NWS Met on Florida Cold: “This is the longest stretch ever in 100 years of record keeping.”

From the “weather is not climate department” and  the High Springs Florida Herald, a story of record length of subfreezing cold in Florida.

Photo By Ronald Dupont Jr. Frozen bird baths and trees glistening with icicles (such as this scene at a home behind the First Baptist Church of High Springs) were common throughout the Crescent Communities as the area saw a record number of days where the temperatures fell below freezing.

Excerpts:

Assessing the full damage to many crops will not be known for several weeks.

Branford/Fort White area fish farmer Dave Walen farms native fish that will not die as a result of the cold, but his business is still being affected by the cold.

That’s because the fish have settled deep in the lime rock pit he uses to farm the fish, and he cannot reach them. He doesn’t know when they will decide to swim close enough to the surface to catch.

“We have orders for fish that we can’t fulfill – orders since before Christmas,” Walen said. “The cold stops everything.”

As of Wednesday, Jan. 13, the area has experienced 12 consecutive days of below freezing temperatures — a new record.

National Weather Service Meteorologist Jason Hess said that it’s the length of the cold that is most significant.

“This is the longest stretch ever in 100 years of record keeping.”

A new daily record low temperature was set Sunday, Jan. 11, in the Crescent Communities, with the area reaching 17 degrees.

Since the beginning of January, temperatures have remained more than 20 degrees below normal. Temperatures normally should be up in the 60s during the day and the 40s at night, Hess said.

Recently, the highs have been in the 40s and the lows in the 20s.

Full story here

The NWS Public Information Statement from WSFO Jacksonville:

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL

815 AM EST THU JAN 14 2010

...RECORD BREAKING COLD SPELL SLOWLY COMES TO AN END...

AS OF TODAY...THURSDAY JANUARY 14TH...THERE HAVE BEEN 13 CONSECUTIVE

DAYS WITH MINIMUM TEMPERATURES LESS THAN OR EQUAL TO 32 DEGREES AT

ALMA GEORGIA AND GAINESVILLE FLORIDA AND 12 DAYS AT SAINT SIMONS

ISLAND GEORGIA WITH THE STREAKS STILL IN TACT.

THIS SETS NEW RECORDS AT GAINESVILLE FLORIDA AS WELL AS ST SIMONS

ISLAND AND ALMA GEORGIA FOR CONSECUTIVE DAYS WITH MINIMUM

TEMPERATURES AT OR BELOW FREEZING. THEY ARE NOW LISTED AT THE BOTTOM

OF THE PRODUCT.

THE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE AT JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA LAST FRIDAY ONLY

REACHED 34 DEGREES...ENDING THEIR STREAK OF CONSECUTIVE DAYS AT 32

OR BELOW AT 6. ALTHOUGH THE RECORD OF CONSECUTIVE DAYS OF 32 OR

BELOW WAS NOT MET AT JACKSONVILLE...A NEW RECORD FOR CONSECUTIVE

DAYS OF 34 DEGREES OR BELOW CONTINUES...AND NOW STANDS AT 13 DAYS

FROM JANUARY 2ND THROUGH THE 14TH. THE PREVIOUS RECORD OF 9

CONSECUTIVE DAYS WERE SET IN JANUARY 2001 AND JANUARY 1977.

THE MOST RECENT EVENT WITH SUCH LONG LASTING COLD TEMPERATURES WAS

IN THE WINTER OF 2000-2001 WHEN A WEEK LONG PERIOD OF SUB-FREEZING

TEMPERATURES WAS SEEN FROM LATE DECEMBER INTO EARLY JANUARY.

WITH THE ARCTIC AIRMASS MODIFYING OVER THE REGION...TONIGHT WILL SEE

MINIMUM TEMPERATURES IN THE MIDDLE 30S TO MIDDLE 40S ACROSS MOST OF

THE REGION...ALTHOUGH A FEW COLDER LOCATIONS ACROSS INLAND SOUTHEAST

GEORGIA MAY FALL TO NEAR FREEZING.

THE RECORDS FOR CONSECUTIVE DAYS WITH 32 DEGREES OR LESS AT LOCAL

CLIMATE SITES ARE LISTED BELOW...

JACKSONVILLE, FLORIDA...8 DAYS...JANUARY 17-24, 1977

OLD...GAINESVILLE, FLORIDA...9 DAYS...DECEMBER 16-24, 1960

NEW...GAINESVILLE, FLORIDA...13 DAYS...JANUARY 2-14, 2010

OLD...ALMA, GEORGIA...11 DAYS...DECEMBER 16-26, 1960

NEW...ALMA, GEORGIA...13 DAYS...JANUARY 2-14, 2010

OLD...ST SIMONS ISLAND, GEORGIA...8 DAYS...DEC 29 TO JAN 5, 2001

NEW...ST SIMONS ISLAND, GEORGIA...12 DAYS...JAN 3-14, 2010

$$

HESS/DEESE

And something equally unique, freezing fog in Florida as reported by NWS Jacksonville:

Freezing Fog Event:  January 14, 2010

Angie Enyedi, NWS Jacksonville

An unusual freezing fog event happened this morning across portions of the Jacksonville County Warning Area (CWA).  Freezing fog is defined as a suspension of numerous minute ice crystals in the air, or water droplets at temperatures below 0 ° C, based at the Earth’s surface, which reduces horizontal visibility.  Freezing fog is also called ice fog.

