Cloud Cellular Communication

No, I’m not talking about the Internet or the latest mobile phone. Apparently clouds are “teleconnected”. Two press releases were made the yesterday on the same subject, both are presented here. Note to climate scientists, try adding this to GCM’s.

Open- and Closed-Cell Clouds over the Pacific Ocean
Honeycombulus: Marine stratocumulus clouds have open cells (sky in the middle) and closed cells (cloudy in the middle). Credit: Jeff Schmaltz, NASA
download large image (9 MB, JPEG) acquired April 17, 2010

NOAA scientists uncover oscillating patterns in clouds

Finding has implications for climate change

For all who have ever lain on their backs and gazed at clouds adrift in the blue: A new NOAA study has found that clouds “communicate” with each other, much like chirping crickets or flashing fireflies on a summer night. The study, published online in the journal Nature, also has significant implications for our understanding of climate change.

“Clouds organize in distinct patterns that are fingerprints of myriad physical processes,” Feingold explained. “Precipitation can generate fascinating honeycomb-like patterns that are clearly visible from satellites. Cloud fields organize in such a way that their components ‘communicate’ with one another and produce regular, periodic rainfall events.”

While the discovery of synchronized behavior in clouds is one of many recent findings on self-organization in nature, the study also examines how suspended particles, or aerosols, in the atmosphere can influence these patterns and be a factor in climate change.

The team, which also includes Ilan Koren of the Weizmann Institute, Hailong Wang of Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Huiwen Xue of Peking University, and Alan Brewer of NOAA, used satellite imagery to identify cloud systems with a “cellular, almost honeycomb-like structure.” In such systems, thick clouds form the walls of the honeycomb, and cloud-free zones form the open cells between the walls. The team also observed that these cellular structures constantly rearrange themselves, with cloud walls dissolving and open cells forming in their place, while walls form where open cells once existed.

Open- and Closed-Cell Clouds over the Pacific Ocean
Wide view of magnified box view at top of article

Using computer models, the scientists reproduced this rearrangement or oscillation of the cloud honeycomb pattern, and identified the driving factor – rain. Next, they analyzed scanning laser measurements from a ship cruising under cloud systems to verify their model results.

“Together, these analyses demonstrated that the rearrangement is a result of precipitation, and that clouds belonging to this kind of system rain almost in unison,” Feingold said.

How does this synchronization come about? Falling rain cools the air as it descends. This creates downward air currents. These downdrafts hit the surface, flow outward and collide with each other, forming updrafts. The air flowing up creates new clouds in previously open sky as older clouds dissipate. Then the new clouds rain, and the oscillating pattern repeats itself.

“Once precipitation ensues and an open structure has formed, it is difficult to revert the cloud field to a closed-cell, or overcast state,” Feingold said. “Rain keeps the oscillating, open honeycomb pattern in motion, which allows more sun to reach Earth’s surface.”

The scientists say that their findings point to a significant influence of particulate matter, or aerosols, on the large-scale structure of clouds and therefore on climate change. Scientists have long known that aerosols can influence local rain formation and block solar energy from reaching the Earth’s surface—for an overall surface cooling effect.

However, until recently, the scientific community has not considered the self-organization that results from these effects. Computer simulations for this study indicate that high aerosol concentrations favor the formation of large, dense cloud fields with less open space and less rain. This creates a more reflective cloud pattern and cooling of the surface. Low particulate levels in computer models resulted in rain and the open honeycomb structure with an oscillating pattern. The open honeycomb structure in a large cloud field lets more sunlight reach the surface, and hence results in surface warming.

“Our work also suggests that we should expand our thinking about interactions between aerosols and clouds,” Feingold said. “Integrating our current focus on fundamental physical processes with broader studies on system dynamics could give us a more complete understanding of climate change.”

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On the Web: NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory: www.esrl.noaa.gov

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Rain contributes to cycling patterns of clouds

Researchers demonstrate how honeycomb clouds exhibit self-organization

RICHLAND, Wash. — Like shifting sand dunes, some clouds disappear in one place and reappear in another. New work this week in Nature shows why: Rain causes air to move vertically, which breaks down and builds up cloud walls. The air movement forms patterns in low clouds that remain cohesive structures even while appearing to shift about the sky, due to a principle called self-organization.

These clouds, called open-cell clouds that look like honeycombs, cover much of the open ocean. Understanding how their patterns evolve will eventually help scientists build better models for predicting climate change. This is the first time researchers have shown the patterns cycle regularly and why.

