The Australian's overheated time warp misses half of 2010

Crickey! The year ain’t over yet mates. (h/t to Australian reader “Michael”)

click for the actual story

Heh, you gotta love the headline.  Of course when we keep finding climate stations like this one, which reads 5 degrees high and set new records, no wonder NOAA thinks we are headed for hotness.

Looking south: Note NOAA’s little “helper” – click

Even without the time warp, this news will be a tough sell in Australia, which has had a string of unusually cold weather records broken in the past weeks. For example Sydney just broke a 60 year old cold record.

Here’s the original press release from NOAA/NCDC posted below. How The Australian turned that into a whole year can only be explained by alarmism combined with shoddy journalism. At year-end, the story may very well be different.

NOAA: June, April to June, and Year-to-Date Global Temperatures are Warmest on Record

July 15, 2010

Last month’s combined global land and ocean surface temperature made it the warmest June on record and the warmest on record averaged for any April-June and January-June periods, according to NOAA. Worldwide average land surface temperature was the warmest on record for June and the April-June period, and the second warmest on record for the year-to-date (January-June) period, behind 2007.

The monthly analysis from NOAA’s National Climatic Data Center, which is based on records going back to 1880, is part of the suite of climate services NOAA provides government, business and community leaders so they can make informed decisions.

Global Temperature Highlights – June

  • Temperature anomalies June 2010.

    High resolution (Credit: NOAA)

    The combined global land and ocean average surface temperature for June 2010 was the warmest on record at 61.1°F (16.2°C), which is 1.22°F (0.68°C) above the 20th century average of 59.9°F (15.5°C).

  • The global June land surface temperature was 1.93°F (1.07°C) above the 20th century average of 55.9 °F (13.3°C) — the warmest on record.
    • Warmer-than-average conditions dominated the globe, with the most prominent warmth in Peru, the central and eastern contiguous U.S., and eastern and western Asia. Cooler-than-average regions included Scandinavia, southern China and the northwestern contiguous United States.
    • According to Beijing Climate Center, Inner Mongolia, Heilongjiang and Jilin had their warmest June since national records began in 1951. Meanwhile, Guizhou experienced its coolest June on record.
    • According to Spain’s meteorological office, the nationwide average temperature was 0.7°F (0.4°C) above normal, Spain’s coolest June since 1997.
  • The worldwide ocean surface temperature was 0.97°F (0.54°C) above the 20th century average of 61.5°F (16.4°C), which was the fourth warmest June on record. The warmth was most pronounced in the Atlantic Ocean.
  • Sea surface temperature continued to decrease across the equatorial Pacific Ocean during June 2010, consistent with the end of El Niño. According to NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, La Niña conditions are likely to develop during the northern hemisphere summer 2010.

Temperature Anomalies January - June 2010.

High resolution (Credit: NOAA)

April – June 2010 and Year-to-Date

  • The combined global land and ocean surface temperature for April-June 2010 was 1.26°F (0.70°C) above the 20th century average—the warmest April-June period on record.
  • For the year-to-date, the global combined land and ocean surface temperature of 57.5°F (14.2°C) was the warmest January-June period. This value is 1.22°F (0.68°C) above the 20th century average.

Polar Sea Ice and Precipitation Highlights

  • Arctic sea ice covered an average of 4.2 million square miles (10.9 million square kilometers) during June. This is 10.6 percent below the 1979-2000 average extent and the lowest June extent since records began in 1979. This was also the 19th consecutive June with below-average Arctic sea ice extent.
  • Antarctic sea ice extent in June was above average, 8.3 percent above the 1979-2000 average—resulting in the largest June extent on record.
  • China had near-average precipitation. Regionally, Guizhou, Fujian and Qinghai had above-average precipitation during June 2010, resulting in the second wettest June since national records began in 1951—according to Beijing Climate Center. Meanwhile, the province of Jiangsu had its driest June on record, while Shanxi had its second driest on record.
  • According to Australia’s Bureau of Meteorology, the continent had its fourth-driest June on record.
  • The first six months of 2010 were the driest since 1929 for the United Kingdom, according to the UK Met Office. The average rainfall during January-June 2010 was 14.3 inches (362.5 mm), just 3.4 inches (86.8 mm) above January-June 1929. The January-June long-term average is 20.1 inches (511.7 mm).

Scientists, researchers and leaders in government and industry use NOAA’s monthly reports to help track trends and other changes in the world’s climate. This climate service has a wide range of practical uses, from helping farmers know what and when to plant, to guiding resource managers with critical decisions about water, energy and other vital assets.

Scientists, researchers and leaders in government and industry use NOAA’s monthly reports to help track trends and other changes in the world’s climate. This climate service has a wide range of practical uses, from helping farmers know what and when to plant, to guiding resource managers with critical decisions about water, energy and other vital assets.

Additional Information

June 2010 Global State of the Climate – Supplemental Figures & Information

NOAA understands and predicts changes in the Earth’s environment, from the depths of the oceans to surface of the sun, and conserves and manages our coastal and marine resources.

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79 thoughts on “The Australian's overheated time warp misses half of 2010

  1. Or is it they are divine and to them”a day is like a thousand years and a thousand years is but a day”. Works wonders for trends.

