By Andy May Christian Freuer has translated this post to German here. In part one we discussed various estimates of climate sensitivity (ECS, TCR, and observation-based values) and what they…
Tag: TCR
The Mysterious AR6 ECS, Part 3, What is Climate Sensitivity?
By Andy May Christian Freuer has translated this post to German here. In part one we discussed various estimates of climate sensitivity (ECS, TCR, and observation-based values) and what they…
The Mysterious AR6 ECS, Part 2, the Impact of Clouds
By Andy May Christian Freuer has translated this post to German here. The yearly net impact of clouds on outgoing and incoming radiation varies over one W/m2 from year-to-year, according…
The Mysterious AR6 ECS, Part 1
By Andy May Christian Freuer has translated this post to German here. The climate sensitivity to CO2 and other greenhouse gases (GHGs) is arguably the most important number in the…
Transient Climate Response from Observations 1979-2022
The best estimate of TCR based on CMIP6 models (the red line in Fig.1) is 1.6K / 2*CO2, following the cited paper.
Emergent constraints on TCR and ECS from historical warming in CMIP5 and CMIP6 models
I note that Earth Systems Dynamics published the paper despite one of the two peer reviewers recommending against acceptance without further major revisions. But neither of the reviewers appear to…
Climate Insensitivity
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach I’ve been wanting to [take] another look at the relationship between net top-of-atmosphere (TOA) radiation changes on the one hand and changes in temperature on…
The Fatal Lure of Assumed Linearity
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach [note new Update at the end, and new Figs. 4-6] In climate science, linearity is the order of the day. The global climate models are…
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