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strativarius
July 5, 2023 2:31 am
Losing the economic plot
“The Bank of England (BoE) has declared that men can get pregnant. Yes, you read that right. According to a report in The Times, the central bank’s policies were recently changed so that now they say that pregnancy is something that men, women and a host of other ‘genders’ can experience.” … This controversy comes at a time when the Bank of England is coming under heavy criticism for failing to do its actual job – namely, controlling spiralling inflation, which it has routinely underestimated over the past few years. https://www.spiked-online.com/2023/07/04/why-does-the-bank-of-england-think-men-can-get-pregnant/
“More important still, the rapid shift to EVs may well accelerate the deindustrialisation of America and other Western countries. Although communities may welcome the arrival of new electric-assembly facilities, and underperforming firms like General Motors can hope to use federal EV mandates to boost their market share, many traditional component suppliers are likely to get forced out of business. Overall, electric-car production uses 30 per cent less domestic labour in the US compared with traditional car-making. Ford recently announced massive layoffs, despite landing a $9 billion loan from the Biden administration to bolster its EV production. The firm is currently losing $60,000 per EV, which is not exactly sustainable without massive state subsidies.” https://www.spiked-online.com/2023/07/03/this-rush-to-electric-cars-is-a-colossal-mistake/
Shake that money maker
“The Sovereign’s estates had always been used to raise revenue, and over time large areas were granted to nobles. The estate fluctuated in size and value but by 1760, when George III acceded to the throne, the asset had been reduced to a small area producing little income – revenue which George III needed to fulfil the Sovereign’s fiscal responsibilities to the nation.
By that time taxes had become the prime source of revenue for the United Kingdom and Parliament administered the country, so an agreement was reached that the Crown Lands would be managed on behalf of the Government and the surplus revenue would go to the Treasury. In return the King would receive a fixed annual payment – formerly known as the Civil List. “ https://www.thecrownestate.co.uk/en-gb/about-us/our-history/
How perfectly 1660 is that? Parliament and the monarch divvying up the profits… Back off peasant…
“The two-year suspension of green levies, which came into place just six months ago, will reportedly end at the start of July. Energy firms and MPs had lobbied for the government to pay the charge during the cost of living crisis. But with energy bills set to fall by an average of almost £500 from July, the government is placing the cost back on households, The Telegraph reported.” https://www.lbc.co.uk/news/households-green-levy-net-zero-sunak-hunt/
When it’s not running it’s still earning
“Windfarms receive £227million subsidies to switch off
Two huge new offshore windfarms received nearly half of the £227million paid out to operators last year to switch off when it was too windy due to capacity issues with the grid.
Constraint payments are given to operators for switching off turbines, typically when high winds and a high concentration of wind farms means the system doesn’t have the capacity to transport the energy to where it is needed. The cost is added to domestic electricity bills, heaping more misery on households already grappling with soaring energy bills. … New analysis from Net Zero Watch has revealed that the cost of paying windfarms to “switch off” has soared, from £143 million in 2021 to £227 million in 2022, an increase of £84 million, or 60%.” https://www.heraldscotland.com/news/homenews/23238220.windfarms-receive-227million-subsidies-switch-off/
Feudalism never really went away and now it’s definitely on the up.
Lunatics were locked up in asylums but now they seem to have gotten into all the positions of power and intent on making our society a madhouse. It is really dangerous to be sane today.
There were a number of fairly recent articles that said 2022 constraint payments totaled more than £1,000,000,000. £227 is quite a bit less than that (1/4). Which figure is closest to reality?
Bruce Afran, an attorney for the groups, told the Associated Press that the DEP “has acknowledged the wind turbines will destroy marine habitat, compress the sea floor, severely damage maritime communities, cause commercial fishing stocks to decline, and injure the beach economy.”
“Yet the state persists in the bizarre belief that this massive engineering project will not injure our state’s coastal zone, one of the most important marine communities on the East Coast and the core of New Jersey’s $47 billion tourist industry.”
To buttress his plaintiffs’ case, Afran cited numerous sections of the DEP’s April decision on Ocean Wind 1, “acknowledging potential negative impacts on the surf clam industry; changes to the ocean floor from wind turbine foundations and equipment; and the regular use of the area as a migrating channel for five species of whales, including the critically endangered North Atlantic right whale,” the AP reported.
***************
There cannot be enough of these lawsuits for me. The hypocrisy here boggles the mind. Here’s hoping that lawsuits succeed in bringing this idiocy to an end at offshore sites.
KILL WIND TURBINES, NOT AVIAN AND MARINE WILDLIFE
alradlett
July 5, 2023 2:54 am
Found the following in “The Rise and Fall of the 3rd Reich” by William Shirer, an American journalist who worked in Germany from the mid 1930s until 1940 when he had to skedaddle out (apologies to the US members who iundoubtedly already know about him).
No one who has not lived for years in a totalitarian land can possibly conceive how difficult it is to escape the dread consequences of a regime’s calculated and incessant propaganda. Often in a German home or office or sometimes in a casual conversation with a stranger in a restaurant, a beer hall, a cafe, I would meet with the most outlandish assertions from seemingly educated and intelligent persons. It was obvious that they were parroting some piece of nonsense they had heard on the radio or read in the news papers.Sometimes one was tempted to say as much, but on such occasions one was met with such a stare of incredulity, such a shock of silence, as if one had blasphemed the Almighty, that one realized how useless it was even to try to make contact with a mind which has become warped and for whom the facts of life had become what Hitler and Goebbels, with their cynical disregards for truth, said they were.
After reading that I realized that we have reached the same situation. After years of constant hysteria on the media about the Crisis of Global Warming it is not possible to have a conversation with people without be branded as a “Climate Denier”. Again demonstrating the power of constant propaganda
.
Similar sorts of words ain’t they: Propaganda vs Paranoia
Here’s paranoia, UK style = If someone, almost anyone, thinks they don’t like what you’re doing in your garden/space/home/castle, they can call upon A Plod to slap you a Community Protection Notice. There and then, just like that.
Basically a criminal record and a warning that if you so much as breath again you’ll be hit with a £2,500 fine and ever more if you persist in just continuing to exist.
With perfectly no way of opposing the thing or getting it removed. Plods can hand them out like so much confetti and are increasingly doing so.
I think it’s useless for me to try to make contact with such minds. I sometimes try, but without real hope.
What enrages me is the silence of the professionals who should be intervening when non-professionals spout nonsense in public. You frequently hear claims on TV or the radio for which there is no backing in AR6.
I don’t love the IPCC but their assessment reports are proving handy. Few people jabbering crazy talk about climate change in the bar are willing to continue if you show them they’re exceeding what even the IPCC asserts. It’s a toe in the door at least. If you can get them to agree they need to rethink a bit then you’re heading in the right direction at least. And if they insist they know better than the IPCC you know you’re dealing with an extremist and you can walk away with a clear conscience.
Quelgeek, you have hit the nail on the head. It reminds me of a book I read about an intelligent Chinese lady who was imprisoned during the Cultural Revolution in China. When the guards quoted Mao’s Little Red Book to her, she quoted it back to them pointing out the contradictions.
We need to become more astute in using alarmist materials against them by sowing doubt in climate alarmism rather than confrontation. A well phrased question can achieve more than an incisive statement. The time will come, when we have piled up questions and our hearer is filled with doubt, to strike home with statements about climate realities. We need to recognize when to persist with reasoning and when to walk away.
I went looking for a copy of that book in a local used bookstore a week ago and was surprised I couldn’t find a copy. Amazingly no one at the store had any familiarity with the title. I was looking for something different to read and suspected it has many lessons from the 1930s useful for decoding some of what we see around us. Totalitarians have only a few tools at their disposal and must all operate according to very similar plans — break with the past (rid the land of old culture, old thinking, old values), engage with useful myths or concoct a new one, encourage superstition. You know, progress.
The book was copyrighted in 1959 and !960. My version was published in 1974. Should probably go and re read it – over 1200 pages with notes, bibliography and index.
When talking to a believer, just say, “Oh! I agree with you, and I think we NEED to do more…but first we need funding.” while holding out a hand palm up. To show you want on the gravy train too.
From the Australian Bureau of Meteorology web site.
Longer-term trends: Australia’s climate has warmed by around 1.47 °C in the period from 1910 to 2021, leading to an increase in the frequency of extreme heat events. Southern Australia has seen a 10 to 20% reduction in cool season (April to October) rainfall in recent decades.The Bureau’s climate model simulates the physics of atmospheric, oceanic, ice, and land surface processes and uses millions of observations from satellites as well as in-situ instrumentation on land and at sea. As a result, the model accounts for the influence of climate change and natural climate drivers like ENSO, IOD, the Madden–Julian Oscillation (MJO) and SAM in its long-range forecasts.
