Guest post by Christopher Horner
Michael Mann has made what will, I expect, prove to be his greatest misjudgment yet. He has filed suit against the Competitive Enterprise Institute (with which I am affiliated), a CEI adjunct, National Review Online and Mark Steyn for libel.
The gist of his claim that negative characterizations of him and his activities are actionable is that he has been “exonerated”. No, he hasn’t.
The truth is he has never even been investigated, and has furiously warded off scrutiny of what he and his allies insisted was the missing “context” explaining away Climategate. This suit, if he continues with it, should put an end to that.
I and my co-counsel encountered this talking point after Mann intervened in litigation against the University of Virginia, seeking to block release of certain public records relating to his tenure there (our judge rightly waived that away as irrelevant to applying the law).
Like so much else in the “climate” realm this claim suffers badly under scrutiny. As I detail, in discussing publicly funded academia’s refusal to self-police, in my new book The Liberal War on Transparency: Confessions of a Freedom of Information “Criminal”.
Exoneration requires investigation; investigation requires pursuit aimed at discovering material facts. Two bodies are actually positioned to pursue and produce such facts. Mann’s employer since 2005 and where he worked when the Climategate leaks occurred, Penn State University, has done no such thing. Neither has the University of Virginia where he worked when first organizing against researchers who were undermining his claims.
Panels in the United Kingdom which Mann often cites, the Muir Russell and Oxburgh inquiries into UK taxpayer-funded operations at the University of East Anglia’s Climatic Research Unit (CRU), did not even purport to address U.S. citizen Mann, or validate his work. They respectively inquired into “aspects of the behaviour of the CRU scientists” [sic, emphasis in original], “allegations about CRU‘s impact on climate science” and “to understand the significance of the roles played by those involved from CRU” (see, “The Independent Climate Change E-mails Review”); and “to assess the integrity of the research published by the Climatic Research Unit in the light of various external assertions” (see, “Report of the International Panel set up by the University of East Anglia to examine the research of the Climatic Research Unit”).
Mann is not and was not with CRU, and was not party to or the subject of those investigations. His role in Muir Russell was limited to submitting comments, like 110 other individuals seeking to influence matters, despite, according to Muir Russell, authoring the second-greatest number of relevant emails. Mann’s name does not even appear in the Oxburgh report purportedly “exonerating” him.
It is worth noting that a UK FOI request helped uncover how the Oxburgh panel operated to cover over dissenting opinion in the ranks. See, e.g., “How Lord Oxburgh of Persil washed the Climategate team whiter than white (pt 2)”.
As regards the PSU fiasco, otherwise-sympathetic Clive Crook in The Atlantic styles the Muir Russell effort as being “equally probing” as Penn State’s, whose contortions he elegantly devastated, piquantly summarizing them as “difficult to parody”.
Further as I discuss in The Liberal War on Transparency, I have documents in which a principal in that effort indicates it was orchestrated from behind the scenes to avoid certain people being asked certain things, presumably because that would make the desired outcome impossible. See also Steve McIntyre, “New Information on the Penn State Inquiry Committee”.
Also, subsequent to Penn State’s report a U.S. Department of Commerce Inspector General managed to interview Eugene Wahl in the context of federal government involvement in Climategate, which PSU incredibly did not. (“Examination of issues related to internet posting of emails from Climatic Research Unit,”, p. 5). Wahl was someone to whom Mann did forward Phil Jones’s (UEA) request that Wahl hide or destroy records. About this, PSU was remarkably incurious, its unexplained decision to not interview Wahl further making a mockery of its supposed inquiry into whether Mann “engage[d] in, or participate[d] in, directly or indirectly, any actions with the intent to delete, conceal or otherwise destroy emails, information and/or data, related to [IPCC] AR4, as suggested by Phil Jones”.
We were not given the opportunity to depose Mann in the UVa case and so are unaware what if any knowledge of this he had at the time or since. We do know that PSU’s effort oddly did not meet the same uproar organized against other efforts to scrutinize the record, for example our various FOI requests. Unlike PSU’s proclaimed instigative tribunal, a simple FOIA request presents no ability to sanction Mann, but only threatens the transparency Mann agreed to as a condition of his employment at UVa. Yet announcement of what proved to be a risibly inept PSU effort, if one nominally with teeth, was greeted with no protest and, we are told, complete cooperation including turning over all requested records. That this behavior is inconsistent is something of an understatement.
