Looming US Battery Company Shutdown Imperils Aussie Net Zero Push

Essay by Eric Worrall

“… If Powin LLC’s present business circumstances do not improve, it is currently anticipated that a layoff will occur on or before 28 July 2025 …”

Main supplier to Australia’s most powerful big battery warns it may go out of business

Giles Parkinson
Jun 3, 2025

The US-based Powin, the main supplier to the Waratah Super Battery in New South Wales, the most powerful big battery to be built in the country, has warned that it may go out of business and be forced to lay off all its staff within weeks.

Powin has filed a letter with regulatory authorities in the US state of Oregon, where it is based, warning that it may be forced to shut down by July 28, or earlier, if business conditions do not improve.

In a letter dated May 29, Powin warns that “due to unforeseen business circumstances, Powin LLC’s situation, as well as the economy generally, remain dynamic and fluid.”

The letter, signed by Powin’s VP for human resources, Scott Getman, says. “If Powin LLC’s present business circumstances do not improve, it is currently anticipated that a layoff will occur on or before 28 July 2025.

It said: “Both Waratah Super Battery and Ulinda Park are well advanced, with 100% of Powin battery packs installed and commissioning activities progressing. Waratah Super Battery currently has around 240 MW available and is progressing through hold point testing. 

“Akaysha has mobilised its deep in-house engineering, delivery, asset management, and market operations teams to mitigate any risks to seamless project delivery. 

Read more: https://reneweconomy.com.au/main-supplier-to-australias-most-powerful-big-battery-warns-it-may-go-out-of-business/

Powin is the main supplier for the big battery which is supposed to replace Eraring Coal Plant. The NSW government last year agreed to pay a billion dollars to Eraring to stay open until 2027, to stabilise the New South Wales state grid.

There were early warning signs of Powin’s precarious financial situation, which somehow appear to have been overlooked during the Waratah project’s due diligence. It took me 2 minutes of googling to discover that in 2023 a Chinese supplier took Powin to court for allegedly not paying their bills.

Although the company raised US$200 million financing through a credit facility with influential US investment firm Kohlberg Kravis Roberts & Co (KKR) as recently as Q3 of last year, Powin cited “unforeseen business circumstances” impacting its performance in its notice letter last week.

Late last year, one of Powin’s battery suppliers, CATL, filed a complaint in a US court for alleged non-payment for battery cells supplied during 2023. The Chinese battery manufacturer claimed the US integrator had not paid for two shipments of cells, worth CNY310 million (US$44 million).

Though the company has pushed into international markets including Australia, Europe and Latin America, Powin’s announcement comes amid a backdrop of uncertainty for the US battery storage industry, driven by US federal policy announcements including tariffs and the possible repeal of tax credit incentives for clean energy manufacturing and deployment via the budget reconciliation bill.

…   

Read more: https://www.energy-storage.news/powin-could-cease-operations-by-end-of-july-if-present-business-circumstances-do-not-improve/

Despite this apparent cashflow difficulty Powin was until recently able to secure access to serious loans. In October 2024, Powin announced they had secured a $200 million “revolving credit facility” from investment giant KKR. Perhaps KKR were expecting Powin’s fortunes to improve after the November 2024 election.

Green energy pundits are already busy blaming Trump’s tariffs for Powin’s difficulties. My opinion is, given the economic turmoil of the last five years, perhaps Powin should have paid more attention to managing the risk of signing fixed price procurement and delivery contracts.

There seem to be hints that Powin might have secured federal grants and moneys, but I didn’t find anything definitive. Powin was certainly named in Biden era documents as a strategic green energy provider. If anyone has the patience to go dumpster diving through Powin public company statements and Biden administration online records, please post anything you find in comments.

The Waratah Super Battery when completed will have a capacity of 1680MWh – equivalent to just over half an hour of Eraring Coal Plant output when fully charged. Given wind droughts covering the entire continent of Australia have occurred at least twice in the last five years, only the engineering challenged could believe a battery of this capacity is an adequate replacement for a plant capable of delivering a continuous 2880MW.