“The pattern of the clouds affects how much of the sun’s energy gets reflected back into space,” said atmospheric scientist Hailong Wang of the Department of Energy’s Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, a coauthor on the study led by physicist Graham Feingold at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

“We’ve teased out the fundamental reasons why the open-cell clouds oscillate. Being able to simulate these clouds in computer models, we gain more insights into the physics behind the phenomenon. This will help us to better interpret measurements in the real atmosphere and represent these clouds in climate models,” Wang said.

In addition, this is the first time researchers have shown that open-cell clouds follow the principles of self-organizing systems — they spontaneously form dynamic, coherent structures that tend to repair themselves and resist change. Such clouds join other self-organizing networks such as flocks of birds, shifting sand dunes or bubbles in boiling water.

Convection Imperfection

Open-cell clouds are low, flat clouds that look like a quilt to someone looking down from an airplane. The quilt patches are frames of cloud that are clear in the middle, similar to a honeycomb. These honeycomb clouds develop from atmospheric convection, which is air movement caused by warm air rising and cold air falling.

The white parts of the honeycomb clouds reflect sunshine back into space, but the open spaces let energy through to warm up the planet. Because these clouds cover a lot of the ocean, climate scientists need to incorporate the clouds into computer models.

The simplest explanation for their appearance is what is known as Rayleigh-Benard convection. This classic form of convection can be seen between two horizontal, flat plates separated by a thin liquid layer: Heat up the bottom and warm liquid rises, pushing cold liquid near the top downward. The updrafts and downdrafts mold the liquid into vertical walls. If the bottom heats uniformly, the flow causes the top surface to break up into hexagonal cells, looking like a honeycomb. A honeycomb structure, it turns out, is one of the most effective way to transfer heat.

This occurs on a large scale in our atmosphere from the surface up to a couple kilometers (less than two miles). But the earth’s ocean is not a uniform surface and it doesn’t warm the atmosphere evenly from below. That’s one reason why open-cell clouds do not organize into perfect hexagons.

Also, the atmosphere is much more complex than a laboratory experiment. Other factors interfere with this type of convection such as aerosols, tiny particles of dirt around which cloud drops form. The number of aerosols determines the size of cloud drops and whether to form rain. To test the role of aerosols and rain, the international team led by Feingold at NOAA’s Earth System Research Laboratory in Boulder, Colo., used computer simulations and satellite images to explore how open-cell clouds develop and oscillate.

Shifting Showers

First, the team started with a computer model called the Weather Research and Forecasting model, which a team of scientists developed at the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, Colo. and NOAA. Wang and others improved upon it to study interactions of aerosols and low clouds.

For this study, they simulated fields of honeycomb clouds sitting below one kilometer (about 3/4 of a mile) over the ocean, where they are known as marine stratocumulus clouds. The team fed the clouds with just enough aerosols to produce rain and create the expected honeycomb shapes.

Though the open-cell clouds always looked like a honeycomb, the individual cells deformed and reformed over a couple hours. To determine why they changed in this way, the team took the open-cell clouds and examined air flow and rain along the cell walls.

Strong updrafts coincided with the presence of the thick vertical walls, the scientists found. Over time, however, these regions accumulated enough water to rain, which caused downdrafts. When adjacent downdrafts approached the ocean surface, they flowed outward and collided — air converged and formed new updrafts. The air in the downdrafts cooled off initially by evaporation of raindrops, but warmed up again near the ocean, starting the updraft cycle again but shifted over in space.

This cycling of falling rain, downdrafts and updrafts caused cloud walls and their cells to disappear but reappear somewhere else in the field. The honeycomb-structure of the clouds remained, but cells shifted in space. The authors call these shifts oscillations in open cells.

The Real World

The team then looked at satellite images of real clouds. They used pictures of cloud fields at different times and corrected for them being blown about by wind flowing horizontally. Over time, they saw bright white spaces replaced by dark empty ones, and again replaced by bright whiteness. The team’s computer model had replicated these oscillating light-dark cycles.

Wind and rain measurements also supported the simulation. Instruments on a ship on the ocean measured wind up to one kilometer high. The data showed outflows from rain in different parts of the sky collide at the ocean surface and flow back up. Instruments that measured precipitation showed periodic rainfall that coincided with the shifting cloud pattern.

