Appeasement in the Bizarre World of Climate, Politics, and Big Oil

Guest Opinion: Dr. Tim Ball

I know a great deal about this bizarre world because I have incorrectly been accused of being in the pay of Big Oil. In the early days, I did try to get their money in order to show them why they could ignore the great deception of global warming. I wanted to show them how pseudoscience was being used by ideologists to push a political agenda.

The charge by environmentalists that Exxon knew about the CO2 and global warming issue is correct because I, among others, told them directly. The charge that they did nothing is incorrect. They chose to ignore scientific evidence and follow a policy of appeasement, apparently, in the naïve belief they could placate the ideologues and win a PR battle. Right now, I am enjoying watching them squirm and wriggle as they fight lawsuits from those they thought they appeased. They now know Churchill’s definition is correct.

“An appeaser is someone who feeds a crocodile – hoping it will eat him last.”

They also learned the difference between what they do and what environmentalists do. Mason Cooley explained it pithily.

“Commerce is greedy. Ideology is blood thirsty.”

While the bizarre legal battle plays out in US courts, I learned from recent overtures by major players in the Canadian energy sector that they now realize their policy of appeasement with the left-wing environmentalists did not work.

I tried to warn big energy years ago to avoid the conflict of dealing with the new ideology of environmentalism. In frequent visits to corporate offices, my advice was that they had the expertize on staff to show how CO2 was not causing warming. I knew this because I was contacted by a group of retired energy sector scientists to help set up an organization to fight the Kyoto Protocol. The group exists today as the Friends of Science (FOS). It is why they still play my quote in their header that,

“The Kyoto Protocol is a political solution to a non-existent problem without scientific justification.”

FOS chose to stick to the science but were bloodied early by the politics. They have done a commendable job on the science. While their “science only” position is commendable because ideally, all science should be apolitical, it guaranteed little or no funding, especially from those agencies who could benefit from a clear, simple exposition of the science.

The question is why wouldn’t energy companies do climate research? There are few industries whose management, demand, and production cycles are more driven by climate. For example, the fact they vary the percentages of gasoline and home heating oil significantly from summer to winter. Frankly, I would not invest in a company that did so little research into understanding a major driver of its market demand.

Historically, capitalism was simple and predictable. It was about profit, and the only debate was around what was a reasonable profit. In the Middle Ages, governments set limits on profit, usually up to 9%, based on pseudo-religious values with any higher deemed usury and therefore immoral. There is no time or need to go into all the social and religious ramifications of those beliefs and actions. Suffice to say all these issues and debates continue today, albeit within a different set of values and constructs. Part of this is related to the founding of America with the escape from religious persecution of the Plymouth Brethren on the Mayflower. They considered profit good as long as it was balanced by a strict tithe to the church.

The religious views that formed the basis of history and economy in the western world up to the mid 19th century were challenged by Karl Marx in his most influential publication, Das Kapital in 1867. Note that this is only 8 years after Darwin’s On the Origin of Species. It is reasonable to equate Darwin with the basic concept of capitalism, the survival of the fittest. After reading Darwin’s great work, Herbert Spencer coined the phrase. Darwin liked it so much he incorporated it in the sixth edition.

image

All this changed in the 20th century because Darwin’s work was used to challenge the existence of God and this juxtaposed formal religion against science. Because God was no longer the reason for humans being different in the academic world, it culminated in universities adding a completely new faculty, the Social Sciences, to the historic faculties of Arts and the Humanities, and the Natural Sciences. Remember, Darwin, was identified as a naturalist, not a scientist. This change and the impact on society continues as central to the debate today through the writings of Richard Dawkins and others. It all resulted in the demise of the influence of formal religion and created a moral and ethical vacuum among young people.

The battle was starkly enjoined as recently as 1925 with the infamous Scopes Monkey Trial. John Scopes was prosecuted in Tennessee for violating Tennessee’s Butler Act, which forbade the teaching of evolutionary theory. The real issue was the need for balance in education, not indoctrination. What should happen is that at a minimum both creationism and evolutionary theory be taught, and students establish their opinions.

All this created a gap that allowed the new and necessary paradigm of environmentalism to become a religion among many but especially the young. Despite warnings from people like Dr. Michael Crichton, environmentalism became a religion. As Andy May summarized in reflecting Crichton’s views,

We must get the religion out of environmentalism. We must get it back on a scientific basis. Too many organizations are simply lying, pure and simple.