—-
Further the BoM has placed the ENSO at El Niño Alert.
In the past, when we have reached El Niño Alert, events have developed around 70% of the time. During winter–spring, El Niño increases the chance of below average rainfall for the eastern half of Australia and above average daytime temperatures for the southern two-thirds of Australia.
If El Nino develops into the Summer, following the extended LaNina seasons, I fear the amount of alarmism and fear will be off the charts this spring & summer across Australia. Particularly if major bushfires occur.
South Africa is also a land of droughts and floods. It is mid-winter at the moment and most parts have summer rainfall but the dams are 95% full. South Africans should be overjoyed but are not. They are facing a mess: “the water is not reaching consumers owing to factors including poor infrastructure, sewage contamination and municipal capacity contraints.”
In simple English this is due to incomptence, mismanagement, fraud, theft and the likes. The politicians and president ignore this being consumed by climate alarmism and net-zero quest the West is feeding them. They cannot see the contradiction between their full and overflowing dams and belief they are going to face a perpetual drought.
Their biggest city, Johannesburg, has been told to prepare for being without water for 40 hours while dams are full but the media are not asking “why?” because they are too busy pushing the climate narrative.
And strangely, no one seems to have looked at the temperature changes at the level of the Köppen climate classification system. I suspect that it would be very enlightening to see what is happening, particularly for regions with high humidity. Roy Spencer shows anomalies for the hemispheres and major continents, but I’m unaware of anyone having done it for the Köppen climate zones. Please correct me if I’m wrong.
SteveG>> This kind of statement is made all the time by alarmist as most people readily accept the false logic that an increase in global average temperature will naturally mean more heat waves. They are totally unaware that the average can increase simply because low temperatures are less cold, warming can be due to urbanization, and even an increase of a degree or 2 from normal highs does not make a “heat wave” – e.g. if normal is 20 C (68 F) then 2 degrees warmer 22 C (71.6 F) is totally insignificant. Likewise, if your used to 30 C, 32C is not going to bother you. In fact there is no sound logic or observational data that supports the alarmist mantra of more severe storms, droughts, floods, sea level rise and acne in teenagers.
It would be interesting to see a correlation graph between the increased area of built environments between the start of satellite era temps records (1976?) and today, compared with claimed temp increase over the same period.
For example, check out the urban area expansions in Sydney. Melbourne and Brisbane as the Australian population increased by ~ 50% (9 million) in just the 3 decades to 2016.
Then extrapolate that expansion to much and many more high-growth countries than Australia.
They quote the years 1910 to 2021, say they have million of “observations” (?a synonym for data?), and then say that the warming is shown from a MODEL! So I’m assuming the whole shebang is made up?
I’m surprised they didn’t claim Australia is warming twice as fast as anywhere else.
Never believe anything just because “everyone else does”.
Ron Long
July 5, 2023 3:17 am
Recently I was consulting on a gold exploration project in Nevada. The sponsor company, they paid for the helicopter ride, was one of the major gold producers in Nevada, which is actually the Gold State, and not the Silver State, as is their motto. Along with a very senior Geologist/Manager was a young lady Geologist, who was a Triathlon competitor and actually a bright young Geologist. She had great geology views, only needing some experience to be really effective, moving into the discovery potential status. She believed whole-heartedly in Catastrophic Anthropogenic Global Warming. When I tried my standard “sea level marks global climate state, and 40 meters higher and 140 meters lower is the normal range, and claiming 1 meter change is a valid scientific signal is false. Although she appeared to mull things over for a while, her position was unchanged. I post this comment to show how totally immersed segments of the population, including bright young students, have become, such is the indoctrination process.
Speaking of indoctrination, this morning in my Google news feed, two separate articles proclaiming that Monday (3 Jul 2023) was the hottest day in recorded history. Well around these parts it was hot and humid, so it must be true, right?
Also Antarctic sea ice hits record low.
And thank Gaia, a discovery in Norway “could” provide enough “mineral” to supply batteries and solar panels for a HUNDRED years!
Now you would be forgiven for thinking what connects those two, maybe cobalt? How does this supply lithium? But no, it’s “rare” phosphate that has been in “tight supply”.
Now of course all you deniers have to stop claiming that we can’t afford to solve intermittency with batteries! There’s a hundred year supply! Whaddaya mean phosphate isn’t really the limiting factor or a main component of cost? SCIENCE DENIER!
The model used goes all the way back to 1979. They’re claiming it was the hottest day in 125,000 years, ie since the Eemian interglacial. But they overlooked the Holocene Climate Optimum, the Egyptian, Minoan, Roman and Medieval Warm Periods, peaking around 5, 4, 3, 2 and 1 Ka.
If I’m remembering correctly, it was phosphorus that an Issac Asimov article identified as the ultimate limiting resource for the mass quantity of life this planet could possibly support.
Ok, but how is that relevant to the point that lithium or cobalt are more likely to limit EV battery or solar panel production than phosphate?
It’s a recurring theme in the propaganda media. A vague statement is made that can easily be misunderstood by the low information eco acolyte as having solved a problem that holds back the ruinable revolution. The idea is to sort of acknowledge a problem that some skeptics may have raised but imply that it’s no longer an issue.
Except it doesn’t really solve any problem. Think about all the stupid stories about creating fuel from CO2. Or claims that there has been a major breakthrough in fusion. Or recycling windmill blades.
In this case the goal was to imply that the $150t needed to build batteries isn’t going to be a problem anymore because one of the materials needed is a little more available.
And then we’re on to making absurd claims about the hottest day “on record”. Just a coincidence that this offensive is mounted in peak Northern Hemisphere summer isn’t it?
The trouble with totalitarianism is that a large fraction of the people come to believe in the totalitarian “truth”. Not all and maybe not even a majority, but a large enough fraction to dominate the vital organs of any nation. It’s what makes totalitarianism more durable than mere dictatorship. And willingly oppressive.
If I’m remembering correctly, this says often only 5% don’t accept and often that 5% is mostly afraid to speak out so ‘effectively’ they too are believers.
CAGW ideology is the problem. It is entirely based on demonstrable falsehoods, starting with the fact that the supposedly deadly “carbon” emissions are essential for life but supplied in our atmosphere in barely measurable amounts. The emperor has no clothes. The entire ideology is built on a false premise. How can we get people to realize this simple fact. Why are the oil companies so passive? So complacent? What do they know that I don’t about this massive world-wide fraud?
I used to think the same thing. But her recent speeches touting the marxist ideological interpretation of economics rather than actual economics gave me a similar awakening.
We are living an age when those of us who challenge the nonsense being pushed into the population by ‘believers’, are cancelled, have our bank accounts closed and are declared ‘deniers’. While those promoting the nonsense, such as catastrophic climate change or gender laws (now claiming men can have babies?) or traditional books that have accurate though now declared uncomfortable words/stories so must be edited to remove the ‘trigger’ words/paragraphs, they get awarded gongs and promotions and social stardom.
The question, I ask myself, is how long can a society function that refuses to accept fundamental truth?. How long will it take for all the trees to be felled and head sculptures planted as an appeasement to the energy gods? How long before the ‘believers’ in climate change are marching up the volcano on a mission to throw yet another virgin down to that fails to satiate their beliefs?
How much longer before the witch finder general is reintroduced to deal with the non believers? Those of us who remain convinced in the purity of science, rather than consuming faith now adopted by media and authorities across the Globe, we are under increasing threat that will only become worse if we do not stand and speak out.
The question, I ask myself, is how long can a society function that refuses to accept fundamental truth?. How long will it take for all the trees to be felled and head sculptures planted as an appeasement to the energy gods? How long before the ‘believers’ in climate change are marching up the volcano on a mission to throw yet another virgin down to that fails to satiate their beliefs?
For CAGW it resides within a world of rhetoric. Truth is absent. Science as it relates to climate change is scientism, ideology.
We can look back at F.A. Hayek’s – The Counter Revolution of Science where he says a new science is born, see Henri Saint-Simon (1760-1825), this science that is created by, and used by the elite. Hayek called this “the abuse of reason”. Reason acknowledges uncertainty, it recognizes that we do not know and will never fully understand all phenomena.
Will we fully understand the earth’s climate? – No. You see the harder science attempts to understand the climate, the greater the resolution of measurement, the further science strives to eradicate uncertainty to “create” a technically utopian society living in a benign environment, the further from the truth it gets.
