Snow in the Cascade Range: What Happens When It Vanishes?

Guest Essay by Kip Hansen —  19 November 2022

The New York Times has become The Guardian of the USA in the sense that when anything appears in it that touches on climate change or even heavy weather, the article is pure Climate Crisis Propaganda and not journalistic news.  Although the NY Times is not a member of The Guardian’s co-founded climate news cabal, Covering Climate Now, the NY Times is every bit as dedicated to making every story a climate crisis story.

The latest adventure into fantasyland in the Times is their special photojournalist story titled:  “Life Was Built Around Snow. What Happens When It Vanishes? carrying a sub-title of “The melting of the snowpack in the high Cascades has long been a predictable source of sustenance in the Pacific Northwest. But the old patterns are changing.” by Ruth Fremson (photographer) and Kirk Johnson.

In a pragmatic sense, normally, when the snow vanishes, you know spring has arrived.  This is not quite true in this article about snow in the Cascade Range, in which the photos are taken and personal stories are solicited.  The photos are gorgeous.  The journalism is the propagandist’s favorite style, narrative journalism.  Narrative journalism is a refuge for propagandists because they can tell stories that are nominally true, but which contain almost no real facts and are so viewpoint biased that the reader is fooled into believing blatant falsehoods. 

The first falsehood is the title itself.  “What happens when [snow] vanishes?”  Oddly, there are no facts in the story that point to vanishing snow in the Cascades or even complaints that there is not enough snow.  What the Times gives us are these:

“Kirk Thomas, a druid priest, fixed his gaze toward the volcano’s summit as the evening colors deepened from rose to purple and the ceremony neared its conclusion.  He offered up a blessing.  “May the snows always remain on the mountain,” he said.”  “Ancient mysteries of the earth and sky are alive and well….”


“A pattern of moderation in temperature and precipitation extended through the network of river valleys that flow down from Mount Adams and Mount Hood, another volcano that looms some 50 miles south, across the border in Oregon. Both of them are huge, weather-shaping, snow-catcher mountains that are, for the moment, in seismic slumber: Hood, which stands at about 11,250 feet, was last active roughly 150 years ago; Adams, at 12,280 feet, hasn’t erupted in a thousand years.” (unattributed – refers to a long-term weather pattern)


“Salmon are at the center of Yakama Nation culture, going back to the people who arrived thousands of years ago to the area around Mount Adams.  “The salmon stood up first to say, ‘I will provide,’” said Kate Valdez, the tribe’s historic preservation officer and a member of the Klickitat Band. That’s why, in any tribal feast, salmon is always given a place of honor at the table.  The tribe’s commitment had results and consequences.  “We’re going to have fish back in this river because of them, largely,” said G. Thomas Tebb, the director of the Office of the Columbia River at the Washington State Department of Ecology. “Even when the state Fish and Wildlife Department gave up on salmon, the Yakamas never did, and thank God they didn’t.”


“Those volcanoes are the water towers for the region,” said Anders E. Carlson, the president of the Oregon Glaciers Institute, a research group. “The wine you drink from river valleys that are fed by glacial meltwater, the salmon in your rivers — those are all intimately linked to a system that has been in equilibrium,” he added. “But now we have perturbed that system.”  (Note:  Anders E. Carlson seems to be the only member of the Oregon Glaciers Institute.)

Here is the main claim (other than vanishing snow), which is not attributed to any source:

“But the old predictability has been shattered by climate change. Questions of when the snow comes to the high country, when it melts to feed the rivers that supply irrigation and drinking water, how much of the region’s water falls in rainstorms that dump torrents in hours — all these things have become more variable.”

First:  What and where are the Cascades?   The map above shows the Cascades stretching from Mount Shasta in California, all the way north to the Canadian border (and beyond).  Here’s a view some of the peaks:

In the foreground is “Mount Rainier, the range’s highest mountain, standing at 14,411 ft (4,392 m). Seen in the background (left to right) are Mount Adams, Mount Hood, and Mount St. Helens.” (image and quote – Wiki)

Mount Rainer is a dangerous climb for mountaineers and hikers because of the weather  (cold and snow)  – over the last century, 125 were known to have died on the mountain — 90 were summit climbers and another 35 or so in climbing accidents that were non-summit related.  On  the 24th of October 2022 the weather report for Rainer read:

Mount Rainier Recreational Forecast National Weather Service Seattle WA 326 AM PDT Mon Oct 24 2022 

Stormy weather Monday night and Tuesday will create difficult  mountaineering conditions near the summit, with local blizzard- like conditions, strong winds, and near zero visibility. A high level of skill and experience in alpine terrain, including use of GPS, is recommended for navigation and camping in these conditions.

