From NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT
By Paul Homewood
The latest fake news from the BBC:
After weeks of dry, sunny conditions in Scotland, torrential downpours over the bank holiday weekend marked a sudden change in weather.
Barely a drop of rain was recorded over almost the entire month.
March and April were far drier than normal, with May seeing only 4% of the normal rainfall by the middle of the month.
This flip between extremes has introduced a new phrase to our forecasting vocabulary – weather whiplash.
Some scientists believe we will have to get used to the idea that our weather will see wild swings from one extreme to another over short periods of time because of climate change….
Before the weather turned last weekend, Scotland had only recorded 41% of its usual spring rainfall, with just seven days left of the season.
This switch is driven by a warming world speeding up the water cycle and allowing the atmosphere to hold more water. So when it does rain, the rain is heavier, which in turn can lead to flooding.
We know that our weather will continue to become more extreme, because global temperatures are rising due to human-induced climate change.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cz63g95nxxno
Obviously the weather has never swung from one extreme to another!
And true to form, the BBC, or their so-called scientists, offer no data at all to back up their assertion.
Indeed, no such evidence exists; on the contrary the data shows nothing has changed over the years.
Here’s some of the evidence:
Although April was drier than average, it was not unusually so, nor is there any trends either way.
Secondly, we can look at the month to month changes during spring.
UK rainfall is inherently variable, sometimes extremely so. For instance, rainfall in May is often considerably greater, and equally often lower. But there is no evidence whatsoever the swings have been widening over time.
Exactly the same can be said for changes from May to June.
https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/datasets/Rainfall/date/Scotland.txt
The BBC repeat the same old lie that rainfall is heavier because of a warmer atmosphere.
The actual daily data for Scotland quite clearly shows this claim to be baseless.
The most dishonest part of the BBC report is this graph, which claims that “when it rains, it now rains more”
But Ed Hawkins’ graph does not show daily rainfall, but seasonal average rainfall.
Taking spring as an example, although the average has increased since the 19thC, that does not mean individual springs are getting wetter. What has changed is that unusually dry springs are now less common.
The BBC hasn’t noticed the change of [political] climate – pun intended. What’s the difference between the likes of the BBCs Justin Rowlatt and Ed Miliband? Their occupations.
Both are equally devout, overzealous and haughty in their disdain for unbelievers and heretics. What I would call realists.
This year – in Southern England – has been relatively dry, but there’s been no heat. There was some tittle-tattle in the tabloids about ‘baking’ at 25C sometime in June. Baking? Oooo k.
The BBC is beyond salvation. Not only does its much vaunted Verify unit get things utterly wrong, it also costs a small fortune…
Wrong
“Yesterday the BBC’s “Disinformation Correspondent” Marianna Spring and Panorama revealed their top scoop: that “Donald Trump supporters have been creating and sharing AI-generated fake images of black voters to encourage African Americans to vote Republican“. Spring boasted that she had “discovered dozens of deepfakes portraying black people as supporting the former president. There’s no evidence directly linking these images to Trump’s campaign.” The revelations were enough to warrant an investigation piece and a special podcast episode…
On second glance the nefarious deepfakes may not be the conspiracy Spring was looking for. The clearly-watermarked AI images of Trump with black Americans are the creations of a joke account whose Twitter bio states: “Documenting the history of the 45th President of the United States, Donald J. Trump (parody)“.
https://order-order.com/2024/03/05/bbc-panoramas-disinformation-scoop-just-photos-from-twitter-parody-account/
There’s plenty more where that came from, too.
“Guido’s in house Verify service analysed editorial content produced by BBC Verify and found that in the last five days a total of zero articles have been produced. Total staff: 63. Total salary bill to the taxpayer: £3.4 million…
Considering that BBC Verify has only produced 14 articles in May so far Guido Verify analysis shows that each staff member is effectively being paid £281.67 per article produced so far this month. Nice work if you can get it…
”https://order-order.com/2025/05/27/struggling-bbc-verify-produces-zero-stories-in-five-days/
The BBC is propaganda at best.
Maximum temperatures have been well above average. Although that probably qualifies as very warm rather than hot given it’s only Spring, although it certainly verged on hot in places at times. March had the 5th highest mean max. temperature in the entire CET series anomaly +3.7C; April was 4th +4.7C; May has been less warm relatively but still currently +3C.
Source?
I can give you data on the mean max temps for the last 3 months.
Recorded with my own LiG thermometer here in Scunthorpe, North Lincolnshire.
February 7.4C
March 11.7C
April 14.7C
Really useful!
Wow! April is warmer than Feb!
My post quite clearly says.
