Net Zero Electricity Fantasies to Cost British Consumers £100 Billion Over Next Six Years

From the Daily Sceptic

BY CHRIS MORRISON

Net Zero electricity taxes and levies are set to cost British consumers almost £100 billion over the next six years, according to the latest official figures from the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR). The ‘environmental levies’ total includes a variety of green rackets from paying suppliers to produce uneconomic energy to persuading consumers to install inferior technologies. As the insane dash towards Net Zero continues in elite political circles, the costs have started to spiral out of control.

Almost all green technologies seem to require huge amounts of public subsidy with no end in sight to constant demands for cash. Recently, offshore wind generators refused to take further Government licences in the North Sea unless the U.K. Government complied with their demands for higher guaranteed prices. In real terms the Government is now prepared to pay over £100 per megawatt hour, a price more than the current estimated cost of gas-powered electricity.

The investigative climate journalist Paul Homewood has been digging into the figures for years, and notes the offshore wind business is already being subsided to the annual tune of £4.8 billion. This despite the fact that we have been promised ‘rapidly falling’ wind power costs that would bring our bills tumbling down. “Now we know that was always a lie,” observes Homewood. Looking at the financial accounts, Homewood concludes that there is “no prospect” that costs will decline in future. On the contrary, he continues, they are likely to continue increasing as supply chain and manufacturing problems mount.

“We are therefore now locked into permanently high electricity prices, with contract prices guaranteed for 15 years,” he notes.

Homewood has produced the table below from the latest figures from the OBR. In total it shows how all the ‘environmental levies’ surrounding the production of electricity are set to provide hard-pressed U.K. consumers with an entirely unnecessary collective bill for £95 billion over the next six years. As Homewood notes, the figures below show the cost added to energy bills by the various assortment of renewable subsidies, capacity market payments and the climate change levy.

Homewood has added in three relevant costs to the OBR table. The feed-in tariffs scheme was recently excluded, but in Homewood’s view it is wrongly left out since it increases energy bills. The Climate Change Levy on productive business is noted elsewhere in the OBR report, but Homewood has “taken the liberty” of adding it to his table. It need hardly be added that this does not involve all the cost of runaway Net Zero fiscal madness. Homewood notes, for instance, that there is no mention of the costs of electricity grid upgrades, system balancing cost and constraint payments – all the direct result of increased renewable generation. And, of course, one can take it out even wider to include the cost of keeping vast amounts of gas capacity idle, waiting to fire up when the wind stops blowing, often for days at a time.

But it might be asked, what is £100 billion when an almost complete dismantling of modern economic society is being planned? A mere down payment on wealth destruction on an unimaginable scale. At a time when the political will to control immigration has withered, massive deindustrialisation is being planned in Europe, with unimaginable effects on the less affluent members of society. On the basis of an unproven hypothesis that human-produced carbon dioxide controls a climate headed for disaster – now deemed ‘settled’ and beyond debate – small, well-funded elite groups in society are planning to remove 85% of the world energy supply within less than 30 years. How far they will get in this madcap, nightmarish scheme before being repelled by gathering rational and democratic forces, only time will tell.

Chris Morrison is the Daily Sceptic’s Environment Editor.

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Ron Long
November 27, 2023 2:09 am

What a disaster! Both from the cost aspect and the “…complete dismantling of modern economic society.”. It’s time to modify the old saying, maybe like this: fool me once, shame on you…fool me twice shame on me…fool me hundreds of times what the fracking hell?

cagwsceptic
Reply to  Ron Long
November 27, 2023 3:36 am

This a shocking waste of money which is supported with non stop propaganda from the BBC. The latter being a foreign country with it’s own foreign policy, pseudo science and alien presenters; ironically funded by a tax the on British public.

Bryan A
Reply to  cagwsceptic
November 27, 2023 1:09 pm

Sounds like a lot but 67m Brits paying £100B over 6 years is only around £21 per citizen per month. Sounds like pocket change for Chuck. No need to pilfer Aussie retirements either

Reply to  Bryan A
November 27, 2023 8:26 pm

And what about their estimate being low by an order of magnitude ?

Bryan A
Reply to  DMacKenzie
November 27, 2023 9:45 pm

Perhaps by several orders.

