Intl Energy Agency report urges ENERGY LOCKDOWNS: ‘Banning use of private cars on Sundays…Reducing highway speed limits…more working from home…cutting business air travel’ & SUV ‘tax’

Reposted from Climate Depot

IEA report ‘A 10-Point Plan to Cut Oil Use’ excerpts: “Reducing highway speed limits by about 6 miles per hour; more working from home; street changes to encourage walking and cycling; car-free Sundays in cities and restrictions on other days; cutting transit fares; policies that encourage more carpooling; cutting business air travel; and more.” … “Governments have all the necessary tools at their disposal to put oil demand into decline in the coming years, which would support efforts to both strengthen energy security and achieve vital climate goals.” …

Restricting private cars’ use of roads in large cities to those with even number-plates some weekdays and to those with odd-numbered plates on other weekdays

Car-free Sundays in cities: Banning the use of private cars on Sundays

‘Tax’ SUVs: “Sales of SUVs also keep increasing…policies to address the rise in sales of such vehicles – such as specific registration and road taxes – are key.” …Ban installation of new oil boilers

#

Climate Depot’s Morano: “COVID 2.0 has arrived?! The 2022 International Energy Agency’s (IEA) report sounds an awful lot like an energy version of COVID lockdowns. Instead of opening America back up for domestic energy production, we are told to suffer and do with less and are prescribed the same failed lockdown-style policies we endured for COVID. It is odd how COVID ‘solutions’ also allegedly helped the climate and now the same solutions are being touted to deal with Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.  As a bonus, IEA tells us these measures will also help ‘achieve vital climate goals.’ Let’s simplify this: The proposed ‘solutions’ to climate change, COVID, and now the Russian war are all exactly the same — hammer the poor and middle class with more restrictions on travel, less freedom, and even more surrendering of power to unelected government regulators. 

This new 2022 report from IEA comes follows their 2021 report urging a form of climate lockdowns to battle global warming. The 2021 IEA report called for ‘behavioral changes’ to fight climate and ‘a shift away from private car use’ and ‘upper speed limits’ and thermostat controls; limits on hot water & more!.

From COVID Emergency to War & Back to ‘Climate Emergency’: House Dems want Biden to declare national ‘climate emergency’

By: Marc Morano – Climate Depot

March 18, 2022

Via Axios: https://www.axios.com/russia-crisis-oil-use-703bcc17-1b7c-4ede-9510-e5e8e26ea623.html

Russia crisis spurs push to cut oil use

By Ben Geman

The International Energy Agency just unveiled ideas for quickly cutting oil demand at a time when Vladimir Putin’s war on Ukraine could bring substantial loss of Russian barrels from global markets.

Why it matters: The 10-point plan comes amid IEA warnings that the war could become the biggest supply crisis in decades as countries look to isolate Russia.

  • It’s part of a wider reckoning in Europe — Russia’s largest market — and elsewhere over how to curb reliance on Russia while keeping markets supplied and avoiding even greater economic shocks.

Zoom in: The plan says that “immediate actions” in advanced economies could reduce global oil demand by about 2.7 million barrels per day within four months.

They include…

  • Reducing highway speed limits by about 6 miles per hour; more working from home; street changes to encourage walking and cycling; car-free Sundays in cities and restrictions on other days; cutting transit fares; policies that encourage more carpooling; cutting business air travel; and more.

The big picture: Russia is the world’s largest combined exporter of crude and oil products combined and the second-largest crude exporter.

  • The plan arrives two days after IEA projected that Russian exports could fall by around 2.5 million barrels per day next month and maybe more “should restrictions or public condemnation escalate.”

Our thought bubble: This all seems … maybe hard to imagine? The idea of coordinated adoption of mass behavioral changes on a compressed time frame sounds like an uphill climb.

The intrigue: The report also notes the near-term proposals should be part of wider, longer-term efforts to curb oil demand to help fight climate change and cut air pollution.

  • It talks up areas like stronger policies for deployment of EVs, charging infrastructure, home heat pumps and more.
  • “Governments have all the necessary tools at their disposal to put oil demand into decline in the coming years, which would support efforts to both strengthen energy security and achieve vital climate goals,” it states.

#

IEA report:

Press Relase: https://www.iea.org/news/emergency-measures-can-quickly-cut-global-oil-demand-by-2-7-million-barrels-a-day-reducing-the-risk-of-a-damaging-supply-crunch

In the face of the emerging global energy crisis triggered by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the IEA’s 10-Point Plan to Cut Oil Use proposes 10 actions that can be taken to reduce oil demand with immediate impact – and provides recommendations for how those actions can help pave the way to putting oil demand onto a more sustainable path in the longer term. …

If fully carried out in advanced economies, the measures recommended by the IEA’s new 10-Point Plan to Cut Oil Use would lower oil demand by 2.7 million barrels a day within four months – equivalent to the oil demand of all the cars in China. This would significantly reduce potential strains at a time when a large amount of Russian supplies may no longer reach the market and the peak demand season of July and August is approaching. The measures would have an even greater effect if adopted in part or in full in emerging economies as well. …

The new report also includes recommendations for decisions to be taken now by governments and citizens to transition from the short-term emergency actions included in the 10-Point Plan to sustained measures that would put countries’ oil demand into a structural decline consistent with a pathway towards net zero emissions by 2050. …

The short-term actions it proposes include reducing the amount of oil consumed by cars through lower speed limits, working from home, occasional limits on car access to city centres, cheaper public transport, more carpooling and other initiatives – and greater use of high-speed rail and virtual meetings instead of air travel.

