Guest post by Steven Goddard
National Trust image by Rob Collins
The UK National Trust is warning of a 2-4C rise in summer temperatures by the end of the century. They envision English gardens full of palm trees, Bougainvillea and tropical fruit, as seen above.
The apple orchards have been replaced with orange groves, the turf covered over with gravel and the summer borders replanted with cacti. They may look like scenes from a Portugese holiday, but these images could be the future of the traditional English garden, plant experts claimed yesterday. The striking images are part of a National Trust campaign to highlight how gardens will look if global warming brings Mediterranean weather to Britain in the next few decades.
And Met Office Climate models expect most of the northern hemisphere to turn red hot, particularly the Arctic which they expect to warm up by more than 16C in the next ninety years.
In the real UK (the one that exists outside the Met Office Supercomputers) the last three summers have all been complete washouts, the last two winters have been bitter cold, and over the last eighty years, summertime temperatures have risen only 0.5C.
Graph generated from Met Office UK temperature data
Most of the observed 0.5C rise has likely been due to UHI effects, as the UK population has increased by 50% since 1930. Many people in England would prefer to see the tropical paradise which the National Trust promises, but in the meantime they will just have to live with the usual UK rain. However, it is commendable that the National Trust employs top notch artists with an active imagination.
Summer of 2007 in Polesworth, Warwickshire
These studies by the Met Office and National Trust lead me to the inevitable scientific question – what are these people thinking with these forecasts?
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Where the heck is England warming?
The key to it all is the 90 years they are expecting us to wait for proof. By that time, the entire scamming bunch of them will be dead. In actuality, the world will call their ignorance in twenty years when they will be retired on a nice fat pension. And notice that they didn’t append their names.
Whatever happens, it’s a “safe” forecast.
Gee, will we finally get our flying cars too?
I really want a flying car.
But wait just a minute-isn’t the Mediterranean heralded for it’s mild climate?
But seriously, the real mistake they are making is saying “decades” instead of some time sufficiently far off that nobody can falsify it.
It is obviously part of the ACC (Atlantic Crop Circulation) which moves in a counter clockwise motion. This drives the orange groves out of Florida, across the Atlantic, and then northward to Britain. Typical British crops are displaced toward the Canadian arctic, driving the seals and polar bears southward. This is very hard on the seals as they soon run out of ocean and become vulnerable to the bears. The real issue is the British Columbia hemp crop, and where it will come to rest. Inquiring minds want to know…
The UK’s population has increased mostly from immigration. Believe it or not but here’s a true fact, London’s population today is half a million lower than it was in 1934 despite all the new immigrants and the increase in size of the city.
The apple originally came from central Asia and spread out from there around 4000 years ago. I have no idea where they got the idea it only grows in crap weather like we have in England.
Dave Wendt (18:37:37) :
“Do you suppose it means anything that the header for the Met Office website now features a kid bundled up in a parka?”
Yes. It’s either “Get ready for another barbeque summer” or “Global warming causes global cooling.” (Their Magic 8-Ball is unclear.)
BTW, next time one of the readers here stops by the Met Office would you do us all a favor and check the calibration sticker on their Magic 8-Ball? I think it might be out of cal. Thanks.
“Leon Brozyna (19:05:31) :
What’s with the Brits these days? The farther from reality their flights of fantasy take them, the greater are the flights of fantasy in which they engage.”
That’s why British Airways is going on strike during Easter. Apparently the flight crew want higher wages because flying to Fantasyland is a long long journey.
And yet we’re due another dumping in central UK of up to a foot of snow early to mid next week, nearly into April.
This is fast becoming even more farcical.
I see the Met Office still think they can forecast beyond 5 days ahead despite their terrible prediction rate whereby tossing a coin would be more useful. I think most people in the UK (except the deluded head-in-the-sand warmists such as our favour Pig Farmer) accept that whenever the Met Office say something, then expect the opposite.
Binny (18:30:18) :
I enjoy reading science-fiction.
Yes, but that implies science being involved.
/just sayin’
Sort of a ho-hum photoshop job.
Needs improvement –
http://i41.tinypic.com/fz692u.jpg
Didn’t the Met office say they were going to stop making long range forecasts?
Cornwall County, which is in England’s West Country, already has palm trees.
The Great Lakes Region of the US is supposed to warm 12C?! That is 1.2C a decade!
