Yes, I’m using the term Mulligan as in a replayed golf shot. Ocean-atmosphere processes have consumed most of the warm water in the eastern equatorial Pacific from the downwelling (warm)…
Category: El Nino Basics
The 2014/15 El Niño – Part 14 – Warm Water Recirculated?
There may still be a chance for an El Niño during the 2014/15 ENSO season. A new “pocket” of warm subsurface water has formed in the western equatorial Pacific. See…
The 2014/15 El Niño – Part 13 – More Mixed Signals
A few interesting things have happened since the July Update last week. On the ocean side, weekly sea surface temperatures in the NINO3.4 region have dropped (just) below the threshold…
The 2014/15 El Niño – Part 12 – July 2014 Update – The Feedbacks Need to Kick in Soon
This post provides an update on the progress of the early evolution of the 2014/15 El Niño with data through the beginning of July 2014. The post is similar in…
From IRI – Eight Misconceptions About El Niño (and La Niña)
Yesterday, the International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) published a post about a number of mistaken beliefs about El Niño and La Niña events. Misconceptions discussed:
The 2014/15 El Niño – Part 11 – Is the El Niño Dying?
There’s still a possibility the 2014/15 El Niño could die even though it had so much promise just a few months ago. In this post, we’ll compare a few indicators…
The 2014/15 El Niño – Part 10 – June 2014 Update – Still Waiting for the Feedbacks
This post provides an update on the progress of the early evolution of the 2014/15 El Niño with data through the end of May 2014. The post is similar in…
SkepticalScience Needs to Update their Escalator
The SkepticalScience animation The Escalator has been around for a couple of years, and it has appeared in dozens of their posts and in blog posts by other carbon dioxide-obsessed…
The 2014/15 El Niño – Part 9 – Kevin Trenberth is Looking Forward to Another “Big Jump”
In a recent interview, Kevin Trenberth, Distinguished Senior Scientist, from NCAR said the upcoming 2014/15 El Niño might shift global surface temperatures upwards by 0.2 to 0.3 deg C to…
Answer to the Question Posed at Climate Etc.: By What Mechanism Does an El Niño Contribute to Global Warming?
Late last week, Judith Curry published a post written by Donald Rapp titled El Ninos and La Ninas and Global Warming. Donald referred to my work a number of times…
The 2014/15 El Niño – Part 8 – The Southern Oscillation Indices
The Southern Oscillation Index has been mentioned often in comments at WattsUpWithThat, in this series of blog posts about the upcoming El Niño. Curiously, Australia’s BOM Southern Oscillation Index for…
The 2014/15 El Niño – Part 7 – May 2014 Update and What Should Happen Next
This post provides an update on the progress of the evolution of the 2014/15 El Niño. Included are updates of the weekly sea surface temperature anomalies for the four most-often-used…
'Houston, we have a dumbass problem'
I’m truly sorry about the title, but nothing else really describes the ridiculousness of the pronouncement by the White House aide John Podesta over these two satellite images in a…
The 2014/15 El Niño – Part 6 – What’s All The Hubbub About?…
…or Introductions to the Impacts of El Niños on Global Weather Patterns and to the Long-Term Effects of Strong El Niño Events on Global Surface Temperatures Since the first of…
The 2014/15 El Niño – Part 5 – The Relationship Between the PDO and ENSO
UPDATE: I’ve added NOAA’s description of the PDO index toward the end of the post, before the closing. # # # During the earlier discussions of the upcoming El Niño…
The 2014/15 El Niño – Part 4 – Early Evolution – Comparison with Other Satellite-Era El Niños
In the preceding post, we looked at the evolution of the weekly sea surface temperature anomalies in two regions of the equatorial Pacific (NINO3.4 and NINO1+2), comparing the data so…
2014/15 El Niño – Part 3 – Early Evolution – Comparison with 1982/83 & 1997/98 El Niño Events
Comparisons are still being made of the 1997/98 El Niño with the El Niño forming this year. So I thought we should compare the weekly sea surface temperature anomalies for…
The 2014/15 El Niño – Part 2 – The Alarmist Misinformation (BS) Begins
I knew it wouldn’t take long. The 2014/15 El Niño has yet to form and there’s already a well-commented blog post about it that spreads more speculative nonsense than one…
The 2014/15 El Niño – Part 1 – The Initial Processes of the El Niño
The title of the post, of course, assumes that an El Niño event will form this year and carry over into the next. This post is intended for persons new…
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