BREAKING NEWS: scientist admits IPCC used fake data to pressure policy makers

The IPCC is now damaged goods. Pachauri is toast, and nobody will be able to cite the IPCC AR4 again without this being brought up.

The Daily Mail’s David Rose in the UK broke this story, it is mind boggling fraud to prod “government action” and grants. Emphasis in red mine.

From the Daily Mail

The scientist behind the bogus claim in a Nobel Prize-winning UN report that Himalayan glaciers will have melted by 2035 last night admitted it was included purely to put political pressure on world leaders.

Dr Murari Lal also said he was well aware the statement, in the 2007 report by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), did not rest on peer-reviewed scientific research.

In an interview with The Mail on Sunday, Dr Lal, the co-ordinating lead author of the report’s chapter on Asia, said: ‘It related to several countries in this region and their water sources. We thought that if we can highlight it, it will impact policy-makers and politicians and encourage them to take some concrete action.

‘It had importance for the region, so we thought we should put it in.’

Chilling error: The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change wrongly asserted that glaciers in the Himalayas would melt by 2035

Dr Lal’s admission will only add to the mounting furore over the melting glaciers assertion, which the IPCC was last week forced to withdraw because it has no scientific foundation.

According to the IPCC’s statement of principles, its role is ‘to assess on a comprehensive, objective, open and transparent basis, scientific, technical and socio-economic information – IPCC reports should be neutral with respect to policy’.

The claim that Himalayan glaciers are set to disappear by 2035 rests on two 1999 magazine interviews with glaciologist Syed Hasnain, which were then recycled without any further investigation in a 2005 report by the environmental campaign group WWF.

It was this report that Dr Lal and his team cited as their source.

The WWF article also contained a basic error in its arithmetic. A claim that one glacier was retreating at the alarming rate of 134 metres a year should in fact have said 23 metres – the authors had divided the total loss measured over 121 years by 21, not 121.

Last Friday, the WWF website posted a humiliating statement recognising the claim as ‘unsound’, and saying it ‘regrets any confusion caused’.

Dr Lal said: ‘We knew the WWF report with the 2035 date was “grey literature” [material not published in a peer-reviewed journal]. But it was never picked up by any of the authors in our working group, nor by any of the more than 500 external reviewers, by the governments to which it was sent, or by the final IPCC review editors.’

In fact, the 2035 melting date seems to have been plucked from thin air.

h/t to WUWT reader “Konrad”


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Mike Bryant

Ok… that one little part was wrong… but… oh yeah and NOAA and NASA are deliberately fudging data… and sure the claims of massive sea level rise are purely bogus… and the weather stations aren’t to spec… and colder stations aren’t used… but other than that and every other piece of flimsy evidence, CAGW is ROBUST!!!!
I know that the world will shortly burst into fire… as soon as the rotten snow melts…
Mike

Nev

Spread the word folks, like Climategate this is a where were you when you heard moment…the more your friends and colleagues are aware that the IPCC was prepared to use dubious (turned out to be utterly false) data to frighten the public and politicians, the more some real heat will build for accountability.

Glenn

“We thought that if we can highlight it”
We? Who is we?

Peter of Sydney

Given that the IPCC report in question is riddled with errors of monumental significance, shouldn’t the IPCC be forced to retract it immediately or face fraud charges?

Thank you, thank you, thank you for keeping the spotlight of public attention focused on this scandal.
Scientists have been trained with grant funds the way Pavlov’s dogs were trained with dog biscuits.
The money trail will led you to the unholy alliance of politicians, scientists and publishers that have misused science and destroyed its integrity.
What a sad state of affairs!
Oliver K. Manuel

cold hot

Wow! Ding dong the IPCC is melting…

Josh

Lawsuits, anyone? I think we need to recover the taxes used to support fraudulent science, ASAP.

Midwest Mark

Now the question is…..will any mainstream media outlet report this??

Kate S

From: http://climate.nasa.gov/evidence/
Google cache of this page from earlier in the week promoted the 2030 claim:
Mountain glaciers and snow cover have declined on average in both hemispheres, and may disappear altogether in certain regions of our planet, such as the Himalayas, by 2030.
Today it reads as such:
Mountain glaciers and snow cover have declined on average in both hemispheres, and may disappear altogether in certain regions of our planet, such as the Himalayas.
Seems like NASA is even retracting their outlandish claims.

cold hot

Anyone who is still defending these crooks must have a financial interest in this scam. Looking forward to Pachuri stepping down.