  2. They say “This climate service has a wide range of practical uses, from helping farmers know what and when to plant,”
    I am a farmer but I do not rely on climate service advice (In NZ it is NIWA or the Met service) to decide when to plant. They could not make an accurate prediction more than 5 days out. The decision when to plant is made based on local knowledge. For example, I try to plant my early turnips (about 15 acres for cattle feed), on the 10th of October and my late ones by the 20th. The claim that farmers use their data is very suspicious. People who live in cities might find the claim believable.
    They also say it is for ” guiding resource managers with critical decisions about water, energy and other vital assets.”
    So they build unnecessary desalination plants based on this advice.
    http://www.theaustralian.com.au/business/industry-sectors/switch-off-desal-say-water-utilities/story-e6frg97o-1225889565533
    How much money does this service cost? I suspect nobody actually relies on their advice.

  3. This isn’t weather which has to be over thirty years, not six months. It’s only climate!
    Oh wait! I got something wrong there……
    Worse than we thunk.

  4. Is anyone else getting tired of this same old crap, on the same old bat channel on a different day?
    Sometimes I can’t even look at the news and happenings related to science and ACGW because it’s the same crap over and over and over and over.
    And they wonder why Chris is starting to kick some butt, I’m sure he’s as tired of this garbage as we are, and a whole lot more out in the wind than we are and taking more flack than we are.
    The only time in my life that I wish I was someone famous. Not for the glory but to counteract the crap coming from hollywood and Gore and others.

  5. Strange, The Australian is one of the few newspapers here not in the alarmist camp. But it is Friday………..
    John Gorter

  6. Well it is the Australian so what can you expect. And the numpty PM we seem to have been landed with is intent on inserting her monster carbon tax so the Aus and its like will be right behind her.

  7. Reading anything put out by NOAA has all the morbid fascination of checking out a car wreck — it’s an unholy mess that’ll never be made right. You just want to get away from that mess as quickly as possible where everything is clean, tidy, and rational.

  8. UAH satellite measurements confirm second quarter temperatures for 2010 were unusually high, but this seems to have come to an abrupt halt in recent days:
    http://discover.itsc.uah.edu/amsutemps/
    This is the hangover effect of the last El Nino, which has also abruptly disappeared.
    It will be interesting to see how much global temperatures decline over the rest of the year and, of course, what happens to the Arctic ice in September.
    In any event, second quarter 2010 emperature figures could be the last ‘good news’ our alarmist friends have for a very long time.

  9. Unfortunately The Australian is probably the fairest media outlet we have here so it’s all steeply down hill from a low base.

  10. John Gorter says:
    July 15, 2010 at 11:18 pm
    Strange, The Australian is one of the few newspapers here not in the alarmist camp. But it is Friday………..
    Hey John, and we do have an election coming up, perhaps this is to help Julia over her recent embarrassments and show that the Australian has “balance” in its news reporting. But from where I see the issues it’s classic spin and misrepresentation to see if the average Australian voter will swallow those porkies, and that’s hard when the weather is well, “winter weather” cold and wet and likely to cause flooding.
    Alternatively the Australian may be trying to provoke an adverse reaction from their readers by serving them up with such extreme spin. With already lots of complaints over rapidly rising electricity and gas bills and higher municipal and state taxes and rents hitting a broad spectrum of the community, I’m sure that Julia will be watching closely at the reactions of ordinary voters as she considers inflicting carbon taxes, under various guises.
    More I think about it the more I smell political adjustments and jockeying for positions in the lead up to the election or postponing the election slightly to get the mix right. Anything is up for grabs in this one.

  11. Well this post will cause great hilarity here in Australia. ‘The Australian’ is the chief organ of denial down under. Their opinion writers are all firmly in the News Limited libertarian conservative camp, so any science that might dovetail with a conservation agenda is undermined remorselessly. They cheerfully reprint the likes of Jonathon Leake from the ‘Sunday Mail’, and you’ll all be happy to know the astonishing climategate scandal got a thorough airing.
    “How The Australian turned that into a whole year can only be explained by alarmism combined with shoddy journalism. ” Actually shoddy journalism is quite enough to explain the headline.
    I like this too… “this news will be a tough sell in Australia, which has had a string of unusually cold weather records broken in the past weeks.” It’s not that tough a sell for people who understand the difference between global temperatures and global trends, and a few cold nights in Sydney (or the depth of the snow in your backyard in Washington state). Most of the posters here know it too, but you just like stirring the pot, don’t you guys?
    And finally…”And they wonder why Chris is starting to kick some butt” from Brad. I don’t understand why WUWT has nailed its colours to Chris Monckton’s mast. I really don’t.

  12. No one else agrees with NOAA about June’s rank. GISS has June at #3

    1998	0.69
    2009	0.64
    2005	0.59
    2010	0.59
    

    Neither UAH nor RSS have June at #1. Had-Crut isn’t out yet.

  13. I can assure the NOAA that its been very cold here down under this winter. We use a quaint old fashioned system here where the temperature is lower when it is cooler and higher when it is hot. Not sure what they use.
    In ClimateSpeak when its the second coldest year its really the new 99th warmest year. I see there is no cold anymore, its more or less hot and that’s that.
    [REPLY – Nice MMTS you got there, squire. Be a pity if something happened to it. A word to the wise — You, too, can be “adjusted”. So you’d better remember warmer if you get my drift . . . ~ Evan]

  14. Years now end in June, huh?
    Oh, got to, found a jingle that’s brash but fits this post perfectly.
    Hurry, hurry, hurry alarmists
    before the cooling can hit the fan,
    your stories set down in infamy,
    all the models tossed straight into the can!

  15. Christchurch New Zealand. they had a great big red dot over us for June on their map but air temp here were avg not 2c above as the map says you can even check NIWA they say avg too.