Real science is not arrogant, it is humble, empathetic, it should not assume an omnipotence, and it should never force or mandate.
To answer your question, we can break down the rhetoric, it can be done. Tell the truth, always.
And still the simple fact remains, the global average temperature exists nowhere in the real world, yet these pseudoscientists think they know the values thereof to 10mK (or less).
I’m delving into the parallels between the self-inflicted demise of the Roman civilization and what’s happening now in our 21st century Western societies.
If we think AI is scary, it can’t be any worse than our accelerating slide into chaos.
The central pillar of “climate science” is the claim that the current CO2 level exceeds that of pre-industrial, which the IPCC claim was 1850. I have often thought this questionable as they compare the current level in the tropical Pacific, an area of high outgassing and on the same island as one of the world’s most active volcanoes, with ice cores from the Antarctic which is surrounded by a huge body of cold water which is the largest natural sink. This has only been possible, we are told, since measurements started in 1958. If only there were earlier records, what might they show? Maybe that there have been levels comparable, or even greater than today since 1812? Surely not!
Too much of their famous “citroen jenever” – or not enough perhaps ##
Climate Paranoia Dutch style:One dead as Storm Poly hits Netherlands and ‘code red’ weather alert urges millions to stay indoors
Does anyone see a Code Red Storm, over the Netherlands, in the UK Met Office pressure chart for 12:00UTC today (image attached)
If you mean Stella Artois, that would be InBev the purveyors of sex in a canoe on several continents. Most recently famous for blowing a $20 billion hole in their collective market capitalization foot using a goofy guy pretending to be a girl, drinking a fluid pretending to be a beer.
InBev’s been greatly overextended for a long time. And if you come here to tour the founding brewery, that’s been monetized as well. You have to pay to see the cool stuff in the Clydesdale tack room and they try and sell you up in the Brewhouse at the end. But pretty over the holidays – the unions donate time to decorate.
If you grew up drinking Busch – including the sips your uncles sneaked you – your taste buds are dulled, making you indifferent to all of the craft beers. They taste fine to me, but Busch is my go to…
J Boles
July 5, 2023 4:36 am
Does David Middelton still post? He had some good articles.
He posted quite a good one on Haynesville development a few weeks ago. But he’s probably gun shy after his pimping of the fabulous Permian oil shale development he predicted last year. Those boring old business and engineering oilfield trashers (he’s a petroleum geoscientist and we keep them away from the live ammo) found that – for non 46 reasons – the Permian oil play is economically sunsetting. CapEx is insufficient to replace SEC proved developed, producing oil and oil associated gas boe reserves, and will be from now on. It’s why the smartest player, Pioneer Natural Resources, is cutting back, and hoped for acquisition by Exxon. Too bad for them that Exxon ran the numbers and is spending in Guyana instead.
Mr. Middleton might also be worried professionally. His firm made some Trumpian YUGE bad decisions and is trying to merge with another. Most of the value in these mergers is from hatcheting, so I hope he saved up. FYI, us oilfield trashers are the worst at that, giving us the saying “Lord, please give just one more oil boom and I promise not to piss it away”.
The Starvation is now so bad we’re eating/destroying our own and each others children..
Without a bank account these days, you are = Complete Nothing, you cease to exist. You cannot ‘exist’
“”Metro Bank blocks gender-critical parents from opening account after signing up to Stonewall scheme. Daily Mail
Bad enough the banks are charged with policing matters in which they are not competent, on pain of huge financial penalties. My wife was denied signing authority on an account because the bank clerk couldn’t understand her Right of Abode certificate. Why was the clerk even looking at it? Now we have the banks pursuing their own unforgiving agendas too. For what reason? (I know, I know. They want to be “investable” and they need a high ESG score. There’s another horror of our age.)
I can’t wait for CBDCs so they can switch us off completely no matter how or where we bank. \sarc
Biden likely violated First Amendment during COVID-19 pandemic, federal judge says
The FBI, during the Trump administration (and probably before, during the Obama-Biden administration), was dictating what social media platforms should censor from their platforms. This was not known by Trump and those in his administration because the focus of this censorship and propaganda shaping was to undermine Trump and put Democrats in the White House, and this violation of the First Amendment continued during the Biden administration.
The Federal Judge has said this must stop. The Biden “Justice” Department says they are reviewing the ruling.
No doubt the Biden administration will flaunt the law, as they have been doing for years.
The Biden administration is apparently going to appeal this ruling. That ought to be good: Please judge, we need to censor those Republicans for national security reasons! Don’t take away our ability to shut conservatives up! It’s for the children!
We’re not sure where….having just averaged 52,000 stations….
Real-time Global Temperature
(updated every 1-2 minutes)
57.47°F / 14.15°C
Deviation: 0.27°F / 0.15°C
Stations processed last hour: 51652
The average daily air temperature on the planet’s surface on July 3 was logged at 62.618 degrees by an organization that’s part of the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
I thought I remembered Stokes telling me that nobody reports temperatures — averaged or otherwise — to 3 significant figures to the right of the decimal point. Who am I going to believe now!
I rarely read a Daily Mail article because of the hogwash they write but may occasionally look at a climate article. Today a headline caught my attention:
Monday was the world’s hottest day since records began and temperatures could rise even further in the coming weeks as scientists warn climate change is to blame
Notice the phrase:
“Monday was the world’s hottest day since records began”
The UK MET office has records going back for over a century but these do not cover the world. The journalist does qualify later in the article that he is talking about records from satellite monitoring since 1979. Speaking of the world’s hottest day measured only over the past 40 years is worthless. We would need real measurements over hundreds if not thousands of years covering all the land and seas to notice cyclical patterns enabling us to draw conclusions.
The whole article is mishmash of alarmism with a university lecturer, the EU climate chief and the World Meteorological Organization thrown in to give it credibility but it remains hogwash.
They say it takes a while for tropical East Pacific seawater to warm the air farther away. They’re hoping July 2023 will be fractionally warmer than the record set in July 1998.
And if the July data don’t beat the 1998 record, they have ways of making it happen, if only for 1 second on an airport runway. It’s the first “unprecedented” headline that counts – sceptics can debunk it till the cows come home, and nobody will notice.
It’s releasing a lot of heat early and they released a new forecast on the state of ENSO https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/lanina/enso_evolution-status-fcsts-web.pdf. Now only a moderate El Niño is expected. The pause is real. July 2022 saw a reading of 0.37 C, keep in mind that this was during a La Niña cycle. This time we’re in moderate El Niño cycle and we’re seeing the same reading. If CO2 really was the control knob or even had a significant impact, that number would be much higher.
Quant e-Sportlimousine’s top speed is 217mph – equal to a McLaren P1
The car uses a saltwater flow cell system to power four electric motors
Water passes through membrane in tanks creating an electric charge
Two 200-litre water tanks can provide a range of 373 miles (600km)
The four-seater is 5.25 metres (0.4ft) long and 2.2 metres wide (7.2ft)
Price and sale date yet to be confirmed, but may cost more than £1m
</blockquote
Certainly climate changes over time, the earth was a different place during and after the Devonian when no humans existed to produce AGW. But even now the minor changes that purportedly indicate existential climate disaster affect only local areas. The idea that possible rising sea levels threatening Inupiat villages along the Chukchi Sea is an indication of a global climate catastrophe is absurd.
It is imperative for the climate doomsayers to portray the issue as a global one because that requires a global response rather than a local one. If tides come too close to the homes of the citizens of Shishmaref they will move a short distance inland. In fact, the location of the village is favorable in that it’s close enough to the ocean to make fishing and hunting of sea mammals practical. Of the many thousands of acres of available land these people chose a spot next to the sea. Using the possibility of current or future problems with site as one excuse to eliminate internal combustion engines in California is preposterous.
On the other hand, a city like Grand Forks, ND on the Red River of the North, a perennial victim of spring floods, was established as a stop for commercial river traffic between US cities and Fort Garry, Manitoba in the 19th century. This activity no longer exists and hasn’t for some time. There’s no real reason why the town should be located where it is except that continuous construction of business facilities and public infrastructure over time would make its abandonment a dead weight loss, like other “ghost towns”, for instance various gas stops along old Route 66 in the western US.
Getting back to the point, weather events are always local affairs. Portraying them as evidence of global climate change is not only wrong but dishonest.
Are there any refutations of the arguments RFK Jr uses against vaccines, particularly the mRNA vaccines? All I see are dismissals without any discuss of facts,
The interesting thing about RFKjr is that he doesn’t say all vaccines are bad. He’s much more dangerous than that!
