, 2012 10:08 pm

The web page referenced did not print in my remarks at 10:06 So try again:
The address is http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-2093264/Forget-global-warming–Cycle-25-need-worry-NASA-scientists-right-Thames-freezing-again.html
• Met Office releases new figures which show no warming in 15 years
By David Rose
Last updated at 5:38 AM on 29th January 2012
The supposed ‘consensus’ on man-made global warming is facing an inconvenient challenge after the release of new temperature data showing the planet has not warmed for the past 15 years.
The figures suggest that we could even be heading for a mini ice age to rival the 70-year temperature drop that saw frost fairs held on the Thames in the 17th Century.

Jerker Andersson
January 30, 2012 10:21 pm

One thing strikes me, why install a thermometer that can not measure temperatures even close to what have been measured there?

DirkH
January 30, 2012 10:26 pm

Mackenzie says:
January 30, 2012 at 9:35 pm
“There’s a reason it’s referred to as climate change instead of global warming these days. As some areas heat up, climate patterns change and other areas cool. For example, the lower the salinity in the Atlantic (as the ice caps melt), the more slower the movement of warm water from the Gulf of Mexico to the UK gets, and eventually it could stop, plunging the UK into an ice age.”
Mackenzie, the IPCC is called the IPCC since 1990 or so; guess what the CC stands for? So much for your “these days”. And all those wild theories about some places warming, some places cooling because of an increased greenhouse effect make absolutely no sense whatsoever; the warmist scientists are just in frantic convulsions trying to correct their explanations a posteriori; which still does not give any of these explanations any predictive skill. So your “reason that some places cool and some heat up” still needs to be tested by comparing PREDICTIONS of the latest theory with future OBSERVATIONS; until then, it is UNVALIDATED CONJECTURE by the warmist scientists.
And tell your warmist scientists that a prediction better not contain the word “could”.

January 30, 2012 10:31 pm

The more you understand about physics and the universe, the more convinced you’ll be that modern man is completely incapable of creating, starting, speeding up, slowing down, or stopping global warming or climate change.
Our galaxy is rocketing through space at over 2 million MPH. We’re receiving more energy from the sun than 1,000 Hiroshima nuclear explosions, every second. But a cow farting in a pasture is going to bring Earth to its end?

Real Rick
January 30, 2012 10:33 pm

Damn global warming!!!!

Richard Keen
January 30, 2012 10:38 pm

Jim River is a mile from Prospect Creek. From Wikipedia….
“Prospect Creek is a very small settlement approximately 180 miles north of present day Fairbanks and 25 miles southeast of present day Bettles, Alaska. Years ago it was home to numerous mining expeditions and the camp for the building of the Alaskan pipeline. Today, it is mostly desolate with little activity since the completion of the Trans-Alaska Pipeline in 1977. Prospect Creek is also home to the U.S. record for lowest temperature. In January 1971, the record low temperature of -80°F (-62°C) was recorded. … There are currently no people living in this area.
…Prospect Creek Airport (IATA: PPC, ICAO: PAPR, FAA LID: PPC) is a state-owned public-use airport…For the 12-month period ending July 9, 2008, the airport had 498 aircraft operations.”
… So, in the heyday of the pipeline construction Prospect Creek was a NWS co-op site, and recorded the US record low of -80. The station closed in 1980. Now, the “town” is uninhabited, and the airport – a landing strip, reallly – is unattended with less than one flight a day on average. The FAA says RECOMMEND VISUAL INSPECTION PRIOR TO USING, LIMITED SNOW REMOVAL, and BEACON ON ONLY WHEN THE ASO FACILITY IS MANNED AT PROSPECT CREEK.
There hasn’t been a NWS station there in 32 years, and the automated stations at the Jim RIver DOT and the Prospect Creek Airport are only occasionally checked on and less frequently maintained. One can only guess how far off a non-NWS calibrated station that may be poorly located and may not have had new batteries in a year could be. Ten degrees? Twenty? We’ll never know. Glance through the personal weather stations on Weather Underground and you’ll see a scatter of 5 or 10 degrees under “normal” temperatures.
So, what was the real low at Prospect Creek? Although the lack of a calibrated, inspected, and properly sited station makes the answer irrelevant to records, let’s speculated. The old Prospect Creek station used to run about 5 degrees (ranging from zero to 10) lower than nearby Bettles (25 miles to the NW and a few hundred feet lower) during extreme cold events, but sometimes Prospect Creek was warmer. When Prospect Creek recorded the all-time low of -80, Bettles came in 12 degrees warmer at -68. When Bettles had it’s low of -70, Prospect Creek was -58.
This week Bettles recorded a record low of -60 for the date, but fell 10 degrees shy of its all-time low. I’d guess that a Prospect Creek co-op station might have recorded -65 or -70, or maybe even -72. 72 below would be second place, like the Phillies in the 2009 World Series. 79 below, almost 20 degrees colder than Bettles, seems quite unlikely.

January 30, 2012 11:11 pm

Norway’s record low temperature is -51.4C from 1886 in Karasjok, but in 1999 it looked like it was going to be broken. So journalists poured in and everybody wanted a look inside the stevenson screen. The lowest it got was -51.2C, but it has been speculated that if the journalists hadn’t all been poking their noses into the screen and thereby heating the instruments, the record would indeed have been broken.
While it’s cold in Alaska, it’s been pretty warm on the Atlantic side of the arctic with heavy rain in Svalbard. While rain sometimes happens in January even as far north as 80N, what’s been really exceptional is the amount of rain. Ny-Ålesund at 79N recorded 98 mm in 24 hours yesterday and another 34 mm today. The average total for January is 27 mm. It’s been estimated that this only happens once in 200 years.

nc
January 30, 2012 11:11 pm

Here in Canada one of our country wide news outlets is called Global News. They tend to be quite biased towards the warmer side. To day they reported the cold weather in Europe, then right after showed a moving graphic from NASA supposedly showing rising temperatures over many decades complete with bright burning colors. I thought it hilarious and so sad.

Kevin
January 30, 2012 11:18 pm

Funny thing about the sun cycles is that the trend of increasing sun activity over the last couple hundred years directly correlates with the trend of the AGW propoganda. But, as usual, the AGW cult has a claim on hot, cold, sun maximum, sun minimum, etc. The latest techniques of AGW cultists are to claim that cold is caused by AGW, and/or that even though the sun cycle trends almost exactly with the supposed AGW temp increase data, they conveniently claim that there is an “additional” magnifier of human involvement…
Even if we enter a full-scale ice age, with 2 mile deep glaciers covering all of Canada, all of northern Europe, AND the upper third of the U.S., AGW cultists will say that it is an anomaly.

