Biden’s U.S. Emissions Reduction Scheme Repeats Past Failures That Promote More Global Emissions Increases

Guest essay by Larry Hamlin

Biden and the Democrats U.S. 50% emissions reduction by year 2030 pipe dream scheme will simply lead to the same failed future emissions outcomes that have already occurred during the last 15 years but on an even more staggeringly expensive and catastrophically damaging economic scale.

The hard core truth about Biden’s and the Democrat’s “climate summit” political shenanigans was exposed in a Financial Times article which characterized the pledges made by the U.S. and other nations as “unrealistic” and  “grandstanding.” The article further noted:

“But the reality is that countries simply haven’t done enough at home with follow-through policies to meet even the promises made more than 5 years ago.”

Global emissions data displaying emissions growth from 2005 (the year pegged by Biden as the point from which to measure the politically contrived 50% U.S. emissions reduction target) through 2019 shows the growth of global emissions driven ever upward solely by the non-OECD nations with most of these nations having no emissions reduction commitments at all in the coming decades including the giant emissions increase drivers China and India that have a combined 5.8 billion metric tons in CO2 growth during this period compared with 1.8 billion tons in reductions achieved by the U.S. and Europe that are simply swallowed up by these other nations.

More significantly the relative increase of these non-OECD nations growth from 2005 to 2019 displays even more starkly the magnitude of disparity in what has happened to emissions growth between the developed and developing nations during this period. China’s emissions have grown by over 76% from 2005, India’s by over 120% since 2005 with the U.S. and Europe having emissions growth declines of about 14% and 15% respectively.

Global emissions data reflecting all developing and developed nations emissions outcomes provides a clear picture of how ridiculous the emissions disparity has become between these groups of nations demonstrating that Biden’s and his Democrats reduction schemes are irrelevant (but massively expensive) in stopping the ever upward climb of global emissions.  

The world’s developed nations (OECD Developed Nations) with the U.S. and EU leading the way achieved global emissions reductions from year 2005 through year 2019 of nearly 1.7 billion metric tons of CO2 as clearly shown below with the significant reduction decline commencing at the start of that time period.


But these OECD nation reductions are vastly overwhelmed by the developing nations (Non-OECD Developing Nations) colossal emissions growth of nearly 8.2 billion metric tons as depicted below with the incredibly sharp rise driven by China and India clearly apparent in the 2005 through 2019 time period.

The end result achieved when the developing and developed nations emissions are combined (the graph below combines all OECD and non-OECD nations emissions with the U.S. emissions profile marking the boundary between these groups with all non-OECD nations emissions positioned above the U.S.) shows that over the period 2005 through 2019 there are  huge increased global emissions growth of over 6.5 billion metric tons of CO2 during this period with the developed nations (OECD Developed Nations) emissions downturn starting in 2005 clearly visible in the graph being completely overwhelmed by the ever upward sharp rise in total global emissions dictated solely by the world’s developing nations (Non-OECD Developing Nations) led by China and India.

These emission outcome disparities between the developing and developed nations as vividly displayed in these graphs are dishonestly concealed by Biden, the Democratic Party and their media shills (presentations of global emissions data and graphs are avoided by Biden and his Democrat emission reduction advocates because these comparisons clearly display the absurdity of their reduction schemes) who falsely claim their efforts are needed to “fight climate change” when in fact global emissions are continuing to skyrocket ever upward.

So completely out of touch with energy and emissions reality are Biden and his Democrats that they continue to propose shutting down our countries use of lower cost, higher efficiency and lower emissions natural gas despite the fact that natural gas provided about 3.4 billion metric tons of cumulative CO2  reductions in the  2005 to 2019 period which represented about 62% of the nation’s total reductions during this period. Biden’s and the Democrats position on shutting down use of natural gas can only be characterized as an act of monumental stupidity and incompetence.

The pattern of inevitable skyrocketing and globally controlling non-OECD emissions increases was mistakenly revealed by Biden in his Presidential address to Congress on April 28 when he went “off script” and announced that he rejoined the failed Paris Climate Agreement because U.S. emission reductions “don’t matter” because Biden, his Democrats and their media cabal know that massively large increased growths in emissions are being driven by the world’s developing nations that can’t be stopped.