Even though Waratah Super Battery spokespeople are claiming “100% of Powin battery packs” have been installed, it must be a deeply uncomfortable situation to have spent hundreds of millions of dollars on a product which is meant to serve as the backbone of an entire state’s electricity grid, only to see the supplier start cease trading proceedings. You can’t pursue a warranty claim against a company which no longer exists. Having said that, Akaysha Energy, which is managing the Waratah battery project, has promised to mobilise “… its deep in-house engineering, delivery, asset management, and market operations teams to mitigate any risks to seamless project delivery.”

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Randle Dewees
June 3, 2025 10:09 am

As Ozzy Man might ask “Destination F’d?”

Scissor
Reply to  Randle Dewees
June 3, 2025 11:21 am

Buy them while they’re hot.

Reply to  Scissor
June 3, 2025 1:21 pm

Before they’re on fire? 😅🤣😂

Sparta Nova 4
June 3, 2025 10:16 am

I have some old carbon zinc cells they can have, but they have to pay postage and shipping.

Scarecrow Repair
Reply to  Sparta Nova 4
June 3, 2025 10:56 am

And hazmat fees. And insurance.

Sparta Nova 4
Reply to  Scarecrow Repair
June 3, 2025 11:50 am

Carbon zinc batteries do not have material data safety sheets listing any hazards.

Insurance? Ok. Mail is often lost, but since I would send them at 0 cost, insurance seems a waste.

Michael Flynn
Reply to  Sparta Nova 4
June 3, 2025 6:37 pm

Carbon zinc batteries do not have material data safety sheets listing any hazards.

But . . . , but . . . they contain CARBON! How dangerous is that? Think of the global warming potential!

/humour off

Reply to  Sparta Nova 4
June 4, 2025 9:41 am

“Carbon zinc batteries do not have material data safety sheets listing any hazards.”

Childhood-swallowing danger?

Bryan A
June 3, 2025 10:17 am

The Waratah Super Battery when completed will have a capacity of 1680MWh – equivalent to just over half an hour of Eraring Coal Plant output when fully charged

At that rate they’ll only need another 23 Waratah Super Battery sized sites to potentially replace the ONE COAL STATION power potential (and billions of dedicated solar panels and wind turbines to recharge it daily)

Scarecrow Repair
Reply to  Bryan A
June 3, 2025 10:57 am

No, 47, it’s only half an hour.

Reply to  Bryan A
June 3, 2025 1:11 pm

And what exactly are they going to “charge” those batteries with when there is no wind on a cloudy day ??

Coal fired electricity ??

Reply to  bnice2000
June 4, 2025 8:08 am

I love it when my eyes play tricks on me.

I thought you said coal fried electricity.

Reply to  Bryan A
June 3, 2025 1:23 pm

And that would only be for an inadequate period of time, not to mention the gigantic assumption that there would be enough “excess” power to charge them in between uses.

Bryan A
Reply to  AGW is Not Science
June 3, 2025 2:09 pm

That’s why the “Dedicated” Billions of Solar Panels and Wind Turbines

Reply to  Bryan A
June 4, 2025 9:48 am

Batteries are DC voltage, whereas almost every “grid” in the world is based on AC voltage.

Due to DC-AC conversions losses (perhaps up to 10% for very high amperage circuits) and the fact that most batteries experience shorter life-cycle capability if drawn down below about 15% depth-of-discharge, battery nameplate capacity never equates to delivered capacity.

Reply to  ToldYouSo
June 13, 2025 9:46 am

Ooops . . . my mistake in my last sentence . . . I should have stated “. . . experience shorter life-cycle capability if drawn down below about 15% 85% depth-of-discharge, . . .”, meaning that life-cycle damage occurs when a battery has very little charge left.

DipChip
June 3, 2025 10:24 am

“Waratah Super Battery currently has around 240 MW available and is progressing through hold point testing.”