Imagination
“Maximum temperatures have been well above average.”
Day or night? What data was used to set average?
My post quite clearly says.
Nope. Your post says “spring”. Your post does not answer whether it referred to day or night and did not answer which springs were used to calculate average.
You do know how you get averages, right? Some numbers are higher, some are lower.
Charles
If anything, that moderation has got worse.
Try applying the same standards to your blog posts and you’d get nothing published – at all.
Until the dutiful email comes through….
“Barely a drop of rain was recorded over almost the entire month.”
Well, if so, did it cause any great suffering? Farmers went out of business? Cattle dying from thirst? Reservoirs dried up? Large fires in the landscape? Nothing more significant to worry about?
Not enough water to keep the whiskey producers in business? 🙂
Natural variability – its the new climate change crisis. Last year was wet….
There’s was a lot of fires, chiefly because the media kept issuing call to action notices for all the arsonists, pointing out it was a great time to start a fire, as the wildfire risk was high!
Aren’t there a lot of planted forests in Scotland? They would be very easy to torch, especially if not kept thinned out with fire breaks and fire crews in the vicinity who know how to deal with such fires.
Whisky here in Scotland, Joseph, not Whiskey.
OK, got it- and now I hear it with a brogue. 🙂
Whuskay?
I guess the BBC is too uninformed to know that “the season” doesn’t end until three weeks into June.
So another MONTH as opposed to another WEEK.
But being wrong by a factor of four is about right for the climate cult.
Met Office, and most people these days use the meteorological/calendar month Spring, not the astronomical one.
And that makes it right?
Another story about weather = climate change. Nice NOT.
This flip between extremes has introduced a new phrase to our forecasting vocabulary – weather whiplash.
Reification at its finest.”This flip between extremes” has NOT introduced anything. Climate activists, warmists and pseudoscientists have introduced the new phrase to foster a crisis that doesn’t exist.
In the UK flips between drought and floods and vice versa have been pretty normal in my 75(nearly) years.
That term, “whiplash” has been applied to the fake climate crisis for a while now.
So, let me be sure I understand what these wankers are saying. The weather behaving in a perfectly normal manner is a climate crisis? That’s their story and they are sticking to it. Okely dokely.
Story tip.
https://wmo.int/news/media-centre/global-climate-predictions-show-temperatures-expected-remain-or-near-record-levels-coming-5-years
WHO has issued a 5 year alert that the world is ending.
And they will do whatever it takes to the data to make it so.
The BBC’s knowledge of climate is laughable; it seems they are attempting to compete with the best available comedy.
It’s the age of weather numptylash.
“This flip between extremes has introduced a new phrase to our forecasting vocabulary – weather whiplash.”
One of the strange reasons the global cause might be waning is over-farming of accessible scare phrases. Superstorm Sandy, Bomb Cyclone, Weather Whiplash, Oh my! The English language has plenty scary adjectives left but the word count is finite. Amateur wordsmiths will be squeezed out.
There is nothing new about this claimed “weather whiplash”.
Back on June 2nd 1975 there was snowfall in England, yet on the very next day the max temps got up to 23C if l remember correctly.
I remember a headline in the Manchester Evening News from that event “flaming June”….written in the snow above Rochdale.
Yes, I was planning on attending the cricket match between Derbyshire and Lancashire that day but an inch of snow covered the pitch and play was called off! It was followed within a week to the start of a long hot summer which ultimately lead to the long hot drought of 1976!
So Springs are drier during each warm phase of the AMO, along with increased sunshine hours.
And the AMO is warmer because of the centennial solar minimum.
“nor
isare there any trends either way”Correction submitted.
“Some scientists believe we will have to get used to the idea that our weather will see wild swings from one extreme to another over short periods of time because of climate change….”
Right “wild swings” … between dry and wet spells of weather.
Lasting less than a season.
So Homewood says ….
“But there is no evidence whatsoever the swings have been widening over time.” and proceeds to show graphs of average rainfall.
Well, no, they wouldn’t show what scientists have said.
Because when you average, say a very wet 2 weeks with a very dry 2 weeks.
You end up with an average month.
And if you average a very wet 6 weeks with a very dry 6 weeks.
You end up with an average season.
Etc.
This startling revelation seems to have escaped Homewood.
In order to asess the veracity of the science, you need to look at daily data and crucially the number of extreme prolonged rainfall events.
Incidence of >50mm events
Incidence of >10mm events (larger trend than 1mm events)
I thought it always rained in the UK. It looks like England is on par with Sydney.
Even Ireland only seems to get a bit of drizzle every other day.
10mm barely counts as a bit of a scud.