NCEP ensemble forecast shows deep La Niña coming

Last one still left us with decent moisture in California. This time we may not be so fortunate.

Last year, here in Northern Nevada, winter started in late September and it stayed cold and snowy into June of this year. By comparison this Fall is staying mostly warm, although we had an early October snow storm push through recently. Not sure how long this nice Fall weather will hold.

“, our illustrious coalition Secretary of State for Energy and Climate Change, Chris Huhne, calms the nation by simply telling us all to shop around and switch suppliers, on national TV.”
For crass stupidity and ignorance of even basic economics this man takes the biscuit on an almost daily basis. After a weekend of lambasting the Energy Suppliers for making £125 profit per customer on an average spend of £1325 he appears in our papers and on our screens to tell us to change supplier and by selecting a different tariff cut our bills by more than £200.
Conveniently he omits to tell us that through VAT and ROC the government is taking at least £200 from every household and that even this imposition will go very little way towards providing the £200Bn needed to pay for the outrageously subsidised and inefficient renewable energy sources that he favours.

Cold wind, sleet in Montreal today. Heading for tropical Ottawa Ontario where its a degree or two warmer. If a couple of years ago Phil Jones admitted there was no statistical warming since 1995, can we say we will have had statistical cooling soon? I’m waiting for UHA’s stuborn avg monthly lower Trop temp to move down in earnest. I’m awfully conflicted about this development. Ha ha you new world order guys, we’re going to freeze to death. See what I mean!

Alarmism hasn’t changed!
SAID HANRAHAN by John O’Brien
“We’ll all be rooned,” said Hanrahan,
In accents most forlorn,
Outside the church, ere Mass began,
One frosty Sunday morn.
The congregation stood about,
Coat-collars to the ears,
And talked of stock, and crops, and drought,
As it had done for years.
“It’s looking crook,” said Daniel Croke;
“Bedad, it’s cruke, me lad,
For never since the banks went broke
Has seasons been so bad.”
“It’s dry, all right,” said young O’Neil,
With which astute remark
He squatted down upon his heel
And chewed a piece of bark.
And so around the chorus ran
“It’s keepin’ dry, no doubt.”
“We’ll all be rooned,” said Hanrahan,
“Before the year is out.”
“The crops are done; ye’ll have your work
To save one bag of grain;
From here way out to Back-o’-Bourke
They’re singin’ out for rain.
“They’re singin’ out for rain,” he said,
“And all the tanks are dry.”
The congregation scratched its head,
And gazed around the sky.
“There won’t be grass, in any case,
Enough to feed an ass;
There’s not a blade on Casey’s place
As I came down to Mass.”
“If rain don’t come this month,” said Dan,
And cleared his throat to speak –
“We’ll all be rooned,” said Hanrahan,
“If rain don’t come this week.”
A heavy silence seemed to steal
On all at this remark;
And each man squatted on his heel,
And chewed a piece of bark.
“We want an inch of rain, we do,”
O’Neil observed at last;
But Croke “maintained” we wanted two
To put the danger past.
“If we don’t get three inches, man,
Or four to break this drought,
We’ll all be rooned,” said Hanrahan,
“Before the year is out.”
In God’s good time down came the rain;
And all the afternoon
On iron roof and window-pane
It drummed a homely tune.
And through the night it pattered still,
And lightsome, gladsome elves
On dripping spout and window-sill
Kept talking to themselves.
It pelted, pelted all day long,
A-singing at its work,
Till every heart took up the song
Way out to Back-o’-Bourke.
And every creek a banker ran,
And dams filled overtop;
“We’ll all be rooned,” said Hanrahan,
“If this rain don’t stop.”
And stop it did, in God’s good time;
And spring came in to fold
A mantle o’er the hills sublime
Of green and pink and gold.
And days went by on dancing feet,
With harvest-hopes immense,
And laughing eyes beheld the wheat
Nid-nodding o’er the fence.
And, oh, the smiles on every face,
As happy lad and lass
Through grass knee-deep on Casey’s place
Went riding down to Mass.
While round the church in clothes genteel
Discoursed the men of mark,
And each man squatted on his heel,
And chewed his piece of bark.
“There’ll be bush-fires for sure, me man,
There will, without a doubt;
We’ll all be rooned,” said Hanrahan,
“Before the year is out.”

AMSR-E, not yet gone a month but already I have a untoward feeling.

Wade says:
October 17, 2011 at 11:02 am
Living in the southeast US I have noticed that there are more acorns this year than last year. Winter isn’t long now, we shall see what happens.
—
Living in the northeast US, I’ve noticed the maple trees behaving very oddly this year. Normally the maple seeds ripen and drop before the trees leaf out. This year however, the seeds stayed on the trees all summer and only in the past week or so have they started falling.

Joe Bastardi, sorry, maybe I missed it but what exactly was your prediction: “I am on record as saying the objective global temp will drop to at least -.15C by march”
Also what exactly did you mean about returning to the 1950s climate? Do you mean that global temperature and sea ice will return to 1950s levels?

Wow. Just imagine how bad the La Nina would have beeen if we hadn’t been killing theplanet by burning all these fossil fuels for all these years… /sarc.