Regardless of the emission reductions achieved in the future by the U.S. and EU global emissions will climb ever upward by additional billons of metric tons driven by the insatiable appetite of the developing nations to drive growth in their economies with this growth requiring continued vastly increased use of fossil fuels including much more coal (the most used fuel of the non-OECD nations), natural gas and oil.  

Unfortunately, Biden and his Democratic Party’s emission reduction targets “do matter” to Americans because their immensely costly multi-trillion-dollar negative impact on the economy will achieve absolutely nothing toward stopping the increased growth of global emissions while greatly damaging the U.S. economy.

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Tom Halla
May 7, 2021 6:09 am

It is all virtue signaling anyway. Biden and the Democrats just want to publicly appear to be doing something, and don’t much care about the consequences.

George Tetley
Reply to  Tom Halla
May 7, 2021 6:17 am

A politician thinks history starts when he wakes up . Why I ask again why is it not law for politicians to take an IQ test? Perhaps the humour would put the word right with laughter

Latitude
Reply to  Tom Halla
May 7, 2021 8:01 am

It’s not virtue signaling….it’s a scam

…UN, WHO, IPCC are all China first…and our own government has joined in

Felix
Reply to  Latitude
May 7, 2021 12:19 pm

It is a means to an end, and the end is the same as always — grow the State.

Chris Nisbet
Reply to  Tom Halla
May 7, 2021 11:31 am

“don’t much care about the consequences”.
I don’t really believe that any more. I don’t believe they can be unaware that humans aren’t wrecking the climate, that unreliable energy isn’t all that green, or that the anti-coal policies aren’t damaging the economy.
If they know all that and still persist with pushing the climate change lie on us, they _must_ really want to wreck things. Thay _can’t_ be that thick.

Oldseadog
Reply to  Chris Nisbet
May 7, 2021 11:57 am

Most of them know it perfectly well, but they have painted themselves into a corner and don’t know how to get out without looking silly and none of them have the courage to admit they were wrong.

philincalifornia
Reply to  Chris Nisbet
May 7, 2021 12:11 pm

The politicians are that thick (I’d have two short planks ahead of John Kerry in any science test, or other even). It’s the scientists who have devolved to being the prostitutes for the thick people, and they should know better, and probably do.

Giordano Milton
May 7, 2021 6:30 am

When we shift manufacturing overseas, we should expect that we are simply shifting emissions and jobs along with it.

Joseph Zorzin
Reply to  Giordano Milton
May 7, 2021 7:14 am

Exactly- so each nation should count the emissions of the products it imports as its own. That would result in better carbon counting- not that I think carbon is a problem, but as long as its the main topic of conversation- its important to get the accounting right.

AGW is Not Science
Reply to  Joseph Zorzin
May 7, 2021 7:48 am

But since “carbon” (DIOXIDE) is NOT a “problem,” let’s just stop playing their game in talking about “emissions.”

There is no empirical evidence that human CO2 emissions, or CO2 levels from whatever source drive the effing climate, so “emissions” don’t mean a damn thing.

Joseph Zorzin
Reply to  AGW is Not Science
May 7, 2021 7:53 am

Of course- but getting the accounting correct will force people to realize that if they want to solve “the problem”- they’ll have to drastically lower their standard of living and they surely won’t want that and won’t do it. Maybe that will force them to realize there is no problem.

Mike Maguire
Reply to  AGW is Not Science
May 7, 2021 12:23 pm

The climate features slight beneficial warming and the best weather and conditions for most life in at least 1,000 years…..on this greening planet.

Bryan A
Reply to  Giordano Milton
May 7, 2021 9:52 am

Not to mention a hostile country’s eminent control over distribution/access of/to said products

2hotel9
May 7, 2021 6:31 am

When Xiden Admin forces a rise in electric and gas prices I will use more wood and coal to heat our home. It is just that simple.

Bryan A
May 7, 2021 6:49 am

What exactly is wrong with Bai-Den wanting to outsource CO2 intensive industries to the ChiComs?
China is only a developing developed nation…
…hostile to all their immediate neighbors
…bent on global dominance
…which doesn’t care about human rights
…that still believes in slavery
…which steals technology
…that has THE BOMB
…that has a space program
…that doesn’t care where their Space Garbage falls

Oh … wait …

Last edited 1 month ago by Bryan A
dk_
May 7, 2021 6:53 am

I keep thinking of Charles Durning’s “Do a Little Sidestep” number from “The Best Little Whorehouse in Texas.” Except its the white whorehouse, and Biden falls down alot.

