Friday Funny – Soylent Green’s Failed 1973 Vision of Present Day ‘Global Warming Dystopia’

Friday Funny (by Josh) and Anthony Watts

On Earth Day 2022, today, it is a good idea to reflect on the upcoming 50th anniversary of the release of the eco-apocalypse movie Soylent Green. Here is my viewpoint on the movie:

It’s the year 2022. Cumulative effects of overpopulation, pollution, and a “climate catastrophe” are causing severe worldwide shortages of food, water, and housing. Scientists confirm oceanographic reports saying the oceans are dying. The food chain is disrupted. Food is becoming scarce, and heat waves have become year-round events thanks to climate change aka “global warming.”

Homeless people are everywhere; only half the workforce is employed while the other half is barely making it. Many people are illiterate and few factories are producing new goods.

The homes of the elite are barricaded, with private security. Only the elite can afford air conditioning. Strawberries are now a delicacy at $150 a jar. The situation with food has gotten so bad that people are being harvested off the streets and “recycled protein” is being distributed to the population.

Yes, it’s the ecological disaster movie Soylent Green released in 1973, describing life in 2022. Some of the movie was predicated on the 1968 book The Population Bomb. According to Wikipedia:

“…written by Stanford University Professor Paul R. Ehrlich and his wife, Anne Ehrlich. It predicted worldwide famine in the 1970s and 1980s due to overpopulation, as well as other major societal upheavals, and advocated immediate action to limit population growth. The book has been criticized since its publication for its alarmist tone, and in recent decades for its inaccurate predictions. The Ehrlichs stand by the book despite its flaws stating in 2009 that “perhaps the most serious flaw in The Bomb was that it was much too optimistic about the future” and believe that it achieved their goals because “it alerted people to the importance of environmental issues and brought human numbers into the debate on the human future.”


The premise of the movie generally plays off the ideas of Paul Ehrlich, the father of alarmism, expounded in his 1968 book “The Population Bomb.”  As in the movie, virtually all his predictions failed.  And his solution for over-population — to poison the water supply of high fertility countries with “temporary sterilants”, was about as creepy and immoral as Soylent Green’s mass murders for the purpose of providing the raw material of their green “soy” bars, to appease the starving masses.  About the only prediction the movie got right was that soybeans would be the basis of so much of our food today.

Eerily, today’s environmental alarmists seem to have copied, virtually verbatim, the failed predictions made by the producers, screenwriters and director of Soylent Green.  Let’s look at all the predications which so completely failed to materialize after 50 years. 

POPULATION:  This is the first prediction that bombed.  The movie forecasts 40 million people, but today NYC has 8,804,190 as of April 1, 2020.  True, the world’s population has doubled since 1973, growing by 3.9 billion, but it has done so while increasing the world’s standard of living materially.

GLOBAL WARMING: New York City was forecast to be cooking at a sizzling 90 degrees year-round.  But the current annual average daily MEAN temperature in Central Park is 55.8 F or 13.2 C.  Even the annual average daily HIGH temperature is a comfortable 62.6 F or 17.0 C.  And, these temperatures are imperceptibly different from the year 1850 when viewed on the scale of human experience with temperature, Seen in Figure 0.

Figure 0: NOAA GISS Global surface temperature plotted in the scale of human experience with temperature, as an aboslute value instead of an “anomaly” value with a magnified scale comonly used.

FOOD PRODUCTION: Soylent Green painted a picture of global starvation by the year 2020.  Fortunately, this was laughingly wrong.  Today, 50 years later, food production is at an all-time high, with virtually every category showing dramatically increased yields and production since 1973.  And, this has more than kept up with rising population, with a material decrease in global poverty since 1973.

LACK OF ENERGY RESOURCES:  The NYC of Soylent Green lacks a steady source of reliable electricity, whereas the last major blackout that occurred in NYC was in 2003, almost 20 years ago.  The world has built the modern civilization on reliable, affordable energy, which has only become more prevalent around the world since 1973 as its cost has decreased as a percentage of personal income.

NATURE DESTROYED:  In Soylent Green’s 2022, nature is so destroyed by anthropogenic activities that beautiful ocean shores are a thing of the past, deer no longer frolic in our forest and farmland is so precious that they are kept behind fence walls.  In reality, since 1973, the wealthier the world has become, the more it has been able to focus on the preservation of the environment.  I live in the suburbs of a metropolitan area of more than 6 million people, and we are overrun with deer, as is most every suburban area in the US.  More importantly, global forest acreage has grown 7% since 1982.  Our skies, our water and land are cleaner than 1973 and people have more free time and income to take the time to enjoy the nature around them.

The world does in fact face high inflation and shortages today. In the U.S., these are partly the result of two decades of policies substituting ever more intermittent sources of electric power for reliable fossil fuels and nuclear power onto the electric grid, and, more recently, the Biden administration’s limits on fossil fuel production.

Despite this, as pointed out above, the worst of Soylent Green’s vision of the future is still far from coming to pass. Most importantly, the climate itself is not a catastrophe when you look at real-world data.

