From the “don’t trust it, it’s from ‘Skeptical Science’ team operative John Abraham who’s a mechanical engineer” department comes this op-ed masquerading as a science paper at the Chinese Academy of Sciences. Trenberth still hasn’t found his missing heat.
Record-breaking ocean temperatures point to trends of global warming
2018 continues record global ocean warming
An international team, released the 2018 ocean heat content observations in Advances in Atmospheric Sciences on January 16, 2019. The newly available observations show that the year 2018 is the hottest year ever recorded for the global ocean, as evident in its highest ocean heat content since 1950s in the upper 2000m. Compared to the average value that was measured 1981 – 2010, the 2018 ocean heat anomaly is approximately 19.67 x 1022 Joules, a unit measure for heat. This heat increase in 2018 relative to 2017 is ~388 times more than the total electricity generation by China in 2017, and ~ 100 million times more than the Hiroshima bomb of heat. The years 2017, 2015, 2016 and 2014 came in just after 2018 in order of decreasing ocean heat content. The values are based on an ocean temperature analysis product conducted by the Institute of Atmospheric Physics (IAP) at Chinese Academy of Sciences.
The new study is shedding new light onto how much oceanic water temperatures have been changing over the years. The change in ocean heat content is considered to be one of the best – if not the best – way to measure climate change driven by greenhouse gasses emitted by human activities. This is because the global warming is driven by the Earth’s energy imbalance due to more greenhouse gasses in the air, and the vast majority (more than 90%) of global warming heat is deposited in the world’s oceans. Also, ocean heat record is less impacted by natural fluctuations and it is a robust indicator of climate change. Therefore, record-breaking ocean heat record serves as direct evidence for global warming and represents basis for adaptation to and mitigation of climate change.
“The new data, together with a rich body of literature, serve as an additional warning to both the government and the general public that we are experiencing inevitable global warming. The ocean and global warming have already taken place and caused serious damage and losses to both the economy and society,” states Dr. Lijing Cheng, the lead author of the report. He also recommends additional actions to be taken immediately in order to minimize future warming trends.
The researchers also highlight that the increases in ocean water heat, which they prognosticate will continue to rise, are causes for additional concern to both the scientific community as well as the public at large. This is because the higher temperatures result in an increase of sea level that comes with its own set of consequences. Examples of these include salt water contaminating fresh water wells which impacts the quality of drinking water, a compromised coastal infrastructure as well as increased likelihoods of storms. Along those lines, increases in ocean heat also have severe consequences for the global weather system because they result in much more intense storms and heavy rains. Other consequences of increasing ocean water temperatures include bleaching and death of corals, melting sea ice, increasing marine heat waves, or long periods of extreme war mesa surface temperatures, as well as impacts on natural variability. Ocean heating has also been connected to increased drought intensity, heatwaves as well as risk of wildlife.
The researchers’ future aims focus on a deeper understanding of the effects of warmer ocean waters. As such, the IAP and collaborators will continue to monitor trends as well as focus on understanding the climate system as well as the ocean’s role in it. By better understanding the potential dangers that increased ocean heat brings with it, the researchers hope to be a valuable economic resource to the fishing and tourism industries, for example. “These scientific activities will eventually serve the general public and government by enabling them to make informed decisions and thus create a better and more sustainable future for all,” Cheng adds.
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Source: Eurekalert
The op-ed article, which is very short is open access and has some names we know in the author list.
2018 Continues Record Global Ocean Warming
https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007%2Fs00376-019-8276-x.pdf
Ocean heat content is rising at 0.26 W/m2/year versus the climate models estimate of 0.80 W/m2/year/
Missing. In 100 years, the actual numbers translate into something like 0.2C.
What is also missing is the climate scientists being transparent with everyone. Its hidden in joules and big numbers to the 10^23’s.
