This really is a low, why would anyone mess with kids on something like this? There is madness about. Ecotretas looks at the Beeville, TX station data, and I’ve visited the site personally but deferred the survey to surfacestations volunteer Juan Slayton who surveyed it about the same time. What Ecotretas is observing is the change from USHCN1 to USHCN2 adjustment algoritms. – Anthony
Guest post by Ecotretas
Great interest has developed on the Internet relating to the story about Julisa Castillo’s “Disproving Global Warming” project. It admittedly had received a NSF prize, with Al Gore in the jury. It has now been confirmed as most probably a strange hoax.
While most of the Internet is judging why would Al Gore be in this jury, or if there is such a thing as “National Science Fair” associated with the National Science Foundation (note the same initials), which both set my BS detector very high on Sunday, I was quickly on the run to find out what temperatures were like in Beeville, TX. Checking out the paper’s claims was far more interesting than being skeptic about the news…
First thing to check was for USHCN data. Quick to find it out at the GISS website, and first graph above. Looking at it, I wondered what type of station was this. I went to the surfacestations.org site, and discovered it was a reasonably well located station. But then, the temperature graph, a little more than one year old, was slightly different, as can be seen in the above second graph.
Looks like there was some tweaking going on! But discovering anything more about Beeville seemed pretty difficult. Some interesting information about the station can be found at NOAA. But what really surprised me was the graph uploaded by “Tom in Texas”, referenced in the comments section in a Watts Up With That post. It shows that adjustment data for Beeville is greater than 2ºF for the last 110 years.
While other information might help in settling all these different graphs, it seems like the real news will be about how temperatures are being dealed with in Beeville…
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@Rutter
“…interesting trend.”
See the recent post from Dr. Spencer.
No wonder Algore thought it was millions of degrees below the surface of the earth. If every time the temperature goes up it’s anthropogenic and down it’s natural variation, it’ll soon be millions of degrees on the surface, too!
“To do your own area go to:”
I would if I could netdr. When I click on Florida on the map, I get stations in Mexico.
TomRude says: June 8, 2010 at 4:41 pm “This re-inventing the past data is a common issue in Europe . . .”
Didn’t the CRU destroy all original data, leaving only the processed data available for reference?
@ur momisugly netdr Dr. Spencer did a little study and posted at this site with variants of the concept and updates. Try http://wattsupwiththat.com/2010/03/10/spencer-global-urban-heat-island-effect-study-an-update/ first, I guess. But, yes, it shows movement from small or no population to slightly more is more significant(tempwise) than moving from a city of 500,000 to 1,000,000. I wish he’d show/study more on this subject, but I know he’s awful busy.
kim says:
June 8, 2010 at 6:30 pm
sky @ur momisugly 6:06
“I agree, but read Judy’s entry now at the tail end of the lost glacier data thread. She says no original data has been lost and that two separate efforts are underway to recreate HadCru. So, we needn’t wait a century for better data.”
Sigh,
Kim, if the original data is preserved, then there isn’t much to do. Have Judith send it to me and I’ll post it here and at Climate Audit. Well, it doesn’t have to be me, there are more people here and there (at Climate Audit) that are more than capable of putting the data into a coherent format. The last thing we need is someone “recreating” data to fit their views. Just Google Ms. Judith to see her views. Perhaps she’s changed her point of view, we all do from time to time, but I’ll remain skeptical until I see raw data.
@latitude You can always try to locate your station by entering something like
dallas site:unur.cominto Google’s search box. My site is not fully indexed by Google, but a substantial number of the stations with links to their GISS information can be found this way.Or, you can use the station locator provided by the NWS and navigate to the appropriate page starting from http://www.unur.com/climate/ghcn-v2/
Alan Cheetham says:
June 8, 2010 at 6:20 pm
NOAA GHCN database:
Beeville Chase/NAAS and Beevilee 5NE unadjusted
Beeville 5NE Unadjusted and Adjusted
—…—
Thank you!
