The dangerous winds of trying to prevent climate change

Inconvenient facts show why wind energy is not renewable, sustainable or climate-friendly

Duggan Flanakin

Wind turbines continue to be the most controversial of so-called “renewable” energy sources worldwide. But, you say, wind is surely renewable. It blows intermittently, but it’s natural, free, renewable and climate-friendly.

That’s certainly what we hear, almost constantly. However, while the wind itself may be “renewable,” the turbines, the raw materials that go into making them, and the lands they impact certainly are not. And a new report says harnessing wind to generate electricity actually contributes to global warming!

Arcadia Power reports that the widely used GE 1.5-megawatt (MW) turbine is a 164-ton mini-monster with 116-foot blades on a 212-foot tower that weighs another 71 tons. The Vestas V90 2.0-MW has 148-foot blades on a 262-foot tower, and a total weight of about 267 tons. The concrete and steel rebar foundations that they sit on weigh up to 800 tons, or more. And the newer 3.0-MW and even more powerful turbines and foundations weigh a lot more than that.

Citing National Renewable Energy Laboratory data, the U.S. Geological Survey notes that wind turbines are predominantly made of steel (which comprises 71-79% of total turbine mass), fiberglass and resin composites in the blades (11-16%), iron or cast iron (5-17%), copper (1%), aluminum (0-2%), rare earth elements (1-3%) and other materials. Plus the concrete and rebar that anchor the turbines in the earth.

It takes enormous amounts of energy (virtually all of it fossil fuels) to remove the overlying rock to get to the ores and limestone, refine and process the materials into usable metals and concrete, fabricate them into all the turbine components, and ship everything to their ultimate locations. Petroleum for the resins and composites – and all that energy – must also be extracted from the earth, by drilling and fracking, followed by refining and manufacturing, again with fossil fuel energy.

Wind turbine transportation logistics can be a deciding factor in scheduling, costing and locating a project, Wind Power Monthly admits. The challenge of moving equipment from factories to ports to ultimate industrial wind power generation sites has become more formidable almost by the year, as the industry has shifted to larger and larger turbines. Offshore turbine sizes (up to 10 megawatts and 650 feet in height) present even more daunting logistical, maintenance and removal challenges.

Back in 2010, transportation costs totaled an average 10% of the upfront capital cost of a wind project. Transporting the nacelles (housings for the energy-generating components, including the shaft, generator and gearing, to which the rotor and blades are attached) typically required a 19-axle truck and trailer that cannot operate using renewable energy and which a decade ago cost about $1.5 million apiece. Those costs have continued to escalate.

Highways and city streets must often be closed down during transport to wind farm sites hundreds, even thousands, of miles away – to allow nacelles, 100-foot tower sections and 150-foot blades to pass through.

Transmission lines and transformers add still more to the costs, and the need for non-renewable materials – including more steel, copper, aluminum and concrete. To get wind-generated energy from largely remote locations to cities that need electricity and are eager to cash in on the 2.3 cent per kilowatt-hour production tax credit, the U.S. is spending $47.9 billion to construct transmission lines through 2025.

Of that, $22.1 billion will be spent on transmission projects aimed at integrating renewable energy into the existing power grid, without making it so unstable that we get repeated blackouts.

On top of all that, wind turbines only last maybe 20 years – about half the life spans of coal, gas and nuclear power plants. Offshore turbines last maybe 12-15 years, due to constant corrosion from constant salt spray. Then they have to be decommissioned and removed. According to Isaac Orr, policy fellow at the Center of the American Experiment, the cost of decommissioning a single turbine can reach half a million dollars. Then the old ones have to be replaced – with more raw materials, mining and smelting.

Recycling these materials also consumes considerable energy, when they can be recycled. Turbine blades are extremely hard, if not impossible to recycle, because they are complex composites that are extremely strong and hard to break apart. A lot of times, the blades just get cut up in large segments and dumped in landfills – if they can find landfills that want them. The massive concrete bases often just get left behind.

All these activities require incredible amounts of fossil fuel energy, raw materials, mining lands and waste products (overburden, mined-out rock and processed ores). How much, exactly? The wind energy industry certainly isn’t telling, wind energy promoters and environmentalist groups certainly don’t want to discuss it, and even government agencies haven’t bothered to calculate the amounts.

But shouldn’t those kinds of data be presented front and center during any discussion of what is – or is not – clean, green, free, renewable, sustainable, eco-friendly energy?

We constantly see and hear reports that the cost of wind energy per kilowatt-hour delivered to homes and businesses are becoming competitive with coal, gas, nuclear and hydroelectric alternatives. But if that is the case, why do we still need all the mandates, feed-in tariffs and other subsidies? And do those reports factor in the huge costs and environmental impacts presented here?

