BREAKING NEWS: scientist admits IPCC used fake data to pressure policy makers

The IPCC is now damaged goods. Pachauri is toast, and nobody will be able to cite the IPCC AR4 again without this being brought up.

The Daily Mail’s David Rose in the UK broke this story, it is mind boggling fraud to prod “government action” and grants. Emphasis in red mine.

From the Daily Mail

The scientist behind the bogus claim in a Nobel Prize-winning UN report that Himalayan glaciers will have melted by 2035 last night admitted it was included purely to put political pressure on world leaders.

Dr Murari Lal also said he was well aware the statement, in the 2007 report by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), did not rest on peer-reviewed scientific research.

In an interview with The Mail on Sunday, Dr Lal, the co-ordinating lead author of the report’s chapter on Asia, said: ‘It related to several countries in this region and their water sources. We thought that if we can highlight it, it will impact policy-makers and politicians and encourage them to take some concrete action.

‘It had importance for the region, so we thought we should put it in.’

Chilling error: The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change wrongly asserted that glaciers in the Himalayas would melt by 2035

Dr Lal’s admission will only add to the mounting furore over the melting glaciers assertion, which the IPCC was last week forced to withdraw because it has no scientific foundation.

According to the IPCC’s statement of principles, its role is ‘to assess on a comprehensive, objective, open and transparent basis, scientific, technical and socio-economic information – IPCC reports should be neutral with respect to policy’.

The claim that Himalayan glaciers are set to disappear by 2035 rests on two 1999 magazine interviews with glaciologist Syed Hasnain, which were then recycled without any further investigation in a 2005 report by the environmental campaign group WWF.

It was this report that Dr Lal and his team cited as their source.

The WWF article also contained a basic error in its arithmetic. A claim that one glacier was retreating at the alarming rate of 134 metres a year should in fact have said 23 metres – the authors had divided the total loss measured over 121 years by 21, not 121.

Last Friday, the WWF website posted a humiliating statement recognising the claim as ‘unsound’, and saying it ‘regrets any confusion caused’.

Dr Lal said: ‘We knew the WWF report with the 2035 date was “grey literature” [material not published in a peer-reviewed journal]. But it was never picked up by any of the authors in our working group, nor by any of the more than 500 external reviewers, by the governments to which it was sent, or by the final IPCC review editors.’

In fact, the 2035 melting date seems to have been plucked from thin air.

h/t to WUWT reader “Konrad”


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Mike Bryant
January 23, 2010 7:37 pm

Ok… that one little part was wrong… but… oh yeah and NOAA and NASA are deliberately fudging data… and sure the claims of massive sea level rise are purely bogus… and the weather stations aren’t to spec… and colder stations aren’t used… but other than that and every other piece of flimsy evidence, CAGW is ROBUST!!!!
I know that the world will shortly burst into fire… as soon as the rotten snow melts…
Mike

Nev
January 23, 2010 7:39 pm

Spread the word folks, like Climategate this is a where were you when you heard moment…the more your friends and colleagues are aware that the IPCC was prepared to use dubious (turned out to be utterly false) data to frighten the public and politicians, the more some real heat will build for accountability.

Glenn
January 23, 2010 7:44 pm

“We thought that if we can highlight it”
We? Who is we?

Peter of Sydney
January 23, 2010 7:44 pm

Given that the IPCC report in question is riddled with errors of monumental significance, shouldn’t the IPCC be forced to retract it immediately or face fraud charges?

January 23, 2010 7:44 pm

Thank you, thank you, thank you for keeping the spotlight of public attention focused on this scandal.
Scientists have been trained with grant funds the way Pavlov’s dogs were trained with dog biscuits.
The money trail will led you to the unholy alliance of politicians, scientists and publishers that have misused science and destroyed its integrity.
What a sad state of affairs!
Oliver K. Manuel

cold hot
January 23, 2010 7:48 pm

Wow! Ding dong the IPCC is melting…

Josh
January 23, 2010 7:48 pm

Lawsuits, anyone? I think we need to recover the taxes used to support fraudulent science, ASAP.

Midwest Mark
January 23, 2010 7:48 pm

Now the question is…..will any mainstream media outlet report this??