Most of the proposed actions in the 10-Point Plan would require changes in the behaviour of consumers, supported by government measures.

The new report also includes recommendations for decisions to be taken now by governments and citizens to transition from the short-term emergency actions included in the 10-Point Plan to sustained measures that would put countries’ oil demand into a structural decline consistent with a pathway towards net zero emissions by 2050.

The short-term actions it proposes include reducing the amount of oil consumed by cars through lower speed limits, working from home, occasional limits on car access to city centres, cheaper public transport, more carpooling and other initiatives – and greater use of high-speed rail and virtual meetings instead of air travel.

Several of the measures can be implemented directly by other layers of government – such as state, regional or local – or just voluntarily followed by citizens and corporates, enabling them to save money while showing solidarity with the people of Ukraine. …The IEA report notes that reducing oil use must not remain a temporary measure. Sustained reductions are important not only to improve countries’ energy security but also to tackle climate change and reduce air pollution. Governments have all the necessary tools at their disposal to put oil demand into decline in the coming years, and the report sets out the key ones to achieve this goal, including hastening the adoption of electric vehicles, raising fuel economy standards, boosting alternative fuel supplies, accelerating heat pump deployment, and producing and consuming plastic more sustainably.

#Full Report: https://www.iea.org/reports/a-10-point-plan-to-cut-oil-use

Alternate private car access to roads in large citiesUsing high-speed and night trains instead of planes where possibleAvoid business air travel where alternative options existReinforce the adoption of electric and more efficient vehiclesBanning the use of private cars on Sundays…Restricting private cars’ use of roads in large cities to those with even number-plates some weekdays and to those with odd-numbered plates on other weekdays is a measure with a long track record of successful implementation. During the first oil shock, the Italian government substituted car-free Sundays with an odd/even number plate policy. Since the 1980s, such schemes have been deployed in many cities to tackle congestion and air pollution peaks, including Athens, Madrid, Paris, Milan and Mexico City. …But governments must also consider accelerating their clean energy transitions and building on their net zero emissions strategies. To reach net zero emissions by 2050, oil demand in advanced economies in 2030 must be more than 15 million barrels a day lower than in 2021.…Yet sales of SUVs also keep increasing, with the vehicles accounting for nearly 10% of oil use in advanced economies. Policies to address the rise in sales of such vehicles – such as specific registration and road taxes – are key to achieve steady overall fuel economy progress and oil savings …Accelerate the replacement of oil boilers with heat pumps and ban installation of new ones:Alternate private car access to roads in large cities

Using high-speed and night trains instead of planes where possible

Avoid business air travel where alternative options exist

Reinforce the adoption of electric and more efficient vehicles

#

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John Pickens
March 19, 2022 6:04 pm

The IEA should stop what it doing and immediately fund a standalone PV and wind powered microeconomy test. Set up a “sandbox” zone where all power input is from “renewable” wind and solar, including the power needed to produce more wind, solar, battery backup, and power transmission infrastructure.

If they succeed, then the world is their oyster.
If they fail, then STFU!

Mr.
Reply to  John Pickens
March 19, 2022 7:02 pm

Expose their pontificating to real world conditions –
never gonna happen!

Joel O’Bryan(@joelobryan)
Reply to  John Pickens
March 19, 2022 8:22 pm

There is no such thing as a stand-alone PV and wind microeconomy. Both of those electricity producing modalities have long up-stream tails filled with massive amounts of fossil-fuel emissions.
so unless wind turbine farms and solar PV magically begin sprouting out of the ground like some Jack-and-the-BeanStalk fairy tale on their own without any external input, we still live in a fossil fuel powered world.

John Pickens
Reply to  Joel O’Bryan
March 20, 2022 6:17 am

Yet those pushing this “renewables” nonsense want to force this conversion without any kind of engineering assessment that it would actually work.

Philip
Reply to  Joel O’Bryan
March 20, 2022 7:19 pm

I believe that was exactly his point, It won’t happen so demonstrate it to the world then tell them to STFU, they will fail almost immediately.

Last edited 2 months ago by Philip
chris pasqualini
Reply to  John Pickens
March 20, 2022 12:49 pm

Excellent idea! I suggest we try it in Washington, DC first.

Mike Smith
March 19, 2022 6:07 pm

Those who consider mask mandates a problem are gonna go bonkers.

OldGreyGuy
Reply to  Mike Smith
March 19, 2022 6:45 pm

Those who consider mask mandates a solution are bonkers.

LdB
Reply to  Mike Smith
March 20, 2022 7:39 am

Those who consider it will either get voted out or have riots on their hands.

Thomas Gasloli
Reply to  Mike Smith
March 20, 2022 7:49 am

Those who said Covid hysteria was a dry run for climate tyranny say, “Told you so.”

MarkW
March 19, 2022 6:09 pm

Isn’t it amazing how the solution to any problem, no matter what the problem, is the same solution they have been pushing for decades.

Alan the Brit
Reply to  MarkW
March 20, 2022 1:13 am

The solution is always the same, naturally, it’s called Socialism, solves everything, it’s infallible!!! Look at the figures of Human lives that Socialism has saved, (oops that must have been a typo), Stalin 45 million, Hitler 60 million, Mao 80 million, Pol-Pot (amateur) 500,000!!! With the exception of Stalin, who genuinely did come from lowly beginnings, the other three came from well-educated middle-class backgrounds, just like many of the Greenalist Gurus seeking a reduction in Human population numbers, by any possible means, & the reinstatement of Feudalism, whereby we peasants must all tug our forelocks in deference to those oh so superior Overlords!!! I believe that Pol-Pot studied in Paris in his youth, hardly cheap living in any day!!!

