The scandal deepens – IPCC AR4 riddled with non peer reviewed WWF papers

All the years I’ve been in TV news, I’ve observed that every story has a tipping point. In news, we know when it has reached that point when we say it “has legs” and the story takes on a life of its own. The story may have been ignored or glossed over for weeks, months, or years until some new piece of information is posted and starts to galvanize people. The IPCC glacier melt scandal was the one that galvanized the collective voice that has been saying that the IPCC report was seriously flawed and represented a political rather than scientific view. Now people are seriously looking at AR4 with a critical eye  and finding things everywhere.

Remember our friends at World Wildlife Fund? Those schlockmeisters that produced the video of planes flying into New York with explicit comparisons to 9/11?

911tsunami-large
The caption in the upper right reads: “The tsunami killed 100 times more people than 9/11. The planet is brutally powerful. Respect it. Preserve it.”

Well it turns out that the WWF is cited all over the IPCC AR4 report, and as you know, WWF does not produce peer reviewed science, they produce opinion papers in line with their vision. Yet IPCC’s rules are such that they are supposed to rely on peer reviewed science only. It appears they’ve violated that rule dozens of times, all under Pachauri’s watch.

A new posting authored by Donna Laframboise, the creator of NOconsensus.org (Toronto, Canada) shows what one can find in just one day of looking.

http://nofrakkingconsensus.blogspot.com/2010/01/more-dodgy-citations-in-nobel-winning.html

Here’s an extensive list of documents created or co-authored by the WWF and cited by this Nobel-winning IPCC AR4 report:

  • Allianz and World Wildlife Fund, 2006: Climate change and the financial sector: an agenda for action, 59 pp. [Accessed 03.05.07: http://www.wwf.org.uk/ filelibrary/pdf/allianz_rep_0605.pdf]
  • Austin, G., A. Williams, G. Morris, R. Spalding-Feche, and R. Worthington, 2003: Employment potential of renewable energy in South Africa. Earthlife Africa, Johannesburg and World Wildlife Fund (WWF), Denmark, November, 104 pp.
  • Baker, T., 2005: Vulnerability Assessment of the North-East Atlantic Shelf Marine Ecoregion to Climate Change, Workshop Project Report, WWF, Godalming, Surrey, 79 pp.
  • Coleman, T., O. Hoegh-Guldberg, D. Karoly, I. Lowe, T. McMichael, C.D. Mitchell, G.I. Pearman, P. Scaife and J. Reynolds, 2004: Climate Change: Solutions for Australia. Australian Climate Group, 35 pp. http://www.wwf.org.au/ publications/acg_solutions.pdf
  • Dlugolecki, A. and S. Lafeld, 2005: Climate change – agenda for action: the financial sector’s perspective. Allianz Group and WWF, Munich [may be the same document as “Allianz” above, except that one is dated 2006 and the other 2005]
  • Fritsche, U.R., K. Hünecke, A. Hermann, F. Schulze, and K. Wiegmann, 2006: Sustainability standards for bioenergy. Öko-Institut e.V., Darmstadt, WWF Germany, Frankfurt am Main, November
  • Giannakopoulos, C., M. Bindi, M. Moriondo, P. LeSager and T. Tin, 2005: Climate Change Impacts in the Mediterranean Resulting from a 2oC Global Temperature Rise. WWF report, Gland Switzerland. Accessed 01.10.2006 at http://assets.panda.org/downloads/medreportfinal8july05.pdf.
  • WWF, 2004: Deforestation threatens the cradle of reef diversity. World Wide Fund for Nature, 2 December 2004. http://www.wwf.org/
  • WWF, 2004: Living Planet Report 2004. WWF- World Wide Fund for Nature (formerly World Wildlife Fund), Gland, Switzerland, 44 pp.
  • WWF (World Wildlife Fund), 2005: An overview of glaciers, glacier retreat, and subsequent impacts in Nepal, India and China. World Wildlife Fund, Nepal Programme, 79 pp.
  • Zarsky, L. and K. Gallagher, 2003: Searching for the Holy Grail? Making FDI Work for Sustainable Development. Analytical Paper, World Wildlife Fund (WWF), Switzerland

Finally, there are these authoritative sources cited by the IPCC – publications with names such as Leisure and Event Management:

  • Jones, B. and D. Scott, 2007: Implications of climate change to Ontario’s provincial parks. Leisure, (in press)
  • Jones, B., D. Scott and H. Abi Khaled, 2006: Implications of climate change for outdoor event planning: a case study of three special events in Canada’s National Capital region. Event Management, 10, 63-76

Not only should Pachauri resign, the Nobel committee should be deluged by world citizenry demanding they revoke the Nobel prize granted to the body that produced this document.


