Guest post by Steven Goddard
Weather is not climate, but 49 out of 50 states agree – spring is getting off to a cold start.
How will these blue states vote on “cap and trade?” Someone needs to take responsibility for this runaway global warming, which is purported by a top scientist from the University of Colorado to be killing off the ski industry .
Tuesday, December 16, 2008
DENVER – A study of two Rocky Mountain ski resorts says climate change will mean shorter seasons and less snow
Winter 2007-2008 was the snowiest ski season on record in Colorado.
Eight Colorado ski resorts see record snow
Silverton Mountain, which stopped running lifts Sunday, reported the greatest record-breaking snowfall, with 550 inches. Steamboat came in second, with 489 inches.
January, 2008 was the snowiest month on record in the Northern Hemisphere, with nine out of the last eleven January’s above normal.
Source: http://climate.rutgers.edu/snowcover/png/monthlyanom/nhland01.png
So how is the current ski season looking? Wolf Creek ski area in southwestern Colorado has received a paltry 10 metres of snow so far this winter.
Summit Base Depth : 110 inches
Last 24 Hours : 1 inch
Last 48 Hours : 2 inches
Last 72 Hours : 2 inches
Midway Base Depth : 105 inches
Last 7 Days : 20 inches
Latest Storm : 2 inches
Year to Date : 398 inches
with lots more snow on the way.
Accuweather snow forecast for this weekend
But remember – weather is not climate. and computer models should always supersede observation.
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The anamolies are from 4/3 to 4/9; is this a forecast?
Unfortunately that storm hitting the plains this weekend is headed our way on Monday and Tuesday.
Oh Well.
P.S. GO MICHIGAN STATE SPARTANS.
I just got back form 4 days of spring break in Steamboat Springs, CO. 🙂 They had 33 inches of now this past Sunday and Monday.
http://www.steamboatpilot.com/news/2009/apr/01/steamboat_snow_levels_above_average/
Current season is in the top 5 of the past 15 and local weather forecaster said the storms in the Pacific are lined up like planes headed for DIA (Denver International Airport).
I am snowboarding in Utah and there has been so much snow that all the ski resorts are still open even though the season is over. Also the locals are worried about flooding when the snow finally melts. Today the forcast is for another 3 – 7 in. So I should have plenty of fresh powder.
Yes, Don, it is a forecast. Note that the graphic says “Temperature FORECASTS from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction” (caps mine). The set up is…here is how it’s looking, and here is how it’s been. But “remember – weather is not climate. And computer models should always supercede observation.”
In New Hampshire, local media gave up reporting that stuff in December 2007. I had 52.5 inches of snow that month, and the state had more snow for the season than any in the previous 100 years or more.
See http://wermenh.com/sdd/ne-0708.html
I look at this web site daily. The 7 day forecasts tend to be fairly accurate. Interestingly almost all the continental land areas are forecast to see substantial precipitation, in general. The Amazon Bassin has seen huge rainfall over the last few months, which is forecast to continue. fm
Until Wednesday, we had winter in Czechia. Now we have summer (although some people around are still skiing today) and it is beautiful. 😉
Getting the best snow yet here in NE Oregon- http://www.anthonylakes.com/pin/
and Oregon state says-no more snow tires….
This is starting to become the normal every year. where it gets cold again on april and it’s been a cool spring so far .One off topic issue I just saw on accuweather global warming blog is that they say the beginning of Artic ice melt season has started.Two thing that i’m unsure of is since we saw the faulty equipment on Anthony Watts site that showed the big drop in ice and then to find out the ice was indead still there .The other is they say the end of ice season is Feb 28th.So does that mean on March 1st ,which by the way there was a large southeast and east coast snowstorm,the ice starts leaving????? RIGHT I BELIEVE THAT TOO.
The future historians will name this era as :
The decline and fall of the western civilization.
Chapter I: The Global Warming Hysteria.
Chapter II: Cap and Trade systems and its economic consequences
etc.
This post should note, also, that, while weather is not climate, weather is what actually matters. Not to mention that it is the individual values which determine the mean, not the other way around.
I am looking forward to my drive to work in the snow on Sunday morning, could be worse I could be in norfolk, NE instead of Omaha
A cold start and also a late start…following the lunar calendar.
Its been a cool spring in Texas though we had a sunny winter.
One of our engineers spends summer in Alaska and he said this spring has reminded him of last summer in Alaska – cool and clear.
Our average last frost is the 13 th of March, but we had a heavy frost last week – very late. And the models are showing a possible hard freeze for the 7th.
“ANOTHER DRY WINDY/GUSTY DAY BEHIND THE COLD FRONT ON SUNDAY WITH
COOLER DRIER WEATHER PREVAILING MONDAY-TUESDAY WITH THE POSSIBILITY
OF A LIGHT FREEZE IN THE HILL COUNTRY MONDAY NIGHT.”
I remember back in the mid-70s amongst the concerns about a new ice age coming. I worked in a mountaineering shop then and was quite pleased that the ski season would be long and cold. It warmed going into the 80s instead.
Now, amongst the concerns about global warming, ski resorts fear the worst—warm trend. However, it appears the trend is cooling.
I suspect the NH will begin to experience cool weather events later and later in the year. Try as they may the AGW crowd will have a hard time explaining cold and snow events not seen so late in the year for a very long time. Maybe even into early summer. Thanks Anthony for staying on top of things.
Yeah, I know, it’s all global warming.
More snow than ‘normal’? — it’s global warming.
Less snow than ‘normal’? — it’s global warming.
Colder than ‘normal’? — it’s global warming.
Warmer than ‘normal’? — it’s global warming.
Interesting forecast. The way I treat forecasts is that anything more than 24 hours out is a curiosity; if the forecast is right, they got lucky. And sometimes they can’t even get the next day’s forecast right!
But what about climate forecasting models? If they get a large enough super computer, won’t the forecast get better? Doubt it. It’s just a larger trash compacter; what comes out is still trash, just more of it.
computer models should always supersede observation.
I like the way you just kinda ease that in at the end. almost blew tea out my nose.
North Dakota and northern Minnesota (my area of coverage) is going on our 5th straight month of well below average temperatures. We have seen below average temps for 12 out of the last 16 months in an already cold climate. A pattern shift can’t come soon enough. Plus we have a second crest of the Red River coming to Fargo in about 10 to 20 days depending on the weather.
Computer models are not science. They are mathematics and theoretical exercises at best.
Engineers know models are not reality, else why would they need to test the bridge components … LOL.
Did you mean Jan 09???
“January, 2008 was the snowiest month on record in the Northern Hemisphere, with nine out of the last eleven January’s above normal.”
Mt Redoubt may bring colder ’09-10 winter
Thanks to AnthropogenicGlobalWarming (and the PDO) here on the Wet Coast of Canada the local ski resorts are extending the ski season to late April and indeed Blackcomb will be open year round for skiing. For the last several months the daily temperatures have been running about 3 to 4 decrees C below “normal” and April snow storms are becoming the norm.
Oh! for a horrid El Nino.
Does anyone know how to switch the PDO back to warm?
“But remember – weather is not climate. and computer models should always supersede observation.” I m beginning to see this sort of humour appearing in many different places. Surely, when this starts, it cannot be too long before AGW simply disappears.
I have for sale excellent plans for igloos: singles, duplexes, and four-plexes.
Looks like we’re gonna need ’em.