By P Gosselin
Wildfires, very much in the news recently, have tapered downward significantly over the recent decades, contradicting the doom and gloom spread by climate alarmists and media.
German science editor Axel Bojanowski posted a chart at Twitter depicting the annual global total wildfire carbon emissions in metric tonnes since 2003:
Wild fire emissions have trended down globally over the past 20 years. That’s good news, which however we never get to hear in the mainscream media.
Canada
Mr. Bojanowski also posted data on Canadian forest fires, where here as well we seen no alarming overall trend at all:
Also climate science critic and alarmism debunker Tony Heller also recently showed that wildfire acreage burned in the USA has fallen dramatically since the early 20th century:
With alarmism less is more – h/t G Orwell
Take 2 hot days in 2022 e voila
“”There are no signs yet that last year’s 40C will be breached again, but meteorologists predict such peaks could become the norm
…
Even if Britain does not experience 40C temperatures this year, it is clear there will be increasing numbers of heatwaves in the near future, with damaging consequences. “”
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/jun/10/risk-record-heatwave-uk-twice-normal-forecasters-40c-meteorologists
Whatever you do on a lovely summer’s day like today, avoid the BBC…
I’d steer clear of Wunderground also – this was me yesterday
(OK = a mile away across the fields)
It was ‘interesting’ to note that yesterday’s (10th Jun) high was recorded in London – but not the usual Heathrow Hotspot
Breathlessly proclaimed that at 30°C this was The First Time For 10 (ten) Years that such a temperature had been reached so ‘early in the year’
Just wow. I’m sooooo impressed.
But it wasn’t far from Heathrow, at RAF Northolt in fact = an airfield bang next door the A40 (not quite a) motorway and with some pretty humongous stretches of tarmac.
No great surprise with that alone but a brisk east wind was sweeping up as much UHI it could find all across London and dumping it on Northolt
Oh dear, sorry peeps
Last night I ‘digitized’ that graph (how many times have we seen it now) and there is a lie in there.
Worst of all, somebody knows there is. They are lying by omission and describing The Emperor.
[I’m on my ‘exploring’ lappy right now, when I get home there will be pictures.
It’s not all Bad News – but people – We Really Do Have To Do Better
‘somebody’ is making fools of us.
cul8r]
Unless you want to….. (digitize it and ask Excel what it sees)
Northolt it’s thee RAF hub…
https://www.raf.mod.uk/our-organisation/stations/raf-northolt/
And it also handles civilian aircraft
“in the context of the last few centuries the summer of 2022 in the Central England/England and Wales was hot and dry. But it was not exceptionally so. The summers of 1976 and 1995 were both substantially hotter and drier”
https://mikehulme.org/the-2022-uk-summer-in-long-term-perspective/
Increasing number of heatwaves is an absolute certainty as the Met office has redefined them again. Last year 3 days of 28ºC was considered a “heatwave”, but this morning on GB News they claimed that 3 days of 26ºC now qualifies.
One Thousand Words
It is challenging to compare wildfire data now with the past because of vastly improved wildfire control techniques, so it’s also difficult to come to meaningful conclusions. Increased settling of wilderness increases the risk of human-caused wildfires, but increased access roads have aided wildfire suppression.
Out here in the western US the fires are clearly becoming much larger based on acreage burned per fire. That may partially result from too much wildfire suppression leading to increased dead wood buildup.
Another important factor seldom mentioned is that plants and forests are currently growing much faster due to increased atmospheric CO2, and this leads to faster buildup of the biomass that serves as fuel for fires. In drier climates the decomposition rate for these fuels is slower, so perhaps this partly explains why larger fires are occurring out west.
If only researchers were dedicating 1% as much to studying the impacts of faster plant growth and it’s affect on climate versus the Greenhouse Effect, we might be able to have a better informed conversation on the topic of forest fires. My searches have failed to find any scientific studies measuring historical dead biomass accumulation rates in forests, yet this is a crucial information.
Yes, there is a huge difference between a fire that just burns off the under story of a healthy forest, and a fire that completely burns entire overgrown forests that cover the western mountains today.
The 1910 Burn blew up and torched 4 million acres over 2 days in MT, ID and WA. What do you imagine “climate” conditions were like then pre hysteria? Ditto the “Dust Bowl” era in the 30’s. The constant use of “unprecedented” WRT the weather and “climate” is laughable.
The enclosed graph is far for accurate than any included in this post as far as the U.S, is concerned. The U.S. does have a serious wildfire situation, however it has only a very minor connection to global warming. The problem in the U.S. is the increase in fuel load in our nation’s forests. In the 1980s, the environmentalists were successful in shutting down our forest products industry and virtually all harvesting operations on federal lands. The trees didn’t get the message and kept on growing. The inventory conducted each decade by the U.S.F.S. shows we have 60% more standing timber today than we had in 1953. If we don’t start reducing the fuel load we will again approach the 50 million acres burned annually mark; not a good thing. The primary connection to the global warming issue is the fact that increasing CO2 levels increase the growth rates of all vegetation including trees and is compounding the fuel load issue. We desperately need to bring back a moderate forest products industry so we can control the bounty!!!
Not a coincidence that the No Forest Management and Climate Hysteria crowds are virtually the same.
Very nice, climate alarmists are liars and cheats.
Here is another graph about heatwaves.
There are 8 Australian cities in this study. Over 70% of Australia’spopulation lives in them
Dailty maximum temperatures were recorded by the official weather body, BOM.
I have calculated the 5 consecutive days each year whose average T is the highest for that year.
Some records go back to the 1850s. There could well be significant error effects like UHI,but overall the story is much the same from city to city.
The least squares fit line does NOT show that these 5-day heatwaves are getting hotter.It is essentially flat for each city over the entire time records were kept.
This is rather good evidence to destroy the myth of heatwaves getting hotter, put out by IPCC based on papers that do not look at data older than 1950.
Geoff S
http://www.geoffstuff.com/eightbyfive.xlsx