As seen in figures 1A and 1B below, March 2022 global temperatures measured by satellite are 0.27°F (0.15°C) and U.S. temperature measured by the U.S. Climate Reference Network, is just 0.38°F (0.21°C) above average; nearly undetectable fractions of a degree, with little change measured in the U.S. in 17 years. (Sidenote: you can get this data as images for your own website by getting insertable code from our new climate widget on the right sidebar)

Figure 1A and 1B: Global temperature measured by satellite, U.S. Surface temperature measured by state-of-the-art U.S. Climate Reference Network.

And, when we look at other real-world data, such as crop production and lives lost to non-optimal temperatures, we find things are even less like the predictions of the movie for 2022. In reality today, there is less hunger and fewer lives lost to extreme heat or cold than ever throughout history.

Global Crop production is actually up significantly according to the U.N. Food and Agriculture Organization, as seen in Figure 2:

Figure 2, Source: https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/index-of-cereal-production-yield-and-land-use

The Earth has actually become greener according to NASA, thanks to increased carbon dioxide in the atmosphere. This is something proven in the fossil record by a peer-reviewed study. Also, as seen in Figure 3, air pollution is down 50% or more since 1990 according to the Environmental Protection Agency.

Figure 3: National concentrations of air pollutants have dropped significantly since 1990. Data source: EPA

The EPA added this note to their graph:

During this same period, the U.S. economy continued to grow, Americans drove more miles, and population and energy use increased.

But the most significant climate related data in 2022 is the fact the climate related deaths have plummeted since the movie came out, seen in Figure 4. Using data from The International Disaster Database, climate scientist Bjørn Lomborg found striking drops in the data. He notes:

If we look at the death risk for an individual, the risk reduction is even bigger – dropped almost 99% since the 1920s.

Figure 3: Plotted by Bjørn Lomborg. Data: The International Disaster Database, http://emdat.be/emdat_db/

In the Figure 3 graph, the 2021 datapoint shows climate related deaths are approaching zero on the scale, and Lomborg estimates that in 2021, they could be 99.7% lower than in 1920.

In 1973, Soylent Green forecast a “climate catastrophe” and a grim future for 2022 that clearly hasn’t happened. You can add Soylent Green to the list of failed predictions since the first Earth Day in 1970.

Here are 18 examples of the spectacularly wrong predictions made around 1970 when Earth Day started:

1. Harvard biologist George Wald estimated that “civilization will end within 15 or 30 years unless immediate action is taken against problems facing mankind.”

2. “We are in an environmental crisis that threatens the survival of this nation, and of the world as a suitable place of human habitation,” wrote Washington University biologist Barry Commoner in the Earth Day issue of the scholarly journal Environment.

3. The day after the first Earth Day, the New York Times editorial page warned, “Man must stop pollution and conserve his resources, not merely to enhance existence but to save the race from intolerable deterioration and possible extinction.”

4. “Population will inevitably and completely outstrip whatever small increases in food supplies we make,” Paul Ehrlich confidently declared in the April 1970 issue of Mademoiselle. “The death rate will increase until at least 100-200 million people per year will be starving to death during the next ten years.”

5. “Most of the people who are going to die in the greatest cataclysm in the history of man have already been born,” wrote Paul Ehrlich in a 1969 essay titled “Eco-Catastrophe! “By…[1975] some experts feel that food shortages will have escalated the present level of world hunger and starvation into famines of unbelievable proportions. Other experts, more optimistic, think the ultimate food-population collision will not occur until the decade of the 1980s.”

6. Ehrlich sketched out his most alarmist scenario for the 1970 Earth Day issue of The Progressive, assuring readers that between 1980 and 1989, some 4 billion people, including 65 million Americans, would perish in the “Great Die-Off.”

7. “It is already too late to avoid mass starvation,” declared Denis Hayes, the chief organizer for Earth Day, in the Spring 1970 issue of The Living Wilderness.

8. Peter Gunter, a North Texas State University professor, wrote in 1970, “Demographers agree almost unanimously on the following grim timetable: by 1975 widespread famines will begin in India; these will spread by 1990 to include all of India, Pakistan, China, and the Near East, Africa. By the year 2000, or conceivably sooner, South and Central America will exist under famine conditions….By the year 2000, thirty years from now, the entire world, with the exception of Western Europe, North America, and Australia, will be in famine.”

9. In January 1970, Life reported, “Scientists have solid experimental and theoretical evidence to support…the following predictions: In a decade, urban dwellers will have to wear gas masks to survive air pollution…by 1985 air pollution will have reduced the amount of sunlight reaching earth by one half….”

10. Ecologist Kenneth Watt told Time that, “At the present rate of nitrogen buildup, it’s only a matter of time before light will be filtered out of the atmosphere and none of our land will be usable.”

11. Barry Commoner predicted that decaying organic pollutants would use up all of the oxygen in America’s rivers, causing freshwater fish to suffocate.

12. Paul Ehrlich chimed in, predicting in 1970 that “air pollution…is certainly going to take hundreds of thousands of lives in the next few years alone.” Ehrlich sketched a scenario in which 200,000 Americans would die in 1973 during “smog disasters” in New York and Los Angeles.