Jerry
January 30, 2012 11:24 pm

Richard Keen have you been there? Back in the mid 90s I was doing a bicycle race on the Yentna river and it was -30 at the riverbank cabins and I was told it was 10 degrees colder on the river a mere 50 feet away. I had no experience or frame of reference for telling the difference between the two but I could tell that when I cycled down the embankment to the river it got remarkably colder. Small elevation changes of 10 to 20 feet were very noticeable, almost like dipping in a pool.

MikeH
January 30, 2012 11:30 pm

I’m surprised no one could see the solution to this problem. The reason the unit was on battery backup was that it was night time and the solar cells were not working. The obvious solution to this would have been to install a 100 watt flood lamp pointing at the solar cell to ensure there would be enough photons striking the cell to run the unit. I think an 18 inch (45 cm for our metric cousins) space from the unit would suffice…. This would also solve the question of the obviously false unofficial record low reported from the station..
Technology solving modern problems, I love it….

Iska Waran
January 30, 2012 11:41 pm

I love cold. I hope I never live anywhere that it doesn’t get cold. It keeps poisonous snakes out. Record here in Minneapolis is only -41F (also -41 C). Record for MN: -60F, Tower, MN 2/2/96
Can you believe it’s been -2F in Florida? http://www.infoplease.com/ipa/A0113527.html

Reporters Net
January 30, 2012 11:48 pm

Thought YOU and your some of YOUR colleagues in the climate community
might enjoy
reading POLAR CITY RED
. a new sci-fi cli-fi NOVEL set in a climate-rocked Alaska of 2080
A.D. not so far away as all that, and yet far enough away
as to be pure fiction. I can send you a free e-book of POLAR CITY RED
by Okalhoma author Jim Laughter (his real name) if you want one.

Caleb
January 30, 2012 11:52 pm

RE:K.M. Southwood says:
January 30, 2012 at 7:17 pm
Thanks for the first-hand account. One report from the scene is worth fifty comments from afar.
You mentioned you had both modern and traditional thermometers. Have you noticed much difference at extremely low temperatures?
Thanks for keeping the cold up there, this winter.

Richards in Vancouver
January 31, 2012 12:04 am

This is only balmy Alaska. What does the weather station at Freezyer Ballzov, Siberia, show?

Larry in Texas
January 31, 2012 12:14 am

I thought about going to Alaska to visit sometime. To see some moose. But I thought better of it. And now even the poor moose are freezing up there. Brrrrrr!!

MikeH
January 31, 2012 12:27 am

Previously stated:
WOW! Drudge link! You have made it Anthony!!! …..
[Reply: Site traffic just jumped 40%. ~dbs, mod.]…….
Wait till the West coast gets home. ;)……..
[Now it’s up over 100%. ~dbs]
……..
Anthony, what will this link do for your Google search ranking? Last I heard WUWT was page 35 of a AGW search (I forget the exact search phrase) on google…
Huzzah’s for Anthony and WUWT!!.

Old Nanook
January 31, 2012 12:31 am

I am an actual Alaskan and have experienced temperatures of minus 60 on many occasions although not recently. There is a considerable distance between temperatures in the minus 50 range and those which might reach minus 70 or even lower. In Interior Alaska, for example Fairbanks, Delta, Tok, Northway and other areas along the Tanana River, minus 50 is fairly commonplace. Fort Yukon at the junction of the Yukon and Porcupine Rivers can be a bit lower still. Jim River and Prospect Creek lie to the west of Fort Yukon and are in the cooler category. Another scary place is on the Alaska Highway near the Canadian border, which includes Snag and Beaver Creek.
Unless temperatures in places like Fairbanks, Fort Yukon or Tok are reaching the minus 60 category I would be suspicious of claims of temperatures of minus 70 or lower in the region. I would fully expect the Jim River report to NOT be accurate.
With that said, the stories of Ed H, above regarding local lows in the Interior are worth thinking about. Contrary to some suggestions in the comments above, the temperature will drop and keep dropping in the absence of significant disturbance in the air. Some individuals living southeast of Fairbanks have reported temperatures below minus 70 and even lower in that area and I would believe those reports. In Delta in February 1975 I saw a thermometer at minus 80 and another a short distance away at minus 73. There was no doubt in my mind that it was pretty cold.
As severe as that seems, it is my understanding that temperatures in Siberia are routinely colder — in the minus 80 range. And I have a friend who wintered at the South Pole with temperatures of more than minus 100.
Here in Anchorage, it is warming up to 10 F for a few days, although I think it will probably head back down below zero by the weekend. God help the lower forty eight states if this cold air mass releases all at once and heads south in February.

Richard Keen
January 31, 2012 12:49 am

Jerry says: Richard Keen have you been there?
….ummm, I’ve been around Alaska quite a bit, have spent the better part of a year on assorted glaciers, and live in Colorado where cold air also likes to pool in large and small valleys. I’ve even biked through these cold and warm pools, with a thermometer mounted on the handlebars. And I’m a co-op observer who has made forty thousand or so max and min temperature readings. But my personal experience is immaterial, since I’m comparing actual observed records at two locations, one of them the spot where the record low was approached. It’s the observed and documented readings that count, not how cold your or my knuckles feel as we ride our bikes.

MikeH
January 31, 2012 1:07 am

I have done some extensive research, personally funded , no big oil $$ :-(..
Doing a Google search:
“climate change”, WUWT is page 32
“global warming”, WUWT is page 31 (getting better)
and searching for AGW on Google reports WUWT on page………….
Wait for it………..
Almost there!!!!!
Page 2 of the Google search results!!!!!!!
(confetti flying everywhere!! Noise makers and streamers abound!!!)
Congratulation to all involved with the running of WUWT and especially to Anthony for creating it and putting up with all of us “Armchair Scientists”……

MikeH
January 31, 2012 1:13 am

Addendum to my previous post..
Now it would be nice if we could get the “climate change” and “global warming” ranked the same as AGW on Google…

January 31, 2012 1:14 am

John F. Hultquist says: January 30, 2012 at 8:09 pm
Makes me wonder, though, about the difficulty of marketing electric and hybrid-electric autos in certain areas. Do places that have generally low temperatures with occasional -40 days get exemptions for the CAFE standards?
——-
A quarter of the energy to run Fairbanks cars is already electrical.
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2011/10/02/electric-cars-in-alaska/

January 31, 2012 1:23 am

Why is there a snowfall record set 400 miles off the coast where there is no island?

