Josh: The New IPCC report is a work of art

You may have heard that the IPCC SR15 report is due out Monday Morning 10AM Korean Time. Josh got an inside look at it, and says just like Banksy, it’s a technical work that is state-of-the-art.

I wonder how much it is worth?

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Robin
October 7, 2018 3:20 pm

I saw the Banksy pics, it seemed to change colour on the way through the shredder. You have to wonder if it was actually shredded. Shredding is a lot harder than rolling up the original and rolling out a pre-shredded copy. Was the auction house in on it?

Johann Wundersamer
Reply to  Robin
October 7, 2018 8:35 pm

“Shredding is a lot harder than rolling up the original and rolling out a pre-shredded copy.”
_________________________________________________

It would be technically very costly a pre-shredded copy to

– mount into the frame so that it survives various shipments undamaged

– roll out of the frame undamaged

dodgy geezer
Reply to  Johann Wundersamer
October 8, 2018 5:20 am

Can’t see why.

The artwork was only half-shredded – the painting stopped while the balloon was still in the upper frame. It would be simple to put two paintings together (the half-shredded one behind the intact one), and then operate a roller so that the front painting is rolled up while the half shredded rear one just drop out of the base.

Much easier to get Sotheby’s to agree to the stunt as well, if there is no destruction of the artwork.

John Brisbin
Reply to  dodgy geezer
October 8, 2018 10:01 am

Agreed. One take up roller and one spool out roller are much more compact than a working shredder and require vastly less power.

As the spool out roller works it gets smaller at almost the same rate as the take up roller gets bigger, so they can effectively overlap.

An ingenious effort, however it was accomplished.

October 7, 2018 3:26 pm

Magical!

Auto

Greg
Reply to  auto
October 8, 2018 1:46 am

Very clever cartoon by Josh.

Utterbilge
Reply to  Greg
October 8, 2018 2:21 pm

But he got the name of the report wrong- it begins with an N

https://vvattsupwiththat.blogspot.com/2018/10/singer-sues-royal-academy-for-plagiarism.html

Crispin in Waterloo
October 7, 2018 3:32 pm

It shreds itself. Wow, that’s brutal.

How about its credibility?
It sheds itself.

How about circular reasoning?
It weds itself.

How about one part screws another part?
It beds itself.

HotScot
October 7, 2018 3:41 pm

Top, Topical cartoon.

Well done Josh.

October 7, 2018 3:42 pm

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❶①❶①❶①❶①
❶①❶①❶①❶①
❶①❶①❶①❶①
❶①❶①❶①❶①
========

Was the recent Slowdown caused by the super El Nino of 1998?

If you take the GISTEMP temperature series, and replace the 1998 temperature anomaly with a new value, that is spot on the trend line, does the Slowdown disappear.

Warning – the results of this article will be shocking, for some people.

https://agree-to-disagree.com/was-the-slowdown-caused-by-1998

Bear
Reply to  Sheldon Walker
October 7, 2018 4:38 pm

I did that here with RSS data which shows that the trend ending in 2015 and starting after 1998 was actually negative. So the Pause was not only a pause but actually a downward trend for a ten year period. And that includes an el niño in the 2010 period which biases the trend in a positive direction.

Bryan A
Reply to  Sheldon Walker
October 7, 2018 5:06 pm

AND if you take the 2016 Super El Nino spike and replace it with a likewise made up data point along the same trend line, the hiatus is again apparent

ATheoK
Reply to  Sheldon Walker
October 7, 2018 5:07 pm

Shopping for visitors, much?

sycomputing
Reply to  ATheoK
October 7, 2018 10:00 pm

INDEED…been going on for some time now with this guy. There’s a word for creatures that feed off an host, but it’s none of my business.

And this:

“Warning – the results of this article will be shocking, for some people.”

Such tripe…a shamelessly unseemly advertising tactic that insults the intellect.

sycomputing
Reply to  sycomputing
October 7, 2018 10:20 pm

Just found the same entry as above here:

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2018/10/07/bombshell-audit-of-global-warming-data-finds-it-riddled-with-errors/#comment-2481944

Maybe there’s an understanding between the two site owners. If not, Mr. Watts you sure seem to be an awfully forgiving fellow.

CHARLES MAY
Reply to  Sheldon Walker
October 7, 2018 6:39 pm

Sheldon I think you may be in for a shock. I am throwing the flag and you get a 15 yard penalty.

We can all remember when this website on a monthly basis used to post pictures like this.

comment image

I used to analyze the RSS data until it became contaminated by human hands. Let me illustrate.