Reply to  Bryan A
November 28, 2023 12:44 am

A lot of those 67 million are children. even more are retired old-folks. vast numbers of them 10M+ work for Government. Same again are retired from Government on solid gold index linked pensions funded directly from taxation

Result being that there are only about 20M people in the UK actually doing/making anything productive and it is *they* that this entire burden will fall upon maker that £70 per month.
But being astute businessmen as they are, will ramp up their prices by £150 per month to cover that extra cost.
Fantastic = that has now doubled the original figure
Add in that Value Added Tax will be added by the businessmen to their invoices so ramp it up by another 20%

But that was assuming only one ‘middleman’ in the supply chain of goods/services, in western economies there may be 4 or 5 middlemen and the cost of energy affects them all
So, if there are let’s say 4 middlemen, each doubling the cost as it goes through their accounts, we get.

£70 becomes £140 becomes £280 becomes £560 becomes £1,120
Multiply that by 20M then divide by 67M to get:
Four Hundred and One Pounds per UK citizen per month
Babes in arms included.

Lies, damn lies and statistics. Compound interest can be a pig also

William Howard
Reply to  Ron Long
November 27, 2023 5:36 am

But the good news is there will be a lot less of it

Bryan A
Reply to  Ron Long
November 27, 2023 6:14 am

“…complete dismantling of modern economic society.”

Like the Hokey Pokey…That’s what it’s all about

If it were about decarbonization the world would be standing against the largest CO2 emitter as their emissions have the greatest effect on future global CO2 levels. Or BRICS whose 5 namesake nations are responsible for 50% of all global emissions.
Per capita arguments do nothing to decrease future emissions (rising in BRICS nations).
Likewise prior cumulative emissions have no effect on future emission increases

November 27, 2023 2:24 am

The Green blob know that their pet career politicians can’t be voted out as the same damn policies are embedded in all 3 of the main parties so they are turning the screws with impunity. It’s going to need an overturning with some party like Reform to get the job done. If something like the Argentinian or Dutch elections happen then it may force a small change but not enough with Labour or Conservatives in power.

MarkW2
November 27, 2023 3:03 am

Anyone with an ounce of engineering knowledge could see this was coming. Politicians have been well and truly hoodwinked by those with a vested interest and environmentalists with an extreme agenda, which is a lot if them.

Anyway, judging by the current headline of the BBC’s website this is likely to be overshadowed by a major bombshell:

“COP28: UAE planned to use climate talks to make oil deals”
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-67508331 for those who can access the link

atticman
Reply to  MarkW2
November 27, 2023 4:09 am

More Keystone Cops than COP, really…

Reply to  MarkW2
November 27, 2023 6:01 am

Poor Justin Rowlatt was really struggling with this. I had to smile

Reply to  MarkW2
November 27, 2023 9:51 am

But it’s ok for “renewable energy” companies to peddle their wares and make deals

Reply to  MarkW2
November 27, 2023 12:43 pm

There’s been a few news outlet’s covering this, all seem to have accepted the claims without question. I find the idea of a whistleblower placed highly enough in the UAE to have access but to want to hand them over to a climate activist ‘journalist’ rather than an MSM journalist where his identity would be protected more thoroughly a little suspicious. Add to that I think the ‘Centre for Climate Reporting’ may have been involved in dodgy reporting in the past so I’d want a higher standard of verification than we’ve seen so far.

Dave Andrews
Reply to  Richard Page
November 28, 2023 7:13 am

Considering UAE,s prosperity is built upon oil one should really be asking why the UN chose this venue and how big were the envelopes. 🙂

UK-Weather Lass
November 27, 2023 3:04 am

Given what is happening in England’s COVID-19 inquiry [sic] the morons in power not only appear to be getting away with their complete lack of responsibility for taking care of citizens when acting out their paid duties in a novel ‘flu outbreak, it is hardly surprising a disease that needed stopping two decades ago is escalating into total chaos on energy provision.  
 
The disease caused the dropping of the word ‘Efficiency’ from ministerial responsibility across the board. That included the electricity generation business. This has happened under the watches of Major, Blair, Cameron, Clegg, May, Johnson and Sunak.  It matters not what colour politics are involved these people are blind to the truth of what needed to be done in the 1990s let alone the urgent work that is an added necessity since good British taxpayers’ money has been thrown away on wind and solar in a race to the most futile energy position any intelligent person in 2050 could want to be in.  What brain rot have these incompetent politicians got and is there a cure or can we just give the lot of them the boot in 2024 and start again?
 

  

strativarius
Reply to  UK-Weather Lass
November 27, 2023 4:40 am

“what is happening in England’s COVID-19 inquiry “

Is the demonisation of the politicians in order to restore the good standing of the scientists and technocrats. Even leg-over Ferguson.