January 31, 2012 1:26 am

> Alaska and Canada have been suffering through some of the coldest temperatures on record during the last week…
True, yet crap. Anthony, if you check a map you’ll notice that Canada is a pretty large country.
Here in Southern Ontario we have had the mildest winter in memory. We got 3 cm of snow today, more than we’ve had — in total — all winter. On the second-last day of January!
But wait! Weather isn’t climate!
Unless…it’s really cold. Then it’s climate! If it’s really mild then it’s just weather, which isn’t climate.
“Reality is that which, once you stop believing in it, doesn’t go away.” — P. Dick

Eric
January 31, 2012 1:29 am

So what you’re saying is that it was chilly.

Richard Keen
January 31, 2012 1:35 am

Old Nanook says:
Unless temperatures in places like Fairbanks, Fort Yukon or Tok are reaching the minus 60 category I would be suspicious of claims of temperatures of minus 70 or lower in the region. I would fully expect the Jim River report to NOT be accurate.
… well, the Fort Yukon co-op station checked in with a -66 yesterday, Jan. 30. So we may have some other coop station sending in a -70 at the end of the month (not all coop stations report daily). There’s still the outside chance of some lucky station getting to -80. But probably not Jim River, which was also “only” -66 yesterday (did someone go out there and change the battery?).

Mike McMillan
January 31, 2012 1:39 am

George E. Smith; says: January 30, 2012 at 8:07 pm
… You can only buy rechargeable Lithium BATTERIES of multiple cells, that are required to contain a fail safe current limiting fuse (definitely NOT a fuze) .

That may have been the problem with the Chevy Volt battery, George. The bureaucrats at Govt Motors just might have installed fuzes.

Steve Richards
January 31, 2012 1:48 am

Is it still possible to buy accurate equipment capable of streaming temperature measurements in Fahrenheit?
For calculation purposes you would have to convert these reading into Celsius prior to further use.

January 31, 2012 2:25 am

Jerker Andersson says:
January 30, 2012 at 10:21 pm
One thing strikes me, why install a thermometer that can not measure temperatures even close to what have been measured there?
—————
Perhaps because their motivation for monitoring conditions isn’t to accurately record the weather, but to determine if the conditions are appropriate to operate. The weather station only then has to be reliable over a range of conditions slightly wider than the operational limits of physical equipment/people.
So if it gets too cold/hot to measure, it’s outside of the range of temperatures that one would operate – for any number of reasons; but usually safety.

January 31, 2012 2:39 am

Extreme temperatures in any one location in any one year really do prove nothing either for or against the AGW hypothesis. I have posted elsewhere about the need to analyse at least 100 years of data before you start to be able to take out the effect of shorter ENSO and 60 year cycles and get down to the underlying ~1000 year cyclic trend.
I’m no warmist, but I am the first to confirm that the underlying long-term trend is still increasing due entirely to natural causes at a rate of about 0.05 degree C per decade, but such rate is decreasing and should be down to zero (ie a maximum temperature) within the next 150 to 250 years, after which about 500 years of cooling is expected. The trend is indeed expected to keep rising even beyond the year 2100 when it could well be 0.4 degrees above the current level. (See my other posts about the above 0.05C/decade calculation.)
Folks, the world is still warming. It only defeats our cause to try to prove it isn’t, because the 60 year cycle will turn back upwards after about 2028, so it’s best to be honest and tell them that’s what we expect. Let’s archive that prediction, as indeed I have a few months ago on my initial site http://earth-climate.com .
If you want to rubbish AGW you can do so using physics, on the basis that …
(1) Their assumptions relating to that -18C figure are not based on established physics, so all their sensitivity calculations are totally wrong, even if backradiation did warm anything. (See my posts on other threads for more detail, or my site http://climate-change-theory.com .)
(2) Backradiation actually does not exist to anywhere near the extent they suggest and they are not measuring it. (Their instruments measure frequency and convert it to temperature. Any further conversation to radiative flux is invalid.) They can show no warming from it (for example, show it warming a metal plate or melting frost) and that would be the only way to prove it had any effect such as what they say it has on the Earth’s surface. After all, they claim its intensity is about a quarter as much as the Sun at noon. It ought to melt frost in the course of 8 hours or so, but it doesn’t. The reason is, as Prof Claes Johnson proves, its frequency is below the cut-off frequency for which any warming could occur. And anything that does come down as LW radiation is probably just coming from a few “hot spots” in the atmosphere that were not necessarily warmed by carbon dioxide and its colleagues.
In summary, I would rather see this WUWT site place less emphasis on articles and news like this, and more emphasis on the physics of the situation. The warmists can’t argue that their physics is right about that -18C figure because they would just expose their ignorance if they still tried to support it. The Earth’s surface is far from insulated and so it is far from being a blackbody and really only radiates less than about 25 W/m^2. You cannot convert whatever it radiates to a “temperature” using the Stefan-Boltzmann Law, because so much other energy escapes by diffusion, conduction, convection, evaporation and chemical processes, leaving a lot less to radiate. What does still radiate carries no indication of ambient temperature and would in fact gives very cold values if stuck into that equation.

Bud
January 31, 2012 2:50 am

O/T, I know – sorry! Trying to subscribe to posts via RSS but Thunderbird informs me that this is not a valid feed: http://wattsupwiththat.com/feed/
Any hints or suggestions would be appreciated.
Regards,
Bud

cedarhill
January 31, 2012 3:01 am

Time to kickback and listen to what springtime will be like: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fVK-PlfvGR0
Fairbanks is chilly. Even the first of March you can wake up and find it’s -30F for you ride to the airport.

LazyTeenager
January 31, 2012 3:46 am

Richard Verney says
down the cooling, one would not expect to see any record lows.
———
No. The frequency of record highs will go up and the frequency of record lows will go down. It is still possible to have record lows.

EternalOptimist
January 31, 2012 3:49 am

If the battery failed, why did the unit continue to report pressure ?

BravoZulu
January 31, 2012 3:50 am

Jim River is very close where I was training in the army 32 years ago in February. It was about a hundred miles north of Fairbanks. We were there for a month in the 101st division. I wouldn’t want to be there today. We were lucky and had a record heat wave of up to 50 F above zero on several days. It hardly ever got below zero except for a few days. We were practicing protecting the pipeline from the Soviet Union. Our tent had a stove and ours looked like a jet engine with after burners with flames coming out the top. We weren’t cold.

