UK’s Arctic Blast and Australia’s Cold Spring Contradict Climate Narrative

by Vijay Jayaraj

The mainstream media (MSM) wants the world to believe that climate change has turned us into rotisserie chickens. However, real-world temperatures are not warming to dangerous levels, nor are they going to.

Australia’s ABC news, for example, tells its readers that the “influence of climate change ensures nearly every season is now warmer than normal.” Yet, in 2022 Australia experienced the coldest spring in 30 years! Major cities like Melbourne, Adelaide, and Canberra recorded their coldest maximum temperatures.

This mismatch between reality and the MSM narrative has been widening in recent years. Computer models are becoming increasingly erroneous in their predictions of future weather and misleading policymakers into believing that doomsday is imminent.

The danger of cold weather is seldom acknowledged by an MSM that has sold its soul to the apocalyptic narrative. For the common people in the Northern Hemisphere, cold events pose more of a risk because the entire policy framework emphasizes addressing a supposedly warming world than being prepared for frigid spells.

As a result of the replacement of fossil fuels with ineffective wind turbines and solar panels, Northern Europeans approach winter with increased energy costs and the prospect of regional blackouts – all in the name of averting a fabricated climate emergency.

In the UK, the Met Office has issued a level three warning as cold Arctic air is set to sweep across the nation. A severe cold weather alert included forecasts of -10 degree Celsius (14 Fahrenheit) in some parts.

“Look out for friends and family who may be vulnerable to the cold, and ensure they have access to warm food and drinks and are managing to heat their homes adequately,” advised the Met Office. “Avoid exposing yourself to cold or icy outdoor conditions if you are at a higher risk of cold-related illness or falls and stay up to date with the latest weather forecasts.”

Rather than ensure adequate energy supplies, the British government adheres to a cultish climate orthodoxy as it speaks to citizens as though they are children.

Bloomberg energy analyst Javier Blas worries about a complacency regarding the European energy crisis:

“The astronomical winter doesn’t start until Dec 21. Ahead lie the 100-plus coldest days of the year. And we simply don’t know whether the season will be normal, mild or bitingly cold…. The reality is: Energy prices remain extremely high, the continent is at the mercy of the weather, the cost of subsidies is rising at an unsustainable pace, and companies are warning of deindustrialization.”

Northern Hemisphere snow accumulations and Greenland ice mass are at historic highs. Satellite temperature readings of the Arctic show no major warming since 2014. Data illustrate a dynamic climate system with the likelihood of all types of weather, not a planet uniformly and disastrously overheating.

The challenges of winter weather would have been much more manageable if European leaders had not shifted their economies away from coal, oil and natural gas in favor of expensive and unreliable green technologies. Of course, the damage of this folly has been compounded by the disruption of energy markets by the Russian-Ukrainian conflict.

Human progress in the last two centuries has been phenomenal, and one of the greatest achievements has been the development of electricity and fossil fuels to fend off the cold of harsh winters. We are now undoing this feat and putting millions at risk of freezing in the name of a faux climate emergency. Society’s most vulnerable will suffer most as political elites remain comfortable in plush abodes.

This commentary was first published at American Thinker, December 9, 2022, and can be accessed here.

Vijay Jayaraj is a Research Associate at the CO2 Coalition, Arlington, Virginia. He holds a master’s degree in environmental sciences from the University of East Anglia, UK and resides in India.

Tags: Vijay JayarajUK Arctic BlastAustralia Cold SpringEuropean Energy Crisis

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Redge
December 13, 2022 10:19 am

in favor of expensive and unreliable green technologies

Wind and solar are most definitely unreliable and undeniably not green, economic, nor eco-friendly

n.n
Reply to  Redge
December 13, 2022 11:46 am

It’s green in the green[back] cents. It’s Green that is not in the green sense. It’s a religious/ethical philosophy of green in the naive sense. It’s net-zero in the Green deal census. It’s a trillion dollars redistributed to reach flatline.

Bryan A
Reply to  n.n
December 13, 2022 12:45 pm

Vijay Jayaraj may have stumbled on the next Climate Moniker (and likely the only true one) Climate Unpredictability.
TPTB seem incapable of accurately predicting what will come to pass

CampsieFellow
December 13, 2022 10:21 am

Just as well we have natural gas and nuclear energy. At 18.10 on Tuesday 13 December, renewables are providing only 15 percent of UK electricity.
It was -7C in Glasgow yesterday and it’s been -6C today.

Scissor
Reply to  CampsieFellow
December 13, 2022 11:18 am

Doesn’t it seem that almost everything the left promotes is exactly opposite of reality?

Last edited 1 month ago by Scissor
gezza1298
Reply to  Scissor
December 14, 2022 7:05 am

You could also say that every thing the Lefties touch they screw up and then following that to ‘fix’ what they screwed up they then completely f*ck it up.

1saveenergy
Reply to  CampsieFellow
December 13, 2022 11:59 am

National Grid: Live … plus good pie charts

https://grid.iamkate.com/

Last edited 1 month ago by 1saveenergy
michel
Reply to  1saveenergy
December 13, 2022 4:55 pm

Yes, its not a bad site. I prefer the original and first, probably out of loyalty

http://www.gridwatch.templar.co.uk

and there is also

http://www.gridwatch.co.uk

which last has perhaps the simplest graphics of total system generation.

They all come from bme reports, eg

https://www.bmreports.com/bmrs/?q=eds/main

which probably has more than you ever wanted to know about the UK grid.

Bottom line is the same, whichever way you access the data. At the end of November, wind generation fell off a cliff, and has still not resumed the last time I checked today. Solar is nowhere at this time of year. So its over two weeks of negligible output from the wind and solar installed parc. Roughly 25GW wind and 15GW solar installed, and they are producing roughly 3GW for over two weeks now. And often not even that, often closer to 1GW.

To make this work by adding wind and storage, you would have to have grid scale batteries capable of powering the country for at least three weeks. And you would then have to have wind and solar capable of recharging those batteries when the wind picks up.

You would also, under current government policy, not only have to be able to supply 40GW for three weeks or so from these batteries. Because the current electrification proposals will raise demand to 100GW+, as Paul Homewood has pointed out.

https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2022/12/12/fes-peak-demand-scenarios/

So you have to be able to supply north of 100GW for at least three weeks from these batteries, and then you have to be able to recharge them when the wind picks up. It is simply impossible. If the UK set its mind to doing nothing else, a total mobilization scenario, direct all resources to it, it still could not get enough wind installed or source and install enough batteries. Or maintain the resulting infrastructure.

Paul’s analyses of the energy question in the UK are outstanding in their clarity and thoroughness. And the implications for Net Zero are devastating.

The consequences of getting this wrong would be – will be – enormous. Just about all home heating in the UK requires electricity to function, apart from the minority of homes with solid fuel burners. Start blacking out the country in the winter for days on end and people will die. As they already are, because they cannot afford to heat their homes in a fuel price rise which is only partly due to the Ukraine. The other part, and a big one, is the subsidies of various sorts to wind and solar producers.