Timberline Lodge, which operates under a special use permit issued by the Mt. Hood National Forest, USDA Forest Service, is mentioned in the Times piece in this segment:

“But the ways the seasons play out are changing, said Jeff Kohnstamm, the president and area operator of Timberline. Spring, in particular, has become harder to predict.

 He thinks that skiing into July and August — and the economically important arrival of competitive teams that use the mountain for summer practice — will continue into the foreseeable future.

But as the pattern of snowfall becomes harder to predict, business during the other seasons, like mountain biking in summer, will become increasingly important. And Timberline plans to install its first-ever automated snow-making system to augment snowpack.”

This chart shows snow depths at Timberline Lodge last season.  Bit of a slow start, but for Christmas week, they already had a snowbase of 5 feet – and collected another 3 feet by New Years.  The majority of the ski season leveled at 8 to 10 feet of base but ratcheted up to 14 feet of base in mid-April.  By the end of the official ski season mid-June, Timberline still has over 10 feet of snowbase.  They were skiing there into July and August – in t-shirts.

The propaganda hook of this Times piece is Vanishing Snow.  But Timberline Lodge complains that the snow that allows skiing into July and August  (which is expected to continue for the foreseeable future) last long enough to threaten their summer businesses of hiking and mountain biking.    

Not vanishing snow, but too much snow too much of the year. 

What about Mt Hood, further north?  Weather alert for 24 October  called for blizzard conditions:

Mt Hood — Winter Weather Advisory  URGENT – WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE

National Weather Service Portland OR   406 PM PDT Mon Oct 24 2022 …

Northern Oregon Cascades-Cascades in Lane County -Including the cities of Santiam Pass, McKenzie Pass, and Willamette Pass

406 PM PDT Mon Oct 24 2022


* WHAT…Snow expected above 4000 feet. Total snow accumulations  of up to 8 inches. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph.

* WHERE…Northern Oregon Cascades and Cascades in Lane County.

* WHEN…From 6 PM Tuesday to 6 AM PDT Wednesday. [ source ]

No vanishing snow there either. 

But is it more variable, less dependable than previously?

Let’s look at “A New Look at Snowpack Trends in the Cascade Mountains”  by Mark T. Stoelinga, Mark D. Albright, and Clifford F. Mass (2009).  It’s a little old, but we are looking at the historical record:

The upper half of the figure shows the “90% Melt-out Date” (as numerical day of the year).  The long-term average is just over day 180  — about the first week of July, maybe to the 15th.  This date leaves enough snow to ski at the summits, like Timberline Lodge, into August.    “Maximum Snowpack Date” centers on day 80 – third week of March, at the end of the Cascades winter.   The traces show that each of these metrics have been wildly variable over the 80 years shown. 

But neither metric appears more variable (thus less dependable) in the most recent 30 years (1980-2010) than in the earliest 30 years (1930-1960). 

So, overall? 

North American snow cover extent?

This shows Snow Cover Extent as departures from 1991-2020 normals.  We can see that Snow Cover was a little higher in the Global Cooling Period (1970s) and a little lower in the late 80s and early 90s.  Since 1995 or so it has been very stable. North American Snow Cover Extent (pale blue – emphasis added on graph – kh) has been mostly confined to a narrow band within +/- 0.5 million km2.  So, if there is “vanishing snow”, it is not continental.

Snowpack in the Cascades means water in the rivers and streams for Oregon and Washington states.  The NY Times piece correctly points this out.  But has the Northwest, and the Cascades, suffered reduced streamflow?  Well, not this year at least:

In the USDA, Natural Resources Conservation Service map, up to 17 November 2022 (within a day or so of publication of this essay) the answer is “NO, stream flows are mostly normal or above.”   Anything Green (90 to 100%) or any shade of Blue (110% – over 150%) is at or over the long-term average.  There are a couple of regions a little low – Yellows – but even most of those are near 90%.   The right-hand map from the Western Regional Climate Center (WRCC) shows the most recent monthly precipitation data – again, mostly Normal and Above Normal for Washington and Oregon.

What kind of climate is expected?  The Köppen Climate Classification map for the Northwest shows that much of Washington and Oregon is dry-ish — classified as “Cold Semi-Arid”, “Cold Desert”, “Warm-Summer Mediterranean” and “Humid Continental – Dry Cool Summer”.   The Cascades, subject of this essay, are generally in the purple stripe up the middle, classified as Humid Continental, Dry Cool Summer.

The small bright yellow area at the bottom on the left is Ashland, Oregon. Dry in the summer living off of several reservoirs in the mountains to the east.