Joseph Zorzin
May 7, 2021 7:11 am

Isn’t it the case that much of the huge increase in China’s “carbon pollution” is due to that nation being the “workshop of the world”?

Gary Pearse
May 7, 2021 7:14 am

I thought I was shouting into a vacuum over the last few years with my much repeated insistence that we will be doing the Great CO2 Experiment no matter what self immolating reductions ‘achieved’ by the West with its wasted 100s of trillions.

There will be no hiding true ECS of a doubling of CO2. We will know it to several decimal places with the Big CO2 Experiment. Another no-brainer prediction is we will know the culprits that have impoverished us and shortened our lives. And another: We will begin seeing the desperate walk-backs by doctrinaire scientists and rats leaving the sink ship and writing drivel on how they foresaw all this and ‘what they really meant’ (remember how they rationalized what Trenberth meant by “travesty” re not knowing what was causing the Pause and Mann meant by “hide the decline” in the three-ring trend?). The most strident culprits didn’t even prepare themselves an exit strategy. This us going to be the real “Great Reset”.

AGW is Not Science
Reply to  Gary Pearse
May 7, 2021 7:51 am

Only they will FALSELY attribute *all* of the increase of temperature to CO2 levels, when it is in fact caused by anything BUT CO2 levels (which constitute “effect” more than “cause” of rising temperatures).

Pat from Kerbob
Reply to  Gary Pearse
May 7, 2021 8:29 am

I think when reading the climategate emails, Tommy Wils described what will happen when the scenario you describe comes to pass.
People like this will need a place to hide

Coach Springer
May 7, 2021 7:26 am

It is always virtue signaling at the top, but the consequences follow the law of gravity.

Sara
May 7, 2021 7:30 am

Just a question, because some things don’t add up: are these zero-emissions people even vaguely aware that volcanoes are a major source of noxious gases and should be required to shut down all activity, too?

Should those countries that have active volcanoes now be hit with major fines for not stopping the emissions by their volcanoes?

I mean, really, when you think about it, if they can’t bring themselves to stop all that gassy outgassing, like Etna (Sicily/Italy) and the volcanoes in Iceland (several), never mind Anak Krakatau and whatever is going off in South America and the Caribbean, that’s a lot of gassy stuff that isn’t being controlled at all.

(Do I HAVE to throw in the sarc tag?)

griff
Reply to  Sara
May 7, 2021 7:56 am

If you check you will find human Co2 annually is 100 times the amount volcanoes spew out – which is part of a natural carbon cycle anyway.

It is the addition of human CO2 on top of the natural carbon cycle skewing things.

Pat from Kerbob
Reply to  griff
May 7, 2021 8:31 am

No Griff, that would require there to be a nice linear amount of volcanic CO2.
Instead it is quite sporadic and can vary greatly from year to year.

And we have no idea how much of this is really going on under water and under ice

Gene
Reply to  griff
May 7, 2021 8:52 am

griff… are you even aware,of the recent discoveries of volcanic activity under both Iceland’s and Antarctica’s sea ice? some ice melting is attributable to this natural phenomenon. You are correct about human emissions far exceeding the sporadic volcanic activity. It’s still pure conjecture, that adding CO2 to the atmosphere is anything other than beneficial to life on the earth.

Nicholas McGinley
Reply to  Gene
May 7, 2021 10:46 am

If by “pure conjecture” you mean “deliberate lie”, I agree with you.

Reply to  griff
May 7, 2021 9:12 am

China’s annual greenhouse gas emissions exceed those of all developed countries combined for the first time, according to a new study. This is the conclusion reached by the US think tank Rhodium Group in a comparison of China with the EU countries, the USA and the other members of the industrialised countries organisation OECD.

Moreover, the most populous country alone contributed to 27 per cent of global CO2-equivalent (CO2e) emissions in 2019 – far more than the US in second place at 11 per cent. According to the calculations, India climbed to third place for the first time with 6.6 per cent.

Translated with http://www.DeepL.com/Translator (free version)

German source

So we don’t freeze 😀 – be happy, as you had the coldest winter since decades 😀

Bryan A
Reply to  griff
May 7, 2021 9:56 am

And Humans are Unnatural beings??