Well, it will get worse if current policies are persisted in. The batteries don’t and won’t exist, there are no grid scale installations of the scale required. Even if you could get them, you could not afford them. The idea of building out the wind installations required in the timescale called for by Net Zero? Its a fantasy. The way the UK is going if it persists in trying to implement Net Zero with its current level of planning is large scale repeated blackouts several times a year.

Meanwhile, press and politicians of all parties are in denial about the implications, all four political parties, Telegraph, Guardian and FT. The BBC.

It is complete lunacy to persist in the wind/solar/Net Zero project in the face of events like the current cold snap which shows clearly that it will lead, is leading to a social and economic catastrophe.

Meanwhile, check out the sites and see what the UK is really running on.

Its running on gas.

Mark BLR
Reply to  michel
December 14, 2022 4:51 am

They all come from bme reports … which probably has more than you ever wanted to know about the UK grid.

Minor nitpick : It’s actually for “the island of Great Britain” (GB) grid, there’s no such thing as “the UK grid”.
The “Erin’s isle” grid is connected to the GB one via the Moyle (Scotland to Northern Ireland) and East-West (Wales to Eire) inter-connectors (ICTs).

The BM Reports site only includes measurements from metered wind farms in their “Wind” numbers, and their ICT numbers only include imports (the smallest number in those columns is “0”).

I complement this with data from the National Grid’s ESO website (a lot of time with “Historic Demand Data” to create the first versions of spreadsheets, quick bursts from “Demand Data Update” to keep them up-to-date).
URL : https://data.nationalgrideso.com/data-groups/demand

NB : My “(Total) Wind” = BM Report’s “Wind” + ESO’s “Embedded Wind”.

Note also that ESO’s “Embedded Wind” and “Embedded Solar” numbers are estimated from … [ shudder ] … “models”, and so need to be added to their “TSD” (Total System Demand) column to get a less inaccurate “Demand” estimate.

ESO’s ICT numbers also include negative (exporting electrical energy from the GB electricity grid) values, but otherwise agree with the BM Report numbers.

Dave Andrews
Reply to  michel
December 14, 2022 6:15 am

Re battery storage, Harmony Energy run the Cottingham battery energy storage system (BESS) at Pillswood near Hull (UK).. It is said to be the largest BESS in Europe and is able to store enough electricity to power 300,000 homes for,……. wait for it, 2 hours. Impressive heh?

Last edited 1 month ago by Dave Andrews
Gary Pearse
Reply to  CampsieFellow
December 13, 2022 1:11 pm

Are you sure there is enough energy to get you through the next couple of colder months?

Ron Long
Reply to  Gary Pearse
December 13, 2022 1:46 pm

Frank Sinatra: “oh the weather outside is frightful, but the fire is so delightful, let it snow, let it snow, let it snow”. What? No fire? Whose idea was that?

Jeff Alberts
Reply to  Ron Long
December 13, 2022 4:13 pm

I always thought that was Bing.

Ron Long
Reply to  Jeff Alberts
December 13, 2022 4:53 pm

Bing, Sinatra, Dean Martin, sure, but the first was Vaughn Monroe and the Norton Sisters, in 1945.

gezza1298
Reply to  Ron Long
December 14, 2022 7:10 am

That’s not the version in my favourite Christmas movie of all time – Die Hard.

Oldseadog
Reply to  CampsieFellow
December 13, 2022 2:08 pm

Last night the river Carron froze over at high water slack.

gezza1298
Reply to  CampsieFellow
December 14, 2022 7:09 am

Looking ahead for my corner of the sunny South East as opposed to Glasgow, wunderground doesn’t have it warming until Monday when temps hit the 50s but it is shortlived as from then until the end of their hourly forecast range it drops back into the mid to low 40fs.

Moriarty
December 13, 2022 10:26 am

… “Ahead lie the 100-plus coldest days of the year. And we simply don’t know whether the season will be normal, mild or bitingly cold….”

Whaddya mean “we don’t know?” Climate models know how warm it will be at the end of the century but we can’t predict the weather for the next 100 days? Astounding!

Last edited 1 month ago by Moriarty
Joseph Zorzin
Reply to  Moriarty
December 13, 2022 11:20 am

And the weather for the next 100 days is, for most people, about the least important thing that they don’t know since they don’t know if they’ll be alive, still have a job, if they’ll get in a car accident, if their spouse cheats on them. The fact is, not only do we not know if “the season will be NORMAL, mile or bitingly cold”- we don’t CARE- we care about far more important things. Only climate cultists worry about it. Besides, there’s no such thing as NORMAL weather.

Moriarty
Reply to  Joseph Zorzin
December 13, 2022 7:42 pm

You took that waaay too seriously.

Hivemind
Reply to  Moriarty
December 13, 2022 2:03 pm

I can predict the weather for the next 100 days. In Europe and America, it’ll be bitterly cold. After all, it is every year & there’s no point worrying about a few decimal points on the thermometer.

Hans Erren
December 13, 2022 10:28 am

Hmm, we are reading here all the time that heatwaves do not confirm the global warming narrative, so how then can cold waves contradict the global narrative?

Weather is not climate

Last edited 1 month ago by Hans Erren
Rusty from the West
Reply to  Hans Erren
December 13, 2022 10:34 am

If that has to be explained to you then obviously the topic is too complex for you.

Joseph Zorzin
Reply to  Rusty from the West
December 13, 2022 11:21 am

nailed it!

Bryan A
Reply to  Joseph Zorzin
December 13, 2022 1:06 pm

AKA … Because we say so!

Disputin
Reply to  Rusty from the West
December 13, 2022 11:33 am

Rusty, I suspect that Hans has not used a /sarc tag.

Redge
Reply to  Hans Erren
December 13, 2022 11:12 am

Weather is not climate

Agreed, now go and tell the extreme lefties

Ben Vorlich
Reply to  Hans Erren
December 13, 2022 11:57 am

Reversion to the winters of our chilhood, which probably doesn’t include yours.

I was quite happy with warmer winters

gezza1298
Reply to  Ben Vorlich
December 14, 2022 7:14 am

Yep, I grew up with ice on the inside of the bedroom window in the morning. In Winter we lived in the living room and rarely went to the bedroom. Of course in those days there was only one TV, no computers, games consoles, dvds, or even video.

JamesB_684
Reply to  Hans Erren
December 13, 2022 12:19 pm

Elsewhere on this site are articles showing a flat, or slightly down, satellite temperature trend for > 8 years. The climate alarmist rhetoric of rising temperatures is not backed up by the observational data record.

sherro01
Reply to  JamesB_684
December 13, 2022 3:19 pm

Hans,
Here is UAH for Australia from July 2012 to the start of this month, Dec 2022. Ten and a half years with an overall cooling trend by linear least squares fit to monthly data.
Geoff S
http://www.geoffstuff.com/uahdec2022.jpg

michel
Reply to  Hans Erren
December 13, 2022 5:05 pm

Yes, you are right of course about climate and weather, and of course the current UK cold spell tells us nothing about global climate trends. But…. people do have a point.

I think what people are focusing on is the difference in the way a cold spell and a hot spell is handled by press and politicians. The hot UK spell in the summer was treated as an infallible marker of global warming, despite the fact that it too was local (at most regional) and was due to well known specific weather phenomena having nothing to do with global warming. Just like the present cool spell.