  16. Meanwhile in nearby New Zealand, temperatures have reached almost the coldest since records began.
    http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=10658655
    Mercury plunges to record lows
    4:00 AM Wednesday Jul 14, 2010
    An extreme cold snap has broken temperature records and produced what are likely to be the country’s coldest nights this year.
    The National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research said the past few days had seen some of the lowest temperatures on record.
    Air temperatures in Taumarunui, in the central North Island, dipped to -6.8C this week, the coldest since records began in 1947.
    Te Kuiti and Turangi had their coldest July nights on record, and in the South Island, Blenheim experienced its second-coldest July temperature yesterday morning.
    Queenstown, at -7.2C, had its third coldest night in 139 years of records.
    [REPLY – Fear not. In a month’s time you will have been warmer than you think. NIWA will no doubt just apply a few “adjustments” and fix you up in a jiffy. – Evan]

  17. This caught my eye….

    According to Australia’s Bureau of Meteorology, the continent had its fourth-driest June on record.

    This is a big country, but in my backyard in west Canberra, the ground is drenched and our total rain to date this year is 347mm, in 2009 the corresponding period produced 194mm. Friends in nearby Hall say their dams have never been so full. July has been very wet, looking at rainfall for one month is meaningless, unless …….

  18. More Australian MSM rubbish. Working from home today notice an ad on TV directed at children. It advertising a game called “Footprints”, to save the planet. Well I think I’ll let you use your own imagingation as to what it is all about.
    It is election year, Gillard is strangely “the most popular and trusted PM”, and she’s only been in the job a few weeks. Me smells a rat.
    It is also the first time I can vote in Australia, problem is, none of the major parties offer anything. They are all behind CAGW and putting a price on carbon, to save the planet, and, effectively, exporting wealth overseas.
    An interesting few weeks ahead.

  19. “NOAA understands and predicts changes in the Earth’s environment, from the depths of the oceans to surface of the sun, and conserves and manages our coastal and marine resources.”
    I find that statement completely unbelievable in a “scientific” organisation. This is nothing short of claiming absolute omnipotence. Hubris and arrogance obviously outweigh truth and scientific evidence in this organisation.
    Obviously they need no further research investment. I would suggest the cutting off of their budget immediately, I’m sure the money can be better spent elsewhere.

  20. Warmest ever, or just largest computed anomalies ever?
    Funny how the localized weather services of northern europe, including russia, data seem to be lower than NOAAs by as much as up to two degrees.

  21. Correction: the term is Crikey (KrYKY), translation fer christ’s sake.
    Continue.

  22. I have lived in Brisbane Aus for 36 years. For many years I never even owned a heater. When I have used one it has been for a day or two, mainly in August and for never more than a total of 14 days in a year. This year I have two heaters and used them for the last two months almost every night. Yes! a hard sell indeed. I keep reminding myself that climate is not weather.

  23. Last month’s combined global land and ocean surface temperature made it the warmest June on record
    Not according to UAH satellite data.
    http://i599.photobucket.com/albums/tt74/MartinGAtkins/UAH-Jun.jpg
    and the warmest on record averaged for any April-June
    UAH says no.
    http://i599.photobucket.com/albums/tt74/MartinGAtkins/UAH-Apr-Jun.jpg
    and January-June periods,
    Sorry NCDC wins no fluffy toy here either.
    http://i599.photobucket.com/albums/tt74/MartinGAtkins/Jan-Jun-UAH-1.jpg
    NOAA knows how to cherry pick and distort data in the from the depths of the oceans to surface of the sun.

  24. Christopher Monckton’s response to John Abraham is an excellent condensed source of basic information for a layman like me, on the shortcomings of the AGW hypothesis, for which I guess I should thank Professor Abraham.
    I had previously not understood the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Pdoindex_1900_present.png and its effect on the global climate. Monckton refers to it on page 85.
    If you look at roughly equivalent points on the PDO cycle, rather than arbitrary points in time like 1880 – 2010 (the extent of the GISTEMP record) or 1950 – 2010 (the presumed period of major human influence which begs the question anyway), the temperature rise could easily be attributed to the UHI effect, human GHG emissions, or simply to recovery from the LIA.
    For instance the temperature rise from the peak of the 1905 – 1946 warm phase (c. 1940) to the corresponding peak of the 1977 – 1999 warm phase (1998) was ~ 0.6 C/century, hardly enough to run screaming through the streets about and a far cry from the average 3 – 4 C predicted for the next century by the IPCC.
    http://woodfortrees.org/plot/hadcrut3vgl/from:1940/to:1998/plot/hadcrut3vgl/from:1940/to:1998/trend
    As for The Australian (a News Corporation product), it’s the only daily worth reading and on climate, takes an editorial stance, I would say, close to the Copenhagen Consensus and Bjørn Lomborg.

  25. The error may have been in good faith, because a few days ago GISS was trumpeting the claim that the past 12 months have been the warmest ever, so The Australian may have got these two claims mixed up.

  26. There’s no reason the “year” has to be tied to Jan-Dec. For the Ozzies, using Jul-Jun is more logical when referring to a year of weather/climate if you want to compare with an NH year.
    So the only problem is in calling it 2010: had they said 2009/10 in the headline it would be fine.

