The scandal deepens – IPCC AR4 riddled with non peer reviewed WWF papers

All the years I’ve been in TV news, I’ve observed that every story has a tipping point. In news, we know when it has reached that point when we say it “has legs” and the story takes on a life of its own. The story may have been ignored or glossed over for weeks, months, or years until some new piece of information is posted and starts to galvanize people. The IPCC glacier melt scandal was the one that galvanized the collective voice that has been saying that the IPCC report was seriously flawed and represented a political rather than scientific view. Now people are seriously looking at AR4 with a critical eye  and finding things everywhere.

Remember our friends at World Wildlife Fund? Those schlockmeisters that produced the video of planes flying into New York with explicit comparisons to 9/11?

911tsunami-large
The caption in the upper right reads: “The tsunami killed 100 times more people than 9/11. The planet is brutally powerful. Respect it. Preserve it.”

Well it turns out that the WWF is cited all over the IPCC AR4 report, and as you know, WWF does not produce peer reviewed science, they produce opinion papers in line with their vision. Yet IPCC’s rules are such that they are supposed to rely on peer reviewed science only. It appears they’ve violated that rule dozens of times, all under Pachauri’s watch.

A new posting authored by Donna Laframboise, the creator of NOconsensus.org (Toronto, Canada) shows what one can find in just one day of looking.

http://nofrakkingconsensus.blogspot.com/2010/01/more-dodgy-citations-in-nobel-winning.html

Here’s an extensive list of documents created or co-authored by the WWF and cited by this Nobel-winning IPCC AR4 report:

  • Allianz and World Wildlife Fund, 2006: Climate change and the financial sector: an agenda for action, 59 pp. [Accessed 03.05.07: http://www.wwf.org.uk/ filelibrary/pdf/allianz_rep_0605.pdf]
  • Austin, G., A. Williams, G. Morris, R. Spalding-Feche, and R. Worthington, 2003: Employment potential of renewable energy in South Africa. Earthlife Africa, Johannesburg and World Wildlife Fund (WWF), Denmark, November, 104 pp.
  • Baker, T., 2005: Vulnerability Assessment of the North-East Atlantic Shelf Marine Ecoregion to Climate Change, Workshop Project Report, WWF, Godalming, Surrey, 79 pp.
  • Coleman, T., O. Hoegh-Guldberg, D. Karoly, I. Lowe, T. McMichael, C.D. Mitchell, G.I. Pearman, P. Scaife and J. Reynolds, 2004: Climate Change: Solutions for Australia. Australian Climate Group, 35 pp. http://www.wwf.org.au/ publications/acg_solutions.pdf
  • Dlugolecki, A. and S. Lafeld, 2005: Climate change – agenda for action: the financial sector’s perspective. Allianz Group and WWF, Munich [may be the same document as “Allianz” above, except that one is dated 2006 and the other 2005]
  • Fritsche, U.R., K. Hünecke, A. Hermann, F. Schulze, and K. Wiegmann, 2006: Sustainability standards for bioenergy. Öko-Institut e.V., Darmstadt, WWF Germany, Frankfurt am Main, November
  • Giannakopoulos, C., M. Bindi, M. Moriondo, P. LeSager and T. Tin, 2005: Climate Change Impacts in the Mediterranean Resulting from a 2oC Global Temperature Rise. WWF report, Gland Switzerland. Accessed 01.10.2006 at http://assets.panda.org/downloads/medreportfinal8july05.pdf.
  • WWF, 2004: Deforestation threatens the cradle of reef diversity. World Wide Fund for Nature, 2 December 2004. http://www.wwf.org/
  • WWF, 2004: Living Planet Report 2004. WWF- World Wide Fund for Nature (formerly World Wildlife Fund), Gland, Switzerland, 44 pp.
  • WWF (World Wildlife Fund), 2005: An overview of glaciers, glacier retreat, and subsequent impacts in Nepal, India and China. World Wildlife Fund, Nepal Programme, 79 pp.
  • Zarsky, L. and K. Gallagher, 2003: Searching for the Holy Grail? Making FDI Work for Sustainable Development. Analytical Paper, World Wildlife Fund (WWF), Switzerland

Finally, there are these authoritative sources cited by the IPCC – publications with names such as Leisure and Event Management:

  • Jones, B. and D. Scott, 2007: Implications of climate change to Ontario’s provincial parks. Leisure, (in press)
  • Jones, B., D. Scott and H. Abi Khaled, 2006: Implications of climate change for outdoor event planning: a case study of three special events in Canada’s National Capital region. Event Management, 10, 63-76

Not only should Pachauri resign, the Nobel committee should be deluged by world citizenry demanding they revoke the Nobel prize granted to the body that produced this document.