Last I checked there was
UnNatural
Natural
Supernatural

Natural meaning all things in Nature
I thought I was ultimately spawned by nature
Do you mean Evolution is a lie???

Reply to  griff
May 7, 2021 2:24 pm

I am a proud member of FOC…Friends of CO2….we are tired of this massive obsessive demonization of a truly noble gas…the One that helps plants produce the life giving O2 to man. Stop this madness of starving our green plants of CO2 now. Crooked pols and fake scientists created this fake hobgoblin. Enough is enough.

Last edited 1 month ago by Anti-griff
Doonman
Reply to  griff
May 7, 2021 3:50 pm

If you check you will find termites emit 10 times the amount of CO2 that humans do.

Science 05 Nov 1982: Vol. 218, Issue 4572, pp. 563-565 DOI: 10.1126/science.218.4572.563

We could exterminate 10% of the termites and CO2 emissions would then be even.

Go ahead and deny the science.

pigs_in_space
Reply to  griff
May 9, 2021 12:55 am

Griff the eco-loony does it again!
Co2 is forecast to be the new deadly “sars-cov” virus.

The PRC are laughing at us all the way, because he regurgitates their propaganda on an almost daily basis.

I forecast mandatory public mask wearing will be reintroduced to stop people inhaling this deadly poisonous gas.

Paul Jenkinson
May 7, 2021 7:34 am

I love WUWT but,as a layman,I would give this article a 5/5 as it’s full of information that I can use to quickly refute the arguments of my pro-climatealarm family and friends. What we do in poor little Australia is going to make no difference at all.
And I note that China is only slowing the GROWTH of their CO2 emissions after 2030.

observa
Reply to  Paul Jenkinson
May 7, 2021 7:59 am

 “What we do in poor little Australia is going to make no difference at all.”

That’s true but we don’t have to go along with the Neo-Marxists in Washington running Uncle Joe as their sock puppet-
The Biden administration ‘is being run by hardcore Neo-Marxists’ (msn.com)

Lrp
Reply to  observa
May 7, 2021 11:35 am

I’m afraid we do go along with a lot, I.e shutting down coal power plants and not replacing them, solar and wind subsidies, countless parasitic government bodies watching and counting CO2 molecules, ….

Pat from Kerbob
Reply to  Paul Jenkinson
May 7, 2021 8:32 am

And I note that China is only SAYING THEY WILL slow the GROWTH of their CO2 emissions after 2030″

Fixed it.

Rod Evans
May 7, 2021 8:01 am

Well , I just received my annual electricity demand which is paid monthly. It has risen by 40% since last years demand.
They are banning gas installations from 2025 here in the UK. They have already banned open fires in all urban communities and the ban on log burners is in the pipe line of draconian legislation that passed for government, these days.
It is difficult to image what people will be using to keep warm and illuminate their homes come 2030 when all of our fossil fuel cars will have been banned. Can’t go and sit in the car to warm up then, as it will be a battery powered offering that doesn’t do creature comfort in a cold emergency.
That warm glow of virtue will be shining brightly though, so who are we mere mortals to complain?

Lrp
Reply to  Rod Evans
May 7, 2021 11:37 am

Move closer to Griff; the heat emanating from his place should keep the whole town warm or cool, as needed

Oldseadog
Reply to  Rod Evans
May 7, 2021 12:05 pm

I have an open fire in my house here in a central Scotlandand town and can use it so long as I use “smokeless” fuel or fuel that originates on my property. I also have a multiburner on my canal boat and burn whatever I find on the canal bank.

TonyG
Reply to  Rod Evans
May 7, 2021 12:36 pm

Rod, come 2030 the earth will be so hot nobody will ever have to worry about warming their homes!

😉

Rod Evans
Reply to  TonyG
May 7, 2021 2:44 pm

Thanks Tony, I had forgotten about the benefits of Global Warming, silly me.:)

Abolition Man
May 7, 2021 8:14 am

Larry,
Whatever led you to believe that the Bai Den Regime’s energy policies had ANYTHING to do with reducing atmospheric CO2!? They’re merely trying to cow the American public into accepting the peasant lifestyle that the elites have determined is best for their own future! While members of the elite dash about the world in their limousines and private jets, the smelly Deplorables can cling to their state issued, newly revised Bible 2.0; written by the CCP in coordination with the Vatican! All firearms will, of course, be removed from the clutches of the ignorati; only loyal and obedient servants may bear arms!

