UAH Global Temperature – still in a holding pattern

Tenuc says:
August 3, 2010 at 12:27 pm
Phil, you should know better. This is weather, not climate, and has no bearing on the future trajectory of oscillating weather regimes. Also, don’t be too keen to rely on satellite data, which use algorithms to translate the raw data to temperature anomalies based on historic patterns, many of which no longer apply.
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Those ‘historic patterns’ in the satellite adjustment algorithms, just wish we could definitively find if there is some upward trend built in to those patterns used in the algorithms, for as time passes it seems it must be so. The satellite temps are tracking UHI influenced surface temps too closely for this not to be true since satellites should not see or record the UHI component affecting only a small percentage of just the land area.

The fan man says:
August 3, 2010 at 9:58 am
but the average of the decade 2000-2010 is hotter than all other recorded decades before it.
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Hotter!! ROTFL
Say that again with a straight face.
You’re not even talking one whole degree!

NK says:
August 3, 2010 at 8:36 am
there is no catastophic temperature increase result caused by the increase of CO2 in the atmosphere.
Because of the cooling feedback of H2O from rising co2 there could actually be cooling. The climate models that go on and on about warming from co2 do not take H2O into account well.

Reginald Newell, MIT, NASA, IAMAP, “a meteorologist whose research concentrated on global air pollution and on the energy”
http://web.mit.edu/newsoffice/2003/newell.html
Said increasing co2 probably causes cooling:

Roy Spencer on negative feedback from H2O
Part 2, 8:52 video

“It is amusing seeing Hansen clawing to push 2010 a few hundredths over 1998.
According to his scenario B, 2010 should be more than half a degree warmer than 1998. Even if he gets away with pushing the current year o.01 degrees over 1998 – he is still missing his own forecast by a factor of fifty.”
-Goddard
He who wrote Austin Powers’ stories had Hansen in mind when he depicted Dr. Evil.

Enneagram says:
August 3, 2010 at 2:35 pm
Gail Combs says:
August 3, 2010 at 1:21 pm
Is any of those stars near the Katla volcano?….just to buy more popcorn 🙂
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No opposite end of Iceland. This looks like possible rumblings of a volcanic sea mount so it could be very interesting depending on how deep the water is.
ere is the eruption of another sea mount. http://www.barking-moonbat.com/index.php/weblog/more_bothersome_volcanoes/

Not surprising?
Two years ago we had the same predictions of plummeting temperatures here. Yet despite a weak El Nino being well and truly finished along with two years of much lower than normal solar activity, global temperatures are still on the rise and many people are still in denial about it. When are people going to learn that cherry picking a few places that are cooler (or warmer) is completely irrelevant? It looks like all the money spent by fossil fuel companies on propaganda, instead of things like safety precautions in off-shore drilling, has had the desired effect.

Amino Acids in Meteorites says:
August 3, 2010 at 6:37 pm
The earth has been cooling since 1998. Yet you want the reader to infer that it is warming.
Have you got any evidence at all that this is true. Even WUWT posted a graph recently which showed that the OLS trends for all 4 main datasets were positive since 1998.
http://climateinsiders.files.wordpress.com/2010/07/trend.png
This, remember, is during a period when solar activity has declined significantly and, according to Easterbrook, the PDO has shifted (since 1999) to a cool phase. The only reason temperatures peaked higher in 1998 was because the 1997/98 El Nino was considerably stronger than the recent one.

” Phil. says:
August 3, 2010 at 9:36 am
And yet this July was the hottest month recorded for the troposphere since 1979.”
For some reason Phil. does not want to say where he got this information from. It cannot be AQUA ch5, since even simpletons know the difference between “troposphere” (something rather complicated) and the 600hPa-layer (something rather simple). But who publishes the temperature of the troposphere that fast?

Amino Acids in Meteorites says:
August 3, 2010 at 10:04 pm
markinaustin says:
August 3, 2010 at 8:11 pm
it seems a bit doubleminded to say it has cooled since 1998 when we are picking a spike year.
….It probably makes more sense to take a longer time period, say 1000 years. and clearly there has been cooling since then.
http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_S5dFdpF6xm0/Sw1zpDmVKII/AAAAAAAAAvw/aNNJgsf4Q6s/s1600/medieval-warm-period-little-ice-age-chart.jpg
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That is exactly what this paper did. It looked at the entire Holecene in the Arctic:
Temperature and precipitation history of the Arctic
“..Solar energy reached a summer maximum (9% higher than at present) ca 11 ka ago and has been decreasing since then, primarily in response to the precession of the equinoxes. The extra energy elevated early Holocene summer temperatures throughout the Arctic 1-3° C above 20th century averages, enough to completely melt many small glaciers throughout the Arctic, although the Greenland Ice Sheet was only slightly smaller than at present… As summer solar energy decreased in the second half of the Holocene, glaciers reestablished or advanced, sea ice expanded, and the flow of warm Atlantic water into the Arctic Ocean diminished. Late Holocene cooling reached its nadir during the Little Ice Age (about 1250-1850 AD), when sun-blocking volcanic eruptions and perhaps other causes added to the orbital cooling, allowing most Arctic glaciers to reach their maximum Holocene extent…”
This paper also agrees that we are at the point in the earth’s Milankovitch cycle that should usher in an ice age. The biggest question of course is why we are not covered in ice yet.
Lesson from the past: present insolation minimum holds potential for glacial inception (2007)
“Because the intensities of the 397 ka BP and present insolation minima are very similar, we conclude that under natural boundary conditions the present insolation minimum holds the potential to terminate the Holocene interglacial. Our findings support the Ruddiman hypothesis [Ruddiman, W., 2003. The Anthropogenic Greenhouse Era began thousands of years ago. Climate Change 61, 261–293], which proposes that early anthropogenic greenhouse gas emission prevented the inception of a glacial that would otherwise already have started….”
Orthodox Climate Scientists assume “early anthropogenic greenhouse gas emission prevented the inception of a glacial that would otherwise already have started… The biggest problem with this part of the CAGW theory, is it assumes no changes in the energy from the sun as received by the earth. However during the 20th century the sun has been very active according to this paper and NASA This is no longer true as we enter the new century according to the Solar Dynamics Observatory Mission News
Therefore actual data shows the earth is gradually headed downhill towards another glaciation, the only question is when and how. A quiet sun, cool ocean phases and a major volcanic eruption would be my guess as the trigger point. CO2 warming can not counteract the combined effects of the other big three. As the oceans cool the rate of CO2 absorption will increase.
Abrupt Climate Change: Should We Be Worried? – Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution
“Most of the studies and debates on potential climate change, along with its ecological and economic impacts, have focused on the ongoing buildup of industrial greenhouse gases in the atmosphere and a gradual increase in global temperatures. This line of thinking, however, fails to consider another potentially disruptive climate scenario. It ignores recent and rapidly advancing evidence that Earth’s climate repeatedly has shifted abruptly and dramatically in the past, and is capable of doing so in the future.
Fossil evidence clearly demonstrates that Earthvs climate can shift gears within a decade….
But the concept remains little known and scarcely appreciated in the wider community of scientists, economists, policy makers, and world political and business leaders. Thus, world leaders may be planning for climate scenarios of global warming that are opposite to what might actually occur…“
As far as I am concerned neglecting change towards a COOLING world is down right criminal negligence – my biggest gripe with CAGW.
We are so busy watching the yapping little poodle we can not see the mammoth that just walked into the room.