The National Science Foundation purported to inquire, as well, but worked (almost entirely) from what PSU provided it. So much for that.
[Update Oct 25, by Chris Horner with thanks to Brian Angliss for inviting this elaboration: It equally failed to conduct a credibly rigorous examination of the evidence and/or key relevant factors. For example, the NSF OIG totally disregarded the findings of the NOAA OIG that Eugene Wahl had destroyed documents immediately upon receiving Mann’s email; Penn State apparently, and incredibly, never asked. Nor did NSF examine or report on whether, despite a conflict of interest, William Easterling had interfered with the Inquiry Committee even after supposedly “recusing” himself, interference which I understand stopped the Inquiry Committee from carrying out its obligation to interview critics, including Stephen McIntyre. Nor did the NSF OIG report directly address any of the contentious issues.]
The special silence, the dog not barking about supposed exoneration is the University of Virginia. Not once has UVA argued that it looked into Mann’s activities occurring on UVA’s watch. In fact, the University apparently was deliberate in its failure to conduct an inquiry. We have been reliably informed that UVA’s Board of Visitors suggested the administration get to the bottom of what transpired on Grounds, only to be rebuffed. The argument they received, we were told, is that the school could not guarantee that the findings would not be made public and as such it could not risk an investigation.
We also wished to depose the University on this matter but were denied the opportunity to confirm this. At our most recent hearing, the University stood and, oddly, denied any claim that the board stopped the administration from inquiring. No one has alleged this.
Regardless, as Mann now seeks to again use the courts to push this claim, the reality is plainly otherwise. Mann has never been credibly investigated. By definition he has therefore not been exonerated. In fact, he and his allies furiously oppose all possible independent inquiries — scrutiny of public, yet still-hidden records providing what they all swear is the missing context that would explain everything away as a big misinterpretation. Only release of UVa and other Climategate-related emails has the potential to actually exonerate the Hockey Team.
Read whatever you wish into their fiercely opposing release of precisely that which supposedly would clear their names. With this latest lawsuit, they may find they have no choice.
Christopher Horner is author of The Liberal War on Transparency: Confessions of a Freedom of Information “Criminal” (Threshold, October 2012).
From: <chornerlaw@aol.com>
To: <awatts@itworks.com>
Subject: Anthony, per this counsel from Steve, would you please update the Mann/investigated post?
Date: Thursday, October 25, 2012 10:12 AM
My thoughts for a response were below, but I am going to go with his “update or ignore”.
Would you mind updating, and it’s obviously fine to note this was updated to resolve a correct statement being read ambiguously, re-characterizing it so as to dismiss the analysis, or something? thx cch
—–Original Message—–
From: Steve McIntyre <smcintyre25@yahoo.ca>
To: chornerlaw <chornerlaw@aol.com>
Sent: Thu, Oct 25, 2012 1:01 pm
Subject: RE: I’ve got a speech I’ve only sketched out, for which I leave in hour and a half…can you look at/comment on this reply?
I’d be inclined to make a slight update to your post, but otherwise not engage. Perhaps something like this:
The National Science Foundation purported to inquire, as well, but worked almost entirely from what PSU provided it. [Update Oct 25, with thanks to Brian Angliss for inviting this elaboration: It equally failed to conduct a credibly rigorous examination of the evidence and/or key relevant factors. For example, the NSF OIG totally disregarded the findings of the NOAA OIG that Eugene Wahl had destroyed documents immediately upon receiving Mann’s email; Penn State apparently, and incredibly, never asked. Nor did NSF examine or report on whether, despite a conflict of interest, William Easterling had interfered with the Inquiry Committee even after supposedly “recusing” himself, interference which I understand stopped the Inquiry Committee from carrying out its obligation to interview critics, including Stephen McIntyre. Nor did the NSF OIG report directly address any of the contentious issues.] So much for that.
From: chornerlaw@aol.com [mailto:chornerlaw@aol.com]
Sent: October-25-12 12:26 PM
To: smcintyre25@yahoo.ca
Subject: I’ve got a speech I’ve only sketched out, for which I leave in hour and a half…can you look at/comment on this reply?
And add to/improve as you see appropriate, thx:
A Brian Angliss at ScholarsandRogues takes umbrage at my guest post on WUWT detailing the spectacularly overblown nature of claims that Michael Mann has been exonerated, which requires being properly investigated. Specifically, he objects to this statement:
The National Science Foundation purported to inquire, as well, but worked from what PSU provided it. So much for that.
