Crickey! The year ain’t over yet mates. (h/t to Australian reader “Michael”)
Heh, you gotta love the headline. Of course when we keep finding climate stations like this one, which reads 5 degrees high and set new records, no wonder NOAA thinks we are headed for hotness.
Looking south: Note NOAA’s little “helper” – click
Even without the time warp, this news will be a tough sell in Australia, which has had a string of unusually cold weather records broken in the past weeks. For example Sydney just broke a 60 year old cold record.
Here’s the original press release from NOAA/NCDC posted below. How The Australian turned that into a whole year can only be explained by alarmism combined with shoddy journalism. At year-end, the story may very well be different.
NOAA: June, April to June, and Year-to-Date Global Temperatures are Warmest on Record
July 15, 2010
Last month’s combined global land and ocean surface temperature made it the warmest June on record and the warmest on record averaged for any April-June and January-June periods, according to NOAA. Worldwide average land surface temperature was the warmest on record for June and the April-June period, and the second warmest on record for the year-to-date (January-June) period, behind 2007.
The monthly analysis from NOAA’s National Climatic Data Center, which is based on records going back to 1880, is part of the suite of climate services NOAA provides government, business and community leaders so they can make informed decisions.
Global Temperature Highlights – June
-
High resolution (Credit: NOAA)
The combined global land and ocean average surface temperature for June 2010 was the warmest on record at 61.1°F (16.2°C), which is 1.22°F (0.68°C) above the 20th century average of 59.9°F (15.5°C).
- The global June land surface temperature was 1.93°F (1.07°C) above the 20th century average of 55.9 °F (13.3°C) — the warmest on record.
-
- Warmer-than-average conditions dominated the globe, with the most prominent warmth in Peru, the central and eastern contiguous U.S., and eastern and western Asia. Cooler-than-average regions included Scandinavia, southern China and the northwestern contiguous United States.
- According to Beijing Climate Center, Inner Mongolia, Heilongjiang and Jilin had their warmest June since national records began in 1951. Meanwhile, Guizhou experienced its coolest June on record.
- According to Spain’s meteorological office, the nationwide average temperature was 0.7°F (0.4°C) above normal, Spain’s coolest June since 1997.
- The worldwide ocean surface temperature was 0.97°F (0.54°C) above the 20th century average of 61.5°F (16.4°C), which was the fourth warmest June on record. The warmth was most pronounced in the Atlantic Ocean.
- Sea surface temperature continued to decrease across the equatorial Pacific Ocean during June 2010, consistent with the end of El Niño. According to NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, La Niña conditions are likely to develop during the northern hemisphere summer 2010.
High resolution (Credit: NOAA)
April – June 2010 and Year-to-Date
- The combined global land and ocean surface temperature for April-June 2010 was 1.26°F (0.70°C) above the 20th century average—the warmest April-June period on record.
- For the year-to-date, the global combined land and ocean surface temperature of 57.5°F (14.2°C) was the warmest January-June period. This value is 1.22°F (0.68°C) above the 20th century average.
Polar Sea Ice and Precipitation Highlights
- Arctic sea ice covered an average of 4.2 million square miles (10.9 million square kilometers) during June. This is 10.6 percent below the 1979-2000 average extent and the lowest June extent since records began in 1979. This was also the 19th consecutive June with below-average Arctic sea ice extent.
- Antarctic sea ice extent in June was above average, 8.3 percent above the 1979-2000 average—resulting in the largest June extent on record.
- China had near-average precipitation. Regionally, Guizhou, Fujian and Qinghai had above-average precipitation during June 2010, resulting in the second wettest June since national records began in 1951—according to Beijing Climate Center. Meanwhile, the province of Jiangsu had its driest June on record, while Shanxi had its second driest on record.
- According to Australia’s Bureau of Meteorology, the continent had its fourth-driest June on record.
- The first six months of 2010 were the driest since 1929 for the United Kingdom, according to the UK Met Office. The average rainfall during January-June 2010 was 14.3 inches (362.5 mm), just 3.4 inches (86.8 mm) above January-June 1929. The January-June long-term average is 20.1 inches (511.7 mm).
