Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach (@weschenbach on X, blog at Skating Under The Ice)
We’re told, endlessly, that science is a self-correcting machine. A pristine engine of truth where bad ideas are discarded, and good ones rise to the top like cream. We are told to “Trust The Science™“ because it has passed the magical, mystical trial known as Peer Review.
Bad news. The machine is broken, the cream is curdled milk, and the gatekeepers are asleep at the switch—or worse, they’re selling tickets to the vandals.
A new study out of Northwestern University, entitled Organized scientific fraud is growing at an alarming rate, study uncovers, has just pulled back the curtain on what many have said for years. It turns out that “organized scientific fraud” isn’t just a few rogue grad students fudging a data point. No. It is a global, industrial-scale operation.
According to the study, we are now dealing with “sophisticated global networks” that function essentially as criminal organizations. They aren’t just faking results; they are manufacturing entire fake scientific careers. They sell authorship slots on bogus papers like they’re selling condos in Florida.
You want to be a “First Author” on a groundbreaking physics paper? That’ll be $5,000. You want to be a co-author? We have a discount on aisle three.
The study notes that this fraud is “outpacing the growth rate of legitimate scientific publications.” Think about that. The cancer is growing faster than the host.
YIKES!
And the peer-review system, that vaunted shield that is supposed to protect us from error? It’s acting less like a shield and more like a sieve.
But wait. Before we blame this all on shadowy “criminal networks” and nameless paper mills overseas, let’s look a little closer to home. Because the rot isn’t just coming from outside the house. It’s coming from the basement.
I’ve seen this movie before. I’ve lived it.
Years ago, I wrote about my peer-review experiences with Dr. Michael Mann, author of the infamous “Hockey Stick.” I called him a “Smooth Operator“, and I meant it. In the climate world, “peer review” has too often morphed into “pal review.” It’s a cozy club where friends rubber-stamp friends’ papers and, more importantly, block the publication of a study from anyone like me who dares to question the “Consensus.”

And as I detailed in “Freedom of Information, My Okole“, I’ve spent years asking for the data and code behind these taxpayer-funded studies. And what do I get? Stonewalling. Refusals. As Phil Jones told Warwick Hughes, “Why should I show you my data when you only want to find something wrong with it?”
That is not science. That is a priesthood protecting its dogma.
The current peer-review system is a black box. An editor sends a paper to two or three anonymous reviewers. If those reviewers are the author’s pals, the paper gets a pass. If the author is an outsider, or a skeptic, the reviewers can kill the paper in secret, with no accountability, for reasons that have nothing to do with the science and everything to do with protecting their turf.

Of course, only an extremely rare, perfectly honest reviewer is going to allow the publication of any study that demolishes the very foundations of the work that he’s spent his life building and expounding. As Upton Sinclair famously explained, “It is difficult to get a man to understand something, when his salary depends upon his not understanding it”. I call that the “Sinclair Trap”, and it’s far too easy to fall into.
Unfortunately, the Sinclair Trap is even worse for scientists because it’s not just money. I’ve said before that “Science is a blood sport”. What I meant was that any new scientific discovery or understanding has the possibility of being very costly, not just to the salary, but to the prized professional reputation of the holders of the previous view.
It doesn’t have to be costly if the scientist whose prior work is discredited is honest, open about it, and willing to move forward and embrace and further the new understanding.
But that’s not every scientist.
And now, we see the result. A system so opaque and unaccountable that it can be gamed by criminal syndicates on one end and ideological gatekeepers on the other.
So, what do we do? Do we just throw up our hands and say “Science is hard”?
No. Just no.
We need a total overhaul. A complete tear-down of the secrecy that allows this problem to thrive in the dark.
I’ve proposed a solution before, and I’ll propose it again. I call it Peer Review Plus.
Here’s how it works. It’s simple, it’s cheap, and it would solve 90% of these problems overnight.
First, you keep the traditional peer review. But here is the kicker: You publish everything.
When a paper is published, you don’t just publish the paper. You publish the entire correspondence between the authors and the reviewers. You publish the reviewers’ and editors’ names. You publish their objections, and the authors’ rebuttals.
