Washington State Voters Confront Their Climate Commitment Act

Paul Fundingsland

Many in Washington State feel our legislature has gone “off the rails” creating and putting into law the “Climate Commitment Act” (CCA).  It has thousands of obscure moving parts including: the “Cap and Invest” scheme of forced participation by “classified” businesses in a carbon emissions allowances auction contrivance adversely affecting their bottom line which they then pass along to their customers; possible dubious alignments with other states including a province in Canada; prospects of a forced transition from gas appliances to all electric; and a timetable mandating a transition from gas to EV transportation. 

After the first forced “carbon emission allowances auction” there was a corresponding immediate severe adverse effect of increasing gasoline prices ($.38 – $.50 a gallon) with accompanying rising utility prices beginning to take effect with ever escalating costs projected for the future. 

In the state of Washington, a very insightful, useful and pragmatic avenue of recourse was created in 1912 as a check for the voters over the decisions of the legislature.  If enough citizens feel their legislature has enacted questionable or undesirable legislation then an initiative to overturn it can be put on the ballot. This recourse takes the form of an initiative generated from outside the halls of the legislature by an individual, group or some other concerned legal entity that feels enacted legislation should be readdressed directly by the voters.

In order to submit the initiative for consideration, enough valid Washington State resident signatures must accompany the legal initiative document. The number of legal signatures is based on a percentage of the State’s population. If the number of validated signatures meets the legal requirement, the proposed law can either be placed directly on the ballot or can be submitted to the legislature allowing the elected representatives an opportunity to enact the proposed initiative legislation themselves.

If the legislature takes no action, the original initiative is automatically placed on the ballot for a “yes-no” vote of the citizens. 

We are lucky in this state at this time to have an individual (here) who cares enough, has the desire, organizational skills and enough personal resources to be able to finance the costly, time consuming and difficult process of putting together two initiatives challenging the legislatures’ “Climate Commitment Act”.

Last year he formed “Let’s Go Washington” and with his generous sponsorship, two initiatives (among others) have now been included on the November ballot.  The initiatives will attempt to deal with the very real adverse financial effects the State’s Climate Commitment Act has placed on the citizens with no identified, tangible benefits. 

The initiatives are a straight forward transparent effort.  They focus on state and private citizen finances.  It is not a political issue as neither political party is overtly sponsoring, supporting or has any visible connection with either of the initiatives.  No fossil fuel-based company has been involved in any way. 

The two CCA ballot initiatives are here and here.

Although some of the effects of the intricacies in the initiatives are nuanced, basically If approved by the voters, I-2117 will put an end to all the CCA’s various moving parts including the forced participation by designated companies and businesses (primarily refineries and utilities) in the quarterly “carbon emission allowances auctions”.  This would result in significantly lower gas prices at the pump. 

Passage of I-2066 will basically protect the citizens and their pocketbooks from any current or future forced transition away from gas appliances to all electric.  This preserves the ability to freely keep and choose the energy source preferred by residents without incurring any sort of dubious financial penalty concocted by State agencies.

Several billion dollars have been raised for the Washington State coffers during the last two years by the forced “Cap & Invest” carbon emission allowances auctions.   State opposition to passage of these two initiatives has highlighted all the wonderful worthwhile uses and projects these funds have been allocated to but will no longer be able to be funded if the iniatives pass. And perhaps the fact that there will be many fewer state employees (hired to administer these funds) because the funding source used for their employment will no longer exist. In addition, these initiative’s passage will ruin Governor Inslee’s personal obsessive quest to have Washington State “lead the world” in combating climate change.

But perhaps the main opposition point may very well be that passage of these initiatives will put a pause on Washington State’s fantasy of achieving it’s part of a politically driven emotional commitment towards attaining Net Zero by 2050.  In theory this will stop the climate from changing and bad weather from happening. 

Back in the real world, three well known high profile Physicists published a document (here) detailing how much warming would be averted with the U.S. spending unknown trillions of dollars to achieve Net Zero by 2050. Using the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s own dubious CO2 warming figures containing a sensitivity feedback by a factor of 4, their findings are that the entire U.S. effort would result in adverted warming of a shockingly low 0.034 degrees Celsius (0.061 degrees Fahrenheit).

