Cow tipping? Apparently they're actually trying to milk a wild cow. SheltieBoy from USA, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons

14,000 Scientists Warn of Imminent Climate Tipping Points

Guest essay by Eric Worrall

Climate scientists have issued an updated climate emergency declaration, urging us to take them seriously this time.

World Scientists’ Warning of a Climate Emergency 2021 

William J Ripple,  Christopher Wolf,  Thomas M Newsome,  Jillian W GreggTimothy M Lenton,  Ignacio Palomo,  Jasper A J Eikelboom,  Beverly E Law,  Saleemul HuqPhilip B Duffy,  Johan Rockström

In 2019, Ripple and colleagues (2020) warned of untold suffering and declared a climate emergency together with more than 11,000 scientist signatories from 153 countries. They presented graphs of planetary vital signs indicating very troubling trends, along with little progress by humanity to address climate change. On the basis of these data and scientists’ moral obligation to “clearly warn humanity of any catastrophic threat,” they called for transformative change. Since the article’s publication, more than 2,800 additional scientists have signed that declaration of a climate emergency (see supplemental file S1 for the current signatory list); in addition, 1,990 jurisdictions in 34 countries have now formally declared or recognized a climate emergency (figure 1p). But, at the same time, there has been an unprecedented surge in climate-related disasters since 2019, including devastating flooding in South America and Southeast Asia, record shattering heat waves and wildfires in Australia and the Western United States, an extraordinary Atlantic hurricane season, and devastating cyclones in Africa, South Asia, and the West Pacific (see supplemental file S2 for attribution information). There is also mounting evidence that we are nearing or have already crossed tipping points associated with critical parts of the Earth system, including the West Antarctic and Greenland ice sheets, warm-water coral reefs, and the Amazon rainforest (supplemental file S2). Given these alarming developments, we need short, frequent, and easily accessible updates on the climate emergency.

Read more: https://academic.oup.com/bioscience/advance-article/doi/10.1093/biosci/biab079/6325731

There is no evidence I can see that this climate emergency will be any more significant than previous climate emergency declarations and tipping point warnings, dating back to the grandaddy of climate emergency declarations in 1989.

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Bruce of Newcastle
July 29, 2021 3:11 pm

Nothing much is happening guys.

Snow cover extent anomaly has been trending sideways for 25 years. That is a natural thermometer, recording as it does the 0 C isotherm. The AMO is also trending sideways. Which shows most of global temperature change has been natural.

It also say ECS is low, because pCO2 has risen over 10% in this quarter century time period. Yet no effect on snow cover extent. The terrestrial temperature datasets are rubbish, heavily contaminated by UHIE and by unscientific adjustments. Snow, however, doesn’t lie. It melts at 0 C whether stupid humans have attacks of godlike hubris or not.

http://climate.rutgers.edu/snowcover/images/rutgers-sce-anom-2020.png

John Harrison
July 29, 2021 3:16 pm

Just a glance at some of the supposed signatories shows a range from lab technicians to accountants, students, retired leisure park administrator who said that wildfires were nothing to worry about as they regrow within a season or two, that was on the first page I looked at which would bring the number of those who could be defined as a “scientist” to many hundreds of millions. They have only found 11,000 of them and very few of them are actually experienced and well qualified climate scientists. The paper presents very little in the way of actual science, just a rehash of previous alarmist prophesies which have been touted since the classic 1989 UN “science” research paper which prophesied the demise of humanity if atmospheric CO2 concentrations were not brought under control within 10 years. So…. more of the same here really – still only 10 years to save the planet. It seems that the science was indeed “settled” in 1989 as ever since then they have settled on “10 years to save the planet” and sooner or later they may be proved right.

Kevin
July 29, 2021 3:19 pm

This was posted on Climate Dispatch today. See https://climatechangedispatch.com/meet-the-11000-scientists-warning-of-untold-suffering-from-climate-change/. Ezra Levant on his show did a pretty good job of looking into some of the so called scientist. Take a look at his video inside the link.

JackW
Reply to  Kevin
July 29, 2021 5:07 pm

Thanks Kevin, Ezra Levant disembowels the ‘11,000 scientists’ claim.

Lrp
Reply to  Kevin
July 29, 2021 6:10 pm

Hilarious!

Dave Fair
Reply to  Kevin
July 29, 2021 7:11 pm

It is scary the number of people with do-nothing government jobs.

Rick C
Reply to  Kevin
July 29, 2021 7:19 pm

Thanks Kevin. I took a look at the list of signers as well. Interestingly I could not find any of the most well know alarmist climate scientists such as Mann, Hanson, Trenberth, McKibben, Hayhoe, Jones, etc. Must have not paid their club dues or something.

AGW is Not Science
Reply to  Rick C
July 30, 2021 10:16 am

You’re falling into their trap. McKibben?! NOT a scientist at all, just another “activist.”

Chris Hanley
July 29, 2021 3:33 pm

Only one of their 28 graphic presentations actually directly addresses global climate viz. ‘Surface temperature anomaly (change) C’ and only from 1990 indicating ~ +1.6C/century — some emergency.
Ironically the last data point is almost the same T as the first.
What would they consider not to be a climate emergency, a half degree C drop in thirty years, no change in thirty years, what exactly do they want the climate to do?

