Guest essay by Larry Hamlin
While climate alarmist propagandists in the developed nations have for decades been focusing their attention on the contrived alarmist politics of “settled science” and “supporting the narrative” idiocy as well as “climate denier” denigration of those challenging the scientific absurdity of this alarmism campaign global energy reality was being taken over by the world’s developing nations that were hugely increasing energy use derived from fossil fuels to unprecedented levels.
This fossil fuel global energy use reality became an avalanche during the last decade which saw the world’s developing nations establish their supreme dominance in controlling the trajectory and magnitude of all global energy use and emissions while making the developed nations mere spectators regarding these decisions.
The now well documented and established global control by the developing nations of the world’s energy and emissions outcomes is completely independent of climate alarmist politically hyped propaganda schemes employed by the developed nations involving the much overused “settled science”, “supporting the narrative” and “climate denier” labels employed to falsely chastise, threaten and silence those challenging the flawed and failed corrupt science of the alarmism campaign.
The developing nations energy use and resulting emissions have now become completely dominant in establishing that fossil fuel energy has been chosen to drive and dominate the world’s present and future energy use.
The developing nations global energy use domination controls world emissions outcomes with that result defeating the developed nations propaganda climate war campaign to abandon use of fossil fuels based upon politically contrived and scientifically unsupported alarmism arguments used for decades by the climate alarmists orthodoxy.
The global climate alarmism campaign has now been bypassed and completely overtaken by decisions to increase fossil fuel energy use as dictated by the world’s developing nations.
The developing nation’s control over global energy use establishes that energy and emissions decisions are based upon economic and energy priorities with this decision basis representing a huge paradigm shift from how the alarmist focused developed nations promoted such decisions based upon contrived schemes symbolized by the hyped concepts of “settled science”, “supporting the narrative” and “climate denier” political propaganda.
The world’s developing nations because of their dominance in global energy use and through their preferences as reflected in their energy decisions both during the last decade and in future energy use plans have now defined that climate alarmism propaganda schemes will not dictate present or future global energy use priorities.
The global climate alarmist propaganda campaign has in fact failed with the developing nations dictating that fossil fuels will dominate both present and future global energy use.
This idiotic notion that we (the U.S.) can control what other countries are doing is just childish. Nations will always act in their own best interests (except of the U.S. which is full of stupid childish ideals).
If we want to actually DO SOMETHING about the future energy sources, we should be developing advanced nuclear power plants that make production of U235 and Plutonium unnecessary (or at least reduce it greatly).
Meanwhile, we are stuck with these ugly nature killing-machines called wind turbines that suck money out of middle-income wallets for some rich-investors but do nothing useful.
Wake up people, coal is cheap and available locally. You really think countries like China and India are not going to burn it?
Meanwhile, if cities are worried about flooding they need to take actions to control it. Build dikes, raise land, and build sea walls – this isn’t that difficult to understand. You are in control of your own city – you cannot control nature nor the rest of the world.
“The global climate alarmism propaganda campaign has failed – fossil fuels have priority”
Don’t you mean therefore it’s succeeded?
“… this alarmism campaign global energy reality was being taken over by the world’s developing nations that were hugely increasing energy use derived from fossil fuels to unprecedented levels.”
That non-OECD blow-up of “increasing energy use derived from fossil fuels to unprecedented levels” wasn’t supposed to happen according to anyone in 2005. The non-OECD energy use didn’t take-off until after 2000 and really didn’t get going until post-2010. China’s growth explosion after entry into the WTC (2002) wasn’t supposed to be as disruptive as it has become. China’s industrial manufacturing rise was the 1st Black Swan they didn’t see coming until it was happening. That’s because China’s energy use exploded on continued affordable oil and coal. And has really taken off post 2014 as OPEC tried to kill US frackers with cheap oil. And cheap oil is the crack-meth for economies everywhere.
Coal use in the developing non_OECD also has a covariance linkage to oil (petroleum) usage for transportation/heavy machinery.
Extraction (mining, transport) of coal is highly fossil fuel dependent, and then it is commonly transported by rail or ocean ship over long distances to its final burning point… almost always a large stationary generation station for electricity or Portland cement for an economy. In today’s world, coal mostly provides electricity. And Petroleum provides the transportation and mobile heavy machinery energy. But they are coupled.
Take away petroleum (via scarcity leading to very high prices) and you take away coal consumption from nations that have to import large amounts of it, as it would be too expensive. That was the vision pre-2014 vision for the UNFCCC, the climate GreenSlimers, the Globalists.