They still maintain lockdown was neither fast enough nor hard enough. Hence that farcical questioning of Carl Heneghan. That really did say it all apart from the tittle tattle around Whatsapp messages.

abolition man
Reply to  UK-Weather Lass
November 27, 2023 8:34 am

Good luck with giving your politicians the boot!
It appears that the “nudge unit” of the Military Intelligence Industrial Complex was heavily involved in shaping public discourse and policy in Britain during the early days of the Covid plandemic! That means that our dear military leaders saw the crisis as an opportunity to wage psychological warfare against their own citizens; whether the release of the virus was intentional or not! Given the close relations our US military brass seem to have with the ChiComs, one has to wonder if the whole thing wasn’t a joint operation primarily targeting the Western democracies!
“Go back to your hovel and eat your bugs, peasant! We need our steak and lobster and champagne for the strength to save the world from the demon CO2!!”

Reply to  abolition man
November 27, 2023 5:10 pm

Another deranged, probably trolling, rant.

Actually, in the UK, giving the politicians the boot is well under way. In the UK city of Oxford a new local political party is forming to oppose the green traffic restrictions which the local council is implementing. And the Reform political party is rising in the national consciousness in the same way as UKIP did in the period leading up to the Brexit Referendum. Look at the effect the London ULEZ measures had in the UK by-election for Johnson’s old seat.

In Holland we have just seen a population sit up and say no actually, we’re not having any more of this. Whatever you think of Wilders, he’s given the political establishment a good kicking. And who he kicked and needed to kick was not the Dutch military leadership. It was the mainstream political parties.

You may not like Brexit, you may think the Oxford traffic schemes are great, you may think ULEZ is the greatest since…. You may think Wilders is an idiot.

But what is clear is that there are no military leaders behind climate policies (or covid restrictions for that matter), and that when voters get truly fed up they both can and will ‘send the bums home’. Do you think the author of the UK Climate Change Act was a retired general or someone in MI5? No, it was the mild mannered totally civilian professional politician Ed Miliband.

So please stop these rants.

Reply to  UK-Weather Lass
November 27, 2023 12:45 pm

You forgot Gordon Brown but that’s ok, he’s highly forgettable.

Phillip Bratby
November 27, 2023 3:05 am

When you think back 30 years, it is difficult to believe that this has happened. The Long March through the Institutions is essentially complete. It is difficult to think of any institution that has not been infiltrated and compromised. Our only hope is that somebody like Nigel Farage and the Reform UK party can become effective before the next General Election. Nigel had better watch his back.

strativarius
November 27, 2023 3:11 am

Big money, and money we don’t have 

“Labour has strongly denied reports that Sir Keir Starmer could water down the party’s pledge to spend £28 billion-a-year on green initiatives. Both the BBC and the Telegraph reported that the plan could be scaled back again as Labour instead focuses on meeting the party’s fiscal rules.

Labour had originally promised in 2021 to invest £28 billion-a-year until 2030 in green projects if it came to power. But in June shadow chancellor Rachel Reeves said the figure would instead be a target to work towards in the second half of a first parliament.

The BBC said that a senior source in Sir Keir Starmer’s office suggested the £28 billion figure may not be reached at all due to the current state of the public finances. A source also told the Telegraph that fulfilling Labour’s fiscal rules was more important than meeting that pledge, with the paper reporting that aides to Sir Keir have asked Ms Reeves to scale back the fund.”
https://www.expressandstar.com/news/uk-news/2023/11/25/labour-denies-starmer-pushing-to-water-down-28bn-green-plans/

Well, they’re on a roll when it comes to detaching from reality. Remember that pesky fact that the UK only accounts for ~1% of global CO2 emissions? There’s a fix for that….

“British empire’s past emissions ‘double UK’s climate responsibility’”

The UK is responsible for almost twice as much global heating as previously thought…”

The analysis by Carbon Brief…”
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/nov/26/british-empire-past-emissions-double-uk-climate-responsibility-data-shows

There must be a COP coming up?

“The issue of responsibility features strongly in the international UN climate negotiations, which resume again at Cop28 in the United Arab Emirates on Thursday.”

No kidding.  

“The United Arab Emirates planned to use its role as the host of UN climate talks as an opportunity to strike oil and gas deals, the BBC has learned.
Leaked briefing documents reveal plans to discuss fossil fuel deals with 15 nations.”
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-67508331

Justin Rowlatt blew a fuse, most amusing.