Notanacademic
Reply to  Alan the Brit
March 20, 2022 4:29 am

The Georgia Guide Stones suggest an ideal population of 500 million, it seems our current crop of overlords have much bigger ideas than the lightweights of the 20th century.

MarkW
March 19, 2022 6:13 pm

One thing I can guarantee, when the crisis in the Ukraine is over, they will find some excuse to keep these “temporary” measures in place.

Last edited 2 months ago by MarkW
Bob Daye
Reply to  MarkW
March 21, 2022 5:57 am

Of course they will because that’s why they want to shut down oil production so the “crisis” can continue indefinitely.

TEWS_Pilot
March 19, 2022 6:17 pm

“…car-free Sundays in cities…” ….another attack on religion, which people need now more than ever.

Dave Fair
Reply to  TEWS_Pilot
March 19, 2022 7:50 pm

On the up-side, this will hasten the migration from large cities. Modern communications make it feasible for people to move to rural and suburban locations, avoiding urban pathologies, while still making a modern living. The auto started that trend and the socialists hate it; they want everybody to be stuffed into urban slums and dependent on the elites.

Alan the Brit
Reply to  Dave Fair
March 20, 2022 1:20 am

The auto started that trend and the socialists hate it; they want everybody to be stuffed into urban slums and dependent on the elites.

Oh, so you’ve read UN Agenda 21 then??? 😉 The intellectual elitist Greens want the peasants to be extirpated from the rural life & be herded into huge population centres where they can be controlled, primarily to serve the ruling elites, the countryside is to be the preserve of the wealthy ruling elites to enjoy, the peasantry are just too dumb/stupid to appreciate it!!!

Jim Gorman
Reply to  Alan the Brit
March 20, 2022 8:44 am

Every time I think of this, I think Hunger Games. You would think millennials would recognize this and be horrified.

Tim Gorman
Reply to  Jim Gorman
March 20, 2022 8:58 am

Or the movie Elysium.

Reply to  Dave Fair
March 20, 2022 5:03 am

Yep. Of course, that leaves what I call the “barista and bartender classes” SOL, as their higher income customer base disappears into the countryside.

Paul Johnson
Reply to  TEWS_Pilot
March 19, 2022 9:54 pm

Not surprising, it’s the Church of Climate Change seeking to suppress its competitors.

Tom Halla
March 19, 2022 6:20 pm

They are just channeling whomever told Jimmy Carter such things would work.

Steve Case
March 19, 2022 6:23 pm

Intl Energy Agency report urges ENERGY LOCKDOWNS: ‘Banning use of private cars on Sundays…Reducing highway speed limits…more working from home…cutting business air travel’ & SUV ‘tax
_____________________________________________________________

I’ll just cut to the chase:

And report to your community euthaniztion center on your 65th birthday or sooner if you haven’t met certain requirements.

Last edited 2 months ago by Steve Case
Tom in Florida
Reply to  Steve Case
March 19, 2022 7:59 pm

And they will advertise it as “Renewing”

Martin
Reply to  Tom in Florida
March 19, 2022 10:39 pm

Logan’s Run was set in 2274…looks like it will be sooner than that.

Alan the Brit
Reply to  Martin
March 20, 2022 1:26 am

That could explain the rapid rise of cosmetic procedures over recent years!!! Gulp!!! BTW it was a great movie, any movies with scenes of a semi-naked Jenny Agutter can be bad!!! I must take my medicine!!!

Joao Martins
Reply to  Tom in Florida
March 20, 2022 3:30 am

… or “Health Transitioning” …

Brad-DXT
Reply to  Steve Case
March 20, 2022 12:32 am

Let me check my birth certificate for the expiration date. None listed so I should be good for a while.
Probably will be on the new ones and I’m grandfathered in. 🙂

Walter Pate
Reply to  Steve Case
March 20, 2022 12:56 am

soylent green anyone?

Steve Oregon
March 19, 2022 6:25 pm

Is there any science to show this would produce climate results?
Or are climate results not even a matter of consideration?

Pat from kerbob
Reply to  Steve Oregon
March 19, 2022 7:01 pm

Door #2
Ding ding

Ack
Reply to  Steve Oregon
March 20, 2022 3:01 am

Computer models. They know everything.

Joao Martins
Reply to  Steve Oregon
March 20, 2022 3:32 am

The only results that matter is the paycheck of the bureaucrats incumbent in the IEA.

Richard M
Reply to  Steve Oregon
March 20, 2022 6:04 pm

Yes, there is real science that shows these measures will have no effect on the climate. The interesting thing is the science has been around for decades.

1) Almost 30 years ago Dr. Heinz Hug discovered that all the surface energy radiated in the 15 micron band (where CO2 absorbs) was already being absorbed. Hence no more energy to trap. This led to the replacement problem related to what’s called the effective radiation level (ERL)

The new problem was based on the claim that more CO2 would raise the ERL to a higher altitude which is colder. This would lead to less OLR radiation and force the planet to warm until a new equilibrium was reached.

2) Way back in 2010 Dr. Ferenc Miskolczi published a paper based on 60 years of NOAA data. In that paper he claimed a constant optical depth for the atmosphere which means raising the OLR would be impossible. His paper was attacked primary based on the poor quality of the data. However, the science was never refuted.