US Energy Dominance via the fracking revolution with both oil and natural gas (natural gas that is now being exported as LNG), and the 2014 reaction to it, the sustained OPEC-Russia oil and gas output to compete has been the 2nd Black Swan tsunami that the Globalists, the GreenSlimer billionaires, the UNFCCC never saw coming until it washed over them. Now the combination of Fracking in the US for tight oil/gas producing abundant energy coupled to OPEC’s need to compete has kept oil at or near-historically low prices for 20 years now. And it may do so for at least another 20 years. And LNG for much longer as the US continues to develop and find ports to export it via the Gulf of Mexico avoiding the East and Left coasts of the US mainland.
This situation has the GreenSlimers and the Globalists in a panic now as their plans for power and vast wealth re-distribution have been torn asunder by US Energy Dominance and OPEC’s response.
In a way, you could call Donald Trump as US President a 3rd Black Swan they (the GreenSlime and their bootlicks) never saw coming. President Hilly was supposed to be coasting to are-election at this point with US gas pump prices well north of $6/gal, and the US middle class funneling their dwindling wealth into ever higher electricity bills to feed those dollars to the GreenSlimers’ wind and solar investments.
A President Trump has also further blown holes in their schemes for wealth and global power as he tells the UNFCCC COP process to go self-replicate. And despite his inane “triggering” tweets and cringe-worthy personal behavior, his administration wonks behind this Donald smokescreen keeping the Left-stream media occupied, as it continues to remove roadblocks the 0bama Admin was erecting to throttle shale fracking and deep-water oil and gas extractions. Trump’s Admin with Congressional GOP support has opened a small coastal section of ANWR to exploration, they’re keeping open federal land and deep water leases, relaxing onerous methane rules, and reduces red-tape. This all serves to position the US to continued Energy Dominance for at least to 2050.
The GreenSlimers are doing anything and everything they can to remove Trump so their Green destruction of the West can continue under their bootlick Democrat President. Steyer, Bloomberg, the Rockefeller Bros, the Annenbergs, and the rest of the Slimers are ready and cocked to spend at least $2billion next year on the elections to that end to defeat Trump (that is not an exaggeration). Let’s help them waste it. Doing so will help keep our gas and electricity affordable for the middle class.
The racist roots of the eco-wacko planet saving movement.
https://tambonthongchai.com/2019/10/14/racism/
Renewables, unfortunately for the world economy, should be expected to “contribute” a little more than forecast here. Ending the farce global warming/climate change/extreme weather/extinction crisis won’t happen until the general population is convinced that C02 isn’t the climate control knob. No evidence of that happening anywhere any time soon…except among most WUWT readers and a few other skeptics/deniers /realists scattered around the globe. A few $trillion has been spent on the war on CO2 in the past two decades and there isn’t any reason to expect at least another $trillion to be spent during the next decade or two. $Trillions spent on wind and solar power: An unworkable solution for a non-existent global warming crisis. The hopeless folly of wind and solar should become conspicuous during the next couple years as the hoaxsters attempt to extend the subsides for “storage”. But willfully uninformed voters and corrupt politicians can accomplish “miracles”. The charade continues.
Joel, thanks for your thoughts, I’d really welcome some chaos in the renewable sector,,,,as long as it doesn’t end up in the Bernie/AOC version.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-50467317 A geologist has resigned from the geological society because they have connections with the fossil fuel industry.
“The global climate alarmism propaganda campaign has failed”
Unfortunately it hasn’t.
Here in the UK political parties are offering to spend 100s of billions of pounds to be carbon neutral by 2030.
Money spent on windmills isn’t spent on hospitals and schools.
Despite the growth of wind and solar, etc., the world’s primary energy has remained about 78% from fossil fuels for the past 45 YEARS.
The developing countries have little reason to meaningfully move away from fossil, because they need low cost energy and electricity to develope their economies.
COP 21 promised them tens of $billions each year, but all fell flat, because Obama could never get approval of his promises from Congress.
COP 21 was designed to be a bad deal for the US
Most folks did not understand that at that time, and many of them still do not, primarily because they are not curious, or prefer to believe otherwise.
Never mind facts or reality, the mentally retarded children will continue to scream and cry all while growing increasingly violent and continuing to benefit from fossil fuels, hydro and nuclear generated electricity.
The Democrats will never be able to sell their “Green New Deal”. That is because the counter argument will be to show that only the United States will be giving up airplanes, and cattle, and powerplants to stem CO2 production. Meanwhile, the rest of the world carries on with business as usual which means the continuing use of airplanes and cattle and fossil fuel powerplants.
As this article points out, what the Western Democracies do with regard to reducing CO2 is just a drop in the bucket when considering worldwide CO2 output, and will have no effect whatsoever on the Earth’s climate. A useless demonstration costing TRILLIONS of dollars. Idiocracy.
I disagree with the statement:
“The global climate alarmism propaganda campaign has failed”
Green madness is alive in well. Say Canada, UK, Germany, Australia, California, and so on,,,
Alarmism is the moral justification for the Developed Country forced (weaponized legal system, weaponized political system, and so on) installation of green stuff that does not work (significantly reduce CO2 emissions) and makes electricity as expensive as possible and the attempt to shutdown the hydrocarbon industry.