July 29, 2021 3:37 pm

Bioscience, didn’t they publish that Susan Crockford hit piece?

July 29, 2021 3:44 pm

When presented with claims like this: “climate crisis” or “climate emergency” made by people who can’t distinguish weather from climate, I’d invoke a recent study of 79 climate and eco apocalypses predicted since 1970. 48 (61%) of the predictions expired without any apparent apocalypse, crisis or emergency experienced by any people or animals. Hyperbole has been the most successful political trick played to polarize us against each other. Surprisingly done with invisible victims and phantom villains! We could make fun of it (humor and contempt are powerful tools) but I prefer to rub their faces in reality instead by enumerating all the failed eco-predictions. I’s got me banned on some social media; but that’s why I know it works!

saveenergy
Reply to  Mark Pawelek
July 29, 2021 5:05 pm

“We could make fun of it (humor and contempt are powerful tools) but I prefer to rub their faces in reality instead by enumerating all the failed eco-predictions. I’s got me banned on some social media; but that’s why I know it works!”

I’ve been de-platformed from several sites for doing the same !

Reply to  saveenergy
July 29, 2021 10:29 pm

To play any game, there are rules. If you consistently cheat, getting banned is to be expected.

MarkW
Reply to  AndyHce
July 30, 2021 6:14 am

Bringing up reality is cheating?

Reply to  AndyHce
July 30, 2021 12:37 pm

When the rules amount to “I win you lose” there’s no point to any other rules, is there?

Rasa
July 29, 2021 3:54 pm

16,000 “scientists”.
That is a very very very long taxpayer funded Gravy Train

Curious George
Reply to  Rasa
July 29, 2021 4:44 pm

I wonder if Anthony’s dog Kenji is among them.

Reply to  Rasa
July 29, 2021 4:55 pm

16,000 all saying the same thing…or else!

Scott
July 29, 2021 3:59 pm

I prefer our current weather over that of weather of the 1920’s and the dust bowl 1930’s when C02 levels were lower..

Dusty
July 29, 2021 4:04 pm

So the Climate Caterwaulers* bespake.

HT: Bruce Cobb.

MarkW
July 29, 2021 4:05 pm

Temperatures getting back to what the world enjoyed during the MWP is going to cause death and destruction.
Do they actually expect anyone other than the paid choir to take them seriously?

Reply to  MarkW
July 29, 2021 10:31 pm

Many do take “them” seriously. “How do you possible think you know more than 99% of all scientists?

MarkW
Reply to  AndyHce
July 30, 2021 6:16 am

I could point out the reality of that 99% claim, but you would probably ban me.

July 29, 2021 4:23 pm

They should be embarrassed with themselves for making such blatant lies that have no relation to reality.

Reply to  PCman999
July 29, 2021 5:13 pm

They’re that stupid that they think they’re telling the truth.

Scissor
Reply to  philincalifornia
July 29, 2021 5:52 pm

I work with these people and I think it’s a combination of ignorance, conceit and brainwashing.

I do a lot of lab work and I’m one of very few people who worked on-site since mid March 2020. Slowly people are drifting back and I have to watch my tongue commenting about the insanity. A Professor yesterday admitted to me that he thought it was fine for Fauci to lie in order to get more people to take the vaccine. IOW, the end justifies the means.

I told him that I thought people should be told the truth, to be given good data that they can assess and be allowed to make their own decisions as adults. The look on his face told me that I had pushed a little too much.

MarkW
Reply to  Scissor
July 30, 2021 6:18 am

Leftists are taught from an early age that people are stupid. That’s why they have to be lead by the elite (who apparently aren’t people).

Since the elite know better than the masses, what is good for the masses, the elite are entitled to do what ever it takes to force the masses to do whatever the elite want them to do.

Anyone who disagrees with an elite has just proven themselves to be incompetent and must be re-educated until either they start agreeing with the elite, or stop breathing. Whichever comes first.

Eben
July 29, 2021 4:38 pm

There is obviously 14,000 climate Scientists too many and we have their names

July 29, 2021 4:57 pm

Let these 14 000 scientists put their money where their mouth is, find one scheme, support it to completion and give feedback so the public can see if it really works and is affordable. Until this happens not a penny of taxpayer money must be squandered on harebrained climate schemes.

Reply to  Michael in Dublin
July 29, 2021 10:45 pm

You are essentially talking about the “Left”, at least in the U.S. It is a basic cornerstone of their belief system that anything they want that doesn’t work just needs to be done more, by government agencies, with more money. The resources if 14,000 individuals would impress them not at all.

MarkW
Reply to  AndyHce
July 30, 2021 6:19 am

If at first you don’t succeed. Throw more money at it.

DMA
July 29, 2021 5:03 pm

I need to ask these authors two questions: 1- What is a climate emergency? 2- How will we recognize it when it occurs?

Scissor
Reply to  DMA
July 29, 2021 5:42 pm

Who are they going to call, Climate Emergency Busters?