He makes a persuasive case that they are not properly tested, that some are unnecessary, ineffective, or counterproductive, and that Big Pharma has captured the agency that is supposed to hold them accountable. In other words, he’s a dangerous kook who could disrupt Pfizer’s profit margin.
It would probably be wrong for me to try to answer that just based on my memory of a few video clips. My quite possibly bad recollection was yes to small pox and polio, but no to chicken pox and hepatitis C. For chicken pox he argued that vaccine immunity was inferior to actually getting the almost harmless disease and results in a high probability of getting dangerous painful shingles later in life. For hep C it’s a sexually-transmitted disease that doesn’t need to be added to the load imposed on infants.
I’m not a fan of RFKjr just to be clear. He’s anti-nuke, an environmental wacko, and a big government liberal. I don’t know if there’s any merit to any of his vaccine arguments.
But he says plausible things about covid overreach and his talking points on vaccines are a lot more nuanced than portrayed by the deep-state-run media. I’m exceedingly cynical about Big Pharma. Adam Smith warned about their sort.
If everything is on the up and up why do we need to shield pharmaceutical companies from product liability?
Yes, there are. Lots of them for standard vaccines. Novel mRNA injections were rushed to market under emergency use authorizations without sufficient testing.
Note that I cite a “fact-check” site that turns itself inside out to try to argue the opposite, yet they state in black and white that the definition was changed from “produce or artificially increase immunity to a particular disease” to one that “reflects the newer medical technology of messenger RNA (mRNA) vaccines“. In other words, the mRNA vaccines do not produce or artificially increase immunity to a particular disease.
All of the details regarding the efficacy of the “jabs” is covered by Dr. Robert Malone and several others. The lack of same is WHY the definition was changed. As to RFK Jr, Is he not also an opponent of the 2nd?
Brock
July 5, 2023 7:54 am
The earth’s energy imbalance (EEI) seems to be quite insensitive to variations in illumination. The sun’s luminosity varies periodically by a small amount (~0.3 W/m2), but large enough to see in the data. However, looking at the EEI data shows no periodic behavior whatsoever, even when an FFT is applied. It appears that the climate sensitivity is close to zero, which is what one would expect for a tightly controlled system. Comments?
The standard EEI view only considers the instantaneous TSI with no ocean storage.
The EEI is really the ongoing discrepancy between amount of absorbed solar energy in the upper ocean of the incoming cloud-modified total solar irradiance and the Earth’s outgoing longwave radiation (OLR). ASR is stored in the ocean >10x longer than the absorption time.
In essence, when high ASR occurs there is first a negative spike in OLR due to immediate cloud generation, but later, some of the ASR ocean heat upwells to warms the sea surface causing evaporation, clouds and convection, causing a change in OLR to be positive.
Due to the long lag (residence) time between absorption (ASR) and eventual emission (OLR), an instantaneous energy imbalance occurs, positive or negative.
The EEI over time has to be properly considered as a function of incoming TSI and albedo.
Looking at the period 1890-2010, if we consider the energy imbalance since 1890 to be reflected in the sea surface temperature, we can see growth in the imbalance, ie SST, is due solely to TSI and albedo, using Jim Hansen’s Planetary Temperature Equation, a modified Stephan-Boltzmann equation.
The 30y average sea surface temperature in the example above has responded to approximently 120 total years of solar activity, or about 11 solar cycles, affecting the EEI on a very long time scale compared to the effect of just one solar cycle or one ENSO event.
Thanks for the post, but the CERES satellite data indicates no EEI response to changing solar illumination, indicating a climate sensitivity close to zero. My point simply is the earth’s system is very tightly controlled, and there is no reason to believe that CO2 will change that.
What you are discussing is how the energy distributes itself around the world, which is a different issue.
NC Skeptic
July 5, 2023 8:41 am
I am a long time reader of WUWT, but this is my first post.
I have been reading “The Grand Design” by Leonard Mlodinow and Stephen Hawking. It discusses Quantum Physics which is way above my comprehension level. I like to make believe I am smart. In one of the early chapters they discuss models. In their instance it is how to describe the make up of matter, but as they also point out we use models everyday as we try to describe the world around us. They state that “A model is a good model if it”
Is elegant
Contains few arbitrary or adjustable elements
Agrees with and explains all existing observations
Makes detailed predictions about future observations that can falsify the model if they are not borne out
The climate models that are used fail on every point. They are not scientific.
Congrats on your first post, a good one too. The difference between a real scientific model and a fake one is people with fake models don’t make good or any specific predictions. You will find a lot of people make predictions without supporting them, or not very well at least.
There are so very few good short term specific predictions based on spelled out mechanisms made by climate scientists or skeptics, because most of what they’re pitching is actually fake science. Early in my career here I keyed in on this and have made a habit of making specific short-term predictions stated with the supporting data and mechanism.
I don’t understand elegance. Difficult to define. The last three on your list are the essense of the thing. Physicists (and I am one) are prone to pomposity and elitism. Elegance is a part of that charade.
I agree. The elegance criteria is a little subjective. In the text they identify it as difficult to define, but go on to say “laws of nature are menat to economically compress a number of particular cases into one simple formula.” It is kind of the essence of the other three items.
Losing the economic plot
“The Bank of England (BoE) has declared that men can get pregnant. Yes, you read that right. According to a report in The Times, the central bank’s policies were recently changed so that now they say that pregnancy is something that men, women and a host of other ‘genders’ can experience.”
…
This controversy comes at a time when the Bank of England is coming under heavy criticism for failing to do its actual job – namely, controlling spiralling inflation, which it has routinely underestimated over the past few years.
https://www.spiked-online.com/2023/07/04/why-does-the-bank-of-england-think-men-can-get-pregnant/
“More important still, the rapid shift to EVs may well accelerate the deindustrialisation of America and other Western countries. Although communities may welcome the arrival of new electric-assembly facilities, and underperforming firms like General Motors can hope to use federal EV mandates to boost their market share, many traditional component suppliers are likely to get forced out of business. Overall, electric-car production uses 30 per cent less domestic labour in the US compared with traditional car-making. Ford recently announced massive layoffs, despite landing a $9 billion loan from the Biden administration to bolster its EV production. The firm is currently losing $60,000 per EV, which is not exactly sustainable without massive state subsidies.”
https://www.spiked-online.com/2023/07/03/this-rush-to-electric-cars-is-a-colossal-mistake/
Shake that money maker
“The Sovereign’s estates had always been used to raise revenue, and over time large areas were granted to nobles. The estate fluctuated in size and value but by 1760, when George III acceded to the throne, the asset had been reduced to a small area producing little income – revenue which George III needed to fulfil the Sovereign’s fiscal responsibilities to the nation.
By that time taxes had become the prime source of revenue for the United Kingdom and Parliament administered the country, so an agreement was reached that the Crown Lands would be managed on behalf of the Government and the surplus revenue would go to the Treasury. In return the King would receive a fixed annual payment – formerly known as the Civil List. “
https://www.thecrownestate.co.uk/en-gb/about-us/our-history/
For the crown estate… read the Treasury.
“The crown estate has generated record profits of almost half a billion pounds from Britain’s offshore windfarms, as talks continue over how much of the windfall should be shared with King Charles.”
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2023/jun/29/crown-estate-enjoys-huge-rise-in-profits-thanks-to-offshore-wind
How perfectly 1660 is that? Parliament and the monarch divvying up the profits… Back off peasant…
“The two-year suspension of green levies, which came into place just six months ago, will reportedly end at the start of July. Energy firms and MPs had lobbied for the government to pay the charge during the cost of living crisis. But with energy bills set to fall by an average of almost £500 from July, the government is placing the cost back on households, The Telegraph reported.”
https://www.lbc.co.uk/news/households-green-levy-net-zero-sunak-hunt/
When it’s not running it’s still earning
“Windfarms receive £227million subsidies to switch off
Two huge new offshore windfarms received nearly half of the £227million paid out to operators last year to switch off when it was too windy due to capacity issues with the grid.
Constraint payments are given to operators for switching off turbines, typically when high winds and a high concentration of wind farms means the system doesn’t have the capacity to transport the energy to where it is needed. The cost is added to domestic electricity bills, heaping more misery on households already grappling with soaring energy bills.
…
New analysis from Net Zero Watch has revealed that the cost of paying windfarms to “switch off” has soared, from £143 million in 2021 to £227 million in 2022, an increase of £84 million, or 60%.”
https://www.heraldscotland.com/news/homenews/23238220.windfarms-receive-227million-subsidies-switch-off/
Feudalism never really went away and now it’s definitely on the up.