Scientists, researchers and leaders in government and industry use NOAA’s monthly reports to help track trends and other changes in the world’s climate. This climate service has a wide range of practical uses, from helping farmers know what and when to plant, to guiding resource managers with critical decisions about water, energy and other vital assets.
Scientists, researchers and leaders in government and industry use NOAA’s monthly reports to help track trends and other changes in the world’s climate. This climate service has a wide range of practical uses, from helping farmers know what and when to plant, to guiding resource managers with critical decisions about water, energy and other vital assets.
Additional Information
June 2010 Global State of the Climate – Supplemental Figures & Information
NOAA understands and predicts changes in the Earth’s environment, from the depths of the oceans to surface of the sun, and conserves and manages our coastal and marine resources.
@Jeff Green
Yes, their “sophisticated computer model” must do an excellent job at capturing further urban sprawl and the UHI.
It interesting that GLOBALLY, the warming that has occurred has been primarily due to higher nighttime lows, and NOT daytime highs. Though it’s nice that everyone associates record highs with global warming.
TheGoodProfessor says:
July 16, 2010 at 4:29 am
“Christopher Monckton’s response to John Abraham is an excellent condensed source of basic information for a layman like me, ….”
But make sure you also look critically at scientific challenges to what Monkton says before you make up your mind. Take a couple of the Monkton questions and go through them very closely, read what Monkton’s sources say (apparently you can e-mail him if he hasn’t included them), read what opposing sources say.
I did that, and I found I didn’t like what I saw… and I am not a climatologist either.
______________________________________________
Also make sure you look at some of the Climategate e-mails, the politics and the money behind the science. At this point we can not afford to separate the politics and the science we must look at the whole to see the facts.
“A massive campaign must be launched to restore a high-quality environment in North America and to de-develop the United States. De-devolopment means bringing our economic system (especially patterns of consumption) into line with the realities of ecology and the global resource situation. Resources and energy must be diverted from frivolous and wasteful uses in overdeveloped countries to filling the genuine needs of underdeveloped countries.” from 1973 book “Human Ecology: Problems and Solutions,” John P. Holdren, director of the White House Office of Science and Technology and co-authors Paul and Ann Ehrlich.
Note this is one year after Maurice Strong chaired the first Earth Summit launching CAGW.
In 1995, Holdren co-authored a chapter with Paul Ehrlich and Gretchen Daily—“The Meaning of Sustainability: Biogeophysical Aspects” Sustainability is the Code word for Agenda 21 and again you will find Maurice Strong heavily involved in the UN REFORM – Restructuring for Global Governance
(Yes Professor I have checked out this information. It dovetails with what others and I have found in the last few years)
I don’t know why this Climategate email text
has gotten so little play, but it should have opened up more eyes as to the agenda: (Agenda 21 – Sustainability)
http://www.eastangliaemails.com/emails.php?eid=54&filename=889554019.txt
They even use the term “global governance….
I wonder what proportion of individuals discussing and worrying about sustainability and CAGW ever read Agenda 21. Here is the link to the full text of it: http://www.un.org/esa/dsd/agenda21/res_agenda21_00.shtml
AGENDA 21 FOR DUMMIES
NWO / CLUB OF ROME DEPOPULATION & AGENDA 21
Here is the Wild Lands that the Obama science office was talking to the BBC about in 2009. MAP The green areas are where humans are allowed.
More information on how the “Wildlands Project” almost became US law in 1994. This is copied from the Congressional Record S13790
http://www.propertyrightsresearch.org/articles2/wildlands_project_and_un_convent.htm
A drowning man will clutch at straws. AGW is clutching at the straws of the summer temperature highs, thinking that they are lifeboats. The lifeboats of AGW, which they are not.
How about going to Mongolia and telling the farmers there that this year is the warmest ever, or to Australia, Europe, US, Peru, where children died of the record cold two winters ago, etc etc.