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Ray
January 24, 2010 10:21 pm

When you check who was/is behind WWF, there is no surprise there.
Did you know that former Nasi and Bilderberg founder, HRH Prince Bernhard of the Netherlands was the first WWF president (1962-1976)? Also, former president of WWF was HRH Prince Philip, Duke of Edinburgh, well known geneticist that would love to come back as a virus to kill most people on earth?

TerryBixler
January 24, 2010 10:23 pm

Steve Goddard (19:51:36) :
That is child abuse. Beyond belief, but seeing is believing. We have all been diminished by these zealots.

par5
January 24, 2010 10:34 pm

and more reviewers for AR4 WGIII: Mitigation
http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/assessment-report/ar4/wg3/ar4-wg3-annex4.pdf
G. Von Goerne, Greenpeace (Germany)
S. Sawyer, Greenpeace International (Netherlands)
S. Teske, Greenpeace International (Netherlands)
D. Pols, Friends of the Earth (Netherlands)
C. Pearce, Friends of the Earth (UK)
G. Volpl, WWF International (Brazil)

January 24, 2010 10:41 pm

from the janama (19:44:28) link
ANDY PITMAN: As far as I understand it, there is two paragraphs that have been questioned in a 1600-page document and I would like any of your listeners to have every written any document of 1600 pages long, two years ago, that after two years they haven’t found one or two paragraphs that they might with to rewrite.

Obviously translated from the original Cantonese with transcription errors by the Senegalese typist. We always knew scientists couldn’t spell, but this reads like the instruction sheet that comes with a $4 pocket calculator.

DirkH
January 24, 2010 10:57 pm

“Daniel H (20:19:30) :
I worked at WWF as a programmer back in my early 20s …”
Alter Falter, as we say in Germany, and it means “Old Butterfly”… well that was the literal translation. A better one would be “I’m gobsmacked”.

J.Peden
January 24, 2010 11:11 pm

that after two years they haven’t found one or two paragraphs that they might with to rewrite.
For a mere $1 million I would have checked the sea level rise table early in the SPM4, where two columns of 4 numbers each were both incorrectly added, naturally coming out more toward supporting AGW.

J.Peden
January 24, 2010 11:24 pm

brent:
That should never have happened.
Mann’s hockey stick should have never happened. No one reviewed Mann’s ‘materials and methods’ before McIntyre and Mckitrick did. One argument: Mann first claimed he couldn’t find his data and methods, then etc.. But if he couldn’t find them, then he’s saying no one else ever had them either. Or does every reviewer erase their review?

Roger Knights
January 24, 2010 11:48 pm

Blake:
You should check out an impressive long-ago (1973) book about the UN by Shirley Hazzard, disillusioned ex-employee: Defeat of an Ideal: A study of the self-destruction of the United Nations
http://www.amazon.com/Defeat-Ideal-self-destruction-United-Nations/dp/0316352667/ref=ntt_at_ep_dpt_10

D. Patterson
January 24, 2010 11:53 pm

par5 (22:34:22) :
and more reviewers for AR4 WGIII: Mitigation
http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/assessment-report/ar4/wg3/ar4-wg3-annex4.pdf
G. Von Goerne, Greenpeace (Germany)
S. Sawyer, Greenpeace International (Netherlands)
S. Teske, Greenpeace International (Netherlands)
D. Pols, Friends of the Earth (Netherlands)
C. Pearce, Friends of the Earth (UK)
G. Volpl, WWF International (Brazil)