Lunatics were locked up in asylums but now they seem to have gotten into all the positions of power and intent on making our society a madhouse. It is really dangerous to be sane today.
Lunacy, appears to be a requisite qualification, these days.
Lunatics or the operatives of “the Long March through the institutions”?
If I was a male working for the BoE, I’d be asking for maternity leave. And I’d keep on doing it!
Doesn’t one usually need a doctor’s excuse note?
There were a number of fairly recent articles that said 2022 constraint payments totaled more than £1,000,000,000. £227 is quite a bit less than that (1/4). Which figure is closest to reality?
Dead whale lawsuits are piling up.
https://www.cfact.org/2023/07/03/offshore-wind-foes-in-new-jersey-flex-muscles/
David, quoting from the link you cited:
Bruce Afran, an attorney for the groups, told the Associated Press that the DEP “has acknowledged the wind turbines will destroy marine habitat, compress the sea floor, severely damage maritime communities, cause commercial fishing stocks to decline, and injure the beach economy.”
“Yet the state persists in the bizarre belief that this massive engineering project will not injure our state’s coastal zone, one of the most important marine communities on the East Coast and the core of New Jersey’s $47 billion tourist industry.”
To buttress his plaintiffs’ case, Afran cited numerous sections of the DEP’s April decision on Ocean Wind 1, “acknowledging potential negative impacts on the surf clam industry; changes to the ocean floor from wind turbine foundations and equipment; and the regular use of the area as a migrating channel for five species of whales, including the critically endangered North Atlantic right whale,” the AP reported.
***************
There cannot be enough of these lawsuits for me. The hypocrisy here boggles the mind. Here’s hoping that lawsuits succeed in bringing this idiocy to an end at offshore sites.
KILL WIND TURBINES, NOT AVIAN AND MARINE WILDLIFE
Found the following in “The Rise and Fall of the 3rd Reich” by William Shirer, an American journalist who worked in Germany from the mid 1930s until 1940 when he had to skedaddle out (apologies to the US members who iundoubtedly already know about him).
No one who has not lived for years in a totalitarian land can possibly conceive how difficult it is to escape the dread consequences of a regime’s calculated and incessant propaganda. Often in a German home or office or sometimes in a casual conversation with a stranger in a restaurant, a beer hall, a cafe, I would meet with the most outlandish assertions from seemingly educated and intelligent persons. It was obvious that they were parroting some piece of nonsense they had heard on the radio or read in the news papers.Sometimes one was tempted to say as much, but on such occasions one was met with such a stare of incredulity, such a shock of silence, as if one had blasphemed the Almighty, that one realized how useless it was even to try to make contact with a mind which has become warped and for whom the facts of life had become what Hitler and Goebbels, with their cynical disregards for truth, said they were.
After reading that I realized that we have reached the same situation. After years of constant hysteria on the media about the Crisis of Global Warming it is not possible to have a conversation with people without be branded as a “Climate Denier”. Again demonstrating the power of constant propaganda
.
There isn’t much new under the Sun.
Most of today’s media elites have excelled in the Goebbels module.
Yes, they do talk a load of Goebbels!
Similar sorts of words ain’t they: Propaganda vs Paranoia
Here’s paranoia, UK style = If someone, almost anyone, thinks they don’t like what you’re doing in your garden/space/home/castle, they can call upon A Plod to slap you a Community Protection Notice. There and then, just like that.
Basically a criminal record and a warning that if you so much as breath again you’ll be hit with a £2,500 fine and ever more if you persist in just continuing to exist.
With perfectly no way of opposing the thing or getting it removed. Plods can hand them out like so much confetti and are increasingly doing so.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/07/01/how-community-protection-notices-ruining-peoples-lives/
There are too many rats in the cage and they are starving hungry.
I think it’s useless for me to try to make contact with such minds. I sometimes try, but without real hope.
What enrages me is the silence of the professionals who should be intervening when non-professionals spout nonsense in public. You frequently hear claims on TV or the radio for which there is no backing in AR6.
I don’t love the IPCC but their assessment reports are proving handy. Few people jabbering crazy talk about climate change in the bar are willing to continue if you show them they’re exceeding what even the IPCC asserts. It’s a toe in the door at least. If you can get them to agree they need to rethink a bit then you’re heading in the right direction at least. And if they insist they know better than the IPCC you know you’re dealing with an extremist and you can walk away with a clear conscience.
Quelgeek, you have hit the nail on the head. It reminds me of a book I read about an intelligent Chinese lady who was imprisoned during the Cultural Revolution in China. When the guards quoted Mao’s Little Red Book to her, she quoted it back to them pointing out the contradictions.
We need to become more astute in using alarmist materials against them by sowing doubt in climate alarmism rather than confrontation. A well phrased question can achieve more than an incisive statement. The time will come, when we have piled up questions and our hearer is filled with doubt, to strike home with statements about climate realities. We need to recognize when to persist with reasoning and when to walk away.
Just finished reading that book – fascinating stuff
I went looking for a copy of that book in a local used bookstore a week ago and was surprised I couldn’t find a copy. Amazingly no one at the store had any familiarity with the title. I was looking for something different to read and suspected it has many lessons from the 1930s useful for decoding some of what we see around us. Totalitarians have only a few tools at their disposal and must all operate according to very similar plans — break with the past (rid the land of old culture, old thinking, old values), engage with useful myths or concoct a new one, encourage superstition. You know, progress.
The book was copyrighted in 1959 and !960. My version was published in 1974. Should probably go and re read it – over 1200 pages with notes, bibliography and index.
When talking to a believer, just say, “Oh! I agree with you, and I think we NEED to do more…but first we need funding.” while holding out a hand palm up. To show you want on the gravy train too.
Take a look at this speech given by Michael Shellenberger recently:https://public.substack.com/p/escape-the-woke-matrix?utm_source=direct&r=1ccax&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=email
Escape The Woke MatrixA pathological religion is destroying our civilization
MICHAEL SHELLENBERGER
From the Australian Bureau of Meteorology web site.
Longer-term trends: Australia’s climate has warmed by around 1.47 °C in the period from 1910 to 2021, leading to an increase in the frequency of extreme heat events. Southern Australia has seen a 10 to 20% reduction in cool season (April to October) rainfall in recent decades.The Bureau’s climate model simulates the physics of atmospheric, oceanic, ice, and land surface processes and uses millions of observations from satellites as well as in-situ instrumentation on land and at sea. As a result, the model accounts for the influence of climate change and natural climate drivers like ENSO, IOD, the Madden–Julian Oscillation (MJO) and SAM in its long-range forecasts.
—-
Further the BoM has placed the ENSO at El Niño Alert.
In the past, when we have reached El Niño Alert, events have developed around 70% of the time. During winter–spring, El Niño increases the chance of below average rainfall for the eastern half of Australia and above average daytime temperatures for the southern two-thirds of Australia.
If El Nino develops into the Summer, following the extended LaNina seasons, I fear the amount of alarmism and fear will be off the charts this spring & summer across Australia. Particularly if major bushfires occur.
“Australia’s climate has warmed 1.7C”
As if Australia has just one climate.
It’s tropical, it’s alpine, it’s desert, it’s marine.
One half is always under water while the other half is on fire.
“A land of drought and flooding rains”.
Small- mind syndrome rules at the BoM, which is why they never grasp the big picture.
South Africa is also a land of droughts and floods. It is mid-winter at the moment and most parts have summer rainfall but the dams are 95% full. South Africans should be overjoyed but are not. They are facing a mess: “the water is not reaching consumers owing to factors including poor infrastructure, sewage contamination and municipal capacity contraints.”
In simple English this is due to incomptence, mismanagement, fraud, theft and the likes. The politicians and president ignore this being consumed by climate alarmism and net-zero quest the West is feeding them. They cannot see the contradiction between their full and overflowing dams and belief they are going to face a perpetual drought.
Their biggest city, Johannesburg, has been told to prepare for being without water for 40 hours while dams are full but the media are not asking “why?” because they are too busy pushing the climate narrative.
And strangely, no one seems to have looked at the temperature changes at the level of the Köppen climate classification system. I suspect that it would be very enlightening to see what is happening, particularly for regions with high humidity. Roy Spencer shows anomalies for the hemispheres and major continents, but I’m unaware of anyone having done it for the Köppen climate zones. Please correct me if I’m wrong.
