Happy 30th Birthday Gorebal Warming!

Guest drive-by by David Middleton

Well… Happy 30th birthday, 3 days early…

AP Was There: The age of climate change begins

By GUY DARST, ASSOCIATED PRESS WASHINGTON — Jun 18, 2018

On June 23, 1988, a top NASA scientist told Congress and the world that global warming had arrived. NASA scientist James Hansen predicted that 1988 would be the world’s hottest year on record, thanks to the burning of fossil fuels that released heat-trapping gases.

The Associated Press is republishing a version of its report on the testimony to mark the 30th anniversary.

———

WASHINGTON (AP) — The “greenhouse effect” global warming of the earth is here, but the current drought and heat wave over much of the United States can’t be blamed on it, a scientist told a Senate panel Thursday.

However, similar heat waves and droughts can be expected much more often as a result of future warming, said James E. Hansen, a climatologist at the National Aeronautics and Space Administration’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies in New York City.

Hansen told the Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee there is only a 1 percent chance that he is wrong in blaming rising temperatures around the world on the buildup of manmade gases in the atmosphere.

Blah, blah, blah…

[…]

ABC Snooze

Hansen’s fabulously wrong 1988 climate model.  The red curve is the 5-yr average of GISTEMP.
Scenario A is “business as usual.” Scenario C is where humans basically undiscover fire.

 

Update #1

Updated GISTEMP 5-yr plot…

Update #2

The standard Warmunist misdirection: “You’re not using the same temperature data Hansen used.”

GISTEMP, the current GISS temperature product, almost exactly matches Hansen’s 1988 “observed” temperature trend, even at 1-yr resolution…

GISTEMP barely touched Scenario B during the 2016-2017 El Niño. It’s currently headed back down to Scenario C, the undiscovery of fire.

Update #3

Here’s how UAH v 6.0 vs Hansen et al., 1988…

 

Reference

Hansen, J., I. Fung, A. Lacis, D. Rind, S. Lebedeff, R. Ruedy, G. Russell, and P. Stone, 1988: Global climate changes as forecast by Goddard Institute for Space Studies three-dimensional model. J. Geophys. Res., 93, 9341-9364, doi:10.1029/JD093iD08p09341

Reverence

None.

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Charlie
June 19, 2018 2:48 pm

I don’t want him to feel left out, so here’s a shout out for climate scientist Michael Oppenheimer. He was there along side Hansen in 1988, and also getting it wrong.

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2018/03/14/1988-congressional-climate-change-hearing-claims-of-accelerating-sea-level-rise-failed/

RoHa
June 19, 2018 7:12 pm

“On June 23, 1988, a top NASA scientist told Congress and the world that global warming had arrived.”

Wrong. He told Congress. The world pays no attention to what goes on in that talk shop. It was Margaret Thatcher who told the world.