NWS Met on Florida Cold: “This is the longest stretch ever in 100 years of record keeping.”

From the “weather is not climate department” and  the High Springs Florida Herald, a story of record length of subfreezing cold in Florida.

Photo By Ronald Dupont Jr. Frozen bird baths and trees glistening with icicles (such as this scene at a home behind the First Baptist Church of High Springs) were common throughout the Crescent Communities as the area saw a record number of days where the temperatures fell below freezing.

Excerpts:

Assessing the full damage to many crops will not be known for several weeks.

Branford/Fort White area fish farmer Dave Walen farms native fish that will not die as a result of the cold, but his business is still being affected by the cold.

That’s because the fish have settled deep in the lime rock pit he uses to farm the fish, and he cannot reach them. He doesn’t know when they will decide to swim close enough to the surface to catch.

“We have orders for fish that we can’t fulfill – orders since before Christmas,” Walen said. “The cold stops everything.”

As of Wednesday, Jan. 13, the area has experienced 12 consecutive days of below freezing temperatures — a new record.

National Weather Service Meteorologist Jason Hess said that it’s the length of the cold that is most significant.

“This is the longest stretch ever in 100 years of record keeping.”

A new daily record low temperature was set Sunday, Jan. 11, in the Crescent Communities, with the area reaching 17 degrees.

Since the beginning of January, temperatures have remained more than 20 degrees below normal. Temperatures normally should be up in the 60s during the day and the 40s at night, Hess said.

Recently, the highs have been in the 40s and the lows in the 20s.

Full story here

The NWS Public Information Statement from WSFO Jacksonville:

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL

815 AM EST THU JAN 14 2010

...RECORD BREAKING COLD SPELL SLOWLY COMES TO AN END...

AS OF TODAY...THURSDAY JANUARY 14TH...THERE HAVE BEEN 13 CONSECUTIVE

DAYS WITH MINIMUM TEMPERATURES LESS THAN OR EQUAL TO 32 DEGREES AT

ALMA GEORGIA AND GAINESVILLE FLORIDA AND 12 DAYS AT SAINT SIMONS

ISLAND GEORGIA WITH THE STREAKS STILL IN TACT.

THIS SETS NEW RECORDS AT GAINESVILLE FLORIDA AS WELL AS ST SIMONS

ISLAND AND ALMA GEORGIA FOR CONSECUTIVE DAYS WITH MINIMUM

TEMPERATURES AT OR BELOW FREEZING. THEY ARE NOW LISTED AT THE BOTTOM

OF THE PRODUCT.

THE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE AT JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA LAST FRIDAY ONLY

REACHED 34 DEGREES...ENDING THEIR STREAK OF CONSECUTIVE DAYS AT 32

OR BELOW AT 6. ALTHOUGH THE RECORD OF CONSECUTIVE DAYS OF 32 OR

BELOW WAS NOT MET AT JACKSONVILLE...A NEW RECORD FOR CONSECUTIVE

DAYS OF 34 DEGREES OR BELOW CONTINUES...AND NOW STANDS AT 13 DAYS

FROM JANUARY 2ND THROUGH THE 14TH. THE PREVIOUS RECORD OF 9

CONSECUTIVE DAYS WERE SET IN JANUARY 2001 AND JANUARY 1977.

THE MOST RECENT EVENT WITH SUCH LONG LASTING COLD TEMPERATURES WAS

IN THE WINTER OF 2000-2001 WHEN A WEEK LONG PERIOD OF SUB-FREEZING

TEMPERATURES WAS SEEN FROM LATE DECEMBER INTO EARLY JANUARY.

WITH THE ARCTIC AIRMASS MODIFYING OVER THE REGION...TONIGHT WILL SEE

MINIMUM TEMPERATURES IN THE MIDDLE 30S TO MIDDLE 40S ACROSS MOST OF

THE REGION...ALTHOUGH A FEW COLDER LOCATIONS ACROSS INLAND SOUTHEAST

GEORGIA MAY FALL TO NEAR FREEZING.

THE RECORDS FOR CONSECUTIVE DAYS WITH 32 DEGREES OR LESS AT LOCAL

CLIMATE SITES ARE LISTED BELOW...