Kate S
January 23, 2010 7:49 pm

From: http://climate.nasa.gov/evidence/
Google cache of this page from earlier in the week promoted the 2030 claim:
Mountain glaciers and snow cover have declined on average in both hemispheres, and may disappear altogether in certain regions of our planet, such as the Himalayas, by 2030.
Today it reads as such:
Mountain glaciers and snow cover have declined on average in both hemispheres, and may disappear altogether in certain regions of our planet, such as the Himalayas.
Seems like NASA is even retracting their outlandish claims.

cold hot
January 23, 2010 7:51 pm

Anyone who is still defending these crooks must have a financial interest in this scam. Looking forward to Pachuri stepping down.

Andrew30
January 23, 2010 7:51 pm

“Last Friday, the WWF website posted a humiliating statement recognising the claim as ‘unsound’, and saying it ‘regrets any confusion caused’”
The WWF Funds the Climate Research Unit.
Fund the fiction, publish the fiction, get the donations and other funding to fund more fiction to publish more fiction…..
There was no ‘mistake’. They are as guilty as the rest of the funding organizations.

January 23, 2010 7:52 pm

Mike, you left out homogenization and hurricanes.

JohnWho
January 23, 2010 7:59 pm

Good Grief!
CRU, NASA, the IPCC – now if we can just find something that Al Gore has said that is wrong we can wrap this thing up.

oMan
January 23, 2010 7:59 pm

Why am I not surprised? Because I’ve been coming to WUWT for long enough to get the news before it is the news; to learn the basics of what is good science in this area and what isn’t; to figure what stinks like fish three days old.
Despite all this, I am still surprised when the glib layers of BS have been scraped off and the squalid facts emerge.
Apologies and retractions would be nice. Resignations or firings would be good. Indictments would be excellent.
I suspect that there will be much quiet covering of behinds and people slinking quietly away. The new shape of things will take time to emerge.
Thank you, Anthony and all, for holding fast to the best standards throughout. We are not at the end, or even the beginning of the end; but as Churchill said, we may be at the end of the beginning.

geo
January 23, 2010 7:59 pm

Wow, just wow.
The only appropriate tagline I can think to offer is from an old joke –“We’ve already determined what you are; now we’re just haggling over the price.”

Chris D.
January 23, 2010 8:00 pm

Then there’s this, compliments of Pielke, Jr.:
http://rogerpielkejr.blogspot.com/2010/01/welcome-sunday-times-readers.html
Why don’t they just withdraw AR4 completely and call it a day?

January 23, 2010 8:03 pm

So the world economy needs to be turned on its head, all based on utter fraud. I’m almost speechless.

John F. Hultquist
January 23, 2010 8:04 pm

Who knew, what did they know, when did they know it?
Actually, I’d like to know who first caught this funny business and reported it? Does any one have an answer?

wws
January 23, 2010 8:04 pm

Yeah, this is big – this the first open confession of intentional fraud at the heart of the “science.” It’ll take some time, but this will eventually take down the entire IPCC. Their credibility is gone forever.

Leon Brozyna
January 23, 2010 8:04 pm

Humanity’s Rogue’s Gallery, once the realm of politicians and lawyers, is now admitting scientists. They’re just moments away from becoming late night comic fodder.

Frank K.
January 23, 2010 8:04 pm

The IPCC CYA is here.
“The Chair, Vice-Chairs, and Co-chairs of the IPCC regret the poor application of well-established IPCC procedures in this instance.”
The problem now is that, apparently, they knew about the error and did nothing about it. I suppose either laziness or fraud are one of the “well-established IPCC procedures” they refer to in their statement…

Johnhayte
January 23, 2010 8:16 pm

If their are other distoritions like this in the IPCC report they should be easy to find.

Ralph
January 23, 2010 8:17 pm

I’m not a lawyer and I don’t play one on TV, but is it possible to launch a world wide class action suit against the IPCC?

Keith Minto
January 23, 2010 8:17 pm

Cognitive dissonance:
(Mental conflict that occurs when beliefs or assumptions are contradicted by new information.)
We are seeing bucketloads of CD from Hansen, Pachauri and their ilk and this story is developing into a journalists dream. “Pachauri is toast”….. for us he is, but over there in CD land the PR people are working overtime. What a battle.

January 23, 2010 8:17 pm

Even better: Right now that NASA propaganda page reads as follows–
“Glaciers are retreating almost everywhere around the world — including in the Alps, Himalayas, Andes, Rockies, Alaska and Africa.5”
The “may disappear” has disappeared, so far as I can tell.
Its footnote 5 now refers to something other than IPCC’s “summary for policymakers page 5” which it started out with. It’s now a link to a “World Glacier Monitoring Service” page.
REPLY: Got a link to that?

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