The current cold spell is the same in the opposite direction, but its being treated completely differently, this has nothing to do with any global trends, it doesn’t mean anything. There is no trace of any attempt to draw global climate conclusions from it or to claim its caused by global climate cooling (for instance).

This naturally prompts a reaction, one of which is to use the same tactics with this cold spell that was used by the alarmists about the summer hot spell. Its not always clear that people are doing this in a spirit of parody, and maybe many are not, but their underlying perception that local cold and hot spells are treated very differently by the media is correct.

jtom
Reply to  Hans Erren
December 13, 2022 8:02 pm

Unfortunately for the warm-mongers this is not a two-way street. Climate is simply the average of weather. Different but inextricably linked.

Those of us who hold that natural variability determines climates and weather, predict that we will continue to get heatwaves and colds snaps. A heatwave contradicts the arguments of neither side.

However, according to the warmists’ theories, steady warming should end cold weather spells. Seventeen years ago Dr David Viner, a senior research scientist at the climatic research unit (CRU) of the University of East Anglia, claimed that within a few years winter snowfall will become ‘a very rare and exciting event’. ‘Children just aren’t going to know what snow is,’ he said”. 

So heatwaves (weather events) do not contradict those who say natural variability is responsible, but cold and snow (weather events) DO contradict those claiming manmade global warming.

And that is why attention is given to cold and snow events.

Tony_G
Reply to  jtom
December 14, 2022 8:46 am

I have a policy of not using the up/downvote, jtom, but you almost made me break it. Good explanation.

Mark BLR
Reply to  Hans Erren
December 14, 2022 4:18 am

Hmm, we are reading here all the time that heatwaves do not confirm the global warming narrative, so how then can cold waves contradict the global narrative?

Observing a white swan — say in England last July, to pick an example completely at random — wouldn’t “confirm’, scientifically, the conjecture that “All swans are white”.

Observing a black swan — say in Australia this spring — would indeed “contradict” it.

MCourtney
Reply to  Hans Erren
December 14, 2022 8:32 am

Surely the point isn’t whether any weather event has anything to say about the changes in climate; cause or magnitude. If that were the question the answer would be “No”.

The point is that weather events do have something to say about the importance of changes in the climate.

We know that climate changes are of the order of 2°C in a century, worst case by current evidence.
We know that changes in the weather are of the order of 20° year on year in any given place, anywhere in the world.

We have to adapt to the weather regardless of what happens to the climate. That’s a 10 x greater variation to adapt to in 100 x the speed. And we have to do that.

So any concern about climate change is dwarfed by our efforts to adapt. And those efforts to adapt are not new. We’ve been doing it for millennia.

Thus weather is important for climate policy. It has nothing to say about climate science.

Andy Pattullo
December 13, 2022 10:32 am

Let’s a; remember who did this to us in spite of all the evidence we were heading in the wrong direction. Then we must ensure those fools and charlatans never have impact on our national policies again. Only truth is worth acting on. Policy based on belief systems and lies is always going to be bad policy.

Graham
December 13, 2022 10:33 am

Across the Tasman Sea in New Zealand we to had late frosts in early October .
A large number of horticultural crops were starting to flower .
Gold kiwi fruit were particularly hard hit but green kiwi fruit ,blue berries and grape vines also suffered damage .
A lot of the kiwi fruit will have very little fruit this year .
I heard our Prime Nut Minister, when being interviewed on the Country Session state that the frosts were caused by Climate Change .
Jacinda uses the threat of climate change at every opportunity to justify all sorts restrictions and crazy policies .
On being elected Prime Nut she said she had a nuclear moment and banned all further oil and gas exploration and development off our coast..
This was to stop global warming .
I have followed this debate about climate change for over 30 years and the scientists pushing this scam have always said that rising levels of CO2 will make our summers hotter and our winters milder .
Now any weather pattern can be blamed on that demon CO2 and we are all guilty because of our life style .

Duker
Reply to  Graham
December 13, 2022 12:34 pm

Zero Carbon Act passed in parliament by 119 out 120 Mps. those crazy policies are supported by all major parties.
Exploration wasnt banned , just *new* exploration permits , however most explorers stopped offshore exploration after 2014 when oil prices plunged and removed their rigs as the exploration is in very deep water
They arent coming back
Existing platforms have continued their drilling to maintain flow of gas and condensate.
Onshore exploration isnt affected.
However 1000s of wells have been drilled over the years and almost all dont find oil or gas in commercial quantities.

Graham
Reply to  Duker
December 13, 2022 12:53 pm

Jacinda Lover just watch out .She might call you an arrogant Prick.

Mr.
Reply to  Graham
December 13, 2022 1:21 pm

Which is along the lines of the only responses leftists ever have to any pointed questions about their positions, statements or policies.

That’s if they can’t firstly get you summarily removed from the discussion forum / venue.

Graham
Reply to  Mr.
December 13, 2022 1:48 pm

She got caught on microphone yesterday calling David Seymour the leader of the Act Party ” an arrogant prick ” in the NZ Parliament.
She has since apologized to him .

Patrick MJD
Reply to  Graham
December 14, 2022 11:13 pm

Doesn’t matter if she was caught on the microphone with a potty mouth (I guess the stress of plummeting ratings is taking it’s toll) all parliamentary sessions are transcribed. Very immature, very sloppy.

Last edited 1 month ago by Patrick MJD
ATheoK
Reply to  Duker
December 13, 2022 7:31 pm

However 1000s of wells have been drilled over the years and almost all dont find oil or gas in commercial quantities”

Just what we need, another made up fact.

Well, Cumbria has the go-ahead for mining coal.

Only, you don’t get any coal this holiday!
You can heat and cook on zephyr driven wind power this winter.

Energywise
December 13, 2022 10:38 am

Europe must take urgent action to prevent a gas shortage next year in the absence of supplies from Russia, the European Commission and the International Energy Agency have warned.

Gas demand must be reduced by improving energy efficiency and by installing more renewable power generation and electric heat pumps, they said, while gas supplies must be bolstered by jointly procuring more gas from elsewhere.

Have you ever read anything as stupid as this from the EU?

We plebs need more intermittent renewables and inefficient heat pumps to help reduce gas demand? These idiots, now mired in Qatar corruption allegations, are too thick to even appear on the intellimeter

With over 40 years experience as an High Voltage Project Manager in the energy, generation & distribution sectors, I refuse to take these incompetent, unelected politicians seriously, they are a disgraceful embarrassment that will starve, freeze and impoverish their citizens – they disgust me

gezza1298
Reply to  Energywise
December 14, 2022 7:20 am

I think the proposed EU carbon border tax must be near peak stupidity. Ignoring retaliation, the EU won’t be able to export anything that requires high energy use as it will be too expensive. They will make imports as expensive and home produced goods but the internal market will be shrinking because demand is collapsing due to high costs.

Tom.1
December 13, 2022 10:58 am

Weather is not climate, period.

Redge
Reply to  Tom.1
December 13, 2022 11:16 am

And the 30-year climate period is not climate. It’s merely a construct used by left-wing scientists to pretend their is something unusual going on

Duker
Reply to  Redge
December 13, 2022 12:40 pm

What period do you suggest then.
Its like another artificial measurement like say GDP, only when you measure something do patterns emerge. To not do so means you are back in the middle ages.