“around 1.47°C” — proving the Aust. BoM knows nothing about significant digits.
Yes, the true uncertainty, regardless of warming or not, is probably greater than the claimed increase.
SteveG>> This kind of statement is made all the time by alarmist as most people readily accept the false logic that an increase in global average temperature will naturally mean more heat waves. They are totally unaware that the average can increase simply because low temperatures are less cold, warming can be due to urbanization, and even an increase of a degree or 2 from normal highs does not make a “heat wave” – e.g. if normal is 20 C (68 F) then 2 degrees warmer 22 C (71.6 F) is totally insignificant. Likewise, if your used to 30 C, 32C is not going to bother you. In fact there is no sound logic or observational data that supports the alarmist mantra of more severe storms, droughts, floods, sea level rise and acne in teenagers.
Absolutely.
It would be interesting to see a correlation graph between the increased area of built environments between the start of satellite era temps records (1976?) and today, compared with claimed temp increase over the same period.
For example, check out the urban area expansions in Sydney. Melbourne and Brisbane as the Australian population increased by ~ 50% (9 million) in just the 3 decades to 2016.
Then extrapolate that expansion to much and many more high-growth countries than Australia.
Story tip ?
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3984622/Australia-Timelapse-satellite-shows-Sydney-Melbourne-Perth-Hobart-Darwin-Canberra-Adelaide-Brisbane-changed.html
2 degrees increase may well not be significant but a great many people, even though it is quite common, are greatly bothered by 30C
“Particularly if major bushfires occur.”
If we have a warm, dry spring and summer, the conditions are certainly ready for major bushfires.
The years since the 2019 bushfires have been wet, and the undergrowth has become thick, lots of small eucalypts and tall grasses.
And very little in the way of burn-offs is being done.
Sure burn-offs are being done, just not by official agency.
They quote the years 1910 to 2021, say they have million of “observations” (?a synonym for data?), and then say that the warming is shown from a MODEL! So I’m assuming the whole shebang is made up?
I’m surprised they didn’t claim Australia is warming twice as fast as anywhere else.
Never believe anything just because “everyone else does”.
Recently I was consulting on a gold exploration project in Nevada. The sponsor company, they paid for the helicopter ride, was one of the major gold producers in Nevada, which is actually the Gold State, and not the Silver State, as is their motto. Along with a very senior Geologist/Manager was a young lady Geologist, who was a Triathlon competitor and actually a bright young Geologist. She had great geology views, only needing some experience to be really effective, moving into the discovery potential status. She believed whole-heartedly in Catastrophic Anthropogenic Global Warming. When I tried my standard “sea level marks global climate state, and 40 meters higher and 140 meters lower is the normal range, and claiming 1 meter change is a valid scientific signal is false. Although she appeared to mull things over for a while, her position was unchanged. I post this comment to show how totally immersed segments of the population, including bright young students, have become, such is the indoctrination process.
Speaking of indoctrination, this morning in my Google news feed, two separate articles proclaiming that Monday (3 Jul 2023) was the hottest day in recorded history. Well around these parts it was hot and humid, so it must be true, right?
Also Antarctic sea ice hits record low.
And thank Gaia, a discovery in Norway “could” provide enough “mineral” to supply batteries and solar panels for a HUNDRED years!
Now you would be forgiven for thinking what connects those two, maybe cobalt? How does this supply lithium? But no, it’s “rare” phosphate that has been in “tight supply”.
Now of course all you deniers have to stop claiming that we can’t afford to solve intermittency with batteries! There’s a hundred year supply! Whaddaya mean phosphate isn’t really the limiting factor or a main component of cost? SCIENCE DENIER!
They so depend on us being stupid.
Monday (3 Jul 2023) was the hottest day in recorded history
Exactly how long is that record?
Probably at least two days, I reckon.
Based on the data that they are using;
It is began in 1979
Based on the model they use to torture the data until they confess. And much of the “data” are made up.
The model used goes all the way back to 1979. They’re claiming it was the hottest day in 125,000 years, ie since the Eemian interglacial. But they overlooked the Holocene Climate Optimum, the Egyptian, Minoan, Roman and Medieval Warm Periods, peaking around 5, 4, 3, 2 and 1 Ka.
UAH temperature report for June is out.
https://www.nsstc.uah.edu/climate/2023/June/GTR_202306JUN_1.pdf
June anomaly was 0.38 C, up from 0.37 in May. El Niño effect should continue warming the air, but the downtrend from 2016 should remain intact.
If I’m remembering correctly, it was phosphorus that an Issac Asimov article identified as the ultimate limiting resource for the mass quantity of life this planet could possibly support.
Ok, but how is that relevant to the point that lithium or cobalt are more likely to limit EV battery or solar panel production than phosphate?
It’s a recurring theme in the propaganda media. A vague statement is made that can easily be misunderstood by the low information eco acolyte as having solved a problem that holds back the ruinable revolution. The idea is to sort of acknowledge a problem that some skeptics may have raised but imply that it’s no longer an issue.
Except it doesn’t really solve any problem. Think about all the stupid stories about creating fuel from CO2. Or claims that there has been a major breakthrough in fusion. Or recycling windmill blades.
In this case the goal was to imply that the $150t needed to build batteries isn’t going to be a problem anymore because one of the materials needed is a little more available.
And then we’re on to making absurd claims about the hottest day “on record”. Just a coincidence that this offensive is mounted in peak Northern Hemisphere summer isn’t it?
The trouble with totalitarianism is that a large fraction of the people come to believe in the totalitarian “truth”. Not all and maybe not even a majority, but a large enough fraction to dominate the vital organs of any nation. It’s what makes totalitarianism more durable than mere dictatorship. And willingly oppressive.
Get the people to believe in absurdities.
Atrocities follow, so they say.
If I’m remembering correctly, this says often only 5% don’t accept and often that 5% is mostly afraid to speak out so ‘effectively’ they too are believers.
CAGW ideology is the problem. It is entirely based on demonstrable falsehoods, starting with the fact that the supposedly deadly “carbon” emissions are essential for life but supplied in our atmosphere in barely measurable amounts. The emperor has no clothes. The entire ideology is built on a false premise. How can we get people to realize this simple fact. Why are the oil companies so passive? So complacent? What do they know that I don’t about this massive world-wide fraud?
As I pointed out above. There are also many other sources for the same information from this researcher.
I suspect that Chamberlain’s Method of Multiple Working Hypotheses is no longer required reading for the current generation of geologists.
Climate change is dampening Agriculture yield-US secretary Of treasury
I thought she was smarter than that.
https://www.youtube.com/shorts/RYE6CgypIfY
I used to think the same thing. But her recent speeches touting the marxist ideological interpretation of economics rather than actual economics gave me a similar awakening.
Maybe she was … and she is now too old.
Maybe she is (smarter than that) … but she thinks that we are all very stupid/ignorant and she can get away with lying & shilling.
Maybe she has just been dumbed-down by the present company she keeps.
Of what real use is an economist who won’t look dispassionately at data? She has a brainwashed look about her now.
No one in the Brandon administration can be described as “smart”.
It doesn’t seem possible to assemble a larger group of “carnival sideshows” in one administration.
Well I guess technically Hunter isn’t in the Administration but he’s the smartest man Dementia Joe knows. Doesn’t count?
Speaking of smart….
We are living an age when those of us who challenge the nonsense being pushed into the population by ‘believers’, are cancelled, have our bank accounts closed and are declared ‘deniers’. While those promoting the nonsense, such as catastrophic climate change or gender laws (now claiming men can have babies?) or traditional books that have accurate though now declared uncomfortable words/stories so must be edited to remove the ‘trigger’ words/paragraphs, they get awarded gongs and promotions and social stardom.
The question, I ask myself, is how long can a society function that refuses to accept fundamental truth?. How long will it take for all the trees to be felled and head sculptures planted as an appeasement to the energy gods? How long before the ‘believers’ in climate change are marching up the volcano on a mission to throw yet another virgin down to that fails to satiate their beliefs?
How much longer before the witch finder general is reintroduced to deal with the non believers? Those of us who remain convinced in the purity of science, rather than consuming faith now adopted by media and authorities across the Globe, we are under increasing threat that will only become worse if we do not stand and speak out.
For CAGW it resides within a world of rhetoric. Truth is absent. Science as it relates to climate change is scientism, ideology.
We can look back at F.A. Hayek’s – The Counter Revolution of Science where he says a new science is born, see Henri Saint-Simon (1760-1825), this science that is created by, and used by the elite. Hayek called this “the abuse of reason”. Reason acknowledges uncertainty, it recognizes that we do not know and will never fully understand all phenomena.