  27. wayne says:
    July 16, 2010 at 12:16 am
    “Hurry, hurry, hurry alarmists
    before the cooling can hit the fan,…”

    This is what is driving alaramism today. The alarmists in-the-know suspect a natural cooling swing (Mojib Latif et al) so let’s apply the precautionary principle before it’s too late. :o)
    I notice that towards the end of The Australian news story we get the following:

    Marc Morano, a global-warming skeptic who edits the Climate Depot website, says the government “is playing the climate fear card by hyping predictions and cherry-picking data.”
    Joe D’Aleo, a meteorologist who co-founded The Weather Channel, disagrees, too. He says oceans are entering a cooling cycle that will lower temperatures.
    He says too many of the weather stations NOAA uses are in warmer urban areas.
    “The only reliable data set right now is satellite,” D’Aleo says.
    He says NASA satellite data shows the average temperature in June was 0.43 degrees higher than normal. NOAA says it was 1.22 degrees higher.

  28. . . . is 10.6 percent below the 1979-2000 average extent and the lowest June extent since records began in 1979. This was also the 19th consecutive June with below-average Arctic sea ice extent.
    Given an around 31 year record, you’d expect on average about 15 years of below average extent. Consecutive implies even more below average years of extent lie unmentioned in the data. Relying upon my above average arithmetic talents, I’d say some of the above average years must have been doozies.
    Kind of the opposite of Garrison Keillor’s Lake Wobegon, “Where all the women are strong, all the men are good-looking and all the children are above-average.”

  29. RE: Photo: Perhaps there should be a durable neutral-albedo asphalt surface treatment applied within 200 meters of any such instrument.

  30. no body with any brains believes the crap that you read in the papers any more .you only read them if you get them for free . I live in sydney and it is a cold winter down under

  31. Christopher Monckton’s response to John Abraham is an excellent condensed source of basic information for a layman like me, on the shortcomings of the AGW hypothesis, for which I guess I should thank Professor Abraham.

    But make sure you also look critically at scientific challenges to what Monkton says before you make up your mind. Take a couple of the Monkton questions and go through them very closely, read what Monkton’s sources say (apparently you can e-mail him if he hasn’t included them), read what opposing sources say.
    I did that, and I found I didn’t like what I saw… and I am not a climatologist either.

  32. On the topic of headlines (not climate or weather), New Hampshire TV station WMUR is reporting “victim of fatal car crash improving.”
    (Car driven by 21 yr-old who never had a license slid into a utility pole while two passengers were leaning out the windows and got ejected, one died – presumably it’s the other one who is improving.)

  33. KenB says:
    July 15, 2010 at 11:48 pm
    John Gorter says:
    July 15, 2010 at 11:18 pm
    “….More I think about it the more I smell political adjustments and jockeying for positions in the lead up to the election or postponing the election slightly to get the mix right. Anything is up for grabs in this one.”
    ____________________________________________________________
    Lest those of you down under actually believe this GIGO. Here is what I found when I looked at mid North Carolina a mid-Atlantic state. Since “homogenizing” says one temperature represents a 1200K circle it should represent most of the east coast of the USA … Right?
    I compared this year to 2004, that is as far back as Wunderground goes for Sanford NC since my goats ate their data. I count by July tenth 43 days over ninety F for 2004 vs 26 days for 2010, and four days of 98F in 2010 vs nine days of 98F in 2004. As you can see April and May were running cool only June was hot and July looks to be cooler than 2004 also.
    Of course I have also noticed the “official temperatures” posted the next day are often 2 to 3 F higher than the actual data from the day before especially the lows.
    If you look at the month of July including the forecast temps we are looking at one day of 96F (35C) and the rest of the time running 78F (25C) to 94F (34C) hardly the over 100F (38C) summer scorchers with long run of temps never under 90F (32C) I have seen here since I relocated in 1994. http://www.wunderground.com/history/airport/KTTA/2010/7/16/MonthlyHistory.html
    Here is the closest “official” NASA – GISS station: Fayetteville NC an Army base city. You will notice the year 2004 was hardly the hottest year for this next of the woods.Actually eight out of the last nine years have been cool. No wonder all the data before 2004 got “disappeared”! They do not want use to check and see our memory of those scorcher summers with many days over 100F (38C) were correct.
    Central North Carolina (Sanford)Monthly temps over 90F for.2004.&.2010
    April 2010 (1)………..April 2004 (6)
    1day – 91F……………..2 days – 91F
    …………………………….4 days – 93F
    May 2010 (4)………………May 2004 (17)
    4day – 91F……………..6 days – 91F
    …………………………….6 days – 93F
    …………………………… 2 days – 95F
    …………………………….1 days – 96F
    …………………………….2 days – 98F
    June 2010 (18)……June 2004 (11)
    5 day – 91F……………1 days – 91F
    5 days – 93F………….7 days – 93F
    2 days – 95F……………none
    2 days – 96F……………2 days – 96
    4 days – 98F…………..1 days – 98F
    July 2010 (3)…………..July 2004 (9)
    1 days – 91F………………2 day – 91F
    1 days – 93F…………….1 days – 93F
    1 days – 96F……………none
    none………………………6 days – 98F
    For the whole month of July 2004 (24)
    ……………4 day – 91F
    ……………11 days – 93F
    ……………1 days – 95F
    …………1days – 96F
    …………2days – 98F
    http://www.wunderground.com/history/airport/KTTA/2010/7/16/MonthlyHistory.html
    Sanford weather is measured south and east of B. Everett Jordan Lake in lee county, the little shield shaped county in the middle of the state. Here are some maps of the area including elevation. http://geology.com/state-map/north-carolina.shtml

