New climate crystal ball: “Mummified penguins”

From  the AGU and “anything’s a climate proxy, as long as it’s dead” department.

Mummified penguins tell of past and future deadly weather

By Larry O’Hanlon (AGU)

New research links the mummified remains of penguin chicks in Antarctica to two massive weather-related calamities that could become more commonplace with climate change.

Chinese and Australian researchers found the mummified carcasses of hundreds of Adélie penguins on Long Peninsula, East Antarctica, in sediments that not only recorded heavy run-off events, but also helped to unlock the ages of the events.

Active penguin, colony in East Antarctica near the study site. Image courtesy of Yuesong Gao.

Taken individually, penguin carcasses are not unusual, explained Yuesong Gao, a co-author of the paper in Journal of Geophysical Research – Biogeosciences, published by the American Geophysical Union. But when the researchers studied the sediments in which they found the mummies, most of the carcasses turned out to be from two specific calamities that occurred in breeding colonies about 750 and 200 years ago, according to radiocarbon dating of the mummies and the sediments.

“First of all, the extent of carcasses and abandoned colonies struck us,” said Gao, of the University of Science and Technology of China in Hefei. “Then we were surprised by the consistent dates of the mummies. We had expected a much larger range of dates.”

Penguin graveyard: 200-year-old abandoned penguin colony, littered with mummified carcasses. Image courtesy of Yuesong Gao.

The researchers were also struck by the unusually thick layers of sediments in which the mummies were buried. These were evidence of a lot of water flowing over the surface over a short period of time. That would require anomalously wet weather in hyper-arid Antarctica, and it’s particularly deadly to penguin chicks which, unlike their parents, have not yet developed waterproof feathers. Snowy and rainy weather can soak chicks to the skin and sap away their body heat, causing them to weaken and die from hypothermia.

“We found that relatively short periods of climate anomaly in the past have caused terrible consequences to the penguin population,” said Gao.

A mummified penguin chick, dated to 750 years ago. Image courtesy of Yuesong Gao.

The meteorological recipe that best explains the penguin colony collapses is a climate anomaly known for bringing a lot of moisture south from the mid-latitudes and increasing near-shore ice – a pattern called zonal wave number 3, or ZW3, for short.

The frequency of ZW3 anomalies has increased in the late 20th century, as the Earth’s climate has changed in response to anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions, according to previous research. As a result, some places in Antarctica have seen more snow accumulation between 1970 and 2009 than in the previous 1,000 years, the researchers report.

Another abandoned penguin colony with mummified carcasses. This graveyard is dated to 750 years ago. Living penguins can be seen in the upper left. Image courtesy of Yuesong Gao.

If die-off events like those of 200 and 750 years ago become more common, it could be very bad news for the Adélie penguins, according to the study’s authors.

“We should pay attention to the threats of climate change to penguins,” Gao said.

Get notified when a new post is published.
Subscribe today!
0 0 votes
Article Rating
57 Comments
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
Mjw
September 19, 2018 3:31 pm

Two events 550 years apart.
And from this they can predict the future?

Double, double toil and trouble:
Fire burn and cauldrons bubble

Walter Sobchak
September 19, 2018 5:12 pm

I thought mummified penguins would go well with this:

“Pressed rat and warthog, closed down their shop
They didn’t want to, it was all they had got
Selling atonal apples, amplified heat
And pressed rat’s collection of dog legs and feet”

“Pressed Rat and Warthog” by Peter Edward (Ginger) Baker

September 19, 2018 9:24 pm

Yet another useless study about a subject that will have no consequence whatsoever. These people need to be stopped!

observa
Reply to  Mike
September 20, 2018 10:45 am

Well sometimes Gaia manages to do that with ships of fools so she’s doing her best. I have no problem with the science just the interpretation as usual but then I don’t speak in tongues. Reminds me of boyhood and cowboy and indian movies with that popular line -White man speak with forked tongue!

Martin Howard Keith Brumby
September 19, 2018 9:32 pm

Classic…

RoHa
September 19, 2018 11:48 pm

Wait for “Return of the Mummified Penguins”.

Even more terrifying.

Editor
September 20, 2018 2:55 am

The frequency of ZW3 anomalies has increased in the late 20th century, as the Earth’s climate has changed in response to anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions, according to previous research.

Previous research…

Long time series of reanalyses, from NCEP–NCAR and from ECMWF, are used to investigate the occurrence of persistent positive anomalies (PPAs) in the 500-hPa geopotential height field over the Southern Hemisphere extratropics during 1958–2001. Defining persistent anomalies as those of at least 100 m in magnitude lasting for at least 5 days, it is found that the region of most frequent occurrence is over the South Pacific. A cluster analysis of monthly PPA counts shows two distinct patterns, one a zonal wavenumber-1 (ZW1) pattern centered over the southeast Pacific near 60°S and the other a zonal wavenumber-3 (ZW3) pattern with centers near New Zealand and over the southern Atlantic and Indian Oceans. Results were insensitive to the choice of dataset, and to the removal of a linear trend from the daily height fields. The southeast Pacific PPA region is strongly modulated by ENSO, while the ZW3 pattern appears only weakly related to ENSO variability. A strong upward trend is apparent in occurrence of the ZW3 cluster, related to a matching trend in the variance of the height fields, particularly those from ECMWF. Such trends are at least in part a consequence of changes in the observing system, particularly the introduction of satellite soundings in the late 1970s.

https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/full/10.1175/MWR2900.1

Anonymous
September 20, 2018 1:54 pm

If die-off events like those of 200 and 750 years ago become more common, it could be very bad news… And I like bad news. Now show me we just had a die-off event like this!

I’m waiting…