Redge
Reply to  Duker
December 13, 2022 1:10 pm

Read Mike’s reply below

Duker
Reply to  Redge
December 13, 2022 5:59 pm

Well then , call it “newtonian climate” which only covers the short scale of 30 years.
Much longer periods have different repetitions, mostly deduced from limited information as we dont have that sort of detail from the past.
lets call that ‘supersize climate’

Redge
Reply to  Duker
December 13, 2022 10:08 pm

It’s a convenient construct used by scientivists

Editor
Reply to  Redge
December 13, 2022 12:44 pm

Exactly. Let us suppose that there is a cycle-like change occurring with a frequency of around 60 years, as described by Javier in 2018. Then the 30-year “climate period” construct could have been designed to maximise the appearance of climate change: it can be cherry-picked to follow a 30-year minimum with a 30-year maximum. You don’t have to use exactly 60 years, the same effect can be obtained with any cycle of around 60 years or more. For example, the 88-year cycle described by NASA in 2007 would do nicely, too. As Javier says of the ~60 year cycle-like change: “Since the origin of this oscillation is unknown, models have a hard time reproducing it and it is all but ignored by the IPCC. It is a big oscillation with an amplitude of ± 0.3 °C in NHT (0.1-0.2°C in GST; figure 2). While the long-term temperature trend is unaffected by it, there is a large effect on the 30-year trends. If this oscillation is considered, most of the climate alarmism vaporizes.“. [my bold]

RickWill
Reply to  Mike Jonas
December 13, 2022 1:45 pm

The cycles are much longer than 60 years. Try 23,000 years. Snowfall in the NH has been trending upward for at least 100 years.

The cycle currently under way has occurred 4 times in the last 500k years.

NH will continue to warm for another 5000 years or so until the ice accumulation limits summer surface temperature to not much above 0C – like the Greenland plateau now.

Within a 1000 years, most of the North Atlantic will be hitting the 30C surface temperature limit. If you think you are seeing high snow fall now, it is nothing compared to what it will be when the oceans hit 30C ahead of autumn and keep pumping out water vapour throughout winter.

There has to be much greater rate of snowfall for ice accumulation to occur further south than the present 65N.

Presentation2.png
Frank from NoVA
Reply to  RickWill
December 13, 2022 2:57 pm

‘The cycles are much longer than 60 years. Try 23,000 years.’

I’m on board with Mr. Milankovic, but there are a lot of climate events that take place on a much shorter time scale, e.g., Little Ice Age, Medieval Warm period, etc.

rah
Reply to  Frank from NoVA
December 14, 2022 3:16 am

And so the point is that there are cycles within cycles. How many and of what duration each of them are? Nobody knows!

MarkH
Reply to  RickWill
December 13, 2022 4:27 pm

It’s not an either/or scenario. There are cycles within the climate of many different frequencies. From 24hr daily cycles, probably the strongest climate cycle which can cause temperature changes of many 10s of degrees, to yearly cycles we call seasons, then Solar cycles at 11 and 22 years, moving out to Ocean current cycles with periods in the 60-250 year range and others out to 1000 years and more, then on to orbital cycles, such as the Milankovic cycles with periods in the 10s of thousands of years, and longer cycles related to the passage of our entire solar system within and around the galaxy.

These cycles all interact with each other, through cancellation or superposition, and the physical reality of the universe to produce the climate we experience. It’s pretty awesome actually.

RickWill
Reply to  MarkH
December 13, 2022 10:26 pm

It is the precession cycle that drops ocean level by 100m and buries a good proportion of the northern hemisphere under ice. That is real climate change. The rest is weather.

The so-called little ice age is interesting because there was a slight dip in the rate of rise of the NH solar intensity around J1000 that would impact climate for a couple of centuries. The trend from J0000 to J1000 took a holiday for a couple of centuries but is now back to the pre J1000 rate and accelerating again.

Most of the decadal trends observed now fit with the rising NH intensity and declining SH intensity. Just that the SH has higher thermal inertia.

John Hultquist
Reply to  Redge
December 13, 2022 1:14 pm

 It’s merely a construct used by” meteorologists to compare today’s weather to past weather.
It isn’t climate and wasn’t intended to be. The folks that agreed to this in 1935 were not left-wing, and it is doubtful they would be considered scientists.

rah
Reply to  Tom.1
December 14, 2022 3:06 am

Sure weather is not climate but the simple fact is that according to what has been declared by many prominent “experts” of human caused climate change, THIS SHOULD NOT BE HAPPENING!

The NH snow extent should not be in near record territory.

Australia should not be having the coldest spring in a decade or longer.

Children in Southern Britain should not know what snow is.

Ski areas should be shut down due to lack of snow.

Polar bears should be almost extinct from starvation or drowning.

The GBR should be a bleached out and large areas nothing more than a dead shell.

The polar air masses descending upon us should not be so darn cold.

There should be permanent hot spots in the mid to upper troposphere.

The wild fire season should have been terrible instead of the below average one it was.

The hurricane season should have been terrible instead of below average and the global ace should be setting new highs instead of being at 72% or normal.

The tornado season should have been bad instead of being around the 20 percentile of normal.

The rate of SLR should be skyrocketing instead of plodding along at about the same rate is has for decades.

The summer at my Indiana home should have been brutally hot but instead we have gone three years without a single 100 deg F day and even in July highs in the nineties are the exception and not the rule.

etc, etc ad nauseam.

Bottom line is that these blasts of real winter and all the preponderance of other data make it clear that natural variability rules, just as it always has! And all the Kings horses and all the Kings men cannot change that fact! They can only lie, deceive, and indoctrinate, and try to divert peoples attention and conversations away from what they are experiencing and the real, uncorrupted data.

Last edited 1 month ago by rah
JC
December 13, 2022 11:00 am

Cold Weather nice. It happens every year. While, the next few winters maybe colder (per Bastardi and I believe him!) than recent winters due to Neutral ENSO and La Nina and post minimum of SC 24, it’s just weather. Maybe we have a rash of VEI 4 or greater eruptions and the cold spell gets a little deeper and longer….yet it’s still weather.

The purpose of this post is to put an emphasis on hydrocarbon market induced crisis in Europe. Remember, political power brokering, regulation and policies are what drive the global market and motivates it far more than the mean greenies. The mean greenies are a tool and indirectly an outcome of vast ongoing play in sustaining hydrocarbon fuel markets.

The big question now is the Fusion breakthrough. Is it real? (I hope the physicists in WUWT will tell me). CAn and will the Fusion breakthrough significantly impact the hydrocarbon fuel markets in the next decade?.

Science breakthroughs have become politicized so I take them with a grain of salt. It’s all narrative boundary management these days. Yet, if Fusion appears to be on the way to commercialization and application, it will intensify the play that is currently happening in the hydrocarbon markets. It would create an an era that would be very rough globally cause people tend to fight for what is theirs.