The Columbia River is the major river of the region, forming the east-west border between Washington and Oregon.  The Columbia River watershed comprises almost all of the states of Washington, Oregon and Idaho – as well pas part of British Columbia. The Hood River runs north to the Columbia from Mt. Hood – seen just above the OR in the map’s “OREGON”.    Here’s the water levels in the Columbia at their junction:

There is some variability but no downward trend is present over the decade reported.  The Columbia at the Hood has a Minimum Operating Limit, set at 71.4 feet, to keep the dams operating downstream. It has only touched that limit once in a decade. At that point, the streamflow is given as 140,000 cfs (cubic feet per second).  At Quincy, Oregon, near the mouth of the Columbia, the stream flow is 254,000 cfs.  [ source ]  Those massive streamflows are why it is called “The Mighty Columbia”.

And water demand?  Both Oregon and Washington are agricultural states (outside of the cities of course).  The two major cities have increased their population, since 1950, four- and five-fold:

And, just to make sure we don’t overlook total state populations:

Combined, the two states now have over 12 million people.  This is about the same as the population of the Los Angeles Metro Area of 12.5  million (not to be confused with the  megalopolis of Los Angeles, which has over 18 million).  In 1950, the two-states combined had only about 4 million people.   

Bottom Lines:

1.  The tag line “The melting of the snowpack in the high Cascades has long been a predictable source of sustenance in the Pacific Northwest. But the old patterns are changing.” is simply not true for the region known as the Cascades and the region that depends on their snowpack.  Patterns are not changing and have not greatly changed. 

Snow in the Cascades has been variable as long as records have been kept, and it still variable, but not “more variable” now than in the past.  

2.  The NY Times headline: “Life Was Built Around Snow. What Happens When It Vanishes?is not even supported by the story under it.  There are no complaints from in the narratives that snow has or will vanish.  There is one complaint that snow currently lasts too long into the summer months.

3.  Overall, Oregon and Washington are dry-ish states.  Not as dry as the Southwest, but they have vast areas of desert and arid lands as well as the Mediterranean-like climate regions just to the east of the coastal mountains. 

Note: There are rain-forests in the region, mostly along the Pacific coast, where the coastal ranges force the rain to fall on the western slopes.  Parts of the Cascades are considered wet coniferous forests.

4.  In the drier regions, there are squabbles over water usage as agriculture increases and populations quadruple.  These tensions are not caused by less precipitation but rather more by increased demands on the same resources.

5.  As always, weather does not remain the same day-to-day, month-to-month, year-to-year, decade-to-decade or even century-to-century.   Real measurable changes in weather metrics are expected and not exceptional.  It would be exceptional if there have been no changes or weather differences over the last 50-75 years. 

6.  The new media focus on combining images and emotional narratives in journalism is just a re-imagined form of propaganda.  It is effective, and can be used for good – telling important truths — or for evil — promoting lies and advancing false deceitful agendas. 

# # # # #

Author’s Comment:

The NY Times has a whole series of this type of story.  Most of them promote climate and environmental alarmism and are very Editorial Narrative-driven to support UN and National leftist progressive agendas.

The photography is always fabulous – reminding me of the best of the old National Geographic. 

The stories are unfortunately biased and present only a weird view of the world – like the one in this essay, in which the musings of a druid priest are considered facts for us to examine.

Wither journalism?

# # # # #

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David Dibbell
November 19, 2022 2:23 pm

Good essay, clearly pointing out the intentional misdirections. “Whither journalism?” Exactly.

Curious George
Reply to  David Dibbell
November 19, 2022 2:56 pm

A vanishing journalism. NYT, WaPo.

Bryan A
Reply to  David Dibbell
November 19, 2022 2:59 pm

Interesting, half of Washington State lives in Seattle and Half of Oregon lives in Portland…but then half of California lives in the Los Angeles Megalopolis
With so many idiots gathered together in one place all striving to breathe it’s no wonder the Left Coast’s population centers are so Blue

Reply to  Bryan A
November 20, 2022 8:19 pm

Good One.

abolition man
Reply to  David Dibbell
November 19, 2022 4:28 pm

The journalistic high priests have answered the question, “Whither journalism?” rather empathically! Their answer; “Welcome to the World of Propaganda! Enjoy the presentation, but keep your hands inside the vehicle at all times!”

Reply to  abolition man
November 20, 2022 12:18 pm

Yes. They even have a fancy name for it. Literary journalism, where they mix factual reporting styles with those from fiction or creative writing

Reply to  David Dibbell
November 20, 2022 8:19 pm

Well, the article ends with “Wither Journalism”… likely a typo… if not, it is still correct, because we have experienced a decreasing lack of real journalism for a long time now.