Let the world see how the sausage was made. If a reviewer gave a paper a pass because they’re pals, it will be obvious. If a reviewer blocked a paper because they didn’t like the conclusion, that will be obvious too.
But I’d go further.
We should also publish any valuable rejected papers.
Science proceeds by falsification. When a paper is rejected, it’s usually because a reviewer claims to have found a flaw. That falsification, valid or not, is a valuable piece of scientific data. But right now, it’s thrown in the trash bin of history.
If a reviewer rejects my paper, I want that rejection—and my answer to it—on the public record. Let the community decide if the rejection was valid or if it was just gatekeeping.
We also need an “Open Review” system where publishing the data and code are mandatory. As my friend Mosh used to say “No code, no data, no science”. This should result in “No publication”. Period.
And then, once it’s published, open the floor. Allow moderated, non-anonymous comments on the web from the larger scientific community and the public. The truth is that this public peer review by the larger world is the only truly valuable review.
The Northwestern study says we need to “police ourselves better.” They’re half right. We don’t need more police. We need more lights and more transparency. Sunlight is the best disinfectant. Right now, the scientific establishment is operating in a windowless room, and the mold is taking over.
We need to stop treating “Peer Reviewed” as a stamp of divine truth and start treating it for what it is: a fallible, human, and currently deeply corruptible process.
Until we pry the doors open and let the public see who is paying whom, who is reviewing whom, what the objections to the study were, and where the data actually is, this fraud will continue. The paper mills will keep churning, the pals will keep reviewing, and the public trust in science will continue its long, slow slide into the gutter.
Both the public and the scientists deserve better.
w.
PS—After writing the above, I thought I’d use perplexity to educate me on the history of peer-review. As always, there’s more for me to learn. This is a good question for AI, since the history is not a highly debated subject. I asked:
What is the history of the peer-review process in scientific publication? Who pushed for it? Who objected to it?
I included my standard instructions about not guessing, using primary sources, and the like. Here’s the response:
===
Peer review in scientific publishing developed gradually from informal editorial consultation in the seventeenth century to standardized external refereeing after the Second World War, with strong institutional support from major learned societies and leading journals, and persistent criticism from scientists and methodologists who argued that it is conservative, biased, and often unreliable. No single individual “invented” modern peer review, and surviving historical documentation does not support attributing it to one specific person; rather, it emerged through incremental practices at journals such as Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society and later formal policies at journals such as Nature. [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7]
Early editorial review (17th–18th centuries)
• In 1665, Henry Oldenburg began editing Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society and sought advice from knowledgeable colleagues to decide which submissions to print, which historians regard as a precursor to formal refereeing, although it was not systematic external peer review in the modern sense. [2] [8] [7]
• In the eighteenth century, the Royal Society created a Committee of Papers that could accept, postpone, reject, or refer manuscripts to designated members for expert evaluation, embedding internal scientific judgment into the journal’s constitution but still without standardized, anonymous external review. [3] [8] [7]
Nineteenth‑century institutionalization
• During the nineteenth century, Philosophical Transactions and other society journals increasingly used written reports from selected referees, often Fellows of the society, to guide publication decisions, making the process more formal and collective than Oldenburg’s largely personal editorial control. [7] [3]
• Historians of science emphasize that practices varied widely among journals and disciplines, and that even where referee reports existed, they were not yet a universal or uniform requirement for all scientific papers. [4] [2]
Twentieth‑century “modern” peer review
• After the Second World War, rapid growth in the number of manuscripts, expansion of specialized fields, and rising journal prestige led many journals to adopt routine external refereeing by domain experts, which is often identified as the birth of “modern” peer review. [9] [1] [4]
• By the late 1960s and early 1970s, leading journals such as Nature had formal peer review systems, and the term “peer review” itself came into widespread use, supported by citation-tracking infrastructures that rewarded publication in peer‑reviewed venues. [10] [4] [9]
Who pushed for peer review?