Will we fully understand the earth’s climate? – No. You see the harder science attempts to understand the climate, the greater the resolution of measurement, the further science strives to eradicate uncertainty to “create” a technically utopian society living in a benign environment, the further from the truth it gets.
Real science is not arrogant, it is humble, empathetic, it should not assume an omnipotence, and it should never force or mandate.
To answer your question, we can break down the rhetoric, it can be done. Tell the truth, always.
“Truth is treason in an empire of lies“
And still the simple fact remains, the global average temperature exists nowhere in the real world, yet these pseudoscientists think they know the values thereof to 10mK (or less).
I’m delving into the parallels between the self-inflicted demise of the Roman civilization and what’s happening now in our 21st century Western societies.
If we think AI is scary, it can’t be any worse than our accelerating slide into chaos.
The central pillar of “climate science” is the claim that the current CO2 level exceeds that of pre-industrial, which the IPCC claim was 1850. I have often thought this questionable as they compare the current level in the tropical Pacific, an area of high outgassing and on the same island as one of the world’s most active volcanoes, with ice cores from the Antarctic which is surrounded by a huge body of cold water which is the largest natural sink. This has only been possible, we are told, since measurements started in 1958. If only there were earlier records, what might they show? Maybe that there have been levels comparable, or even greater than today since 1812? Surely not!
https://friendsofscience.org/assets/files/documents/CO2%20Gas%20Analysis-Ernst-Georg%20Beck.pdf
There’s also a CO2 station in Tasmania collecting Southern Ocean readings.
Apparently, these match with Mauna Lau’s.
“Apparently”
Actually!
https://capegrim.csiro.au/Demo1.pl
Too much of their famous “citroen jenever” – or not enough perhaps ##
Climate Paranoia Dutch style: One dead as Storm Poly hits Netherlands and ‘code red’ weather alert urges millions to stay indoors
Does anyone see a Code Red Storm, over the Netherlands, in the UK Met Office pressure chart for 12:00UTC today (image attached)
https://news.sky.com/story/one-dead-as-storm-poly-hits-netherlands-and-code-red-weather-alert-urges-millions-to-stay-indoors-12915203
## Who makes ‘Stella‘ – that truly is gut/brain/body rotting stuff
If you mean Stella Artois, that would be InBev the purveyors of sex in a canoe on several continents. Most recently famous for blowing a $20 billion hole in their collective market capitalization foot using a goofy guy pretending to be a girl, drinking a fluid pretending to be a beer.
InBev’s been greatly overextended for a long time. And if you come here to tour the founding brewery, that’s been monetized as well. You have to pay to see the cool stuff in the Clydesdale tack room and they try and sell you up in the Brewhouse at the end. But pretty over the holidays – the unions donate time to decorate.
If you grew up drinking Busch – including the sips your uncles sneaked you – your taste buds are dulled, making you indifferent to all of the craft beers. They taste fine to me, but Busch is my go to…
Does David Middelton still post? He had some good articles.
I’ll email him
He posted quite a good one on Haynesville development a few weeks ago. But he’s probably gun shy after his pimping of the fabulous Permian oil shale development he predicted last year. Those boring old business and engineering oilfield trashers (he’s a petroleum geoscientist and we keep them away from the live ammo) found that – for non 46 reasons – the Permian oil play is economically sunsetting. CapEx is insufficient to replace SEC proved developed, producing oil and oil associated gas boe reserves, and will be from now on. It’s why the smartest player, Pioneer Natural Resources, is cutting back, and hoped for acquisition by Exxon. Too bad for them that Exxon ran the numbers and is spending in Guyana instead.
Mr. Middleton might also be worried professionally. His firm made some Trumpian YUGE bad decisions and is trying to merge with another. Most of the value in these mergers is from hatcheting, so I hope he saved up. FYI, us oilfield trashers are the worst at that, giving us the saying “Lord, please give just one more oil boom and I promise not to piss it away”.
The Starvation is now so bad we’re eating/destroying our own and each others children..
Without a bank account these days, you are = Complete Nothing, you cease to exist. You cannot ‘exist’
“”Metro Bank blocks gender-critical parents from opening account after signing up to Stonewall scheme.
Daily Mail
As per Nigel (Brexit) Farage very recently
Bad enough the banks are charged with policing matters in which they are not competent, on pain of huge financial penalties. My wife was denied signing authority on an account because the bank clerk couldn’t understand her Right of Abode certificate. Why was the clerk even looking at it? Now we have the banks pursuing their own unforgiving agendas too. For what reason? (I know, I know. They want to be “investable” and they need a high ESG score. There’s another horror of our age.)
I can’t wait for CBDCs so they can switch us off completely no matter how or where we bank. \sarc
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/biden-likely-violated-first-amendment-covid-19-pandemic-federal-judge-says
Biden likely violated First Amendment during COVID-19 pandemic, federal judge says
The FBI, during the Trump administration (and probably before, during the Obama-Biden administration), was dictating what social media platforms should censor from their platforms. This was not known by Trump and those in his administration because the focus of this censorship and propaganda shaping was to undermine Trump and put Democrats in the White House, and this violation of the First Amendment continued during the Biden administration.
The Federal Judge has said this must stop. The Biden “Justice” Department says they are reviewing the ruling.
A ruling for Free Speech on the Fourth of July!
While this is good news, the Brandonistas will just ignore whatever a judge declares and continues stumbling on into their totalitarian nightmare.
No doubt the Biden administration will flaunt the law, as they have been doing for years.
The Biden administration is apparently going to appeal this ruling. That ought to be good: Please judge, we need to censor those Republicans for national security reasons! Don’t take away our ability to shut conservatives up! It’s for the children!
Getting paid to use electricity-
Some Europeans Are Getting Paid To Charge Their EVs at Home – autoevolution
Sounds great! I wonder why we haven’t thought of that before?
Giles explains it all for us-
Negative pricing events hit record levels, and are worse in coal-fired grids | RenewEconomy
Yet another “Earth’s hottest day on record” headline today. 62.618 F vs. 62.456 F set last year.
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/hottest-day-ever-july-3-2023-initial-measurements/
We’re not sure where….having just averaged 52,000 stations….
Real-time Global Temperature
(updated every 1-2 minutes)
57.47°F / 14.15°C
Deviation: 0.27°F / 0.15°C
Stations processed last hour: 51652
FIVE significant digits, to ONE milli-Fahrenheit!
Another example of the yardstick-micrometer.
And it’s not even a bracketed guard digit. It is the Truth from on high!
I thought I remembered Stokes telling me that nobody reports temperatures — averaged or otherwise — to 3 significant figures to the right of the decimal point. Who am I going to believe now!
I rarely read a Daily Mail article because of the hogwash they write but may occasionally look at a climate article. Today a headline caught my attention:
Monday was the world’s hottest day since records began
and temperatures could rise even further in the coming weeks
as scientists warn climate change is to blame
Notice the phrase:
“Monday was the world’s hottest day since records began”
The UK MET office has records going back for over a century but these do not cover the world. The journalist does qualify later in the article that he is talking about records from satellite monitoring since 1979. Speaking of the world’s hottest day measured only over the past 40 years is worthless. We would need real measurements over hundreds if not thousands of years covering all the land and seas to notice cyclical patterns enabling us to draw conclusions.
The whole article is mishmash of alarmism with a university lecturer, the EU climate chief and the World Meteorological Organization thrown in to give it credibility but it remains hogwash.
Monday was the world’s hottest day since adjustments began.
I note the latest UAH reading for June is 0,01degs warmer than May. What’s happening to NOAA’s scarlet El Niño? Yet to kick in?
They say it takes a while for tropical East Pacific seawater to warm the air farther away. They’re hoping July 2023 will be fractionally warmer than the record set in July 1998.
And if the July data don’t beat the 1998 record, they have ways of making it happen, if only for 1 second on an airport runway. It’s the first “unprecedented” headline that counts – sceptics can debunk it till the cows come home, and nobody will notice.
The UK can fly one of their VTOL aircraft over the weather station and let it hoover there for a couple minutes. That should bake in a new record.
It’s releasing a lot of heat early and they released a new forecast on the state of ENSO https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/lanina/enso_evolution-status-fcsts-web.pdf. Now only a moderate El Niño is expected. The pause is real. July 2022 saw a reading of 0.37 C, keep in mind that this was during a La Niña cycle. This time we’re in moderate El Niño cycle and we’re seeing the same reading. If CO2 really was the control knob or even had a significant impact, that number would be much higher.