David Dibbell
Reply to  sturmudgeon
November 21, 2022 7:29 am

I didn’t even notice the typo. Interesting the way the mind works.

November 19, 2022 2:27 pm

It’s not neo-Paganism…

“Kirk Thomas, a druid priest, fixed his gaze toward the volcano’s summit as the evening colors deepened from rose to purple and the ceremony neared its conclusion. He offered up a blessing. “May the snows always remain on the mountain,” he said.” “Ancient mysteries of the earth and sky are alive and well….”

(Until it is…)

Rich Davis
Reply to  BLS1965
November 20, 2022 4:57 am

A druid priest. Sigh. We are so fcked.

Citizen Smith
Reply to  Rich Davis
November 21, 2022 3:20 pm


Tom Halla
November 19, 2022 2:29 pm

Very well done climate panic porn.

Reply to  Tom Halla
November 20, 2022 12:39 pm

The author Kirk Johnson, just one year back in Dec 2021 wrote this NY Times story

Just Total Chaos’: Floods Bring Death and Devastation to Dairies

Near-record flooding in Washington State drowned cattle, demolished homes and damaged equipment. Broken supply chains are making it even harder to recover.

Apparently he doesnt do ‘self reflection’, as its only about getting headlines

When it floods that too is climate change

michael hart
November 19, 2022 2:30 pm

“Snow in the Cascade Range: What Happens When It Vanishes?”

Well, in Seattle, you can also look south or west to see snow on Mt Rainier or on the Olympics, respectively. (Weather permitting, of course.)

michael hart
Reply to  michael hart
November 19, 2022 2:47 pm

…to which I’ll pedantically edit: Mt Rainier may technically be in the Cascades but is far higher than the rest, and the most topographically distinct peak in the contiguous 48 states. I never considered it part of the Cascades when I lived in Seattle and its snow isn’t disappearing anytime soon.

John Hultquist
Reply to  michael hart
November 19, 2022 6:49 pm

The mountains of Washington State involve complex geology and the volcanoes are different in time and materials than most of the rest.
Nick Z. can explain it all — or most of it:
CWU Geological Sciences

#3 in the list is from 2010, and he keeps at this many years later.

Bryan A
Reply to  michael hart
November 19, 2022 3:04 pm

Half the time they can’t get a clear view of Mt Rainier because the weather is rainier. What they need to do is create a few more catch basins for the rains.

michael hart
Reply to  Bryan A
November 20, 2022 7:05 am

Another thing I learned during my time there was don’t drink the beer called Rainier. 🙂

Citizen Smith
Reply to  michael hart
November 21, 2022 3:26 pm

Now wait just a minute. I love Rainier Beer. But mostly for their commercials.

Citizen Smith
Reply to  Citizen Smith
November 21, 2022 3:30 pm
November 19, 2022 2:30 pm

> The New York Times has become The Guardian of the USA in the sense that when anything appears in it that touches on climate change or even heavy weather, the article is pure Climate Crisis Propaganda and not journalistic news.

I disagree. NPR literally gets paid for mentioning “climate.”

Reply to  Giving_Cat
November 19, 2022 3:16 pm

Here’s an excellent demolition of NPR’s general bias, ironically from RFK Jr’s website, who as everyone knows is a convinced man-made climate catastrophist. Although he’s succeeded in seeing through the Covid propaganda and lies, he doesn’t seem able to grasp that the very same bodies are promoting the climate change agenda. When challenged on his website, he refers defensively to his decades of fighting environmental pollution – as if the two issues were synonymous. And in his mind they clearly are.

Joseph Zorzin
Reply to  Giving_Cat
November 19, 2022 5:04 pm

The Albany, NY NPR: half the time they’re ranting about the climate “catastrophe”- the rest of the time they’re ranting about Trump. I emailed the big honcho with the station and told him that they ought to expand their coverage to include other topics. He wrote back that I should apologize!

Reply to  Joseph Zorzin
November 21, 2022 6:02 am

The big honcho’s initials wouldn’t be Alan Chartock, would they?
He certainly knows how to run a National Propaganda empire.

Joseph Zorzin
Reply to  Yirgach
November 21, 2022 6:06 am

Right- that’s him. He’s far, far to the left- but I’ve found out that his pay to run that channel is something like $150,000 per year! When it’s time to beg for money, he’s really good at it- using every trick he can think of- using, I suggest, a bit of Jewish guilt complex. When he asked me to apologize, I wrote back using some rather blunt language. 🙂

Elliot W
November 19, 2022 2:40 pm

Plenty of snow on Mount Baker too. And there was all summer.

But who do I believe – my lyin’ eyes or The New York Times?