This morning a ridge of high pressure was centered over coastal South Carolina and coastal Southeast Georgia. A light and shallow northeast flow filtered over much of the Jacksonville CWA around this ridge.  The moist and stable layer extended to about 400 feet above ground level (Figure 1, 12Z KJAX Sounding), then the airmass was significantly drier however strong subsidence remained in place.

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/images/jax/events/fzfg_011410/fzfg.gif

Click image to enlarge

Temperatures fell below freezing around midnight at the Jacksonville International Airport (JIA). The ambient temperature was around 32 ° F and dew point 31 ° F. Through 8 am local time (about 9 hours), the temperature at JIA remained below freezing with dew point depressions of only 1 ° F.  Calm winds and passing thin cirrus allowed almost ideal radiational cooling conditions to much of the CWA.

Freezing fog was reported from Alma, Georgia to Gainesville, Florida. Much of the observations were reported across northwest Duval County where moderate moisture advection combined with cold temperatures (Figure 2, MSAS surface analysis).

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/images/jax/events/fzfg_011410/msas.gif

Click image to enlarge

Sometimes freezing fog can settle on surfaces and create ice patches.  A special weather statement was issued early this morning to alert motorists of this potential hazard.

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Fred from Canuckistan . . .
January 15, 2010 10:10 am

I think my dreams of one day owning an Orange grove up here in Canuckistan are ended. I was planning on turning my outdoor rink area into an orange cash crop.
I was so hoping the global warming thingy was real.

Antonio San
January 15, 2010 10:16 am

OT: Great post by Pielke Sr about the Menne paper…
We are awaiting anthony’s blast…

imapopulist
January 15, 2010 10:18 am

Boy did I time that cruise right! But on return, I lost my backyard citrus trees here is Tampakistan.

Rhys Jaggar
January 15, 2010 10:19 am

Our cold snap in the UK is just coming to an end and the BBC global weather forecasts imply, rightly or wrongly, that Florida will warm up in the next 5 days.
Any linkages there or just a fluke this year??

Steve Goddard
January 15, 2010 10:23 am

Fred, your disappointment is shared on the other side of the pond. The Guardian promised that England would become a Mediterranean climate.
According to Monbiot, frequent cold spells are weather – but rare warm spells are climate. Last warm spell was seven years ago, in 2003.

JonesII
January 15, 2010 10:24 am

Time to migrate southwards ducks!.
Surprising quote “This is the longest stretch ever in 100 years of record keeping.
That’s the problem!, you didn’ t hide the decline as ordered !

Henry chance
January 15, 2010 10:25 am

We are having trouble financing our banana plantation in Colorado.
I red where some consider the cooling caused by warming created the earthquake. I do examine voodoo in Haiti is similar to voodoo in the CAGW hysteria.

John F. Hultquist
January 15, 2010 10:25 am

“This is the longest stretch ever in 100 years of record keeping.”
Who’s record keeping? Hasn’t anyone tried to reconstruct the historical temperatures in Florida? There must be a few records, a tree they could core, or a stalactite they could dissect. Having based the world’s liberty and well-being on a tree in Siberia maybe there ought to be at least one effort to compare the results to a place such as Florida.

Dave F
January 15, 2010 10:33 am

Global warming will cause scorching temperatures, which is caused by man changing the climate!!!! Except for when it doesn’t when it is overrun by weather.
Global warming will cause ice to be a thing of the past, because we will have a new climate!!! Except for the occasional freeze, which is just natural variation.
Global warming will lead to hardships for many in Peru, where they are freezing to death because all the warmth is migrating south to Bolivia!!! These extreme weather events will become more common in a warmer world!!! And more will perish at the hands of ice and fire!!! Doom, I say!!!
DOOM!!!!
–End sarcastic soothsaying–

Ray
January 15, 2010 10:40 am

Fred from Canuckistan . . . (10:10:00) :
Come to the West Coast… it’s steaming here!!!

Severian
January 15, 2010 10:48 am

I used to cave dive up in the Branford/High Springs area a lot a couple of decades ago. Great caves and springs, and we always dove in winter there, mainly because it was the place to go get wet when the ocean was too rough and cold during winter. I’ve never seen it this cold for as long a time as this year.
The 72 deg spring water sure feels warm to you when it’s 17 deg out with a stiff wind though.

Alan S
January 15, 2010 10:51 am

But how can the hottest year Evaa be setting new 100 year records?
Roll up, Roll up, get you genetically modified frost resistant Orange saplings here! Oh and in the short term buy orange juice futures.