To refute the new ERL problem does not require all the work Dr. Miskolczi published. Just one little section does the trick. It is called “radiation exchange equilibrium”. This concept was verified in all the data that was examined. What this leads to is the realization that energy does not flow as climate science assumes. Instead, energy is lost to space continually as it flow upward. This causes the ERL to become fixed at an altitude defined by the mass of the atmosphere and the gravitational force. It doesn’t change with increased CO2 levels.

The combination of these two scientific facts means CO2 cannot have a major warming influence. Climate sensitivity is almost zero.

Bob Daye
Reply to  Richard M
March 21, 2022 6:04 am

Combine what you state with the fact the ice cores from Antarctica and Greenland going back hundreds of thousands of years show CO2 concentrations increase consistently after the planet warms and after about 400 to 800 years. So CO2 cannot be warming the planet.

Bob Daye
Reply to  Steve Oregon
March 21, 2022 6:00 am

There is no science behind the “climate crisis” so why would there be science for that?

Clyde Spencer
March 19, 2022 6:31 pm

Reducing highway speed limits by about 6 miles per hour;

That much or more could be done by just enforcing the posted speed limits.

DMacKenzie
Reply to  Clyde Spencer
March 19, 2022 6:48 pm

Cancelling air travel points programs would probably cut aviation fuel consumption by 1/3, also put many warm destination workers into poverty….but watermelons never worry about that cuz poverty is a low CO2 lifestyle. Especially since wood for home heating and burning trees for garden patches is hard to meter.

Scissor
Reply to  DMacKenzie
March 19, 2022 7:49 pm

How about limiting the speed of Air Force One to about 75 mph?

Travis
Reply to  Scissor
March 20, 2022 1:18 pm

part way through a flight

Joao Martins
Reply to  DMacKenzie
March 20, 2022 3:35 am

Travel points is travel paid in advance (through buying tickets at obscene higher prices). A sort of Ponzi.

Gunga Din
Reply to  Clyde Spencer
March 19, 2022 7:25 pm

My 2012 Honda Civic shows me it’s current MPG on the dashboard. It’s “sweet spot” is a bit above the posted 65 mph.

PS It also shows MPG over time. Every winter it goes down. Every summer it goes back up.
The warmer it is, the less gas I use to get from point A to point B.
(And the lower winter MPG is not from letting the car run to warm up and/or defrost the windshield. I have a garage.)

Daniel O'Neill
Reply to  Gunga Din
March 20, 2022 6:26 pm

Yes, our powerplants are heat engines. If you want to see your fuel efficiency go to hell without the need for a handbasket, just remove the thermostat. My motorcycles, even the water cooled ones, get very much worse in winter, and are even worse in the cooler morning hours when I go to work mostly downhill (about 1000 feet) and are better in the afternoon even though I’m going uphill.
All that heat that is spent getting the cylinder walls and head warm is not used to do useful work.

Craig from Oz
Reply to  Gunga Din
March 20, 2022 7:05 pm

Reverse here. Summer I get worse fuel cause of the air con.

Very subtle point these IEA ‘experts’ fail to release that fuel economy for motor vehicles is almost universally measured as a function of distance.

For those who didn’t go to school on Fridays this means that if you can travel faster (vehicle speed) without significantly increasing engine speed then you burn less fuel for each unit of distance.

Vehicle manufacturers know this. This is why we have little ‘city cars’ with small engines designed for little stop start travel and ‘highway cars’ which are designed to get up to a comfortable speed and stay there for extended periods.

There was a challenge about 10 or so years back here in Oz. Cars were to be driven across the middle of Australia (Darwin to Adelaide from memory) and the vehicle with the best figures relative to their ‘formal’ fuel economy would be judged the vehicle of the future and what we all should be considering driving in a Post Net Zero World.

That was the plan.

The practice was the V8 Commodore – included as a baseline for ‘Fuel Dinosaurs’ – started getting up to 160km (or something similar on the unrestricted roads) and then, once the acceleration was complete, maintaining that speed at just over idle.

Fuel economy on this trial started coming in at something like 3L/100km and given that the published ‘city’ figures for this vehicle were massive, the improvement ratio was also massive and this 5 Liter beast was the clear ‘Winner’ of the trial.

So that got brushed under the carpet very quickly.

Gunga Din
Reply to  Craig from Oz
March 21, 2022 1:25 pm

Sorry I forgot that WUWT has an international audience.
Winter temps in the Northern Hemisphere are Summer temps “down under”.

PS A decade or more ago I read of some guy’s idea to increase gas mileage. It involved running the gas line to the engine through a heat exchanger of sorts to pre-heat the gas before it got to the engine.
I don’t know if it got anywhere.

David S
March 19, 2022 7:11 pm

Ban wealthy greens from flying on private jets to climate conferences.

MAL
Reply to  David S
March 19, 2022 9:33 pm

Or crossing the Atlantic on a plastic boat to go give a speech on climate change.

Alan the Brit
Reply to  MAL
March 20, 2022 1:48 am

Then flying home on a jet plane for a speedy return to Europe!!! That dear little poison dwarf!!!

Andrew Wilkins
Reply to  MAL
March 20, 2022 1:58 am

Don’t you mean give a “screech” in climate change?

Joao Martins
Reply to  David S
March 20, 2022 3:36 am

Better ban climate conferences altogether. They are useless and very expensive.

william Johnston
March 19, 2022 7:11 pm

“supported by government measures”. Sounds so innocuous. It means forced compliance.