Referring to that Carefree AZ site as an example, has anyone ever investigated the heat island effect on clear vs. cloudy days? The asphalt around some of those stations would certainly heat up much more on clear days, so I would expect the divergence of temps between a properly-sited device and an asphalt-sited one to be greater on clear days than on cloudy days. So maybe June was marked by an excess of clear days around those temperature stations, rather than just excessive heat?
It wouldn’t seem to be a huge project to compare a few stations using just days that are completely overcast versus days that are cloudless. That would also abstract some from other siting issues like altitude, nearby trees, etc., especially since some cloudy days would be quite warm whereas some clear days would be cold. Just a thought.
going by the bees and the trees behaviour, Vic Aus at least is going to have a late rain season, which is good for having water to drink and grow home gardens, but may not be so good for the crops.
its nature and it happens.
starting from January to June, it wasnt that hot a summer, the rains came late, its been cold and frosty, and? its winter.
be a cooler summer I am betting
Alex the skeptic says:
July 16, 2010 at 7:29 am
A drowning man will clutch at straws.
—-
If by man you mean pirate, then you are right.
I’d quibble with the straw, though. It’s more like a piece of drift wood he’s balanced himself on so as to make one last grab for my wallet.
We’ve just come out of a moderately strong El Nino. The last 12 months of partially-El-Nino-impacted temperatures have been quite high. Temperatures in June were still being affected by the tail-end of the El Nino but the peak temperature was in March.
We are now in a La Nina which looks to reach its peak around November. So temperatures will probably be declining from March 2010 until February 2011 or so.
Let’s see where we are then.
Odd headlines… here is my all time favorite…
“Flying Cow Leaves Two Police Cars In Flames”
http://web.archive.org/web/20060909035453/http://www.woai.com/news/local/story.aspx?content_id=EE418016-0667-4C62-9602-0C699962154F
Here, I fixed the motto of NOAA to make it more descriptive and accurate:
No amount of cooling, or dark or night, nor rain, nor snow, nor hail will prevent the climatologist, the paleoclimatologist, nor the liberal “scientist” on the government payroll from making our appointed rounds fabricating temperatures(always with an upward bias), or ice extent or cherry picking data for same. Thank you for your support.
DR says:
July 16, 2010 at 6:24 am
More evidence that replicating model results is completely meaningless. Unless and until every individual station is properly evaluated, SAT records are completely unreliable.
Defenders of the surface station network still don’ t get.
_____________________________________________________________
Oh they get it they just aren’t going to tell the unwashed masses about the error in the measurements.
“..The title of this graph indicates this is the CRU computed sampling (measurement) error in C for 1969. Note how large these sampling errors are. They start at 0.5°C, which is the mark where any indication of global warming is just statistical noise and not reality. Most of the data is in the +/- 1°C range, which means any attempt to claim a global increase below this threshold is mathematically false. Imagine the noise in the 1880 data! You cannot create detail (resolution) below what your sensor system can measure. CRU has proven my point already – they do not have the temperature data to detect a 0.8°C global warming trend since 1960, let alone 1880.”
If you add in the UHI effect, poor siting, the drop out of temperature stations and the fact NASA GISStemperature readings were adjusted six times after analysis in July 1999 indicated that the temperature anomaly for 1934 was nearly 60% higher than for 1998, then it is very very hard to believe anything a “climate scientist” says.
They are lying and they know it and now so do we. Sorry Anthony but Hansen’s blink graph shows they are adjusting the data to “stay on message” and not to do unbiased science. http://i31.tinypic.com/2149sg0.gif
I guess my zucchini and cucumber plants did not get the memo from NOAA. I had to replace them after they were killed by frost on May 31st. It was my fault. It had been unseasonably cold the last two weeks of May and I had been covering the plants up until that Sunday evening. Some neighbours and friends actually gave up on planting gardens this year, due to the cold, wet spring. In fact, some regions of Alberta (southwestern, northwestern) had killing frost on June 30th and July 1st. The following week, July 11th, a snowstorm moved across the rockies from Jasper, Alberta all the way down to northwestern Montana. The temperature in Jasper fell to an impressive 1.6 degrees C. Our friends in living the foothills of western Alberta are still waiting for summer to start.
Oh, but that’s all just weather and shouldn’t negate NOAA’s warmest June on record, I guess.