The mean greenies align themselves with a philosophy that places the onus of the imminent death of mother earth on people. Fusion if it’s real, could make hydrocarbon fuels obsolete and return the world back to an era of stable affordable energy, which is a very pro -human endeavor. How these two forces play out is unclear. It could mean the end of the radical environmental movement or least it recedes back to the status of fringe where it belongs.

Moriarty
Reply to  JC
December 13, 2022 12:17 pm

Yes, it appears we had a promising breakthrough in fusion but it’s still far, far away from anything practical. Remember “appears” because the results need to be replicated.

Duker
Reply to  Moriarty
December 13, 2022 12:37 pm

It only lasted ‘trillionths of a second’ or something so its its at the limits of measurement before you even look at the bigger problems

JC
Reply to  Duker
December 13, 2022 1:31 pm

thanks.

JC
Reply to  Moriarty
December 13, 2022 1:31 pm

Thanks. So it’s a little over-hyped like many of the other Fusion breakthroughs we have had in the past 30 years.

Duker
Reply to  JC
December 13, 2022 5:53 pm

Its like religious miracles, occasionally they get the news and for the faithful it merely confirms something they always have believed anyway.

There isnt a miracle of course as its merely they way its interpreted usually by ‘high priests’ …. which is exactly what were have with’ laser fusion’

JC
Reply to  Duker
December 15, 2022 12:09 pm

I believe in the miracles of the holy scriptures.

The Left leaning, nature worshipper’s are not looking for miracles. They are taking the bull by the horns themselves and trying to change the world by their own effort. They are looking to technology, social engineering, politics, social movements, mind control via narrative shaping, management and boundary reinforcement, Censorship and propaganda even pandemics ,,whatever they can leverage to make it happen.

A stunning fusion breakthrough is even more stunning for those who hope to save the planet It works to keep the cadre narrative enforced and hopeful. It seems like the Right is learning from their playbook. The narrative management and boundary keeping in WUWT is appalling. LOL. I agree with the core message but I am still appalled

My religion is antithetical to nature worship. yet I hope for a day when local people are not so dependent on globalized colluded hydrocarbon fuel markets or food commodities markets.

Major tech advancement such as a Dream Battery, could empower families and local communities to generate and distribute their own electricity from any input that is the cheapest. Fusion power if real and fully applied destroys the insane hydrocarbon market and political leverage. Who knows if that will empower anyone at the local level.

My hope is for a tech advancement that would empower families and local communities to have more real capital to provide for themselves and be less dependent on global markets. I also hope to see more urbanites have the opportunity to return to the land and grow their own food and manufacture products. Not as a program but a natural outworking of tech advancement, decentralization of the application of real capital.

Mason
Reply to  JC
December 14, 2022 10:33 am

It has been a little longer than that (30 years). I remember looking in the Ormak during maintenance 48 years ago, another milestone. Commercialization has always been 50 years away!

JC
Reply to  Mason
December 15, 2022 11:19 am

My interest in science came late in life in 2008 at 60…so my knowledge of fusion breakthroughs is limited. I found the nexus of philosophy, politics, social movements, mind control, psychological warfare, advancement of tech, radical environmentalism, Dystopia/Utopia movements, Hydrocarbon fuel marketeering, Global conflict, Geology, Solar Science, globalism and global warming/claim change to be too fascinating to ignore. My training is social/psych statistics, clinical data analytics, psychology, sociology, psychiatry, philosophy, history and theology The Climate change issue has been a doorway to greater understanding of the world we live in and what is driving the global politique. A pathway to much learning.

Dave Andrews
Reply to  Moriarty
December 14, 2022 6:51 am

“far away from anything practical” – they produced enough energy to boil a kettle of water by using 1000 times as much energy as they got. Not sure that’s practical in any way at all 🙂

JC
Reply to  Moriarty
December 15, 2022 11:05 am

Thanks.

RickWill
Reply to  JC
December 13, 2022 1:00 pm

 CAn and will the Fusion breakthrough significantly impact the hydrocarbon fuel markets in the next decade?.

It might make a difference in 30 years.

The lab has invested $3,800,000,000 to produce the energy available from 10 grams of coal. China currently burns 4,200,000,000,000,000 grams of coal a year.

I know once the threshold is overcome, there can be orders of magnitude gain come quite quickly but if it was not demonstrated today, it will not be reality for at least 30 years.

JC
Reply to  RickWill
December 13, 2022 1:35 pm

Fusion is still a remote dream. Coal is a wonderful reality. Got it thanks.

kevc114
Reply to  JC
December 13, 2022 3:09 pm

Coal… Solar energy with built in storage..ready for use at any time of the day/month/season/year..and… FREE from the ground… you just need to collect it…

gezza1298
Reply to  JC
December 14, 2022 7:24 am

Fusion breakthrough? No. Likely still decades away.

Michael in Dublin
December 13, 2022 11:09 am

I have noticed something else in the Southern Hemisphere, in South Africa. It is summer which is the rain season for most of the country but it appears that they have not only had a lot more rain than expected but much more is predicted across the whole country for the next few weeks. This will considerably lower the maximum temperatures

RickWill
Reply to  Michael in Dublin
December 13, 2022 1:05 pm

The Southern Hemisphere is 600 years into a 20,000 year cooling trend. The peak solar intensity will shift northward for 9,000 years before gradually swinging back to the SH. The heat is moving Northward.
comment image

This same process has occurred 4 times in the last 500k years. Big climate changes take time and changes occur at a glacial pace – literally.

Michael in Dublin
Reply to  RickWill
December 14, 2022 6:52 am

Here is a new rainfall map for South Africa indicating the far above average rainfall. I would like one of our Australian readers to post a similar map of Australian rainfall to compare.

comment image
This map does not include all the December rainfall yet.

Joseph Zorzin
December 13, 2022 11:13 am

“Energy prices remain extremely high”
Maybe in the EU but not here in Massachusetts- just filled the car at $3.15/gallon. Fuel oil dropping too though not nearly as fast.

Mr.
Reply to  Joseph Zorzin
December 13, 2022 1:31 pm

Geez Joseph, that’s a HUUUUGGE difference in what I’m paying where I currently live.

Enjoy!

MarkH
Reply to  Joseph Zorzin
December 13, 2022 4:31 pm

For me, diesel is currently (converted from AUD/liter to USD/gallon) $5.89 per US gallon (AUD$2.39/liter). Petrol is a little cheaper at the moment, but not much.

ATheoK
Reply to  MarkH
December 13, 2022 7:39 pm

It now costs me $10 to mow my own lawn.

rah
Reply to  MarkH
December 14, 2022 12:39 am

I just got in from a run and pumped 147 gallons of diesel when I filled up the big truck upon my return. It was full when I departed. And I pumped almost 4 gallons of DEF. And put a little grease on the 5th wheel.

Bobtail from Anderson, IN to Vandalia, OH and hook to trailer, Then up to Itasca, IL to a parking lot of a hotel that is closed to take my break.

Next day drive to the first stop in Carol Stream, IL and then to the second in Mundelein, IL then back to Vandalia and drop loaded trailer and hook empty and then back to Anderson, IN. A 12 hour day, not counting putting the truck to bed when I got back.