13. Paul Ehrlich warned in the May 1970 issue of Audubon that DDT and other chlorinated hydrocarbons “may have substantially reduced the life expectancy of people born since 1945.” Ehrlich warned that Americans born since 1946…now had a life expectancy of only 49 years, and he predicted that if current patterns continued this expectancy would reach 42 years by 1980 when it might level out. (Note: According to the most recent CDC report, life expectancy in the US is 78.6 years).

14. Ecologist Kenneth Watt declared, “By the year 2000 if present trends continue, we will be using up crude oil at such a rate…that there won’t be any more crude oil. You’ll drive up to the pump and say, `Fill ‘er up, buddy,’ and he’ll say, `I am very sorry, there isn’t any.’” (Note: Global production of crude oil last year at 82.275M barrels per day (bpd) was just slightly below the record output in 2018 of 82.9M bpd, and about 50% higher than the global output of 55.7M bpd around the time of the first Earth Day).

15. Harrison Brown, a scientist at the National Academy of Sciences, published a chart in Scientific American that looked at metal reserves and estimated the humanity would totally run out of copper shortly after 2000. Lead, zinc, tin, gold, and silver would be gone before 1990.

16. Sen. Gaylord Nelson wrote in Look that, “Dr. S. Dillon Ripley, secretary of the Smithsonian Institute, believes that in 25 years, somewhere between 75 and 80 percent of all the species of living animals will be extinct.”

17. In 1975, Paul Ehrlich predicted that “since more than nine-tenths of the original tropical rainforests will be removed in most areas within the next 30 years or so, it is expected that half of the organisms in these areas will vanish with it.”

18. Kenneth Watt warned about a pending Ice Age in a speech. “The world has been chilling sharply for about twenty years,” he declared. “If present trends continue, the world will be about four degrees colder for the global mean temperature in 1990, but eleven degrees colder in the year 2000. This is about twice what it would take to put us into an ice age.”

https://www.aei.org/carpe-diem/18-spectacularly-wrong-predictions-made-around-the-time-of-the-first-earth-day-in-1970-expect-more-this-year/

And finally, here is a big one:

Source: https://arkivet.dn.se/sok/?searchTerm=maurice&fromPublicationDate=1972-01-25&toPublicationDate=1972-01-25&fbclid=IwAR3FS5BjgqmlLkra74qbfIWurTUEBLbjmxKk0xgWaCoM3Si0UF_hK1ScAmA

So much for the doomsayers predicting the future. They weren’t just wrong, they were wildly wrong. Josh has more over at NetZero Watch.

Runaway inflation and restrictive energy policies enforced by the Biden administration are the real catastrophes limiting America’s bright future, today.


Cover image: Cartoon by Josh, with additional soylent framing by Anthony. Like Joshs’ work? Buy him a pint.

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April 22, 2022 2:39 am

I loved the German dubbed version: « Soylent Green ist Menschenfleisch »

Reply to  Hans Erren
April 22, 2022 2:40 am

(Spoiler alert)

Eyal
April 22, 2022 2:48 am

They weren’t just wrong, they were 180 degrees wrong.

H.R.
Reply to  Eyal
April 22, 2022 4:48 am

You meant 1.5 degrees wrong, didn’t you, Eval? And warmer, not colder.
😉

H.R.
Reply to  H.R.
April 22, 2022 8:07 pm

Hmmm… some people apparently didn’t get that I said the same thing as Eyal.

Lesson learned. Should have added a dozen or so more words and maybe two winkies.

Better luck next time, H.R. 😁

Pat Frank
Reply to  H.R.
April 24, 2022 8:40 am

Votes mean nothing here H.R. WUWT is troll-ridden.

April 22, 2022 3:09 am

 Food is becoming scarce, and heat waves have become year-round events thanks to climate change aka “global warming.””

A film made in 1973, when some here tell us everyone was predicting an Ice Age.

Richard Page
Reply to  Nick Stokes
April 22, 2022 3:50 am

The book was written in 1966 just before people got interested in fringe theories like this one. It was actually inspired by conditions in post-war India, not USA or the west at all; although the author, Harry Harrison, transferred the dystopian vision to the USA and actually may have inspired Paul Ehrlich – “The Population Bomb” wasn’t published until 1968.

fretslider
Reply to  Richard Page
April 22, 2022 5:09 am

may have inspired Paul Ehrlich”

This has made many people very angry and has been widely regarded as a bad move.

Richard Page
Reply to  fretslider
April 22, 2022 8:07 am

Ehrlich was jumping on a bandwagon in the 60’s as part of the whole counter-culture jag, not much different to the people jumping on the climate change bandwagon today – equally wrong but determined to make a name and money for themselves.

Bill Rocks
Reply to  Richard Page
April 22, 2022 10:52 am

Richard Page,

I agree with your assessment as to timing, culture and bandwagons. Well said.

At about that time, I began to study science at a research university and was trained in critical thinking, empiricism, and the scientific method.

Richard Page
Reply to  Bill Rocks
April 22, 2022 3:19 pm

I’m sorry to have to say this but in 1966 when Harry Harrison was publishing his book, I was being born – I was only 2 when Ehrlich published his book. However I learned critical thinking and research skills from my parents and the scientific method from grammar school, other than that I’ve had to pick things up as I go – the education system has been getting worse and worse for decades.