“TheGoodProfessor says:
July 16, 2010 at 4:29 am
Take a couple of the Monkton questions and go through them very closely, read what Monkton’s sources say (apparently you can e-mail him if he hasn’t included them), read what opposing sources say.
I did that, and I found I didn’t like what I saw… and I am not a climatologist either.”
Since I am under the impression that the score is “Monckton 500 – Abraham 0” I have to beg you to give me one example where Abraham is right and Monckton is wrong, please.
And this is why studying range records is a vital part of quality control measures. Anomalies are all well and good but will hide UHI problems. Range records are red flags for investigation and possible application of quality control measures. That NOAA seems reluctant to do this displays a certain shoddiness in their research and service, and is also why I tend to disregard their predictions related to weather systems and highs and lows for agricultural purposes in NE Oregon.
Hope no one else posted this, so if they did I apologize. But, I just saw this report:
http://www.spiegel.de/international/0,1518,706968,00.html#ref=nlint
Funny, no mention of the flooded conditions out in Canada’s prarie provinces, who have seen so much rain that crops are now imperilled. No dust bowl out that way, but I suppose Europe baking in a hot summer erases all the memories of the super frigid and harsh winter that was just, oh, 6 months ago.
AB is right. Let’s hear it where Monckton is wrong. Meanwhile, it’s no good just posting to this website. Your tax dollars are paying for this false information from poorly sited weather stations. Do something about it. At least email your representitave. Bogus theory is bad enough but when built on bogus data, it’s really dangerous and can be used to justify higher taxes. C’mon you Ozzies. the last best hope of Britain.
Very cold winters followed by nice hot summers, back to the pattern we saw in the 70’s. Funny how climate seems to keep oscillating in quasi-cyclical patterns!
It may be worth bringing to people’s attention something that Hannah Arendt said about totalitarian systems (in The Origins of Totalitarianism). That in such a system the purpose of propaganda is not to persuade, but to sustain an organisation that is built around a prevailing fiction. There are other interesting ideas in that book that seem relevant to the present situation. I think someone on another thread did mention the idea of “soft totalitarianism”; indeed, there seems to be something like that trying at least to raise its head. (In some ways it’s a kind of Sauron-like coalescence – with AGW being the “one ring”. … Perhaps Tolkien had the same insight as Arendt.)
Any thoughts on red artic dots?
It disagrees with DMI by lots.
And satellites that fly above
give those same red dots no love?
Why is it that congress so-ah
Believes in polka dots by NOAA?
Crispy,
“It’s not that tough a sell for people who understand the difference between global temperatures and global trends, and a few cold nights in Sydney (or the depth of the snow in your backyard in Washington state).”
Actually, the ‘weather’ in Washington State is heavily influenced by ElNino and LaNina.
We had a very warm January , February and slightly warm March, plenty of crowing about how we could expect ‘warmer’ due to Climate Change, a record warm year..blah..blah.. then we had a cold April, May and June. Summer temperatures appeared from July 7th to July 10th and seem to have disappeared. The 10 day forecast is for ‘unseasonably’ cool weather.
People in other parts of the world may still be feeling the latent effects of ElNino, but we in the Pacific Northwest are definitely experiencing LaNina.
March’s global sea surface temperatures were .2 degrees C warmer then 2009, July’s are running .2 degrees cooler then 2009. Oceans are 2/3rds of the planet, if they are cooling, the planet is cooling.
rw says:
July 16, 2010 at 10:31 am
It may be worth bringing to people’s attention something that Hannah Arendt said about totalitarian systems (in The Origins of Totalitarianism). That in such a system the purpose of propaganda is not to persuade, but to sustain an organisation that is built around a prevailing fiction. There are other interesting ideas in that book that seem relevant to the present situation. I think someone on another thread did mention the idea of “soft totalitarianism”; indeed, there seems to be something like that trying at least to raise its head. (In some ways it’s a kind of Sauron-like coalescence – with AGW being the “one ring”. … Perhaps Tolkien had the same insight as Arendt.)