• Documentary evidence shows that officers and councils of learned societies, particularly the Royal Society of London and similar bodies in Europe and North America, pushed for more systematic expert evaluation to protect scientific reputation, manage limited printing budgets, and filter the growing volume of submissions. [2] [3] [7]
• Editors and publishers of major journals in medicine and the natural sciences in the mid‑twentieth century promoted external peer review as a quality‑control and gatekeeping mechanism, and later governmental and funding agencies reinforced its use by tying research assessment and career advancement to publication in peer‑reviewed outlets. [6] [1] [4]
Who objected to peer review?
• Historical and contemporary analyses document objections from prominent scientists, including Albert Einstein, who was notably resistant when one of his papers was subjected to anonymous external review, as well as from later critics who argue that peer review can suppress innovative or unconventional work. [5] [11]
• Methodological critiques in the biomedical and social‑science literature have highlighted problems such as low inter‑reviewer agreement, bias, conservative preference for established paradigms, and limited ability to detect errors or fraud, and some scholars have called for major reforms or even abolition of traditional pre‑publication peer review in favor of alternative models. [12] [13] [1] [6]
Limitations: The surviving primary records (editorial minutes, correspondence, referee reports) are incomplete and uneven across journals, so attributions of “first use” and lists of specific individuals who pushed or objected are necessarily partial, and no primary source provides a complete, definitive chronology for all disciplines. [14] [7] [2]
[1](https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11215012/)
[2](https://ethos.lps.library.cmu.edu/article/id/19/)
[3](https://arts.st-andrews.ac.uk/philosophicaltransactions/brief-history-of-phil-trans/phil-trans-in-19th-century/)
[4](https://blog.f1000.com/2020/01/31/a-brief-history-of-peer-review/)
[5](https://theconversation.com/hate-the-peer-review-process-einstein-did-too-27405)
[6](https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC4975196/)
[7](https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC4360128/)
[8](https://arts.st-andrews.ac.uk/philosophicaltransactions/brief-history-of-phil-trans/phil-trans-in-18th-century/)
[9](https://mitcommlab.mit.edu/broad/commkit/peer-review-a-historical-perspective/)
[10](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RGuaua10oRE)
[11](https://www.experimental-history.com/p/the-rise-and-fall-of-peer-review)
[12](https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/12127284/)
[13](https://mediatheoryjournal.org/2018/09/03/mieke-bal-lets-abolish-the-peer-review-system/)
[14](https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-024-03287-4)
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I’ve twice experienced the post-publication open review at PubPeer.
I can’t begin to describe the insistently hostile attacks of people who did not, or would not, understand the given paper on its merits. It was all about protecting the consensus narrative.
PubPeer has earned the PubSmear sobriquet in spades. And that term was invented by others, who’ve suffered the same cesspool of corrosive commentary.
Open access to rebuttals will not prevent those opposed to whatever work, from quoting only the critical comments and broadcasting them widely, all the while ignoring the response that refuted the criticism.
Most people will not bother to do the work to discover the truth of it all. They’ll just forward the attacks and complaints until the canards take on a political truth.
An author, no matter how responsible honorable or correct, can become radioactive in society if the attacks are sufficiently vicious and persistent. Along with the published result.
Look, for example, at what happened to Richard Lindzen and his Iris Hypothesis. Or, an example of even greater villany suffered, what happened to Willie Soon.
I know all this also from personal experience, mostly defending my own work that critically examines the integrity of climate data and models.
So, Willis, I admire your intentions, but please address how you’d solve the problem of one hostile attack after another, with literally no end, weaving a disfiguring tapestry of character assassination and professional defamation, taking villainous advantage of open ad libitum reviews.
Thanks, Pat. You ask “… how to solve the problem of one hostile attack after another”.
Same way that we do it here on WUWT or many other blogs. Moderation based on clear guidelines prohibiting any kind of ad hominem attacks, with blocking for persistent offenders.
w.
It’s working well. Obviously, I don’t make any types of ad hominem attacks.
Whew! Thanks for that.
That didn’t work at PubPeer, Willis.
In the debate about LiG Met, the moderator showed bias. He came to argue for the critics – none of whom displayed any knowledge of systematic measurement uncertainty.
Maybe if comments were disallowed a month after publication. Anyone with a real problem can compose and submit a critical letter.