Reply to  Richard Page
April 22, 2022 5:21 pm

The early to mid 1960s was an interesting time. The seeds that Erlich harvested were originally sown by Rachel Carlson in Silent Spring (1962). It was an anti-pesticide screed, a real nasty one, penned based on anger and frustration in her long cancer fight. She passed away a couple years later at 56 in 1964.

The thing that made Silent Spring doubly powerful (and destructive) was that it followed on the heels of her The Sea Around Us (1952). She updated it 3 years later. It was wildly popular, sort of a Jacques Cousteau book with photos for parents of boomers. I remember my folks had a copy which I poured thru. Fascinating, beautiful stuff. Silent Spring used that opening to push the anti-pesticide message. Erlich was a latecomer to the festivities. Carlson started it. She sowed the wind. We reap the whirlwind 60 years later. Cheers –

Crisp
Reply to  agimarc
April 23, 2022 4:24 am

Silent Spring was supposedly based on two research papers that Carson claimed proved that DDT was making birds’ eggshells too thin and the chicks would never hatch. Somebody should’ve checked. Years later someone did. One of the papers never existed and the results of the only study extant could not be replicated. Basically, the whole environmental movement was based on a lie. Nothing has changed.

Derg
Reply to  Nick Stokes
April 22, 2022 4:03 am

Do you still need your extra blanket?

AndyHce
Reply to  Derg
April 23, 2022 10:54 pm

I need several every winter. What has that to do with anything?

Ben Vorlich
Reply to  Nick Stokes
April 22, 2022 4:34 am

In 1973 it was still OK (although only just) for there to be more than one theory about what future climates might be like. Thanks to the likes of Mann and Stokes now there’s only one truth

RevJay4
Reply to  Ben Vorlich
April 22, 2022 5:12 am

“truth”. Fixed it.

2hotel9
Reply to  Nick Stokes
April 22, 2022 4:51 am

Your willful stupidity and ignorance has already been duly noted, you don’t have to keep proving what a f**king idiot you are. We get it.

2hotel9
Reply to  Nick Stokes
April 22, 2022 4:53 am

Oh, little nicky? I remember 1973 and yes, idiots like you were claiming the world was going to freeze. You morons are nothing but wrong at every turn.

LdB
Reply to  2hotel9
April 22, 2022 7:29 am

I think he missed he is actually proving the point .. he missed he had to show us someone (anyone) able to predict climate change with accuracy. That is after all what climate scientists claim.

2hotel9
Reply to  LdB
April 22, 2022 8:22 am

The list of things nicky misses is quite extensive. Though, is it really missing things when it is done intentionally? Friday’s existential question of the day.

Richard Page
Reply to  2hotel9
April 22, 2022 10:46 am

Ah, it’s a Zen thing: if Nick Stokes falls in a wood, would anyone care?

2hotel9
Reply to  Richard Page
April 22, 2022 1:18 pm

😈

John Pickens
Reply to  Nick Stokes
April 22, 2022 5:06 am

Nick logic: “Soylent Green depicted global warming so Newsweek magazine and Leonard Nimoy don’t exist.”

Last edited 1 month ago by John Pickens
Anthony Watts(@wattsupwiththat)
Admin
Reply to  Nick Stokes
April 22, 2022 5:23 am

Nick are you regular obtuse, or Shawshank Redemption level obtuse?

Last edited 1 month ago by Anthony Watts
LdB
Reply to  Nick Stokes
April 22, 2022 7:26 am

So about basically the same as climate predictions now with lots of stupid predictions based on nothing more that a belief and a wing and a prayer.

Andy Pattullo
Reply to  Nick Stokes
April 22, 2022 12:34 pm

Ignorance certainly is bliss but it isn’t something to be proud of.

Pat Frank
Reply to  Nick Stokes
April 24, 2022 9:22 am

Rasool, S. I., & Schneider, S. H. (1971). Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide and Aerosols: Effects of Large Increases on Global Climate. Science, 173(3992), 138-141. doi: http://www.sciencemag.org/content/173/3992/138.abstract

An increase by only a factor of 4 in global aerosol background concentration may be sufficient to reduce the surface temperature by as much as 3.5 ° K. If sustained over a period of several years, such a temperature decrease over the whole globe is believed to be sufficient to trigger an ice age.

Kukla, G. J., Angell, J. K., Korshover, J., Dronia, H., Hoshiai, M., Namias, J., Rodewald, M., Yamamoto, R., & Iwashima, T. (1977). New data on climatic trends. Nature, 270(5638), 573-580. doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/270573a0

Indicators of large-scale climate developments show that the oscillatory cooling observed in the past 30 yr in the Northern Hemisphere has not yet reversed.

Miles, M. K. (1978). Predicting temperature trend in the Northern Hemisphere to the year 2000. Nature, 276(5686), 356-359. doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/276356a0

The cooling of the Northern Hemisphere since 1940 has been variously interpreted as the overture to the next Ice Age, the effect of industrial pollution in the atmosphere or of a decline in the solar output.