Readers should not how Greenpeace was a front group financed in part by Soviet KGB intelligence, and by various post-Soviet communist organizations. The Greenpeace and WWF membership reads like an alumni asssociation of Soviet and communist front group members. A Greenpeace photographer was a fomer member of the communist Beider-Meinhof terrorist group trained by the STASI secret police of the German Democratic Republic (GDR). He was arrested by Dutch intelligence services for his communist terrorist activities.
Following the political, business, financial, and social relationships between their organizations and members leads into a worldwide network of networks having a common goal of imposing one world governance and curtailment of human rights to self-determination. Whether it is Pachauri at the UN-IPCC, Maurice Strong formerly at UNEP and presently in the People’s Republic of China (PRC), Bill Ayres with the communist Weathermen terrorists or the Annenberg Challenge, or the self-declared postmodern scientist better known as Phil Jones at CRU; there is a trail of evidnece which which links these groups and individuals to a common cause that is responsible for the current controversy regarding the science of global Warming or Climate Change and or lack of scientific integrity.
Follow the money, follow the political associations and activities, and gain an understanding of the differences between genuine science and the scientific method versus the pseudo-science of postmodern science and their politicized adherents.

Mark T
January 25, 2010 12:02 am

I’m curious: why is it that up till now, nobody has noticed these WWF papers cited by the AR4?
Mark

January 25, 2010 12:30 am

Anyone interested to see campaigning groups at work in the heart of govt can go to my article here:
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/10/20/revealed-the-uk-government-strategy-for-personal-carbon-rations/#more-11896
From Item 28 on there are various quotes that demonstrate the political/ideological impetus of such groups as Friends of the Earth and the Green Party. The UK Green Party by the way is the latest manifestation of the UK Communist party. A notable candidate for them for election to govt was William Connelly-late and unlamented gatekeeper to the Climate section of Wikipedia.
We must not forget the campaigning element is very tied up with ideology and politics and Science is merely a tool to be abused and used on the way to their objectives. This has tended to obscure the reasons for the existence of such as WWF in the first place, which were invariably honourable and constructive. Such groups have been hijacked by activists and diminished themselves in the process.
Tonyb

Recipy
January 25, 2010 12:33 am

I think this has no bearing on IPCC-WG1:
I have checked WG1 chapters 2, 4, 5,6, 9, & 10 (which I have a personal interest in) and there are no WWF citations in those. So, the scientific basis (i.e. IPCC-WG1) is on more solid ground.

Editor
January 25, 2010 12:41 am

Recipy (00:33:42) : edit
“I think this has no bearing on IPCC-WG1:
I have checked WG1 chapters 2, 4, 5,6, 9, & 10 (which I have a personal interest in) and there are no WWF citations in those. So, the scientific basis (i.e. IPCC-WG1) is on more solid ground.”
Do.searches.for.other.advocacy.group.names.as.well.as.non-scientific.publications.

Not Amused
January 25, 2010 12:59 am

It would be interesting to find out if any authors of the AR4 report currently receive, or have received funding from the WWF.
Anyone know a good Sherlock Holmes-like researcher/journalist ?

Sam Lau
January 25, 2010 1:09 am

From Mike McMillan (22:41:03) :
[i]Obviously translated from the original Cantonese with transcription errors by the Senegalese typist. We always knew scientists couldn’t spell, but this reads like the instruction sheet that comes with a $4 pocket calculator.[/i]
As a Cantonese speaker, I have to say that this is not Cantonese structure :P. I have read some Form 1/2 (grade7-8) writing, and I feel that the speaker is worse then that. Weird that he can write 1600-page long report with only a couple or errors. 😛

Sam Lau
January 25, 2010 1:11 am

should be ‘a couple of errors’ instead of ‘a couple or errors’, thanks.

January 25, 2010 1:20 am

Anthony,
“Yet IPCC’s rules are such that they are supposed to rely on peer reviewed science only.”
Actually, their rules allow non-peer-reviewed sources:
“Because it is increasingly apparent that materials relevant to IPCC Reports, in particular, information about the experience and practice of the private sector in mitigation and adaptation activities, are found in sources that have not been published or peer-reviewed (e.g., industry journals, internal organisational publications, non-peer reviewed reports or working papers of research institutions, proceedings of workshops etc) the following
additional procedures are provided.”
http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/ipcc-principles/ipcc-principles-appendix-a.pdf
See Annex II at the end.
They obviously have expanded that loophole far beyond “information about the experience and practice of the private sector in mitigation and adaptation activities.” And it is certainly at odds with the oft-repeated claims of their defenders that the IPCC’s conclusions rest on peer-reviewed science.