  34. Why should I be impressed with or worried about a ‘warmest ever [insert minute / day / month /year / decade] on record’ that consists of a half-degree Celsius temperature anomaly – chosen from a baseline period where we know the world was warming from unusual cold – that is smaller than the margin of error of the instruments used to measure it, and utterly swamped by the variation in temperature in any part of the globe from day to day, month to month, year to year and season to season. This is even assuming surface temperature measurements are reliable and not polluted with arbitrary, ill considered adjustments for UHI. I have yet to see anything, peer-reviewed or otherwise that uses anything other than pure assertion and speculation (plus models) to claim that that this tiny variation in temperature could have any meaningful effect on the planet on a regional scale, or that it is historically unusual. Before anyone cries ‘Arctic sea ice’, show me some evidence that anything unusual is happening there too, melt or no.
    Why keep so quiet about the time-scale of the surface ‘record’ you present as well? Reliable temperatures have been taken for hundreds of years, yet the ‘record’ beloved of AGW proponents begins at 1880. Why? Did the world begin in 1880? Are they invoking some new, extreme form of creationism to make their case? Trends, trends, trends. Every time I read a piece of grant-seeking alarmist propaganda, riddled with confirmation bias, assertion in place of observation and quiet, arse-covering get-out clauses, I get a bit annoyed and my body temperature increases 0.5 degrees C. Looking at current trends I am due to boil the atmosphere from the earth by 2015. It is worse than I thought.

  35. Another example of cherry picking, NOAA riding the ENSO wave.
    I am looking forward to using the same tactics at the bottom on the La nina wave which will also have solar & ocean influences.

  36. I live in SE British Columbia and follow your website closely. I also read other sites relating to climate and weather. We live a life very close to nature with organic gardening and working outside most of the time. It has been a very cold spring and summer with morning temperatures well below what I have experienced in 40 years here. Last year our ice on the lake went out the latest 30 years. Australian weather seems to be similar. When I look at global temperature maps the dark red hot areas always seem to be mostly in the far north or some where few or no weather stations exist.

  37. More evidence that replicating model results is completely meaningless. Unless and until every individual station is properly evaluated, SAT records are completely unreliable.
    Defenders of the surface station network still don’ t get.

  38. Jay Lawrimore, Climate Analysis Chief at NOAA CLimatic Center: “Much of the [temperature] increase is due to increases in greenhouse gases.”
    ==========================================
    This is the kind of a stuff that really burns me up.
    Where in the HELL does a public servant, salaried by the hard-earned tax money Americans, get off in making a blatantly unscientific and juvenile statement like this…
    ….when no mechanism has been proved and no real world observations have ever EVER been been even close to produce to make the silly leap of faith that their models call for?
    It is just madness. And that madness at the public dole….makes me madder.
    Grrrrrrrrr.
    Keep it up, you fools, and the longer-overdue darwinian death of this ridiculous line of “scientific” thinking, might take you down with it.
    You still have time, to break free from the cult. The punch has not been poured yet.
    Chris
    Norfolk, VA, USA

  39. “Arctic sea ice covered an average of 4.2 million square miles (10.9 million square kilometers) during June. This is 10.6 percent below the 1979-2000 average extent and the lowest June extent since records began in 1979. This was also the 19th consecutive June with below-average Arctic sea ice extent.”
    These factoids are heading towards absurd territory and will arrive at the border in 2012 when they announce we’ve had 21 consecutive below averages as compared their 21 year base.
    Now that I think about it, announcing we’ve had 19 consecutive below average Junes in a 31 year period because of their arbitrary choice of base and when we started recording in a particular manner is retarded.

  40. I find it easy to believe that The Keepers of Official Records have already penciled in what the final “average” temperatures will be for 2010, and now all they have to do is fake and fudge the readings enough to make sure that the final result comes out even with the pre-determined result.
    Maybe the Australian’s only error was to let this slip out 6 months early.

  41. “New Hampshire TV station WMUR is reporting “victim of fatal car crash improving.”
    That’s like the headline “4 persons killed this weekend – 2 seriously!”

  42. http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2009/11/091112121611.htm
    Interesting take on the record highs all across the world but instead WUWT focuses on there is a record low in the world. There has never been a statement that there will be no more record lows. But the statement of the rocord highs to record lows ratio will increase throughout the century till reaching a 50 nto 1 ratio by the end of the century.
    We have increased to 2 to 1 over the last 30 years.

  43. NOTE: The following is not to denigrate the many MANY talented minds who work at NOAA, it is to poke fun at its condescending, predictably green, “quasi-private industry” tone of this stupid motto.
    Original:
    “NOAA understands and predicts changes in the Earth’s environment, from the depths of the oceans to surface of the sun, and conserves and manages our coastal and marine resources.”
    What is really being said when you weed through the Doublespeak:
    NEW Version:
    “Big Brother, knows better than anyone else, and relies heavily upon models at the purposeful expense of real world observations and honest surface temperature measurements, to predict greenhouse-gas-caused climate change, from the depths of the oceans to surface of the sun [as we know it all, and we’ve been there], and conserves and manages our coastal and marine resources [even though our costal and marine resources dire condition, such as pollution and overfishing, are being purposely swept under the ‘Ocean Acidification’ rug.”
    Chris
    Norfolk, Virginia, USA

  44. @Jeff Green
    Yes, their “sophisticated computer model” must do an excellent job at capturing further urban sprawl and the UHI.
    It interesting that GLOBALLY, the warming that has occurred has been primarily due to higher nighttime lows, and NOT daytime highs. Though it’s nice that everyone associates record highs with global warming.