Andrew30

“Last Friday, the WWF website posted a humiliating statement recognising the claim as ‘unsound’, and saying it ‘regrets any confusion caused’”
The WWF Funds the Climate Research Unit.
Fund the fiction, publish the fiction, get the donations and other funding to fund more fiction to publish more fiction…..
There was no ‘mistake’. They are as guilty as the rest of the funding organizations.

Mike, you left out homogenization and hurricanes.

Good Grief!
CRU, NASA, the IPCC – now if we can just find something that Al Gore has said that is wrong we can wrap this thing up.

oMan

Why am I not surprised? Because I’ve been coming to WUWT for long enough to get the news before it is the news; to learn the basics of what is good science in this area and what isn’t; to figure what stinks like fish three days old.
Despite all this, I am still surprised when the glib layers of BS have been scraped off and the squalid facts emerge.
Apologies and retractions would be nice. Resignations or firings would be good. Indictments would be excellent.
I suspect that there will be much quiet covering of behinds and people slinking quietly away. The new shape of things will take time to emerge.
Thank you, Anthony and all, for holding fast to the best standards throughout. We are not at the end, or even the beginning of the end; but as Churchill said, we may be at the end of the beginning.

geo

Wow, just wow.
The only appropriate tagline I can think to offer is from an old joke –“We’ve already determined what you are; now we’re just haggling over the price.”

Chris D.

Then there’s this, compliments of Pielke, Jr.:
http://rogerpielkejr.blogspot.com/2010/01/welcome-sunday-times-readers.html
Why don’t they just withdraw AR4 completely and call it a day?

So the world economy needs to be turned on its head, all based on utter fraud. I’m almost speechless.

John F. Hultquist

Who knew, what did they know, when did they know it?
Actually, I’d like to know who first caught this funny business and reported it? Does any one have an answer?

wws

Yeah, this is big – this the first open confession of intentional fraud at the heart of the “science.” It’ll take some time, but this will eventually take down the entire IPCC. Their credibility is gone forever.

Leon Brozyna

Humanity’s Rogue’s Gallery, once the realm of politicians and lawyers, is now admitting scientists. They’re just moments away from becoming late night comic fodder.

Frank K.

The IPCC CYA is here.
“The Chair, Vice-Chairs, and Co-chairs of the IPCC regret the poor application of well-established IPCC procedures in this instance.”
The problem now is that, apparently, they knew about the error and did nothing about it. I suppose either laziness or fraud are one of the “well-established IPCC procedures” they refer to in their statement…

Johnhayte

If their are other distoritions like this in the IPCC report they should be easy to find.

Ralph

I’m not a lawyer and I don’t play one on TV, but is it possible to launch a world wide class action suit against the IPCC?

Keith Minto

Cognitive dissonance:
(Mental conflict that occurs when beliefs or assumptions are contradicted by new information.)
We are seeing bucketloads of CD from Hansen, Pachauri and their ilk and this story is developing into a journalists dream. “Pachauri is toast”….. for us he is, but over there in CD land the PR people are working overtime. What a battle.

Even better: Right now that NASA propaganda page reads as follows–
“Glaciers are retreating almost everywhere around the world — including in the Alps, Himalayas, Andes, Rockies, Alaska and Africa.5”
The “may disappear” has disappeared, so far as I can tell.
Its footnote 5 now refers to something other than IPCC’s “summary for policymakers page 5” which it started out with. It’s now a link to a “World Glacier Monitoring Service” page.
REPLY: Got a link to that?

vic

This is not that new
the BBC broke this story a while ago
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/south_asia/8387737.stm

a jones

Since in the UK MSM the Mail, the Telegraph and the London Times have all carried major stories be sure the IPCC is melting indeed. And far faster than those glaciers.
A defence is being put up up but it is very weak of the one mistake does not invalidate the whole etc. Yet the Times itself pointed out two errors, glaciers and disastrous weather, and that these were the very arguments Mr.Milliband, minister for climate change was advocating only a week ago.
No it is not just that the tide has turned and and is sweeping away the sandcastle with every wave but that, as a rising tide floats all boats, it is spreading around the world.
And with terrifying speed too: which must shock the politicians who hate to be on the wrong side of public opinion. And made to look conspicuous, credulous and avaricious fools to boot.
But then if you perpetrate a fraud once found out it does tend to collapse rather quickly.
So run rabbit run.
Kindest Regards

MikeL

I will be forwarding these important revelations regarding the outright fraud to my two Senators here in California so that they may be better informed prior to making any rash decisions on how to treat the Earths’ fever.