Taken together, the set of experiments showed that rain causes open-cell clouds to form spontaneously, oscillate in the sky and resist change in the overall pattern. These are three characteristics of complex systems that self-organize and form a cell structure, such as flocks of birds or bubbles on a boiling surface.

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Reference: Graham Feingold, Ilan Koren, Hailong Wang, Huiwen Xue, and Wm. Alan Brewer, Precipitation-generated oscillations in open cellular cloud fields, Nature, August 12, 2010. DOI 10.1038/nature09314 (http://www.nature.com/nature/index.html).

This work was supported by NOAA, the Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences and PNNL.

Pacific Northwest National Laboratory is a Department of Energy Office of Science national laboratory where interdisciplinary teams advance science and technology and deliver solutions to America’s most intractable problems in energy, national security and the environment. PNNL employs 4,700 staff, has an annual budget of nearly $1.1 billion, and has been managed by Ohio-based Battelle since the lab’s inception in 1965. Follow PNNL on Facebook, LinkedIn and Twitter.

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Tim Clark
August 12, 2010 11:30 am

Pamela Gray says:
August 12, 2010 at 9:24 am
My opinion? This event is more than likely a net cooling weather pattern.

I concur. And if you read the article closely,
This will help us to better interpret measurements in the real atmosphere and represent these clouds in climate models,” Wang said.
A honeycomb structure, it turns out, is one of the most effective way[s] to transfer heat.
Taken together, the set of experiments showed that rain causes open-cell clouds to form spontaneously, oscillate in the sky and resist change in the overall pattern. These are three characteristics of complex systems that self-organize and form a cell structure, such as flocks of birds or bubbles on a boiling surface.

I surmise the authors are implying net cooling also. The obligatory “climate change moniker must be used for publication, but the general tone is “self-modulating cooling”.

August 12, 2010 11:40 am

The part about rain triggering more rain puts me in mind of Willis Eschenbach’s characterization of tropical rain patterns as implementing a climate “governor” (as opposed to mere negative feedback): rain tends to continue once it gets started–and, I may have heard him propose, tends to get started earlier in the day when temperatures are higher. (Apologies to Mr. Eschenbach if I’ve misrepresented his theory.)

KTWO
August 12, 2010 11:40 am

Climate change grouped the moon, Mars, Venus, and Saturn closely together last night. Tonight it will cause flashes in the Northeast sky.

August 12, 2010 11:50 am

Clouds have cells; the Sun has granules. No surprise here. The forces of nature are universal. CO2 or not!

Douglas DC
August 12, 2010 12:10 pm

Tim Clark-
After reading it more carefully, I concur, as I said this is a climbdown from the
AGW pile-I will leave it to the imagination of what kind of pile.
Pamela Gray -this pattern is more and more like the 70’s-I can remember saying this to my Wife the other day-‘It was typical of the 70’s that there is a cool down and a bit of rain in August.” I said that last week before this pattern came in. I hope it isn’t going to be 1972….. or 1948… or 1969… We will see.

Bill DiPuccio
August 12, 2010 12:35 pm

One of the wildcards in the formation of this steady-state phenomenon is the number and size of cloud nuclei. Too many nuclei and the cloud droplets never get large enough to precipitate out. This would be difficult to model and predict except on very short time scales on a meso-scale. The injection of dust or salt spray by a windstorm can create and entirely new scenario.
There is little hope that GCM’s will ever be able to forecast average cloud cover on a decadal scale. Just a 1% error in global coverage = 5 million square kilometers (about 2/3 the contiguous US)!

Treeman
August 12, 2010 12:39 pm

NOAA dream of GAIA while Susan Bohan tells the real story! http://www.contracostatimes.com/top-stories/ci_15689267?nclick_check=1
No wonder the alarmists are gunning for Monckton and co. There’s nothing left in the tank. The alarmists are FUBAR! http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/FUBAR