JACKSONVILLE, FLORIDA...8 DAYS...JANUARY 17-24, 1977

OLD...GAINESVILLE, FLORIDA...9 DAYS...DECEMBER 16-24, 1960

NEW...GAINESVILLE, FLORIDA...13 DAYS...JANUARY 2-14, 2010

OLD...ALMA, GEORGIA...11 DAYS...DECEMBER 16-26, 1960

NEW...ALMA, GEORGIA...13 DAYS...JANUARY 2-14, 2010

OLD...ST SIMONS ISLAND, GEORGIA...8 DAYS...DEC 29 TO JAN 5, 2001

NEW...ST SIMONS ISLAND, GEORGIA...12 DAYS...JAN 3-14, 2010

$$

HESS/DEESE

And something equally unique, freezing fog in Florida as reported by NWS Jacksonville:

Freezing Fog Event:  January 14, 2010

Angie Enyedi, NWS Jacksonville

An unusual freezing fog event happened this morning across portions of the Jacksonville County Warning Area (CWA).  Freezing fog is defined as a suspension of numerous minute ice crystals in the air, or water droplets at temperatures below 0 ° C, based at the Earth’s surface, which reduces horizontal visibility.  Freezing fog is also called ice fog.

This morning a ridge of high pressure was centered over coastal South Carolina and coastal Southeast Georgia. A light and shallow northeast flow filtered over much of the Jacksonville CWA around this ridge.  The moist and stable layer extended to about 400 feet above ground level (Figure 1, 12Z KJAX Sounding), then the airmass was significantly drier however strong subsidence remained in place.

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/images/jax/events/fzfg_011410/fzfg.gif

Click image to enlarge

Temperatures fell below freezing around midnight at the Jacksonville International Airport (JIA). The ambient temperature was around 32 ° F and dew point 31 ° F. Through 8 am local time (about 9 hours), the temperature at JIA remained below freezing with dew point depressions of only 1 ° F.  Calm winds and passing thin cirrus allowed almost ideal radiational cooling conditions to much of the CWA.

Freezing fog was reported from Alma, Georgia to Gainesville, Florida. Much of the observations were reported across northwest Duval County where moderate moisture advection combined with cold temperatures (Figure 2, MSAS surface analysis).

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/images/jax/events/fzfg_011410/msas.gif

Click image to enlarge

Sometimes freezing fog can settle on surfaces and create ice patches.  A special weather statement was issued early this morning to alert motorists of this potential hazard.

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Fred from Canuckistan . . .

I think my dreams of one day owning an Orange grove up here in Canuckistan are ended. I was planning on turning my outdoor rink area into an orange cash crop.
I was so hoping the global warming thingy was real.

Antonio San

OT: Great post by Pielke Sr about the Menne paper…
We are awaiting anthony’s blast…

imapopulist

Boy did I time that cruise right! But on return, I lost my backyard citrus trees here is Tampakistan.

Rhys Jaggar

Our cold snap in the UK is just coming to an end and the BBC global weather forecasts imply, rightly or wrongly, that Florida will warm up in the next 5 days.
Any linkages there or just a fluke this year??

Steve Goddard

Fred, your disappointment is shared on the other side of the pond. The Guardian promised that England would become a Mediterranean climate.
According to Monbiot, frequent cold spells are weather – but rare warm spells are climate. Last warm spell was seven years ago, in 2003.

JonesII

Time to migrate southwards ducks!.
Surprising quote “This is the longest stretch ever in 100 years of record keeping.
That’s the problem!, you didn’ t hide the decline as ordered !

Henry chance

We are having trouble financing our banana plantation in Colorado.
I red where some consider the cooling caused by warming created the earthquake. I do examine voodoo in Haiti is similar to voodoo in the CAGW hysteria.

John F. Hultquist

“This is the longest stretch ever in 100 years of record keeping.”
Who’s record keeping? Hasn’t anyone tried to reconstruct the historical temperatures in Florida? There must be a few records, a tree they could core, or a stalactite they could dissect. Having based the world’s liberty and well-being on a tree in Siberia maybe there ought to be at least one effort to compare the results to a place such as Florida.

Dave F

Global warming will cause scorching temperatures, which is caused by man changing the climate!!!! Except for when it doesn’t when it is overrun by weather.
Global warming will cause ice to be a thing of the past, because we will have a new climate!!! Except for the occasional freeze, which is just natural variation.
Global warming will lead to hardships for many in Peru, where they are freezing to death because all the warmth is migrating south to Bolivia!!! These extreme weather events will become more common in a warmer world!!! And more will perish at the hands of ice and fire!!! Doom, I say!!!
DOOM!!!!
–End sarcastic soothsaying–

Ray

Fred from Canuckistan . . . (10:10:00) :
Come to the West Coast… it’s steaming here!!!

