Guest “Just a bit outside” by David Middleton
In the Energy Information Administration’s (EIA) 2020 International Energy Outlook, renewables (including hydroelectric) were forecast to surpass petroleum and other liquid fuels as the world’s leading source of primary energy. This is commonly referred to as the “energy transition” from fossil fuels to unicorn dust.
Since the consumption of fossil fuels and nuclear power were actually forecasted to continue to grow, there would be no actual transition and Inigo Montoya would say…
Today’s release of the 2021 International Energy Outlook no longer forecasts renewables taking the lead before 2050…
Note: Petroleum and other liquids includes biofuels
OCTOBER 6, 2021
EIA projects accelerating renewable consumption and steady liquid fuels growth to 2050Today we released our International Energy Outlook 2021 (IEO2021). In the IEO2021 Reference case, which assumes current laws and regulations, we project that strong economic growth and growing populations will drive increases in global energy-related carbon dioxide emissions and energy consumption through 2050. Much of the increase in energy consumption will be met with liquid fuels and renewable energy sources. Natural gas- and coal-fired generation technologies as well as the emerging use of batteries will also prompt increased consumption.
Some key findings of IEO2021 include:
If current policy and technology trends continue, global energy consumption and energy-related carbon dioxide emissions will increase through 2050 as a result of population and economic growth.
The industrial and transportation sectors will largely drive the increase in energy consumption. Electric vehicle sales will grow through 2050, causing the internal combustion engine fleet to peak in 2023 for countries that are members of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) and in 2038 globally. Despite this projected growth in electric vehicle sales, the continued growth in energy consumption will cause global energy-related carbon dioxide emissions to rise through 2050 according to our IEO2021 Reference case.[…]
Principal contributor: Michelle Bowman
EIA
As an “added bonus” EIA now forecasts that coal consumption for energy will exceed its alleged 2014 peak by 2043…
And they continue to forecast that fossil fuels will continue to be the world’s dominant source of primary energy for many decades to come…
Claims that we are in the process of transitioning away from fossil fuels are…
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Anyone who thinks that coal and natural gas will be replaced by renewables is nuts. California is providing all the evidence anyone should require, except the renewable-hustlers.
The EIA’s “renewables” line is still a fantasy. Reality will continue to force them to lower their forecast for it. The whole climate scam is unraveling.
Nuclear is going to grow far more than that. US, UK, India, Russia, China are all going nuclear in a big way.
(Fair Use Excerpt)
Russia Offers to Ease Europe’s Gas Crisis, With Strings Attached
Olga Tanas and Elena Mazneva
Wed, October 6, 2021
It is obvious government is being used to bring this about. More accurately to force it.
Man…all this time I thought they were moving to unicorn “farts” because those were closer in chemical composition to refined hydrocarbons, which made it easier to switch over the furnaces and engines without significant retooling. And, as a bonus, all the existing exhaust scrubbing apparatus would still function adequately!
causing the internal combustion engine fleet to peak in 2023 for countries that are members of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD)
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Peak ICE in 2023 for rich countries. Surprised they made such a claim so soon in the future that it can be verified.
Peak ICE in 2023 is plainly impossible outside of economic collapse.
Harm from war on hydrocarbons exceeds harm from climate change – To date, “computer models” have avoided projecting the fatalities from starvation, diseases, and weather-related deaths to the 8 billion on earth without fossil fuels.
How dare pro-humanity individuals and governments support banishment of fossil fuels, when their banishment would be the greatest threat to civilization resulting in billions dying from starvation, diseases, and weather-related deaths?
https://www.cfact.org/2021/10/07/harm-from-war-on-hydrocarbons-exceeds-harm-from-climate-change/
I think it is criminal for hydro power to be included with renewables. The only reason it’s included is because if it weren’t everyone could see what a pitiful contributor solar and wind are. If hydro was truly considered renewable then we should be building more dams, lots of them.
I’ll make a prediction ! Even if we have electric everything , wind turbines and solar panels up the wazoo , no coal , no gas , no oil, electric lawnmowers by 2050 there will be no discernible drop in the CO2 content of the atmosphere (500ppm by 2050) and in fact will still be rising . If so , what then ????
Proof that even the EIA recognizes alleged renewables are unable to supply reliable consistent high quality electricity.
Instead EIA projects fanciful growth of installed renewable energy sources while LNG, oil and even coal continue to grow. As they must to provide backup for unreliable renewable energy sources.
One suspects that the renewable energy line actually represents installed base plate, not actual energy generation.
EIA labeling renewable energy estimates as “consumption” is pure fraud. It is a reflection that government subsidizes renewables by mandating utilities to accept generated renewable energy over reliable fossil fuel electricity.
“EIA: people in 2050 to have cheaper, more reliable energy than previously forecast”