Next time somebody tries to tell you hurricane Sandy was an "unprecedented" East Coast hurricane, show them this

All one need to do to explode the memes that paid political activists Bill McKibben and Brad Johnson are pushing is to look at a history book. In this case, WeatherBELL’s Joe Bastardi points us to NOAA’s National Hurricane Center history book:

Source: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/images/tracks/majors_1951_1960.jpg

Joe says via Twitter:

Track of major hurricanes, 1951-1960..for the record: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/images/tracks/majors_1951_1960.jpg … How would you like that period (54-60) pic.twitter.com/mIfH8CGt

And…

So what were those 6 IN TWO YEARS ( 5 majors)??? CAROL, EDNA, HAZEL, CONNIE,DIANE IONE, Nothing even CLOSE on east coast since then

Along the same lines of looking at history, what was the CO2 level then? The Keeling Curve tells us:

Source: http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/ccgg/trends/

Looks like the CO2 level was less than 310ppm prior to 1958, when the data begins.

So here’s the question, if 350 ppm is the “safe” level as defined by activists Dr. James Hansen and Bill McKibben how did all those hurricanes happen back then?

From http://www.350.org/en/node/48

Regarding the last question, we are only doomed if we continue to listen to opportunists like Bill McKibben that try to spin fear of climate (aka Tabloid Climatology) into every weather event now.

h/t to Tom Nelson

In related news, see why the sea floor geography increased the storm surge, as Dr. Roger Pielke Jr. explains:

New York City is particularly vulnerable to storm surge because of a geographic characteristic called the New York Bight.

See the full post here

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dwright
November 2, 2012 2:09 pm

Also know as Manufactured Consent.
Their desperation is showing like dirty underwear after a 2 week bender.
It happened, but no one wants to admit the fact…
Dale

Vince Causey
November 2, 2012 2:15 pm

I am equally baffled as to where the term “frankenstorm” came from. I assumed it was invented by HuffPo or Hansens, but I read somewhere that it was from NASA, which is strange considering the modest windspeeds. Perhaps they were referring to the huge area covered by Sandy. Those sat images looked like something out of “Day after tomorrow”, or the cover of Al Gores latest book.

clipe
November 2, 2012 2:21 pm

Canadian perspective
http://www.ec.gc.ca/Hurricane/default.asp
Copy, paste and affix to URL in address bar:
?lang=En&n=1B2964ED-1
Looks like: http://www.ec.gc.ca/Hurricane/default.asp?lang=En&n=1B2964ED-1

November 2, 2012 2:29 pm

The history of storms that do damage in the MidAtlantic to the Northeast goes back even further than the 50’s and we have photographic evidence of them. Here is a series of photos of Ocean City Md. after the Great Chesapeake Hurricane of 1933:
http://www.baltimoresun.com/news/maryland/eastern-shore/bal-1933storm-pg,0,6378003.photogallery
Look at those photos and you see great similarity to what happened to the coastal towns of NJ.

November 2, 2012 2:35 pm

Next time somebody tries to tell you hurricane Sandy was an “unprecedented” , show them this

Dennis Gaskill
November 2, 2012 2:36 pm

I think “frankenstorm” kinda fits in with a Halloween theme; we have to have a theme don’t we?
No real information was forthcoming from the lame stream Media.
Hysteria and Hype!

Werner Brozek
November 2, 2012 2:44 pm

Whatever the motivations behind Mayor Michael Bloomberg’s decision to cite Sandy and climate change as a reason for his endorsement of President Obama, it has the effect of relocating responsibility for Sandy’s devastation from NYC City Hall to Washington, DC.
Why stop there? In the U.S., emissions fell.
See http://wattsupwiththat.com/2012/06/05/usa-co2-emissions-fall-7-7/
In China, they went up.
See http://wattsupwiththat.com/2012/07/06/co2-emissions-china-is-the-big-hockey-stick-in-the-room/
Now exactly what does Bloomberg expect from Obama? Does he expect Obama to spend tens of billions to reduce CO2 which will do nothing or does he expect him to spend billions wisely by helping New York build systems that will protect the city from the effects of future storms?

John Robertson
November 2, 2012 2:48 pm

Interesting looking at other images showing hurricanes/storms hitting the US during the period 1931 through 2010 – simply change the dates on the link (consistent ten year period xxx1 to xxy0 only)
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/images/tracks/majors_1951_1960.jpg
to the ten year period you are interested in, so for 1991 – 2000 change to:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/images/tracks/majors_1991_2000.jpg
1951 to 1960 is certainly the greatest number of landfall hurricanes in that period by far!

john
November 2, 2012 3:13 pm

And when non-union crews come in to restore power, this happens.
http://www.waff.com/story/19981857/decatur-utilities-crews-home-after-issues-with-union

clipe
November 2, 2012 3:27 pm

In 1995 JLK was contracted to conduct a study that would help explain the observed record of cooling at stations in coastal eastern Canada and western Greenland. A relationship between this trend and variability of the Canadian Polar Trough was discovered and a new 50 kPa index called the Baffin Island – West Atlantic Index was introduced. A co-authored paper was published and the work was presented to the 20th Climate Diagnostics Workshop in October, 1995.
http://www.library.ubc.ca/archives/u_arch/knox.doc

November 2, 2012 3:38 pm

Vince Causey says:
November 2, 2012 at 2:15 pm
I am equally baffled as to where the term “frankenstorm” came from. I assumed it was invented by HuffPo or Hansens, but I read somewhere that it was from NASA, which is strange considering the modest windspeeds. Perhaps they were referring to the huge area covered by Sandy. Those sat images looked like something out of “Day after tomorrow”, or the cover of Al Gores latest book.