Severian

I used to cave dive up in the Branford/High Springs area a lot a couple of decades ago. Great caves and springs, and we always dove in winter there, mainly because it was the place to go get wet when the ocean was too rough and cold during winter. I’ve never seen it this cold for as long a time as this year.
The 72 deg spring water sure feels warm to you when it’s 17 deg out with a stiff wind though.

Alan S

But how can the hottest year Evaa be setting new 100 year records?
Roll up, Roll up, get you genetically modified frost resistant Orange saplings here! Oh and in the short term buy orange juice futures.

Bernice

The figure of 100 years is based on raw data.
It will be the warmest winter in Florida once NASA researchers are done.

How are CRU, NOAA, NASA et al going to hide this decline?

John G

I live in NW Florida. I take my dog for a walk every morning. Today was the first day we’ve started out at an above freezing temperature this year, 34F. It’s supposed to hit 60F today which is about average for here this time of year. The highs have only been getting into the low 40s sort of where the lows ought to be.

Indiana Bones

Fred from Canuckistan . . . (10:10:00) :
I think my dreams of one day owning an Orange grove up here in Canuckistan are ended.

You may want to consider one of the many Shaved Ice franchises springing up all over the NH… The weather is challenging the Florida slogan: “Keep Florida Green.”
A bit OT check out the David Klein’s illustration in the Journal’s article on faltering Cap n’ Trade Down Under. The first paragraph sets the world stage well:
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703652104574651610217495546.html

Myron Mesecke

If we are starting a long term cooling trend we all are going to be wishing that the warming thingy was real.
Maybe I should plan for an outdoor rink area here in Texas.

kadaka

Will they now declare the iguana an endangered species due to habitat loss from Climate Change? Florida is getting too cold for them. They listed the polar bear as such since Climate Change was taking away the Arctic ice. Seems only fair now that Climate Change is making too much Florida ice.
Don’t you wish Climate Change would make up its mind?

JP

At least the AO index is on its way back to positive terrirtory. With a resumption of El Nino influenced weather patterns, perhaps this will be the last blast for the winter season.

Sam Lau

Just an update also from the East Asia Monsoon Area, things will start out pretty warm in the next two to three days as the cold air still accumulate in Siberia. Then a big thing start comming out in NorthWest China, with numerical forecast the Siberian High reaching 1065+hPa. Cold air mass will move SW into Central China and the current forecast is that ALL of China except the NorthEast will have temperature significantly lower than normal, probably for one week if not longer, and may hit the news headline again. Korea and Japan will be near normal under the current forecast.
Percipitation is the only thing remain unsettled in the forecast, but freezing rain and snow is an option to Southern China, making 2008-type of South China snowness a possibility.

Tarnsman

“Analysis of the sun’s varying activity in the last two millennia indicates that contrary to the IPCC’s speculation about man-made global warming as high as 5.8° C within the next hundred years, a long period of cool climate with its coldest phase around 2030 is to be expected. It is shown that minima in the 80 to 90-year Gleissberg cycle of solar activity, coinciding with periods of cool climate on Earth, are consistently linked to an 83-year cycle in the change of the rotary force driving the sun’s oscillatory motion about the centre of mass of the solar system. As the future course of this cycle and its amplitudes can be computed, it can be seen that the Gleissberg minimum around 2030 and another one around 2200 will be of the Maunder minimum type accompanied by severe cooling on Earth. This forecast should prove skillful as other long-range forecasts of climate phenomena, based on cycles in the sun’s orbital motion, have turned out correct as for instance the prediction of the last three El Niños years before the respective event.
We need not wait until 2030 to see whether the forecast of the next deep Gleissberg minimum is correct. A declining trend in solar activity and global temperature should become manifest long before the deepest point in the development. The current 11-year sunspot cycle 23 with its considerably weaker activity seems to be a first indication of the new trend, especially as it was predicted on the basis of solar motion cycles two decades ago. As to temperature, only El Niño periods should interrupt the downward trend, but even El Niños should become less frequent and strong. ”
~Dr. Theodor Landscheidt 2004
Seems the good doctor’s prediction back in 2004 is beginning to manifest itself. Question is how deep is the trough going to be in 2030 and how steep the decline into it is it going be. Going to be interesting to say the least.

Leon Palmer

Despite the cold NH , has anybody been watching the AMSU Daily Earth Temperatures from Satellites site?
http://discover.itsc.uah.edu/amsutemps/execute.csh?amsutemps
Click on 2007, 2008, for reference years before drawing the plot. Jan 2010 looks to be hotter than Jan 2007…

jorgekafkazar

Fred, I was planning on having a beachfront home here in Arizona. Alas, it was all a hoax. Sniff.

