Sorry, Agence France-Presse, Clove Production Is Not Dropping Due to Climate Change

From ClimateREALISM

By H. Sterling Burnett

Recently, multiple media outlets picked up a wire story from the Agence France-Presse (AFP) wire service claiming human caused climate change threatens the viability of Indonesia’s clove production. Data tell a different story. Clove production in Indonesia, other top clove producing countries, and globally in general, has increased during the recent period of slight global warming, in part due to the carbon dioxide fertilization effect and in part due to better growing conditions in general.

Daily Sabah and Arab News, among other regional media outlets, ran the AFP story, respectively titled, “Indonesia’s clove industry on brink as climate change worsens,” and “Climate change takes spice from Indonesia clove farms.” AFP’s story is a series of anecdotes relayed by select farmers detailing the recent problems they’ve had with their clove harvests in recent years. Indonesia is the largest clove producing country. AFP writes that U.N. “Food and Agriculture Organization [FAO] data from the past two decades shows Indonesia’s clove yields vary significantly, more than rival producers,” assuming the varying yields, and recent declines are due to climate change.

Yet, yields vary from year to year in every country and for every crop, and AFP provides no evidence, meaning hard data, showing that rainfall patterns have either become more infrequent, indicate heavier rainfall and flooding, or have become more erratic and unpredictable over the past 30 years of climate change.

Rather than relying solely on some farmers self-reporting on hardships and drawing general conclusions about clove production, AFP should have looked at the underlying data from the FAO. Had it done so, it would have found, during the recent modest warming, since 1990:

  • Indonesia’s clove yields increased more than 46 percent;
  • Indonesia’s clove production expanded by more than 102 percent.

What’s true for Indonesia is true for world clove yields and production as well over the same time period:

  • Global clove yields grew by more than 67 percent;
  • Global clove production increased by more than 126 percent. (See the figure, below)

Data from the global data research firm, Tridge, shows that what is true for Indonesia is equally true for each of the top ten clove producing countries – varying yearly production but overall growth between 2007 and 2021, the last year for which Tridge provides data. (See the graph, below)

whole-clove-trends

As Climate Realism has repeatedly shown before, herehere, and here, for example, AFP seems wedded to reporting the narrative that humans are causing dangerous climate change, even when the data repeatedly debunks such assertions. Sadly, that seems to be an accurate reflection not just of AFP, but of the state of mainstream media climate reporting today.

H. Sterling Burnett

H. Sterling Burnett

H. Sterling Burnett, Ph.D., is the Director of the Arthur B. Robinson Center on Climate and Environmental Policy and the managing editor of Environment & Climate News. In addition to directing The Heartland Institute’s Arthur B. Robinson Center on Climate and Environmental Policy, Burnett puts Environment & Climate News together, is the editor of Heartland’s Climate Change Weekly email, and the host of the Environment & Climate News Podcast.

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Tom Halla
May 10, 2025 6:06 pm

Aww. Cheer up. The woke press will
shift to blaming everything on Trump, even
things that didn’t happen.

Edward Katz
May 10, 2025 6:17 pm

Such distorted and fake news is standard procedure for climate alarmist branches of the media. Rarely or never will it report on increased agricultural production in areas that have previously experienced inconsistent yields or in locales where certain crops have had difficulty maintaining a foothold because of historically cool or dry conditions. But as soon as these conditions improve, it will look for ways to claim otherwise due to unfounded numbers or pure speculation because of what else than human-induced climate change.

John Hultquist
May 10, 2025 7:50 pm

The Great Toiler Paper Shortage of 1973 became a real thing when a writer on the Johnny Carson Show noticed a news story by a Wisconsin congressman. Johnny made “on air” jokes and, as they say, the rest is history.
This was a much more fun event than the recent coffee, chocolate, clove, tea, _?__ shortages. 

Bob
May 10, 2025 8:35 pm

Very nice Sterling.

Bruce Cobb
May 11, 2025 9:22 am

In Indonesia, they grow cloves
How they use ’em, I don’t know
Maybe they stick them between their toes
In Indonesia, they grow cloves

May 14, 2025 10:33 am

Ninety percent of clove is burned up in cigarettes