  45. TheGoodProfessor says:
    July 16, 2010 at 4:29 am
    “Christopher Monckton’s response to John Abraham is an excellent condensed source of basic information for a layman like me, ….”
    But make sure you also look critically at scientific challenges to what Monkton says before you make up your mind. Take a couple of the Monkton questions and go through them very closely, read what Monkton’s sources say (apparently you can e-mail him if he hasn’t included them), read what opposing sources say.
    I did that, and I found I didn’t like what I saw… and I am not a climatologist either.
    ______________________________________________
    Also make sure you look at some of the Climategate e-mails, the politics and the money behind the science. At this point we can not afford to separate the politics and the science we must look at the whole to see the facts.
    “A massive campaign must be launched to restore a high-quality environment in North America and to de-develop the United States. De-devolopment means bringing our economic system (especially patterns of consumption) into line with the realities of ecology and the global resource situation. Resources and energy must be diverted from frivolous and wasteful uses in overdeveloped countries to filling the genuine needs of underdeveloped countries.” from 1973 book “Human Ecology: Problems and Solutions,” John P. Holdren, director of the White House Office of Science and Technology and co-authors Paul and Ann Ehrlich.
    Note this is one year after Maurice Strong chaired the first Earth Summit launching CAGW.
    In 1995, Holdren co-authored a chapter with Paul Ehrlich and Gretchen Daily—“The Meaning of Sustainability: Biogeophysical Aspects” Sustainability is the Code word for Agenda 21 and again you will find Maurice Strong heavily involved in the UN REFORM – Restructuring for Global Governance
    (Yes Professor I have checked out this information. It dovetails with what others and I have found in the last few years)
    I don’t know why this Climategate email text
    has gotten so little play, but it should have opened up more eyes as to the agenda: (Agenda 21 – Sustainability)
    http://www.eastangliaemails.com/emails.php?eid=54&filename=889554019.txt
    They even use the term “global governance….
    I wonder what proportion of individuals discussing and worrying about sustainability and CAGW ever read Agenda 21. Here is the link to the full text of it: http://www.un.org/esa/dsd/agenda21/res_agenda21_00.shtml

    AGENDA 21 FOR DUMMIES

    NWO / CLUB OF ROME DEPOPULATION & AGENDA 21
    Here is the Wild Lands that the Obama science office was talking to the BBC about in 2009. MAP The green areas are where humans are allowed.
    More information on how the “Wildlands Project” almost became US law in 1994. This is copied from the Congressional Record S13790
    http://www.propertyrightsresearch.org/articles2/wildlands_project_and_un_convent.htm

  46. A drowning man will clutch at straws. AGW is clutching at the straws of the summer temperature highs, thinking that they are lifeboats. The lifeboats of AGW, which they are not.
    How about going to Mongolia and telling the farmers there that this year is the warmest ever, or to Australia, Europe, US, Peru, where children died of the record cold two winters ago, etc etc.

  47. Referring to that Carefree AZ site as an example, has anyone ever investigated the heat island effect on clear vs. cloudy days? The asphalt around some of those stations would certainly heat up much more on clear days, so I would expect the divergence of temps between a properly-sited device and an asphalt-sited one to be greater on clear days than on cloudy days. So maybe June was marked by an excess of clear days around those temperature stations, rather than just excessive heat?
    It wouldn’t seem to be a huge project to compare a few stations using just days that are completely overcast versus days that are cloudless. That would also abstract some from other siting issues like altitude, nearby trees, etc., especially since some cloudy days would be quite warm whereas some clear days would be cold. Just a thought.

  48. going by the bees and the trees behaviour, Vic Aus at least is going to have a late rain season, which is good for having water to drink and grow home gardens, but may not be so good for the crops.
    its nature and it happens.
    starting from January to June, it wasnt that hot a summer, the rains came late, its been cold and frosty, and? its winter.
    be a cooler summer I am betting

  49. Alex the skeptic says:
    July 16, 2010 at 7:29 am
    A drowning man will clutch at straws.
    —-
    If by man you mean pirate, then you are right.
    I’d quibble with the straw, though. It’s more like a piece of drift wood he’s balanced himself on so as to make one last grab for my wallet.

  50. We’ve just come out of a moderately strong El Nino. The last 12 months of partially-El-Nino-impacted temperatures have been quite high. Temperatures in June were still being affected by the tail-end of the El Nino but the peak temperature was in March.
    We are now in a La Nina which looks to reach its peak around November. So temperatures will probably be declining from March 2010 until February 2011 or so.
    Let’s see where we are then.

  51. Here, I fixed the motto of NOAA to make it more descriptive and accurate:
    No amount of cooling, or dark or night, nor rain, nor snow, nor hail will prevent the climatologist, the paleoclimatologist, nor the liberal “scientist” on the government payroll from making our appointed rounds fabricating temperatures(always with an upward bias), or ice extent or cherry picking data for same. Thank you for your support.