Hey, how is that prediction working out, anyway? I live here, so I would say it is not going well, but hey, I am no thermometer. 😐
This is what will terminate AGW year 2010
http://ocean.dmi.dk/arctic/icecover.uk.php
Its undeniable NH ice is increasing and looks like will remain normal for the whole season. This is THE main reason AGW used it. Well it ain’t there no more.
@ur momisugly Wren (19:56:13) :
There are palm trees on the Isle of Arran too. That’s a fair bit further north than Cornwall.
In fact, I do not like anything about this graph:
http://wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com/2010/03/tropical_england1.png
The catastrophic 4C of warming is green? The oceans only get, mostly, 1C of warming while the land gets 16? And there are more than a few weird spots on Greenland. Why is that one grid on West Greenland blue in a sea of red? That does not seem likely.
Sorry, that doesn’t seem likely at all.
Wren (19:56:13) :
Cornwall County, which is in England’s West Country, already has palm trees.
Most of the palm trees in San Antonio died this past winter – hard freeze 4 nights in a row.
Some of the best apples in the world are produced on the Darling Downs here in Queensland Australia. The average height of the Downs is 2000 feet with the officially coldest place in Queensland being Stanthorpe on the Downs at height 3036 feet and latitude 28 degrees 37 minutes South
( Comparable in distance from the equator to Central Florida and the Canary Islands). Stanthorpe produces some of the best apples in Australia. The summer months in Stanthorpe have average temperatures of 14.6 degrees C at night to 28.8 degrees C in the day. Britain should pray for weather like Stanthorpes (and its apples!).
Wren (19:56:13) :
Cornwall County, which is in England’s West Country, already has palm trees.
—-
Isn’t that old news? They have been there for a long time now I thought.
“Promoted in the 1920s as the ‘English Riviera’, St Ives enjoys a climate of unusually mild temperatures due to the influence of the Gulf Stream.”
http://www.urban75.org/photos/stives/si043.html
Interesting art, but I find it difficult to believe that the Atlantic storms will not keep England’s climate wet. A Portuguese-style climate would also require a significant latitude change.
”””’david elder (18:52:14) : The heat, Carruthers! Bring the gin …”””’
david,
No matter what, it is always a good idea to bring the gin. Are you thinking tonic? Not me.
My Way – Ultimate Martini
1. Get martini glass that holds 5 shots easily. Put in freezer at coldest setting.
2. Ingredients:
Plymount Gin, the essential martini gin – in freezer or refrig
Noilly Prat vermouth, the essential vermouth – never refrigerate
Olives of your choice – I like big green ones lightly brined with pits inside
Ice from a mineral water you like. I like Evian, lowest freezer setting
Note: Big chunks not ice cubes
3. Tools – proper cocktail strainer and cocktail shaker (large size), hammer, old white towel
4. The methodology:
NOTE: Only make one martini at a time – this is important
a) put ice in towel and crack with hammer
b) put ice in chilled cocktail shaker
c) put in one cap (cap from vermouth bottle) full of vermouth in shaker
NOTE: forget Winston Churchill on the vermouth issue
d) shake, drain off all vermouth from shaker and throw it away
e) pour in 3 to 4 shots of chilled Plymouth Gin
NOTE: take a little swig of the gin right from the bottle too – important
f) shake hard, really really hard . . . get those ice chips into suspension
g) pour into one chilled martini glass
h) always use an odd number of olives – this is important
NOTE: if you put olive(s) in martini, rinse first with vermouth
NOTE: I like mine on the side, on a toothpick laid across top of glass
NOTE: lemon tends to overpower gin/vermouth, so I don’t do it
f) you must consume the martini within 15 mins
NOTE: never touch the bowl of the martini glass when drinking
NOTE: if you want to chat or snog or whatever, not during consumption
g) only two per customer : ( sorry. But two is way too much already.
CTM, next time you have a party . . . I will volunteer martinis
John
http://media.maps.com/magellan/Images/k3worldrivers.gif
http://wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com/2010/03/tropical_england1.png
Maybe it is just I, but perhaps those land plots are skewed by inland rivers? It looks like they roughly match. Maybe there is an assumption precipitation will stop and the rivers will dry up, adding more water vapor to the atmosphere in their model? Anyone else know how rivers are handled?
Anyway, I thought that after seeing the doom in store for my part of the world. 12C in 100 years. Just, wow. Where is all this energy hiding, again?
[REPLY – Wow! That is one hell of a predicate nominative! ~ Evan]