ABS light indicating a fault in the system was on when I hooked to the loaded trailer in Vandalia. Cutting the cord to the indicator light took care of that. I wrote it up when I got back. Brakes were fine. 9 out of 10 times the problem is in a sensor rotor when that little yellow light on the left rear of the trailer comes on. They are one big pain in the ass.

Tom Abbott
Reply to  Joseph Zorzin
December 13, 2022 6:39 pm

Lower gasoline prices may be a sign of decreased economic activity.

terry
December 13, 2022 11:57 am

I do not believe that the majority of policymakers are being misled by the global warming propaganda, and we need to call them on it, rather than provide excuses for them. Rather they are the creators of the propoganda and do it for political advantage, aided by the MSM, who realize that alarmism sells, and the Marxist left who see it as their best chance of showing that capitalism doesn’t work. The elites, well they just monetize it.

Graham
Reply to  terry
December 13, 2022 3:28 pm

You got that right terry.
Starting with the UN with the creation of the UNIPCC in 1988 after a meeting of the World Meteorologists in Villach ,Austria in 1985.

Maurice Strong and others at the UN grasped the idea that they could use the threat of climate change to change the worlds politics and steer the world to one world government headed by the UN.

I met a New Zealander John Maunder who had attended that first meeting in Villach and the Earth Summit climate meeting in Rio de janeiro ,Brazil in 1992.

As a climate scientist he said that the majority of the delegates completely ignored the MWP 1000 years ago and also the warm 1930s.

This meeting had turned into a political lobby trying to use the climate to further their goals to enable the UN to govern the world.

That has not happened yet but politicians are using the threat of climate change in their countries to pass all sorts of laws to restrict energy use .

When the world runs out of food will these politicians take any blame

JC
Reply to  terry
December 15, 2022 11:02 am

Pretty much sums it up. Political bandwagons create strange bedfellows but Elites have the resources to leverage for power and money. Many Elites are true believers in anti-human radical environmentalism. Their kind of money attract lots of believers of the wrong kind as we have seen during global “pandemic” response.

Len Werner
December 13, 2022 12:16 pm

I’m a geologist, not a climate scientist, so maybe someone can explain this to me. If the atmosphere is trapping, or reflecting to earth’s surface, more thermal energy yearly because of yearly increases in atmospheric CO2 content, when it’s cold everywhere while CO2 went up–where’s the heat? Is there any possibility that the theory survives if there is just one Feynman-philosophy-experiment year where there is less thermal energy in the system than there was previously? Where did the heat go when it’s cold everywhere?

(BTW, we’ve seen for weeks now that temperatures in eastern Siberia have been particularly cold; as low as -55C the last few days and below in numerous areas at latitudes as far south as central Canada–wait till that drifts eastward.)

I have experienced an analogy when evaluating prospector’s claims about gold deposits. It is amazing the number of times that I have been invited to visit a property and find from assays that….there’s no gold. Other geologists will recognize this answer–‘It is in a form that conventional assaying has not been able to detect yet.’

My answer has been, politely, that although that interpretation may indeed be true, it follows that conventional extraction methods will also be unable to detect the gold; how do we then pay for the mine?–do we simply claim that that empty vault at Fort Knox really is full of gold bullion, we just can’t see it or feel it or analyze it with conventional senses and methods? How far does this imaginary gold interpretation extend?

Is it true therefore that when we can’t detect the heat anywhere with temperature, that it simply can’t be there? And if it just isn’t there, hasn’t Feynman’s statement that ‘It doesn’t matter how smart you are, it doesn’t matter how beautiful your theory is, it the theory is contradicted by experiment the theory is wrong’ been satisfied?

Does one cold year provide an experimental abyss that the CO2 theory simply cannot step across without plummeting to a Wiley Coyote splat, or am I missing something? I maintain somewhat of an open mind, but I never spent a client’s money on imaginary gold.

taxed
Reply to  Len Werner
December 13, 2022 1:20 pm

Where the heat goes has little to do with CO2, but is much more dependent on the global jet stream patterning.

Because should the zonal flow breakdown across the NH this allows much more movement of the air masses to move in and out of the Arctic. This increase in air movements allows warmth to be push up into the Arctic. While at the same time allowing cold air to flood down across Russia. So with warming in the Arctic around Alaska but cooing over eastern Asia forces a change of flow to the jet stream. lts this change of flow over the long term which causes changes in the climate.

RickWill
Reply to  Len Werner
December 13, 2022 1:24 pm

Does one cold year provide an experimental abyss that the CO2 theory simply cannot step across 

Snow appears cold but it is actually transporting ocean heat over land and reducing the energy loss to space of the land by lowering the radiating temperature of the atmosphere thereby lowering heat loss (you could call it greenhouse ice). Liberating 1000kg of water from an ocean surface and elevating it above freezing requires the same energy as the combustion of 100kg of coal. That energy eventually gets liberated as the vapour solidifies in the atmosphere at a radiating temperature of 240K over land. The land is shielded from direct view of space by the snow falling.

Snow falling will be around -33C, reflective of its radiating temperature, but the land would be cooler than it is if the snow was not being created in the atmosphere above.

Most “global” warming is occurring on the northern land masses in winter as the snow fall increases. Greenland plateau the most notable example with winter temps increasing from around -30C to -20C in the past 70 years.

The NH summer temperatures are all going up. The NH ocean surface temperature trending strongly upward in summer.

The only thing that will buck the warming trend in the NH is something like a volcano or earthquake that has global impact. The SH is cooling below 55S and that will gradually progress northward as the peak solar intensity shifts northward.

Last edited 1 month ago by RickWill
John Hultquist
Reply to  Len Werner
December 13, 2022 1:25 pm

Is there any possibility that the theory survives
The horse left the barn a long time ago. The CO2/AGW idea
is an accepted axiom of the Climate Cult and friends.
How does one get rid of a self-evident truth? Substitute “cult” for self.

sherro01
Reply to  Len Werner
December 13, 2022 3:40 pm

Len,
The core people bringing reality to the global warming stories are dominantly earth science people like geophysicists and geochemists. So, do please keep up your effort.
There is a big difference in basic philosophy. Geologist types look for “anomalies” which are one to a few measurements rather different to the norm, like a high gold assay in the middle of many average ones. The climate change people came along and coined their own different meaning for “anomaly”.
The outcome is that geological types tailor their minds and their data processing to detect and treasure these rare anomaly jewels. The climate people invent maths to try to disappear anomalies as unwanted noise needing no intelligent explanation.
Maybe differences like this anomaly anomaly sharpen the nonsense detectors of geologist types, I don’t know.
Geoff S

ATheoK
Reply to  Len Werner
December 13, 2022 8:25 pm

never spent a client’s money on imaginary gold”

I got a phone call from my father-in-law a decade or so ago.
He’d found gold on his property and wanted me to come verify it. He had already taken some to a jeweler he was friends with and they supposedly verified it as gold.

Well we do live in the gold belt in Virginia, so anything is possible. I can always wait to ask the big question about who owns his mineral rights till after I see gold. No need to get him upset, too soon.

The weekend came along with a chilly rainy Saturday. I gathered up screens for sizing, a couple of gold pans and my metal detector. We all headed over with my wife telling me to be nice.