What exactly does that mean? is that a typo, peak power available, or KW hours?

DipChip
Reply to  DipChip
June 3, 2025 10:27 am

My typo should be MW hours.

Sparta Nova 4
Reply to  DipChip
June 3, 2025 11:58 am

WM is voltage times current and does not reflect capacity, which you know to be MW hours.

If the batteries can last 0.5 hours, then the capacity is 120 MW-hr.

I have no idea what they mean by hold point testing. I have never heard that term before in the past half century of studying batteries, cells, all those electro-chemical energy sources.

It apparently has something to do with batteries backing up WTG and WV arrays and how fast those can achieve a threshold power output.

D Sandberg
Reply to  Sparta Nova 4
June 3, 2025 3:12 pm

Hold point testing refers to a mandatory verification step in a process where work cannot proceed until an inspection or approval is granted. It is commonly used in construction, manufacturing, and quality assurance to ensure compliance with standards before moving forward.

June 3, 2025 10:53 am

Having said that, Akaysha Energy, which is managing the Waratah battery project, has promised to mobilise “… its deep in-house engineering, delivery, asset management, and market operations teams to mitigate any risks to seamless project delivery.”

Is this free or will there be some kind of fee involved? /sarc

Rud Istvan
June 3, 2025 11:13 am

So Waratah’s big bad grid battery can replace 1/2 hour worth of Eraring coal based generation. Decision makers in Australia appear to be very innumerate. And despite their foolishness, their Oregon battery supplier is going bankrupt.

Won’t end well. I used to have UK and Texas ERCOT on my short list of likely future grid disasters. Now adding Eastern Australia.

Germany likely escapes because of Norway grid buffer, and California likely escapes because of BPA grid imports.

KevinM
Reply to  Eric Worrall
June 3, 2025 5:40 pm

SunRayce… same cars racing across the outback after 30 years of R&D

KevinM
Reply to  Eric Worrall
June 3, 2025 5:42 pm

SunRayce… same cars racing across the outback after 40 years of R&D by USA’s top engineering college brands.

Michael Flynn
Reply to  Eric Worrall
June 3, 2025 7:13 pm

Net zero? Too much CO2 in the atmosphere? Just eliminate more people who breathe it out. Restore the “natural balance”.

Has everybody in power been afflicted with folie à plusiers? (Collective madness, but the French sounds better).

I know Svante Arrhenius was a board member for the Swedish Society for Racial Hygiene, (which apparently wasn’t a charity to supply soap to other races), and he had interesting ideas about restricting the number of CO2 exhalers, but that was then, and this is now.

On the other hand, maybe if the people in power had taken note of his experiments, and subjected all children to “electricity”, they might have become smart enough to reject Arrhenius’ unsupported speculations about the warming properties of CO2.

Here –

Prof. Svante Arrhenius, the noted physicist and Nobel prize winner, has completed in Stockholm a series of experimentsproving that the electrical high frequencies current is a marvelous aid to the physical and mental development of school children, “nearly doubling their growth and greatly improving their learning.”

Must be true – he won a Nobel Prize!

Net zero? Electrifying children to make them bigger and smarter? Adding CO2 to air makes it hotter?

Some people will believe anything.

Jeff Alberts
Reply to  Michael Flynn
June 4, 2025 6:59 am

(which apparently wasn’t a charity to supply soap to other races)”

Ok that was funny.

4 Eyes
Reply to  Rud Istvan
June 3, 2025 5:02 pm

Rud, “very innumerate” is a colossal understatement. No-one seems to be able to comprehend that when the coal is shut down 3 banks of 5 hour (I’m being generous) batteries will be required to get through 1 night let alone 10 nights like we experienced at this time last year (unless of course we increase gas fired generation by a factor of about 20 and we have only 1 calm night before it gets windy again).

oeman50
Reply to  Rud Istvan
June 4, 2025 5:50 am

I notice from Google Earth there are 2 large coal exporting facilities near Waratah. I wonder if that negates whatever effect the batteries have on emissions.