Since Washington State contributes 1.5% of the U.S. CO2 emissions, our State contribution through the Climate Commitment Act on achieving Net Zero by 2050 would therefore result in 0.00051 degrees Celsius (0.000915 degrees Fahrenheit) of averted warming.  These numbers are so ludicrously minuscule they are way beyond the ability to be scientifically measured. These temperature warming aversion numbers are even harder to comprehend than those for the entire U.S and yet here they are. Attainment of these numbers would result in an utterly measureless, unverifiable return on the citizens’ forced heavy financial warming reduction investments.

So, should the initiatives pass, the long-term adverse effects on no averted warming will not be either measurable or noticed. Should the initiatives be voted down, the positive results on averted warming with all the forced participation by companies and businesses in carbon allowance auctions resulting in endless financial sacrifices by Washington residents and other draconian energy requirements to 2050 will not result in anything more at best than an infinitesimally small, scientifically unmeasurable and unverifiable warming aversion 26 years from now.

Advertising for these initiatives is sure to start appearing fairly soon. It will be interesting to see how these initiatives are portrayed by both the proponents and critics. And it will be especially interesting to see how it all turns out. 

Do the majority of Washington voters have more common financial sense than the legislature on this CCA issue? Will they keep spending their money on a scheme whose net result of beneficial validation approaches Zero? Or will the States’ “magical thinking” quest somehow creatively manufacture enough of a compelling reason to keep this scheme in place by convincing most of the residents they should be willing to sacrifice their personal finances in forever increasing yearly amounts at the gas pump and through other state gerrymandered ways to theoretically stop the climate from changing and future bad weather from happening?

At the moment, polls show initiatives I-2117 & I-2066 seem to be holding the upper hand. 

One last fact about Washington initiatives. If an initiative is voted down by the general public, that does not mean it can never be placed again before the voters. So a defeat of the currently proposed initiatives does not mean they are finished. These initiatives could come back again, and again and again for reconsiderations at later dates as the citizens become more versed in the “Does nothing to stop either the climate from changing or bad weather happening for a whole lot of our money” absurdity of this CCA scheme.


Paul describes himself as “An Obsessive Climate Change Generalist”.   Although he is a retired professor, he has no scientific or other degrees specific to these kinds of issues that can be cited as offering personal official expertise or credibility. What he does have is a two decades old avid, enthusiastic, obsession with all things Climate Change related. 

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Tom Halla
August 12, 2024 6:12 am

While it would be preferable to vote out those who went green, I suppose overturning their virtue signaling will suffice.

Reply to  Tom Halla
August 12, 2024 6:25 am

If only King and Peirce counties stop being so leftist in their voting choices…….

Bob Meyer
Reply to  Sunsettommy
August 12, 2024 9:31 am

Even Snohomish county tends left. The state is doomed to higher taxes, gun confiscation, hate speech laws and the mass exodus of the middle income people. I know, I’m one who left.

Denis
August 12, 2024 6:33 am

You wrote that implementation of the Climate Commitment Act “…would therefore result in 0.00051 degrees Celsius (0.000915 degrees Fahrenheit) of averted warming.”

On what basis is this change calculated? Is it a global decrease or just for Washington State? Is it from climate models and if so which one(s). Is it from calculated temperature changes caused only by decreasing CO2 in the air. If so how is this calculation made? Does it include water vapor “feedback” or not? Is it on some other basis?

Stating that the Act’s implementation could actually result in a temperature decrease implies that the advocates of the Act support the CO2 warming theory and I think it appropriate that we know the technical basis of that claim.

Editor
Reply to  Denis
August 12, 2024 7:13 am

The article states clearly that the calculation uses the IPCC’s own CO2 warming figures. The calculation is quite straightforward to do, and gives the effect on global temperature for a given change in global atmospheric CO2. Since CO2 mixes pretty well and quickly in the atmosphere, it is a legitimate calculation for a change in local CO2 emission, but is still a global temperature calculation.

Reply to  Mike Jonas
August 12, 2024 1:04 pm

It’s based on Lindzen, Happer and van Wijngaarden (2024), which is US and global emissions. They calculate feedback-free and use the IPCC’s factor of four that was pulled out of their asses modeled for feedback included. Abstract:

Using feedback-free estimates of the warming by increased atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) and observed rates of increase, we estimate that if the United States (U.S.) eliminated net CO2 emissions by the year 2050, this would avert a warming of 0.0084 ◦C (0.015 ◦F), which is below our ability to accurately measure. If the entire world forced net zero CO2 emissions by the year 2050, a warming of only 0.070 ◦C (0.13 ◦F) would be averted. If one assumes that the warming is a factor of 4 larger because of positive feedbacks, as asserted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), the warming averted by a net zero U.S. policy would still be very small, 0.034 ◦C (0.061 ◦F). For worldwide net zero emissions by 2050 and the 4-times larger IPCC climate sensitivity, the averted warming would be 0.28 ◦C (0.50 ◦F).

