Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach
The Arabunna people live in the area around Lake Eyre in Southern Australia. It is a hot, hostile desert region, which is no surprise, because … well … it’s in Australia. Here’s the general area where they live:
Figure 1. Lake Eyre region in South Australia. Yellow line show the area from 25°-30°S, 135°-140°E
A new report from the University of Everybody-Panic is a study of the horrendous future faced by these poor folks:
The first stage of University of Adelaide research released today shows that South Australia’s Arabunna country, which includes Lake Eyre in the far north, is likely to get both drier and hotter in decades to come.
“Temperatures could increase up to four degrees Celsius in Arabunna country in the next century, threatening the survival of many plants and animals,” says the author of the report, Dr John Tibby from the University of Adelaide’s Discipline of Geography, Environment and Population. SOURCE: PhysOrg
Yes, temperatures “could” increase … and I could win the lottery, but I’m not quitting my day job just yet. Meanwhile, back in the real world, what’s been happening in the Lake Eyre region in the last thirty years? Figure 2 shows the satellite-derived temperature trends for the lower troposphere in the area around Lake Eyre, from both the University of Alabama Huntsville (UAH) and Remote Sensing Services (RSS).
Figure 2. Satellite temperatures for the lower troposphere in the Lake Eyre Region of Southern Australia. Photo shows the approach to Lake Eyre. Temperatures are the average of the region outlined in yellow in Figure 1. All data from KNMI
So … here’s the deal. We have no evidence that the temperatures are rising in the Lake Eyre region. There has been little change in the area temperatures since the satellite records began. Despite that, University of Adelaide professors are selling their fantasies of a terrifying future to the Arabunna, the aboriginal people who live in the area.
Meanwhile, the temperatures in the region are currently lower than they have been in the entire satellite record …
The professors seem to find nothing wrong with scaring the aboriginal people who have lived there for generations. And where do their projections of a 5°C temperature rise originate? Well, as usual, it’s models all the way down, and even the modelers say that their models are useless at the regional level … but despite that, these professors from the University of East Wankerton or wherever it is are more than happy to use these useless models to terrify the local folks.
I find this kind of crying wolf reprehensible, particularly when it is aimed at indigenous people, but hey, that’s just me.
w.
Discover more from Watts Up With That?
Subscribe to get the latest posts sent to your email.
Been saying for some time, that any policy originating from the left is designed to perpupetuate poverty. Lying is no issue to them.
If these policies hit the darkskinned harder, they consider that a bonus.
When the actual current data is found to be bad in terms of support of the hysteria, there are 2 choices. Either adjust the data or go to the forecasts down the road and use them instead of actual data.
The current status of the lake;
http://www.lakeeyreyc.com/Status/latest.html#bottom
It’s not too late to get your entry into this;
Outback Spirit – Lake Eyre Yacht Club Regatta
Lake Killamperpunna, Cooper Creek, 1-6th July 2012
http://www.lakeeyreyc.com/Regatta/RegattaFlyer.pdf
“When we are alarmed with imaginary dangers in respect of the public, till the cry grows quite stale and threadbare, how can it be expected we should know when to guard ourselves against real ones?” – Samual Croxall author, The Boy Who Cried Wolf from The Fables of Aesop and Others
The headline is what they are after. The retraction comes later and is buried. They don’t care because nobody reads that.
I am going to pull part of an earlier comment up here to illustrate why reality and facts and what the science really shows and actual temperatures all seem to fall before the models. Why IPCC doesn’t care if its reports are accurate. Why Gore’s An Inconvenient Truth worked despite the inaccuracies.
The Huxley is Julian Huxley who basically founded UNESCO. These views remain dominant throughout the UN agencies because they foster power and bring money. And when we talk to people in Australia and Africa where people remain very much subject to the whims of nature these UN “development” policies are lethal. Eliminate poverty or allow that to occur and the basis for the fundraising and the bureaucrat’s job is gone. Economist PT Bauer has done some great work on what’s wrong with this grant view of development and what it really incentivizes.
One area of Huxley’s that is vitally important to what is going on now all over the world is his view of culture. This is critical to appreciate now as the social sciences and especially certain theories of psychology, sociology, and anthropology guide everything going on in education, K-12 and higher ed. Instead of the transmitted knowledge and wisdom of the Ages, Huxley and his acolytes see culture much differently. Culture is merely the prevailing behavioral practices, beliefs, and feelings commonly held at any given time.
So if you use bogus science theories to gain research grants to change people’s beliefs and feelings so that they favor the desired public policies you always wanted to implement, you have changed culture. You got the goal you wanted all along. The science doesn’t matter because it was only a means. Intentions and goals are all that matter to these collectivist schemers. And they say so. Means and consequences are irrelevant to them even though they matter so much to us.
But Anthony, it’s not the heat, it’s the stupidity. It burns 🙂
“I find this kind of crying wolf reprehensible, particularly when it is aimed at indigenous people, but hey, that’s just me.”
Hey, me too! I’m indigenous to the USA, and I really hate it when Al Gore spews his alarmist [self snip] at me. My wife doesn’t mind as much; she’s an immigrant. 🙂
University of East Wankerton……genius!