I downloaded data on 06/03/2017 and these were the results I got. I added a pause line because as time went on the pause line with a slope of 0 might return.

comment image

There are other things that are interesting on this chart but let’s just focus on the slope of the overall linear fit and the slope of the pause line.

Later that month on the 30th I was looking to see if new data had been added and it did look like things had changed. Indeed, the data had changed considerably as you can see below:

comment image

Note that the slope on the pause line in this chart is about the same as the overall slope shown on the first chart. They had the answer from the back of the book.

comment image

To further clarify here are the datasets on top of one another. The early data are all on top of one another. Not until you get to the El Nino do you start to see a difference and the difference widens as you go out in time. The later data were pivoted around the time of the El Nino.

I have never analyzed the GISTEMP record because I had read on this website earlier that it too was contaminated by human hands with an agenda.

BTW, here is another that might help you. You can note that the early June data and the UAH data parallel one another. The UAH data has not been contaminated.

comment image

Char Plum
Reply to  Sheldon Walker
October 7, 2018 8:25 pm

Sheldon
I am throwing a flag. You get a 15-yard penalty. I will illustrate.

Prior to the last prominent El Nino readers of this site were treated to a monthly picture that looked like this.

comment image

I have been analyzing the RSS data for some time now. Back in 2017 I downloaded the RSS data and associated with the date I downloaded the data.

The data you see in my analysis below came from 06/03/2017. There are other interesting facets in the chart but let’s focus on the overall slope of the data and the pause line. Yes, I do analyze the data to determine what date results in the lowest slope pause line.

comment image

Toward the end of the month I went back to see if additional data were added. Instead I found that the data had changed, altered if you will.

comment image

Make note that the slope of the new pause line now approximates the overall slope in the previous chart. That is why the pause is dead. Note also the increases in slopes for this newer data.

The data were altered by people with an agenda. They knew the answer they needed and they got it from the back of the book. I do not analyze GISTEMP. This site has reported similar contamination like trying to make the Dust Bowl years colder.

The next figure lays these two datasets on top of each other. You don’t see differences until you get past or near the 97 El Nino, the pivot point. Note also that the differences widen as time goes on. The data were rotated which is reflected in the near tripling of the slope of the pause line.

comment image

I think the next chart makes it even clearer. At one time the RSS and UAH were approximately parallel. No longer.

comment image

Bruce Cobb
October 7, 2018 3:54 pm

Upon examination of the individual shreds, there appears to be not one shred of self-respect or of evidence amongst them.

Patrick MJD
October 7, 2018 4:06 pm

Too funny! Meanwhile in the once lucky, smart, country, Australia, we have more fear mongering;

https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/major-climate-report-expected-to-call-for-coal-shut-down-by-2050-20181007-p508a2.html

ResourceGuy
October 7, 2018 4:11 pm

Those are the Obama checks to the UN being shredded.

Joel O'Bryan
October 7, 2018 4:12 pm

The problem is the IPCC data shredder just outputs hockey sticks instead of strips of paper.

Barbara Skolaut
Reply to  Joel O'Bryan
October 7, 2018 4:57 pm

Joel wins the thread! 😀

TinyCO2
October 7, 2018 4:16 pm

Outstanding mix of two pretentious ‘artworks’ where only special* people can see the true value.

*Special people also admire the Emporer’s new autumn wardrobe.

Lance Wallace
October 7, 2018 4:19 pm

Brilliant. But Banksy’s art sold for only $1.4M, whereas the AGW scam is working on its 10th (or so) billion. Depressing, along with most other news today.

Exception ! John McLean’s thesis! At least one new true scientist has made an appearance.

LdB
October 7, 2018 4:31 pm

Standby for todays release from the IPCC where they will double down and ask for large immediate emission cuts. This on a backdrop of increasing world emissions should make for interesting humour about who will pick up the baton.

Louis Hunt
October 7, 2018 4:44 pm

Like the Banksy artwork, the IPCC report will be worth more after it has been shredded because politicians can claim it says whatever they want it to say.

eyesonu
October 7, 2018 4:57 pm

Mann is holding his hand like a ‘hockey stick’. He’s hockey stick all the way down!

Duncan Smith
Reply to  eyesonu
October 7, 2018 5:40 pm

Good eye!

AMO rules
October 7, 2018 5:09 pm

I’ve done my history work: All GHCN listed stations having 120 years of monthly data in a row (less need for adjustments) are showing an interesting development of temperature: 70-95% of the rise compared to the pre-industrial level is caused by a 60-70 year cycle, currently on a high phase.

There were 595 such stations listed. I used their GHCN-M unadjusted Monthly Mean data until 8/2018 for checking, and confirmed the lenght of the cycle by running a wavelet analysis on the unweighted average.