Joe

Now is the time, finally, for MY dream… ICE SURFING!!!

Not Amused

I wonder how many Floridians are still buying into the global warming crap now…
I’m willing to wager the numbers have dropped.
*snicker snicker*

rbateman

So much for Global Warming forecast from the 3 Modeleers.
The next big story in this parade of unfortunate circumstances is the 2-3 weeks of storms set to strike California with a hammer blow.
If that is correct, then there is going to be another notch in the belt of great water events that this State is famous for. And don’t you believe that it’s Global Warming, because we had one in the early 1860’s that has never been topped since. They call it the “Inland Sea”. We have not lost a reservoir in the Sierras since 1963, when Hell Hole Res. on the Rubicon failed. After the reports of Homeland Security playing at the water-release controls, there is suspicion that some have sustained critical internal damage. Any Calif. resident should remember the fiasco at Folsom Dam where one of the gates sprung open and they had to empty the lake to fix it.
People who had no business running the system were playing ‘panic dump’ by operating the gates well beyond design limits, and that is what I call Anthropogenic forcing.

Frank

Coldest in 100 years.
Deepest solar minimum in 100 years.
Coincidence?
Only if you’re a warmist.

Dr A Burns

People should not be concerned about the cold. CRU/NASA will adjust and correct it so that it seems much warmer.

Fred from Canuckistan . . .

Meanwhile, how to scam a scam . . . Mann gets $500k from Stimulus funding to carry on hiding declines etc .
Hide the Job Decline: $500k in Stimulus Funds to ClimateGate Professor
by Mike Flynn
The American Reinvestment and Recovery Act (the Stimulus Bill) has been such an epic failure, that even the mainstream media has started to notice. The White House has tacitly acknowledged this and recently announced that it would no longer ‘count’ jobs ‘created or saved’ by the Stimulus. The basic problem is that the bulk of the spending went to programs or projects that have nothing to do with economic growth.
The latest example of this is a $500,000 grant to Michael Mann, Professor at Penn State University and unintended co-star of the ClimateGate e-mail scandal. The leaked e-mails revealed collaboration among scientists to stifle dissenting views on the extent of man-made global warming.
Mann is also the creator of the “Hockey Stick” graph, which purported to show a sharp increase in recent temperatures. That work has been thoroughly discredited by researcher Stephen McIntyre. Yet, in June 2009, the National Science Foundation awarded Mann a three-year $500,000 to further study the climate’s response to human activity. According to the grant award:
The broader impacts involve supporting postdoctoral scholars and graduate students and contributing to the understanding of abrupt climate change.
So, the research is supposed to give us a better ‘understanding of abrupt climate change.’ Mind you, the research isn’t to determine whether there is abrupt climate change occurring. Given that Mann is known for using “tricks” to finesse his data, the National Science Foundation will not be pleased with the results.
Actually, this particular grant is special, even by the low-bar set by other spending. Most of the Stimulus funds are simply wasted with no real impact on the overall economy. However, Mann’s “research” will presumably be used to further justify cap-and-trade legislation or other draconian regulatory actions. Either of these will have a very negative impact on the economy, retarding growth for years to come.
We may be paying for this $500,000 for a very long time.

JonesII

All those polar bears in risk of being extinct must be sent to Florida right now. Call Al Baby to send his limousines to transport them.

Galen Haugh

Joe (11:39:00) :
Now is the time, finally, for MY dream… ICE SURFING!!!
—-
Reply: Here in Idaho we call it snowboarding.

Neo

OK. Now when the folks at NOAA, or NASA try to tell people that this is one of the warmest winters of the last fifty years .. be prepared to be chased with pitchforks

cold hot

Can you imagine how much colder it would be without global warming? Also global warming will cause these cold spells to become less frequent. /sarc

M White

“The Guardian promised that England would become a Mediterranean climate.”
http://www.otterfarm.co.uk/
“The Otter Farm blog is a window into what’s happening at the UK’s only climate change farm – where we’ve planting olives, peaches, pecans, persimmons, apricots, szechuan pepper, vines and much more.”
Not quite Florida.

Pofarmer

Yeah, but the Global adjusted temps will be .09 above “normal” for January, so, it’s all good.

Harold Ambler

Joe (11:39:00) :
Now is the time, finally, for MY dream… ICE SURFING!!!