Amid all these terribly inconvenient facts about wind energy, it shouldn’t be too surprising that a new study destroys the industry’s fundamental claim: that wind energy helps prevent global warming. Harvard professor of applied physics and public policy David Keith and his postdoctoral researcher, Lee Miller, recently found that heavy reliance on wind energy actually increases climate warming! If this is so, it raises serious questions about just how much the U.S. or other nations should rely on wind power.

As the authors explain, the warming is produced because wind turbines generate electricity by extracting energy out of the air, slowing down wind and otherwise altering “the exchange of heat, moisture, and momentum between the surface and the atmosphere.” The impact of wind on warming in the studied scenario was 10 times greater than the climate effect from solar farms, which can also have a warming impact, the two scientists said.

The study, published in the journal Joule, found that if wind power supplied all U.S. electricity demands, it would warm the surface of the continental United States by 0.24 degree C (0.43 Fahrenheit). That is far more than any reduction in warming achieved by totally decarbonizing the nation’s electricity sector (around 0.1 C or 0.2 F)) during the 21st century – assuming climate models are correct about the amount of warming that carbon dioxide emissions are allegedly causing.

“If your perspective is the next ten years, wind power actually has – in some respects – more climate impact than coal or gas,” says Keith, a huge wind power supporter. But, he added, “If your perspective is the next thousand years, then wind power is enormously cleaner than coal or gas.”

Of course, his analysis assumes significant warming that has yet to occur, despite increasing use of fossil fuels by China, India, Indonesia and other countries. It also assumes the world will still be using increasing amounts of coal and natural gas 100 to 1,000 years from now – a highly dubious proposition. And it ignores every point made in this article, which clearly explains why wind energy is not really cleaner than coal or gas.

Maybe, my friends, the answer is not blowing in the wind.

Duggan Flanakin is Director of Policy Research at the Committee For A Constructive Tomorrow (www.CFACT.org)

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Robert B
December 14, 2019 1:37 pm

I recently drive past a windfarm south of Ballarat in Victoria, Australia. Twice last month about 6am.

The second trip had a decent wind blowing. Not gale force but enough to make me wonder again when summer would arrive (this week, apparently, but its being touted as something unusual, again. 3 days over 40C so I’m guessing 3 days of 40.0C). Still all of the bird choppers were feathered (as in not tilted so as to turn) bar one spinning away a decent rate if knots.

I know that 6 am is not a huge time for power consumption but solar is not contributing at that time. So its not just they are useless when the wind is not blowing and when the wind us blowing too hard, but when the minimum from fossil fuelled base power is enough.

December 14, 2019 1:51 pm

“Wind energy is free”. Wonderful. It’s almost equally true to say that the energy in a barrel of oil, or a ton of coal, or a pound of yellow-cake is free. It just costs to capture the energy, in terms of labour, materials and (lest we forget) energy to find them, get them out of the ground, refine them and get them to their market. It’s no different with wind power, and this post does a good job of highlighting those costs. The only advantage that wind power can claim is that it’s renewable, a characteristic it does share with hydro power.

Wind power has been a useful source of energy for human development for hundreds, possibly thousands of years. Mainly, it was used for grinding grains to make flour, and its other big use was for keeping the polders pumped out in the Netherlands. Both of these functions could handle intermittency without causing major problems. The miller could wait for a few days to grind his customers’ corn or wheat, and the polders wouldn’t be under water if the wind didn’t blow for a week.

But running a modern industrial society requires a much more consistent energy supply to keep everything we use electricity for, running smoothly. Our modern societies have dramatically variable demands on the electric grid, depending on the weather, the day of the week and the time of day. And unfortunately for wind power, which also varies dramatically over time, its variations are not synchronised with the demands of the users. If you’re stuck in an elevator between the 86th and 87th floors of an office building, you won’t feel like waiting for the wind to start blowing again.

So until grid-scale batteries are available, and cheap, and reliable, wind power is only ever going to be a small component of a modern electricity-reliant society. Window dressing, virtue-signalling (and a few other names that might get moderated out).

Also, thinking about how variable the demands for electricity are (diurnally, seasonally, day-of-the-week etc.) I’m not sure that “all nuclear all the time” is a viable solution. High-proportion nuclear power works in Lithuania, France, Ontario and presumably in other highly nuclear jurisdictions, because they can sell surplus power to other, less nuclearized places cheaply, even if it’s below the cost of production. But if everywhere on earth is nuclear-powered, there won’t be anywhere to dump surplus power. Unless 4th-generation or 5th-generation nuclear plants can be made with scalable output, this could put limits on the
level of nuclear penetration in the electric-utility environment. And scalable nuclear power is at least as likely to be developed as grid-scale batteries that don’t require all the cobalt ever mined.