This is not going to happen for some time because like most great religions or fascist organizations it realized that it was necessary to control the education system. Children graduate from a school system that baptizes them into the environmental religion. The impact and extent of the changes are seen in the complete overturn of the order of learning. Just a few years ago, the older faculty held the prevailing wisdom and were challenged by the new young faculty. Now the young faculty comes into the system fully indoctrinated and unquestioning while the older faculty retain the necessary skepticism of a scientist.

The power of the moral high ground was quickly controlled by those who saw the political potential of environmentalism. So, the eco-bullying began and swept away the logic and rationale of science. Energy companies chose to appease, but it was an easy choice because there was no financial cost. They could pass on their appeasement costs, including carbon taxes, to the consumer. This means they were able to act with immunity, impunity, and without accountability.

Now I enjoy watching the bizarre situation of misplaced accountability; they are being sued for deliberately failing to do the right thing. It is all being adjudicated in a legal system that traditionally avoids scientific disputes because it admits it knows nothing. My sympathies are with the energy companies because it is fossil fuels that have raised humanity from marginal starvation and short life spans. Environmentalists are parasites who produce nothing while attacking those who do. They also, hypocritically, enjoy the benefits of what fossil fuels provide. Meanwhile, I enjoy the bizarre dance they both perform with no rationale or justification. A plague on all their houses, but a more lethal one, as survival of the fittest would allow on the non-productive one.

“There is no more common error than to assume that, because prolonged and accurate mathematical calculations have been made, the application of the result to some fact of nature is absolutely certain.”

– A.N. Whitehead

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Michael Ozanne
April 5, 2018 6:46 pm

Plaintif’s in California vs Big Oil have revised their complaint…
http://blogs2.law.columbia.edu/climate-change-litigation/wp-content/uploads/sites/16/case-documents/2018/20180403_docket-317-cv-06011_complaint.pdf
existing motions to dismiss have been denied and new motions requested for 19/4 to 10/5 with Hearings to e held from May 24th
I’ll try and get the summary of changes to the complaint out of PACER

John Harmsworth
Reply to  Michael Ozanne
April 5, 2018 8:59 pm

If you need to flush twice it’s pretty obvious what you’re dealing with.

Warren Blair
Reply to  Michael Ozanne
April 5, 2018 10:44 pm

Just read amended complaint.
Nothing there (apart from oil company stupidity).
Can’t sue under Nuisance for an event that may occur in the future.
Moreover the statute of limitations blows away most of their complaint.
If plaintiff gets any judgement against defendant then Alsup is corrupt . . . end of story.
Still believe this case will be dismissed.

WXcycles
April 5, 2018 6:57 pm

If you want to eliminate science politicisation and corruption eliminate 100% of public ‘science funding’.
That’s the only way the paper publishing noise-makers will stop pushing FAKE-science muck and go get a job in a tragic hipster’s cafe.
Take away the sugar hit.
The moment I saw the Apple Mac in 1984, and its imagewriter then laserwriter printers, and desktop publishing mantra/paradigm, I could see the age of the professional con-man and political propagandist had fully arrived. You could write anything, make it look professional, and its credibility would soar, based on not much, to hot air. And that’s exactly what occurred, and by 1987 the CO2 greenhouse theory political scam and fear campaign was all over the publishing media.
Professional grade lie-manufacturing machinery had arrived on the doorstep of lower middle-class Homer Simpson’s, everywhere.

April 5, 2018 8:34 pm

Thanks for this thoughtful, Tim.
“Bureaucracy is a giant mechanism operated by pygmies.”
Balzac

Reply to  Steve Heins
April 5, 2018 8:57 pm

Or in my words, “Bureaucracy is the attempt to solve the stupidity of an organization by hiring more stupid people.”

kristi silber
April 5, 2018 9:14 pm

Hmmm. So Tim Ball told the FF companies about climate change science? When? 1960s?
Exxon WAS doing its own climate research, and knew by 1970 that is was potentially a significant problem.
Exxon, rather than “appease the environmentalists” (whatever that means) instead got together with other corporations and launched decades of propaganda aimed at the right.
These are facts readily available online in scanned copies of original documents.
Could Ball really be ignorant of this? He’s sure distorted the truth (or outright lied) before, in his twisted interpretation of climategate emails. Go ahead, trust him – trust in the untrustworthy is part of what sustains denial.

Greg Strebel
Reply to  kristi silber
April 5, 2018 9:43 pm

Trust in the untrustworthy is also part of what sustains climate alarmism, Russophobia, WMD in Iraq, feeding of Viagra to Libyan troops, etc, etc.