John
January 31, 2012 3:51 am

Climate change means ‘extremes’ at both ends of the spectrum (extreme cold, extreme heat), because the hydrological cycle is disrupted (globally). Record lows then become expected, and the same for record highs. These readings are actually proof that climate change is in fact occurring, quite rapidly now. Those that doubt this are basically idiots, ill-informed and opinionated without evidence or proof to back up their claims. In addition to Alaska, extremes are occurring in many other places of the world, including torrential rains (India, Pakistan, Australia, Vietnam) all part of the hydrological cycle. Other extremes are also occurring too, killer tornadoes in Indonesia, and Mozambique with killer storms. Bulgaria just experienced deadly blizzards, China massive snowfalls. There are climate extremes now occurring non-stop around the world.

Mary Turner
January 31, 2012 4:07 am

Alan Statham says:
January 30, 2012 at 3:53 pm
It’s cold in Alaska in the winter, and therefore global warming isn’t happening. A most elegant proof. Well done.
REPLY: Only in your mind Alan (RW), and I don’t appreciate you putting words in my mouth not said. Take some time off in the troll bin. 48 hours should do it. – Anthony

They weren’t the only one to draw the inference, but they were the only one sent to the troll bin:
richard verney says:
January 30, 2012 at 3:15 pm
Record highs do not confirm global warming but are, of course, consistent with the theory.
On the other hand, record lows run prima facie against the theory; if all the manmade CO2 emitted this past century causes back radiation which in turn warms the atmosphere alternatively slows down the cooling, one would not expect to see any record lows. Of course, the odd one or two could be outliers but to still be setting record lows some 100 years after manmade emissions raises questions marks as to whether the AGW theory is correct, alternatively whether CO2 is as effective a temperature driver as AGW warmists would have one believe.
dscott says:
January 30, 2012 at 3:54 pm
Since AGW is supposed to show up as higher temps in the upper latitudes, numerous record lows below that of industrial time period are proof of the theory’s failure. AGW is supposed to affect the upper latitudes most of all.

A warming world does not preclude record low temperatures, it simply means that record lows will represent a smaller percentage of all temperature records. If you were true skeptics, rather than dogmatists and ideologues, you would know this and if Anthony was less of a hypocrite he would’ve offered you the same short shrift he offered Alan.

Brian M. Babey
January 31, 2012 4:15 am

This is why they should be using the wired version! Interesting that they don’t have a old style backup.

gene
January 31, 2012 4:43 am

Is Al going to give back the Oscar, the Nobel prize, and the Billions he has made?

FLOYD IN FLORIDA
January 31, 2012 4:58 am

So much for man made global warming? Even if there were global warming would you tree huggers explain to me how raising my power bill, raising my taxes and electing left wing Loon Democrats is going to lower the earth’s temperature? So Minus -80 degrees in Alaska is still
to Warm for ya?
Perhaps if Congress & Obama were not burning through $3 Trillion bucks in 3 years it might lower the Earths temperature, it would at least lower the tax payers & voters temperature!
VOTE THE BUM’S OUT NOV 2012!

SirGareth
January 31, 2012 5:00 am

Wow, the polar bears must be breeding like flies. Get set for the big reversal. No warming over the past 15 years…..ready for it….ready for it……Man Made Global Cooling!
We were all wrong before…we finally have it right…….global cooling taxes will fix the problem….the results of our taxes will warm the planet 100 years from now….you’ll see.

Tim Clark
January 31, 2012 5:04 am

[ John says:
January 31, 2012 at 3:51 am
Climate change means ‘extremes’ at both ends of the spectrum (extreme cold, extreme heat), because the hydrological cycle is disrupted (globally). Record lows then become expected, and the same for record highs. These readings are actually proof that climate change is in fact occurring, quite rapidly now. ]
Why don’t you help us all out here and put a date on an earthly period when “climate change” didn’t occur. Then suggest a period in the past when record lows or record highs didn’t occur. Then determine a period on earth since life began when those record lows or highs caused mass extinction. Then determine if the highs ever did, or if the ice ages were the only time.

Jon
January 31, 2012 5:06 am

John says:
January 31, 2012 at 3:51 am
Climate change means ‘extremes’ at both ends of the spectrum (extreme cold, extreme heat).
That does not support the idea of a “greenhouse effect” …. my greenhouse doesn’t get colder if I add another layer of plastic … even in winter!

ozspeaksup
January 31, 2012 5:07 am

L. says:
January 30, 2012 at 4:08 pm
“It’s cold in Alaska in the winter, and therefore global warming isn’t happening. A most elegant proof. Well done.”
But when it’s hot in Australia in summer, AGW people say it is proof… Talk about wanting your cake and eating it as well…
==================
cake in 42c?
its too hot to eat on days like that
it melted
and the bread went mouldy in 2 days:-(
left the butter out and it slid off the table…
but its cooler now:-)
actually its gone from damn hot to nippy again.

FedUp in Washington
January 31, 2012 5:14 am

Well, here in Washington D.C. it’s supposed to be in the balmy mid-sixties today. I’m waiting to see the Washington Post tell us that’s more proof of global warming! But then you have the extreme cold weather in Alaska (in the winter, go figure) and I’m supposed to believe it’s global cooling!? I’m so confused!! Oh! I forgot…”Climate Change” is the new mantra. I understand now. Then I guess it’s ok to raise my taxes and the govenment will somehow moderate the earths temperature. This is what Obama’s selling…any takers?

Elvis
January 31, 2012 5:14 am

I’m sure Al gores concocting a new scheme, like man made global cooling to win another nobel prize and to make billions.

January 31, 2012 5:17 am

George E. Smith; says on January 30, 2012 at 8:07 pm:
Who designs this stuff ? Semiconductor diodes can track Temperature down to very low Temperatures, and quite linear with …

The ‘equipment’ is designed for (albeit) high-end domestic consumer market, not the military; “over-design” and your competitive advantage goes away and you get ‘eaten’ by your _competition_ …

… At least 40 years ago,semiconductor circuits were being built that had data sheet specs from -55 deg C to +125 deg C for military or space applications. That’s -67 F, and far from the limit.