But will the IPCC even mention this natural cycle today? If not, shredded again.

BoyfromTottenham
Reply to  AMO rules
October 8, 2018 12:54 am

AMO – of course the IPCC will not mention the 60-70 year (or any other) natural cycle, because their charter limits them to considering only ‘Anthropogenic (Man-Made) Climate Change’. This is their perpetual ‘get out of jail free’ card for anything that may derail their colossal gravy train. The game was always and is rigged from day one. The only answer, IMO, is to point out that the UN is an unelected, unaccountable, supra-national body that has been hijacked by unnamed activists via the IPCC and needs to be called to account. So far the only person to have even tried to do this is President DJ Trump, who understands the rigged game that the UN is playing and refuses to play by the UN’s rules. At some stage (soon?) other countries’ leaders will realise this (duh) and that to play the game is to lose. Unfortunately out of the UN’s 200 odd members, most are Less Developed countries that are hooked on the UN’s promise of gazillions of free $$ money from the handful of Developed Countries, and they will scream blue murder at every opportunity if this free money is threatened. The next step may be that the US walks away from the UN altogether, but don’t hold your breath for that.

Duncan Smith
October 7, 2018 5:36 pm

“I wonder how much it is worth?” Possibly better questions, how much did it cost and what is the ROI?

Alas, comparing it to a work of art might be more appropriate, art is intangible, complex and fleeting, beauty is in the eye of the beholder (or the profiteer or activist).

Latitude
October 7, 2018 5:38 pm

LOL………..

David Chappell
October 7, 2018 7:20 pm

The BBC is fast off the mark with an appallingly dire piece: https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-45775309
I’m surprised the “scientists” haven’t been smothered by the BS they have produced. As for intellectual honesty…

LdB
Reply to  David Chappell
October 7, 2018 7:42 pm

Oh no according to the article it’s another last chance … at some point even the most stupid of the greens and activists must realize nothing is going to happen. The irony of them calling everyone else stupid.

Peter
October 7, 2018 7:24 pm

Ok, I laughed out loud and my wife asked what happened .. good one.

Robert from oz
October 7, 2018 7:38 pm

At least the BBC mentioned the Audit so I’m told but our ABC just shovelled this smelly stuff.

http://www.abc.net.au/news/science/2018-10-08/ipcc-climate-change-report/10348720

Earthling2
October 7, 2018 8:50 pm

Some of it is already out and published. And it is ‘worse than we thought’ as expected. All this from just 1 degree C of warming too. Just wait until they hear we are now burning 100 million barrels of oil daily…

“The impacts and costs of 2.7 degrees Fahrenheit (1.5 degrees Celsius) of global warming will be far greater than expected, according to a comprehensive assessment by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) released Sunday in Incheon, South Korea.

“The past decade has seen an astonishing run of record-breaking storms, forest fires, droughts, coral bleaching, heat waves, and floods around the world with just 1.8 degrees Fahrenheit (1.0 degrees Celsius) of global warming. [See: Hidden Costs of Climate Change Running Hundreds of Billions a Year] But much of this will get substantially worse with 2.7 degrees Fahrenheit of warming, and far worse at 3.6 degrees Fahrenheit (2 degrees Celsius), according to the IPCC’s “Special Report on Global Warming of 1.5°C”, released Sunday and examining more than 6,000 studies.”

Dr. S. Jeevananda Reddy
October 7, 2018 8:58 pm

It is a hox report.

The main objective of such report “creating panic among member states” is to pressurise the nations to contribute to green fund of $ 100 billion for five years. Then UN agencies can make merry with that money for five years.

The global average temperature anomaly is built on manipulated – adjusted temperature data. Scientists have shown this for USA [raw and adjusted].

Even with the adjusted data series the trend part for 1880 to 2010 data series is 1.34 oC from 1880 to 2100.

According to IPCC the global warming started in 1951. That means the raise in temperature from 1951 to 2100 is 0.91 oC. This is not global warming.

According to IPCC more than half of this is due to greenhouse effect inwhich global warming a part. If we assume global warming part is 50%, then global warming from 1951 to 2100 is 0.455 oC.

If we correct this with USA raw data, then it is around zero degrees only.

Don’t panic!!!

Dr. S. Jeevananda Reddy

Sparky
October 7, 2018 9:10 pm

“…the Weather on Earth is worse than we thought! Changes 1.5d now and then. Up and down,… quick, back to those spaceships we arrived in and back to anthro-home world described by father Erich von Däniken (chariots of our forefathers),….”. Does anyone know where we buried them back in about 4000bc?