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Kate
January 25, 2010 6:40 pm

I wanted to see what these two odd ones had in common.
******Jones, B. and D. Scott, 2007: Implications of climate change to Ontario’s provincial parks. Leisure, (in press)
Jones, B., D. Scott and H. Abi Khaled, 2006: Implications of climate change for outdoor event planning: a case study of three special events in Canada’s National Capital region. Event Management, 10, 63-76 ******************
They turn up together in a book called:Climate change 2007: impacts, adaptation and vulnerability edited by Parry
Then I did a Google advanced search for exact phrase: Climate change 2007: impacts, adaptation and vulnerability
After that I searched each book for the keyword Parry.
There are over 700 books that list this document in their bibliographies. That’s a lotta ka-ching.

Andrew30
January 25, 2010 7:05 pm

Brian Valentine (18:29:35) :
GRACE is a PAIR of satellites.
In simple terms what is being measured is the difference in distance between the two satellites. As the lead satellite approaches a region of greater mass it accelerates away from the trailing satellite. Then the trailing satellite accelerates as it approaches the same area. Then the lead satellite decelerates as it leaves the area, etc. Given the speed and relative small distance between the satellites and the proximity of the Earth the affect of the Sun and the orbit of the Earth is more or less constant on both the satellites in the pair.
The relative change in distance between the satellites is used to calculate the relative change in the Earths gravity for the area.

Brian Valentine
January 25, 2010 7:17 pm

People from WWF must feel real good about having IPCC authors themselves saying that WWF reports are basically worthless

Andrew30
January 25, 2010 7:21 pm

Brian Valentine (18:29:35) :
The main purpose of GRACE is to survey underground aquifers, not open water, so there are no waves on the surface of the ground, no storms churning up the underground water, no shipping lanes etc.
http://www.csr.utexas.edu/grace/publications/press/
GRACE in the Press
Stealing Water from the Future: California’s Massive Groundwater Overdraft Newly Revealed
NASA Report Highlights Need to Retire Drainage Impaired Land in California
GRACE offers broad snapshot of groundwater
Satellite data shows groundwater levels are unsustainable in Central Valley
NASA Calculates California’s Carbon Budget, Monitors Ground Water
Satellite data shows groundwater levels are unsustainable in Central Valley
Stimulus funds drill wells as Calif. water vanishes
NASA data reveal major groundwater loss in California
Stimulus funds drill wells as state water vanishes
NASA Report Highlights Need to Retire Drainage Impaired Land
And so on….

Brian Valentine
January 25, 2010 7:31 pm

No – what I am referring to is the gravitational imbalance that must be perceived by the SATELLITE

Andrew30
January 25, 2010 7:50 pm

Brian Valentine (19:31:32) :
“No – what I am referring to is the gravitational imbalance that must be perceived by the SATELLITE”
I’m not sure what you mean, but if you are talking about the change in mass and the change in time (interval) caused by the acceleration then I would think that since both satellites in the pair are both measuring their relative distances at all times and both satellites suffer the same change over a given period of time; then the affect of any mass/time change in the two systems could be calculated out of the distance measurement.
Anyway here is the link for more information:
http://www.csr.utexas.edu/grace/

rogerthesurf
January 25, 2010 8:08 pm

Great blog,
Im sure the following is relevant as well.
There might be global warming or cooling but the important issue is whether we, as a human race, can do anything about it.
There are a host of porkies and not very much truth barraging us everyday so its difficult to know what to believe.
I think I have simplified the issue in an entertaining way on my blog which includes some issues connected with climategate and “embarrassing” evidence.
In the pipeline is an analysis of the economic effects of the proposed emission reductions. Watch this space or should I say Blog
http://www.rogerfromnewzealand.wordpress.com
Please feel welcome to visit and leave a comment.
Cheers
Roger
PS The term “porky” is listed in the Australian Dictionary of Slang.( So I’m told.)