July 29, 2021 5:06 pm

The only “Tipping Point” that I can see coming up is that it is going to get quite a bit colder over the next 30 years or so, in which case it may be time to be concerned, especially with the aim of current Climate Chane Alarmist Aims..

July 29, 2021 5:22 pm

Richard Dawkins, in The God Delusion makes the point that descriptions of Hell (especially, including dramatizations to scare the kiddies) have to make Hell really, REALLY, REALLY, REALLY horrible to overcome the extreme unlikelihood that the place actually exists.

So it is with the climatistas. The more years that go by without obvious plagues of megadeaths, Antarctic icecap collapse with sea level rising even unto the very roof of the Obama mansion and “untold suffering” on a continental scale, the more numerous, the more dire and the more vocal the predictions of climate doom have to be to overcome “climate fatigue” in normal people.

Zig Zag Wanderer
Reply to  Smart Rock
July 29, 2021 5:48 pm

have to make Hell really, REALLY, REALLY, REALLY horrible to overcome the extreme unlikelihood that the place actually exists.

I always liked the idea of ‘Heck’ that Scott Adams invented. Like Hell, but just mildly unpleasant.

John
July 29, 2021 5:23 pm

Let all the rational thinking people have a counter letter to the catastrophist’s and submit to the IPCC

Reply to  John
July 29, 2021 9:17 pm

Rational thought and ideas gain zero traction in the media. The key to international fame lies in exploiting (formerly) fringe ideals and morays.

Don’t forget that IPCC will cease to be needed when it finally becomes apparent that CO2 is not the magic control of planetary temperatures.

Reply to  Pop Piasa
July 30, 2021 11:05 am

Pop,
Don’t forget that IPCC will cease to be needed when it finally becomes apparent that CO2 is not the magic control of planetary temperatures.”

Sounds like a feature – not a bug!

Auto

July 29, 2021 5:25 pm

Since the world’s developing nations led by China and India have committed to huge increases in future fossil fuel energy use and since these nations already dominate global energy and emissions (61% of global energy and 2/3rds of global emissions) it is too late to save the world with the path needed to achieve hyped climate tipping points (assuming totally flawed and incompetent climate models aren’t just complete garbage) having been selected years ago.
Given this reality there is simply no reason to do anything but let the developing nations get on with their global destruction and enjoy the ride😁😁.
Have a fun day.

July 29, 2021 5:31 pm

Love the comments on this site.

July 29, 2021 6:00 pm

As with religion (CAGW being another), do we all bow to the most popular one?
Adherents in 2020Christianity 2.382 billion 31.11%
Islam 1.907 billion 24.9%
Secular/Nonreligious/Agnostic/Athiest 1.193 billion 15.58%
Hinduism 1.161 billion 15.16%
Buddhism 506 million 5.06%

Sara
July 29, 2021 6:27 pm

“…..more than 2,800 additional scientists have signed that declaration of a climate emergency….”

Mmmmkaaaayy, well, given that they do not define anything but use buzz words and advertising language to get their point across, I’m unable to decide if this is a preview of another ‘oil is going to run OUT!!!!’ type of TV movie, or just a begging letter being sent out to get cash out of the unsuspecting souls who fall for this twaddle.

Perhaps someone can enlighten me? As I recall, when visiting the Mazon Creek district looking for the Tully Monster, but coming across shrimps, seeded ferns, and crinoids instead, I was unable to understand how warmth can be a threat of any kind. Fire, yes, because it’s messy and no holds are barred, but warm air and pleasant breezes on the ancient dunes that were the beaches of the waterbody that has since shrunk in size into the Great Lakes?

Warm air is a threat? Only if you’re looking for a following of gullible Lost Souls who likely can’t tell one degree from another.

Reply to  Sara
July 29, 2021 10:40 pm

Come on. It does get really, unpleasant hot, many times and places. Always has.

Gary
July 29, 2021 6:29 pm

You don’t get it, the sky is falling and we all must panic! NOW!

markl
July 29, 2021 7:56 pm

“They” must believe people don’t remember their last tipping point announcements. And ‘they’ may be right….. or, no one believes any of it. Eventually …. who knows when …. the MSM will have to admit the failures of doomsday predictions.

CD in Wisconsin
July 29, 2021 8:06 pm

“William J Ripple,  Christopher Wolf,  Thomas M Newsome,  Jillian W Gregg, Timothy M Lenton,  Ignacio Palomo,  Jasper A J Eikelboom,  Beverly E Law,  Saleemul Huq, Philip B Duffy,  Johan Rockström”

Just out of curiosity, I looked the the background of the first four people on the list above. Two are ecologists (surprise surprise!), one is a biologist (but also teaches some climate courses). There are multiple Christopher Wolfs, and I am not sure which one is listed above (none seemed to have a climate science related background).

Somehow, given the wording of this latest warning, these backgrounds don’t surprise me. I suppose they figure no one will bother looking up their backgrounds and ask any questions.

Reply to  CD in Wisconsin
July 30, 2021 12:09 am

All you need is A.., you belong to the church and B…, you do some kind of ”sciency” thing.

July 29, 2021 8:08 pm

The only tipping point is when they all fall over and their heads go completely up their asses.