This statement is true, as the NSF document we both reference notes. I suppose NSF “purporting to inquire” is opinion, dependent upon one’s assessment of the effort’s scope and rigor. That they worked from what PSU provided them is disputed by no one. Angliss says “This is demonstrably false”.
To support this Angliss restates what I wrote, by implication, to charge at a strawman and declare it false: I apparently deny “that the OIG’s investigation went beyond the information provided to the OIG by Penn State.” I do not and did not deny it, but linked to the document saying as much.
For example, information I possess indicates that PSU panelists were instructed from behind the scenes to not interview Steve McIntyre, who was in fact interviewed by NSF (although neither report draws attention to its respective ignorance of or consultation McIntyre).
Angliss slays this allegation never made with aplomb. Allow me to rephrase for him and see which turn his umbrage takes: NSF began with (“worked from”) what PSU provided them. It was facially deficient, as Clive Crook among others noted to devastating effect. For example, on its face it was incredible that PSU did not interview McIntyre. Which NSF apparently agreed. They should have written about that interview. It would help support concerns about its rigorousness.
Regardless, mischaracterizing what I wrote to then say that mischaracterization is knowingly false or spreading false rumors is advocacy, not analysis. In fact, in his effort Angliss becomes what he deplores.
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Get the beer and popcorn ready, this one is going to be an interesting one to watch.
The Popcorn Song
Dr. Mann will soon loath discovery requests and depositions.
PSU’s proclaimed instigative tribunal….
Hmm. : > )
Is there a defense fund?
“The gist of his claim that negative characterizations of him and his activities are actionable is that he has been “exonerated”.”
No. His claim has nothing to do with any “exoneration”. If someone calls him a paedophile, they are libelling him. End of.
Tell me,Chris,what’s not defamatory and injurious about Simberg’s and Steyn’s words?
Tell me how publishing “Mann could be described as the Jerry Sandusky of climate science” is not intended to defame?
Tell me how the fact that Mann has “not been fully investigated” relevant to the findings of investigations that have exonerated him? Mann is not claiming to have been exonerated by hypothetical investigations that have not been made,has he?
How is your personal opinion of the credibility of any investigations that did directly or indirectly concern Mann relevant in court to the matters in the complaint?
@JC
No. His claim has nothing to do with any “exoneration”. If someone calls him a paedophile, they are libelling him. End of.
If purposely pedaling pompous propaganda to adults and children alike is not pedophilia, what is?
If it is, how is the Mann different from Big Bird?
Nick says:
October 23, 2012 at 9:05 pm
Easy. You first have to show Mann’s reputation rises above that of Jerry Sandusky. (Jerry’s name will forever give a negative impression, as will Mann’s–and Mann may wish his reputation RISES to that of Jerry’s when his global impact is calculated.)
Same with your other points, Nick.
Clive Cook’s claim the “Penn States contortions are….difficult to parody” has been refutted. Please visit the Canada Free Press archives, or my website for….
“Hockey Stickery Doc”….and….”Penn Panel Limbos Under the Hockey Stick”
A refreshing look at of those whitewash players and events….and not surprising….
the post-Sandusky Penn has fewer contortions.
Shades of Piltdown Mann
JC says:
October 23, 2012 at 8:41 pm
No. His claim has nothing to do with any “exoneration”. If someone calls him a paedophile, they are libelling him. End of.
Nick says:
October 23, 2012 at 9:05 pm
Tell me how publishing “Mann could be described as the Jerry Sandusky of climate science” is not intended to defame?
To JC and Nick. In the US speaking the truth can never be considered libel, defamatory or injurious.
Since Mann went PSU and was investgated just as sandusty was(and cleared) its going to be a pretty huge huddle for them too show libel or anything else. They will have to pretty much prove that global warming is real in court. Then prove that Mann’s research is legit. Its pretty much impossible for them to do either in any reasonable court. The fact that Mann’s work has already had a great amount of doubt case on it through a number of sources. On top of that should the lawyers get really indepth with the PSU review this could in fact cause huge problems at PSU. If its shown that not only to PSU cover up for sandusty but used similar processes when dealing with Mann and pattern of misconduct. This pattern of misconduct would effect not only Mann and PSU but people suing over sandusty and possibly many other cases.