Gary Pearse
August 12, 2010 1:28 pm

As a geologist, I’m brainwashed into seeing patterns in airphotos and satellite imagery of the ground (I photogeologically mapped 30,000 sq mi. of Northern Nigeria in the 1960s with a week of ground truthing) and more than 50 years ago I had noticed structural organization in the clouds viewed from the air above them and sometimes from the ground. There is an apparent mechanical strength to clouds – creating kilometre long linear features, perhaps where masses press together (why don’t they just join? What keeps them distinct individual groups even when pressed together?). Individual cummulus clouds on a generally sunny day take a surprising amount of time to deform significantly as they move along in a wind, many of the smaller wisps and apopheses stubbornly maintaining there basic shape – what is the difference between the air with the cloud in it and the clear air around it that causes this cohesion – gravity between aerosol/water droplet particles? When you breath out a plume of vapour in the winter cold, you can watch it move away in a cloud but it quickly evaporates into the clear air. If you blow a stream of cigar smoke out, it twists and turns but tends to hold together for a surprising distance. For the cloud layers to float quite above the surface of the ground, they must be lighter than the air or they would sink down and land on the ground. When you watch a fog bank roll in from the sea, it moves like a fluid, rising up along cliffs and arching over to roll along the ground – why doesn’t it float up to 6000 feet like the cummulus clouds. And what about the cirro-cummulus clouds- horsetails and mackerel scales. They, too, form into discreet, similar-shaped entities and man, they float up at 20,000 feet where the air is very light. Why don’t they fall down? How do you account for their pattern ?- the convection cell seems less likely here. And delicate contrails last for hours – why wouldn’t they evaporate into the dry adjacent air? Hey I like this cellular communicating clouds paper, but I’m disappointed that all the things I mentioned about clouds got by-passed without mention for what seems to me to be of secondary interest on the subject of clouds. You can see I’ve been thinking about clouds for a long time. Perhaps it may give an insight into the effort I put into photogeology.

My2Cents
August 12, 2010 1:43 pm

Sounds to me like the model should be similar to that for coupled pendulums.
The curious thing about the paper is that it is so striking obvious in retrospect that this must take place, but that no one looked for it before. And that things like this are overlooked all the time.

Rhoda R
August 12, 2010 2:21 pm

Not only do clouds form cells, they communicate and self organize. The next thin you know they’ll be demanding the vote.

Gary Hladik
August 12, 2010 2:39 pm

Wait a minute. So when they told us a decade ago that the science was “settled”, it wasn’t?
So is it settled now?

Bernie
August 12, 2010 4:40 pm

Top class glider pilots have known about the hexagonal structure of convection cells for decades and it is referred to in the gliding literature. It is also known that this structure exists when there are just thermals with no clouds and no rain. Long cloud streets with strong lift for a hundred kilometers are also common over flat ground without rain.
There are still many secrets waiting to be explained about convection in the atmosphere.

August 12, 2010 4:42 pm

I got to “Using computer models … ” and realised there was no point continuing.

u.k.(us)
August 12, 2010 5:03 pm

Re: The photos in the post.
My questions to NOAA would be:
Where were they taken.
What time of year were they taken.
Are they common occurrences.
What percentage of the ocean do they cover.
The narrative in your press release mentions “climate change” four times, yet the excerpts from the study only mention it once.

Dr A Burns
August 12, 2010 5:13 pm

Just like the cells in heated oil on a frying pan …

Zeke the Sneak
August 12, 2010 6:02 pm

Gary Pearse says:
August 12, 2010 at 1:28 pm
And what about the cirro-cummulus clouds- horsetails and mackerel scales. They, too, form into discreet, similar-shaped entities and man, they float up at 20,000 feet where the air is very light. Why don’t they fall down? How do you account for their pattern ?- the convection cell seems less likely here.

Possibly the water droplets form dipoles, with the neg oxygen charge below, and the positive hydrogen charge above.
This effect increases with the number of the water droplets in the cloud as they align with the efield.
There is electrostatic repulsion between the negatively charged earth, and the neg charge of the water droplet. “Once the water vapor condenses into water droplets it is more plausible that millions of tons of water can remain suspended kilometres above the Earth by electrical means, rather than by thermal updraughts.”
A possible balancing of the clouds, but that is a very old wonderful question.

phlogiston
August 12, 2010 7:58 pm

KTWO Aug 12, 1140 am
My daughter and saw the Pereid shooting stars from North Norfolk, UK. They were better than we thought.

August 12, 2010 8:52 pm

Bernie at August 12, 2010 at 4:40 pm has it right. It doesn’t have to do with rain.
Wave patterns in the layer above the convection can also organize the patterns in the convective layer and/or vice versa as can wind shears. I’ve seen thermals line up with wind direction as well as across it and sometimes when the wind shears are just right and you climb to cloudbase and push out into the wind direction above cloudbase you get a magic elevator ride up the face of the cloud in smooth air. All this is well known to soaring pilots.
Sailplanes sink at 100 to 400 feet per minute in straight flight. Managing to work the patterns of rising air between thermals to fly in air rising even 25 feet per minute on average provides a huge performance increment.