November 19, 2022 2:43 pm

Kirk Thomas, a druid priest, fixed his gaze toward the volcano’s summit as the evening colors deepened from rose to purple and the ceremony neared its conclusion.

druid was a member of the high-ranking class in ancient Celtic cultures. Druids were religious leaders as well as legal authorities, adjudicators, lorekeepers, medical professionals and political advisors. Druids left no written accounts. While they were reported to have been literate, they are believed to have been prevented by doctrine from recording their knowledge in written form. Their beliefs and practices are attested in some detail by their contemporaries from other cultures, such as the Romans and the Greeks.

I wonder if the NYT employs a fleet of Druids or just rents one now and then for the occasional quote.

Reply to  rovingbroker
November 19, 2022 2:59 pm

Since the actual Druids left no written records and have all died out, I’ve often wondered how the modern Druids “learned” their rituals.

Joseph Zorzin
Reply to  MarkW
November 19, 2022 5:05 pm

from their LSD experiences

Reply to  MarkW
November 20, 2022 8:02 am

I’m just impressed that Druids migrated to America and seem to have adopted the Cascades as their American Stonehenge. Perhaps they built the Cascades, too?

Reply to  MarkW
November 21, 2022 11:46 am

Had they written what they were doing, they would have had to be consistent in their witch doctoring.

Bryan A
Reply to  rovingbroker
November 19, 2022 3:06 pm

Wouldn’t be surprised if they kept their Druids locked up in a back room like punxsutawney phil

Reply to  rovingbroker
November 21, 2022 11:44 am

Until I hear from Archdruid (Skip) Ellison, or Senior Priest Dangler, confirming that the thoughts and prayers of the lower Priest Thomas are to be accepted and believed, I will withhold judgement.

In the future, I would hope that NYT would go directly to Archdruid Skip, then I could be sure of the absolute accuracy of the story & theme.

Janice Moore
November 19, 2022 2:49 pm

“shattered.” 🤣

David Kamakaris
November 19, 2022 2:52 pm

“Life Was Built Around Snow. What Happens When It Vanishes?”

A more appropriate question for the New York Slimes to ask themselves is What will happen to us when the snow doesn’t vanish?

Forrest Gardener
Reply to  David Kamakaris
November 19, 2022 3:34 pm

Yes but that lacks the rhetoric of an imminent threat. How about “News was built around journalism. What happens when that vanishes?”

David Kamakaris
Reply to  Forrest Gardener
November 19, 2022 4:03 pm

The New York Slimes never had anything to do with journalism. Their motto: If the news fits, we’ll print.

Forrest Gardener
November 19, 2022 3:24 pm

A very good response to a very poor newspaper article. Sadly the battle is asymmetric. It takes very little effort to generate the poor newspaper article. It takes a substantial effort by a skilled researcher to refute the poor newspaper article.

This response is what fact checkers claim to do and should be doing to earn the title of fact checker.

November 19, 2022 3:29 pm


Len Werner
November 19, 2022 3:38 pm

Four years ago the mayor of Whistler, a ski resort technically in the Coast Ranges west of the northern extension of the Cascades into southern BC (but still in the Cascades Volcanic Belt) made a perfectly silly twat of himself (to use the British English sense of the word) by writing a letter to Alberta oil companies demanding compensation for ‘climate change’.

I watched the webcams–this past spring, after the end of ski season, Whistler Mountain had diesel-burning excavators and a D-8-size bulldozer up at their alpine buildings, pushing snow off the mountain for several weeks so they could get on with their summer programs. A couple of times continued snowfall meant they lost ground and had to start over.

So in true you-couldn’t-make-this-crap-up form, the Whistler mayor wants money from the companies supplying him with diesel to compensate him for the costs of having to push excess snow off the mountain because of global warming. Are there people to whom this makes sense?

R Taylor
Reply to  Len Werner
November 19, 2022 4:11 pm

It makes sense to the mayor of Whistler and to the craven CEOs of oil companies, but not to the average Joe who wants an economical way to get to work.

John Hultquist
Reply to  Len Werner
November 19, 2022 7:01 pm

The weather gods withheld snow for the 2010 Winter Games and folks at Whistler had a massive mental melt-down and, apparently, joined the Climate Cult.

Elliot W
Reply to  John Hultquist
November 19, 2022 7:22 pm

That was a weird year. No snow for the Olympics in February. But when the snow did arrive on the coastal BC mountains, it stayed until the beginning of July.

Plenty of notoriety for the lack of early snow. Zero press coverage for the-snow-that-refused-to-leave . That was one of the incidents which helped turn me into a climate catastrophe denier.