Andrew30
January 25, 2010 8:39 pm

Brian Valentine (19:31:32) :
“No – what I am referring to is the gravitational imbalance that must be perceived by the SATELLITE”
I’m not sure what you mean, but if you are talking about the increase in mass and the decrease in time (interval) caused by the acceleration then I would think that since both satellites in the pair are both measuring their relative distances at all times and both satellites suffer the same change over a given period of time; then the affect of any mass/time change in the two systems could be calculated out of the distance measurement since they have a common frame of reference (after en event).
Anyway here is the link for more information:
http://www.csr.utexas.edu/grace/
The partners page will take you to the people that helped build it.

Brian Valentine
January 25, 2010 8:49 pm

“then the affect of any mass/time change in the two systems could be calculated out of the distance measurement since they have a common frame of reference (after en event).”
I just verified that as you wrote that, thanks.

Brian Valentine
January 25, 2010 9:05 pm

The non news is, the AR/4 isn’t a fit substitute for eco-friendly toilet tissue.
The good news is, it doesn’t matter (not in the USA anyway) because any consequences of AR/4 appear to be DOA in the US Congress.
The only avenue left for greenie weenies to make it relevant is to have the US EPA regulate CO2 under the “endangerment” finding.
[What would armed revolt in the US look like anyway? I don’t think I want to find out and I don’t think the Obama admin has the stomach to find out, either]

Roger Knights
January 25, 2010 9:10 pm

Tarby (11:17:59) :
Call me a troll all you like, Richard, but the article says the IPCC broke its rules when it didn’t. Someone didn’t do their homework and is making misguided accusations.

I believe the IPCC’s rules for AR4 state that “gray” (non-reviewed) material can be cited, but cannot be the only or the major citation. Isn’t that what was done in this case, or am I mistaken?

J.Peden
January 25, 2010 9:15 pm

“Tarby’s Posts”
Well, I guess we can perhaps surmise where some “Stimulus” money goes? But then to possibly help Tarby produce a work record, especially as to getting responses, I’ll assist Tarby with a response to this valued AGW meme:
Observations *still* match IPCC AR4’s model projections, like it or not.
Then I suppose Trenberth was not using the Models when he asserted that the contemporaneous Ceres data along with diverging GMT and CO2 levels constituted a “travesty”, in relation to the CO2 AGW theory?
If he wasn’t using the Models, it’s fine with me, because they otherwise seem to be consistent with everything whatsoever that happens and thus are not really predicting anything.

commonsense
January 25, 2010 9:39 pm

Andrew30:
Your link states: “These techniques provide critical input to many scientific models used in oceanography, hydrology, geology, and related disciplines, and will be used for a variety of applications including:
measuring the changing mass of polar ice caps;
measuring changes in water resources on land
understanding shallow and deep ocean current transport;
understanding sea level change resulting from ocean temperature and water mass changes;
understanding atmosphere-ocean mass exchange;
(…)”
I stress the goals:
“measuring the changing mass of polar ice caps
“understanding sea level change resulting from ocean temperature and water mass changes”
Why GRACE should not do the things that was specifically designed to do?
It measured an acceleration of Ice-sheet melting. You can “spread the volume” of the meltwater over the Earth surface to obtain the SLR equivalent of mass loss.(basic geometry).
So your statement:
“Did you check for yourself or are you just repeating something your masters have told you. You may have been misinformed. And note also that GRACE can NOT measure to the precision that you attribute to it (equivalent roughly to 1 mm/yr of sea-level-rise). Such a measurement would be lost in the noise of air pressure, tectonics and geomorphology in general.
Either way you are wrong, again.”
Is quite false.
Did you even checked my link (as I have done with yours) and the paper on which it is based?

