Be careful today and tonight, billions may die

UPDATE: January 1st, 2012 – still here, no reports of mass deaths at the last minute. – Anthony

Global warming may go on a last minute rampage. Maybe best to just stay at home and lock your doors, bar your windows, and turn your air conditioner on. If you live near the coast, head for high ground. Deaths due to drinking and  driving will be nothing compared to this.

This story appeared in The Canadian January 8th, 2007, it’s been a countdown example of stupidity ever since. Unbelievably, it is still on their website. Note today’s date.

Over at the Daily Bayonet, where they’ve been following for this for years, they have encouraging news:

Assuming there is no last minute surprise attack by pesky methane clathrates, the Daily Bayonet wishes you a safe and happy 2012.

If it happens, it will be the gaia fart heard round the world.

0 0 votes
Article Rating
Newest Most Voted
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
December 31, 2011 1:36 pm

Cut them some slack. They did say “could.”
Starting tomorrow they’ll just change the year.

A Lovell
December 31, 2011 1:38 pm

Don’t you love these predictions coming back to bite them in the a**e?
Happy New Year to one and all.

December 31, 2011 1:40 pm


December 31, 2011 1:41 pm

Oh yes, and Happy New Year!
May it be the Year of the Climate Realist!

ferd berple
December 31, 2011 1:42 pm

“Runaway Global Warming promises to literally burn-up agricultural areas into dust worldwide by 2012, causing global famine, anarchy, diseases, and war on a global scale as military powers including the U.S., Russia, and China, fight for control of the Earth’s remaining resources.
Over 4.5 billion people could die from Global Warming related causes by 2012, as planet Earth accelarates into a greed-driven horrific catastrophe.”
Fanforkingtastic! Look on the bright side. Over 4.5 billion people will no longer have to worry about global warming, er climate change, er climate disruption, er climate Armageddon, er the weather.

Al Gored
December 31, 2011 1:44 pm

Gotta love that little blurb to the right which says “Help support investigative Journalism, and Democracy.”
Yes. Journalism this excellent really helps voters make such well informed decisions in a democracy.
Or as Chomsky called it, manufactured consent.
Anyhow, this is going to be quite something. Unless i just screwed up my mental arithmetic it looks like it will take about 13 million AGW related deaths per day to hit that prediction by the end of next year.
Not to mention the terrible toll on polar bears and lizards.

December 31, 2011 1:46 pm

Happy New Year to all.

Paul Westhaver
December 31, 2011 1:48 pm

John Stokes is [SNIP: Language. But I think everyone gets your point. REP]. 5 Years ago I said these hyperbolic abusers of science for political purposes were inflating a theory…for money…tax money.
We have a conservative government now and all the lies are being undone.
In January 2007 you lied. Why don’t you just shut your you lying mouth. The grown-ups are in charge now and you are just freaked-out left wing noise.

December 31, 2011 1:54 pm

Aha, so that’s what they mean with “Tipping Point”? The Great Gaia Fart? (GGF)

December 31, 2011 1:57 pm

I guess you have to go fart and wide to find sanity out there. Barrie Harrop is still bleating about the courts putting Lisa Jackson on hold.

Robert Austin
December 31, 2011 1:59 pm

Why does “socially progressive” almost invariably coorelate with profound gullibility married to willful ignorance. Even the scientifically ignorant amongst us
should recognize that predictions like this are preposterous.

December 31, 2011 2:03 pm

Oh, the HUMANITY!!!!

December 31, 2011 2:05 pm

BUT…this was all supposed to happen BY 2012.
So given that we are 30 seconds away from 2011 being over this is just another example of Mann Made Global Warming ™ prophesy that hasnt come to pass!

December 31, 2011 2:07 pm

Well you know what they say. We often get the claim their ‘figures’ were on the conservative side.
They really wanted to say 6 billion could die.
Anyway Happy New Year to One and All.
Let’s hope 2012 will bring an end to this Utter Hyberbole of AGW/CC Doomsday nonsense. (OH I just remembered. 2012 is suppossed to be the end of the World according to some. 🙂 )

December 31, 2011 2:09 pm

Its the old and completely stupid permafrost scenario.