Janice Moore
November 19, 2022 3:59 pm

Found a photo of a “Druid Priest”

comment image

(for non-American English 2000’s slang-aware readers: “Suh bruh” = “What’s up, brother?”)

Reply to  Janice Moore
November 20, 2022 3:40 am

Wow! I had no idea Otzi was that well preserved.

Reply to  Janice Moore
November 21, 2022 11:49 am


There is probably a reason that they are call themselves Archdruids, or Senior Priest, rather that High Priests … it would cause way too much confusion in the order.

(and by the way, I ordered the 3500 ugly green … it may be here by the end of the year.)

Punta Gorda
November 19, 2022 4:00 pm

The entire summit of that volcano is mostly “altered rock”. Altered rock forms from acidic volcanic gasses percolating through rock, turning it into clay. This rock fails from time to time and generate lahar flows. My guess is that they are preparing to blame the next mud flow on “climate”.

Lahar can be quite destructive and long running. Some neighborhoods near puget sound are built on the outflow deposits of the Oceola mudflow of about 5000 years ago.

November 19, 2022 4:07 pm

Snow is interesting because on average it should not melt anywhere on Earth – that is the basis of the snowball Earth concept.

Snow at 0C emits long wave around 270W/m^2. Snow only absorbs about 48% of the incoming short wave. So, on average, it would require 560W/m^2 of sunlight to get snow above melting point. The only place on Earth that gets that daily average of sunlight is a small region in Antarctica.

Fortunately for the human race, the sunlight changes substantially throughout the day and the peak intensity can easily exceed 560W/m^2 for a few hours.

The flip side of course is that the solar power only exceeds the threshold power for a a few hours each day. That means the amount of time available to melt snow is limited by latitude. Taking the whole region from 55N to 75N, the peak water equivalent depth of snow that can be melted in any year is 1620mm in the present era. This is the average for those latitudes with less melt at 75N than at 55N.

The snowfall is limited by the available moisture in the atmosphere. At present, the latent heat advection into that region 55-75N corresponds to average water equivalent snowfall of 1560mm. So more can melt than can be deposited on average over the region.

However the Arctic is rapidly warming due to the increasing advection driven by increasing solar intensity over the extensive temperate zone of the North Atlantic increasing evaporation and atmospheric moisture. Just extrapolating the warming trend gives snowfall of 1730mm by 2050. By then it should be obvious to most, apart from any remaining CO2 demonisers, that glaciation is under way.

So far Greenland is the only significant land mass showing the increasing persistence of summer snow cover:
comment image.

The really curious part is how myopic climate modellers are misinterpreting these obvious signs.

One of the interesting aspects of this is that the Gulf Stream will actually intensify to turbo-charge the water cycle well into the northern winter. As more water gets stuck on land, the tropical water will flow ever faster northward.

The temperate zone of the North Atlantic was at its lowest evaporation 600 years ago. Evaporation rate has been increasing since and will increase for another 9000 years.

Once the snow starts building on the mountain tops, it will gradually make its way down into the valleys. Anywhere that has ground temperature less than 0C will have perpetual snow.

“Global Warming” is not global and the warming that is observed is consistent with the onset of glaciation of the northern land masses. Given the sensitivity of the melting rate to snow albedo, if China and India burn enough coal without gas scrubbing, they may just do enough to delay glaciation. But the coal will run out before the cycle slows down in 9000 years.

John Oliver
Reply to  RickWill
November 19, 2022 8:55 pm

That is a fantastic explanation of the onset glaciation in a way I think a lot of people can relate too. Maybe the “tipping point” we need to worry about is creeping global icing not” run a away” global warming. Thanks

Reply to  John Oliver
November 19, 2022 9:09 pm

Thank you for the encouragement. I am currently developing the picture for the onset of glaciation. If the current trends in sub-arctic minimum temperature continues increasing at the current rate, snow accumulation will be obvious mid century.

There is now a tremendous store of data that helps to put the puzzle together. If climate models were useful, the modellers would be shouting about the coming glaciation rather than “global” warming.

Glaciation requires a lot of heat to start. It comes with its inherent cooling as the ice mountains form. We tend to focus on the end result being cold rather than the energy fluxes to start the accumulation process. And sea ice is a completely different beast to land ice. An ice free Arctic Ocean would increase autumn snow accumulation on land.

Reply to  RickWill
November 20, 2022 4:47 am

Yup, “Lake Effect Snow” stops once the Great Lakes freeze over. Buffalo sure wishes Lake Erie was ice covered. An ice free Arctic means an ice covered Northern Hemisphere….

Tombstone Gabby
November 19, 2022 4:14 pm

Diamond Lake USFS Campground, 5,200ft, in the Oregon Cascades, 1993. We had a snow shower on July 4th. We were volunteer Camp Hosts that year, our first of five summers. Our Supervisor mentioned that she had seen snow showers in every month of the year in her time there.