Reply to  Denis
August 12, 2024 7:14 am

It is clearly described, rather completely, in the article. Are you asking for some holy writ to back it up? Well, it isn’t being advocated; the numbers are based on climate models, which is what the entire climate change necessity belief is based on. I suppose that is holy writ for some.

Writing Observer
Reply to  Denis
August 12, 2024 10:58 am

These aren’t actually technical claims – they are simply noting that even using the numbers of the warmunists, Net Zero accomplishes nothing whatsoever in temperature rise avoidance. (Nothing, because the calculated numbers are not in the realm of possibly being measured, much less any error bounds.)

Mr.
August 12, 2024 6:39 am

Aren’t some counties in the east of Washington state already petitioning to leave and become part of their neighboring state Idaho?

Reply to  Mr.
August 12, 2024 6:43 am

Only one county in Eastern Washington is democrat and that is at Pullman where the University is located.

Reply to  Mr.
August 12, 2024 7:15 am

Is a second war between the states any more likely to be successful than the first one?

Writing Observer
Reply to  AndyHce
August 12, 2024 11:00 am

It wouldn’t be a war between the States this time around – it will be scattered all over.

strativarius
August 12, 2024 7:19 am

Oh for some checks and balances

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2024/08/12/weekly-climate-and-energy-news-roundup-607/#comment-3954116

XR in charge of energy policy. And no Idaho to escape to.

davemar
August 12, 2024 7:29 am

The bizarre aspect of this entire fiasco is that it will have no demonstrable effect on global climate. Zero. It is meaningless environmentally. Just economic pain for no gain.

Curious George
Reply to  davemar
August 12, 2024 7:47 am

Follow the money.

Kevin R.
Reply to  Curious George
August 12, 2024 5:16 pm

Exactly. Those CO2 auctions are raking in billions of $$$ for democrat party graft.

August 12, 2024 7:32 am

Whenever any society thinks that its leaders can change the weather is a sign that collapse is near.

August 12, 2024 7:34 am

Well written! I’ll be forwarding this to all my clients.

strativarius
August 12, 2024 8:54 am

O/T. I was interested to read this little gem

“”…when it comes to understanding global warming, Earth’s geological history provides a long-term perspective that is both enlightening and alarming.
Throughout Earth’s history, catastrophic volcanic eruptions have periodically released vast amounts of carbon into the atmosphere and oceans. These massive carbon releases triggered rapid climate warming, leading to mass extinctions both on land and in marine ecosystems. 
Such periods of intense volcanism may have also disrupted the planet’s carbon-climate regulation systems for millions of years, leaving lasting impacts on the global environment.
https://apple.news/AV76Znp3USI2DjYL8RxIrew

No chance of any cooling then?

Bob Meyer
Reply to  strativarius
August 12, 2024 9:38 am

Strange, Krakatoa and Pinatubo both lowered the temperature. The driver wasn’t CO2, it was particulates. I guess the ancient volcanoes belched only CO2.

Gregory Woods
Reply to  strativarius
August 12, 2024 10:04 am

Carbon? Or CO2?

Bob Meyer
August 12, 2024 9:27 am

Up until last October, I lived in the state of Washington. One of the reasons I left was the state’s Supreme Court which, almost without exception, rules for state power in every case. They use two dodges:

If it deals with anything that might reduce revenue, it is invalid because the state’s primary responsibility is schools and anything that might reduce school revenue is, ipso facto, invalid.

The second dodge is that no initiative may deal with more than one subject. Since the initiatives deal with both “cap” and “trade” they will argue that these are two subjects. I wish I were joking. The court may not use these two particular items, but since they are quite creative, they will find that this initiative deals with more than one subject.

An income tax is specifically forbidden by the state constitution. Inslee implemented one anyway by calling it a payroll tax which is, in fact, a tax on certain income. That court is so twisted, that anything is possible.

If you want to see what can and will be done to the SCOTUS by “reforms”, watch carefully what is done in Washington where the Washington State Supreme Court justices are elected.