Dr. Dave
December 31, 2011 2:10 pm

Paul Westhaver,
Read this and chortle…a chortle is well deserved.

December 31, 2011 2:11 pm

Yes be careful. I clicked on their comments link which Firefpx blocked.
“Reported Attack Page!”

December 31, 2011 2:12 pm

Then how come everyone didn’t die during the Holocene Climate Optimum? That’s when we were discovering agriculture and inventing beer.

December 31, 2011 2:13 pm

Firefox. grrr…

Danny V
December 31, 2011 2:15 pm

“The Canadian” seems to have died. The last articles are from 2009. Skimming the Environmental section shows it to be a left wing publication. RIP or something like that

David, UK
December 31, 2011 2:15 pm

The Canadian describes itself as “socially progressive.” Need I really say more?

December 31, 2011 2:17 pm

Yawn. Twitter me when this actually happens.

December 31, 2011 2:21 pm

Listen out for that Great Gaia Fart. Should be good! Love the new WUWT Heading too.

December 31, 2011 2:27 pm

The Canadian is a left wing nut job newspaper. There latest has our Prime minister connected to Nazis intellectuals. Jeesh
Happy New Year everyone!

Steve in SC
December 31, 2011 2:27 pm

Best to stay home anyway.
Primary danger is amateur drunks though.

December 31, 2011 2:30 pm

“…If it happens, it will be the gaia fart heard round the world…”
Nobody light a match – the thrust may move us into a new orbit, farther away from the sun.
Sure would make it cooler.

brian lemon
December 31, 2011 2:32 pm

If you don’t read newspapers then you will probably be uninformed.
If you do read newspapers, then you will probably be misinformed..

December 31, 2011 2:33 pm

Who cut the cheese?

December 31, 2011 2:38 pm

He who smelt it delta it.

December 31, 2011 2:38 pm

Happy New Year, everybody!
I’ll check in tomorrow to see if we’ve all survived this gaia fart …

December 31, 2011 2:39 pm

Hi Anthony, Mods and readers. Have a Happy New Year!
I can’t access the tips and notes page for some reason, just wanted to point out that Prof. Nir J. Shaviv has a pole up on his site.
The results are encouraging 🙂
What is your expertise, and what is the cause of 20th century climate change?

Leon Brozyna
December 31, 2011 2:41 pm

Global warming causes everything … by this point in the season, we should have had nearly 37″ of snow but this year we’ve only had 3.8″ … it’s global warming, fer sure.
And tomorrow, climate change kicks in and delivers 4″ to 8″ of global warming over the course of a day and a half.

December 31, 2011 2:42 pm
Gordon Oehler
December 31, 2011 2:47 pm

Anthony, didn’t you solicit comments of doom some time ago? You said you were going to do a report with them? Is it still on your schedule?
Thanks. Love your site.

December 31, 2011 2:48 pm

I just hope I don’t get one of those hangovers, that start out with the feeling you are going to die, and progress into the stage where death would be a blessing 🙂
Happy New Year everyone.

Sean Peake
December 31, 2011 2:51 pm

So now do I do with all the cases of canned food in my bomb shelt… er basement?

P. Hanely
December 31, 2011 2:52 pm

If methane clathrates present that much of a threat, the proper thing to do is harvest them as the energy resource they are.

December 31, 2011 3:01 pm

Thanks God…Al Baby is not in the world is OK. ! Happy New Year!

December 31, 2011 3:02 pm

Al Gored says: “…Yes. Journalism this excellent really helps voters make such well informed decisions in a democracy. Or as Chomsky called it, manufactured consent.”
You may enjoy the following “Chomskybot:”

December 31, 2011 3:03 pm

Funny there are people (Socialist/ warmers) and the rest of us. Canada is well represented with both. Thank god for the rest of us!
December 31, 2011
Canada Soars
A.M. Mora y Leon
As America’s economy struggles, a funny thing happened on the way to the next-door neighbor nation that has up until now always been considered a dogleg off our economy. Canada’s economy is soaring.
It’s that they did anything particularly unusual. And it’s definitely not that they are what economists casually dismiss as “a commodity economy” experiencing a temporary boom.
In reality, Canada has genuinely gone its own way, getting itself out from the shadow of the US economic picture at just the right time. The government of conservative Prime Minister Stephen Harper has embraced free markets, not just one or two things, but a whole banquet of all the things that make economies grow – smaller government, free trade, one tax cut after another, and energy development and security. Net result? Same as what Chile got when it tried the same kinds of reforms – a booming economy.
IBD wonders what the heck the U.S. would look like if it just followed the tax-cutting, government slashing model that has made even the dullest nation turn into the Canadian puma state. What really would it look like?