Vincent
January 25, 2010 1:41 am

janama,
“here’s Andy Pittman admitting that the sceptics are winning. The reason? because sceptics are heavily funded and they don’t have day jobs.”
So, the reason that the IPCC published hearsay as peer reviewed science is because sceptics don’t have day jobs?

January 25, 2010 1:44 am

Help needed here folks !!
Item 1. Where do I write to regarding the Nobel prize? have they got a complaints dept.?
Item 2. Under EU rules the man in the street has recourse to the Commission if he feels that there has been a fraudulent use of EU money. Anyone got the low-down on this? I think it may have been “The Court of First Instance” or something of that order. The nearest MEP office to me is some 200 miles round trip away but I will get on it if someone can guide me on precedure.

MAGB
January 25, 2010 2:00 am

“shows what one can find in just one day of looking.”
The is the big issue many of us have – we have enough scientific knowledge and experience to see after a short look that this is weak science, full of uncertainties fed into computer models which are in turn full of assumptions. Then a quick look at books like Plimer’s Heaven + Earth confirms that climate is very poorly understood. We become highly sceptical but we are accused of being ignorant because we aren’t “climate scientists”. Indeed we are too busy doing other things to become experts.
So thanks Donna for helping with the effort to expose this fraudulent new industry.

Dermot Carroll
January 25, 2010 2:14 am

If you can tune into Irish national radio RTE radio 1 Pat Kenny show.
Discussion on this coming up shortly!

Bernice
January 25, 2010 2:21 am

The New York Times and othe MSM’s are writing their own obituary, not covering the meltdown and corruption at the IPCC, Climategate, CO2 fraud, the trouble at Penn State.
The breaking news continues to unfold on what can only be considered to be the biggest fraud in history and two months later the MSM are trying to conceal it by omission.

tucker
January 25, 2010 2:32 am

DirkH (20:07:37) :
“Steve Goddard (19:51:36) :
WWF – losing hearts and minds, 20 million at a time.
Here is a video showing off WWFs best scientists.”
The kid at 2:09 has a globe with the oceans painted red; that must be earth after the oceans boiled off.
******************************
Well, the Earth is millions of degrees F underneath you know. I forget who told me that “fact”. That red must be the lava flows after the oceans boil off.

January 25, 2010 2:37 am

Gregg E replied to my original comment
“…invariably honourable and constructive.”
The context of my comment was that the original purpose of the campaignig organisation-such as WWF- was on the whole, good. It is what has subsequently happened-particularly with the big powerful ones- that is the cause for concern.
Personally I won’t now donate to Oxfam or Christian Aid or take any notice of what Greenpeace or WWF tell me because they now have an agenda. That doesn’t mean to say I don’t want them to disribute food or be concerned about the environment, but that I want them to concentrate on these aims and stop subverting science for their political ojectives -which I invariably disagree with.
Tonyb