Maybe them there rural cowboys in the Texas farm and ranch country back before 1950 had to be “uncorrected” by Hansen’s GISS for NOT having an Urban Heat Island?
http://climateaudit.org/2010/06/04/losing-glacier-data/#comment-231587
speaking of hoaxes, this is all from the philippines’ media today:
Climate change ‘a moral issue’ – ex-US vice president Al Gore
He even quoted from the Bible, saying, “Love thy neighbor.” Gore, who was once congressman of Tennessee in America’s so-called Bible Belt, quoted from the Good Book several times, even though he noted that he was not proselytizing.
“If we are doing harm to someone who’s [present] here, then we would stop,” Gore said. “If we do mortal harm on others [who’s] not here, that’s a moral issue as well.”
He said that people today would have to answer to future generations, especially given overwhelming evidence that business as usual has contributed to rising carbon dioxide emissions that were now at alarming levels. The Nobel Prize winner added that other pieces of evidence on global warming include more severe storms, drought in others because of increased evaporation caused by warmer temperatures, melting polar ice caps and other glaciers also resulting in raising levels, and potentially cataclysmic events…
Gore said that it was not yet too late to reverse the harmful effects of climate change, citing the opinion of scientists whom he trusts.
If God has given the people the technology to destroy the Earth, “surely we can do something,” he explained…
The polar ice caps—a disturbing large part has already melted—can come back, Gore added. But if people continue not doing enough, climate change will eventually be irreversible, he explained…..
http://www.manilatimes.net/index.php/component/content/article/42-rokstories/19120-climate-change-a-moral-issue–ex-us-vice-president-al-gore
Gore draws crowds to climate change lecture
He said that aside from the natural cycle of melting ice caps, statistics show that climate change does not move in a linear direction.
Gore cited as proof the sudden spikes in temperatures in the last few years. He even warned that the Philippines is not spared from the disasters made worse by climate change. Gore said storms “Ondoy” and “Pepeng” are some of the examples…
http://www.abs-cbnnews.com/nation/06/09/10/gore-draws-crowds-climate-change-lecture
Climate crusader gets warm welcome
Though basically weaving the same urgent cautionary tale and messages of hope, about a third of Gore’s almost two-hour presentation presented material not found in the 2006 documentary.
These included images and references as fresh as May this year, like that on the Gulf of Mexico oil spill and massive, unprecedented floodings in urban America and Asia….
“Here in the Philippines you had a series of storms,” Gore said, adding that he purposely did not include more images since they may be too painful to bear for his local audience…
For the next two hours, Gore held the SMX viewers in rapt attention with images and charts hammering down apocalyptic warnings: ancient glaciers receding if not totally vanishing in a matter of decades, lakes and rivers drying up, stronger storms, droughts in areas where there used to be none, and flooding in towns where residents were too complacent to think about getting a “flood insurance.”
The melting polar ice caps, if not slowed down, will raise sea levels to the point where “the map of the world will have to be redrawn,” he said.
On a subtler but still ominous scale, global warming and resulting “shifts in the seasons” have led to the resurgence of diseases that were once declared under control, and the emergence of new viruses, as in the case of SARS (Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome).
“I was told by an agricultural expert in the Philippines that it has become more difficult here to predict when to plant,” Gore added…
http://newsinfo.inquirer.net/inquirerheadlines/nation/view/20100609-274647/Climate-crusader-gets-warm-welcome
latitude says:
June 8, 2010 at 6:53 pm
“To do your own area go to:”
“I would if I could netdr. When I click on Florida on the map, I get stations in Mexico.”
lmao! latitude and Florida has been….extrapolated!!!! And I thought that technique was just for the Arctic and South America!! (Well, other parts of Cali too)
Dude! Sorry to hear about your extrapolation. Maybe one day when Florida grows up, they can have a temp all their own!
netdr says: …….. June 8, 2010 at 6:05 pm ……
Re the Albany, Texas temp data I mentioned above, search for the “raw GHCN data + USHCN corrections” does not yield the graph I used to see two years ago, which exhibited a very monotonous 1-degC cooling trend from 1892 to 2007. The current graph is a tilted hockey stick, being in no way similar to the good old one. Does this mean that the graph I was familiar with two years ago was “raw GHCN data” before “USHCN corrections”, and is no more searcheable ??