And we used to ‘cold-soak’ product (a dual-mode nose-mounted aircraft RADAR for the Panavia Tornado aircraft) at -55 deg C in the anticipated application of a high-altitude (cold!) transiting flights (in silent mode w/power off!) to target area followed by some nap-of-the-earth flying (via the TFR or Terrain Following RADAR) and land feature identification (during less-than-ideal-weather; this was the European Theater after all and the Russian/Soviet bear was still an active ‘threat’) via the GMR or Ground Mapping RADAR for ‘payload’ delivery to target (e.g. runway demolition during The Gulf War.)

… Modern LED flashlights have switching regulator circuits, that keep the light fully bright, way past the knee visibility point, so you think they never are going to die.

Which ones? The $2 spun-aluminum (or even plastic) cheapies? The cheapies run three cells in series (Zinc-carbon as bought, Alkaline which I use as replacements for longevity, and I’ve used NiCd and NiMH successfully too, and all three types of batteries ‘dim’ when nearing end-of-life), NO current limit (save whatever an individual LEDs may present insofar as bulk resistivity.)

I have a hard time believing that some thermometric gizmo, could be off by a factor of two and be left still functioning; it should have a low Voltage cutout that shuts the thing down before it reads rong.

When said “thermometric gizmo” (albeit) high-end domestic consumer market is operated significantly below specification?
C’mon George,we both know you and I would love for you to be building my equipment (including weather stations!) for me and the rest of the world, but a) what would the time-to-market be and 2) could we afford it, even in quantity?
Remember too, it’s not enough to simply build it, you have to test it as well, during the development cycle (of course), as well as during the manufacturing cycle (at the minimum a sampling of product if you’re just shipping to the public and 100% if NOAA or various DOTs or govts are your customer!)
.

ross
January 31, 2012 5:19 am

Alaska can keep the cold weather. Because of the jetstream, when it is way below freezing in Fairbanks in January it is balmy here in the mid atlantic.

trbixler
January 31, 2012 5:19 am

So now in Alaska the thermometer missed the -80 or so (battery went into hypothermia). In fact there are statements that say the instrument is good only to -40. So possibly an error of -40 degrees. Alaska is a pretty big state (country?) with very low temperatures across its land. We say we know the temperatures to .xx or so. How can that be.

Eric Swanson
January 31, 2012 5:23 am

Anthony, the battery problem could easily produce an incorrect low temperature reading. Measuring the resistance of a thermistor is critical, as the temperature is calculated from the measured resistance. Measuring resistance requires accurate measurement of current, assuming a constant voltage, however, if the voltage also changes, the problem becomes more difficult. Using my previous thermistor example, applying 3 volts to the thermistor with a resistance of 1,640,357 ohms (the value corresponding to -80F) would produce a current of 1.83 microamps, a very small current. But, if the applied voltage were reduced to 2.4 volts, that current would require to a resistance of only 1,312,286 ohms. Comparing this value with the thermistor shows that the corresponding temperature would have been -75F. When you correspond with the manufacturer, you might ask them at what voltage the transmitter quits, information which could be used to correct the reading for the low battery output.

SirGareth
January 31, 2012 5:30 am

Wait wait wait…its the “extremes” don’t you see, so when you get both record lows and record highs in the very same year its “climate disruption” don’t you see. Oh wait, that was 1934 the year of record breaking “extremes” (except extreme climate BS – that occurred in 2008)

Michael Schaefer
January 31, 2012 5:31 am

One cool way to stay warm –
http://www.bullerjan.com/web/en/bullerjan/design.html
Enjoy!

January 31, 2012 5:33 am

Por favor, a do-over mods .. I muffed formatting on the prev. post … TNX

John says on January 31, 2012 at 3:51 am
Climate change means ‘extremes’ at both ends of the spectrum (extreme cold, extreme heat), because the hydrological cycle is disrupted (globally). Record lows then become expected, and the same for record highs.

Sounds plausible when delivered in rhetoric, but, does the record to date even come close to bearing this out?
And – do we have ‘instrument complications’ (e.g. the case of the Davis wx station as presented in the head post of this thread) because mercury-filled indicating devices are no longer being used, and the use of “modern devices” can be seen to potentially ‘limit’ the accurate measuring and recording of cold weather, and therefore cold climate, events?
I would ask the sharp-tongued -er- penned Mary Turner the same thing; can you back your rhetoric up with any data or studies which support the rhetoric?
How do you make the case where your instrumentation is presenting a major handicap in obtaining hard, cold, factual data upon which to base assertions, make projections, perform extrapolations of ‘climate’ into the future?
.

Frank K.
January 31, 2012 5:37 am

Mary Turner says:
January 31, 2012 at 4:07 am
“A warming world does not preclude record low temperatures…”
Please explain the physics and thermodynamics behind this assertion. Remember, the earth has been “warming” for over 100 years…

James Binkmeister
January 31, 2012 5:38 am

Earth is tilting slightly

Kasuha
January 31, 2012 5:42 am

Regarding the official statement, there’s a fine difference between saying temperatures from a personal station operating way out of its spec are unreliable and between saying they’re not correct. If they said they’re unreliable I’d definitely agree with them. But if they say they’re incorrect then I start wondering how much incorrect may them be. Maybe they could make the airport people fix their National Weather Service Standard-compliant equipment to allow some cross-callibration while it’s still chilly there?

Tom in Florida
January 31, 2012 5:43 am

Will someone please find a warmer temperature within 1200 miles and average them so we produce a much more appealing scenario.

Dan
January 31, 2012 5:53 am

Where is the energizer bunny when
you need him?

Richard M
January 31, 2012 5:56 am

John says:
January 31, 2012 at 3:51 am
Climate change means ‘extremes’ at both ends of the spectrum (extreme cold, extreme heat), because the hydrological cycle is disrupted (globally). Record lows then become expected, and the same for record highs. These readings are actually proof that climate change is in fact occurring, quite rapidly now. Those that doubt this are basically idiots, ill-informed and opinionated without evidence or proof to back up their claims.

Isn’t is amazing that temperatures have been much warmer during our own little Interglacial (Holocene) without destroying civilization. Maybe you need to take off the blinders and find out what’s really happening. Hang around and you’ll get an education.
In addition to Alaska, extremes are occurring in many other places of the world, including torrential rains (India, Pakistan, Australia, Vietnam) all part of the hydrological cycle. Other extremes are also occurring too, killer tornadoes in Indonesia, and Mozambique with killer storms. Bulgaria just experienced deadly blizzards, China massive snowfalls. There are climate extremes now occurring non-stop around the world.
Yes, weather happens. Always has and always will. It is no different today and trends in violent weather have not changed. You really need to get away from all the doom and gloom sites and learn the truth.