This trial may well bring PSU to court in a host of ways possibly even taking the college down. Cases like this can have such a wide effect and depending on how the lawyers in this case work with others such as the people suing sandusty you may well see the end of PSU.
Wonderful Christopher. Great to see people standing up for integrity.
JC says: October 23, 2012 at 8:41 pm
“The gist of his claim that negative characterizations of him and his activities are actionable is that he has been “exonerated”.”
No. His claim has nothing to do with any “exoneration”. If someone calls him a paedophile, they are libelling him. End of.
No, As I recall, he was compared to fellow Penn Stater Jerry Sandusky, I’m sure Dr Mann compares favorably to Jerry Sandusky, so no case.
Mann may be safe yet. If a very narrow view is taken of his dispute, you may not be able to bring up anything other than he created something with which you/we disagree. The NIWA vs Coalition in New Zealand should be reviewed carefully. That case strikes me as proving that the court does not need to address the essence of the case but only the narrowest of points.
If Mann is to be guilty of fraud, misrepresentation or other types of malfeance wrt the Hockey Stick, I suggest he has to be found to have:
1. used an inadequate data selection, culling and modification technique that is,
2. generally recognized as not just preferred but required,
3. known about this technique and been able to use it,
4. chose not to use it because
5. he knew that the results of using it would give a result different from and antagonistic to
6. a conclusion he decided should be obtained because
7. that conclusion would support an agenda that
8. he had irrespective of the results of the temperature profile now known as the Hockey Stick.
The only point at which misrepresentation or its worse variety becomes real is one at which Mann, with knowledge aforethought brings forth a profile to support a conclusion that he knows is not tenable. As long as he had a reasonable, even if subjective, choice in techniques, even with a concurrent agenda or other set of beliefs wrt CAGW, then he had the legitimate, scientific right to conduct his analysis the way he did. This does not make the Hockety Stick “correct”, but, without an understanding that he acted contrary to what he knew to be a “better” way, Mann would be guilty of only a bad scientific process, not criminality.
The Hockey Stick was accepted by the IPCC which was, at the time at least, considered to be a highly reputable organization. What he created was not only accepted by the IPCC but by many other leading scientists as well, Phil Jones included. I cannot see any way that he could be said to be a rogue scientist; again, guilty of bad scientific technique, or even having an ego that refuses to recognize that his work has been “superceded” by the work of others, but not of illegitimately or fraudulently perverting data for conscious, private gain.
A fiercely held opinion of a subjectively determined, small-scale study of a large-scale phenomenon is not illegal nor reprehensible – and certainly not unprecedented (or even abnormal). The Climategate e-mails suggest Mann is, at least within e-mail trains, not one tolerant of others or prone to generosity of spirit. Neither are our Prime Ministers and Presidents, however. But to say that someone is a “bad” guy, in that you dislike his behavioural characteristics, is not the same as saying he did a bad thing, and certainly not that he was aware of doing a bad thing before he did it.
The example of Oscar Wilde has been raised, in that OW brought about his own destruction by bringing his detractors to court. The difference is that OW was “guilty” of what he was accused of, and it was easy to prove. What Mann is being accused of was conscious trickery; unless you already have e-mails in which he says, like some mafia wiseguy, that he bumped off the data on purpose to push an anti-carbon philosophy to net him money, fame or girlfriends, you may have trouble making that clear.
Everyone who ever listened to his mother gives the benefit of the doubt to the powerholders if the choice is avaliable. Only a self-destructive contrarian would do otherwise. All Mann has to do is show that, if options were available, he went with the one that the “consensus” would have supported.
Showing that Mann is “lame” is going to be easier than to show that he is accountable for a wrong against the State.
Doug,
While it may be difficult to prove the Dr Mann is a fraud, this is not what the lawsuit is about. Dr. Mann is the plaintiff, it is his burden to prove that he has been (with malice, as he is a public figure) defamed and suffered damage. If he cannot show that the defendants knew his research was correct, or that the various investigations were thorough and did exonerate him, he should not prevail at trial.
As for JC, may I suggest a remedial course in reading for comprehension? The analogy as originally drawn was that Penn State’s investigation of Mann was like their investigation of Sandusky. Since the same guy ran both, this was an obvious comparison. Mr Steyn’s column declines to put the investigations in the same strata of malfeasance (one coverup is of a much, much, much worse offence) but argues that if you are willing to cover for a pedophile to “protect” the institution, you’re probably willing to ignore a few deleted emails.