________________________________________________________________
“…the idea of “soft totalitarianism”; indeed, there seems to be something like that trying at least to raise its head.”
I am not sure exactly what you mean by that but I do now we are now operating using “harmonization of laws” The FDA website puts it very bluntly, they now take direction from the UN and the World Trade Organization in formulating regulations (laws) and not the American people. The USDA is the same. Farmers and other owners of livestock have said not only no, but HELL NO to the World Trade Organization’s “livestock traceability” (about 93% against). Instead of dropping the plan the USDA has renamed it, and is making it very hard for individual farmers to have any say about the “new improved model” The WTO wants livestock traceability and the USDA is going to give it to them whether the American people want it or not.
The same is true of the join UN-WTO “Guide to Good Farming Practices” based on the “Good Manufacturing Practices” required for drug manufacture. The Guide turns a farm into a prison wrapped up in high fences and red tape. So far we farmers have defeated the bills brought in front of Congress since 2005 however one will get passed and the right to grow food will be another right removed from the American people, just like it has been removed from the people in the EU and Australia and Mexico.
see WUWT example at: http://wattsupwiththat.com/page/3/
or the EU example at: http://www.i-sis.org.uk/savePolishCountryside.php
“Julian Rose exposes the scandal of EU’s deliberate policy to get rid of family farms for the benefit of the corporations” The EU plans to get rid of one million of the 1.5 million family owned farms in Poland. The WTO/EU has already removed farmers from 60% of the farms in Portugal and 75% of the farms in Mexico.
Sounds like we are right on target for Kissenger’s “Who controls the food supply controls the people; who controls the energy can control whole continents; who controls money can control the world.”
CAGW is of course step two and The World Bank and Financial Stability Board is step three.
We are gradually evolving into a world of “Global Governance” by a select elite who dictate to the hollow shells of what were free world governments. The media acts as a propaganda machine telling the people that the laws they are opposed to are what the majority of them really wanted.
“A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that just 23% of voters nationwide believe the federal government today has the consent of the governed”
…Not surprisingly, only four percent (4%) of Mainstream Voters think the Political Class cares.
Over the past couple of years, most Americans have opposed many initiatives of the Political Class including the bailouts of the financial and auto industries. Additionally, most voters still favor repeal of the national health care plan and overwhelmingly disagree with the Justice Department’s decision to challenge Arizona’s new immigration law in court. ”
Obamacare is an excellent example. “Support for repealing Obamacare … hitting a high of 63% in May. “ http://www.weeklystandard.com/blogs/rasmussen-60-favor-repealing-obamacare
NOAA & the magic of adjusted data.
What outcome would you like our data to be?
No worries, she be right.
savethesharks says:
July 16, 2010 at 6:35 am
Where did you find that quote? The link at the top to the newspaper article doesn’t go there, it goes Anthony’s .png at http://wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com/2010/07/australian_2010_hottest.png
I did find the comment at http://www.news.com.au/breaking-news/hottest-year-on-record/story-e6frfku0-1225892757018 which has the decency to include:
Jeff Green says:
July 16, 2010 at 6:51 am
> http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2009/11/091112121611.htm
Interesting take on the record highs all across the world but instead WUWT focuses on there is a record low in the world.
That subject, and I think that paper, has been covered here. You might ask the authors if weather records reach back into the hot decade of the 1930s.
Ah yes, http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/11/16/hall-of-record-ratios/ – you might also be interested in seeing the low temperature records outnumbering the highs in the decades of the 60s, 70s, and 80s.
BTW, found in about 20 seconds – I noticed your article was from Nov 13 last year, started from http://home.comcast.net/~ewerme/wuwt/monthly.html, selected Nov 2009, scanned around midmonth and found the title “Hall of record ratios”.
Please learn to check up when you post old news – very little escapes WUWT’s attention these days.
Ric Werme (July 16, 2010 at 6:37 pm):
I’m surprised that Morano is quoted as stating that it’s “0.43 degrees higher than normal”
“Normal” is a careless word to use with regards to the constantly-changing climate.
They can’t tell the difference between a calendar year and a financial year. The Australian has made that mistake with statistics before.