From NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT
By Paul Homewood
h/t Euan Mearns
This is a very interesting read:
A mighty storm that tore across Ireland and the UK more than a century ago produced some of the strongest winds the British Isles have ever witnessed.
Scientists reviewed Storm Ulysses of 1903 by digitising paper-based weather readings from the time and subjecting them to a modern reanalysis.
Many places would have felt gusts in excess of 45m/s (100mph or 87 knots).
The cyclone left a trail of death, shipwrecks, smashed infrastructure, uprooted trees and widespread flooding.
“We think it is likely that the winds were stronger in some locations than anything in the modern period 1950-2015,” explained Prof Ed Hawkins from the University of Reading and the National Centre for Atmospheric Science.
“The precise values are a bit uncertain as the reanalysis does not produce gust values at the surface but they would have been pretty high to cause the damage we see in photos from the time – on a par with big storms in 1990, 1997, 1998 and the Great Storm of 1987,” he told the BBC.
Storm Ulysses is so called because it inspired a passage in James Joyce’s famous novel Ulysses.
The windstorm blasted through the British Isles over 26 and 27 February. Its track ran across Ireland, northern England and Scotland.
The Times newspaper recounted widespread damage, a sizeable number of injuries, and fatalities.
The Royal National Lifeboat Institution (RNLI) reported 10 significant crew rescues from distressed ships. A pier in Morecambe was damaged, and a train in Cumbria was blown over.
Ulysses’ ferocity was well recognised at the time. But by reanalysing the raw weather observations from 1903, using the very latest modern numerical modelling techniques like those that produce today’s daily forecasts, researchers have now obtained a new, more detailed appreciation of the event
Read the full story here.
What is particularly interesting is how this new reanalysis compares with what was reported at the time:
https://digital.nmla.metoffice.gov.uk/IO_5b71781a-3386-40f9-9093-ece63944a34e/
It is now believed that many places experienced gusts of over 100 mph, which is well above anything actually recorded at the time. As we find with hurricanes, anemometers in the past were often not in the places where gusts are highest. Whereas as now we have a host of automatic monitors in the most exposed places.
Storm Ulysses shows why it is difficult to make direct comparisons with storms in the past.
From the article: “Scientists reviewed Storm Ulysses of 1903”
Named because of a James Joyce novel. Interesting.
It’s all garbage innit:
Quote:”train in Cumbria was blown over.
Cumbria didn’t exist then. It wasn’t even a ‘twinkle’
The hapless choo choo may have been in either Cumberland, Westmorland or North Lancashire
The thing about mainstream climate ‘science’ is it is utterly confused.
“humans have caused all the global warming since 1950
Global warming attribution studies consistently find humans are responsible for all global warming over the past six decades.”
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/climate-consensus-97-per-cent/2016/apr/19/study-humans-have-caused-all-the-global-warming-since-1950
How can one of the strongest storms on record be possible without this human global warming?
“Global warming is causing more extreme storms
We’re already feeling changes in extreme precipitation”
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/climate-consensus-97-per-cent/2015/feb/09/global-warming-is-causing-more-extreme-storms
Are we? Where did all this ‘extreme’ precipitation go?
“Driest February in England since 1993 signals drought ahead, say experts”
With little rain forecast for spring and reservoirs still not refilled, drought could be worse than last year
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/mar/01/driest-february-england-signals-drought-ahead-experts
The real climate challenge – for myself, at least – is getting through the investiture of the new parliamentary ornament and avoiding it completely.
‘Storm Ulysses shows why it is difficult to make direct comparisons with storms in the past’
So true; but don’t worry, the BBC will always be there to explain why things are worse now than ever before!
“Extreme” and seemingly contradictory weather conditions are the norm, not the exception.
Drought and Flood in 1936
The worst flood on record on the Potomac occured in March, 1936 with water levels 40 feet above normal. The Palmer Drought monitor registers the extreme summer drought across the Midwest that occured five months later.
https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/historical-palmers/maps/psi/193608