Reply to  strativarius
November 27, 2023 6:37 am

The UK is responsible for almost twice as much global heating as previously thought…

Quoted from here.

I can’t be bothered to read it all to find out what it says; it could be right, but twice not very much is still not much. In the last eight years China has emitted as much CO2 as the UK has emitted since the start of the industrial revolution (observe where the lines cross):

cumulative-co-emissions.png
November 27, 2023 5:10 am

Worldwide, about 4.5 million people die from cold-related causes compared to about 500,000 people dying from heat-related causes each year. Cold or cool air causes our blood vessels to constrict causing blood pressure to rise and that causes more strokes and heart attacks during the cooler months.
‘Global, regional and national burden of mortality associated with nonoptimal ambient temperatures from 2000 to 2019: a three-stage modelling study’
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanplh/article/PIIS2542-5196(21)00081-4/fulltext

Coach Springer
November 27, 2023 6:42 am

Meanwhile in other news, arsonist blames fire. England lights the fire and fans the flames.

Reply to  MyUsername
November 27, 2023 7:54 am

Don’t know about the EU. You need to address the UK, and the report from the OBR – Office for Budget Responsibility. They may, as Homewood says, have left out some of the costs of Net Zero, but what they have included is totally damning in itself.

Do you really think that the costs they have itemized have, as a result, lowered the total cost of electricity in the UK?

Explain how and how much. Lets see it.

Reply to  MyUsername
November 27, 2023 9:15 am

EU electricity consumers are expected to save.” You can stop reading there. Anything related to green technology has failed all expectations.

Reply to  MyUsername
November 27, 2023 12:49 pm

‘Bugger all’ is the answer when you take into account the increased costs, subsidies and undeclared money being taken from the taxpayer and given to the renewables sector.

Reply to  MyUsername
November 27, 2023 9:04 pm

MyUsername:
Going to the interactive graph at iea.org shows data up till April 2023, and modeled afterwards.
At April it shows “savings” of ~20 euros/MWh [134 – 114] purported to be from the added renewables.
Yet IEA does not include multple costs of renewables such as transmission, backup or renewable portfolio standards, among others. The renewables do add to the total production but the cost of electricity in the EU is going up despite the additions. Ironically, the additions have made their grid more unstable. For USA examples of what excess reliance on wind & solar causes see California & Texas: #1 & #2, respectively for electric grid outages.
Thus the “savings” the IEA calculates are likely bogus.

Dave Andrews
Reply to  B Zipperer
November 28, 2023 7:33 am

Yep the IEA leaves out things like balancing costs due to unreliables.

In the UK in the early 2000s annual grid balancing costs were under £500m and remained around this level till 2015. By 2020 they had risen to £1.3bn and by April 2022 they were £2.2bn.

Not all of this increase can be attributed to unreliables but much of it can be.

ResourceGuy
November 27, 2023 7:13 am

This is where control of the press provides a trump card in dismissing or deflecting blame. When does Brexit get the blame?

abolition man
November 27, 2023 8:58 am

The transition of the Western democracies to fascist military dictatorships is nearing the end game! Using their decades of experience studying psychological warfare and mind control, the Western military leaders believe that they can control the public with social media, bread and circuses, and sham democratic elections! Like the USSR, China, Cuba and North Korea; the military dictatorship will hide behind a cloak of Socialism; all required to save the Earth from Climate Apocalypse due to the negligible effects of the Gas of Life; CO2!
If they were interested in ANYTHING other than totalitarian control, they would be pushing nuclear power and not trying so hard to limit the education, food and mobility of humanity! Humans are much easier to control when you limit their dietary protein and fats, and present your leaders as religious figures akin to gods! Just ask the ancient Egyptians how well it works; that’s the formula they used for over 3,000 years!

Reply to  abolition man
November 27, 2023 9:37 am

Well, climatism is a religion, after all.

Reply to  abolition man
November 27, 2023 4:57 pm

Notice increasing numbers of these deranged conspiratorial rants recently. Most likely its trolling and attempted sabotage of the site.

No, folks, there is no socialist conspiracy. What there is, and its bad enough, is a sort of mass collective delusion of a kind that we have repeatedly seen in human history. Some of it is genuinely convinced fanatics. A lot of it is people just going along out of conformism, mouthing things they don’t really believe. The problem is these luxury beliefs start getting converted into policy. A lot of it is venal – people jumping on because they see a financial opportunity.

But its not Western military leaders. Its mostly liberal arts graduates who have entered politics with the aim of never doing a day’s real work in their lives.