The motivation for the term was the idea that Sandy would merge with two other weather systems heading eastward, creating a monster storm cobbled together from different sources, the way Frankenstein was created from parts of different people’s bodies.

November 2, 2012 3:41 pm

I’m not even entertaining the notion of hurricanes being caused by human activity, in whatever way or even who ever says they are. I’m actually considering sitting all this nonsense out until the fever breaks, election fever that is. But it’s just so fascinating, who knows?

November 2, 2012 3:46 pm

BTW, Frankenstein was the creator of the monster, and just like AGW creating a “frankenstorm” it is pure fiction.

November 2, 2012 4:04 pm

Sparks says: November 2, 2012 at 3:46 pm
……….
Nope.
The AGWs thought their Christmas came early, so they named it after Frankincense and myrrh
🙂 (sarc off)

November 2, 2012 4:15 pm

The claim I hear is that Sandy is “unprecedented” for because of size and coming this late in October. One can look at the hurricanes in October for the 1800 and 1900s and see that isn’t accurate, but I think that is what drove the concept of the “Frankenstorm”

November 2, 2012 4:18 pm

What’s “unprecedented” about Sandy is the attempts to cash in on it.
(Oh wait. I forgot Katrina. Maybe we need a “Cash in on it/Political Hay” scale for hurricanes from now on.)

clipe
November 2, 2012 4:24 pm

1925-2
Storm #2 began on November 29, 1925 in the Caribbean Sea. This storm contained winds of 156 km/h (85 knots) at its maximum strength making it a category two storm. Storm #2 entered the CHC Response Zone on December 3rd as it was weakening into a tropical storm. It brought winds of km/h (40 knots) to the CHC Response Zone. Storm #2 later dissipated on December 4th and did not cause any damage in Canada.

http://www.ec.gc.ca/Hurricane/default.asp
?lang=en&n=A170B8D0-1

November 2, 2012 4:29 pm

I wounder if the rise in CO2 is the cause of the recent rise in obesity? It correlates.
REPLY: or, said another way…”does this trace gas make me look fat?” – Anthony

RockyRoad
November 2, 2012 4:30 pm

Here’s a flood of a different nature that was man-made:
http://news.investors.com/photopopup.aspx?id=632002

David Ball
November 2, 2012 4:31 pm

It is extremely entertaining to watch the contortionists spin their way out of documented “precedence”. You really have to be creative to pretend a storm like this has never happened in this way ever before. Stitch a bunch of poorly linked pieces together.
I guess this is what is needed to re-animate the corpse of CAGW. Frankenstorm might be more apropos than I first thought.

November 2, 2012 5:07 pm

Dennis Nikols says:
November 2, 2012 at 4:29 pm
I wounder if the rise in CO2 is the cause of the recent rise in obesity? It correlates.
REPLY: or, said another way…”does this trace gas make me look fat?” – Anthony
======================================================================
If CO2 can magnify heat ………………..

Luther Wu
November 2, 2012 5:13 pm

Since Mayor Michael Bloomberg has been touting “Global Warming” since he took office, why has he done nothing to prepare his city for an event such as this?
The reason is simple: Michael Bloomberg could care less. Let the peasants pay for it all.
The only reason he and his elitist peers use the terms “Global Warming” in the first place is because they think that it gives them the air of being hip and cool, since the term has become de rigueur in the upper social circles. Bloomberg and the like are actually less free than many of us, because they must conform to the social edicts of often cruel, yet clueless doyennes who call the shots…
equally laughable and disgusting, really.

Luther Wu
November 2, 2012 5:15 pm

REPLY: or, said another way…”does this trace gas make me look fat?” – Anthony
______________
You talkin’ ’bout that brief methane ballooning in britches?

November 2, 2012 5:23 pm

Sandy became a large-size hurricane (although only Cat-1) in significant part
due to “baroclinic forces”, which are extratropical influence.
Next, Sandy did that strange left turn, due to extratropical influence. I suspect
that may be related to Sandy having hurricane-qualifying winds only in its
southwest quadrant while moving or turning westward, or about to do so.
If not for greatest winds being where they are normally not greatest, and if
Sandy was to be classified on wind strength where winds are normally worst,
Sandy would have been classified as a 70 MPH tropical storm.
The hurricane-qualifying winds were only offshore, only in a not-bad direction
when close to shore should they have hit shore, and may be only indirectly
measured, possibly extrapolated “in ways that count”. Sandy may get altered
in post-season re-analysis, such as what downgraded Irene from hurricane to
tropical storm in its stretch from about Maryland to NYC.
The large wind field size is due to factors related to Sandy officially having
changed from a hurricane to an extratropical cyclone before landfall. So,
Sandy landfell as a bad Nor-Easter. A few of those do have eyes.
New York City had record storm surge – this was a bad storm taking a bad
course for NYC.
I would consider this storm somewhat of a hybrid of post-North-Carolina
Hazel of October 1954, and the 1991 “Hallaween Storm” / “Perfect Storm”.
Hazel landfell around Myrtle Beach, SC and brought hurricane-qualifying
winds all the way to about 70 miles north of Toronto. Hazel was an
extratropical cyclone by the time it got from NC to VA.
Don’t forget Agnes of June 1972.
These storms do not appear to me getting worse. Such freaky storms
are merely infrequent, and now one had to hit NYC in a bad way.
For the record – the highest flooding of the Schuylkill River in Philadelphia
is from the “Saxby Gale” (hurricane) of October 1869. I suspect that
hurricane’s leading rainband merged with or became a frontal boundary,
and extratropical forces assisted a band of heavy rain, fueled by tropical
moisture, to pound badly for a prolonged period of time where it would make
the Schuylkill get to highest in Philadelphia history.

November 2, 2012 5:25 pm

[snip – waaayyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy off topic – Anthony]
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