Bergman, K. H., Hecht, A. D., & Schneider, S. H. (1981). Climate models. Physics Today, 34(10), 44-51. doi: https://physicstoday.scitation.org/doi/abs/10.1063/1.2914332

The orbital-parameter variations indicate, and the deduced temperature trends of the last 10 000 years suggest, that the earth’s climate has already experienced the warmest temperatures of the present interglacial period and for the last 6000 years has been gradually cooling toward a new ice age. Barring man-induced climatic change, this long term cooling trend is expected to continue for several thousand years and to eventually result in a reestablishment of extensive continental glaciers in the Northern Hemisphere.

Bergman, Hecht and Schneider’s summary diagnosis of climate models remains 100% true today 41 years later: “However, a high degree of confidence in the predictions of these models is premature. The model results differ widely in magnitude, mainly because of differing assumptions about the physical processes and interactions being modeled. Also, the present models contain known oversimplifications and inaccuracies, due partly to incomplete understanding of some of the physical processes and partly to inability to include all relevant physical details realistically in a model of manageable size. Finally, the verifiable ability of models to reproduce current climatic conditions is no guarantee that they will successfully predict changed conditions.” (my bold)

Every single bolded statement is as true in 2022 as it was in 1981. So it has gone in climatology since the field fixated on parametrized models. Nearly no improvement in climate physical theory for 40 years.

The field is a disgrace. Thank-you, APS.

EyesWideOpen
April 22, 2022 3:41 am

Both amusing and disgusting, a comment on past as well as present.

Richard Page
April 22, 2022 3:43 am

The film is based on the Harry Harrison book “Make room, make room!” It was written in 1966, so actually predates the Ehrlich “Population Bomb” book by 2 years – you could say that Paul Ehrlich based his ideas on Harry Harrison’s rather than the other way round! In point of fact, the USA still hasn’t reached the population figure from the original book – Harrison’s dystopian future suggested 344 million by 1999.

Matt Kiro
Reply to  Richard Page
April 22, 2022 7:10 am

depends on if you count the ~25 Millions illegals or not

April 22, 2022 4:01 am

Google’s earth day message is all about climate change, and reflects the idiotic claims and predictions of the Biden administration.
It’s total propaganda produced and directed by Google Incorporated !

EyesWideOpen
Reply to  JON P PETERSON
April 22, 2022 4:09 am

And completely predictable…stop using google and spread the word.

garboard
April 22, 2022 4:26 am

that newspaper pic is maurice strong , oil millionaire , self proclaimed socialist , UN potentate and the godfather of global warming who was caught taking a million dollar bribe in a UN food for oil program and “ retired “ to china . he is still revered by the likes of wikipedia as a visionary savior .

Steve Case
Reply to  garboard
April 22, 2022 5:08 am

Don’t forget his famous quote from the novel he wanted to write:

“Isn’t the only hope for the planet that the industrialized civilizations collapse? Isn’t it our responsibility to bring that about?”

LINK

2hotel9
April 22, 2022 4:54 am

Doomcrying puts bums in seats, luv, and that is all it is about.

fretslider
April 22, 2022 5:06 am

Scarcity is being engineered in a number of ways. Totally screwed green energy and shortages of gas, disrupted supply chains – especially in lockdown China – and a war in the breadbasket of Europe.

Not forgetting the increase in prices.

“Ireland’s Prime Minister has claimed that Russia is deliberately manufacturing a massive migrant crisis as well as food shortages to turn the screws on Europe. The claim comes as Ireland struggles to handle the massive influx of migrants into the country fleeing the ongoing war in Ukraine, with the nation’s open-borders approach encountering difficulties primarily to do with a lack of housing.”

https://www.breitbart.com/europe/2022/04/22/global-food-crisis-russia-deliberately-manufacturing-supply-shortages-and-a-massive-migrant-wave-pm/

Wait ’til Net Zero kicks in…

Last edited 1 month ago by fretslider
oeman 50
Reply to  fretslider
April 22, 2022 7:57 am

Yes Fretty, From the article, “The world has built the modern civilization on reliable, affordable energy, The greens today are trying to fix that, in the wrong direction.

Earthling2
Reply to  fretslider
April 22, 2022 9:26 am

Several major USA food processing plants have caught fire the last few months, and a few airplanes even cashed into some of them the last week. Georgia’s General Mills had an airplane crash into it yesterday, and another airplane crashed into a potato processing plant in Idaho last week. Several fires have completely gutted some significant food processing facilities the last few months all over America. A lot of bad luck going on at once. I suppose when it rains, it pours. Must be Biden luck charm from the Easter bunny.

https://www.visiontimes.com/2022/04/21/fires-destroy-food-processing-centers.html

4E Douglas
Reply to  Earthling2
April 22, 2022 10:21 am

Not sure about the others, but I knew of the young woman who crashed at Burley. One issue is airports are surrounded by industrial parks. She was trying to visually approach the airport in snow and hit a tower at the plant.It was, possibly unlit. She was minimally Qualified. The aircraft was a frieghter a Cessna 208 Caravan . Good aircraft . Juan Brown at Blancolirio.com has a good professional analysis. I suspect the Georgia case will be similar.

Paul Hurley (aka PaulH)
April 22, 2022 5:14 am

Our good friend Josh has the head-cartoon over at NetZero Watch:

Earth Day At 52: None of the eco-doomsday predictions have come true

Rud Istvan
Reply to  Paul Hurley (aka PaulH)
April 22, 2022 7:13 am

That about sums it all up.