JC says:
October 23, 2012 at 8:41 pm
“If someone calls him a paedophile, they are libelling him. End of.”
But, nobody did that. The exact quote described Mann as “the Jerry Sandusky of climate science, except that instead of molesting children, he has molested and tortured data in the service of politicized science. Where do you read in that any accusation whatsoever that Mann is a pedophile?
Nick says:
October 23, 2012 at 9:05 pm
“Mann is not claiming to have been exonerated by hypothetical investigations that have not been made,has he?”
Actually, yes, that is precisely what he is doing. Now, maybe you understand our being nonplussed at such a brazen display of chutzpah.
Mark Steyn never compared Mann to Sandusky; he quoted another writer, Rand Simberg, who did. I’m pretty sure one can’t be convicted of libel for quoting someone else.
Regarding the New Zealand case, US law does not consider foreign cases to be precedent.
Doug Proctor says:
October 23, 2012 at 10:00 pm
“If Mann is to be guilty of fraud, misrepresentation or other types of malfeance wrt the Hockey Stick…”
That is not the question in this court case. The question is quite simply whether people can be allowed to express their disagreement with Dr. Mann in print, even in terms which some may consider strident. The Constitution of the United States of America is very clear on the matter: yes, they can.
As they say in Yorkshire – He’s buggered.
Note: this may be a duplicate post, My last went away when I hit Post Comment.
Doug,
While proving that Dr. Mann is a fraud might be difficult, it is not required. As the plaintiff, Dr. Mann must prove that (with malice as he is a public figure) the defendants knew that his research was correct and correctly presented, and that they knew the investigations were thorough and exonerated him. Failing that, his suit should fail. (As most here will admit, the defendants have good reason to believe that the hockey stick is not an accurate representation of either the temperature record or the proxy data ensemble Mann abused in deriving it. Also, of the various investigations, none appear to have been thorough and few considered Dr. Mann as a principle. (Perhaps just the one?)
Perhaps JC should take a remedial course in reading for comprehension. No one in these articles accuses Dr. Mann of a sex crime. The original Sandusky/Mann analogy is an obvious one, given that the same guy ran both Penn State investigations. Mr Steyn declined to put the two in the same strata of malfeasance. (Sandusky was accused of something much.much, much worse.) He argues that one who is willing to cover for a pedophile to “protect” the institution is likely willing to ignore a few deleted emails.
I think you’re right that that could happen. But Mann is running a big risk in betting that it will.
Doug,
You say it will be necessary for Chris Horner et al to prove that Mann used his unprecedented and untested techniques for the purpose of producing controversial conclusions (eg elimination of MWP). That shouldn’t be too difficult.
But then you contend the necessity to also prove that Mann had an agenda “irrespective” of his Hockey Stick results. Why must that be a component of the defence?
What’s interesting about the complaint is that the only facts it alleges to establish “actual malice” are these supposed exonerations, mostly from government bodies. Yet the articles attached to the complaint show that the authors of these articles don’t agree with those “exonerations,” and said why, with links…
So Mann’s position is – you have to believe the government. If you disbelieve them, and believe other people instead, why, then, you’re not telling the truth or you don’t care about the truth.
A sad place indeed for an American liberal to be.
That’s pretty arch,Bart.
Mann has been exonerated of wrongdoings by properly constituted investigations that handed down formal findings. Whether you,I or Chris Horner thinks they were inadequate,insufficient,failed to carry out all the requirements of an investigation, or are wrong or right is irrelevant. The inquiries had status and did not find fraud or misconduct.
The ‘hypothetical investigation’ is part of Chris Horner’s posturing here. Mann can’t be found in breach of Horner’s wishful thinking.
The weight that Mann’s claim of exoneration has for his on the defamation complaint cannot be rejected. A defamation court is not going to instigate the ‘inquiry that shoulda/woulda/coulda been made’ into Mann in order to test or dismiss his right to rely on those investigations already done.
I fail to see the claimed parallel in the claim that Sandusky and Mann were investigated by PSU, and that that is the simple intention of Simberg’s construct.
Sandusky was not formally investigated by a PSU commitee. Mann was.
Sandusky was investigated by the state and found guilty. Mann was neither.
So much for a parallel beyond it involves PSU.
Rhetorically equating Mann’s supposed handling of data with Sandusky’s ajudged handling of children is clearly intended to defame,as it has no other ‘practical’ purpose I can see. It cannot be found to be ‘truth speaking’.