Jay
January 31, 2012 6:02 am

What the hell do all of you do when you aren’t on here?????? Where do you find time to disprove each other on weather facts???? Go…go outside…go talk to another human being. Come up out of your parents basement and venture out into society. Geeze……..

MikeH
January 31, 2012 6:07 am

John said:
Climate change means ‘extremes’ at both ends of the spectrum (extreme cold, extreme heat), because the hydrological cycle is disrupted (globally)
No one here is stating that the climate doesn’t change, it’s just the question on mans’ influence thru the introduction of CO2. Part of the main observation is that the models that predicted Global Warming, I mean Climate Change, I mean Global Climate Disruption, those models didn’t predict these extremes. Only afterwards are they tailoring their models to include these.
On the comments that these are Climate Extremes, shouldn’t we classify these as Weather Extremes? It’s been well debated that there is a difference between Weather and Climate. Single instances, even a season or two does not make climate. It may be a terrible burden on the populations living in those areas, but whether the weather was influenced by CO2 in the atmosphere, thus changing the hydrological cycle, has not been proven. And to dictate to countries how they should conduct their affairs inside their borders, based on flawed science, is ludicrous.
The earth is ‘alive’, so to speak. It is a dynamic system that we try to measure, model and predict. But when people state “see, there are floods here, or droughts there, AGW and CO2 are to blame” the science just doesn’t prove it.
With the population of the earth growing, more and more people are living in ever more crowded and deplorable conditions. You throw in heavy rain storms and high winds, casualties start increasing. Then with instant access news, it’s all over the world.
Not all starvation in Africa is occurring because of droughts brought on by weather/climate.. Warlords fighting each other, keeping supplies of food, medicine and hardware from reaching the people most affected. Governmental (i.e. the U.N.) interference in countries developing their own energy infrastructure are keeping their people in poverty.. Places in Africa are sitting on huge deposits of coal. They could use that to help lift their people out of poverty.. But the U.N. keep insisting these countries follow a Green path.. Doctors have to select whether to use their solar power for illumination to see patients, or to run the refrigerator with the medicine. Choices that are imposed by bureaucrats, living comfortable lives in comfortable homes…
One could trace back a lot of the social and economic problems back to bureaucratic interference, regulation and their ‘good intentions’ based on unsound information. Let’s not make a mistake with CO2 and our energy future.. (Go Thorium!!)

Pat
January 31, 2012 6:11 am

Global warming my a$$, I guess this puts an end to that hoax.

Steve from Rockwood
January 31, 2012 6:29 am

Andrew30 says:
January 30, 2012 at 4:29 pm
MaxL says: January 30, 2012 at 4:20 pm
Your from Canada? You must know Bob Franklin, he lives there too, near the beer store 🙂
All the time, many people just do not grasp the size of this country.
————————————————————
Plus the fact that there are four beer stores and two Bob Franklins. How are supposed to know how to contact him and let him know he made the Internet?

Peter
January 31, 2012 6:36 am

It’s been an unusually warm winter where I am in the northeast US. Could wind up being our warmest winter ever.
But every time there is a record low, it proves global warming wrong.

H.R.
January 31, 2012 6:40 am

@TimO says:
January 30, 2012 at 5:06 pm
“-80??? Been through -60 during the Blizzard of ’78 in Ohio and that was bloody cold. […]”
-60F in Ohio didn’t happen unless that was wind chill. The record cold reading for Ohio is -39F if my google-fu is good. Yup. I was in that blizzard too.

Brendan
January 31, 2012 6:40 am

Ric Werme says: (in response to me…)
January 30, 2012 at 9:34 pm
>It’s not a NOAA station. It’s a DOT (Dept. of Transportation) station.
True… But I did preface it by stating my uncertainty as to who owned it. I also stated “…an official US station should be properly spanned.” That is still true. You don’t use measuring instruments where you expect them to go near or above (or below) their ranges. Its just bad science. I would have savagely beaten with broccoli undergraduates who used measurements outside the range of the measurement devices.
Thermistors use a curve fit to interpolate voltage to temperature. Dependent upon the equation (and there are a few standard ones – wiki has a good discussion of it) http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thermistor. Due to the log function, it may go out of linearity 50 c below its lowest temperature. But the good folks at Davis should be able to back calculate how badly its doing at that point (they have the constants for their thermistor, after all, and know how it works). After all, they have sold a device that is good to within +/- x degree. They just won’t stand behind something outside that range. I’m sure Anthony will report what that is.
As for our friends at DOT/NOAA (and even Davis). I mentioned the low temp lithium batteries that they should use. Since their temperature sensor is a plug in (and replaceable) they should make a low temperature spanned version. You don’t need to replace the entire unit. Just replace the plug in and do a software update. They should not be just tweaking the software to give a N/A when it gets below -40. They know they have a problem and their solution is to ignore it? Dumb.

January 31, 2012 6:41 am

Satellites measured -73 F day before yesterday. http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/goes/blog/archives/9672

Mary Turner
January 31, 2012 6:42 am

Frank K. says:
January 31, 2012 at 5:37 am
Mary Turner says:
January 31, 2012 at 4:07 am
“A warming world does not preclude record low temperatures…”

Please explain the physics and thermodynamics behind this assertion. Remember, the earth has been “warming” for over 100 years…
…by <a href="http://woodfortrees.org/plot/hadcrut3vgl/from:1850/trend"0.8°C.
I’m not sure why you think outliers in a chaotic system should be constrained if we add energy to it, but lets assume its true. The lowest temperature recorded on earth is -89.2°C, the temperature rise seen since then, 0.45°C, would still allow lows of -88.75°C without falsifying claims of global warming.

Pamela Gray
January 31, 2012 6:47 am

John, you are the one appearing to site a metric without also including proofs or links. So how do you measure the hydrological cycle? What parameters of weather (since extremes are properly referred to as weather, not climate, according to AGW-speak) would you look at to determine baseline hydrological cycles and the anomalies you say are occuring? I have news for you but I will keep quiet for now. Please go ahead and state your case for a disrupted cycle and provide links.

edbarbar
January 31, 2012 6:48 am

WUWT gets listed on the Drudge report!