Dave Andrews
Reply to  Rud Istvan
June 4, 2025 8:00 am

The Norwegians are wanting to renegotiate their deals with the UK and Germany following dismay at their closure of coal and nuclear generation respectively.

The Norwegian hydro system only has a small 1.4GW of pumped storage. The other approximately 32GW is not pumped – when the water runs out it is not available for domestic use.

https://watt-logic.com2025/02/21/norway-turning-away-from-electricity-interconnection/

Westfieldmike
June 3, 2025 11:27 am

They can make a really big warm fire.

Reply to  Westfieldmike
June 3, 2025 1:26 pm

Just need to connect that heat to a turbine. But it still won’t provide power for long, and still can’t replace a coal fired plant.

Mr.
June 3, 2025 11:33 am

Are we worrying unnecessarily?

Since we have now pretty much engineered the means to control the weather through our $trillions spend on Net Zero CO2 emissions, why can’t we just arrange for wind droughts to happen between midnight and 5am when most households are asleep in their beds, and aren’t in need of electricity?

(Of course they’d have been advised to charge up their EVs before midnight).

June 3, 2025 12:53 pm
June 3, 2025 1:09 pm

big battery which is supposed to replace Eraring Coal Plant”

Error.. a battery cannot “replace” a power station, because a battery produces zero power of its own.

KevinM
Reply to  J Boles
June 3, 2025 5:45 pm

“The costly D.C. streetcar system, only 2.2 miles long, is going into the trash heap 15 years after the track was first laid and only a decade into operations.”

Is there a success story somewhere to offset all the bad news?

June 3, 2025 1:20 pm

May the whole “green energy” (NOT) grift collapse like a house of cards in a hurricane.

Nick Stokes
June 3, 2025 1:36 pm

Green energy pundits are already busy blaming Trump’s tariffs for Powin’s difficulties.”

You don’t have to be a GE pundit to work that out. Powin is just the middle man here. The batteries actually come from Eve Energy, in China. If involving Powin means a 30% cut to Trump, then bye bye US middle man. The batteries will still arrive.

Mr.
Reply to  Eric Worrall
June 3, 2025 2:24 pm

Yep.
After Powin’s public admission that they’re struggling, all transactions now will be ‘POO’.
(Payment On Order)

Nick Stokes
Reply to  Eric Worrall
June 3, 2025 2:46 pm

Eric,
So what you are saying is the Aussie Albanese government or green energy providers receiving Aussie tax payer money have squandered that money on a chain of useless middle men?”

Nothing to do with Albanese. This is an NSW government purchase, and from the timimg, would be the previous conservative government.

We don’t know what the intermediary services of Powin cost, but they may have had a legitimate risk absorbing role. It seems Eve was an early stage company. What we do know is that in the days of Trump, the Chinese company is a better risk than the US one.

leefor
Reply to  Nick Stokes
June 3, 2025 9:51 pm

If Powin ceases business, warranty ceases, as that is provided by them.

Nick Stokes
Reply to  leefor
June 4, 2025 3:10 am

No. In fact NSW contracted with Akaysha Energy, who subconyracted to Powin. Akaysha say that they will see the contract is honored, as I expect they are obliged to.

D Sandberg
Reply to  Eric Worrall
June 3, 2025 3:17 pm

The battery is half the cost of a grid scale battery storage project. Enclosure, over current protection, switch gear, inter-connecting, fire suppression and much more is the other half.

Nick Stokes
Reply to  D Sandberg
June 3, 2025 3:42 pm

The NSW government actually contracted with Akaysha Energy. Povin’s job was to supply the battery, and that seems to be complete.

“Akaysha Energy was appointed by Energy Corporation of NSW to develop the battery.
The Waratah Super Battery has reached mechanical completion and will be fully operating later this year.
Project partners include: Powin for battery hardware and software, Consolidated Power Projects (CPP) for engineering, procurement and construction, EKS (now part of Hitachi Energy) for power conversion systems and Wilson Transformer Company for power transformers.”