Ebor
Reply to  william Johnston
March 20, 2022 6:30 am

You will own less and you will love it – or else!

March 19, 2022 7:18 pm

We can hold these people accountable to their own standards. I asked the IEA if they were going to issue an additional Press Release detailing how everyone at IEA was meeting or exceeding their “10 key actions” and if they had any provision for firing any IEA employee who violated that. I asked via a pair of tweets aimed at their announcement and via their online contact form:

https://www.iea.org/contact
https://twitter.com/questionAGW/status/1504886868512423936
https://twitter.com/questionAGW/status/1504887004340768769

Tom Abbott
Reply to  Russell Cook
March 20, 2022 4:32 am

That’s the kind of action that should be taken. Hold these bureaucrats to their own standards.

TonyG
Reply to  Russell Cook
March 20, 2022 2:39 pm

We all know they’ll never respond, Russell.

markl
March 19, 2022 7:42 pm

The Great Reset is in progress and most people don’t realize it. AGW will be removed from the media and forgotten without most people not even missing it. Vote while you still can.

Last edited 2 months ago by markl
Rory Forbes
Reply to  markl
March 20, 2022 12:14 am

Global cooling was easily converted into AGW with a bit of mumbo jumbo about air pollution and that was soon morphed into the utterly ambiguous “climate change”. The brain dead public will easily accept that “climate change” refers to the cooling we’ll soon be experiencing. I fear that the public are completely at the disposal of whoever is running the media.When the top three positions in the US government are filled by a lush, a moron and a demented hair sniffer, I don’t see much hope.

Nick Graves
Reply to  markl
March 20, 2022 2:34 am

Correct.

Unfortunately in the UK, the two parties are different sides of the same WEF coin so voting makes no discernible difference. YMMV.

Joao Martins
Reply to  Nick Graves
March 20, 2022 3:39 am

Ditto for almost every other country in the northern hemisphere and also for some in the southern.

Dave Fair
March 19, 2022 7:45 pm

Ever notice that the socialist’s response to any crisis is to implement rationing? Capitalism strives to meet the needs and wants of people at the lowest possible cost, thereby facilitating innovation.

Tom Abbott
Reply to  Dave Fair
March 20, 2022 4:42 am

Capitalism = Free Markets

Free Markets = Personal Freedom and Prosperity

I see where AOC was whispering about Capitalism the other day. She doesn’t have a clue. About anything.

MarkW
Reply to  Tom Abbott
March 20, 2022 7:08 am

AOC, like most of her ignorant ilk, believes that unless one has a few hundred million in the bank, one can’t possibly be a capitalist.

Jim Gorman
Reply to  Tom Abbott
March 20, 2022 8:50 am

Worse, she has a degree in Economics AND in International Relations. What are they teaching these days?

Bob Daye
Reply to  Jim Gorman
March 21, 2022 1:58 pm

Not
“Economics AND in International Relations”
Obviously….

Chris Hanley
March 19, 2022 8:03 pm

The Covid lockdowns and mandates were merely a rehearsal and the meek responses from most of the population where I live is not encouraging.
The IEA proposals may sound outrageous but that is the purpose: to shift the Overton window, ‘the spectrum of ideas on public policy and social issues considered acceptable by the general public at a given time’ towards authoritarianism.

JCM
March 19, 2022 8:39 pm

CO2 drives 5% of the optics of the greenhouse effect, vs 95% water vapor.

The surface radiates at a function of T^4 providing long waves to the atmosphere.

Higher surface temperature provides more long waves to go bouncing around and interacting with atmospheric optics.

The ^4 ensures surface temperature drives about 90% of the system sensitivity by inputting long waves. A slight increase in temperature inputs a great deal more waves.

10% is left to the optics including observed downward oriented long waves vs waves exiting the window.

CO2 at 5% of optics, by a 10% total optical impact, yields 0.5% CO2 influence on the greenhouse.

By any definition of the greenhouse effect, for instance the 33K version, 0.5% is not observable.

Rod Evans
Reply to  JCM
March 20, 2022 12:19 am

I would add another important detail, lost on the CO2 is bad community of fearmongers.
As only ~5% of the atmospheric temperature we enjoy is assigned to CO2’s involvement water vapour making up the bulk of the remainder.
Only ~5% of that CO2 is attributed to man activities such as fossil fuel burning the bulk is from natural outgassing of oceans and plants, as seen in the dog tooth CO2 graphs provided by NOAA/NASA. The seasonality of CO2 release into atmosphere and the uptake of CO2, is reflected annually, giving absolute proof the input of man’s ongoing release is lost in the natural variation of natural seasonal plant growth.
Here in the UK we are being asked/told by state authorities, the UK must abandon our efficient gas heating and cooking systems. Why? Because the UK accounts for 0.05% of the global CO2 emissions the fear mongering community worry about. Remember that’s 0.05% of the 5% of the atmospheric temperature control gasses we can impact. That does not look much like a problem from where I am sitting.
But it gets even more crazy. When you remember home heating and cooking makes up only 20% of the energy used in the UK. So government thinks 0.01% of the 5% of CO2 or about 0.0005% if we ceased contributing that, it would impact on climate gasses?.
Now you would have to say, any government or government dept. that is capable of working to that degree of accuracy, must be worth listening to…..

michel
Reply to  Rod Evans
March 20, 2022 12:39 am

Its more like 1%. The UK does about 450 million tons a year out of a global total of about 37 billion.