IMHO the “Chinese rare earth monopoly and environmental disaster” is a bit of a red herring. Rare earths aren’t that rare. Separating them from the host rock and separating them from each other is difficult, but the main obstacle to rare-earth production is the lack of will on the part of miners and regulators (and in the case of miners, finding investment to fund the process will be an issue too).

Also IMHO the “synchronization” issue is probably another red herring. Not being an electrical engineering specialist, I can’t visualise exactly how it could be solved, but if anywhere is wacky enough to try ” all wind all the time” (hello California, hello Scotland) I can imagine a solution being found, possibly based on DC-to-AC conversion synchronised to a 50 Hz or 60 Hz signal that is transmitted independently of the grid (e.g. by telephone). A technology like that would make “spinning reserve” unnecessary.

The real objections to very high levels of wind power penetration of electrical grids are well known. Cost (when adding the cost of backup), reliability, lack of longevity, and the really big ones – intermittency and the effects on wildlife – birds, bats, insects (and marine mammals in the case of offshore wind farms). Activists who object to nuclear power on environmental grounds are deliberately blinding themselves to the negative effects of wind farms (possibly because they mostly live in cities and don’t have to look at the bloody things).

sonofametman
Reply to  Smart Rock
December 15, 2019 2:50 am

The green zealots here in Scotland can get away with their “wind is wonderful” claims, mainly because our grid is still interconnected with England’s. Surplus power goes south, and when we’re short it flows back again. Imports increased markedly when the last coal plant at Longannet was turned off. For some reason they still haven’t demolished it. The Scottish National Party, who are in hock (politically) to the Green Party, want to de-commission and not replace our two remaining nuclear plants. I dread that, and am tempted to move to the south of England when I retire. England isn’t much better policy-wise, it’s just that the proportion of wind is much smaller, there are fewer good wind power sites and more people, and politically it isn’t a one-party state in the way Scotland is, so there’s a better chance of a policy change. However our new (conservative !?) PM did re-state the net-zero by 2050 thing, so all hope may in fact be lost.
I have been tempted in the past by the idea of building a house out of town , with a large coal bunker, LPG tank and generator.
Maybe now’s the time.

Stevek
December 14, 2019 2:14 pm

Turbines would make sense in certain high wind areas. The big problem is that wind does not always blow so backup nuclear or carbon based generation is needed. China has put in fair bit of wind power, but they are also making coal fired plants as well. Natural Gas is so cheap in USA wind doesn’t make much sense except it n certain high wind areas. Wind at the end of the day is not a solution. In my opinion the best solution is geo engineering if in fact co2 leads to out of control temps. That of course is a big IF. Geo engineering is not that expensive and not risky for many types of geo engineering. Volcanoes already so a natural geo engineering.

Patrick MJD
Reply to  Stevek
December 14, 2019 6:32 pm

“Stevek December 14, 2019 at 2:14 pm

Turbines would make sense in certain high wind areas.”

Not really because too much wind burns them out rather quickly. Also, there is the matter of, IIRC, “Betz” law which states that you can only ever recover up to ~60% of the kinetic energy from the input wind source. Anyone claiming more than that is talking rubbish.

Randy Wester
Reply to  Patrick MJD
December 14, 2019 8:36 pm

They recently decomissioned the Cowley Ridge wind farm near Pincher Creek. It was about 25 years old, still working after exceeding a design life of 20 years. It outlasted the company that built the turbines and switchgear, did not “burn out early” but rather became obsolete.

The turbines replacing them are going to be 10 to 20 times larger, but fewer.

Patrick MJD
Reply to  Randy Wester
December 14, 2019 9:53 pm

I was responding to;

“Stevek December 14, 2019 at 2:14 pm

Turbines would make sense in certain high wind areas.”

Wind turbines in “high wind” areas do burn out early. I don’t know where “Cowley Ridge wind farm near Pincher Creek” is however (Found it. A very large area of relatively flat land in south west Canada suggests to me fairly regular, steady, wind patterns), I can draw on some personal experience in a place called Wellington, New Zealand. When a Nor/Wester blows windmills can’t handle that “high wind”, even the steady flow, let alone gusts! It simply blows too hard and burns them out.

Randy Wester
Reply to  Patrick MJD
December 14, 2019 10:25 pm

I think only a realtor would describe the winds in the area that way, but it’s well above sea level’ 1000 metres or so, so the forces are lower.

It might uproot trees if any survived the winters. The variable pitch blades can feather and shut down.

Regardless, wind turbines wotk well in the area, as of now there are 1700 mw of them, about twice the amount of hydro capacity and similar capacity factor. I’ve not heard of any overspeed or storm damage.