Dave N
December 31, 2011 3:14 pm

Remember that 2012 doesn’t end for a year. It could still happen… and I also have some swamp land for sale

December 31, 2011 3:16 pm

His Lordship may be having a word with them.
Monckton: ‘I have begun drafting a memorandum for prosecuting authorities…to establish…the existence of numerous specific instances of scientific or economic fraud in relation to the official ‘global warming’ storyline…they will act, for that is what the law requires them to do’
Happy New Year all.

December 31, 2011 3:19 pm
December 31, 2011 3:27 pm

“Ages 3-6. Not intended for use except on pre-schoolers, kindergarteners, and Hollywood actors and actresses.”

December 31, 2011 3:28 pm

Well its 2012 here and I haven’t noticed anything other than a need for an aspirin – maybe that’s it ?

cui bono
December 31, 2011 3:33 pm

Farewell CAGW! Now for the Mayan apocalypse! Is it possible that we genetically programmed to groove on doom?
Mr Watts, can I suggest a post sometime by a psychologist on the endless appeal of ‘apres moi le deluge’,
Happy New Year to you and all.

December 31, 2011 3:35 pm

Frank Lee MeiDere says:
December 31, 2011 at 1:36 pm
Cut them some slack. They did say “could.”
But that wasn’t true. Somethings are so unlikely that they really couldn’t happen, and this was one of the things that simply could not have happend.

December 31, 2011 3:35 pm

Dave N says:
December 31, 2011 at 3:14 pm
Remember that 2012 doesn’t end for a year. It could still happen… and I also have some swamp land for sale
I second what Dave says. You all are celebrating too early, we have a year left for the whole planet to die. Bwahahaha! Or the Mayan thing could kick in just before then. I recommend drinking to excess tonight to kill the pain of thinking about our potential demise. Wait, that happens every year!

December 31, 2011 3:38 pm

We are so doomed!

cui bono
December 31, 2011 3:40 pm

It says ‘by 2012’. That’s ‘prior to’. No need to mangle the English language just because some of us are pished!

December 31, 2011 3:51 pm

Regarding the poll at this site:
“What is your expertise, and what is the cause of 20th century climate change? ”
Ahem. To what “20th century climate change” are we referring to here?
Its a preloaded question, stating that 20th century climate change is a fact when theres no evidence of any such abnormal climate system behaviour.
Its all in the language fellas.
The word “Pollution” being one thats had its meaning perverted from meaning toxic or the contamination of air, water, or soil by substances that are harmful to living organisms to meaning a trace atmospheric gas by the warmistas and the media without people even noticing .
Its one of those techniques that falls into the category of deception, such as showing ice breaking off a glacier, or a fat overstuffed polar bear on an ice cube or my personal favourite; steam from a chimney when they do a report on climate change or co2. Its already loaded.

King of Cool
December 31, 2011 3:58 pm

Billions may not die but from this day billions may pay:
So once again in the field of human conflict, so much by so many depends on a daring few willing to stand up those who have devastated Europe and who now threaten to spread their misguided ideology to the rest of the free world.
Because, make no mistake, if these few fail “then the whole world, including the United States, including all that we have known and cared for, will sink into the abyss of a new Dark Age, made more sinister, and perhaps more protracted, by the lights of perverted science.”
Airlines of America, China, India and the rest of the free world unite, brace yourselves and show us your finest hour.

Eric Dailey
December 31, 2011 4:05 pm

This is an example of predictive programing. The sheep who believe what they read in the “dailymedia” are being cultivated for events to come. They always telegraph their work. Look up predictive programing.

Jim Masterson
December 31, 2011 4:07 pm

I enjoy how our usual bands of trolls stay away in droves from this type of post.