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach:
Yes, temperatures “could” increase … and I could win the lottery, …The professors seem to find nothing wrong with scaring the aboriginal people who have lived there for generations. …these professors from the University of East Wankerton or wherever it is are more than happy to use these useless models to terrify the local folks. I find this kind of crying wolf reprehensible, particularly when it is aimed at indigenous people, but hey, that’s just me.
=======================================================
Very nice article, Willis, but isn’t it time to challenge the global level scaremongers? I mean their calculations of “global warming”.
There is no scientific proof, that all the “methods” used to calculate “global warming” are scientifically correct, including use of so called “proxies”, adjustments, homogenising, temperature reconstructions and assigning temperatures to large areas.
Since when is “evidence” an issue?
Tie the funding of these jokers to the quality of their predictions. If they have to panhandle at age 60 because it didn’t come to pass it will inspire better research in future generations of their profession.
Oh, that’s nothing. In the DFW area, all these weather readers (many of them non-natives) on the local TV stations go bananas when the temps start going above 97. They then start counting how many days above 100 we’ll have. It is ridiculous. People who are non-natives panic and ask the rest of us if we are all going to burn to a crisp. We all assure them that Texans have survived worse than a 100 degree day. I never saw this phenomenon among the rest of Texas, just in the DFW area. We can then expect to hear from the national news in 5, 4, 3, 2, 1: global warming over TX temps. Panic sells, plain and simple.
Alarmists plan to use sea-level ‘projections’ to restrict coastal development and destroy property rights, so they must be planning to use these Australian high-temp scenarios as an excuse to depopulate the region, both to restore it to nature and to create ‘climate refugees’.
The only refugees will be our rights and liberties.
Willis,
I am an Arabunna and really scared. BTW what’s a satellite?
And our Supreme Court just said lying is OK. So what’s the big deal? /sarc
Lake Eyre is a remnant lake formed during the least Ice Age. When Glaciation occurs in middle and high latitudes the climate zones are shifted and squeezed. The one most affected is the High Pressure zone on the poleward side of the Hadley Cell that creates the desert zone, approximately between 15 and 30 degrees of latitude.
Traditional climatology refers to the wet periods coincident with this shift as Pluvials. So when there is a Glacial period in middle and high latitudes there is a Pluvial in the low latitudes and when there is an Interglacial in the middle and high latitudes there is an Interpluvial in the low latitudes.
Lake Eyre, like Lake Chad in North Africa has been shrinking since the end of the last Pluvial period. I remember all the scare stories about Lake Chad disappearing back in the 1980s when desertification and the Sahelian drought were the focus of ignorant alarmists.
I recall massive schemes proposed to divert water from the Congo through the Central African Republic to replenish Lake Chad. Australia has no such option because they are 94 percent desert, although they have diverted water through the Snowy Mountain Range to provide supply to the coastal cities.
I’d just love to see someone from the Arabunna sue that idiot, John Tibby, for causing unecessary fear and panic and therefore violating their Human rights.
It has got to the stage where only legal action will make these charlatans shut up.
IQs will drop sharply in the University of Adelaide’s faculty of Geography, Environment and Population in the next century, threatening the survival of science, if students continue to be taught by Chicken Little, aka Dr John Tibby.
University of East Wankerton
You will have to be more specific Willis – like McDonald’s it has grown into a vast global franchise.
In my essay Ends Means or Justification or Not http://retreadresources.com/blog/?p=976 we look at the philosophical underpinning of the “ends justification for any means needed” kind of thinking. Hit, there is none. There is none in reference to this BS either.
The danger is this: You can fool most of the people some of the time. And if those foolish people vote (like I stupidly did) for some kind of false savior, all kinds of longer lasting damage can occur.
By the will of the people, the president sits for 4 years in the US but can appoint Supreme Court Justices for life. And do not assume this is a comment about the evils of liberalism. A conservative-based law can be signed into our lives that can legally prevent consenting adults the happiness that is their natural right to pursue. Constitutions can be changed to the right or left of your beliefs. And an entire world can be thrown into the modern equivalent of the dark ages.
Maybe that is what it will take before the general population can be jolted awake by their neglect of due diligence. Which is to guard your home and hearth against the tyranny of the very government that wishes to provide benevolence to you, regardless of its leanings and majority rule.
Which leads me to the following paraphrase of wisdom provided by my dear Grandmother: The best government you can have, right or left, conservative or liberal, religious or secular, is this: Bootstraps.
I think I will start a new political party and name it Bootstraps.
Satellite – Very much like a computer model. One that ignores your pet theories and tells you the truth whether you like it or not.
We, the average population of the planet have just missed an opportunity. We could have taken those 45,000 delegates at the Rio+20 gabfest and put them on a suitable island and told them, “Don’t tell us how to live a sustainable life, Show us.” That could have an interesting outcome. Either we, or they, could learn a lot in a couple of years,
Greg House~ If I may ask, where might I find a link to your blog?
No evidence?
http://www.bom.gov.au/cgi-bin/climate/change/trendmaps.cgi?map=tmax&area=aus&season=0112&period=1970