Roger Knights
October 7, 2018 9:38 pm

Our minders and binders,
Whose blinders betray,
Be fault-finders, stem-winders—
No truth-finders they.

Malcolm andrew bryer
October 7, 2018 9:50 pm

If rotting pond mud emitted BS instead of methane, the IPCC would have by now created a disease- ridden Everest of the stuff.

Oh, maybe it has.

Phillip Bratby
October 7, 2018 10:39 pm

I’ve never read so much nonsense as this propaganda from the biased BBC’s Matt McGrath, full of even more lies and propaganda from his favourite corrupters, Greenpeace and WWF.

There is absolutely no doubt that “climate change” is the biggest ever scientific scam, designed to take both your money and your freedom and hand it over to unelected and incompetent bureaucrats such as those at the UN.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-45775309

Barry Brill
October 7, 2018 10:47 pm

I was interested in these two statements from the IPCC Special Report:
“Warming from past emissions would continue but there was medium confidence these alone were unlikely to cause global warming of 1.5C.”
“To meet a target of 1.5C warming, global net human C02 emissions would need to decline by about 45 per cent from 2010 levels by 2030, reaching net zero around 2050.”

So, there’s a good chance (about 1 in 3) that 1.5°C is already committed, so we should simply focus on adapting to that outcome.

As to reducing emissions by 45%, we need to remember that UNFCCC (and Paris) require zero reductions from developing countries that produced 63% of 2010 emissions. So, developed countries (including Russia, Taiwan, etc) will have to reduce their emissions by 122%. Sheer fantasy.

At the same time, developed countries have to transfer $100 billion pa to developing countries as reparations. Without the USA!

ALGICASI
Reply to  Barry Brill
October 7, 2018 11:56 pm

We in the UK will be ‘Alright Jack’ as, post-Brexit, UK will be in decline and, therefore, neither a developed nor a developing country. The countryside really will be a green and pleasant land considering the amount of CO2 we will be pumping out!

Jaakko Kateenkorva
October 8, 2018 12:23 am

UN Paris agreement is final and “climate science” is settled. IPCC and FCCC are done.

UN Secretary General António Guterres should draw the inevitable conclusions himself before others do it for him.

E J Zuiderwijk^
October 8, 2018 1:47 am

Brilliant!

TomO
October 8, 2018 4:39 am

I was disappointed with Banksy – it would have been edgier (and more of a spectacle) to have the work spontaneously combust

However – nice one Josh

Craig
October 8, 2018 7:18 am

Unlike the Banksy however, the value of an IPCC report doesn’t go up after it shreds itself…

simple-touriste
Reply to  Craig
October 9, 2018 10:54 pm

I disagree. The value of the report is negative, once shredded it might reach zero.

pseudo-intellectual
October 8, 2018 12:25 pm

“work of art”?

Piece of work would be more appropriate.

October 8, 2018 1:05 pm

I propose a performance art piece where somebody publicly burns a hard copy of the new IPCC report to symbolize the imminent threat of a catastrophic hot house Earth caused at the hands of human beings.

Write a grant to the National Endowment for the Arts, make it a community affair to wheel in all manner of related sub causes, like protecting some local species, forbidding some local pipeline development, promoting wind and solar power, … have a beer garden, with live entertainment before and after, … get notable public officials to give speeches, … bring the kids and your beach chairs, … have some local musicians play a set or two, … use lots of fossil fuel to market, advertise, and put on the event.

Forget shredding. Burn the damn thing. Then smear on the ash like war paint in the name of environmental justice, where WE are the warriors fighting for Earth. I think a woman should do the actual burning, … no, a transexual, … no a cross-dressing transexual of a different race than white and a different nationality than American.

This is just a rough draft of the idea. I’ve got to flesh it out in more detail (uh oh, was that a sexist use of lnaguage? –“flesh it out”?)

October 8, 2018 1:18 pm

Anybody would have to be an idiot to think that the Banksy shred was any surprise to the auction house. I mean, the painting shredded right on cue, immediately after it sold at its highest bid. Somebody had to push a button. I don’t think the artist built a voice recognition activation device into the shredder that recognized the word, “sold”, in exactly the right environment at exactly the right time.

Furthermore, the painting only partially shredded, leaving a part UNshredded, still in the frame, which created a partial-painting-shredded-in-a-frame artifact of its auctioning, making it MORE than what it was before, and, thus, this ensemble is now itself a transformational art work of a former artwork, … transformed by the occasion, designed to transform at a particular occasion –a destructive unfolding as part of its new creation or re-creation before everyone’s eyes.

Of course, it increases in price now. Or decreases — I think it should decrease, because the stunt just seems to transparently contrived to me, thereby insulting any really smart person’s intelligence.

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