They are hoping and preying for an El Nino.
Proving categorically that they know it isn’t CO2 causing the warming! 🙂
Hydrogen which leads to water vapor is bad for the climate – https://phys.org/news/2023-06-global-potential-hydrogen.amp
And, according to German wind farm owner, negative electricity prices cause wind farm fires –
https://www.rechargenews.com/wind/wind-farm-blaze-boss-blames-negative-power-prices-for-strain-on-old-turbine/2-1-1481181
The flow-cell technology is known ?
Not new, but rarely used:
The sports car that runs on SALTWATER: Vehicle goes from 0 to 60mph in 2.8 seconds – and has just been approved for EU roads
That article is over 9 years old. This article is under 9 years old:
https://ericedttaylor.wordpress.com/2014/09/10/e-sportlimousine-is-a-scam/
Seems to be an elaborate scam to fleece investors.
News flash! UK civil servants want more spending or their standing will be shattered-
UK risks ‘shattering’ global standing by dumping £11.6bn climate pledge (msn.com)
Yeah, the UK wouldn’t want to lose their ranking of having some of the dumbest politicians on the planet, who can’t even keep the lights on.
Certainly climate changes over time, the earth was a different place during and after the Devonian when no humans existed to produce AGW. But even now the minor changes that purportedly indicate existential climate disaster affect only local areas. The idea that possible rising sea levels threatening Inupiat villages along the Chukchi Sea is an indication of a global climate catastrophe is absurd.
It is imperative for the climate doomsayers to portray the issue as a global one because that requires a global response rather than a local one. If tides come too close to the homes of the citizens of Shishmaref they will move a short distance inland. In fact, the location of the village is favorable in that it’s close enough to the ocean to make fishing and hunting of sea mammals practical. Of the many thousands of acres of available land these people chose a spot next to the sea. Using the possibility of current or future problems with site as one excuse to eliminate internal combustion engines in California is preposterous.
On the other hand, a city like Grand Forks, ND on the Red River of the North, a perennial victim of spring floods, was established as a stop for commercial river traffic between US cities and Fort Garry, Manitoba in the 19th century. This activity no longer exists and hasn’t for some time. There’s no real reason why the town should be located where it is except that continuous construction of business facilities and public infrastructure over time would make its abandonment a dead weight loss, like other “ghost towns”, for instance various gas stops along old Route 66 in the western US.
Getting back to the point, weather events are always local affairs. Portraying them as evidence of global climate change is not only wrong but dishonest.
Are there any refutations of the arguments RFK Jr uses against vaccines, particularly the mRNA vaccines? All I see are dismissals without any discuss of facts,
One doesn’t discuss heresy, msg. Experts say.
The interesting thing about RFKjr is that he doesn’t say all vaccines are bad. He’s much more dangerous than that!
He makes a persuasive case that they are not properly tested, that some are unnecessary, ineffective, or counterproductive, and that Big Pharma has captured the agency that is supposed to hold them accountable. In other words, he’s a dangerous kook who could disrupt Pfizer’s profit margin.
He claims that’s what he thinks, but which vaccines does he say are good?
It would probably be wrong for me to try to answer that just based on my memory of a few video clips. My quite possibly bad recollection was yes to small pox and polio, but no to chicken pox and hepatitis C. For chicken pox he argued that vaccine immunity was inferior to actually getting the almost harmless disease and results in a high probability of getting dangerous painful shingles later in life. For hep C it’s a sexually-transmitted disease that doesn’t need to be added to the load imposed on infants.
I’m not a fan of RFKjr just to be clear. He’s anti-nuke, an environmental wacko, and a big government liberal. I don’t know if there’s any merit to any of his vaccine arguments.
But he says plausible things about covid overreach and his talking points on vaccines are a lot more nuanced than portrayed by the deep-state-run media. I’m exceedingly cynical about Big Pharma. Adam Smith warned about their sort.
If everything is on the up and up why do we need to shield pharmaceutical companies from product liability?
Yes, there are. Lots of them for standard vaccines. Novel mRNA injections were rushed to market under emergency use authorizations without sufficient testing.
https://www.chop.edu/centers-programs/vaccine-education-center/vaccines-and-other-conditions/vaccines-autism
I’m looking for refutation of RFK Jr’s assertions, not support for his statements.
My point is rhetorical. If the facts are on the pro-jab side, they would argue the facts.
My link does argue the facts, as do medical professionals.
The evidence shows childhood vax don’t cause autism, contrary to his assertion.
And the definition of ‘vaccine’ was changed so that the mRNAs could be called vaccines.
https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/factcheck/2021/11/30/fact-check-merriam-webster-changed-vaccine-definition-accuracy/6354415001/:
Merriam-Webster revised its “vaccine” definition to replace “immunity” with “immune response.”
Note that I cite a “fact-check” site that turns itself inside out to try to argue the opposite, yet they state in black and white that the definition was changed from “produce or artificially increase immunity to a particular disease” to one that “reflects the newer medical technology of messenger RNA (mRNA) vaccines“. In other words, the mRNA vaccines do not produce or artificially increase immunity to a particular disease.
All of the details regarding the efficacy of the “jabs” is covered by Dr. Robert Malone and several others. The lack of same is WHY the definition was changed. As to RFK Jr, Is he not also an opponent of the 2nd?
The earth’s energy imbalance (EEI) seems to be quite insensitive to variations in illumination. The sun’s luminosity varies periodically by a small amount (~0.3 W/m2), but large enough to see in the data. However, looking at the EEI data shows no periodic behavior whatsoever, even when an FFT is applied. It appears that the climate sensitivity is close to zero, which is what one would expect for a tightly controlled system. Comments?
Brock, I hope this helps.
The standard EEI view only considers the instantaneous TSI with no ocean storage.
The EEI is really the ongoing discrepancy between amount of absorbed solar energy in the upper ocean of the incoming cloud-modified total solar irradiance and the Earth’s outgoing longwave radiation (OLR). ASR is stored in the ocean >10x longer than the absorption time.
In essence, when high ASR occurs there is first a negative spike in OLR due to immediate cloud generation, but later, some of the ASR ocean heat upwells to warms the sea surface causing evaporation, clouds and convection, causing a change in OLR to be positive.
Due to the long lag (residence) time between absorption (ASR) and eventual emission (OLR), an instantaneous energy imbalance occurs, positive or negative.
The EEI over time has to be properly considered as a function of incoming TSI and albedo.
Looking at the period 1890-2010, if we consider the energy imbalance since 1890 to be reflected in the sea surface temperature, we can see growth in the imbalance, ie SST, is due solely to TSI and albedo, using Jim Hansen’s Planetary Temperature Equation, a modified Stephan-Boltzmann equation.
The 30y average sea surface temperature in the example above has responded to approximently 120 total years of solar activity, or about 11 solar cycles, affecting the EEI on a very long time scale compared to the effect of just one solar cycle or one ENSO event.
Thanks for the post, but the CERES satellite data indicates no EEI response to changing solar illumination, indicating a climate sensitivity close to zero. My point simply is the earth’s system is very tightly controlled, and there is no reason to believe that CO2 will change that.
What you are discussing is how the energy distributes itself around the world, which is a different issue.
I am a long time reader of WUWT, but this is my first post.
I have been reading “The Grand Design” by Leonard Mlodinow and Stephen Hawking. It discusses Quantum Physics which is way above my comprehension level. I like to make believe I am smart. In one of the early chapters they discuss models. In their instance it is how to describe the make up of matter, but as they also point out we use models everyday as we try to describe the world around us. They state that “A model is a good model if it”
The climate models that are used fail on every point. They are not scientific.
Welcome NC Skeptic!
Congrats on your first post, a good one too. The difference between a real scientific model and a fake one is people with fake models don’t make good or any specific predictions. You will find a lot of people make predictions without supporting them, or not very well at least.
There are so very few good short term specific predictions based on spelled out mechanisms made by climate scientists or skeptics, because most of what they’re pitching is actually fake science. Early in my career here I keyed in on this and have made a habit of making specific short-term predictions stated with the supporting data and mechanism.
I don’t understand elegance. Difficult to define. The last three on your list are the essense of the thing. Physicists (and I am one) are prone to pomposity and elitism. Elegance is a part of that charade.
I agree. The elegance criteria is a little subjective. In the text they identify it as difficult to define, but go on to say “laws of nature are menat to economically compress a number of particular cases into one simple formula.” It is kind of the essence of the other three items.
sun spots progression seems to be above the predictions
https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/solar-cycle-progression