Patrick MJD
Reply to  Patrick MJD
December 15, 2019 1:27 am

“Randy Wester December 14, 2019 at 10:25 pm”

With the scare of sea level rise, very old naval ports, Portsmouth, Gosport, Exeter etc in the UK are still not showing any significant sea level rise after hundreds of years.

Randy Wester
Reply to  Patrick MJD
December 15, 2019 2:25 am

Interesting random fact bak atcha, I live in the bottom of a riverr valley 675 metres above sea level. Surrounded by fossil beds because the land was once sea bed. Notbecause the sea was higher, but because the crust has since lifted and moved north.

Another one : the BC shoreline moves up and down more than the sea level does, on a 300 is year cycle, as the rock flexes above the coastal subduction zone. One day it’s going to drop several metres. Probably som going to blame Alberta.

There is no fixed global ‘sea level’ because the continents are floating on liquid rock.

But I do wish Texas would cut down on flaring because one day it’s going to be freaking cold and we’ll want it.

Patrick MJD
Reply to  Randy Wester
December 14, 2019 9:59 pm

You also need to look up Betz law. A turbine that is 10 – 20 times larger (Thank what?) will still convert only UP TO ~60% of the kinetic energy in the wind in to useful mechanical output, and then there are mechanical and electrical losses. Bigger isn’t always better.

Randy Wester
Reply to  Patrick MJD
December 14, 2019 10:44 pm

Yes, they are larger but fewer. So the swept area is both wider and taller. There is downwind turbulence but the windy area extends several hundred miles to the east of the Rockies so there is a lot of room for more. Not much need, but plenty of room.

Patrick MJD
Reply to  Randy Wester
December 14, 2019 10:09 pm

Do you have access to the maintenance record over 25 years?

Randy Wester
Reply to  Patrick MJD
December 14, 2019 11:13 pm

No, Trans Alta didn’t publish them. They did have to cannibalize aanother decomissioned site to keep this one going, as the manufacturer had gone away.

There are some interesting articles on how the company had shut down plants seemingly to manipulate power prices, and tried to shut down a plant claiming prematire boiler failure as Force Majeur, but lost that in court. They did partake of the billions of buyout to shut down coal plants early, but aren’t shuttung them down. So if they were to publish on the wind turbines I would not trust it as much more than “based on real events.”

The fact is that they bought out the original builder of the wind farms and owned them at shutdown, 23 years after startup.

They’re waiting on a subsidy to rebuild, (Calgaru Herald, April 2016) I hope they get nothing, ever.

Patrick MJD
Reply to  Patrick MJD
December 15, 2019 12:19 am

“Randy Wester December 14, 2019 at 11:13 pm

They’re waiting on a subsidy…”

Nothing more need be said.

DocSiders
December 14, 2019 2:15 pm

Wind power is only about political power. So it matters not if it pollutes more or costs more.

December 15, 2019 10:15 am

On top of all that, wind turbines only last maybe 20 years – about half the life spans of coal, gas and nuclear power plants.

The plant I worked at had 2 pulverized-coal fired units, one built in 1944 & the other in 1957. Both operated w/only typical maintenance & additions like precipitators until shut down in 2016 due to regulations & the resulting economics (they could have kept running otherwise). So, lasted 72 & 59 yrs respectively.

Loren Wilson
December 15, 2019 3:20 pm

All of the energy and resources used to produce a wind turbine is reflected in its cost, just as a coal or gas powered generating station. The best way to compare them is via actual (not subsidized) cost to develop per megawatt-hour of output. the cost of backup has to be included as well. Coal-fired power plants have a backup for maintenance and repairs. Since they have a service factor of about 0.95, twenty-one plants can produce 20 plants-worth of power reliably. Many coal-fired power plants keep a few months’ supply of coal on hand, so short-term interruptions in fuel supply do not cause a black-out. Wind farms cannot keep any fuel in reserve and need a much higher level of back-up. The cost of this has to be included in the cost of wind power. Then we can see which one is best to use.

December 16, 2019 12:38 pm

Her is a simple business model of why Weather Dependent Renewables cost so much even if you don’t count in all the ancillary extras.

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2019/11/30/excess-costs-of-uk-weather-dependent-renewable-energy-2018/

updated here

https://edmhdotme.wordpress.com/costing-uk-weather-dependent-renewable-energy-2018/

December 16, 2019 12:39 pm

Her is a simple business model of why Weather Dependent Renewables cost so much even if you don’t count in all the ancillary extras.
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2019/11/30/excess-costs-of-uk-weather-dependent-renewable-energy-2018/
updated here
https://edmhdotme.wordpress.com/costing-uk-weather-dependent-renewable-energy-2018/