MarkW
Reply to  Greg Strebel
April 6, 2018 10:44 am

Pointing out that Russia is doing bad things is Russophobia?
WMDs were found in Iraq, along with mothballed programs for creating more.
Never heard of the Viagra thing, perhaps you’re just making it up now?

MarkW
Reply to  kristi silber
April 6, 2018 10:43 am

As always Kristi, what you believe and what is true rarely intersect.

John Endicott
Reply to  kristi silber
April 6, 2018 10:51 am

Kristi, the “facts” about the moon landings being fake, and 911 being an inside job are also “readily available online”. Doesn’t make them anymore true then the conspiracy you believe in.

Bruce Cobb
Reply to  kristi silber
April 6, 2018 11:30 am

Could you be more delusional? You are the ignorant one, not Ball.

MarkW
Reply to  Bruce Cobb
April 6, 2018 8:04 pm

Are there two Kristi’s?
At first she was a ranting lunatic declaring that all of us were in the pay of oil companies and such.
Then for a while she became rational and actually managed to ask some intelligent questions and appeared to be willing to learn.
Now she’s back to ranting lunatic form.

Miso Alkalaj
April 5, 2018 11:09 pm

¬ Right now, I am enjoying watching them squirm and wriggle as they fight lawsuits from those they thought they appeased.
The schadenfreude is that more appealing because oil companies (and the government which too is being sued) could win their court battles easily: just bring in the experts and present thousands of scientific papers contradicting the theory of anthropogenic global warming, and wipe the floor with environmentalist zealots or their “scientific” support. But they cannot do that because it would make them very vulnerable to another type of legal action: why did the government pay subsidies for “low-carbon” technologies, or why did oil companies profit from wind farms, etc. – if they all knew that the theory of Anthropogenic Global Warming was bunk?

BlokeOnABike
April 5, 2018 11:14 pm

Seems to that the only beneficiary of Kyoto is those Financiers in the Imagineering Dept who scored billions in real money being passed from hand to hand for ICCs (Imaginary Carbon Credits)
I envy them their ingenuity and wish I were bright enough to devise such a scam to make billions for me !

Peter Lewis Hannan
April 5, 2018 11:21 pm

Interesting: breaking simple divisions.

pat
April 5, 2018 11:33 pm

one thing for sure – the alarmists are organized. why aren’t the sceptics?
4 Apr: TheLid: Media Campaign Against EPA’s Scott Pruitt Orchestrated By Obama & Clinton Cronies
by J.E. Dyer
My contribution in this post is adding a bit about the source going in. As (Daily Caller’s Michael) Bastasch notes, the source of much of the negative narrative-building on Pruitt is the Environmental Integrity Project (EIP). The EIP is a nonprofit founded in 2002 by Eric Schaeffer, a disgruntled EPA official. Here is how EIP describes it…
EIP has a strong animus against coal, as you can learn from the website…
Regarding funding, prominent sources for EIP, as documented by a congressional report in 2014, are the Wallace Global Foundation and the Energy Foundation, which in turn gets much of its funding from the Sea Change Foundation set up by renewables billionaire Nat Simons, a major beneficiary of Obama’s green-energy cronyism. (And yes, both foundation sources send money to and from the Tides Foundation and others in the standard list of progressive and radical-left money sumps.)…
https://lidblog.com/media-campaign-against-scott-pruitt/
5 Apr: Fox News: Trump and the US need Scott Pruitt to stay at EPA
by Steve Milloy
“I do,” President Trump said Thursday afternoon when asked by reporters whether he still has confidence in embattled Environmental Protection Agency head Scott Pruitt. And well the president should.
Pruitt has been the most effective appointee in implementing the Trump agenda. If Pruitt is forced out of his job because of charges he behaved unethically, America will suffer…
First, President Trump would have a hard time finding an EPA chief as competent and committed as Pruitt. Next, even if the president did, Senate Democrats would go all out to block confirmation.
President Trump should ignore the partisan attacks over trivialities. Let’s keep our eyes on the ball of EPA reform and restraint. Our national interest demands it.
Just let Pruitt do it.
http://www.foxnews.com/opinion/2018/04/05/trump-and-us-need-scott-pruitt-to-stay-at-epa.html
flood the White House with expressions of support for Pruitt.