Don Keiller
January 25, 2010 2:37 am

IPCC “Transparency”
Read this from Chris Holland. What a mess!
2035 and all that
By David Holland
In Chapter 10 of the Working Group II contribution to the 2007 IPCC Fourth Assessment Report this short section of text has become very controversial:
“Glaciers in the Himalaya are receding faster than in any other part of the world (see Table 10.9) and, if the present rate continues, the likelihood of them disappearing by the year 2035 and perhaps sooner is very high if the Earth keeps warming at the current rate. Its total area will likely shrink from the present 500,000 to 100,000 km2 by the year 2035 (WWF, 2005).
The receding and thinning of Himalayan glaciers can be attributed primarily to the global warming due to increase in anthropogenic emission of greenhouse gases.”
On 20 January 2010 the World Wildlife Fund issued a correction to their 2005 paper in which they claimed the likelihood of the Himalayan glaciers disappearing by the year 2035 is very high. They now state:
“This statement was used in good faith but it is now clear that this was erroneous and should be disregarded.”
On the same day the IPCC issued a statement. Dr Pachauri, his Vice Chairs and the two TSU Co-Chairs – wrote:
“In drafting the paragraph in question, the clear and well-established standards of evidence, required by the IPCC procedures, were not applied properly.”
“This episode demonstrates that the quality of the assessment depends on absolute adherence to the IPCC standards, including thorough review of “the quality and validity of each source before incorporating results from the source into an IPCC Report”. We reaffirm our strong commitment to ensuring this level of performance.”
Readers might recall Dr Pachauri telling an Australian TV audience:
“Every stage of the drafting of our report is peer reviewed, and whatever comments we get from the peer review process are posted on the website of the IPCC, and the reasons why we accept or reject those comments are clearly specified. Where we accept a comment we say, “Yes. Accepted.” Where we don’t, we have to adduce very clear reasons why the authors don’t agree with the comment. So it’s a very transparent process.”
I will discuss this “transparent process” and these “IPCC standards” and consider whether this is another case of Dr Pachauri’s claims not matching reality. But first It might be noted that one of the four Coordinating Lead Authors for the Chapter was Indian scientist Dr Murari Lal, who wrote on 22 January:
“This is more about a systematic failure of the (IPCC) review process. The… conclusions were sent to hundreds of scientists and governments… and no one raised any doubts… then.”
As will be shown he is right to say that it is a systematic failure of the IPCC review process, but entirely wrong to say no one raised any doubts at the time. Doubts were raised, as I will detail, by Government, Expert Reviewers and the Deputy Head of WGII TSU (Science), Clair Hanson, who all submitted comments to the Lead Authors, but were ignored.
That such a basic error could be ignored, is because the IPCC review process is not as Dr Pachauri suggested in Australia and nothing like the “strong interactive peer review process”, which the American delegation stressed the need for at the first meeting of the IPCC in 1988. Despite being promoted as the guarantor of the quality of IPCC Reports, the current review process is its Achilles’ heel.
The Government and Expert Reviewers are asked to read the draft text and, by email, send comments on each line should they wish. In the first, second and third IPCC assessments, that was the last the Reviewers saw of their comments unless they made a trip to an “open archive” at some location designated by the IPCC Secretariat. In May 2008 I asked the IPCC Secretary where these archives are but received no reply. However the curator of the Littauer Library at Harvard has confirmed he does have the Working Group I “open archive” for the Third Assessment Report in paper form in eight unindexed boxes.
This is how the IPCC planned to archive the drafts, comments and responses of the last assessment until freedom of information requests forced their online disclosure. The archives are now available for the public despite the IPCC and not because of them. They are not at, and have never been at, the “the website of the IPCC” as Dr Pachauri claims.
Accordingly up till now Lead Authors could be confident that the Expert Reviewers would not find out if their views had been accepted until they read the revised text months later when they could do nothing about it. The Lead Authors could also be fairly certain that no one would look to see if there had been an appropriate response to Reviewers’ comments.
In 1990 to overcome what was thought by many to be a poor balance between Lead Authors and Expert Reviewers, ‘Review Editors’ were introduced into the IPCC assessment process. Although, in 2008, Dr Pachauri “co-authorised” a complaint to Ofcom, which stated that these Review Editors have the “final say” on the IPCC text, this is not what is stated in the “the IPCC standards” as he calls them.
The procedures in Appendix A to the Principles Governing IPCC Work make it clear that the Lead Authors have sole responsibility for the text. They are free to accept or reject comments as they wish. Review Editors are only required to:
“ensure that all substantive expert and government review comments are afforded appropriate consideration, advise lead authors on how to handle contentious/controversial issues and ensure genuine controversies are reflected adequately in the text of the Report.”
Review Editors must also ensure that non-peer-reviewed sources such as the WWF papers are “selected and used in a consistent manner across the Report”. They are given no powers to ensure compliance but they must submit a written report to the Working Group Sessions or the Panel”. Review Editors, so far, have mostly if not entirely been drawn from the cadre of earlier author teams and cannot be thought of as independent auditors.