That’s how the editor of Climate Research treated criticisms when Willie Soon, et al., published their 2001 paper discussing the gigantic simulation failures of climate models. There were four published critical comments and four rejoinders.
That’s the traditional method in science. Air out the back-and-forth in reviewed and published criticisms and responses. Let the professional audience decide.
A true controversy in science stimulates research by external parties. In that process, the reality of the question eventually shows itself.
Twenty-plus years ago I seem to recall reading an article comparing British medical research with American medical research. Americans used peer review. The Brits used actual scientific tests designed to duplicate the originator’s results. That is, a British study claiming “aspirin cures cancer” would only be validated if the study could be replicated.
In contrast, the Americans simply read the study and said “makes sense to me.”
(Probably one reason why we had a “study” proving table-top fusion from a pair of professors at Brigham Young.)
Why shouldn’t we publish the details of every study, and its conclusions, and allow other researchers in the same field to prove or disprove it? Truth should not depend on a vote by people being paid to reach opinions.
Yes, I know I’m simple minded……
Eschenbach, yet, you participate in reviewing submissions here on WUWT and have recommended rejection of submissions, rather than allowing the readership to weigh in on the merit of an article. You should follow your own advice.
Clyde, I’m an author and a very intermittent reviewer. Occasionally the powers that be will ask if a paper should be published or not.
There’s a lot of stuff out there you wouldn’t touch—chemtrails, how crystals control the climate, lots of loons on the web. Then there’s lots of stuff that’s on the edge. Might seem reasonable at first, but actually isn’t. Might be worth publishing, might not.
Over my 15 years of writing for WUWT, I’ve been asked maybe a dozen times whether something was over the edge or no. If there were obvious fatal flaws, I wrote them up and passed them to the Moderator, who then made their own decision. If it seemed passable, I said that. Final decision is always the Moderator’s.
And it’s not like WUWT is censoring them. The web is a big place, and if no one wants to publish their treatise on how you can taste the chemtrails, as a man once solemnly assured me, they can start their own blog.
As I said, WUWT can’t publish them all and doesn’t want to.
w.
Were his speculations supported by reproducible experiment? If not, let him pay to publish. Who cares about his speculations.
After all, the authors of “Atmospheric CO2: Principal Control Knob Governing Earth’s Temperature” paid to publish their rubbish paper, which was based purely on fantasy.
A paper might “seem reasonable”, but be a complete load of computer generated slop – and get past peer review! The reviewers were obviously ignorant and gullible, and their names should be widely circulated for inclusion on everybody’s “point and laugh” list!
That might make reviewers think a little harder, and ask why they should work for nothing for a multimillion dollar profit making publisher. And if they charge, then they can be held accountable for their opinions. Michael Mann certainly has no reservations about suing people for their opinions. Should he be able to sue reviewers whose opinions he doesn’t like?
It all gets a bit complicated, doesn’t it? I’ve been asked to offer an opinion couple of times. Never a second time, though.
Clyde, people talk about “the merit of an article”, apparently based on whether the popularity contest judges think it has “merit”. In my worthless opinion, that looks like “science by consensus” to me.
Albert Einstein was a very clever fellow, undoubtedly. Just imagine Einstein being asked to review a paper which asserted the opposite of Einstein’s conviction that “God does not play dice with the universe” – namely Heisenberg’s Uncertainty Principle.
Or Lord Kelvin reviewing a paper which asserted that the Earth was more than four billion years old!
Fact is the only “review” with merit, in my worthless opinion. At least I am supported by the “authority” of Richard Feynman –
Maybe “expert reviewers” (of the pseudoscientific “climate science” variety) might decide that Feynman’s opinions are totally devoid of merit. No hard and fast rules for peer review that seem to cover all eventualities, as far as I can see. Just more popularity contest judges deciding the “merit” of something that might never have been discovered before.
Willis, top form as ever!
I wonder if, on average, your posts gather the most responses here?
Part of the problem: The fee paid when a paper is submitted for publication.
Part of the problem: Academic publish or perish.
Part of the problem: Paywalls.