Kaite McCready
April 6, 2018 12:15 am

OMG – ironically speaking of course – there have been so many comments already but this article is one of the best journalistic pieces I have read since I can’t remember – THANK YOU TIM – SO ELOQUENT AND WELL WRITTEN – I MUST COPY IT AND I LIKELY DARE NOT PASS IT ONE TO THE HIGH SCHOOL STUDENTS I already teach due to the likely recriminations of the religious like beliefs of my fellow science teachers – unfortunately I’ve already had back lash from indoctrinated students who, of course, think they know more than me about climate science – the word is out – I’m not one backing the new religion and reasoning with science I’ve found is a waste of my precious time – they’re converted

DiggerUK
April 6, 2018 12:40 am

Dr. Ball, you write,
“FOS chose to stick to the science but were bloodied early by the politics. They have done a commendable job on the science. While their “science only” position is commendable because ideally, all science should be apolitical, it guaranteed little or no funding, especially from those agencies who could benefit from a clear, simple exposition of the science.”
All well and good using such worthy prose, the times your article attacks the politics of the alarmists, not the science, demonstrates how easily you find a political confrontation preferable to a scientific confrontation.
If you are claiming the scientific high ground, what advantage is political bitching in defending that science. Knock it on the head, it’s unhelpful…_

charlie
April 6, 2018 1:38 am

Appeasement – Would this have happened if the mainstream media did their job properly instead of acting as cheerleaders for CAGW? No company likes bad headlines, or TV reports saying they are destroying he planet because the (lying) interviewee from Greenpeace says they are.

ralfellis
April 6, 2018 2:10 am

I marvel at the way that environmentalists have reinvented the Catholic ‘indulgencies’ scam – where you pay the Church cash for a remission in your sins. (ie: carbon credits).
Yet it was the corruption of the indulgences scam that lead to the Reformation, and the eventual demise of the Catholic Church. And so if history is our guide, the naked greed of the environmentalists, in conjunction with their high minded moralising, will likewise lead to their demise.
R

April 6, 2018 3:42 am

I agree with you Tim.
Appeasement does not work against fanatics and bullies, especially green extremists.
What does work is full frontal confrontation – that is all that bullies understand.
Best, Allan
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2018/01/09/its-about-time-exxon-launches-counterattack-against-california-based-climate-conspiracy-lawsuits/comment-page-1/#comment-2713297
[excerpt]
I liked Exxon much better under Lee Raymond – he was reportedly impolite and tough, but he had the courage to face down blatant falsehoods like global warming alarmism and not acquiesce to them.
The current crop of oil industry executives don’t seem to “own a pair” among the lot of them, and they are now reaping the reward of their cowardly surrender to green extortionists. They have cost their shareholders a fortune.
This is particularly true in Canada, where the energy industry has been hamstrung by lack of oil pipeline capacity, such that price differentials between US and Canadian crudes have cost Canadians many billions of dollars.
A responsible Canadian oil exec would lead a lawsuit against these green extortionists and drive them into the ground.
However, that is not the nature of the modern CEO. Clearly, his “politically-correct” approach is not working.

Keith J
April 6, 2018 3:54 am

Organized religion has embraced CAGW. Which is why I don’t associate. Besides the fact they are either dogmatic myopics or bible worshiping idolaters.

Jack Dale
Reply to  Keith J
April 6, 2018 8:19 am

Fundamentalist, Creationist, Dominionist Christians like the Cornwall Alliance are dismissive of climate of science. The “word “deny” appears 5 times in their Evangelical Declaration on Global warming.

MarkW
Reply to  Keith J
April 6, 2018 10:48 am

In another of today’s articles, one of the Green Weenies is whining about Evangelicals not falling into line.

John Garrett
April 6, 2018 4:32 am

Those of you who are too young to remember should be aware that managers in the tobacco industry were eager to enter into what is in effect an economic partnership with the government. That’s constructively what the Master Settlement Agreement of 1998 represents.
In exchange for revenue-sharing with Big Brother and a cessation of legal harassment, the industry was perfectly happy to betray its customers.
They really don’t give a damn about their customers. I suspect the craven managers of Shell, Total and BP wouldn’t hesitate to enter into a similar bargain with the devil. Given the opportunity, I fear that ExxonMobil, Chevron and ConocoPhillips would join in as well.

ferdberple
Reply to  John Garrett
April 6, 2018 11:21 am

ExxonMobil, Chevron and ConocoPhillips would join in as well.
===============
Corporations are bound by law to make money for their shareholders. If the law says you must sell your soul to do this, companies will sell their souls. Otherwise, they will go out of business and be replaced by companies that will.
Unfortunately, Profit has become a dirty world, without anyone stopping to ask how we can pay for anything without profit. Even taxes rely on profit. Otherwise even the most powerful of governments will eventually fall.