He has a few acres, so we got dressed in clothes to get dirty in and head to his goldmine, down a steep hill a couple hundred yards.
He stops at where he had been having work done on his well, apparently gold is in the well spoil.
He points to shiny flecks in the mud and we all get down in the muck to look closer.

Disgusted, I tell him it’s muscovite mica flakes. He argues that the acid test proved it was gold. I explain about what the jeweler’s acid test is really testing. But the acid, he says.

I’m wet, it’s chilly, and I’m spending my Saturday out in the rain kneeling in mud arguing about gold dreams, er, mica.
I start gathering up all of the gear I dropped when I knelt in the mud while he importunes me to gather up gold, so I can test it.

Water running down the hill is pooling in our knee prints, I gesture to the little puddles and point out that his gold is floating.
Silence.
He gathered a small vial of dirty water with mica flakes to take back to his jeweler friend.

On the way back up the hill, I tell him that mica is inert, that it was used in radios and was also used as windows in wood/coal stoves.

I never heard about his gold mine again.

Len Werner
Reply to  ATheoK
December 14, 2022 11:11 am

I thank everyone for the replies, I’ll consider them all. Rick, your theory is intriguing, is it falsifiable without waiting 20,000 years? Geologists are of course fairly good at unravelling the past at much longer time scales, but projecting ahead we don’t do much.

Floating gold–I guess it is a step above imaginite. Good story, by mid 70’s we’ve all been involved with several such and heard a bunch more. I’m sure I’m not the only one who has been given the sales pitch for ‘something’ inside a black box that will point out the gold deposits when swung over a geologic map. I didn’t see where you described taking one down to the well site.

However I do now know that there is no gold on the property where I’m sitting in a cabin on Chilcotin Volcanics in the Cariboo in central BC–there was a moose about 30 feet outside the window yesterday morning feeding on the tips of young aspen shoots and pawing through the snow for grass while I was having breakfast.

This area is definitely just moose pasture.

Len Werner
Reply to  Len Werner
December 14, 2022 11:18 am

Wait–you found water at SG19??–call Livermore! They probably won’t buy a gold detector in a black box, but they’d sure be interested in that stuff.

sherro01
Reply to  Len Werner
December 14, 2022 3:01 pm

Len,
In the 1980s there was an entertainer named Uri Geller who made a handsome wad of $$$ with demonstrations of how to bend spoons by the application of thought about bending spoons.
We, corporately, were often in the Australian news because we discovered several new gold mines, some well over the million ounce glamour marker. We were working over large distances so for efficiency we bought a Cessna Citation bizjet with long range fuel tanks.
Uri Geller used mental strength to link exploration, gold, big mines, big dollars, bizjet. He knocked on our corporate door, announcing an offer too good to refuse. For an eye-watering hourly rate, he would be a passenger flying over the land, looking out of a window to detect places where we would find even more gold.
Our Company Secretary had a lovely way with words, a skill he used to reply with a “Thank you, Mr Geller, but we will pass” type of final response.
It is a never-ending wonder that society is able to keep generating and often helping people who have nothing between the ears. We even vote many to political office.
Geoff S

Len Werner
Reply to  sherro01
December 14, 2022 4:30 pm

Geoff, was that before or after Geller’s 1973 Johnny Carson appearance?

I might have taken him up on the offer, but rather than for an hourly rate, for a percentage of what he found–but having to also commit to covering the costs if he found nothing.

Then head north and fly him over Busang.

Incidentally if you haven’t read it, Dead Man’s Story by Lenarciak makes intriguing reading. I have no comment on the validity, only the plausibility.

RickWill
December 13, 2022 12:50 pm

Northern Hemisphere snow accumulations and Greenland ice mass are at historic highs. Satellite temperature readings of the Arctic show no major warming since 2014. Data illustrate a dynamic climate system with the likelihood of all types of weather, not a planet uniformly and disastrously overheating.

This is how the termination of the modern interglacial starts out. The Northern Hemisphere warms up in summer. That August/September ocean heat gets transported as snow to the land in autumn and winter. The Southern Hemisphere is slowly cooling down. On average, the globe south of 55S is in a cooling trend.

The big gains in “global temperature” are in winter extremes in the Northern Hemisphere. Greenland plateau up almost 10C from -30C to -20C. That only happens with more snow fall.

The regions of the globe respond differently to solar forcing and the solar peak intensity is just past its peak in the Southern Hemisphere. Northern Hemisphere summer solar up 1W/m^2 in the last 2,000 years.

Regional_Response.png
Gary Pearse
December 13, 2022 1:07 pm

We used to assume that governments would try to do the pragmatic thing to safeguard the well being of their citizens. These unwritten guides now need to be codified in constitutions, barring all legislation and regulations that hampers the availability of reliable dispatchable power and fuels to citizens and industry. Similarly, protection for affordable food supplied will be legislated.

Also needed are laws prohibiting damage to the economy and the security of the state, with boilerplate on what constitutes treasonous activities related to these basic needs. All charities should be scrutinized to ensure they meet criteria for tax free status consistent with the wellbeing of the country.

A happy little debunker
December 13, 2022 1:15 pm

Australia has been under the influence of a coupla climate drivers – but principally has been impacted by the Tonga underwater volcanic eruption in January for the last year.
We are only just now seeing typical spring weather patterns in Tasmania (i.e. Windy).

A lot is being read into the current state of Australia’s weather/climate, but those reading it are unaware of the amount of fiction it contains.

sherro01
Reply to  A happy little debunker
December 13, 2022 3:52 pm

Happy,
Lower temperatures have been standard for over 10 years now if UAH satellite data are factored in. Major problems with land temperature measurements by thermometers in screens are documented in inarguable details of many problems on Chris Gillham’s wem page, search for “waclimate Gillham” then click on a topic.
Science in Australia is now in a peculiar condition where job promotion seems to depend on ability to turn big objections into nothing burgers for press consumption.
The time will come again when science advances by revealing new concepts, not concealing them.
Geoff S
http://www.geoffstuff.com/uahdec2022.jpg

taxed
December 13, 2022 1:46 pm

Over the years l have been posting here on WUWT that am convinced that changes to the climate are strongly linked to changes to the jet stream/weather patterning over the long term.
l felt l understood the general weather patterning that could cause a ice age, but did not fully understand how this general patterning was able to remain in place for so long.
But recent watching of the global jet stream l feel has pointed me towards the answer. lts what happens to the jet stream over the N Pacific is what is able to change the climate towards cooling over the long term.

Last edited 1 month ago by taxed
sherro01
Reply to  taxed
December 13, 2022 3:56 pm

taxed,
You are talking about changes in the geographical location of different temperatures. The main discussion is about overall gains or losses to the global norm. If one location is getting hotter, is another location getting correspondingly cooler, or not? Geoff S

taxed
Reply to  sherro01
December 13, 2022 6:07 pm

What looks to be happening with warming in the Arctic over the Alaska area but still remaining as cold or getting colder over eastern Asia. ls that the greatest difference in temperature is not just simply a matter of north/south but also starting to become west/east.
This change of location in temperature difference is what l think is aiding to the breakdown of the zonal jet across the N Pacific. lts this breaking down of the zonal jet over the eastern half of the N Pacific is what looks to be increasing the risk of cold weather patterning over N America.