David Blenkinsop
Reply to  Paul Hurley (aka PaulH)
April 22, 2022 9:19 am

So, the polar bears are Ok? Do I have to cancel my $500 a plate Save the Polar Bears dinner now?
 

Tom Abbott
Reply to  David Blenkinsop
April 22, 2022 9:42 am

It depends on whether you are the one paying or the one being paid.

Paul Hurley (aka PaulH)
Reply to  David Blenkinsop
April 22, 2022 1:56 pm

Hmmm…. polar bear steaks sound tempting. 😉

Bruce Cobb
April 22, 2022 5:59 am

It’s amazing how far the art of crying wolf climate change has come in 50+ years. It has become an industry, with the backing of the barfstream propaganda media, schools, government, and all manner of NGOs and organizations. The Climate Club ™ is international in scope with huge financial backing, and anyone can become a member. All it takes is that you Believe, or at least pretend to, in order to join. There is plenty to gain from joining, particularly on the professional and political level, but individuals get that instant rush from feel-goodism and the opportunity to virtue signal. But if you refuse to join, woe betide you. You get to be called names, like “Climate Denier”, and worse.
So, on this Earth Day, which actually used to be about cleaning up the air and water, picking up trash, etc., let us celebrate the Climate Club, with all of its bountiful offerings to humanity.
If you can think of any, let me know.

Sweet Old Bob
Reply to  Bruce Cobb
April 22, 2022 7:39 am

“Earth Day, which actually used to be about cleaning up the air and water, picking up trash, etc…”

No . Lenins’ birthday being celebrated .

Bruce Cobb
Reply to  Sweet Old Bob
April 22, 2022 7:51 am

No, not really, though possibly the date selected may have been because of that. The point is that there used to be legitimate concerns about the environment, even if some were overwrought. Not so much today though.

AndyHce
Reply to  Bruce Cobb
April 23, 2022 11:05 pm

The real problems only get single columns on the back pages.

Mr.
Reply to  Bruce Cobb
April 22, 2022 9:49 am

I often lament that Jim Jones didn’t start the global warming movement.

Matt Kiro
April 22, 2022 7:14 am

“Homeless people are everywhere; only half the workforce is employed while the other half is barely making it. Many people are illiterate and few factories are producing new goods.”

This sure sounds like what Biden is trying to do to the US. Just go to any of the biggest cities and start walking around. Start with SF and LA.

Nicholas McGinley
April 22, 2022 7:19 am

Let’s not forget, the number one food related public health issue is that people are far too fat.
And this is true even in many poor countries.
Even with more people and more fat people, it is estimated that something like 1/3 or more of food which is produced is never actually consumed. Instead, it is simply wasted.
And all of this while we continue to use ever increasing amounts of our food growing capacity for making such things motor fuels and packaging materials.

On top of all of this, the amount of food grown per acre, on a widescale average basis, is a fraction of what is produced by certain individual growers who takes steps to optimize yields.
Such growers make it clear that it is possible to at least triple production per acre.

Last edited 1 month ago by Nicholas McGinley
Olen
April 22, 2022 7:23 am

Predictions are often wrong when made to support an objective.

Tim
April 22, 2022 7:32 am

Soylent green is science “fiction”, after all, a what-if scenario. I found the movie entertaining, with the nature scenes in the suicide chamber the most effective environmentalist propaganda ever filmed.

TheFinalNail
April 22, 2022 8:25 am

U.S. temperature measured by the U.S. Climate Reference Network, is just 0.38°F (0.21°C) above average; nearly undetectable fractions of a degree, with little change measured in the U.S. in 17 years.

It’s not obvious from the chart, but since Jan 2005 there is a warming trend of +0.64F per decade in that USCRN monthly data. Total warming of +1.10F in just over 17 years. Not catastophic perhaps, but not exactly ‘nearly undetectable’ either.

The USCRN data starts in Jan 2005, but the NOAA site linked to states:

The official CONUS temperature record is now based upon nClimDiv.

Using the official data, we can push the numbers back to when the movie we’re dissing here came out, in 1973. The nClimDiv data shows a warming trend of +0.48F per decade across CONUS since 1973; a total warming of +2.4F. Notice that the ‘nearly undetctable’ warming trend since 2005 is actually faster than the long term one.

Alan
April 22, 2022 9:08 am

After seeing the movie as a kid, I was looking forward to 2022 and eating Soylent Green. Now I have to eat steak.

Kit P
April 22, 2022 9:17 am

Even scarier was Carson’s Silent Spring and also the hole in the ozone.e

On one hand we have widespread use of chemicals because they worked so well to make living standards better. Then there are the the fear mongers who have forgot the bad old days.

Being infested with lice is a problem. Finding ppt of a man made chemical in your body fat is not.

