The IPCC says the GWP number for methane is the forcing from the release of 1 kg of methane relative to 1 kg of carbon dioxide. Currently that number is 86. Hence the media head lines that methane is 86 times more powerful than CO2.
By 2100 methane will have increased in the atmosphere by about 0.5 ppm. Since the comparison is by mass, a similar increase in CO2 would be about 0.18 ppm. So the question is: If CO2 increases from 400.00 ppm to 400.18 ppm, how much will that run up global temperature? Obviously it won’t, it’s essentially nothing, and 86 times nothing is nothing.
Well there are some trailing numbers that come out to a few hundredths of a degree but they’re meaningless. And western governments want to regulate dairy farms, cattle ranching and rice patties over this.
Walk-in Open Border Idiocies
Many countries are saving money by cleaning out their slums, populated with unskilled, uneducated, inexperienced, socially challenged, crime-inclined people
With help of 1) privately financed NGOs (Soros, Hollywood actors, etc.,) and 2) the parasitic, criminal-infested, human trafficking infrastructure, to provide those folks with food, clothing, shelter, transport, etc., as they travel north for weeks, until they finally arrive at our southern border, which is welded open by Biden’s handlers, to enable those folks to walk in unhindered, unvetted, and be distributed far and wide.
The total US cost is at least $100 billion for the first year, $150 billion the second year, $200 billion the third year, on an A-to-Z basis.
We could have finished the wall for one tenth the money, and have none of these society-dividing, unvetted, undocumented illegal aliens
The Statue of Liberty mentions “welcoming the poor, the homeless” made perfect sense in the 19th century with a rapidly expanding industrial economy desperate for uneducated, unskilled workers.
It is long overdue to remove those words and replace them with “we welcome the highly educated and experienced, and those with business ownership experience
Sweden, Germany, France, etc., after much travail, finally are moving to the highly skilled, experienced standard.
They found the present standard has caused major adverse effects, on their societies and cultures
Europe was sucking on Russia’s low-cost energy tits, life was easy, economies were growing, workers were needed.
With high-cost energy and high costs of climate idiocies, unskilled, inexperienced, cultural-clashing folks are just too costly.
Many of them, especially those with criminal records, will be send back to their original countries.
CO2 Emissions The annual CO2 reductions by the EU/US, etc., are much less than the annual CO2 increases by China/India, etc. That trend will not change for decades, because China/India, etc., are building hundreds of new, efficient coal plants, that last at least 50 years, and have at least 3 times more CO2/kWh than gas-fired, combined-cycle, gas-turbine power plants, CCGTs, which, in base-loaded mode, have efficiencies of 60+% Russian Gas Russia has the 56-inch diameter, 2466-mile, Power of Siberia 1 gas pipeline, capacity 61 bcm, of which up to 38 bcm to China. Russia will have the 1616-mile Power of Siberia 2 gas pipeline from Yamal Peninsula to China, designed to deliver, via Mongolia, up to 50 bcm to China. That means gas, previously sent to the EU, will go to China. The EU will be in near-zero, real-growth mode, by importing LNG, mostly from the US, at about 2 to 3 times the price.
China CO2
China has the particulate and CO2 emissions from the factories that were once in the West.
The US climate idiots get to virtue signal, as they consume China’s products
Wokachusetts
Wokeachusetts climate idiots are proudly bragging how energy efficient/clean Wokachusetts is, after having closed almost all of its blue-collar industries.
Wokachusetts has a “clean” economy, based on higher education, hospitals, high tech firms, and tourism.
Mass wokies are so virtuous, because they have a low carbon footprint!
Mass wokies do not mention the carbon footprint of what we import from China, Europe, Mexico, etc.
Complain to enviro-groups and politicians about this absurdity, and you get ignored/blacklisted/cancelled/become unemployable.
Actually, I do not care about any carbon footprint, because CO2 is a very minor actor in the overall CO2 picture https://www.windtaskforce.org/profiles/blogs/co2-is-a-life-gas-no-co2-no-life
Mass wokies get federal money to “welcome” illegal aliens
Mass wokies use federal money to house illegals in up-scale hotels, and feed, clothe, transport, educate, etc., them at huge expense.
The subsidized, lapdog media has been told not to call them undocumented, illegal aliens, but “migrants”.
Assessing the size and uncertainty of remaining carbon budgets
The remaining carbon budget (RCB), the net amount of CO2 humans can still emit without exceeding a chosen global warming limit, is often used to evaluate political action against the goals of the Paris Agreement. RCB estimates for 1.5C are small, and minor changes in their calculation can therefore result in large relative adjustments. https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-023-01848-5
The IPCC says the GWP number for methane is the forcing from the release of 1 kg of methane relative to 1 kg of carbon dioxide. Currently that number is 86. Hence the media head lines that methane is 86 times more powerful than CO2.