Carrick
August 12, 2010 9:43 pm

The Kelvin-Helmholtz waves are one of my favorite organized cloud phenomenon, especially “breaking waves”. Another name for these are “billow clouds.”
Here is another fun one… A von-Karmen vortex street (link).

tallbloke
August 13, 2010 7:31 am

Zeke the Sneak says:
August 12, 2010 at 6:02 pm
There is electrostatic repulsion between the negatively charged earth, and the neg charge of the water droplet. “Once the water vapor condenses into water droplets it is more plausible that millions of tons of water can remain suspended kilometres above the Earth by electrical means, rather than by thermal updraughts.”

http://www.utdallas.edu/physics/faculty/tinsley.html
“About half of the global warming over the past century can be accounted for by changes in the sun and the solar wind, and there are well documented correlations of climate during past millennia with cosmic ray flux changes. These can be understood in terms of electrical interactions between cloud droplets and aerosol particles responding to solar wind-induced changes in atmospheric ionization and in the latitude distribution of Jz, as discussed above.”
The other half can probably nearly be accounted for by Anthony’s look at the surface temperature record.

Pascvaks
August 13, 2010 8:03 am

Looks kinda like the solar surface doesn’t it? See what NOAA can do? See what all that tax money buys? Maybe the Chinese will lend us somemore of their hard earned money at a not-too high rate of interest so we can play with our computers and make wild guesses about more and more things. Ain’t life in the Western World just keeeeenie-weeeenie?

Zeke the Sneak
August 13, 2010 2:33 pm

Brian Tinsley’s work is quite interesting, thanks for the link.
Rather than following the traditional view that only small changes in solar brightness should be considered in understanding the sun’s effect on climate, he is developing a theory involving rather the solar wind. According to Tinsley, the solar wind:
1.) impedes the flow of high energy cosmic ray particles coming in from the galaxy
2.) energizes high energy electrons in the earth’s radiation belts that precipitate into the atmosphere
3.) changes the potential difference between the ionosphere and the earth in the polar cap regions.
“There are good correlations, on the day-to-day time scale, between the three solar wind – modulated inputs to Jz mentioned above and small changes in atmospheric temperature and dynamics.”
And as you say Anthony Watts [http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZzLNQV3dmcI] has managed to successfully account for the rest of the warming!
😀

phlogiston
August 13, 2010 8:22 pm

Zeke the sneak
If both the earth’s surface and cloud water droplets are negatively charged then why do we get lightning?

Zeke the Sneak
August 13, 2010 10:44 pm

@Phlogiston
From Wikipedia:
“Since the water molecule is not linear and the oxygen atom has a higher electronegativity than hydrogen atoms, it carries a slight negative charge, whereas the hydrogen atoms are slightly positive. As a result, water is a polar molecule with an electrical dipole moment.”
The polarized water molecules move to line up in the efield. “The average electric dipole moment of a water molecule in a raindrop is 40 percent greater than that of a single water vapor molecule.”
And, it happens that storm clouds possess -ve charged below and +ve charge above.
“The Earth has a net negative charge of about a million coulombs.”
Most lightning is cloud to cloud.
-ve lightning happens when a leader stroke comes from the cloud and a +ve streamer is sent up from the ground – but often from a tree or a building or a mountain.
+ve lightning comes fromt the top of the storm cloud and its leader strike is met by a -ve streamer from the ground.
(Basically, “when a charged step leader is near the ground, opposite charges appear on the ground and enhance the electric field.”)
Now for rain:
If the water droplets of clouds are suspended in the air by electrical means, then possibly when there is an electrical discharge in the clouds, the droplets become depolarized, and subject to gravity, falling as rain.
Sources: electricalfun.com;
Natural Resources Canada, and
“Electric Weather” by Wal Thornhill

Raredog
August 14, 2010 4:55 am

I’ve seen the patterns in nature too, one summer’s dusk atop The Horn, Mt Buffalo, Australia, as thousands of Bogong moths en mass took to the air above our heads. Not only did their vibrating wings hum and pulse but also their countless flight paths created shimmering hexagons in the air. Wondrous.