Todd
January 25, 2010 10:53 pm

A global warming hoax
A global flew epidemic that is a hoax
Both promoted heavily by the US Government
A USA administration who is being propped up and edifying the UNITED NATION as a ruling body that we all should become subservient too.
Wag the tail so no one pays attention. Let the associated press be silent while historic things take place in American law.
Wag the tail with national health care that would have enslaved the nation, pit them against one another, while this administration surrendered US sovereignty.
A 9/11 scam that surrenders US freedoms and enslaves the people. War that squanders their wealth and keeps them in fear, so that they will give up freedom for bondage freely of their own volition.
The 9/11 deception that the house of cards rests upon, that the adminstration can’t allow to be investigated
A second attack on American Sovereignty as the government lets thousand cross the US boarders. Working toward the Tri-lateral union which will nullify the American constitution. Also allowing foreign votes to tip the scale toward a new govement that panders to immigrants for its own agenda and the surrender US sovereignty.
A war on terror meant to separate Americas wealth from its citizens. so they loose the power and wealth to speak out. (a war on a military tactic not even a real person)
A US debt that can never be paid down through taxes, as the taxes are always diverted to other countries, or to well fair projects. Keeping America in debt is a necessity.
Moneys being spent with with no fiscal responsibly!! This isn’t ignorance!! this is calculated.
A one world government is the goal, and they need to crash the American dollar. When that happens, all the money’s in US currency held in reserve by all the country’s of the world will also topple.
And what they couldn’t achieve through climate gate, or international law, or the Tri-lateral Union to eradicate the constitution they will achieve through control of the monetary system.
Welcome to the reality of The massive Beast. The world waits to see if it becomes the UN who is the mouth piece to the world or if there is another, who will forth tells how things will be.
Let him who has ears hear and eyes to see, see and hear.
Rev 22:16

michelemg
January 25, 2010 11:48 pm

I found this CRU document a while ago thanking WWF (along w/ “big oil” etc) for funding.
http://tinyurl.com/yeh43bx
See bottom of document.

January 25, 2010 11:54 pm

*Second Post – the first I wasn’t logged in properly.
I found this CRU document where (at the bottom) they thank funders: WWF, British Petroleum, etc.
http://tinyurl.com/yeh43bx

D. Patterson
January 26, 2010 12:56 am

Tarby (16:05:31) :
D. Patterson (15:34:24) :”…the numerical values misrepresented and used by the IPCC in AR4 as “observations” to validate their model predictions constitute an historical fiction of dubious scientific validity when used to validate AGW.”
——————————————————–
Actually, I was referring to the Copenhagen Diagnosis which shows that model projections in AR4, and observations up until late 2009, concur.

Actually, you wrote: “IPCC AR4’s model projections….”

Tarby (13:53:15) :
It may have escaped your notice Mike, but I’m the one who pointed out that it’s not 100% peer reviewed, never was, never alluded to be. Observations *still* match IPCC AR4’s model projections, like it or not.

Your playing a game of ambiguous references and changing subjects isn’t going to work. The Copenhagen Diagnosis and all of the IPCC reports ultimately rely upon peer reviewed and non-peer reviewed works such as those by Stefan Rahmstorf which in turn ultimately rely upon temperature datasets, sea level datasets, and other datasets maintained by CRU, GISS, NCDC, et al which lack a basis in empirical observations unaltered by artificial alterations to their natural values. To prove otherwise, you are welcome, for one example, to produce unaltered copies of the Form WBAN-10 records for each USHCN station record used by NOAA and NASA-GISS to compile the USHCN datasets.

January 26, 2010 3:20 am

[quote]commonsense (16:49:28) :
Read with attention this one, about REAL Sea Level Rise vs. IPCC predictions:[/quote]
Er, commonsense, model projections are not “REAL sea level rise.” Not the IPCC’s, not Vermeer’s. The “real” sea level rise has averaged about 1.8 mm/yr for the last 120+ years. The slope of that curve had not changed appreciably over the course of the extant record, after smoothing for decadal variations — until 1993, when the trend line began to be extended with satellite altimetry, and suddenly jumped to 3.2 mm/yr. But then, that is only 17 years of data.
http://www.worldclimatereport.com/index.php/2009/07/22/sea-level-rise-an-update-shows-a-slowdown/
Come back when you have some data, not just model prognostications.

January 26, 2010 3:29 am

Commonsense (16:49:28):
“Read with attention this one, about REAL Sea Level Rise vs. IPCC predictions:”
Er, commonsense, model projections are not “REAL sea level rise,” not IPCC’s, not Vermeer’s. Sea levels have been rising on average about 1.8 mm/yr for the last 120+ years. There has been no appreciable change in the slope of that trend, except decadal variations, over that entire record. Satellite altimetry since 1993 shows a trend of 3.2 mm/yr, but that is well within the decadal variability.
http://www.worldclimatereport.com/index.php/2009/07/22/sea-level-rise-an-update-shows-a-slowdown/
Come back when you have some actual data, not mere model prognostications.