By 2100 methane will have increased in the atmosphere by about 0.5 ppm. Since the comparison is by mass, a similar increase in CO2 would be about 0.18 ppm. So the question is: If CO2 increases from 400.00 ppm to 400.18 ppm, how much will that run up global temperature? Obviously it won’t, it’s essentially nothing, and 86 times nothing is nothing.
Well there are some trailing numbers that come out to a few hundredths of a degree but they’re meaningless. And western governments want to regulate dairy farms, cattle ranching and rice patties over this.
Walk-in Open Border Idiocies
Many countries are saving money by cleaning out their slums, populated with unskilled, uneducated, inexperienced, socially challenged, crime-inclined people
With help of 1) privately financed NGOs (Soros, Hollywood actors, etc.,) and 2) the parasitic, criminal-infested, human trafficking infrastructure, to provide those folks with food, clothing, shelter, transport, etc., as they travel north for weeks, until they finally arrive at our southern border, which is welded open by Biden’s handlers, to enable those folks to walk in unhindered, unvetted, and be distributed far and wide.
The total US cost is at least $100 billion for the first year, $150 billion the second year, $200 billion the third year, on an A-to-Z basis.
We could have finished the wall for one tenth the money, and have none of these society-dividing, unvetted, undocumented illegal aliens
The Statue of Liberty mentions “welcoming the poor, the homeless” made perfect sense in the 19th century with a rapidly expanding industrial economy desperate for uneducated, unskilled workers.
It is long overdue to remove those words and replace them with “we welcome the highly educated and experienced, and those with business ownership experience
Sweden, Germany, France, etc., after much travail, finally are moving to the highly skilled, experienced standard.
They found the present standard has caused major adverse effects, on their societies and cultures
Europe was sucking on Russia’s low-cost energy tits, life was easy, economies were growing, workers were needed.
With high-cost energy and high costs of climate idiocies, unskilled, inexperienced, cultural-clashing folks are just too costly.
Many of them, especially those with criminal records, will be send back to their original countries.
CO2 Emissions
The annual CO2 reductions by the EU/US, etc., are much less than the annual CO2 increases by China/India, etc.
That trend will not change for decades, because China/India, etc., are building hundreds of new, efficient coal plants, that last at least 50 years, and have at least 3 times more CO2/kWh than gas-fired, combined-cycle, gas-turbine power plants, CCGTs, which, in base-loaded mode, have efficiencies of 60+%
Russian Gas
Russia has the 56-inch diameter, 2466-mile, Power of Siberia 1 gas pipeline, capacity 61 bcm, of which up to 38 bcm to China.
Russia will have the 1616-mile Power of Siberia 2 gas pipeline from Yamal Peninsula to China, designed to deliver, via Mongolia, up to 50 bcm to China.
That means gas, previously sent to the EU, will go to China.
The EU will be in near-zero, real-growth mode, by importing LNG, mostly from the US, at about 2 to 3 times the price.
China CO2
China has the particulate and CO2 emissions from the factories that were once in the West.
The US climate idiots get to virtue signal, as they consume China’s products
Wokachusetts
Wokeachusetts climate idiots are proudly bragging how energy efficient/clean Wokachusetts is, after having closed almost all of its blue-collar industries.
Wokachusetts has a “clean” economy, based on higher education, hospitals, high tech firms, and tourism.
Mass wokies are so virtuous, because they have a low carbon footprint!
Mass wokies do not mention the carbon footprint of what we import from China, Europe, Mexico, etc.
Complain to enviro-groups and politicians about this absurdity, and you get ignored/blacklisted/cancelled/become unemployable.
Actually, I do not care about any carbon footprint, because CO2 is a very minor actor in the overall CO2 picture
https://www.windtaskforce.org/profiles/blogs/co2-is-a-life-gas-no-co2-no-life
Mass wokies get federal money to “welcome” illegal aliens
Mass wokies use federal money to house illegals in up-scale hotels, and feed, clothe, transport, educate, etc., them at huge expense.
The subsidized, lapdog media has been told not to call them undocumented, illegal aliens, but “migrants”.
Another study, just in time for COP28…
Carbon budgets, climate change doom and gloom, and SSP models.
– – – – – – – – –
Climate crisis: carbon emissions budget is now tiny, scientists say
Having good chance of limiting global heating to 1.5C is gone, sending ‘dire’ message about the adequacy of climate action
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/oct/30/climate-crisis-carbon-emissions-budget
Assessing the size and uncertainty of remaining carbon budgets
The remaining carbon budget (RCB), the net amount of CO2 humans can still emit without exceeding a chosen global warming limit, is often used to evaluate political action against the goals of the Paris Agreement. RCB estimates for 1.5C are small, and minor changes in their calculation can therefore result in large relative adjustments.
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-023-01848-5
Here’s a cartoon for Halloween!