November 27, 2023 10:44 am

World’s Largest Offshore Wind System Developer Abandons Two Major US Projects as Wind Bust Continues 
https://www.windtaskforce.org/profiles/blogs/world-s-largest-offshore-wind-system-developer-abandons-two-major

EXCERPT

A recent, highly visible sign regarding bidding for new offshore projects in the North Sea
About 7,000 MW of offshore wind bids were awarded by the UK 4th Auction, in 2022, but some of those projects have been cancelled, or placed “on hold”
No bids were submitted for the UK 5th Auction, in 2023; European companies protesting low UK subsidies.
No bids were submitted for a new floating offshore wind project off the coast of Scotland.

Additional Financing by New Jersey Taxpayers
Under normal circumstances, Ocean Wind 1 and 2 would have a profit for most of the 20 years of its lifetime, on which it would have to pay federal and state income taxes.
Democrats, without a single Republican vote, exempted Oersted from state income taxes for the 20-y life of the two projects, a gift of about $1.0 billion.
In return, Oersted pledged to invest $300 million in onshore pre-assembly/staging facilities for the construction of various offshore wind projects on the Delaware River
The NJ Economic Development Authority, helped out by issuing $160 million in municipal bonds, free from federal and state taxes, which mostly benefits millionaires looking for tax shelters
Governor Murphy, etc., is upset about the project cancellations and the lack Oersted’s pledged $300 million of the at least $500 million pre-assembly/staging facility. Those relatively low-tech jobs will stay in Denmark, etc.
As luck would have it, Murphy had recently increased, by executive order, the NJ offshore wind goal to 11,000 MW by 2040, up almost 50%, to show his extra seriousness about being green. 

New York State had signed contracts with EU big wind companies for four offshore wind projects
Sometime later, the companies were trying to coerce an additional $25.35 billion (per Wind Watch) from New York ratepayers and taxpayers over at least 20 years, because they had bid at lower prices than they should have.
New York State denied the request on October 12, 2023; “a deal is a deal”, said the Commissioner 
 
Owners want a return on investment of at least 10%/y, if bank loans for risky projects are 6.5%/y, and project cost inflation and uncertainties are high 
The about 3.5% is a minimum for all the years of hassles of designing, building, erecting, and paperwork of a project
The project prices, with no subsidies, would be about two times the agreed contract price, paid by Utilities to owners.
The reduction is due to US subsidies provided, per various US laws
All contractors had bid too low. When they realized there would be huge losses, they asked for higher contract prices.
It looks like the contract prices will need to be at least $150/MWh, for contractors to make money. Those contract prices would be at least 60% higher than in 2021
Oersted, Denmark, Sunrise wind, contract price $110.37/MWh, contractor needs $139.99/MWh, a 27% increase
Equinor, Norway, Empire 1 wind, contract price $118.38/MWh, contractor needs $159.64/MWh, a 35% increase
Equinor, Norway, Empire 2 wind, contract price $107.50/MWh, contractor needs $177.84/MWh, a 66% increase
Equinor, Norway, Beacon Wind, contract price $118.00/MWh, contractor needs $190.82/MWh, a 62% increase
https://www.windtaskforce.org/profiles/blogs/liars-lies-exposed-as-wind-electricity-price-increases-by-66-wake

November 27, 2023 10:46 am

Floating Offshore Wind Systems in the Impoverished State of Maine
https://www.windtaskforce.org/profiles/blogs/floating-offshore-wind-systems-in-the-impoverished-state-of-maine

Offshore Wind Capacity Placed on Operation in 2021

World: During 2021, worldwide offshore wind capacity placed in operation was 17,398 MW, of which China 13,790 MW, and the rest of the world 3,608 MW, of which UK 1,855 MW; Vietnam 643 MW; Denmark 604 MW; Netherlands 402 MW; Taiwan 109 MW
Of the 17,398 MW, just 57.1 MW was floating, about 1/3%
At end of 2021, 50,623 MW was in operation, of which just 123.4 MW was floating, about 1/4%
https://www.energy.gov/eere/wind/articles/offshore-wind-market-report-2022-edition

NOTE: Despite the meager floating offshore MW in the world, pro-wind politicians, bureaucrats, etc., aided and abetted by the lapdog Media, in the impoverished State of Maine, continue to fantasize about building 3,000 MW of 850-ft-tall floating offshore wind turbines by 2040!!