So I am in favor of regulating use of chemicals rather than banning them because some idiot used the chemical to cook food.

jeff corbin
April 22, 2022 9:21 am

They got the truth wrong but the marketing right. So how has the endless Earth Day ethos effected the way we live in the past 50 years. One example is the trajectory of food science. Profit propels product development but marketing and belief is what creates demand for new pointless products. So how has the Earth Day Ethos effected our food. Our food went crappy with massively endless choices due to the massive rise in the industrialization of food products created by the fractionalizing basic commodities, (now the commodities market is globalized and colluded). Generations of food products have been created to save the plant and line pockets. And we settled for these crappy products out of our own self righteous need to justify our existence on a “dying planet”. The only thing dying is Western culture. Examples of crap food… plant burgers, fake meat, fake sushi, psuedo-wine, boozey Seltzers, massive expansion of flavor esters, Texturized vegetable proteins in everything, cheap HFCS, beer with high alcohol due to HFCS not malt, mountains of fake cheese. Even Tofu and Tempeh being excellent products have become rare and expensive and in themselves fractionalized.. Meanwhile there is so massive amounts of open marginal lands in USA that if people would actually get back to work, they could raise enough lamb/mutton, poultry, goat, beef in those lands that would undermine the entire pork, poultry and beef soylent green feeding factory industry. Americans have been duped.

AndyHce
Reply to  jeff corbin
April 23, 2022 11:10 pm

if people would actually get back to work

Land use regulations won’t let that happen

John the Econ
April 22, 2022 10:12 am

The world of Soylent Green won’t be because of climate change. Soylent Green is really Atlas Shrugged, Part 4 or 5.

Fortunately, reality hasn’t played out that way, yet. In fact, our air (at least in the western world) is the cleanest it’s been since the industrial revolution. The biggest threat to the health of our citizens is that they are too-well fed instead of starving at all. Abject global poverty is at the lowest it has ever been for the non-elite masses since the beginning of history. Climate change as a crisis only exists in pessimistic computer models. But judging from my news feed this week, none of this has stopped Progressive media from picking up on the Soylent Green meme to promote their “climate change” agenda.

They’re arguing that this is the world that “climate change” will beget. But that’s not entirely true. In the movie “climate change” might have caused a food crisis, but that’s not necessarily what caused the economic breakdown that had clearly been manifesting for over a generation. Was the food crisis a result of the economic crisis or the other way around?

My fear is that the world of Soylent Green is possible. Except it won’t be due to climate change at all, but of everything that Progressivism is going to do using climate change as the excuse that systematically destroys almost everything that has been built over the last century that has made our historically unprecedented comfortable and affluent lives possible. The orange haze that makes the air unbreathable isn’t the cause of the malaise, but the result of it.

Doonman
April 22, 2022 10:44 am

The important thing to note is that everyone who starred in the movie except Leigh Taylor-Young is dead. The second most important thing to note is that no one anywhere ate any of these dead actors.

TEWS_Pilot
April 22, 2022 10:57 am

comment image

John Hultquist
April 22, 2022 11:05 am

 Deer tastes better than Soylent Green.
That’s an assumption — I’ve never tasted Soylent Green.

HOJO
April 22, 2022 11:48 am

I was 14 and at the first earth day . We smoked and drank and played frisby and chased the girls, I thought that was a good start to take care of mother earth. It’s always about money and power, and always will be. We have let them take over and now is the time to take back what we once had

Andy Pattullo
April 22, 2022 12:32 pm

OK so all the eco-catastrophists were consistently and uniformly wrong. You might have though at some point they would stop and realize they were on the wrong track. You might have thought they would actually care about giving accurate and beneficial advice to others rather than scaring them continuously with false cries of “wolf”. You might have thought they would have some human decency and apologize for the harm they caused. Instead they now try to prove themselves right by promoting egregious government policies that would eventually make many of their predictions come true – not because of pollution, climate change or population growth, but rather because it he destruction of the systems that sustain us and the environment in a healthy state through the very policies these idiots promote.

Graham
Reply to  Andy Pattullo
April 22, 2022 3:55 pm

Well said Andy.
Politicians around the western world are doing their best to make their own countries poorer .
The threat of irreversible runaway climate is being used by those in power to destroy their countries economies .
The news media in most countries do little to counter stupidity .All we get from them is doom and gloom with every flood , storm or drought blamed on fossil fuels and is the worst eva.
There have been floods and storms and droughts back in all countries history but they don’t want to know .
I am sure that “climate change ” is being used by many in power to gain control and destroy democracy .
They are convinced that they know best and they will impose their agenda come hell or high water.

Gunga Din
Reply to  Graham
April 22, 2022 4:41 pm

When “We The People” lose power, it doesn’t evaporate.
Government is collecting it.

Ed Zuiderwijk
April 22, 2022 12:40 pm

I am convinced that Ehrlich’s musing were not a warning, but either wishful thinking or a manifesto instead.

Richard Page
Reply to  Ed Zuiderwijk
April 22, 2022 3:34 pm

54 years on from his writing “The Population Bomb” we’re still talking about him, his book sold over 2 million copies (without counting reprints) and it’s spawned multiple copycats. It’s a piece of crap but it made his name and a pile of money from the book and appearances – he got what he set out to achieve.

lee riffee
April 22, 2022 1:12 pm

I’ve seen Soylent Green a couple of times, once when I was a teen and then a few years ago. I got the part about the pollution and the dying earth and oceans, but I totally missed the global warming reference. Watching Charleton Heston running around sweating like a pig I simply assumed it was summer time, heat wave or not.
As for all the predictions, all I have to say is that being that I am less than a month older than the first Earth Day, if those predictions had been true, I wouldn’t be here! Also, as a side note, growing up in the 70’s and 80’s here in the US I can recall very little was made of Earth Day. If anything, it was a day to plant trees and pick up trash in parks and along roadsides.