  52. DR says:
    July 16, 2010 at 6:24 am
    More evidence that replicating model results is completely meaningless. Unless and until every individual station is properly evaluated, SAT records are completely unreliable.
    Defenders of the surface station network still don’ t get.
    _____________________________________________________________
    Oh they get it they just aren’t going to tell the unwashed masses about the error in the measurements.
    “..The title of this graph indicates this is the CRU computed sampling (measurement) error in C for 1969. Note how large these sampling errors are. They start at 0.5°C, which is the mark where any indication of global warming is just statistical noise and not reality. Most of the data is in the +/- 1°C range, which means any attempt to claim a global increase below this threshold is mathematically false. Imagine the noise in the 1880 data! You cannot create detail (resolution) below what your sensor system can measure. CRU has proven my point already – they do not have the temperature data to detect a 0.8°C global warming trend since 1960, let alone 1880.”
    If you add in the UHI effect, poor siting, the drop out of temperature stations and the fact NASA GISStemperature readings were adjusted six times after analysis in July 1999 indicated that the temperature anomaly for 1934 was nearly 60% higher than for 1998, then it is very very hard to believe anything a “climate scientist” says.
    They are lying and they know it and now so do we. Sorry Anthony but Hansen’s blink graph shows they are adjusting the data to “stay on message” and not to do unbiased science. http://i31.tinypic.com/2149sg0.gif

  53. I guess my zucchini and cucumber plants did not get the memo from NOAA. I had to replace them after they were killed by frost on May 31st. It was my fault. It had been unseasonably cold the last two weeks of May and I had been covering the plants up until that Sunday evening. Some neighbours and friends actually gave up on planting gardens this year, due to the cold, wet spring. In fact, some regions of Alberta (southwestern, northwestern) had killing frost on June 30th and July 1st. The following week, July 11th, a snowstorm moved across the rockies from Jasper, Alberta all the way down to northwestern Montana. The temperature in Jasper fell to an impressive 1.6 degrees C. Our friends in living the foothills of western Alberta are still waiting for summer to start.
    Oh, but that’s all just weather and shouldn’t negate NOAA’s warmest June on record, I guess.

  54. “TheGoodProfessor says:
    July 16, 2010 at 4:29 am
    Take a couple of the Monkton questions and go through them very closely, read what Monkton’s sources say (apparently you can e-mail him if he hasn’t included them), read what opposing sources say.
    I did that, and I found I didn’t like what I saw… and I am not a climatologist either.”
    Since I am under the impression that the score is “Monckton 500 – Abraham 0” I have to beg you to give me one example where Abraham is right and Monckton is wrong, please.

  55. And this is why studying range records is a vital part of quality control measures. Anomalies are all well and good but will hide UHI problems. Range records are red flags for investigation and possible application of quality control measures. That NOAA seems reluctant to do this displays a certain shoddiness in their research and service, and is also why I tend to disregard their predictions related to weather systems and highs and lows for agricultural purposes in NE Oregon.

  56. Hope no one else posted this, so if they did I apologize. But, I just saw this report:
    http://www.spiegel.de/international/0,1518,706968,00.html#ref=nlint
    Funny, no mention of the flooded conditions out in Canada’s prarie provinces, who have seen so much rain that crops are now imperilled. No dust bowl out that way, but I suppose Europe baking in a hot summer erases all the memories of the super frigid and harsh winter that was just, oh, 6 months ago.

  57. AB is right. Let’s hear it where Monckton is wrong. Meanwhile, it’s no good just posting to this website. Your tax dollars are paying for this false information from poorly sited weather stations. Do something about it. At least email your representitave. Bogus theory is bad enough but when built on bogus data, it’s really dangerous and can be used to justify higher taxes. C’mon you Ozzies. the last best hope of Britain.

  58. Very cold winters followed by nice hot summers, back to the pattern we saw in the 70’s. Funny how climate seems to keep oscillating in quasi-cyclical patterns!

  59. It may be worth bringing to people’s attention something that Hannah Arendt said about totalitarian systems (in The Origins of Totalitarianism). That in such a system the purpose of propaganda is not to persuade, but to sustain an organisation that is built around a prevailing fiction. There are other interesting ideas in that book that seem relevant to the present situation. I think someone on another thread did mention the idea of “soft totalitarianism”; indeed, there seems to be something like that trying at least to raise its head. (In some ways it’s a kind of Sauron-like coalescence – with AGW being the “one ring”. … Perhaps Tolkien had the same insight as Arendt.)

  60. Any thoughts on red artic dots?
    It disagrees with DMI by lots.
    And satellites that fly above
    give those same red dots no love?
    Why is it that congress so-ah
    Believes in polka dots by NOAA?

  61. Crispy,
    “It’s not that tough a sell for people who understand the difference between global temperatures and global trends, and a few cold nights in Sydney (or the depth of the snow in your backyard in Washington state).”
    Actually, the ‘weather’ in Washington State is heavily influenced by ElNino and LaNina.
    We had a very warm January , February and slightly warm March, plenty of crowing about how we could expect ‘warmer’ due to Climate Change, a record warm year..blah..blah.. then we had a cold April, May and June. Summer temperatures appeared from July 7th to July 10th and seem to have disappeared. The 10 day forecast is for ‘unseasonably’ cool weather.
    People in other parts of the world may still be feeling the latent effects of ElNino, but we in the Pacific Northwest are definitely experiencing LaNina.
    March’s global sea surface temperatures were .2 degrees C warmer then 2009, July’s are running .2 degrees cooler then 2009. Oceans are 2/3rds of the planet, if they are cooling, the planet is cooling.