We send out Christmas letters rather than cards. One sentence:

In future years, if someone asks if we remember the summer of 1993, the reply will be; “Remember it well. It was the afternoon of Sunday, July 18!” 

abolition man
November 19, 2022 4:43 pm

Great article, Kip!
The Main Stream Propaganda outlets seem intent on making the term “journalistic integrity” as oxymoronic as “honest politician!” The few remaining examples of either give empathic proof!

Joseph Zorzin
November 19, 2022 4:54 pm

“The New York Times has become The Guardian of the USA….”

Same with the Bah-stin Globe, which is owned by the Times. One reason Massachusetts is so woke.

Joseph Zorzin
November 19, 2022 4:59 pm

“Wither journalism?”

Well, once it was “yellow journalism” to worry about- now it’s “green journalism”.

November 19, 2022 6:15 pm

Great article!

I’ve lived in Oregon within sight of the crest of the Cascades for over 50 years, both the “Mediterranean” side and the “Cold Desert/Cold Semi-Arid” side. I can assure you that we don’t have any “Druid priests” on the east side, tho we did have to put up with the Rajneeshees in the ’80s.

Over the years it’s seemed to me that the Cascade snow pack hasn’t been as robust as it was, but that view probably is colored by my first years here during the 1970s’ Global Cooling Period. Thanks to the author for showing the data that’s straightened me out.

There was so much Cascade snow runoff this spring in the upper Deschutes River drainage that the reservoirs downstream couldn’t handle it. A few miles east of the Cascades, there was so little snow in the Ochoco Mountains that Crooked River drainage reservoirs really suffered, and the region was Drought Central. Just goes to show how variable the storm tracks are. And to think that both areas might be in a single grid cell used by a climate modeler!

Best, ….

November 19, 2022 6:24 pm

Those massive streamflows are why it is called “The Mighty Columbia”.

During the JUNE run off the Columbia River discharge more water into the ocean than any river on Earth and it gets VERY BONE CHILLING COLD when it is at its peak during that time.

Beta Blocker
Reply to  Sunsettommy
November 19, 2022 10:12 pm

I dipped my toes into the Columbia once and lived to tell about it.

John Hultquist
November 19, 2022 6:37 pm

I’ve volunteered as a trail worker many times in Mt. Rainier National Park. A couple of years ago, at Sunrise – 6,400 ft, we had to leave at noon on Oct 1 because of snow. We had to remove the snow to put in several steps. Some of the crew only had 2-wheel drive, but the Park folks told us all to be off the mountain by 3pm. It is a beautiful place.

There is evidence that mega-fires douse the forests with soot that takes about 3 years to clear the system. In the ensuing years snow melts faster than it would otherwise. The “more rain – less snow” idea is entrenched in the WA Gov.

I think the ski slopes in WA State open this weekend. Not being a skier, I don’t pay attention. But I do intend crossing the Cascades this coming week in fine fall weather.

November 19, 2022 11:13 pm

The reputation of journalists is at an all time low, it appears. True or not it seems to me that it cannot go much lower. At least, going back a bit you could weed out the trash papers from the steady ones; but that is no longer the case anymore; for it is all about Clickbait income with the more outrageous misinformation/propaganda leading the pact in that area.

Barnes Moore
November 20, 2022 5:08 am

Similarly, the recent NY Times article on the melting of the Greenland Ice sheet – long on false emotional narrative with great pictures, short on actual data.

The journalism is the propagandist’s favorite style, narrative journalism. Narrative journalism is a refuge for propagandists because they can tell stories that are nominally true, but which contain almost no real facts and are so viewpoint biased that the reader is fooled into believing blatant falsehoods”.

Had not heard it explained this way before, but it is an excellent description and works well on weak-minded libs who love spinning a good yarn but lack any serious critical thinking skills.