Vincent
January 26, 2010 4:18 am

commonsense (16:49:28) :
“Read with attention this one, about REAL Sea Level Rise vs. IPCC predictions.”
The sole source of this graph appears to be from Allison et al, but the link does not actually link to that paper. So the question is, are the Allison results based on GRACE alone as you seem to be implying? If so, you cannot make the conclusion you have posted.
SLR measurement is based on a “triangulation” between GRACE, altimetry and ARGO temperature measurements, and we know from Cazanave 2008 that rate of SLR has diminished to 1.9mm/yr since 2003. Interestingly, the largest decline is in the steric component, showing a steep fall in expansion due to warming.

Jimbo
January 26, 2010 4:30 am

Tarby
You might want to pop over to Real Climate and have a word with Gavin who says:
“Despite the enormous efforts devoted to producing its reports with the multiple levels of peer review, some errors will sneak through.”
The reviewers have obviously failed multiple times to catch errors and false statements.
http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2010/01/the-ipcc-is-not-infallible-shock/
————-
Tarby says:
“The up-to-date observations also match the IPCC projections on CO2 emissions, sea level rise and Arctic sea ice extent. Get over it.”
Hey, I will get over it once you take a close look at all the failed predictions / forecasts / scenarios. Remember they keep moving the goalposts so they can say later that the models predicted such and such. I can make dozens of predictions and just need to be right once and claim ‘forecast skill’.
Now look at these then come back and repeat your statement above.
http://www.c3headlines.com/predictionsforecasts/
http://www.ianschumacher.com/img/TempsvsIPCCModelsWM.jpg
http://deepclimate.files.wordpress.com/2009/05/ar4-a1b-a2.gif
http://joannenova.com.au//globalwarming/graphs/akasofu/akasofu_graph_little_ice-age.gif

Brian Valentine
January 26, 2010 5:30 am

The “skeptics” have been playing “whack-a-mole” with IPCC reports for years.
Right now the landscape seems fairly clear of moles popping up – can’t get them “all,” of course, because IPCC still has their model projections.
If that’s all that’s left, then I’d say IPCC is defeated.
[It may be too Pollyanna-ish of me to suggest that]

Roger Knights
January 26, 2010 6:40 am

Brian Valentine (05:30:25) :
The “skeptics” have been playing “whack-a-mole” with IPCC reports for years.

Fun Knee!!

D. Patterson
January 26, 2010 7:43 am

Think! (11:08:34)
Today’s world is different. there is no communism.

Strange, isn’t it, how someone forgot to tell the Communists “there is no communism”?

TICKTIN’S REVISIONIST CAMPAIGN
On November 4, 2006, in London, a conference was held to launch ‘The Campaign for a New Marxist Party’. Those attending were Hillel Ticktin and supporters of Critique journal, the Communist Party of Great Britain, i.e., Weekly Worker, the Democratic Socialist Alliance, New Interventions, and the Republican Democratic Group. All the participants of this conference defend, to one degree or another, the Trotskyist tradition.[1]
This conference of left-wing revisionists decided on a sixteen-point platform as the basis for their campaign for a new Marxist Party.[…]
‘We are calling for the building of a party because we think that the time demands a party and because there are no left-wing parties at the present time’. (P.4)
While many people will agree, including us, that the times demand a party, they will dismiss the ultra-sectarian, Ticktinite view that there are no left-wing parties now. This position that there are no left-wing parties at the present time seems to be a central component of Ticktin’s campaign because he further writes
‘We are openly declaring that there are no Marxist parties or would-be Marxist parties or groups in existence’. (P. 4)
So according to Ticktin’s campaign there are no left-wing parties in existence anywhere, further, there are no Marxist, or would-be Marxist parties or groups in existence. Since they don’t qualify this statement we have to assume they mean this internationally.
This is the position of a true academic – in the negative sense of the term – completely divorced from real, dialectical, concrete reality. Now that Ticktin, wallowing in subjectivity and with a stroke of a pen, so to speak, can declare that the left doesn’t exist in the form of parties and groups, Marxist or otherwise, he can invent a left, in his own image, and even determine, on this basis, who belongs to the category of the left and who does not. Not surprisingly, the more politically sensible part of the left boycotted Ticktin’s conference.
http://www.oneparty.co.uk/index.html?http%3A//www.oneparty.co.uk/html/tctick01.html

Since you appear to be adopting “TICKTIN’S REVISIONIST CAMPAIGN” by asserting there is no more communism, perhaps we should accord your comments the same respect and credence we would give those coming from Hillel Ticktin and his…whatever…supporters.