Last edited 1 month ago by taxed
RickWill
Reply to  taxed
December 13, 2022 4:24 pm

We on Earth are all witnessing the termination of modern interglacial.

The Northern Hemisphere reached minimum summer solar intensity about 1000 years ago. The Southern Hemisphere 600 years ago. The gradual warming of the Northern Hemisphere will accelerate over the coming centuries and snow will again accumulate on all land north of 40N. So far only Greenland and Icealand have increasing permanent ice extent but they are the early indicators.

Summer_EMR_NH_SH.png
mleskovarsocalrrcom
December 13, 2022 1:51 pm

Pay no attention to the man behind the curtain.

son of mulder
December 13, 2022 1:56 pm

Dec 24th 2022 will be the 60th anniversary of the UK’s Big Freeze of winter 62-63. 60 years now that’s an interesting number.

Richard M
Reply to  son of mulder
December 14, 2022 6:26 am

That is the year when the AMO last went from positive to negative which then led to the global cooling scare that followed. We are likely in a countdown to a repeat of that change. My best guess is 2025.

Hivemind
December 13, 2022 2:00 pm

“an MSM that has sold its soul to the apocalyptic narrative”

Very much like the an American bible belt preacher. And after the sermon, the people feel refreshed and go straight back to all the same sinning they did yesterday.

Rud Istvan
December 13, 2022 2:34 pm

The UK weather is looking just like what a third consecutive La Niña pattern predicts. Going to be a very tough winter for EU and UK. Not enough natgas for home heating plus CCGT renewable intermittency backup, plus over reliance on renewables, plus part of French nuc fleet down for corrosion repairs.

aaron
Reply to  Rud Istvan
December 13, 2022 4:21 pm

They might get lucky, winter 2000/01 was mild in europe. Ryan Maue sees it as an analogue year. https://mobile.twitter.com/aaronshem/status/1547238126938214400

aaron
Reply to  aaron
December 13, 2022 4:26 pm

But we also just had the weakest solar cycle in a hundred years and ocean oscillations suggest weather may get more extreme in general. Is there an 80yr arctic oscillation?
https://mobile.twitter.com/aaronshem/status/1598020948799926272

observa
December 13, 2022 3:43 pm

Human progress in the last two centuries has been phenomenal, and one of the greatest achievements has been the development of electricity and fossil fuels to fend off the cold of harsh winters.

Just that with all that free energy from Gaia compliments of the Gretahead doomsters and sundry cerebrally challenged it can cost two pounds sixty pence a kilowatt so don’t bother coming to the dark Satanic mills for a crust-
https://www.msn.com/en-au/money/other/struggling-factories-prepare-for-hibernation-as-power-costs-soar/ar-AA15d2x5
Not to worry the Gummint cheque will be in the mail.

aaron
December 13, 2022 4:04 pm

Warming causing old extremes and a wavy jet stream is a fringe hypothesis that is not in evidence. The reality is the jet stream has stabilized with climate change. Cold extremes have become rarer, less intense, cover less area, and shorter.

http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/ab4867/meta…

https://pielkeclimatesci.files.wordpress.com/2010/01/nr-77.pdf…

https://elsevier.com/_dynamic/product-display?isbn=978-0-12-385237-3

ACDFE185-2708-4F84-AD47-B824611474CC.jpeg
Elliot W
Reply to  aaron
December 14, 2022 1:23 pm

Cool lines on a graph! Wow, I’m really really convinced! Not.

So, who put these numbers together? How was data, if any, gathered and collated? What are the parameters and definitions of terms, like “cold” and “wave”? Were definitions and data collections consistent over 120 years?

So many questions. So few answers. But the colors are very pretty, so it MUST be science, right?

rah
December 14, 2022 12:53 am

Mark Twain knew the deal a long time ago:

“A genuine expert can always foretell a thing that is 500 years away easier than he can a thing that’s only 500 seconds off.”
– Mark Twain

Your Tax Dollars At Work | Real Climate Science

Ireneusz Palmowski
December 14, 2022 1:51 am

Due to strong highs over Greenland and Iceland, ice is growing in the Greenland Sea.

Ireneusz Palmowski
December 14, 2022 1:54 am

Frost in Ireland, England, France and Germany will not stop. The snow cover will increase.
Strong winds and lots of sunshine are needed.
comment image

Ireneusz Palmowski
December 14, 2022 1:55 am

This is the forecast of a polar vortex in the lower stratosphere for Christmas.
comment image
Temperature forecast for the US for December 23.
comment image
comment image

Ireneusz Palmowski
December 14, 2022 3:29 am

Another wave of snowstorms will pass over the Great Lakes.
comment image

rckkrgrd
December 14, 2022 7:57 am

The danger of cold weather is seldom acknowledged by an MSM that has sold its soul to the apocalyptic narrative.”
What is even less often acknowledged is the benefits derived from a warmer climate and the CO2 enrichment of the atmosphere.
What is consistently stated is that climate change (AKA global warming) is the reason for any unusual or extreme weather event. There is never any evidence provided as to a direct connection. A heat or rain event is global warming, a cold or snow event is climate change.
Conveniently forgotten is past predictions of the end of snow or coastlines obliterated. But it will happen, it will just be another 10 or 12 years until it is another 10 or 12 years.
Great importance is attached to the melting back of most mountain glaciers. Forgotten is the fact that they have been melting back for millenia with occasional spurts of advance.
Ocean acidification, a misnomer designed to create concern, is assumed to be fact. Nobody, however, has a ladle big enough to stir the ocean into a consistent state or the ability to take the billions of samples necessary for a measurement with any chance of accuracy.
The earth was once flat. Of course it was, because that is what most believed. The sun, at one time rotated around the earth. That is the only thing that can explain night and day on a flat earth. Of course there could be more complicated theories such as a giant hand methodically adjusting the heavens.
Imaginative scenarios and model outputs are viewed, and presented as fact, rather than as the improbable guesses that they are.

Phil.
December 14, 2022 9:11 am

“Northern Hemisphere snow accumulations and Greenland ice mass are at historic highs.”

Not according to the Rutgers site.

Elliot W
Reply to  Phil.
December 14, 2022 1:13 pm

Did you forget the sarcasm tag?

(If not, try the Danish Meteorological site. Closer to Greenland than Rutgers.)

Phil.
Reply to  Elliot W
December 16, 2022 9:35 am

Rutgers northern hemisphere snow accumulation shows this year (week 48) to be rather average for the last 10 years, certainly not a ‘historic high’. The GRACE data shows the the Greenland Ice mass to have been steadily decreasing over the last 20 years by a cumulative total of ~4,500 GT. The PROMICE program has shown the the Greenland ice mass has declined every year over the last 26 years. No sarcasm tag needed.

Patrick MJD
December 14, 2022 11:19 pm

For summer, it has been very cold here in Aus, Sydney. In fact some days felt like winter. I am having to wear a jumper.

Last edited 1 month ago by Patrick MJD
Billyjack
December 15, 2022 5:53 am

One would have an easier time arguing the veracity of the virgin birth with an Evangelical than refute the climate gospel of the Church of Warming. 

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