Surfing in ice, I can attest, is a chilling experience. As a Rhode Island surfer for 11 years (before moving to Texas), I have surfed during microbursts of snow many times (I didn’t actually paddle out during a Noreaster too often, although I have done so). Have also surfed when the ocean water had patches of frozen slushy in it, particularly during the winter of ’99-’00. The slush, as you would expect, slows down your board. On the other hand, watching snow melt in the sea beside one’s surfboard is very calming.

Ron de Haan
rbateman

Global Warming causes Global Cooling: How this works….
What warms up must cool down.
What they aren’t telling us is that they didn’t predict when it would cool down, they didn’t predict it would get this cold this long. They hindcast it.
Now they wish for you to believe that they can predict when it will warm up.
When that doesn’t work out for them they will hindcast once again.
Does the world really want to hold thier breath over these ‘Day after Tomorrowers’ ?
The forecast is in the mail.

rigel

I’ve been watching the Great Lakes Ice Coverage for several weeks and it is running way behind the amout of ice coverage at this time last year. i was expecting it to be equal or greater. At this rate, it doesn’t seem like the lakes will freeze over this year.

layne Blanchard

Wasn’t Rohm just snickering the other day that there was no impending Maunder? Spoken a bit early I suspect….

Indiana Bones

Cold weather is bringing on more doubts about AGW from bigger and bigger players. Wednesday’s NY Times reports a U.S. insurance industry worried they may be bamboozled by phony climate change claims:
“…e-mails show that a close-knit group of the world’s most influential climate scientists actively colluded to subvert the peer-review process … manufactured pre-determined conclusions through the use of contrived analytic techniques; and discussed destroying data to avoid government freedom-of-information requests.”
http://www.nytimes.com/cwire/2010/01/13/13climatewire-insurance-group-says-stolen-e-mails-show-ris-91554.html
Note the CYA “Stolen” in title. I’ll take a Big Gulp with that large popcorn an’ extra butter flavor.

john pattinson

More from from “the weather is only weather world”
http://www.time.com/time/world/article/0,8599,1876299,00.html

Gary Pearse

Returned from a holiday in the Dominican Republic on Jan11th. While Florida across to TX were getting frost and snow, DR had a cool rainy spell for about 4 days and I understand Cuba had some record cool days.

Ray

I’m surprised they don’t give the temperature in Kelvin… it would always sound like it’s very hot everywhere.

kadaka

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
815 AM EST THU JAN 14 2010
(…)
THE RECORDS FOR CONSECUTIVE DAYS WITH 32 DEGREES OR LESS AT LOCAL CLIMATE SITES…

Weather is not Climate! Didn’t they get the memo?
And why are they reporting about Georgia? We have polar bears to save! Since when does Alma matter?

Tom in Florida

I posted this on Tips& Notes a couple of days ago, seems appropriate here:
“The results are in. The Gulf of Mexico water off of Venice Florida hit 49.6 degrees F this morning (1/13). This is the lowest recorded water temperature since the current equipment was placed in the water in 1986. So, can someone explain how the water temperature can get this low if CO2 has been steadily increasing the SSTs for the last 30 years. It does, however, show that air temperature can raise and lower SST very quickly as two days ago the temperature of the Gulf in this area was 52 degrees. The next few days are forecast to be near or above 70F and I will expect the water temp to increase several degrees along with the air temp increase.”

John from MN

I don’t know what the big thing is Orange Juice Comes frozen in cardboard cans. Now they can skip a process and safe the cardboard……..oh boy think of the carbon footprint we will reduce……yeaaaaaa the world is saved……..John.

JonesII

Neo (12:11:57) :Wanna see it. Can’t believe you chickens!

RobP

rigel (12:25:41) :
“I’ve been watching the Great Lakes Ice Coverage for several weeks and it is running way behind the amout of ice coverage at this time last year. i was expecting it to be equal or greater. At this rate, it doesn’t seem like the lakes will freeze over this year.”
It hasn’t been particularly cold in Canada as I think we’ve been the recipient of the negative AO to some extent with the cold air being pushed down to the US. Also, November was a bit warmer than normal (here in southern Ontario anyway). I’d hang on a while to make predictions on the Great Lakes ‘cos I suspect they have ‘lost’ a lot of heat in shipping all that snow southwards and there is time yet for the weather patterns to change.
Rob (in Ottawa where they have just opened the Rideau Canal for skating – maybe a couple of days later that usual, but not so as we would notice)

George E. Smith

Well if you follow fishing blogs instead of climate blogs, you will see reports of hundreds of Tarpon, Snook, Bonefish, Barracudas, Redfish, and Sea trout, as well as other Florida marine game species floating around dead in the cold ocean waters. Then of course there are turtles and other critters hit by the cold.