December 31, 2011 4:11 pm

Danny V says:
December 31, 2011 at 2:15 pm
“The Canadian” seems to have died. The last articles are from 2009.
The blog hasn’t been updated since then; it may have been replaced by a Facebook page. But the online newspaper itself seems to have had some stories added in 2011 (from the copyright dates); click on Home.

December 31, 2011 4:13 pm

Happy New Year! I can hardly wait for 12/12/2012 to laugh that one off as well.

Philip T. Downman
December 31, 2011 4:16 pm

Here it is already 2012. Unlike last year my Champagne level has risen to the toncills. (must be due to CAGW, I guess) Perhaps it will fall away somewhat later this year

Paul Westhaver
December 31, 2011 4:26 pm

Dr Dave.
I read the article.. and thanks.. Chortle chortle…
Canadian banks are very conservative and their charters don’t allow them to pull the stunts that the progressives like Barney Frank et al forced them to do in 1995 when they forced banks to loan money to people who could not afford to borrow it. I lived in the NorthEast and watched the whole thing blow up and cave in over 15 years.
I can buy a house there for 1/2 I would have had to pay in 2005.
Progressives…. they Cr@ap everything up….John Stokes included.
To the REP… The snip WAS warranted… I agree… it made my language seem much worse than it was… which is OK with me!!! :’)

Rick Bradford
December 31, 2011 4:33 pm

My family seem to have escaped the Apocalypse (although I can’t find the cat this morning).
Skeleton crews must be working at the power company and telephone monopoly, as services are normal, even as they struggle to bury their fallen comrades (about 3 dead for each survivor), and, miracles, a truck has just pulled up from the bakery with fresh bread! How do they do it, in the midst of such devastation and sorrow. My hat goes off to them.
Ah, and there’s the cat — must have smelt the food.

December 31, 2011 4:41 pm

F…this stuff!
Happy New Year, Anthony 😉
Best Greetings from Germany

December 31, 2011 4:44 pm

Yeah, in Canada, we have morons here too like Suzuki for example and Maurice Strong, just like Al Gore down there, or Harold Camping, or Jim Jones or Bill McKribben or ……………….

December 31, 2011 4:46 pm

Maybe 2012 will be the year when all those Hidden Variables finally pop out of the woodwork and devour us all! Not just the Hidden Warmth, but Dark Energy, Dark Matter, Higgs Field, the Hidden Sea Level Rise, Core Inflation, and countless others. All of them have been trapped for years by mere insubstantial Facts and silly old Observed Reality; all have been champing at the bit, just waiting to emerge from the minds and computers of Real Scientists where Real Reality lives.
Better watch out!

Mary Childs
December 31, 2011 4:47 pm

The online Fox News site has already posted an article about the Mayan fearmongering. An interview with leading Mexican archaeologists set the record straight. Per the experts, the prediction of future events was not a part of Mayan culture, but rather that of westerners who never seriously studied the culture. It will be an interesting 11 months, 12 days in the new year, as people wail once again that we are doomed.

December 31, 2011 5:00 pm

It makes me wonder if those at mag rag are the ones at the COP## are the one’s accepting the well deserved Fossil awards given to Canada, them Green Weenie Morons don’t deserve to take credit for them, what a bunch of publicity hogs they are!

December 31, 2011 5:10 pm

I predict within 150 years, by 2162 at least 95% of the people alive today will be dead. This is a conservative estimate.
Governments should react decisively against the clear (and present?) danger.
Perhaps additional taxation will help.

December 31, 2011 5:19 pm

“List your house for sale…
Over 4.5 billion could die!”
Well, that’s at least consistent. Sell the house before property prices fall through the floor. If you survive, you can buy it back later.

Jeff L
December 31, 2011 5:25 pm

That headline looks like it is straight out of “The Onion” (if you haven’t read The Onion, google it & you will understand what I mean).

December 31, 2011 5:41 pm

2012 the year of the “lifting of the veil” (the apocalypse), truth finally succeeds over the lies imposed by “consensus”.

December 31, 2011 5:52 pm

Yes, Jeff L, you know there is even a movie out about the Onion News.

