From NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT
By Paul Homewood
It was only two weeks ago that I wrote about the official cover up of excess deaths in winter. It did not take long for my suspicions to be confirmed.
Last week the Telegraph reported:
Three times more people die during cold snaps than when the weather is very hot, official data show.
Figures from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) show that from 1988 to 2025, about 42,000 people died on the hottest days. On the coldest days almost 150,000 died, in the same period.
However, data suggest the difference between the numbers of deaths because of cold and heat is shrinking.
The average annual death toll from cold in the 1990s was four times that of heat. But in the years 2015-2025, the difference shrank to 1.5-fold.
This trend is being driven by more frequent and persistent periods of very hot weather, which have resulted in heat-related deaths peaking in the summer of 2022, when temperatures in the UK reached 40C for the first time on record.
There were an estimated 4,652 heat-related deaths in England and Wales in 2022, the highest figure for any year on record.
Three of the five highest years were in the past 10: 2025 (2,805 deaths) and 2018 (2,617), along with 2022.
All figures are based on modelled estimates of mortality and are not actual counts of deaths directly caused by extreme weather.
Commenting on the findings, James Tucker of the ONS said: “As our climate changes, including more frequent and prolonged periods of very hot weather, it is important to understand how both heat and cold affect mortality over time.
“Our results show that the gap between heat and cold-related deaths has narrowed in recent years as the proportion of heat-related deaths has increased.
Full story here.
The number of heat-related deaths itself is absurdly meaningless – 42,000 sounds a lot, but over 38 years it is barely a thousand a year. Compared to annual deaths of over 600,000, that is microscopically tiny. These deaths are supposedly excess deaths over and above what might have been expected.
But the numbers are not even calculated from actual data, which should be a simple enough task; instead, they are “modelled estimates”, as the ONS describe:.
“We used a statistical model to estimate the relationship between temperature and mortality, while accounting for other factors that may influence mortality risk, for example, air pollution.”
Clearly the Government’s Net Zero agenda is badly compromised by the fact that excess deaths in winter number in the tens of thousands every year; by contrast, deaths in summer are always the lowest of any season. Last year was no exception:
To most, a warmer climate in Britain is a good thing.
So, step forward the supposedly independent Office for National Statistics (ONS). According to their computer models, more and more people are dropping like flies every time the sun comes out; and the problem is getting worse. If this were true, of course, what is killing off people in spring, when the death toll is 6% higher than summer? April showers?
The ONS report gives the game away that this is a politically motivated one when it says:
“The impacts of temperatures on human health are of global concern.”
However, this new ONS study falls flat on its face with the claim that:
“2022 saw the highest daily temperatures recorded for England and Wales. This caused an increased number of heat-related deaths in 2022, compared with surrounding years (estimated 4,430 deaths in England and 222 in Wales).”
But back in 2022, three months after the heatwaves, the ONS carried out a very detailed study into mortality during the time. The data clearly showed that, although deaths spiked on the hottest days, they quickly dropped below average levels over the following days.
There had in effect been a short-term mortality displacement. People who were already dying simply passed away a few days earlier than they would otherwise have done. The heatwave did not kill them; they died naturally because of underlying disease.
Although the new ONS study only covers up to 2025, they do mention analysis by the UKHSA, the UK Health Security Agency, which claims that an estimated 753 heat-associated deaths occurred during this year’s May heatwave in the last week of the month.
However, the UKHSA use the same faulty methods as the ONS.
The number of deaths during the week of the heatwave, Week 22, was above last year’s figure, but was also well below normal in the following three weeks. Across the four-week period, there were 1731 fewer deaths than the same period a year ago.
Such a shoddy misuse of statistics puts the ONS in a bad light. It’s even worse when it is clearly being done at Government diktat.