It is (this green madness) actually quite organized.
As a kid, I learned that I was part of a privileged few. That most of the world was living in conditions that were significantly poorer than I was. I did not grow up rich. In my country, I was lower middle class at best. I worked myself up. But I still count myself among the lucky ones. Lucky to be born into a country and system where although its hard its not impossible to rise up. And live a good life. And improve the lives of my children who are able to enjoy things I could not even dream of. Who am I to deny this to the rest of the world. The developing world needs fossil energy if they want a go at prosperity. Otherwise, they are doomed to the Middle Ages forever. Who are we to deny it to them when we already had it?
Apart from being cheap coal has another big advantage , It is in Natures natural storage battery.
A pile of coal by a power station does not need any covering or building. Come rain or snow it just sits there waiting to be turned into that oh so needed electricity.
What is there e not to like about coal, why it even produces that much needed gas CO2.
MJE VK5ELL
Note the heading on the one chart: “The world will keep burning fossil fuels the IEA WARNS” (emphasis minse). The one word, “warns,” shows that the IEA isn’t acting as a scientific or fact finding organization but as a propaganda one. The proper, unbiased, word is “observes” or “predicts”.
Un-American, Socialist/Communist Bernie, who celebrated his honeymoon in his pajamas with a bunch of Russians in the USSR, is totally off his rocker regarding fossil fuels.
He will 80 years old, if sworn in as President, with a history of heart problems and a heart attack.
The US deserves much better.
Look out the window: NO WIND and NO SUN
The RE folks are pure wackos.
They know nothing about energy
They inanely mouth anything that sounds good.
They irresponsibly befuddle lay people.
There is no way the world could support 10 billion people without fossil fuels.
Despite the growth of wind and solar, etc., the world’s PRIMARY energy has remained about 78% from fossil fuels for the past 45 YEARS.
The developing countries have little reason to meaningfully move away from fossil, because they need low cost energy and electricity to develop their economies.
COP21 promised these countries tens of $billions EACH YEAR, but all fell flat, because Obama never could get approval of his excessive Paris promises from Congress.
That money was to come out of a $100 billion/year SLUSH FUND, ADMINISTERED BY THE UN!!!!
COP 21 was designed by Europe to be a bad deal for the US.
Most folks did not understand that at that time, and many of them still do not, primarily because they are not curious, or prefer to believe otherwise.
Europe has no interest to give the US ANY advantage in international trade, and that includes climate change.
Europe wants to burden the US as much as possible with climate expenses, the main reason EUROPEANS are pushing EXPENSIVE Offshore Wind, because THEY have all the expertise.
Europe was giving China and India a free pass regarding CO2 reduction, PLUS $billions/y, until decades later, just to get them to sign the COP21 accords.
When US money disappeared because the US withdrew from COP21, there was panic. Who was going to pay?
Obama had foolishly agreed the US would pay.
NOTE: The same panic occurred when the UK announced Brexit. Who will pay the very sizable UK contribution to Brussels?
“The world’s developing nations because of their dominance in global energy use and through their preferences as reflected in their energy decisions both during the last decade and in future energy use plans have now defined that climate alarmism propaganda schemes will not dictate present or future global energy use priorities” condensed to
luxury problems vs. real world demands:
https://www.google.com/search?client=ms-android-huawei&sxsrf=ACYBGNTTNJ5yi04UwtWluKKStzeOU0CXKg%3A1574856081509&ei=kWXeXYPnHtLmrgTN14ngAQ&q=developing+countries+military+spending+gdp&oq=developing+countries+military+spending+gdp&gs_l=mobile-gws-wiz-serp.
https://www.google.com/search?q=para+bellum&oq=para+be&aqs=chrome.
Once there was Morocco plans to deliver renewable power to Europe:
https://www.google.com/search?q=King+of+Morocco+Plans+to+Export+Solar+Power+to+Europe+%7C+AIChE&client=ms-android-huawei&sourceid=chrome-mobile&ie=UTF-8&ctxr&ctxsl_trans=1&tlitetl=de&tlitetxt=King%20of%20Morocco%20Plans%20to%20Export%20Solar%20Power%20to%20Europe%20%7C%20AIChE#sbfbu=0&pi=King%20of%20Morocco%20Plans%20to%20Export%20Solar%20Power%20to%20Europe%20|%20AIChE
https://www.google.com/search?q=Morocco+depends+on+fossil+fuels&oq=Morocco+depends+on+fossil+fuels&aqs=chrome.
https://www.google.com/search?q=the+beatles+once+there+was+a+way&oq=the+beatles+once&aqs=chrome.