Michael Flynn
Reply to  Nick Stokes
June 3, 2025 8:19 pm

Nick,

Povin’s job was to supply the battery, and that seems to be complete.

Was this battery assembled with cells bought from China? It seems to have been installed by a local Australian company, using Japanese electronics and locally built transformers.

Maybe a customer might have saved money having the battery assembled in China, and shipped direct. They are quite heavy.

Possibly Powin is unprofitable without dependable “Investment Tax Credits”, and other Government assistance. Not exactly the finest example of American exceptionalism.

Reply to  Nick Stokes
June 3, 2025 2:19 pm

The batteries will still arrive.”

A pointless and totally unnecessary waste of taxpayer money. !

And lets just ignore the massive pollution in China to make these stupid things.

Ignoring environmental damage is what leftists environmentalist do.

D Sandberg
Reply to  Nick Stokes
June 3, 2025 3:21 pm

The battery is half the cost of a grid scale battery storage project. Enclosure, over current protection, switch gear, inter-connecting, fire suppression and much more is the other half.

D Sandberg
June 3, 2025 3:04 pm

Building “Golden Parachutes” for top executives at subsidy dependent organizations and paying bills typically create conflict. Good management requires establishing proper priorities.

Bob
June 3, 2025 4:50 pm

More good news. Fire up all fossil fuel and nuclear generators. Build new fossil fuel and nuclear generators. Remove all wind and solar from the grid.

June 3, 2025 6:00 pm

May was not such a productive month for wind farms connected to Australia’s major grid covering the states of Queensland, NSW, Victoria, South Australia and Tasmania (the states of Western Australia and Northern Territory have separate grids due to distance).

Screenshot-2025-06-04-08.15.47
Michael Flynn
June 3, 2025 6:48 pm

All part of the energy transition. Transitioning from “all the time” to “mostly” to “sometimes” to “mostly not at all”, when asking if using the switch would turn the lights on.

I wish I was joking.

Mr.
Reply to  Michael Flynn
June 3, 2025 7:52 pm

When I was kid, we got a clip around the ear if we walked out of a room and left the light on.

Because it would stay on permanently unless someone turned it off at the switch.

So maybe it’s “progress” that kids don’t cop it these days for leaving a light on, because it’s a fair bet that every light in the house will be turned off as soon as the wind dies down?.

Michael Flynn
Reply to  Mr.
June 3, 2025 8:38 pm

Self regulating lights. Good idea – I believe the wind slows down at night, so you wouldn’t need light switches. During the day, if the sun was bright, you wouldn’t notice the lights were on, so there would be no point in turning them off. Plenty of spare electricity during the day when the wind blows most.

Another group to benefit would be pious Orthodox Jews, who would not have to worry about employing a person to turn on lights during Shabbat, nor purchasing a Kosher switch, with its consequent religious disputation.

R. Rabbi Noach Isaac Oelbaum states in his original unedited video endorsement, “I have seen the KosherSwitch, which is produced by Reb Menashe Kalati, and have read the kuntres [collection of KosherSwitch responsa & endorsements]. And all of the detail which is mentioned in the kuntres, and as far as the switch has been demonstrated, it is clear that it is not a grama [not indirect causation]. Mi’tzad [with respect to] Hilchos Shabbos, there is no question of any melakha [forbidden act] being done by using that switch. Mi’tzad sheini [on the other hand] I recommend that anyone asks their own Rav to find out whether it is within the spirit of Shabbos, although there is no real melakha, but ask your own Rav regarding the actual, practical usage.” However, accusations of misrepresentation and wrong-doing followed: ‘Mrs. Helen Oelbaum, however, said that her husband [R. Oelbaum] never gave his stamp of approval to KosherSwitch. “He did not endorse it and they misrepresented what he said,” said Mrs. Oelbaum.