Jeff L

The logical question everyone should be asking is what else in the IPCC reports is fabricated??? My guess is more “data” will be found to be fabricated &/or incorrect in their support of AGW

RWS

Good point Frank.
It makes you think they are so used to having everything they utter taken as gospel, that they have become sloppy and careless about the facts. Overstating the case is a dismaying habit of all of the warmers.
I suspect that is closer to “well-established procedure.”

Sean McHugh

Pachauri had better hurry up and resign while there is still something left of the IPCC for him to resign from.

Methow Ken

As aluded to in prior thread start; and as we’re fond of saying here in the Great American West:
Yup; High Noon in Dodge City:
ClimateGate and now GlacierGate; hard to see how propagandist in chief Mr. P. can hang on much longer.
SIDEBAR; for those who read the Times of India online:
The piece in the TofI that was linked to in immediately prior thread start was 2nd from the top on the home page; in the India section. Especially given that Pachauri has now managed to get some of the senior leadership of the Indian government mad at him, probably only remaining question is how long will it take before he is forced to walk the plank.

April E. Coggins

I hate to say this, but I doubt this will make much of a difference. AGW is an agenda, it has never been about science. This too will be ignored by an ignorant and gullible media. I pray I am wrong.

Brian D

When it rains it pours. Severe weather next?

Jeff C.

Re Michjah,
You are absolutely right, it has changed again!
http://climate.nasa.gov/evidence/
You are right about the footnote too, it used to say “ibid” referring to the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report which is cited in footnote 3.
They are really running scared and trying to cover their tracks.

I’m sorry–I forgot to provide a link to that NASA propaganda page. I was actually “answering” Kate S @ 19:49:38 above. She provided a link to the page and an excerpt of its text at that moment. When I looked a little later, even the “may disappear” had disappeared.
Here’s the link as provided by Kate S:
http://climate.nasa.gov/evidence/
And here’s the link to the Google cache from January 19 of the same NASA page:
http://74.125.155.132/search?q=cache:0osmsixKS-sJ:climate.nasa.gov/evidence/+Mountain+glaciers+and+snow+cover+have+declined+2030&cd=2&hl=en&ct=clnk&gl=us

TerryBixler

So Gore, Pachauri, Boxer and Kerry were in on this but due to Obama’s required transparency they were required to only discuss it behind closed doors. Obama conferred with Gore on the relevancy of their respective Nobels in a separate fact finding mission. Glaciergate has shown that the “science” is settled and is not part of a political AGW agenda.

Triple Bay

I’m not a scientist but I don’t think this is science. Don’t forget about the Copehagen Treaty which I am sure they would have liked to have signed without question. This Treaty called for the acceptance of IPCC AR4 and the recommendations in it. The treaty called for Cap and Trade and the transfer of funds sent to the UN for distrubution. Who benefits from Cap and Trade and the sale of Carbon Credits?
I think there are some rats in the lab.

Mike Bryant

An imagined response from the IPCC….
Yes we are corrupt, yes we manipulate the science to keep the dollars flowing in, yes they are your dollars, yes your government is complicit since they never get enough of your money…. And no dear people, you can’t stop us, we will continue taking as much of your money as we want. Everyone who needs to be paid off, has been paid off…. again, with your money. Just look at all the revelations of the last five years. We are in control… YOU LOSE…
Love and Kisses,
The IPCC
Time for the people to take control again….

Whoa!
Let me get this straight – “Big Climate” (IPCC et al) used fake data to pressure policy makers?
No!
Whom am I to ‘trust’? (as “Big Climate” climate-scientists have check-kited or ‘Enron-ed’ the data to their advantage)
.
.

Jeff C.

Re: Kate S (19:49:38):
Regarding the NASA website, you wrote:
“Today it reads as such:
Mountain glaciers and snow cover have declined on average in both hemispheres, and may disappear altogether in certain regions of our planet, such as the Himalayas.”
Did you notice this evening? As Micajah (20:17:45) notes above, the page now reads something completely different and references a source other than the IPCC.
http://climate.nasa.gov/evidence/
Someone is at NASA on a Saturday night scrubbing their webpage? That alone is evidence of how big this is. They know what a pack of lies is involved here and they also realize that the British journos smell blood in the water. They are scared.
Notice how the IPCC glacier claim went down the memory hole at NASA. No correction, no explanation, just gone like it never existed.