With the US and Europe essentially neutered, our noble rulers can reinstitute their favorite systems for dealing with the plebes; slavery and Communism! Since only Western liberal democracies with a strong Judeo-Christian bent have ever defeated these two pernicious institutions, it is doubtful that the New Darker Ages will end anytime in the near future!

Perhaps by the time we throw off our shackles
we will be back in a period of glacial onset, and our descendants can happily burn any and all fossil fuels remaining in memory of the trillions of dollars and the millions of lives that were wasted in following Green Road to Ruin! It may not do anything to warm the climate, but it’ll keep them from freezing their asses off!

Olen
May 7, 2021 8:48 am

In short the Democrats are a disaster.

Petit_Barde
May 7, 2021 10:24 am

50% of CO2 emission reduction in 9 years without Nuc massive increase can only be achieved by a dramatic population reduction.

Stay safe.

Last edited 1 month ago by Petit_Barde
Bruce Cobb
May 7, 2021 10:47 am

“Biden’s and the Democrats position on shutting down use of natural gas can only be characterized as an act of <strike>monumental stupidity and incompetence</strike>Treason.”
There, fixed.

Felix
May 7, 2021 12:17 pm

NONE of them give a toss about emissions control. It is entirely about growing the State. They are statists through and through. Nothing else matters.

Douglas Proctor
May 7, 2021 12:56 pm

We have a conflict of time. Is we suddenly decarbonize now, we have a big hit to the economy for at least 10 years. But then does the economy go back to growing? Do our lifestyles improve again ?

I dunno.

Lomberg et al show doing nothing and suffering “harm” over its 80 years is invisible. And of course stuff will happen anyway – fossil fuels are a non renewable resource that becomes more expensive with scarcity and expense “fuel” replacement technology. So “doing nothing ” isn’t reasonable anyway.

But we don’t know the endgame for the Green New Deal. An impoverished 2040? Looks likely to me, especially as it would require heavy handed government mandates and control of the general citizenry.

The Republic as is cannot survive a Green New Deal as it requires federal control of State policies and regulations.

Walter Sobchak
May 7, 2021 12:59 pm

“Biden’s and the Democrats position on shutting down use of natural gas can only be characterized as an act of monumental stupidity and incompetence.”

Have you considered that foreign powers hostile to the United States may have padi these politicians to take actions inimical to its prosperity. Russia for example competes with the US as a supplier of NG. China is a customer but they also want to weken the united States economically in pursiut of their plan for world domination.

To be blunt about it they have been bought and paid for.

Steve Z
May 7, 2021 1:17 pm

Biden: “U.S. emission reductions don’t matter”.

If they don’t matter, why spend trillions of dollars and destroy our country’s economy to reduce our CO2 emissions?

Hutches Hunches
May 7, 2021 1:42 pm

What we have here is a glorified race to the bottom. Let’s see if we can beat all the other countries in the world in creating a replica of medieval society. Of course your I-Phone will no longer let you prance around on the internet virtue signaling all your contributions because the internet won’t without carbon based products. Minor detail…all you deniers just need to STFU and get lined up with the wokies!

markl
May 7, 2021 3:08 pm

No country will ever meet their so called NDC without committing political suicide by cratering their economy and all the virtue signaling in the world won’t get them there either. The country politicians are all playing the same game. Say and do enough to make it appear they are committed but nothing more. I’m surprised no country yet has the balls to do the real science, call the scam, and tell the UN it’s naked on this.

Doonman
May 7, 2021 3:40 pm

Joe Biden and the democrats in power know perfectly well that they cannot save the earth from climate emergency because they are all too old and will be dead before anything they want to do can happen.

Look at the calendar and then look at their ages. Its not a secret.

So everything they say they are going to accomplish is immediately suspect because its all a deadhand operation.

Edward Katz
May 7, 2021 6:21 pm

The whole business of emissions reductions efforts in the Developed World is just a con-job designed to convince people to accept more government restrictions, regulations and above all, higher taxes, All of these translate into higher living costs due to the subsidization of inefficient and unreliable Green technologies.

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