December 31, 2011 7:34 pm

This may have proved as accurate as Moonbat’s (George Monbiot’s affectionate nickname) ‘prediction’ in 1987 that in 10 years half the species on Earth will be extinct, and in 20 years they’ll ALL be gone!!
But what scares me is that every single science book or encyclopaedia I have seen here in the UK has this CC nonsense in it. Worse still, I have seen on the bookshelves of a museum bookshop, a slim, big print volume called ‘My First Science Book’ The CC stuff was very prominent. They start the indoctrination early now.

Paul Coppin
December 31, 2011 7:50 pm

“The Canadian” seems to be moribund, which is just as well, since there’s nothing Canadian about “The Canadian”. A more apt title would have been “The Torontonian”, or better still “The Queen Streeter”. A perversely awful blog.

Dave Wendt
December 31, 2011 8:01 pm

I’ve made my own doomsday predictions here in the past. For those who may have missed them I will repeat them here and now.
I claim that unless we immediately embrace all the wonderful planet saving plans and regulations demanded by the UN, the IPCC, various leftist government figures, enviro NGOs and sundry others, 8-10 billion people will die by 2100. Of course, if we choose to completely ignore all that nonsense and proceed forward in our normal semi-rational manner the number of dead will be pretty much the same. If, in addition, we actually expanded market based economics far and wide across the planet, the number of deaths might even be substantially reduced. I base that assertion on the fact that, as people are moved to middle class incomes, two things almost always occur. First, their birthrates decline dramatically, leaving a smaller future population for the normal deathrate to work on and second, their life expectancies advance, meaning that globally the percentage of that smaller total population that the deathrate represents, will likely decline as well.

December 31, 2011 8:08 pm

” ‘prediction’ in 1987 that in 10 years half the species on Earth will be extinct, and in 20 years they’ll ALL be gone!!”
You might not have noticed, but the oceans are gone, too. Since 1998, in fact.

December 31, 2011 8:23 pm

37 minutes till 4.5 billion dead for me.

Johnny in NQ
December 31, 2011 9:22 pm

“existancial”… ? He must be from the spanish Stokeses, that Juan 🙂

December 31, 2011 9:30 pm

From The Canadian link:
“Bibliographic reference courtesy of Brad Arnold who has an extensive resrarch background on Global Warming.”

Johnny in NQ
December 31, 2011 9:33 pm

Oh dear, looks like a case of the blind being led by the illiterate here, but that’s ok in their world, isn’t it? *”existencial”…?***sheepish grin :-/*
Happy 2012 to whoever’s left, there’s beer at my place 😀 *hic*

UK Sceptic
December 31, 2011 11:15 pm

Nothing like starting off 2012 with a good belly laugh…

December 31, 2011 11:39 pm

it was not much of a er, um, big stink!! Happy New Year.

January 1, 2012 12:00 am

Happy New Year!!!
As you can see via this post – I wasn’t one of the billions 🙂

January 1, 2012 12:16 am

Approved foolishness is the worst sort of foolishness.
And, sadly, this is the approved brand of foolishness.
And we’re not through with it yet.
Probably never will be.
(blows flappy holiday horn)

January 1, 2012 12:29 am

Since methane hydrate decomposition is an endothermic reaction (absorbing heat) it is self-quenching. This should have been a question that was asked and answered when it was first proposed. It’s a testament to the lack of scientific knowledge that the AGW fear-mongers bring to the discussion.

Jerker Andersson
January 1, 2012 2:56 am

It’s 2012 now, if I just died due to climate change and this is heaven, I certainly can live with it =)

January 1, 2012 3:55 am

Yawn… it’s 2012… Australia, you still there? UK?

January 1, 2012 4:22 am

is worse than we thought!
YouTube – NASA Predicts Arctic Ocean ice melt down and disaster- 2012.flv

January 1, 2012 4:27 am

be worry. very worry…
“Arctic Sea Ice Gone in Summer Within Five Years?
Seth Borenstein in Washington
Associated Press
December 12, 2007
An already relentless melting of the Arctic greatly accelerated this summer—a sign that some scientists worry could mean global warming has passed an ominous tipping point.

J Martin
January 1, 2012 5:44 am

The editor probably feels he was a Mayan in a previous existence.

January 1, 2012 6:15 am

Thanks to global warming, we only have 6 billion, can you imagine the crowding.