Win-win. Same situation with solar – self regulating nighttime lights!

You are a definite genius!

1saveenergy
Reply to  Michael Flynn
June 3, 2025 11:56 pm

“Another group to benefit would be pious Orthodox Jews, who would not have to worry about employing a person to turn on lights during Shabbat,”

THE SHABBOS GOY
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qIige41_h1Q
enjoy

June 3, 2025 10:04 pm

In a letter dated May 29, Powin warns that “due to unforeseen business circumstances, Powin LLC’s situation, as well as the economy generally, remain dynamic and fluid.”

Powin should have asked the good folk here at Watts Up With That, for several years, we’ve been saying batteries are not the answer.

Westfieldmike
June 3, 2025 11:46 pm

Australia is experiencing unusually cold weather at the moment.

John XB
June 4, 2025 6:55 am

It seems that the nitwits in charge think batteries generate electricity and after discharge don’t need recharge which falls foul of the same intermittency problem they are supposed to solve.

Petey Bird
June 4, 2025 8:27 am

A quick search found this;
The Waratah Super Battery is a 850MW and 1680 MWh battery.

“a battery energy storage system located at the former Munmorah coal-fired power station that is can provide a guaranteed continuous active power capacity of at least 700 MW and a guaranteed useable energy storage capacity of at least 1400 megawatt-hours”

To me that means that this battery will be kept fully charged to cover emergencies. That is the only way that it can provide “guaranteed” capacity.
It will not be able to store surplus if it is kept fully charged. Seems like they are over guaranteeing.
It would require two of these plants to meet the claimed guarantees.

An article in reneweconomy states that it will be used daily and charged by wind and solar.
It seems that these batteries have magical properties or their proponents are very confused.
I found no mention or which battery technology is used.

June 4, 2025 9:39 am

From the reneweconomy.com.au website extract given in the above article:
“The US-based Powin, the main supplier to the Waratah Super Battery in New South Wales, the most powerful big battery to be built in the country, has warned that it may go out of business and be forced to lay off all its staff within weeks.”

Hmmmm . . . looks like New South Wales went with the low-ball quote from all US companies offering grid-scale battery storage.

In comparison, for Q3 2024, Tesla saw an ~75% increase year-over-year in large battery sales

Meanwhile:
“ ‘In a layoff notice, the company told state and local officials that 96 employees in Oregon and 149 remote workers — a total of 245 — could lose their jobs.
“If Powin LLC’s present business circumstances do not improve, it is currently anticipated that a layoff will occur on or before July 28, 2025,’ the company said. 
“It’s a shocking fall for a company that had grown into one of the world’s largest grid-scale battery energy storage system suppliers, drawing investment of at least $235 million since private equity firms took a controlling interest in early 2021.
“The company, in its notice, cited ‘unforeseen business circumstances,’ adding that its situation, ‘as well as the economy generally, remain dynamic and fluid.’
“Powin flourished by marrying Chinese manufactured lithium-ion battery cells with proprietary system technology to serve a growing market for grid-scale storage. It has supplied projects around the world, but the U.S. is its most important market.”
https://www.kgw.com/article/money/business/powin-portland-energy-company-faces-shutdown/283-7c89783f-8326-4283-adb8-53e7d8e7218d

The phrase “unforeseen business circumstances” covers a lot of possibilities, including outright mismanagement, over-leveraging, embezzlement and other forms of corporate corruption.

Caveat emptor (after the fact).

observa
June 4, 2025 3:57 pm

Here’s the climate changer’s problem writ large even in a Mediterranean climate like South Australia-
Negative demand: The new grid reality in a state where half of all homes have rooftop solar | RenewEconomy

and don’t forget these big expensive suckers to try and hang it all together before a cloudy day or the sun goes down-
SA syncons deliver big savings as they set wind free and cut gas output | RenewEconomy

and let’s not get too hasty here folks with the less than desirable-
Diesel generators to be switched back on during South Australian peak demand periods – ABC News