And Net Zero is aiming to impact not simply home heating and cooking, it is targeting all electricity generation, so more like 30%+ of the 450 million. Its also aiming to eliminate ICE engines, so its also targeting the emissions from transport.

It is a crazy program all right, but its not quite as crazy and innumerate as you imply.

The basic point is still valid. The result of Net Zero, if it eliminates all UK emissions, can still only lower global emissions by 450 million out of a global total which, by the time it takes effect, will probably be 40-45 billion. The effect, even on the most alarmist account of climate sensitivity, will be too small to measure.

Might as well get the numbers right however.

JCM
Reply to  Rod Evans
March 20, 2022 9:01 am

You are right. The human emission component will be equilibrated out of the ocean / biosystem. It will theoretically take 1000 years for human cuts to emission to impact atmospheric concentration.

UNFCC / IPCC has ignored the primary cause of greenhouse enhancement, which is surface temperature. They have also dismissed the water cycle because it’s too complicated to model. IPCC was assigned to model what they thought was realistic. It would be prudent for them to make this detail more clear.

Surface radiation output change @ T^4 accounts for 90%.
CO2 change 0.5%

There are far too many now, who truly believe CO2 is a control knob of the greenhouse.

For those concerned about catastrophic climate changes it is sensible to decrease surface temperature. For example, if transpiration from a healthy landscape with spongy vegetated soils accounts for 85 Wm-2 surface cooling by latent heat, a 5% increase in healthy soil gives 3 Wm-2 surface cooling.

The primary human related factor to greenhouse enhancement is desertization and subsequent warming of land surfaces, releasing more radiation at T^4.

Last edited 2 months ago by JCM
James H
March 19, 2022 9:12 pm

Can’t we just phase out the IEA? They came up with 10 ideas to reduce consumption and zero ideas to increase production. Sounds like they’re totally useless and their budget should be zeroed out.

Joao Martins
Reply to  James H
March 20, 2022 3:42 am

Phase out? Say, by reducing 50% per year? Cont my vote in!

TonyL
March 19, 2022 9:26 pm

The IEA report is fun for sure, But you missed the real fun story.
Check this out!

Germany to fire up mothballed coal power stations.”One of Europe’s biggest energy companies is preparing to bring a string of German coal power stations out of retirement as part of efforts to wean the country off Russian gas.These include plants that have been decommissioned, those that are scheduled to go off-grid this year and others that are currently kept on standby.
Robert Habeck, Scholz’s economy minister, has insisted there will be “no taboos”, throwing into doubt plans for the country to ditch coal by 2030.

That did not take long. Reality gives the Germans a real Dope Slap.

Here is the whole story.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2022/03/15/germany-fire-mothballed-coal-power-stations/?mc_cid=129fab3d52

Ron
Reply to  TonyL
March 19, 2022 9:40 pm

“to bring a string of German coal power stations out of retirement as part of efforts to wean the country off Russian gas.
Huh? Is this German engineering?
I miss Trump!

ozspeaksup
Reply to  Ron
March 20, 2022 3:52 am

wonder how many workers are still able n skilled to run them? or build new?
aus car industry ran down apprenticeships well before they took the govt handouts and then shut the doors on it all

Martin
March 19, 2022 10:34 pm

The odd and even numbering system will just ensure that every household has 2 cars minimum.

Andrew Wilkins
Reply to  Martin
March 20, 2022 2:02 am

Or more to the point, those rich enough to afford two cars can drive every day. It will be the poor, once again, who will be restricted.

Bob Johnston
March 19, 2022 10:41 pm

If these are pushed I will respond in exactly the same manner I did as to the useless COVID protocols… I will ignore them.

Bob
March 19, 2022 10:55 pm

This paper is the worst. Repetition, repetition and more repetition. This paper could have been written in one short paragraph. It would be a meaningless short paragraph but far better than the trash I just read. I’ll say it again create false emergency then rush in with convoluted/ ignorant solutions. These people are pathetic.

Joel O’Bryan(@joelobryan)
March 19, 2022 11:23 pm

If anyone was wondering how the climate scam and Totalitarian Socialism go hand-in-hand, … here is your answer.

Alan the Brit
Reply to  Joel O’Bryan
March 20, 2022 1:59 am

A minor correction, Socialism = Totalitarianism = Socialism!!! There are NO benign effects from Socialism, that is not what it is about, full stop!!!

March 20, 2022 12:13 am

If anyone’s flying is to be limited it should be over-70 pensioners, not business travelers.

Rainer Bensch
Reply to  Phil Salmon
March 20, 2022 5:25 am

I’m just for the opposite.

Last edited 2 months ago by Rainer Bensch
michel
March 20, 2022 12:53 am

This is to be welcomed. Most commenters simply get indignant about the proposals, and then move immediately to ridiculing the underlying alarmist theory. Don’t do this. Welcome the proposals.

Why?

The welcome thing is that the mainstream climatist bodies are now starting to acknowledge what the emission reduction program requires.

The nice thing about these proposals is you can see they are basically not manageable. Car free Sundays aren’t going to happen, alternate day car entry into cities by license plate neither.

The IEA, like the British Climate Change Committee, is stepping closer and closer to a realistic account of what the Net Zero program really will require. As they do this, it gets clearer and clearer that it will massive changes in where we live, how we travel, where we work. This increasing clarity is a great step forward.

Once you have a clear set of proposals which their advocates admit will be needed to reach significant reductions of emissions, you can then start to ask the hard question: how much effect on climate will they have?