Gary Pearse
January 31, 2012 6:50 am

I’ve stated before that one can’t trust Colonel Sanders to look after our chickens. I think it is prudent and good science to have “referee thermometers” widely scattered.

Ben Dover
January 31, 2012 6:51 am

Should have used Duracell.
How inconvenient. Now the world will never know the truth.

January 31, 2012 6:54 am

Here is the actual station data: http://ow.ly/8MCgL With official station Bettles dropping to -60 http://ow.ly/8MCyF I think the -70s are plausible – we’ve seen this kind of large local difference before with slight changes in snow cover or elevation (when IL broke their record) BUT there’s no way to prove it unless somebody drives out there this morning to check the temperature at Jim River (which is -70 again Tuesday morning)

January 31, 2012 6:55 am

Ooops,
On my last post I have misread the scale on the data (C for F).
Maybe I have a future in climate science after all 🙂

Actually, interesting post. There is an ancient work of science fiction — still one of my all time favorites — by Murray Leinster titled “The Planet Explorer”. Sadly, although a lot of Leinster’s early vintage SF is out of copyright, this one is not and there are only some 10 or 11 copies available used on Amazon for the uber-sf-fan.
One of the four novellas in this work is about an planet that is settled while it is in the throes of an ice age — and it turns out that the pre-colonial survey was inadequate and the star it circles is a long term variable star (perhaps not unlike our own, BTW). The solar constant drops, and looks like it is going to stay down for 100 years or so, kicking the planet from cold but “borderline habitable” over to “deep freeze”. The protagonist is a problem-solving troubleshooter for the colonial survey, and as the planet’s night time temperature at the coldest points creeps over towards the freezing point for CO_2, he sweats bullets.
At that point, you see, the CO_2 falls out of the atmosphere is dry ice snow, the greenhouse effect goes away, and nitrogen and oxygen fall out as rain a short while later. Everybody dies, even if dayside temperatures remain warm enough to re-boil the nightly rain of liquid air. Whether this is precisely reasonable as a consequence — the CO_2 might become unstable, but in a very dilute solution actually nucleating into dry ice snow seems a bit of a stretch — is beside the point, of course — it is science fiction — but it is certainly in the range of plausibility, where suspended disbelief makes the story enjoyable, at least if you aren’t one of the (IMO silly) humans that deny that CO_2 is in any way responsible for warming the planet “at all”.
FWIW, the protagonist solves the problem by crafting “bombs” of easily ionized metal gases and lofting them into orbit, spreading a “comet’s tail” of plasma that pumps the planet’s ionosphere and stimulates the aurora and ultimately warms the planet by making the night-time sky block outgoing IR even more efficiently than CO_2 (similar proposals have been made for dealing with AGW in the other direction — putting up a visible light veil between the Earth and the Sun that effectively downshifts the Earth’s albedo — although personally I think of such proposals as batshit crazy playing with fire, given our general lack of understanding of the chaotic system and the lurking ice-age attractor that is very probably just a tiny shift of unknown conditions away from being emergent.
Fortunately, our planet is more or less proven against runaway feedback from any sort of low-side or high side excursion by simple history. It has been way, way colder than the present without the CO_2 freezing out and the air falling as rain (although CO_2 levels dropped dangerously close to the critical partial pressure as far as plant respiration is concerned during the last ice age). It has been far warmer than it is now — I mean 5-10C warmer, warm enough that Antarctica had mild winters — without catastrophe and boiling oceans. Clearly there are numerous negative feedbacks that so far shield the planet from the “catastrophic” extremes, provided that you don’t count an ice age itself as a prima facie catastrophe (I personally would — that’s the real “climate change” catastrophic risk, not the hyperbolic and absurd Boiling Oceans of Hansen).
We have indeed had a generally mild winter in NC. It started out with some spectacular and early cold, but then we’ve had prevailing winds that more often carry warm, wet air up from the subtropics (e.g. the Gulf) rather than the bitterly cold Canadian Highs that can drop the temperature here to single digits. Currently we’re very dry, and during the day it warms to the low to mid 50s while still dropping into the high 20s — not a lot of “heat trapping” by the CO_2 part of the greenhouse effect with 30-40F temperature swings mediated purely by nighttime radiative loss. Swing just a bit of moisture in, though, and we get an extra 10F on both ends — today through Thursday we are predicted to make it up to the high 60s daytime and low 50s nighttime, which is really pretty warm for the start of February although 70 weather in January or February is far from unknown over the 40 odd years I’ve lived in Durham.
As the top article suggests, I’m guessing that our warmth is tightly coupled to Alaska’s cold. The PDO has changed phase, and instead of mixing (cooling the mid-latitudes and warming the poles) the polar circulation is much less mixed, and hence is cooling right down. The more “usual” pattern, from what I remember from 40 years ago, when the PDO was just starting to shift FROM the phase it just entered — is for the air up there to build up and get very cold indeed and then to periodically sweep down over us in NC in waves, waves that I can recall dropping the daytime temperature from mid-50s to around 15 F over around six hours in the middle of the day one memorable year around 30 years ago — I started doing the brakes of my car in the 50s without gloves or a jacket and my fingers were freezing off of my hands when I finished in the teens with the thickest coat I didn’t mind getting dirty on my body — and did I mention the wind?
So the poster above who worries about what will happen when all of the supercold air up there is destabilized by the advent of spring has the right to be concerned. I suppose it could all just stay up there, and the northern latitudes could have a very long, very cold spring where the winter ice takes forever to melt and we don’t get much of the cold air, but I think it is rather more likely that we’ll get a few really impressive blasts of very, very cold air as the coming of spring spawns turbulent rolls that peel off of the pool of cold air and are deflected southeast — or even south, into CA, freezing out a season’s worth of crops and killing the citrus in one of the prime vegetable and fruit growing regions of the US.
I’m a bit worried about what I like to call “lying spring” syndrome in NC. A mild winter and early spring are fine here, as well, as long as we don’t have a blast of arctic air that causes late frost on top of it! Frost in March is good — it keeps the fruit trees from blooming. Frost in May is bad — it kills all of the peaches and actually kills azaleas that are winter hardy enough, but really hate to be hard-frosted once their spring sap starts to move and the bloom. We lost almost all of our azaleas around 15 years ago in just such a lying spring, with a mid-20’s hard frost around May 4th (after an otherwise, mild but unremarkable spring). Sounds like there is a world of hurt building up in Canada and Alaska, all set to come rolling down over NC in April or even May, if it doesn’t start spilling over and coming our way in time to delay “spring” otherwise.
rgb

Gary Pearse
January 31, 2012 6:57 am

For the ideologues who trot out the Global warming creates extremes meme, recall that those extremes are not supposed to occur in the Arctic – its supposed to be geting amplified warmth. Also, the charade of calling the theory anything other than global warming is pure dishonesty. If it is climate disrupton, why are we talking about the melting of the ice, the creeping of warm country species towards the poles, calatous rises in sea level to come. This would only happen with global warming. Useful idiots are numerous but not so numerous as to buy this baloney in bulk.