DR:
I’m not Kim, but here is Dr. Curry’s comment on CA.
http://climateaudit.org/2010/06/04/losing-glacier-data/#comment-231583
Stepping aside frm the “is it a hoax or not?” question, is the DATA in the attached graphic correct?
That is, is the only warming noted in Beeville’s unadjusted data from station moves and and instrument changes?
Still boggles the mind that Hansen, et al, consider “The Greatest Generation” to have been too stupid to read a thermometer.
James Sexton says:
To do your own area go to:”
I would if I could netdr. When I click on Florida on the map, I get stations in Mexico.
**************
Exactly where you click on the map matters.
I clicked on Jacksonville [approximately] and got OCALA and JacksonvilleNAS etc.
Play around with it a little it is easy to use.
Actually to be honest I got the idea from a kid’s science fair project and liked it.
How is that for full disclosure ?
To do your own area go to:
http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/station_data/
Select adjusted or unadjusted
Click on your location on the map. [It is a little delicate so be as precise as you can]
Please share what you find with us.
Oh yes I borrowed the information on small cities UHI from Dr Spencer. It makes sense when you think about it.
National Science Fair data.
In pdf format.
http://www.jstor.org/pss/40363568
pat says:
June 8, 2010 at 7:37 pm
“speaking of hoaxes, this is all from the philippines’ media today:
Climate change ‘a moral issue’ – ex-US vice president Al Gore
He even quoted from the Bible, saying, “Love thy neighbor.”
He said that people today would have to answer to future generations, especially given overwhelming evidence …”
If he’d actually read the Bible, then he’d know future generations isn’t to whom we answer.
netdr says:
June 8, 2010 at 8:11 pm
James Sexton says:
Apparently, I gave a poor attempt at humor. I still think it was a hoot, but obviously lost on everyone else. Swing and a miss.
REPLY: Cut him some slack, he’s not a US citizen, he’s writing in a second language. -A
I am learning Spanish, and I can tell you the difference in grammar style is pretty marked, just as a side note. English must be a pain to learn as a second language.
pat (June 8, 2010 at 7:37 pm)…
Thanks for that information. I had been wondering where Gore had got to. The international crusader sure seems to be laying it on thick! Unfortunately a lot of people in the Philippines will take his word as gospel.
The initforthegold link already says that Space Camp didn’t get anything from the NSF.
AnonyMoose says:
June 8, 2010 at 8:55 pm
…..
” The initforthegold link already says that Space Camp didn’t get anything from the NSF.”
Yeh, I saw what they said. I’m not familiar with initforthegold people. So, I’ll see for myself or until I see what someone I trust says. I’m sure they’re fine people, I’m just not familiar with them. I tend to agree with Ian H June 8, 2010 at 6:45 pm but, I’m not prepared to accuse anybody of anything. As pointed out in the post, there are innocent people effected. One should walk gingerly in this regard until all the facts are known.
Regarding references to NASA/GISS and GHCN temperature records in general, according to their web documentation, even the “raw” data has been somewhat adjusted. It’s been a while since I thoroughly read the documents, so I don’t remember exactly what the adjustments are, but the “raw” data is minimally adjusted.
The only truly raw web data is the USHCN raw available at:
ftp://ftp.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/ushcn/v2/monthly/
Read the readme.txt for an explanation of what the files contain, and the file formats.
I’ve written some routines to graph data from these files, and find the truly raw data a good starting point for sanity checks of US temperatures. I haven’t found any equivalent files available for GHCN data.
Can we trust tinypic.com with our archived gifs, etc.? Lots of people have agendas. They might invite Dr. Hansen to come in a doctor our data.
REPLY: Thats just silly, way off the scale, non issue -A
REPLY: Cut him some slack, he’s not a US citizen, he’s writing in a second language. -A
I could tell by his name, Ecotretas, which isn’t commonly encountered in English, unlike the names Billy, Bob, or Billy Bob.