Gregory Woods
August 12, 2024 10:01 am

There seems to be a 3-State horserace between Washington, California and New York to see which can be first to reach bankruptcy.

Reply to  Gregory Woods
August 12, 2024 1:22 pm

Don’t forget Illinois.

Writing Observer
August 12, 2024 10:55 am

Well, I shall hope for your success. This will be, of course, just a small step towards dismantling the “fire, flood, and famine” promoters up there.

John Hultquist
August 12, 2024 12:06 pm

Inslee is traveling around the State announcing payments from his $2,000,000,000 slush fund from the emissions allowance auctions and promoting joining California and Quebec in a carbon (sic) market. It is not allowed to make such visits a political push against the initiative, so these trips are purported to be non-political.
Recently, local electricity providers have notified customers of a rebate from the funds called: “Clean Energy Credits for Washington Families Grant Program”. Eligible households will receive a one-time $200 bill credit. The qualifying income cut-off is about $55,000 for a single person and various others – 4 person family -$110,950; up to $226,050.
My cynical nature thinks Jay is a politician trying to buy votes. If there is a color for cynical, color me that.🥶

Beta Blocker
Reply to  John Hultquist
August 12, 2024 3:32 pm

Governor Jay Inslee and the senior party leadership in the state legislature are all puppets of Washington State AG Bob Ferguson.

Ferguson’s control of state government is maintained through his political operatives who are assigned to the governor’s senior staff and to key legislative staffs.

Ferguson will be replacing Inslee in 2025. (Dave Reichert hasn’t got a prayer of beating Ferguson. Sorry about that.)

In addition to defending and expanding the state’s climate initiatives, another big item on Bob Ferguson’s agenda is to increase the cap on property taxes from the current limit of 1% to a cap of 3%, causing the taxes on real property in our state to triple.

The only thing we can be sure of is that the west siders will continue to support Bob Ferguson regardless of what kinds of policies he pushes on the citizens of this state.

Reply to  Beta Blocker
August 13, 2024 5:46 am

My sister and brother-in-law are liberal and presumably will vote for Ferguson unwittingly placing their own self-interest in danger. They already pay $24,000 in property taxes. Boy, will they be surprised when they get their new property tax bill should Ferguson get elected and he is able to push through his “soak the rich” scheme. Those who vote progressives into office are gluttons for punishment.

Reply to  Beta Blocker
August 13, 2024 8:06 am

I’m a “west sider” in Pierce county. Several districts& precincts including mine are conservative Republicans and elect same to our Legislature. Certainly do NOT support Ferguson and voted for Reichert.
Current results show:
Ferguson (D) – 83,315 | 39.67%
Reichert (R) – 80,114 | 38.15%
If the second place Republican – Semi Bird – from the east side will vocally support Rechert, there is a strong chance that Pierce county Republicans will prevail
Semi Bird (R) 14,626 | 6.96%
Unfortunately – there is King County with wacky Seattle to contend with!

Reply to  John Hultquist
August 13, 2024 11:22 pm

You are not cynical – you are a realist.

August 12, 2024 1:03 pm

Sadly, even if the measures gain acceptance, the keepers of the voting apparatus in King County will “find” sufficient battle boxes filled with ballots to overturn the will of the people.

The only way Washington will ever reform is for Eastside to successfully secede from the socialists who run King County and take away their funding.

GrumpyBear
August 12, 2024 2:39 pm

our State contribution through the Climate Commitment Act on achieving Net Zero by 2050 would therefore result in 0.00051 degrees Celsius (0.000915 degrees Fahrenheit) of averted warming.

I guarantee you that a lot of voters are so innumerate that they will look at this and rejoice in their contribution to saving the planet.

August 12, 2024 6:10 pm

The last time I was on WA visiting my mother; I experienced sticker shock at the price of a gallon of gas: $5.15/gallon. The governor lied about the rise in gas prices. He suggested a few pennies. Governor Inslee is your typical low intelligence leader.

Kevin R.
Reply to  George T
August 13, 2024 11:52 am

Not low intelligence. He’s quite simply a manipulative liar.

August 12, 2024 6:44 pm

Unfortunately, Sideshow Bob (Bob Ferguson) is the Attorney General, is required to give initiatives their titles on the ballot, and assigns confusing titles hoping to defeat the ones he disagrees with. He’s also running for Governor–ugh!