Canadian State of the Union
Friday, November 27, 2009
Two Communists & One Anarchist Demand Canada’s Immediate Ouster From The Commonwealth For Its Genocidal “Carbon Footprint”
Leaders of Greenpeace may indeed support the goal of a WORLD GOVERNMENT, which is also a Soviet goal. The February 1990 issue of World Marxist Review, policy journal for the Communist Parties throughout the world, featured an interview with David McTaggart, chairman of Greenpeace International. He described his efforts as “helping to erase the borders between East and West, North and South.” He emphasized that “you can’t talk about the survival of your nation or your economic system or your way of life at the expense of the survival of the planet we live on.” When asked what he thought were the main obstacles to global environmentalist efforts, he responded, “To my mind, nationalism is the biggest enemy of global thinking.”

Lest you are tempted to repeat the claim communism is no more, in recent news:

The United Nations Climate Change Conference web site dated 27 November 2009 18h50 says:
“PROPOSAL TO EXCLUDE CANADA FROM THE COMMONWEALTH”
“The World Development Movement, the Polaris Institute in Canada and Greenpeace have called for Canada to be suspended from the Commonwealth over its climate change policies, the Guardian reports.”
This “proposal to exclude Canada from the Commonwealth” pushed by Greenpeace et als is part of a lead-up to the Copenhagen climate-change conference scheduled for December 7th to 18th, 2009 — where, according to Lord Christopher Monckton (same link as above), an agreement will be signed to formally initiate a communist world government.
Who are Greenpeace, Polaris Institute and the Anarchiest World Development Movement?
1 – Here is a poster online featuring a teach-in by the Communist Party of Canada, Polaris Institute and others (Polaris is Marxist-Leninist):
Original url: http://www.nowar-paix.ca/Posters/anti-imperialismteachinposter.pdf

Then we have news reports, audio, and video of the Communists marching in mass protests at the Copenhagen COP15 summit last month.

Reds Turn Green in Copenhagen. Save the Planet, Scrap Capitalism! – Reds Turn Green in Copenhagen
CFACT exclusive, shocking video and interviews of prominent socialist and communist participation in “People’s Rally” for climate action at Copenhagen Summit
[….]
“It was truly shocking to arrive at a climate action rally in Copenhagen and literally see a sea of red flags and banners with hammers and sickles,” says CFACT President David Rothbard. “I don’t believe most environmentalists are secretly communists, but it interesting to see that many communists believe the green agenda is the best path toward socialist policies.”
Some marchers wore hats saying, “Save the Planet. Scrap Capitalism.” One marcher said, “We fight for a socialist society and a socialist program for the climate.[….]
http://www.cfact.tv/2009/12/14/reds-turn-green-in-copenhagen/

Pretty active bunch of zombies for people and political parties which you say do not exist….

Henry Galt
January 26, 2010 7:59 am

Michele (23:54:49) :
Thank you. That is a very interesting document. I bet they hate Google’s cache function 😉
The bed-fellows are not the surprising thing to me. The fact that some of them have threatened others of them (and succeeded) yet still seem to be steering the same course is not the surprising thing to me either.
Nor “…but Mike Salmon is now on the ENV support staff and manages CRU computers and in a large part of ENV. He also manages our web site – ‘which as ever reigns supreme’ according to the New Scientist.”
Nor the “Leverhulme Trust” who have £50 million per year to “donate” to idiots but have never run a grammar checker/proof reader over their main page.
Nor “….translating the broad-scale climate information produced by GCMs…” (although that one rattles other antennae)
Nor even “…..Over the last 35 years also, several staff have been on the editorial boards of a number of major climatic journals”
No, it is something else on that page that bothers me much, much more.
Something to do with the Thames Barrier.

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