MarkW
Reply to  John Garrett
April 6, 2018 8:07 pm

Any company that doesn’t give a damn about it’s customers will quickly go out of business.
It’s those companies that listen to their customers and give those customers the things the customers are asking for that survive and grow.
Most companies know that they don’t have the resources to fight government, and so long as government stupidity hurts their competitors as much as it hurts them, they can find a way to live with that stupidity.

dennisambler
April 6, 2018 4:43 am

“Now the young faculty comes into the system fully indoctrinated ”
Exactly so. Look at the numbers of papers coming out from students or post grads, in conjunction with their supervisor, especially places like Potsdam and UEA.

John Garrett
April 6, 2018 5:36 am

Don’t make the mistake of thinking or believing the managements of Shell, BP, Total, ExxonMobil, Chevron or ConocoPhillips give a damn about whether the CAGW conjecture is right or wrong.
They don’t.
They will all sell their customers down the river in a heartbeat if it’s expedient.

michael hart
April 6, 2018 6:31 am

Children graduate from a school system that baptizes them into the environmental religion. The impact and extent of the changes are seen in the complete overturn of the order of learning. Just a few years ago, the older faculty held the prevailing wisdom and were challenged by the new young faculty. Now the young faculty comes into the system fully indoctrinated and unquestioning while the older faculty retain the necessary skepticism of a scientist.

Partially true, but it doesn’t have to be that bad. If pupils/students are correctly taught the scientific method in one arena, they will still have a tendency to use it in another. And at least some of the younger generation will always explore alternatives to the received ‘consensus wisdom’ just because….
Furthermore, if you end up studying a subject like, say, chemistry to any depth then it becomes far more difficult for an environmental activist to scare you with their invented tales of chemical armageddon. (Mind you, I did once share a lab with a another graduate chemistry student who disliked actually having to take a bottle of chemicals off the shelf if it involved her putting on a lab coat and safety goggles).

eyesonu
April 6, 2018 6:39 am

Excellent essay by Dr. Tim Ball.

Jack Dale
April 6, 2018 6:57 am

The FOS really is FOS. They are the sun-worshiping Cult of Ra.

April 6, 2018 8:02 am

“The question is why wouldn’t energy companies do climate research?”
Because they are not a weather bureau or a university or a research institution. They operate for profit. Corporate R&D is for product development. Products they can sell for profit. Climate is not a product they can sell. They don’t need to convince consumers that oil is good. 97% of world’s transportation energy uses oil. Even Al Gore uses a lot of oil. If there’s money to be made in renewables, they will sell it too regardless whether it’s global warming catastrophe or the ice age.

Bruce Cobb
April 6, 2018 9:40 am

They jumped on the “climate” bandwagon because it was politically expedient to do so. Looks like it has come back to bite them now, and they still don’t realize the mistake they made. Still singing the same ol climate hymns. Those climate hymnals must be getting pretty dog-eared by now.

ferdberple
April 6, 2018 11:06 am

Big Oil was perfectly happy with Climate Change so long as Big Coal was the target. They never stopped to consider the lessons of history. Having successfully invaded Poland, did this satisfy Hztler, or encourage him to go after even larger fish?
Having eliminated Coal, would the Green Blob be satisfied, or would this encourage them to go after Oil next? Look to the Courts for your answer. And after Oil, will they come next for you?
Those that forget the lessons of history are doomed to repeat them.

MarkW
Reply to  ferdberple
April 6, 2018 8:08 pm

They came for the Jews.
But I was not a Jew, so I said nothing.

Peter
April 6, 2018 11:28 am

“A plague on all their houses, but a more lethal one, as survival of the fittest would allow on the non-productive one”.
That statement is going to have me laughing to myself for the rest of the week; and maybe longer 🙂

Non Nomen
April 6, 2018 11:39 pm

My sympathies are with the energy companies because it is fossil fuels that have raised humanity from marginal starvation and short life spans.

That’s exactly the point. And it is the reason why we must support them to carry on, unless we actually like the idea of the return of the dark ages.
“Big Oil” can deliver what wind turbines and solar panels can not: raw materials for almost any purpose, medicine, fuel, plastics and all these other little things we actually need and the gadgets we love.