Oliver Ramsay

It was an accusation rebutted angrily by Dr Lal. ‘We as authors followed them to the letter,’ he said. ‘Had we received information that undermined the claim, we would have included it.’
So, he admits that he knew implicitly it was ‘grey’ material, but because nobody corroborated that fact officially, it was fine to pretend he didn’t know.
That’s not clever, but he appears to have believed (and maybe still does) that the picture painted was a true likeness of reality, and that’s clearly not clever, either.
Not clever, not honest, not successful and, very probably, not the only instance of Planet-Saver’s Syndrome in AR4.

oMan

It would be useful to trace the number of publications that have relied on the original IPCC claim of shrinking glaciers. And the number of publications that relied on those. With the right tools somebody should be able to draw the network that shows how the falsehood has proliferated. Once that’s done, somebody can assign dollar values to the decisions made in reliance on the various nodes of the network.
With that in hand, the worldwide class action becomes a good deal less plausible. Certainly it would add to the pressure to get the miscreants fired, and it would add substance to the argument that this kind of stuff is cost-free. That’s actually an irksome point for me: we are hectored with dire warnings that this is just climatic apocalypse, billions will die tomorrow, urgent action is required, cost be damned. Then when the facts turn out to be otherwise, there is the sound of crickets. The prophets of doom have conveniently absented themselves.
This asymmetrical warfare has to stop. Add up the money that’s been wasted on the strength of the BS, and use it to challenge the next claim.

oMan

Sorry, don’t know how to edit my comment. “The worldwide class action becomes a good deal less IMplausible” is what I meant to say. D’oh.

April E. Coggins

“how long will it take before he is forced to walk the plank.”
Not long. The individual is expendable for the agenda. My guess is that Pachauri may have been ready to go rogue and now he is being turned into an evil scape goat. Remember the CRU emails? The insiders didn’t want him or trust him. He is collateral damage. But what do I know? I am an ignorant, evil, white, Christian, conspiracy believing right-winger.

David Segesta

Midwest Mark (19:48:36) :
“Now the question is…..will any mainstream media outlet report this??”
Good question. I emailed the story to the Detroit News. I hope others will send it to their local newspapers. If one of them picks up the story the rest will have to follow or risk being left out.

tokyoboy

This is one of the busiest Sundays today……….

boballab

Micajah (20:17:45) :
Even better: Right now that NASA propaganda page reads as follows–
“Glaciers are retreating almost everywhere around the world — including in the Alps, Himalayas, Andes, Rockies, Alaska and Africa.5″
The “may disappear” has disappeared, so far as I can tell.
Its footnote 5 now refers to something other than IPCC’s “summary for policymakers page 5″ which it started out with. It’s now a link to a “World Glacier Monitoring Service” page.
REPLY: Got a link to that?

I followed the links from here:

Glaciers are retreating almost everywhere around the world — including in the Alps, Himalayas, Andes, Rockies, Alaska and Africa.5

http://climate.nasa.gov/evidence/#no5
To here :

General remarks
.
WGMS provides standardized observations on changes in mass, volume, area and length of glaciers with time (Fluctuations of Glaciers), as well as statistical information on the distribution of perennial surface ice in space (World Glacier Inventory). In addition, information on special events are available, such as surges, calving instabilities, rock falls onto glaciers, lake outbursts, ice avalanches, eruptions of glacier-clad volcanoes or related protection work including prospection and scientific analysis.
.

http://www.geo.unizh.ch/wgms/dataexp.html
Notice that it is just a portal to maps and an excel spreadsheet.

John Trigge

I think the second sentance in this statement is as impoertant as the admission of non-peer reviewed literature:
“Dr Lal said: ‘We knew the WWF report with the 2035 date was “grey literature” [material not published in a peer-reviewed journal]. But it was never picked up by any of the authors in our working group, nor by any of the more than 500 external reviewers, by the governments to which it was sent, or by the final IPCC review editors.”
This adds to the fallacy that ‘peer review’ is a valid method for determining if published data/results/studies/etc is worthy of being considered. NONE of these people/organisations/governments checked the source of the 2035 quote.
Maybe the ‘reviewers’ were merely hand-picked warmists who either blindly believe whatever they are told or just needed to know what the ‘story’ was so that they could repeat it. It certainly makes a joke of the term ‘reviewer’.

Reed Coray

MikeL (20:26:43) :
I will be forwarding these important revelations regarding the outright fraud to my two Senators here in California so that they may be better informed prior to making any rash decisions on how to treat the Earths’ fever.
Mike, I don’t know about Senator Feinstein, but trying to inform Senator Boxer (and with luck, soon to be ex-Senator Boxer) of anything is like trying to teach a pig to sing the National Anthom–it ain’t going to happen in our lifetime.