The answer, as you can see from these fairly drastic proposals to produce a quite modest reduction in national oil and gas consumption, is that any saleable proposals will do just about nothing. One, because China and India etc are not going to participate. Two, because they anyway only make a tiny dent in national emissions in whatever country implements them.

Their great merit is they make it clearer and clearer that to make the huge reductions the climate movement advocates will require a total restructuring of society, the forced movement of the rural and suburban population into dense city housing served by mass transportation, and the relocation of business and shopping to match. The abolition of the car and the shopping center.

The clearer we all get about this, and the sooner, the better. This and similar proposals are a start.

Thomas Gasloli
Reply to  michel
March 20, 2022 7:56 am

Your comment assumes you can stop once the destructiveness of the measures becomes clear, but that didn’t work for COVId, isn’t working for inflation or the over the top response to the Ukraine.

What makes you think they can be stopped in this case?

michel
Reply to  Thomas Gasloli
March 21, 2022 8:34 am

I am not at all sure they can be stopped. People have an amazing ability to persist in counter productive and self destructive policies against all the evidence.

I am only arguing that anything which brings to general attention what specifically the policies have to be, and therefore how destructive they will be, is a step forward.

With general awareness of it, the chances that society will stop them rises. Without it, we will just see continued idealistic drift into disaster by a series of measures which are adopted piecemeal and whose consequences only become clear when they arrive.

Its sort of like extreme versions of socialism. When its admitted that these will involve taking your house and car into state ownership, and allocating housing and transport on the basis of need, by the local civil service…

Well, then people can see what it really means. Keep it on the level of vague idealism and its impossible to debate its merits.

Walter Pate
March 20, 2022 12:53 am

How about offering these control freaks a hot steaming cup of “go f**k yourself” instead?

Tom Abbott
Reply to  Walter Pate
March 20, 2022 4:51 am

That was my first thought.

Ebor
Reply to  Walter Pate
March 20, 2022 6:41 am

Hell yeah, they aren’t interested in what anyone else has to say anyway, f**k ’em.

paul courtney
Reply to  Walter Pate
March 20, 2022 4:08 pm

Mr. Pate: You can try, but they’ll say you’re cheering for some guy named Brandon.

rah
March 20, 2022 3:22 am

LOL! The Guardian now says “Biden’s cursed presidency”. Yep, Griff’s primary “news” source is now blaming the occult for all of this democrat administration’s policy failures.

Biden’s ‘cursed presidency’: gas prices are latest headache as midterms loom (msn.com)

Tom Abbott
Reply to  rah
March 20, 2022 4:59 am

The Guardian wants to portray Biden as just a victim of circumstances; An innocent bystander.

If Biden has a headache, it is because he keeps mindlessly hitting himself in the head with a hammer. The Delusions of Biden and the Democrats are the cause of the problems.

Delusional people have a hard time operating in reality, and it is especially bad when delusional people get into positions of political power, like we have now with Biden and the radical Democrats. They are a disaster.

People, don’t vote for these delusional fools anymore, if you know what’s good for you and the nation.

Last edited 2 months ago by Tom Abbott
rah
Reply to  Tom Abbott
March 20, 2022 5:47 am

Rod Serling has nothing on the old “news” media and the Bozos they serve.

https://youtu.be/dQ9RlR9Jp3s

MarkW
Reply to  rah
March 20, 2022 7:11 am

Various Democrats and media types (but then I repeat myself) are trying to blame greedy businessmen for inflation. According to them, Biden had nothing to do with it.

Rah
Reply to  MarkW
March 20, 2022 1:40 pm

That was after “there is no inflation”
then
”It’s transitory”
then
“Inflation is good!”
then
”Putin,Putin,Putin”
now
It’s “the greedy oil companies”

Nobody but the brain dead are buying any of it.

ozspeaksup
March 20, 2022 3:42 am

hmmm sounds a LOT like the agenda 21 thinktank plans I read a few years ago
covid was the trial run?
seeing as its the EU and the rest (sadly inc Aus fools in politics too) banning russias fuel etc etc NOT the other way round..at the behest and push FROM the madman you elected(ok some too many supposedly did) gee thanks yanks 😉
cant you get the senile fool sanity tested? Trump sure was forced to do so

Peta of Newark
March 20, 2022 4:04 am

Because scarcity increase prices = it increases the amount of money that’s in circulation ##

So, if you are a bone idle no-good lazy parasite creaming money off the system, that is exactly what you want.
Hence as the money goes round and round the loop ever faster and in greater quantity, the parasites get fat, ever more lazy and ever more selfish & greedy.

While claiming to be the exact opposite of all those things

Seemingly now there is not enough scarcity/money so they’ve set about creating some.
Ultimately they are found out as liars but it takes time, epic resources (environment destruction) and human lives.

same old same old

## Ain’t that a fact Gojo Brandon – printing $120 Billion per month as you are right now

Last edited 2 months ago by Peta of Newark
MarkW
Reply to  Peta of Newark
March 20, 2022 7:14 am

Increasing prices increases the amount of money in circulation?

Like most of your theories, you have cause and effect reversed again.

Tom Abbott
March 20, 2022 4:23 am

From the article: “The plan arrives two days after IEA projected that Russian exports could fall by around 2.5 million barrels per day next month and maybe more “should restrictions or public condemnation escalate.””

Let’s see: China currently buys a lot of oil to keep their economy going. If Russian oil is sanctioned it won’t matter because China will buy all the Russian oil available.