Bernice
January 15, 2010 10:54 am

The figure of 100 years is based on raw data.
It will be the warmest winter in Florida once NASA researchers are done.

January 15, 2010 11:00 am

How are CRU, NOAA, NASA et al going to hide this decline?

John G
January 15, 2010 11:01 am

I live in NW Florida. I take my dog for a walk every morning. Today was the first day we’ve started out at an above freezing temperature this year, 34F. It’s supposed to hit 60F today which is about average for here this time of year. The highs have only been getting into the low 40s sort of where the lows ought to be.

Indiana Bones
January 15, 2010 11:06 am

Fred from Canuckistan . . . (10:10:00) :
I think my dreams of one day owning an Orange grove up here in Canuckistan are ended.

You may want to consider one of the many Shaved Ice franchises springing up all over the NH… The weather is challenging the Florida slogan: “Keep Florida Green.”
A bit OT check out the David Klein’s illustration in the Journal’s article on faltering Cap n’ Trade Down Under. The first paragraph sets the world stage well:
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703652104574651610217495546.html

Myron Mesecke
January 15, 2010 11:09 am

If we are starting a long term cooling trend we all are going to be wishing that the warming thingy was real.
Maybe I should plan for an outdoor rink area here in Texas.

kadaka
January 15, 2010 11:10 am

Will they now declare the iguana an endangered species due to habitat loss from Climate Change? Florida is getting too cold for them. They listed the polar bear as such since Climate Change was taking away the Arctic ice. Seems only fair now that Climate Change is making too much Florida ice.
Don’t you wish Climate Change would make up its mind?

JP
January 15, 2010 11:21 am

At least the AO index is on its way back to positive terrirtory. With a resumption of El Nino influenced weather patterns, perhaps this will be the last blast for the winter season.

Sam Lau
January 15, 2010 11:29 am

Just an update also from the East Asia Monsoon Area, things will start out pretty warm in the next two to three days as the cold air still accumulate in Siberia. Then a big thing start comming out in NorthWest China, with numerical forecast the Siberian High reaching 1065+hPa. Cold air mass will move SW into Central China and the current forecast is that ALL of China except the NorthEast will have temperature significantly lower than normal, probably for one week if not longer, and may hit the news headline again. Korea and Japan will be near normal under the current forecast.
Percipitation is the only thing remain unsettled in the forecast, but freezing rain and snow is an option to Southern China, making 2008-type of South China snowness a possibility.

Tarnsman
January 15, 2010 11:30 am

“Analysis of the sun’s varying activity in the last two millennia indicates that contrary to the IPCC’s speculation about man-made global warming as high as 5.8° C within the next hundred years, a long period of cool climate with its coldest phase around 2030 is to be expected. It is shown that minima in the 80 to 90-year Gleissberg cycle of solar activity, coinciding with periods of cool climate on Earth, are consistently linked to an 83-year cycle in the change of the rotary force driving the sun’s oscillatory motion about the centre of mass of the solar system. As the future course of this cycle and its amplitudes can be computed, it can be seen that the Gleissberg minimum around 2030 and another one around 2200 will be of the Maunder minimum type accompanied by severe cooling on Earth. This forecast should prove skillful as other long-range forecasts of climate phenomena, based on cycles in the sun’s orbital motion, have turned out correct as for instance the prediction of the last three El Niños years before the respective event.
We need not wait until 2030 to see whether the forecast of the next deep Gleissberg minimum is correct. A declining trend in solar activity and global temperature should become manifest long before the deepest point in the development. The current 11-year sunspot cycle 23 with its considerably weaker activity seems to be a first indication of the new trend, especially as it was predicted on the basis of solar motion cycles two decades ago. As to temperature, only El Niño periods should interrupt the downward trend, but even El Niños should become less frequent and strong. ”
~Dr. Theodor Landscheidt 2004
Seems the good doctor’s prediction back in 2004 is beginning to manifest itself. Question is how deep is the trough going to be in 2030 and how steep the decline into it is it going be. Going to be interesting to say the least.

Leon Palmer
January 15, 2010 11:32 am

Despite the cold NH , has anybody been watching the AMSU Daily Earth Temperatures from Satellites site?
http://discover.itsc.uah.edu/amsutemps/execute.csh?amsutemps
Click on 2007, 2008, for reference years before drawing the plot. Jan 2010 looks to be hotter than Jan 2007…

jorgekafkazar
January 15, 2010 11:35 am

Fred, I was planning on having a beachfront home here in Arizona. Alas, it was all a hoax. Sniff.

Joe
January 15, 2010 11:39 am

Now is the time, finally, for MY dream… ICE SURFING!!!

Not Amused
January 15, 2010 11:39 am

I wonder how many Floridians are still buying into the global warming crap now…
I’m willing to wager the numbers have dropped.
*snicker snicker*

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