  62. rw says:
    July 16, 2010 at 10:31 am
    It may be worth bringing to people’s attention something that Hannah Arendt said about totalitarian systems (in The Origins of Totalitarianism). That in such a system the purpose of propaganda is not to persuade, but to sustain an organisation that is built around a prevailing fiction. There are other interesting ideas in that book that seem relevant to the present situation. I think someone on another thread did mention the idea of “soft totalitarianism”; indeed, there seems to be something like that trying at least to raise its head. (In some ways it’s a kind of Sauron-like coalescence – with AGW being the “one ring”. … Perhaps Tolkien had the same insight as Arendt.)
    ________________________________________________________________
    “…the idea of “soft totalitarianism”; indeed, there seems to be something like that trying at least to raise its head.”
    I am not sure exactly what you mean by that but I do now we are now operating using “harmonization of laws” The FDA website puts it very bluntly, they now take direction from the UN and the World Trade Organization in formulating regulations (laws) and not the American people. The USDA is the same. Farmers and other owners of livestock have said not only no, but HELL NO to the World Trade Organization’s “livestock traceability” (about 93% against). Instead of dropping the plan the USDA has renamed it, and is making it very hard for individual farmers to have any say about the “new improved model” The WTO wants livestock traceability and the USDA is going to give it to them whether the American people want it or not.
    The same is true of the join UN-WTO “Guide to Good Farming Practices” based on the “Good Manufacturing Practices” required for drug manufacture. The Guide turns a farm into a prison wrapped up in high fences and red tape. So far we farmers have defeated the bills brought in front of Congress since 2005 however one will get passed and the right to grow food will be another right removed from the American people, just like it has been removed from the people in the EU and Australia and Mexico.
    see WUWT example at: http://wattsupwiththat.com/page/3/
    or the EU example at: http://www.i-sis.org.uk/savePolishCountryside.php
    “Julian Rose exposes the scandal of EU’s deliberate policy to get rid of family farms for the benefit of the corporations” The EU plans to get rid of one million of the 1.5 million family owned farms in Poland. The WTO/EU has already removed farmers from 60% of the farms in Portugal and 75% of the farms in Mexico.
    Sounds like we are right on target for Kissenger’s “Who controls the food supply controls the people; who controls the energy can control whole continents; who controls money can control the world.”
    CAGW is of course step two and The World Bank and Financial Stability Board is step three.
    We are gradually evolving into a world of “Global Governance” by a select elite who dictate to the hollow shells of what were free world governments. The media acts as a propaganda machine telling the people that the laws they are opposed to are what the majority of them really wanted.
    “A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that just 23% of voters nationwide believe the federal government today has the consent of the governed”
    …Not surprisingly, only four percent (4%) of Mainstream Voters think the Political Class cares.
    Over the past couple of years, most Americans have opposed many initiatives of the Political Class including the bailouts of the financial and auto industries. Additionally, most voters still favor repeal of the national health care plan and overwhelmingly disagree with the Justice Department’s decision to challenge Arizona’s new immigration law in court. ”
    Obamacare is an excellent example. “Support for repealing Obamacare … hitting a high of 63% in May. “ http://www.weeklystandard.com/blogs/rasmussen-60-favor-repealing-obamacare

  63. NOAA & the magic of adjusted data.
    What outcome would you like our data to be?
    No worries, she be right.

  64. savethesharks says:
    July 16, 2010 at 6:35 am

    Jay Lawrimore, Climate Analysis Chief at NOAA CLimatic Center: “Much of the [temperature] increase is due to increases in greenhouse gases.”

    Where did you find that quote? The link at the top to the newspaper article doesn’t go there, it goes Anthony’s .png at http://wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com/2010/07/australian_2010_hottest.png
    I did find the comment at http://www.news.com.au/breaking-news/hottest-year-on-record/story-e6frfku0-1225892757018 which has the decency to include:

    Marc Morano, a global-warming skeptic who edits the Climate Depot website, says the government “is playing the climate fear card by hyping predictions and cherry-picking data.”
    Joe D’Aleo, a meteorologist who co-founded The Weather Channel, disagrees, too. He says oceans are entering a cooling cycle that will lower temperatures.
    He says too many of the weather stations NOAA uses are in warmer urban areas.
    “The only reliable data set right now is satellite,” D’Aleo says.
    He says NASA satellite data shows the average temperature in June was 0.43 degrees higher than normal. NOAA says it was 1.22 degrees higher.

  65. Jeff Green says:
    July 16, 2010 at 6:51 am
    > http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2009/11/091112121611.htm
    Interesting take on the record highs all across the world but instead WUWT focuses on there is a record low in the world.
    That subject, and I think that paper, has been covered here. You might ask the authors if weather records reach back into the hot decade of the 1930s.
    Ah yes, http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/11/16/hall-of-record-ratios/ – you might also be interested in seeing the low temperature records outnumbering the highs in the decades of the 60s, 70s, and 80s.
    BTW, found in about 20 seconds – I noticed your article was from Nov 13 last year, started from http://home.comcast.net/~ewerme/wuwt/monthly.html, selected Nov 2009, scanned around midmonth and found the title “Hall of record ratios”.
    Please learn to check up when you post old news – very little escapes WUWT’s attention these days.

  66. Ric Werme (July 16, 2010 at 6:37 pm):
    I’m surprised that Morano is quoted as stating that it’s “0.43 degrees higher than normal
    “Normal” is a careless word to use with regards to the constantly-changing climate.

  67. Looks like TheGoodProfessor has left the building without giving us an example of where Monckton went wrong. Well, it is kind of difficult to be specific. But I am still disappointed, perfesser, sir, if you know what I mean.

  68. How on earth did NOAA get a plus anomaly for Iowa?
    “At 80 consecutive days, this was the fourth longest streak of sub-50º weather on record” (Harry Hillaker, Iowa State Climatologist)
    “Temperatures for the three mid-winter months of December, January and February averaged 17.0º or 4.5º below normal….This ranks as the 19th coldest and 9th wettest winter among 138 years of records.” (Harry Hillaker, Iowa State Climatologist)

  69. [snip – we fully understand the difference between weather and climate, your insult is thus denied. Come back when there’s an Australian heatwave and the press is citing it as proof of global warming]

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