Bruce Cobb
November 20, 2022 8:35 am
Steve Oregon
November 20, 2022 10:35 am

I’ve skied Timberline for 40 years and the historical record is the same as my experience.
No trend of declining snow pack at all.
Of course Mt Rainier has the same history of no change.
Annual Snowfall in inches, listed by year 1920-20221920-21: 671
1921-22: 723
1922-23: 565
1923-24: 551
1924-25: 674
1925-26: 373
1926-27: 588
1927-28: 405
1928-29: 554
1929-30: 390
1930-31: 444
1931-32: 751
1932-33: 624
1933-34: 316
1934-35: 543
1935-36: 605
1936-37: 693
1937-38: 511
1938-39: 573
1939-40: 313
1940-41: 529
1941-42: 446
1942-43: 529
1943-46: Road to Paradise closed during World War II. No weather records available.
1946-47: 529
1947-48: 661
1948-54: Records for Paradise weather not available.
1954-55: 788
1955-56: 1,000
1956-57: 619
1957-58: 602
1958-59: 646
1959-60: 564
1960-61: 685
1961-62: 545
1962-63: 452
1963-64: 429
1964-65: 538
1965-66: 583
1966-67: 692
1967-68: 502
1968-69: 829
1969-70: 649
1970-71: 884
1971-72: 1,122 (high)
1972-73: 577
1973-74: 1,070
1974-75: 820
1975-76: 858
1976-77: 414
1977-78: 598
1978-79: 583
1979-80: 645
1980-81: 460
1981-82: 779
1982-83: 681
1983-84: 727
1984-85: 711
1985-86: 589
1986-87: 574
1987-88: 626
1988-89: 755
1989-90: 723
1990-91: 725
1991-92: 499
1992-93: 550
1993-94: 593
1994-95: 732
1995-96: 658
1996-97: 938
1997-98: 674
1998-99: 1,032.5
1999-2000: 753
2000-01: 491
2001-02: 837
2002-03: 575
2003-04: 674
2004-05: 409
2005-06: 758
2006-07: 665
2007-08: 947*
2008-09: 734
2009-10: 609*
2010-11: 907
2011-12: 698
2012-13: 741*
2013-14: 590
2014-15: 266 (low)
2015-16: 698*
2016-17: 703
2017-18: 738
2018-19: 543
2019-20: 530
2020-21: 672
2021-22: 708

November 20, 2022 11:24 am

False narratives are bread and butter for the propagandists. Because they are presented as unquestionable fact the naive blindly swallow the lies without critical thought. Educating people about how they are being manipulated is critical to bringing sanity back.

Nobody likes being manipulated and lied to. Backlash is our only hope of countering the corrupt power grab happening through obvious mind control techniques and censorship.

November 20, 2022 12:42 pm

“In the foreground is “Mount Rainier, the range’s highest mountain, standing at 14,411 ft (4,392 m). Seen in the background (left to right) are Mount Adams, Mount Hood, and Mount St. Helens.” (image and quote – Wiki)”.
Wiki is wrong.
That’s Adams, Tahoma (a subpeak next to Rainier) & St. Helens. Mt Hood is out of the picture to the right from that angle.

Reply to  Icepilot
November 22, 2022 9:56 am

Zoom in…you’ll see Hood between Adams and Rainier. Been to the summits of all four.

November 20, 2022 2:10 pm

1981 my team boarded at C-141 at Westover reserve AFB in MA and flew to Ft, Lewis, WA. We rigged in flight and jumped in on a DZ there. The next morning we were trucked to the base of Mt. Rainier. We ascended the mountain to the summit where we intended to stay for several days doing various training. However on the 2nd day we were called on the radio guard net and told the get down ASAP.

Conditions had changed and the avalanche danger was severe. Two civilian climbers on the west face had died in an avalanche that morning. The simple fact is that no matter how good you are. No matter how experienced you are. The mountain is in control of your fate.

We think we live in a civilized world but there are plenty of unrecovered human remains scattered throughout those mountains.

Reply to  rah
November 20, 2022 3:28 pm

In the early eighties I gave a lift to a young cross country skier. He was walking up the road on Mt Rainier. He explained that he had been caught in a white out that trapped him on the mountain. He was obviously quite stressed but I didn’t realise how much until we arrived at the car park. Seeing his car he broke down and sobbed uncontrollably for several minutes.

He was a big strong looking young man and he claimed the mountain had nearly he got him.

I’m sure there are many that never make it back to warmth and safety.

Christopher Chantrill
November 20, 2022 7:49 pm

I’ve lived in Seattle for 50 years, and typically we get a serious snowfall about once every 10 years.

But recently, we’ve had serious snow every 3-5 years. It could be the start of a new ice age.

November 21, 2022 7:29 am

Great article Kip!
Scaring people by making up stuff about the weather/climate and blaming it on climate change is the objective.

As we know, anything and everything that is extreme weather, no matter that it’s happened before, no matter that its extreme cold or snow……….WAS CAUSED BY GLOBAL WARMING (even when there hasn’t been global warming in 6 years and even when its the opposite of global warming-COLD)

Massive snowfall fueled by climate change hits Buffalo and Great Lakes region

“As global warming continues, extreme weather events, such as hurricanes, droughts and lake-effect snowstorms(and record cold) will become more frequent, intense and deadly with no serious response from the capitalist ruling elite.”

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