The warming is just not there people
Trenberth seems to have come down a lot, joining in with the climate plebes from SSc! He wasnt much heard from after the Climate Blues Epidemic hit many warmer proponents as a result of the’Dreaded Pause!’ He was the first to express concern early on (in a climategate email) that “it is a travesty” they couldnt explain the ‘Pause’. That was after a pause of only 7yrs. Add 11 more ulcerating years to that and the last we heard was he was searching for hotspots in vain in the atmosphere and the deep oceans, believing they were shifting around like billiard balls. His appending his name to this silly phony article makes me feel a bit sorry for the guy.
Its similar to the case of the “Ship of Fools” Antarctic expedition fiasco conducted by Ozzie clisci Chris Turney who had to be rescued with his “crew” (including children) locked in summer sea ice on a touristy voyage to witness global warming affects. They gave him some kind of award for scientific participation to cheer him up. He went quiet for a couple of years and then popped up with his last offering: telling the story of how he was brought to tears when he came across hundreds of frozen Adelie penguins killed by global warming. Biologists advised him that the bodies were hundreds of years old and had accummulated because of a lack of predators and scavengers. I think there could be another epidemic coming with the crescendo of angst that is ringing in the air on climate catastrophe with chimerical Nature on the sidelines.
One little problem. Although they mentioned SLR, it hasn’t happened. SLR isn’t a someday thing when you add heat. Like the moving goal posts, ” well the poles will definitely melt by 2100″ type of thing. The type of heat they are alluding to isn’t tiny little millimeters, it’s centimeters. Very clear indicators. That’s why the Maldives are suppose to be under water, along with the West Side Hwy in NYC, and most of Florida.
“Also, ocean heat record is less impacted by natural fluctuations and it is a robust indicator of climate change”
There are in fact plenty of natural heat sources in the ocean as evidenced in the PETM event and other events in paleo climate.
https://tambonthongchai.com/2018/10/28/petm/
The other property of ocean heat content is its lumpy non uniform distribution that is difficult to explain in terms of a common and uniform heat source in the atmosphere.
https://tambonthongchai.com/2018/10/06/ohc/
the researchers hope to be a valuable economic resource to the fishing and tourism industries,
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In fact such researchers are just another pain in the ass of e.g. fishing and tourism industries.
Would be interesting if that kind of blackmailing works – if that “researchers” earn money of e.g. fishing and tourism industries.
The difference over the four years is 3.45E22J. That equates to 0.76W/Sq.m over the period.
This is very close to what I modelled using simple thermal inertia of the 2000m and a log function for response to CO2 increase:
https://1drv.ms/b/s!Aq1iAj8Yo7jNgnXLo5LnjuHhohGM
This gives a temperature rise of the top 2000m of 0.58C by 2100, or 0.4C rise over present level, for CO2 doubling to 570ppm and temperature settling around 0.8C rise , 0.6C above present level, after a few hundred years. Not too scary and a long way off.
From the paper:
Cringe! Maybe it’s a translation thing, but claims of “incontrovertible proof” don’t have a good look in a serious scientific paper in my view. “Evidence supporting” perhaps.
Sea surface temperatures off Western Australia are cooler than usual
http://www.marineweather.net.au/climate/indicator_sst.jsp?lt=wzstate&lc=wan&c=ssta
Perversely this contributes to the heat wave affecting south eastern Australia. As a result of cooler SSTs there is lower convection and consequently less rainfall in NW Australia so the area doesn’t cool down. The hot air gets pulled down to the SE.
Beats me as to how this fake news stays alive. I’m no scientist but read things like UV light can penetrate many metres of ocean water but IR light barely makes a couple of millimetres. Also certain ocean temperatures seem to relate to sunspot activity cycles.
Ah, well. The quiet sun will resolve this over the coming years.
“Beats me as to how this fake news stays alive.”
100 $B in government funding every year.
we have record amounts of snowfall at just about every mountain range in the nh
and this points to global warming?
the poor sods.
Generally speaking I like to leave people in their ignorance, as long as it does not affect my tax bill…
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2019/01/11/a-small-margin-of-error/#comment-2593325
Relax as maybe the water bears will make a comeback with the warmening-
https://www.msn.com/en-au/news/world/antarctica-expedition-yields-remains-of-tiny-ancient-water-bears/ar-BBSrZ0x