Neither the IPCC nor the working groups have put these reports – the nearest thing in the IPCC process to a quality control report – into the public domain. I have been given the reports for Working Group I and II, but WGIII refuses to release any. For the Chapter being discussed here, the two Review Editors simply signed pro formas that were sent to them saying:
“The review process for the development of the Chapter in the Working Group II Fourth Assessment, as laid out in the Principles Governing IPCC Work, has been properly followed.
My reading of the Final Government Draft of the Chapter confirms the satisfactory completion of this process.
My reading of the Final Government Draft of the Chapter confirms that it properly reflects scientific controversies.”
Now I will show what Reviewers said and Lead Authors responded. While the Reviewers are named we are not told who actually wrote the responses.
The contentious 2035 date appears in the paragraph from lines 13 to 17 on page 46 of the second order draft of Working Group II. The only changes to the draft text in the finally published text are the removal of a short redundant sentence and the addition the reference to (WWF, 2005).
David Saltz, of the Desert Research Institute, Ben Gurion University made three comments on this short paragraph including one upon the obvious inconsistency of saying first that the likelihood is very high that Himalayan glaciers will “disappear” by 2035 if the Earth keeps warming at the current rate, and then stating “Its total area will shrink from the present 500,000 to 100,000 km2 by the year 2035”. The Lead Author’s response to the comment on inconsistency was:
“Missed to clarify this one”.
The Government of Japan commented rather more critically:
“This seems to be a very important statement, possibly should be in the SPM, but is buried in the middle of this chapter. What is the confidence level/certainty? (i.e.“the likelihood of the glaciers disappearing is very high” is at which level of likelihood? (ref. to Box TS-1, “Description of Likelihood”). Also in this paragraph, the use of “will” is ambiguous and should be replaced with appropriate likelihood/confidence level terminology.”
The Lead Authors’ response to Government of Japan was:
“Appropriate revisions and editing made”.
From what I can see the Lead Authors found none appropriate.
The paragraph, following the 2035 claim and table 10.10, begins:
“The receding and thinning of Himalayan glaciers can be attributed primarily to the global warming due to increase in anthropogenic emission of greenhouse gases.”
Hayley Fowler from Newcastle University commented with citations:
“I am not sure that this is true for the very large Karakoram glaciers in the western Himalaya. Hewitt (2005) suggests from measurements that these are expanding – and this would certainly be explained by climatic change in preciptiation and temperature trends seen in the Karakoram region (Fowler and Archer, J Climate in press; Archer and Fowler, 2004) You need to quote Barnett et al.’s 2005 Nature paper here – this seems very similar to what they said.”
The Lead Authors responded:
“Was unable to get hold of the suggested references will consider in the final version”
The Government of Japan again noted the lack of any reference and commented rather critically:
“This statement lacks any reference. Also, the reader wonders, are “global warming” and “climate change” interchangeable? Are we still using “global warming”? Clarification of this would be appreciated.”
“The use of “will” (again) is ambiguous. The confidence level using IPCC terminology should be stated.”
The Lead Author’s response to Government of Japan was once again:
“Appropriate revisions and editing made”.
But once again none were made either in response to Hayley Fowler or the Government of Japan.
For the IPCC TSU, Clare Hanson commented that there was only one reference for the whole section. This was Hasnain, 2002. To Clare Hanson the Lead Authors’ response was:
“More references added”.
So far as I can tell only Shen et al., 2002 and WWF, 2005 were added.
Conclusion
Clearly questions were raised and were not properly dealt with, so it is true that the “IPCC standards” are either inadequate or were not followed or, as I believe, both. The ultimate fault lies with the Panel of Government representatives that jet off every year to exotic locations supposedly to oversee the work they have commissioned, and on our behalf paid for. On the last assessment it is certain that no Government saw any of the Review Editors’ reports. They never asked for them and they were never given them.
The fundamental breach of the “IPCC standards” is far more basic. The assessment and review process is required by the Principles Governing IPCC Work to be undertaken on a comprehensive, objectiveopen and transparent basis. Eight unindexed boxes of paper never met the requirement to be open and transparent.
Murari Lal tells us “the conclusions were sent to hundreds of scientists and governments”. If the drafts – all in electronic form – can be sent to so many people why can they not be put up on public Internet servers at the same time? And why not have the Reviewers and Lead Authors engage on line with the strong interactive peer-review that was originally called for? This way the public can see for themselves that the process not only works but is also open and transparent.
We now know that at the next plenary meeting of the IPCC, later this year, the important “environmental matter” of IPCC information disclosure is to be discussed. Most European counties are parties to the Convention on Access to Information, Public Participation in Decision-Making and Access to Justice in Environmental Matters (the Aarhus Convention). It requires the parties to promote the objectives of the Convention within the IPCC and to hold public consultations on important environmental matters. Now is the time to press for the rights guaranteed by this Convention.

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