January 31, 2012 6:58 am

Jay says:
How do you know if folks are on here all the time without being here youself? LOL

Donald
January 31, 2012 6:59 am

Will the mosquitoes survive this?

Neo
January 31, 2012 7:08 am

Do these Lithium batteries even work at -79 degrees F ?
My brief exposure to oil hole logging gave me an appreciation of extreme temperatures. Sensor probes at a depth of 18,000 ft undergo temperatures above 180 degrees C. This is well beyond the “mil spec” rated (120C) electronic parts.
I’m pretty sure that that poor lithium battery may not work too well when it gets that cold.

David in Ardmore
January 31, 2012 7:09 am

:
If climate change killed the dinosaurs, then it helped us thrive. Our warm-blooded bodies typically maintain a temperature of 98.6 deg F. Much of today’s warm-blooded species developed as the result of climate change — our bodies regulate temperature rather than rely on an external source of warmth (i.e., the sun, water vapor, ideal climate!).
Legacy empirical data, and our ability to apply our knowledge of chemistry, make it clear that and abundance of atmospheric carbon dioxide is not a harbinger of warmth, but a follower. Carbon dioxide is heavy, dude!

Mashiki
January 31, 2012 7:20 am

Michael Vaughmit says:
January 31, 2012 at 1:26 am
>Here in Southern Ontario we have had the mildest winter in memory. We got 3 cm of snow today, >more than we’ve had — in total — all winter. On the second-last day of January!
I don’t know how long you’ve been living here Michael, but I’ve been living here all my life. But this sure isn’t “mildest in memory.” And I can tell you that I can remember winters much warmer than this. And winters much colder than this. Last winter was bad, really bad. Nearly as bad as when my grandparents were kids back in the 20’s, and told us about the squalls boxing in cities and getting out of the 2nd story windows of their houses. We had nearly 5m of snow in a 1.5wk period where I live. That didn’t hold true for the entire province, but I don’t live in a traditional snowbelt area, and they lived up near ottawa when that happened. But even areas in the london-KW belt got 1-2m of snow, and areas in the london-windsor area got 3-5m of snow. Without even getting into the heavy squall zones which got more. And boy was it cold.
As for warm, back about hmm 5 years ago, it was warmer than this. It was canadian shirtsleeves weather, with golfing in january and the start of green grass. Not quite shorts weather. The winter we’ve been having so far here in Southern Ontario, is defiantly light jacket weather though.

Russ in Houston
January 31, 2012 7:22 am

Can anyone explain to me why the average high and low temps in the far north (Barrow) have a 12 degree difference in the middle of winter. The sun doesn’t rise, so what causes the change in temp.

JDN
January 31, 2012 7:22 am

Isopropyl alcohol is listed as having a freezing point of -90C. I tried to find a water-isopropyl phase diagram but couldn’t. If someone on WUWT can find a phase diagram, a person on the ground in AK can mix graded solutions of isopropyl & distilled water to make thermometer that will accurately measure -80C.
Just put a series of solutions (probably ~0-15% water in isopropyl) in sealed tubes outside. Then, photograph which solutions freeze. Don’t forget to shake tubes before imaging to prevent supercooling. It will be like Mythbusters. The only battery that need work will be in the camera.

Thom
January 31, 2012 7:37 am

I just can’t wait for the Hansen January map showing Alaska or Europe basking in red.

Steve
January 31, 2012 7:42 am

Usually equipment like this has a battery monitor and will shut itself down if the battery voltage drops too low. The whole idea is that if you get a reading you can trust it. Operating out of spec is a different story but Davis should be able to confirm if they have a low battery monitor and shutdown function.

Frank K.
January 31, 2012 7:56 am

Mary Turner says:
January 31, 2012 at 6:42 am
“Im not sure why you think outliers in a chaotic system should be constrained if we add energy to it, but lets assume its true. The lowest temperature recorded on earth is -89.2C, the temperature rise seen since then, 0.45C, would still allow lows of -88.75C without falsifying claims of global warming.”
Re: 0.45C “temperature rise”. Can you please explain which “temperature” you’re referring to? Is this the “temperature of the earth”? An average? How was it derived? Where? 2m above the ground? 5m above the ground? Does it matter? What about the sea surface temperatures? They are mixed up in the 0.45C “temperature” rise. Do they matter?
“The lowest temperature recorded on earth is -89.2C, the temperature rise seen since then, 0.45C, would still allow lows of -88.75C without falsifying claims of global warming.”
This is pretty silly argument. So just add 0.45 C to the all time record low temperature (that is known) in one location, and that means any location on Earth can possibly reach this “all time” low as an “outlier” to the chaos that is climate – HEH!!

glenp
January 31, 2012 8:08 am

more global warming news eh??? you know global warming causes ultra low temps!

glenp
January 31, 2012 8:08 am

where are all the global warming reports of artic ice disappearing??

A physicist
January 31, 2012 8:09 am

Thom says: I just can’t wait for the Hansen January map showing Alaska or Europe basking in red.

Thom, for skeptic and nonskeptic alike, there is no need to wait: monthly summaries are available here.
And yes, during 2011 our planet was bathed in red.
Like the navigator says in Kubrik’s Dr. Strangelove:

“I’m sorry sir. Those ARE the numbers.

And surely, rational skepticism isn’t afraid to look at the numbers, eh?
REPLY: Oh please. Some days I wonder if you aren’t just mendacious without substance. What you posted is *not* GISS, as we know, GISS takes the NOAA data and sends the NOAA data through the sausage grinder to pop out a new specially adjusted data set of their own with no care to looking at the need for adjustment. So much for your “rational” contribution when you can’t even compare data sets correctly.
We’ll wait for the January GISS report, until then please just hold your commentary because your contributions like this are just noise. If you reply to criticize me directly, then you’ll be putting your name to it per your recent acknowledgement of the importance of that. Otherwise it is the bit bucket.
– Anthony

JoeG