POLL and CONTEST: San Francisco Snow- How long before it gets connected to "global warming, climate change, climate disruption"?

Ah you know its coming, both the snow and the blame game. Here’s a NWS/NOAA graphic you don’t see very often:

The forecasts say snow possibly down to sea level, or very close. I’m betting we’ll see at least snow flurries in downtown SFO at least briefly.

Here’s the latest forecast discussion:

FXUS66 KMTR 241819

AFDMTR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA

1019 AM PST THU FEB 24 2011

...COLD WINTER STORM TO IMPACT OUR AREA LATER TODAY...

...VERY COLD TEMPERATURES EXPECTED BOTH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING AND

SUNDAY MORNING...

.DISCUSSION...AS OF 10:14 AM PST THURSDAY...LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS HAVE

BEEN REPORTED ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THIS MORNING. LOOKING AT THE

LATEST SATELLITE WATER VAPOUR IMAGE IT IS APPARENT THAT THE AREA

IS UNDER MOIST NORTHWEST FLOW AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING STORM SYSTEM.

THE MOIST FLOW WILL PRODUCE SHOWERS THROUGHOUT THE DAY TODAY WITH

THE BEST CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION FROM THE GOLDEN GATE NORTH AS WELL

AS THE WINDWARD SIDE OF THE COASTAL MOUNTAINS. THE VISIBLE

SATELLITE IMAGE IS SHOWING MAINLY CUMULUS TYPE CLOUDS FROM THE

GOLDEN GATE SOUTH SO ALTHOUGH SHOWERS ARE LIKELY IN THE MONTEREY

AREA THERE WILL BE PERIODS OF SUN TODAY.

CURRENTLY IT APPEARS THAT THE FORECAST MODELS ARE IN GOOD

AGREEMENT WITH THE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WHICH IS

EXPECTED TO BEGIN TO IMPACT THE AREA TODAY. COLD AIR WILL BEGIN TO

FILTER INTO THE FORECAST AREA TODAY DROPPING FREEZING LEVELS AS IT

SLIDES SOUTHWARD. THE CURRENT FORECAST IS ADVERTISING SNOW LEVELS

OF 1500 FEET TONIGHT IN THE NORTH BAY WHICH SEEMS REASONABLE. SNOW

LEVELS ARE FORECAST TO DROP TO 300 TO 400 FEET FOR THE NORTH BAY

TOMORROW NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING FOR THE NORTH BAY. THESE LOW

FREEZING LEVELS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD SOUTH TO MONTEREY COUNTY BY

SATURDAY MORNING.

WITH THE LOW FREEZING LEVELS SNOW WILL BECOME AN ISSUE FOR

ELEVATED AREAS AND WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR

ALL OF THE MOUNTAIN ZONES TONIGHT AND TOMORROW. THE FORECAST ISSUE

TODAY WILL BE WHETHER OR NOT TO INCLUDE THE NORTH BAY VALLEYS IN THE

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES. ACCORDING TO THE HYDROLOGICAL PREDICTION

CENTER 24 HOUR SNOW FALL PROBABILITY DOES INDICATE A 10 TO 20

PERCENT CHANCE OF RECEIVING 1 INCH OR LESS OF SNOW IN THE SAN

FRANCISCO BAY BETWEEN 1200Z THE 25TH AND 1200Z THE 26TH. THE SAN

FRANCISCO BAY AREA HAS NOT RECEIVED MEASURABLE SNOW IN QUITE SOME

TIME HOWEVER THIS IS A VERY COLD AIRMASS AND A FEW SNOW FLURRIES MAY

BE EXPERIENCED IN THE SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA. TO SUPPORT THIS

STATEMENT A CROSS SECTION WAS PERFORMED FROM SONOMA TO SOUTHERN

MONTEREY COUNTY FOR THE 0600Z SATURDAY THROUGH 1200Z SATURDAY

TIME FRAME AND SOME CONDITIONAL INSTABILITY AND MAYBE EVEN AN

ARGUMENT FOR CONDITIONAL SYMMETRIC INSTABILITY CAN BE MADE FOR THIS

TIME FRAME. ALL THIS MEANS IS THAT THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR

BANDED PRECIPITATION AND SOME IF IT MAY BE IN THE FORM OF SNOW. I DO

FEEL THAT THE SOIL AND GROUND TEMPERATURE WILL BE TOO WARM IN THE

CITY OF SAN FRANCISCO TO SUPPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION BUT WE WILL SEE

A FEW FLURRIES. HOWEVER, A FEW HUNDRED FEET IN ELEVATION AND

PRECIPITATION WILL BECOME PREDOMINATELY SNOW.

CONTEST

The NWS is so interested in this rare event, they want people to TWEET with geolocation info. This is at the top of the NWS San Fran web page:

See Snow in the Bay Area – Tweet It!

So in that spirit, I’d like people to be on the lookout not for the first snowfall, but for the first ridiculous claim that this SFO snowfall is related to any of these:

global warming, climate change, or climate disruption,

For example:

“…global warming increases increases severe events, why is why we have this snow in SFO”

…would qualify.

The first credible and verifiable report posted here in comments will earn the tipster a single item of their choice from the WUWT Stuff store, see here.

POLL

In the meantime, here is a poll:

It’s at least 24 hours from any snow in SFO, so we may even find statements in advance. Good hunting.