January 1, 2012 6:42 am

: Why bring that general thermodynamic stuff into a climate discussion? Don’t you realize that climate science has its own set of natural laws?
This methane clathrate thing has been around for years. Sometimes it’s from permafrost melt or seafloor melt. These folks are true environmentalists, they keep recycling the same old skeers.

January 1, 2012 6:54 am

It’s now 2012. I’m still here.
Everybody else OK? ;o)

January 1, 2012 7:50 am

Be generous – give them until the end of 2012!!!

January 1, 2012 9:32 am

World is full of BS… the trick in life is to wise up to it if you’re honest, and use it to your advantage if you’re dishonest.
Recently my mother (bless her) bought some shoes that were on sale. “They’re usualy 150 pounds, I got them for 80. Bargain!”
Too bad they look like they’re worth about 10, and made by children in a sweatshop. Oh dear.

Bill H
January 1, 2012 10:19 am

Pinches Self….. OUCH
Still alive and still here….
we have a much greater chance of Yellowstone going boom than global warming killing us.. shoot the 20mm rise in 5 days at Yellowstone Lakes should be sending off alarm bells with all the quake activity world wide……
Happy New Year everyone…. (no need for tinfoil hats… i have one 🙂 )

David Ball
January 1, 2012 10:39 am

Isn’t it illegal to shout “fire” in a crowded theatre when there is clearly no fire?

François GM
January 1, 2012 10:57 am

“Progressives” love Humanity. It’s humans they don’t like.

John Wright
January 1, 2012 12:10 pm

Well to misquote the immortal words of Tom Lehrer, “We will all go together when we go.”

Mac the Knife
January 1, 2012 12:46 pm

I see brain dead people…. and they don’t even know they’re brain dead! They just ‘believe in Man Made Global Warming’. 4.5 Billion…. Yeah. That’s about right….

January 1, 2012 1:08 pm

Did you not know: “Now that most scientists agree human activity is causing the Earth to warm”???
The killer odorless fumes of doom crept as we crapped are way to the crypt.
4.5 billion times 150 lbs of rotting flesh. A fly paradise.

January 1, 2012 4:31 pm

“…If it happens, it will be the gaia fart heard round the world….”
Let’s do the math on this fart:
Earth’s atmospheric mass (per Wikipedia): 5 x 10*18 kg
The Fart: 400 x 10*9 tons = 400 x 10*9 tons x 907.2 kg/ton = 3.63 x 10*14 kg methane
Addition to extant Atmosphere: 3.63 x 10*14 kg / 5 x 10*18 kg = 0.007%
New Fart compared to extant CO2 (ooh! Evil):
5 x 10*18 (Atmos. Mass) kg x .039% CO2 = 1.95 x 10*15 kg CO2
3.63 x 10*14 kg / 1.95 x 10*15 kg = .186 = 18%
As my old Canadian boss used to say: “That doesn’t amount to a popcorn fart.” I never asked him to expand on this colorful but derogatory remark, I’m sad to relate, but it seems appropriate. {I know, some CAGW true believer will come back with: CH4 is x times the GH gas that CO2 is, so we’re doomed! My reply: take a nap.}

Matthew of Canberra
January 1, 2012 9:22 pm

That’s a pretty kooky site. Heck – Nortons even flagged their blog as an attack site. Check out the stories on the front page. It’s the sort of stuff you’d find on For example:
“North Carolina witnesses report UFO”
“Transgendered woman seeks relationship advice”
“Stephen Harper linked to Nazi intellectuals and Christian fundamentalists suggests Trevor Harrison’s book”
All that’s missing is the selection of prurient photo galleries. I don’t think anyone should be taking that site as a representation of anything mainstream, any more than stormfront represents conservative thought.
4.5 billion? Seriously? Nobody with a brain is going to buy that, and it was only originally published 5 years ago.

Jerker Andersson
January 2, 2012 2:03 pm

It’s not the fart that kills you it is the smell.
(That one liner was only intended for the swedish followers)
Fart = speed in swedish
Smell(actually smäll but sounds the same as smell) = crash

January 2, 2012 9:06 pm

Hmm, lots of funny fart jokes, but most here seem unaware of the reports of large methane vents in the Arctic:

Verified by MonsterInsights