Maine government bureaucrats, etc., in a world of their own climate-fighting fantasies, want to have about 3,000 MW of floating wind turbines by 2040; a most expensive, totally unrealistic goal, that would further impoverish the already-poor State of Maine for many decades.

Those bureaucrats, etc., would help fatten the lucrative, 20-y, tax-shelters of mostly out-of-state, multi-millionaire, wind-subsidy chasers, who likely have minimal regard for:

1) Impacts on the environment and the fishing and tourist industries of Maine, and
2) Already-overstressed, over-taxed, over-regulated Maine ratepayers and taxpayers, who are trying to make ends meet in a near-zero, real-growth economy.

Those fishery-destroying, 850-ft-tall floaters, with 24/7365 strobe lights, visible 30 miles from any shore, would cost at least $7,500/ installed kW, or at least $22.5 billion, if built in 2023 (more after 2023)

Almost the entire supply of the projects would be designed and made in Europe, then transported across the Atlantic Ocean, in specialized ships, also designed and made in Europe, then unloaded at the Maine pre-assembly/staging area, then barged to specialized erection ships, for erection of the floating turbines.

About 200 Maine people would have short-term erection jobs. About 30 Maine people would have long-term O&M jobs

They would produce electricity at about 40 c/kWh, without subsidies, about 20 c/kWh with subsidies, the wholesale price at which utilities would buy from Owners (higher prices after 2023)
https://www.maine.gov/governor/mills/news/governor-mills-signs-bill-create-jobs-advance-clean-energy-and-fight-climate-change-through

The Maine woke bureaucrats are falling over each other to prove their “greenness”, offering $millions of this and that for free, but all their primping and preening efforts has resulted in no floating offshore bids from European developers

The Maine people have much greater burdens to look forward to for the next 20 years, courtesy of the Governor Mills incompetent, woke bureaucracy that has infested the state government 

The Maine people need to finally wake up, and put an end to all the climate scare-mongering, which aims to subjugate and further impoverish them, by voting the entire Democrat woke cabal out and replace it with rational Republicans in 2024

The present course leads to financial disaster for the impoverished State of Maine and its people.

The purposely-kept-ignorant Maine people do not deserve such maltreatment

NOTE: The above prices compare with the average New England wholesale price of about 5 c/kWh, during the 2009 – 2022 period, 13 years, courtesy of:
 
Natural gas-fueled CCGT plants, with low-cost, low-CO2, very-low particulate/kWh
Nuclear plants, with low-cost, near-zero CO2, zero particulate/kWh
Hydro plants, with low-cost, near-zero-CO2, zero particulate/kWh

Bob Rogers
November 27, 2023 11:04 am

Funny thing is there are Scottish nationalists who think they can fund their proposed government by selling offshore wind power.

Coeur de Lion
November 27, 2023 12:20 pm

When are these stupid stupid people coming clean sbout aviation, shipping, agriculture, construction, motor transport? They can’t even decarbonise electricity generation!!!. Write to your MP.

Bob
November 27, 2023 1:20 pm

Chris is exactly right. The government has no business in the energy production business. They have proven that a thousand fold, everything they touch turns to crap and costs the rest of us boatloads of money. Remove mandates, subsidies, tax preferences and regulatory forgiveness and this whole mess disappears. It is strictly a government problem, they need to leave.

November 28, 2023 10:24 am

And, of course, one can take it out even wider to include the cost of keeping vast amounts of gas capacity idle, waiting to fire up when the wind stops blowing, often for days at a time.

An alternative perspective.

The UK’s “Net Zero” vision of the GB electricity grid in 2030 foresees 36 GW of additional offshore “Wind” — currently ~28.5 GW almost exactly evenly split between onshore and offshore — and 40 GW of “Solar” (currently ~15.5 GW nominal / nameplate capacity).

Some mathematical sums are required here, apologies in advance.
Ratio 1 : (28.5 + 36) / 28.5 ~= 2.26 times more “Wind” in 2030 than today.
Ratio 2 : 40 / 15.5 ~= 2.56 times more “Solar”.

On the 16th and 17th of November, just over 10 days ago, there was a 48-hour period when the “Wind” contribution to the GB electricity grid fell below 4 GW, which was compensated for by CCGT (and even some “Coal” !) …

… let’s see what the GB grid would have to cope with in 2030 if a “similar” weather pattern were to occur, with “Renewables” having replaced “CCGT (+ Coal)” in the meantime as part of the “Net Zero” push …

GB-Electricity_Wind-Solar-Demand_13-191123.png