Finally, IMO the nightmarish scenario presented in the film is far more likely to be a result of how we treat our fellow humans rather than any weather or climate issues. If you look back in history (knowledge of which is sorely lacking in so many people today) you will see that the vast majority of mass deaths due to famine have been caused by wars and genocide.
And also, hunger, death and misery will be the result of “doing something” about climate change, as if anyone actually could. You can’t change the climate but you can enslave, control and destroy a whole lot of your fellow humans.

Nick Graves
Reply to  lee riffee
April 23, 2022 1:42 am

Exactly.

But it would seem that certain powers that ought not be are trying to arrange us to move closer to a Soylent Green version of 2022 as we type.

Ireneusz Palmowski
April 22, 2022 2:04 pm

This winter season looks to be an exceptionally snowy one in North America, and that’s not the end of the snowfall.comment image

Gunga Din
April 22, 2022 4:30 pm

Obviously the only reason all those predictions failed is thanks to Penn and Teller getting all those signatures on petition one past Earth Day.
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2007/05/25/dihydrogen-monoxide/

Mike Maguire
April 22, 2022 4:55 pm

Thanks for the great Earth day reality check!

Death by GREENING!      
        
    https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/69258/

Screenshot 2022-04-22 at 18-53-38 Fake beer crisis_Death by GREENING! - MarketForum.png
Mike Maguire
Reply to  Mike Maguire
April 22, 2022 5:01 pm

This one has always been my favorite:

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/78243/#78250

U.N. Predicts Disaster if Global Warming Not CheckedPETER JAMES SPIELMANN June 29, 1989

https://www.apnews.com/bd45c372caf118ec99964ea547880cd0

  UNITED NATIONS (AP) _ A senior U.N. environmental official says entire nations could be wiped off the face of the Earth by rising sea levels if the global warming trend is not reversed by the year 2000. 
  Coastal flooding and crop failures would create an exodus of ″eco- refugees,′ ′ threatening political chaos, said Noel Brown, director of the New York office of the U.N. Environment Program, or UNEP. 
  He said governments have a 10-year window of opportunity to solve the greenhouse effect before it goes beyond human control. 
  As the warming melts polar icecaps, ocean levels will rise by up to three feet, enough to cover the Maldives and other flat island nations, Brown told The Associated Press in an interview on Wednesday. 
  Coastal regions will be inundated; one-sixth of Bangladesh could be flooded, displacing a fourth of its 90 million people. A fifth of Egypt’s arable land in the Nile Delta would be flooded, cutting off its food supply, according to a joint UNEP and U.S. Environmental Protection Agency study. 
  ″Ecological refugees will become a major concern, and what’s worse is you may find that people can move to drier ground, but the soils and the natural resources may not support life. Africa doesn’t have to worry about land, but would you want to live in the Sahara?″ he said.”

ihfan
Reply to  Mike Maguire
April 22, 2022 5:26 pm

… entire nations could be wiped off the face of the Earth …

… or not.

Mike Maguire
April 22, 2022 5:23 pm

We’re not having a climate CRISIS we’re having a climate OPTIMUM!

It was this warm or warmer during the Medieval climate Optimum/Warm Period, Roman climate OPTIMUM, Minoan climate OPTIMUM and Holocene climate OPTIMUM that all lasted for centuries in the last 9,000 years and got the name(s) OPTIMUM before climate science was hijacked and even rewritten (hockey stick) so that the exact same weather/climate today can be called a CRISIS.

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/83371/#83385

We are not have a climate crisis, we are having some major environmental crisis’s:
The real environmental crisis’s/insects dying-dead zones-aquifers drying up-plastics in the ocean-landfills/trash-over consumption of natural resources-REAL pollution in the air/soil/water
https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/27498/

Craig from Oz
April 22, 2022 5:29 pm

I am glad you managed to Make Room Make Room for this.

Mike
April 22, 2022 9:14 pm

I want to know what they added to the ground human to make it taste good. Lot’s of pepper or what?

Richard Page
Reply to  Mike
April 23, 2022 4:32 am

Ketchup. Lots of Ketchup!

Ireneusz Palmowski
April 23, 2022 12:39 am

Extremely high 30-day SOI index.comment image

ozspeaksup
April 23, 2022 2:34 am

these men ruined my adolescence and life till 40 or more
May they burn in hell forever and I add Strong to the list above
they started their agitprop in universities and schools in aus in the 60s and got into the ed system very thoroughly, their mates the family planning mobs got into highschools with the dont have kids rants, an awful lot of my generation didnt have kids because of them

Matthew Sykes
April 23, 2022 7:01 am

our water and land are cleaner than 1973″ in the developed world, yes, but in alot of the middle east it is a disaster.

Pat Frank
April 24, 2022 8:39 am

All proving yet once again that there’s no better way to be misled than to attend the speculative extrapolations of self-anointed experts.

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