So, if China buys Russian oil, then that frees up the oil that China would have bought from other producers, and those other producers can then supply enough oil to the rest of the world to make up for the loss of Russian oil on the world market.

M.W.Plia
Reply to  Tom Abbott
March 20, 2022 4:52 am

What is the pipeline situation between Russia and China?

Bruce Cobb
March 20, 2022 4:51 am

Bill The Weepster McKibben is pushing for the US to ship heat pumps to Europe “for peace and freedom”, using the Defense Production Act to ramp up production. Of course, the obvious thing, if we want to help, is to ship more LNG, but that would be “Bad” because “Climate Change”. As if their electric grid isn’t unstable enough now.
https://billmckibben.substack.com/p/heat-pumps-for-peace-and-freedom?s=r

Dean
March 20, 2022 5:20 am

Would love them to implement this.

Nothing would end the madness faster than this sort of ridiculous mandates.

Tom in Florida
Reply to  Dean
March 20, 2022 6:18 am

Have you learned nothing from the illegal COVID mandates that many governors forced on their people?

Dean
Reply to  Tom in Florida
March 21, 2022 6:22 am

Nope, don’t live in the US.

2hotel9
March 20, 2022 5:55 am

So, another long list of punishments and “taxes” that will never be applied to them or any “elected” officials. Sure thing, buddy.

billtoo
March 20, 2022 6:24 am

or they could just ask people to drive less because fuel prices are so high. OH wait! they already are! which means any potential savings from these other measures is WAY overestimated.

John the Econ
March 20, 2022 7:59 am

Amazing how so many of yesterday’s supposedly crackpot conspiracy theories are becoming today’s reality.

TonyG
Reply to  John the Econ
March 20, 2022 2:49 pm

The time between “crackpot conspiracy theory” and reality has been steadily getting smaller. I’m wondering when it will turn negative.

John the Econ
Reply to  TonyG
March 21, 2022 8:58 am
Cheesy Peas
March 20, 2022 8:09 am

“Climate Lockdown” I knew this was coming.

AntiBanshee
March 20, 2022 8:41 am

Need to ban private jets too!

Reply to  AntiBanshee
March 20, 2022 2:36 pm

Hey! I’m unvaxxed. That’s the only way I’m allowed to fly! Not my rules!

Here’s the deal: Allow me to fly commercial and you can have my jet.

Just think of all the money I’ll save. $$$$$$$$$

🙂

Michael in Dublin
March 20, 2022 9:05 am

If this banning was passing in law, who will get exemptions?

jeffery P
March 20, 2022 11:48 am

Outlaw private jet travel globally. Confiscate all private jets like they’re Russian oligarchs yachts.

Matt
March 20, 2022 1:20 pm

Because if we used our fossil fuels none of it would be necessary.
So, do you want to live like a peasant for the globohomo?

March 20, 2022 2:12 pm

Isn’t it coincidental how the cure for Climate, Covid, and (the Ukraine) Conflict are all the same?

Reply to  Allan MacRae
March 20, 2022 2:39 pm

Maybe it’s not about Climate, Covid, or Conflict – maybe be it’s about Control.

Craig from Oz
March 20, 2022 7:18 pm

There are two sides to public transport.

The first is they can get you somewhere that is a common point (like ‘into the city for work’) without you having to worry about the complications of running a car and trying to find and pay for parking.

I have worked in these situations and yes it is convenient and saved me money.

The other side is that if you use public transport you use public transport under THEIR conditions. You travel to THEIR timetable and to THEIR destinations.

Powers that Be want to restrict your movements? Sorry, the buses are not running today.

Don’t laugh – I can provide examples.

There is also a secondary control on your purchasing. Ever tried to get anything large home on the bus? Have fun with it?

If you can’t get it home on public transport you are restricted to what you can easily buy. A lessor evil than simply preventing you from getting from A to B, but a factor. Combine the two and you will not be able to travel to the ‘non hub’ stores and then not be able to take home the large awkward objects anyway. Muse on that.

Yes there is a role for affordable public transport – and to be honest unless I factor in parking costs it is cheaper for me to maintain a car and drive – but if you allow it to be the ONLY method then you are one step closer to being controlled in your day to day movements.

4 eyes
March 20, 2022 9:19 pm

I may have read it too fast and i haven’t checked the comments. First thing that should be on the list is ban private jets especially those used by Kerry, DeCaprio and the rest of the pretenders. All the listed “savings” are aimed at us plebs, who would have guessed.

James Bull
March 21, 2022 4:10 am

These idiots obviously don’t live in the real world! I work in the water industry and I don’t think many people realise that people,animals and industry need water on tap 24/7 so lo and behold I work shifts as the plant needs monitoring and controlling with some manual intervention all day every day so stopping people driving personal vehicles on Sunday would stop me and my colleagues getting to work and there are many other industries in the same position running costs and therefore product costs would rocket. Oh a bit like now thanks to Jolly Joe cutting off his nose to spite his face in cutting home produced energy and trying to blame the producers for the price increase.
Hey ho as Eric is fond of saying “You Can’t Fix Dumb”

James Bull

Bob Daye
March 21, 2022 5:49 am

Those responsible for manufacturing this “crisis” need to be reigned in, arrested and tried for conspiracy to commit crimes against humanity. They are obviously profiting handsomely from the subsidies our traitorous governments are handing out.
Fire them all, and arrest the politicians and bureaucrats that are enabling this.

James Cyr
March 21, 2022 1:29 pm

The IEA appears to be another leftist group bent on destroying the oil and gas industry.

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